Estimate Classification
Estimate Classification
Estimate Classification
• Introduce panel
2
CCRG BACKGROUND
• CCRG is a regulation
4
CCRG OVERVIEW –
Basic Principles
• Terminology – included costs – excluded costs
• Project cost
• Construction cost
5
CCRG OVERVIEW –
Basic Principles
• How the CCRG is laid out
6
CCRG OVERVIEW –
Main Areas of Dispute
• Section 1.000 – costs to be included
9
ASSET LIFE CYCLE –
Phases Over Time
Project Life Cycle – Major Project Phases
Field
Execution
Early Funding 2%
Optimizations 3%
Engineering 6%
Procurement 32%
10
Field Execution 53%
C&SU 4%
ASSET LIFE CYCLE –
Phases Over Time
CEO’s Vision What Operations What Major Projects What Procurement CEO promise
Understood asked EPCs Purchased to
shareholders
11
What was documented What Operations What Owner paid for EPC’s support What the company
Received really needed
DBM / EDS / FEED
• Design Basis Memorandum (DBM) – FEL 1 or Pre-Feed
• Defines basis for further development of a main idea. Possibly includes a narrowed
down list of alternatives previously evaluated as well as descriptions of main
processes with high-level flow diagrams and general and/or special conditions for
continuous operations of facility. Results in a definitive alternative. Class 5 Estimate.
• To build a team with the range and reach of skillsets in key competencies required to
meet project expectations. This group as a whole is responsible for overall project
performance.
•Vertical among company, project team & 3rd parties: contractors and subcontractors.
15
ASSET LIFE CYCLE –
Expenditures Over Time
CCRG Overlay on Project Phases
Field
Execution
Early Funding 2%
Optimizations 3%
Engineering 6%
Procurement 32%
16
Field Execution 53%
C&SU 4%
ASSET LIFE CYCLE –
Expenditures Over Time – Assessment Timeline
Capital Expenditure Operational Expenditure
Business Concept Definition Operations Life of
Execution
Planning Selection Optimization Handover the Asset
Early Advanced Property Appropriation Multiple CCRG Cost Schedule D Tax Bills
Assessment
Funding Commitment Tax For Expenditure Assessor Rendition EBITDA
Tax
Rendition Reviews
Notice
Program
17
CCRG ISSUES WHICH ARISE
18
CCRG ISSUES WHICH ARISE
• Can be a “catch all” category for the owner to record costs related to:
21
GROUP EXERCISE
Owners Costs / FEED
• Working at your table, please consider whether the list of
items shown on slide 16 (owners costs) are: (i)
construction costs – refer to CCRG section, and (ii)
which costs are excluded costs – and identify the
applicable CCRG section which could allow for their
exclusion
22
GROUP EXERCISE
Owners Costs / FEED – De-brief
• Exercise De-Brief
23
ASSET LIFE CYCLE
24
ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION &
TYPES OF CONTRACTS
25
ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION &
TYPES OF CONTRACTS
26
ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION &
TYPES OF CONTRACTS
100%
Contractor’s Risk 0%
100%
Owner’s Risk
0%
27
Few Change Orders Max Change Orders
ESTIMATE CLASSIFICATION &
TYPES OF CONTRACTS
28
CCRG ISSUES WHICH ARISE
Cost Estimating
• Information found on the Authorization for Expenditure (AFE)
is useful to understand the scope of the work. An AFE is
typically a class 3 estimate:
• Known technology industry accuracy -20% + 30% (Power)
31
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Basic Principles
• From a review of the section we can see several principles
32
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Basic Principles
• Typical or normal varies over time
33
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Basic Principles
• How do you measure a balanced market?
34
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Basic Principles
• Cost excluded to maintain consistency among regulated
properties
35
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
A process whereby changes in the Scope of Work agreed to by the
Owner and Contractor are implemented via Change Orders.
37
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
As projects progress, changes are more costly but fewer
100%
Cost of Change
75%
# of Changes
50%
25%
0%
Business Feasibility Concept Basic Design E&P Construction C&SU
Planning Studies Optimization
38
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
Challenges for Owners
Cost Reimbursable: Contractors low ball bids seeking to turn it into
change management heavens.
40
Queen Isabella Causeway near South Padre Island, Texas, September 15, 2001
United States Coast Guard, CWO2 Robert Wyman
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
Can you live with it as it is?
41
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Labour Productivity
Field labour productivity is the single greatest variable in any cost
estimate and it is extremely difficult to estimate.
43
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Labour Productivity
Process to establish the normal vs abnormals:
44
SECTION 2.500 ABNORMAL COSTS
Labour Productivity
6%
12%
10%
50%
6%
16%
4 3 7 40 40 0 0% 100%
5 2 7 50 40 10 3.9% 90%
6 1 7 60 40 20 7.9% 80%
Actual workhours
% of QAB workhours
1.The Plan
3.Planned Schedule
4.Schedule Basis
• ___________________
• ___________________
50
TRAVEL s. 2.500.100
TRANSPORTATION s. 2.500.200
• Travel to the site is excluded.
51
TRANSPORTATION s. 2.500.200
IMPORT DUTIES & BROKER FEES S. 2.300.700
53
CCRG BEST PRACTICES
Establish Expectations
• Recommend a meeting with the property owner early in the
construction process to set out expectations with regard to: (i)
types of documents required, (ii) interpretation and application
of the CCRG
• Feasibility study
56
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
QUESTIONS ARE WELCOME