Fbabf JNBJFNNN Nkin
Fbabf JNBJFNNN Nkin
Fbabf JNBJFNNN Nkin
1,836.71
2,137.74
1,220.26
Standalone financial summary (Rs m)
Y/e 30 Mar FY18A FY19A FY20A 1HFY21
Operating Income (Rs m) 1,595.97 1,836.71 2,137.74 1,220.26
Renu Baid EBITDA Margin (%) 19.97 29.25 27.12 29.10
renu.baid@iiflcap.com Reported PAT (Rs m) 54.23 391.99 313.18 192.13
91 22 4646 4651 Reported EPS (Rs m) 1.92 13.89 11.11 7.18
Growth (%) 623.44 ‐20.01 17.70
Narendra Mhalsekar
narendra.mhalsekar@iiflcap.com ROE (%) 2.64 16.68 13.91 7.85
91 22 4646 4687 Debt/Equity (x) 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.17
www.iiflcap.com Source: Company, IIFL Research. Note: 1HFY21 numbers not annualised.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 1
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
DISCLAIMER
THIS DOCUMENT IS BEING FURNISHED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION ON A CONFIDENTIAL
BASIS AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, OR PASSED ON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART,
TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT INTENDED TO BE AN ADVERTISMENT AND DOES NOT
CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS, AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO
SUBSCRIBE FOR OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITIES, AND NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANYTHING
CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH OR ACT AS
AN INDUCEMENT TO ENTER INTO ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER. THIS DOCUMENT IS
INTENDED TO BE RECEIVED ONLY BY THE NAMED RECIPIENT TO WHOM IT IS ADDRESSED. THIS
DOCUMENT IS NOT A SECURITIES RECOMMENDATION AND IN PREPARING THIS DOCUMENT YOUR
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, FINANCIAL SITUATION OR PARTICULAR NEEDS WERE NOT TAKEN INTO
ACCOUNT. ANY DECISION TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OR PURCHASE SECURITIES IN ANY OFFERING MUST BE
MADE SOLELY ON THE BASIS OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THE OFFER DOCUMENT (AND
SUPPLEMENTS THERETO) OR OTHER OFFERING CIRCULAR ISSUED BY THE COMPANY IN CONNECTION
WITH SUCH OFFERING.
THE CONTENTS OF THIS DOCUMENT HAVE NOT BEEN REVIEWED BY ANY REGULATORY AUTHORITY.
YOU ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION IN RELATION TO THE OFFER. IF YOU ARE IN ANY DOUBT
ABOUT ANY OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS DOCUMENT, YOU SHOULD OBTAIN INDEPENDENT
PROFESSIONAL ADVICE.
THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE, ITS
ACCURACY IS NOT GUARANTEED AND IT MAY NOT CONTAIN ALL MATERIAL INFORMATION
CONCERNING THE COMPANY. ACCORDINGLY, NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, IS MADE AS TO, AND NO RELIANCE SHOULD BE PLACED ON, THE FAIRNESS, ACCURACY,
COMPLETENESS OR CORRECTNESS OF THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS CONTAINED IN THIS
DOCUMENT. NONE OF THE COMPANY, IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED AND/OR ANY OF THEIR RESPECTIVE
AFFILIATES OR DIRECTORS, MEMBERS, OFFICERS OR EMPLOYEES SHALL HAVE ANY LIABILITY
WHATSOEVER (IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVER ARISING FROM ANY USE
OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS
DOCUMENT.
YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED AND/OR ONE OR MORE OF THEIR RESPECTIVE
AFFILIATES MAY ACT IN CONNECTION WITH AN OFFER BY THE COMPANY OF ITS SECURITIES,
PERFORM OTHER FINANCIAL OR ADVISORY SERVICES FOR THE COMPANY OR HAVE OTHER INTERESTS
IN OR RELATIONSHIPS WITH THE COMPANY. IN THAT CAPACITY, IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED AND/OR
THEIR RESPECTIVE AFFILIATES MAY HAVE RECEIVED CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION RELEVANT TO THE
SECURITIES MENTIONED IN THIS DOCUMENT WHICH IS NOT KNOWN TO THE AUTHOR(S) OF THIS
DOCUMENT. IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED AND/OR THEIR RESPECTIVE AFFILIATES, OFFICERS,
DIRECTORS, AND EMPLOYEES MAY FROM TIME TO TIME PURCHASE, SUBSCRIBE FOR, ADD TO,
DISPOSE OF OR HAVE POSITIONS OR OPTIONS IN OR WARRANTS IN OR RIGHTS TO OR INTERESTS IN
THE SECURITIES OF THE COMPANY OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THIS
DOCUMENT (OR MAY HAVE DONE SO BEFORE PUBLICATION OF THIS DOCUMENT) OR MAKE A MARKET
OR ACT AS PRINCIPAL OR AGENT IN ANY TRANSACTIONS IN SUCH SECURITIES.
THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PRODUCED INDEPENDENTLY OF MTAR TECHNOLOGIES [PRIVATE] LIMITED
(THE “COMPANY”) AND ITS SHAREHOLDERS, AND ANY FORECASTS, OPINIONS AND EXPECTATIONS
CONTAINED HEREIN ARE ENTIRELY THOSE OF IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED AND ARE GIVEN AS PART OF
ITS NORMAL RESEARCH ACTIVITY AND SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON AS HAVING BEEN AUTHORISED
OR APPROVED BY ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS DERIVED FROM
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 2
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
CRISIL DISCLAIMER
CRISIL RESEARCH, A DIVISION OF CRISIL LIMITED (CRISIL) HAS TAKEN DUE CARE AND CAUTION IN
PREPARING THIS REPORT BASED ON THE INFORMATION OBTAINED BY CRISIL FROM SOURCES WHICH
IT CONSIDERS RELIABLE (DATA). HOWEVER, CRISIL DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY,
ADEQUACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE DATA / REPORT AND IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS
OR OMISSIONS OR FOR THE RESULTS OBTAINED FROM THE USE OF DATA / REPORT. THIS REPORT IS
NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO INVEST / DISINVEST IN ANY COMPANY / ENTITY COVERED IN THE
REPORT AND NO PART OF THIS REPORT SHOULD BE CONSTRUED AS AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. CRISIL
ESPECIALLY STATES THAT IT HAS NO FINANCIAL LIABILITY WHATSOEVER TO THE SUBSCRIBERS/
USERS/ TRANSMITTERS/ DISTRIBUTORS OF THIS REPORT. CRISIL RESEARCH OPERATES
INDEPENDENTLY OF, AND DOES NOT HAVE ACCESS TO INFORMATION OBTAINED BY CRISIL’S RATINGS
DIVISION / CRISIL RISK AND INFRASTRUCTURE SOLUTIONS LIMITED (CRIS), WHICH MAY, IN THEIR
REGULAR OPERATIONS, OBTAIN INFORMATION OF A CONFIDENTIAL NATURE. THE VIEWS EXPRESSED
IN THIS REPORT ARE THAT OF CRISIL RESEARCH AND NOT OF CRISIL’S RATINGS DIVISION / CRIS. NO
PART OF THIS REPORT MAY BE PUBLISHED / REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM WITHOUT CRISIL’S PRIOR
WRITTEN APPROVAL.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 3
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Company background
MTAR commenced operations in 1970 and is a leading precision
engineering solutions company engaged in the manufacture of
mission critical precision components (close tolerances of 5-10
microns) and critical assemblies serving customers in the nuclear,
space and defence, and clean energy sectors.
Figure 1: MTAR ‐ Key business segments and revenue share (FY20)
MTAR
Source: Company
Figure 2: Revenue and net profit trend
(Rs mn) Revenue from operations (LHS) Profit after tax (LHS)
PAT Margin (RHS)
14.65% 20.0%
15.75%
2,137.74 15.0%
1,836.71
2,000 1,595.97
1,220.26 10.0%
3.40%
391.99 313.18 5.0%
54.23 192.13
0 0.0%
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 4
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 3: Revenue generated in India and outside India
Revenue in India Revenue outside India
(Rs m)
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,408.82
784.27 1,133.95
1,000
633.03
500 798.00 643.42 675.76 567.95
‐
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
Figure 4: Operating revenue contribution from top 5 customers
(%) Contribution from top 5 customers
91 90.04
90 89.00
89 88.39
88 87.31
87
86
85
FY18 FY19 FY20 Sep'20
Source: Company
Figure 5: Segmental revenue mix; segmental Order Book mix and trends in Order Book
2,437.44
3,451.34
3,565.01
and
and
Defenc
Defenc
e
e Sector
Sector, 0
48.89%
21.46% FY18 FY19 FY20 30‐Nov‐20
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 5
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 6: Employee base
As on Nov'2020 No of Employees
Permanent employees 896
‐Engineers 147
Contract workmen 244
Source: Company
Product offerings
Figure 7: Products manufactured and supplied by MTAR in each of the sectors
Customer Sector Product Application
Involves manufacture and assembly of 600 components. Used for loading
Fuel machining head
and unloading of fuel bundles in nuclear reactors
Moves fuel machining head in sideways and vertical directions to allow
Bridge and column
loading and unloading of the various nuclear fuel bundles
Consists of 1,758 holes in top and bottom plate and is used for resting the
Grid plate
fuel sub‐assemblies in prototype fast breeder reactor
Sealing plug, shielding plug, liner Involves assembly of large number of components and used in the core of
Nuclear sector
tubes and end fittings civilian reactor
They are critical products used for regulating and shutdown of nuclear
Drive Mechanisms
reactors under normal and undesirable operating conditions
Top hatch cover beams and deck
Requires high positional and dimensional accuracies
plate assembly
Used for inspection in fuel machining vault. Apart from manufacturing and
CHAS
assembly, the design is developed by company
Ball screws and water lubricated Import substitutes used in various assemblies such as actuators etc. in the
bearings reactor
Base shroud assembly and air frames Used in Agni missiles such as A1, A2 A3, A4, A5, A1 P.
Actuator assembly components Used in space launch vehicles
Components for LCA Actuators used in landing gear and flaps of LCAs
Various missile parts Used in various missile programs undertaken by DRDO
Valves Used in satellites
Space and Electro‐pneumatic modules
Defence sectors
Liquid propulsion engines
Used in space launch vehicles – PSLV and GSLV for various space missions
Cryogenic engines (turbo pumps, such as Chandrayaan‐II and Mangalyaan
booster pumps, gas generators &
injector heads for such engines)
Ball screws and water lubricated Import substitutes used in various assemblies such as actuators etc. in
bearings space launch vehicles, missiles etc.
Clean energy
Power units Acts as a reactor for fuel cells
sector
Source: Company
MTAR has been serving customers in the nuclear sector for over 35
years, and has established relationships with the NPCIL having
served them for over 16 years. MTAR manufactures and supplies
specialized products for the new pressurised heavy water nuclear
reactors as well as for refurbishment of the existing reactors.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 6
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Source: Company Source: Company
Figure 10: Bridge & Column
Source: Company
Figure 11: Space and defence sector products
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 7
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 12: Revenue trends across key segments
1,128.20
1,375.39
261.58
368.37
393.39
261.85
500
461.10
239.61
305.10
368.15
784.27
579.36
100 100
0 0
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21 0
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
Figure 13: Segment‐wise revenue share trends
100%
80% 47.48
49.14
61.42 64.34
60%
40% 20.06 21.46
20% 16.39 18.40
28.89 30.17
13.05 14.27
0%
1HFY21
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: Company
Figure 14:Key events in the history of MTAR
Calendar Year Particulars
Incorporation of MTAR upon its conversion from a partnership firm to a
1999
private limited company.
Commencement of manufacture of base shroud and fin assembly and
1999
pneumatic components for use in flight systems
Manufacture of control and safety red drive mechanism and diverse
2003
safety rod drive mechanism for IGCAR
Manufacture of grid plates for a 500 mega‐watt prototype fast breeder
2008
reactor
2012 Manufacture of power units for Bloom Energy
2018 Commencement of defence exports
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 8
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Manufacturing facilities
MTAR currently operates through seven manufacturing facilities,
including an export-oriented unit (“EOU”). These manufacturing
facilities situated in Hyderabad, Telangana, employ advanced
equipment to undertake precision machining, assembly, testing and
quality control, specialized fabrication, brazing and heat treatment,
and other specialized processes, enabling it to be a one-stop
solutions company for its customers.
Figure 15: MTAR operates through seven state‐of‐the‐art manufacturing facilities (including one EOU) in Hyderabad
Plant Sectors catered to Products manufactured Facilities offered
Complex nuclear assemblies manufacturing such as fuel
Advanced computerized
machining head, thimble package, top hatch beam, bridge
Nuclear, defence numerical control (“CNC”)
Unit 1 and column and high end defence products such as air
and aerospace machining and quality
frames, base shroud assembly for Agni missiles, among
control
others
Liquid propulsion engines such as Vikas engine, cryogenic
Advanced CNC machining,
engines, semi cryo engine, electro pneumatic modules for use
assembly, specialised
Unit 2 Space in polar satellite launch vehicle (“PSLV”) and geosynchronous
fabrication, quality control
satellite launch vehicle (“GSLV”) launch vehicles and satellite
and testing
valves
High volume nuclear components such as end fittings, liner
Nuclear, defence Advanced CNC machining
Unit 3 tubes, products such as ball screws and WLBs and other
and aerospace and quality control
nuclear site orders
Advanced CNC machining,
Power units for supply to Bloom Energy and high end defence
Clean energy and assembly, special
EOU unit components to be supplied to an Israeli defense technology
export defence processes, and quality
company
control
Unit 4 Undertakes rough machining Rough machining
Supporting plants Surface treatment, heat
Unit 5 for unit 1 & unit 2 Undertakes surface and heat treatment treatment and special
processes
Unit 6 Fabrication facility and large clean rooms Assembly
Nuclear, defence
Adibatla (2 units) Sheet metal manufacturing and specialised fabrication Fabrication
and space
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 9
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 16: Brief particulars of manufacturing and fabrication facilities of MTAR
S. No. Machine Quantity Description and usage
Machining facilities
Conventional / CNC Used for a variety of turning operations to remove the excess material in the
1. 108
turning form of chips, from the external diameter of a work piece
Advanced CNC 7 axis mill‐turns, 5 axis, 4.5 axis and 3 axis VMCs and horizontal
2. Milling / CNC milling 62 machining centres (“HMCs”) are available for producing a variety of custom‐
designed products
CNC machining Used to perform drilling, milling and lathe operations to manufacture precision
3. 12
centers components such as air frames, covers etc.
Electrical discharge Used for machining of hard metal that would be difficult to machine using
4. 6
machining (“EDM”) traditional techniques
Used to produce fast and accurate machining of customised small deep holes in
5. EDM drilling 2
precision components
Used to enlarge the holes of the machined components so as to make their
6. Jig boring 28
diameters accurate to achieve the close tolerances required
Advanced horizontal boring machines are available to enlarge holes in a
7. Horizontal boring 8
horizontal direction as per the given customer specification
8. Deep hole boring 9 Used to produce very deep precision holes
9. Drilling 13 Used to cut holes of circular cross section for precision machined parts
10. Grinding 60 Used to shape and finish the machined components
Used to produce accurate flat surfaces and cutting slots as per the given
11. Planing 1
specifications
Used to cut raw materials that are required to undergo subsequent machining
12. Cutting machines 6
processes to achieve the finished product
Advanced wire cuts available for production of small, detailed items that would
13. CNC wire cut 14
be normally difficult to process through other manufacturing processes
14. Honing 8 Used to improve geometric form of surface and surface finish
Special purpose
15. 14 Used for special purpose operations
machine
Straightening Used wherever the precision components have to be straightened, bent/pre‐
16. 5
machines tensioned
17. Thread grinding 13 Used to produce accurate threads in hard materials
Fabrication facilities
Equipment to undertake automatic tungsten inert gas (“TIG”) welding, metal
1. Welding equipment 22 inert gas (“MIG”) welding, submerged arc welding, welding head manipulator, job
manipulator / positioner, electron‐beam (“EB”) welding, orbital welding
Vacuum brazing furnace and rotary vacuum brazing furnace are available to take
2. Furnaces 21
up specialized fabrication jobs
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 10
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Manufacturing processes
MTAR carries out volume-based production and developmental
projects and ensures a right mix between them not only to meet the
revenue targets but also to enhance its technological capabilities.
The manufacturing processes widely vary across different products.
Broadly, the manufacturing facilities undertake machining as per the
process plans laid-out and the in-process quality inspection
procedures are carried out as per the QAPs. Once machining is
completed, the components are tested once again to ensure
dimensional and positional accuracies. The components are
assembled and tested to achieve the final product.
Figure 17:Typical product manufacturing cycle
Bill of material Release of Purchase
Order Acceptance Process Planning
generation Orders to Vendors
Preparation of Quality Manufacturing of
Procurement of Raw In‐process quality
Assurance Plans components based on
Materials inspections
("QAPs") process plans
Shipping release by customers
Final Inspection of Components Assemblies and Testing
to dispatch the products
Source: Company
Raw Materials
MTAR does not have any long term contracts with any raw material
suppliers but has maintained a long term relationship (at least over
five years) with its major suppliers.
However, in a majority of cases, its customers in the space and
defence sectors issue raw materials for undertaking the projects.
MTAR has been procuring raw materials such as 17-4 PH, SS 410
and inconel from its global suppliers, including, from suppliers
located in Brazil and United States, among others, as well as from
certain domestic suppliers.
Figure 18: Raw materials used by MTAR
Sector Raw materials used
Nuclear Specialised steels such as 17‐4 PH, SS 410, 13‐8 MO PH
Space and Defence Alloy steels and aluminium including bearing and seals
Clean energy Inconel sheets
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 11
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Key strengths
Precision engineering expertise with complex product
manufacturing capabilities
MTAR develops and manufactures a wide range of mission critical
precision components with close tolerances, through its precision
machining, assembly, and specialized fabrication facilities, for its
customers in the nuclear, space and defence, and clean energy
sectors in India, and abroad.
These capabilities are further supported by an extensive and
stringent testing and quality control mechanism undertaken at each
stage of the production process. It uses high precision quality
inspection equipment such as 3D co-ordinate measuring machines,
laser measuring, optical alignment instruments, non-contact
measuring, and other such non-destructive testing equipment to
ensure ideal quality and also has experienced personnel who
undertake procedures and inspections such as radiography,
ultrasonic, magnetic particle and dye penetrant.
In addition, MTAR’s facilities are equipped with requisite equipment
for dimensional and geometrical inspection to establish micron level
adherence to customer specifications.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 12
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 13
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Business Strategies
Strengthen the existing portfolio and diversify into new
products with attractive growth and profitability
MTAR intends to grow value chains to supply critical and
differentiated engineered products with a healthy mix of
developmental and volume-based production. It believes, this would
be possible through acquisition of new customers for existing
capabilities, establishing new capabilities like sheet metal facility and
enhancement of existing specialized fabrication capabilities. MTAR
will undertake sheet metal jobs for ISRO, Bloom Energy and certain
other customers. It intends to take up specialized fabrication jobs for
Multi-National Companies (“MNCs”) and other Indian organizations.
It is also in the process of developing roller screws (import substitute
in India) for nuclear, space and defence sectors. In addition to
currently supplying hot boxes in clean energy, MTAR intends to
supply electrolyzers (to produce methane-free hydrogen) to its
existing customers and have initiated the process for manufacturing
the same.
Further, the company is deliberating to establish a new facility for
the manufacture of high precision large and medium sized gears that
would cater to customers in defence, aerospace and clean energy.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 14
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 15
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
For six months ending September 2020, MTAR has seen a growth of
22.24% in operating revenues with EBITDA growth of 14.25%. PAT
for 1HFY21 stood at Rs 192.13m implying a growth of 11.56% YoY
Figure 19:Revenue from operations has increased at a cagr of 15.74% over FY18‐20
(Rs mn) Revenue from Operations (LHS)
2,500
2,137.74
2,000 1,836.71
1,595.97
1,500 1,220.26
1,000
500
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
100%
80% 47.48
49.14
61.42 64.34
60%
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 16
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 22: PAT has grown from Rs54.23m in FY18 to Rs313.18m in FY20
(Rs mn) PAT (LHS) PAT Margin (RHS) (%)
500 21.34 25.0
400 20.0
14.65 15.75
300 15.0
200 10.0
3.40
100 5.0
54.23 391.99 313.18 192.13
0 0.0
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
Figure 23: ROE and ROCE trend
(%) ROCE ROE
25
19.78
20 16.96
15 16.68
9.59 10.48
13.91
10
5 7.85
2.64
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 Sep'20
Source: Company, Sep’20 figures are not annualised
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 17
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 24: Debt to equity
Debt / Equity
0.20 0.17
0.15 0.13
0.12
0.10
0.10
0.05
0.00
FY18 FY19 FY20 Sep'20
Source: Company
200
150
100 80.01
64.70
49.60
50
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 18
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Industry overview
(Source: CRISIL Research)
Figure 26: Precision Engineering Products and share of end‐use segments
% share of
End‐use sectors Products
market – FY20
Automobiles Engine parts ‐ piston and piston parts, fuel injection equipment and carburetors, powertrain
components, engine bearings and valves, gaskets and liners , Suspension and braking parts , Drive 51%
transmission and steering parts , Other parts – sheet metal parts, ball and roller bearings
Power ‐ Hydro Hydro‐turbines, pumps and valves
6%
Power ‐ Wind Generator parts for gearless wind turbines
Nuclear power Steam generators, reactor components (end shield assembly and fittings) and pressurizers 0.9%
Defence Artillery systems, land and naval weapon systems, fire control systems, naval equipment and
systems, underwater platforms, engineering systems for land and marine forces, Unmanned
Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), Remotely Piloted Vehicles, autonomous programmable vehicles ‐ C4I
(Command, Control, Communications, Computers and Intelligence) systems, and missile
systems, ball screws as electro‐mechanical actuator
Aerospace Radar systems, missile carriers and launchers, hull equipment, and steering gear systems, spacecraft 19%
components, blades, fins, spars, aerospace structural components, complex mechanical
components, and soft‐turned bearings, ball screws as electro‐mechanical actuator
Engineering and Catalyst baskets for nitric acid plants
capital goods ‐ Hydraulic fittings
Plant and High precision machine spare parts
Industrial Hydro‐processing reactors, high‐pressure heat exchangers components, gasifiers, pressure vessels,
15%
process plant internals and other critical equipment for process plants
Engineering and
Steel plant and machinery, Textile machinery, Material handling equipment, cement machinery,
capital goods ‐
agro‐based machinery, Tooling machine parts and components, etc.
Others
Railways Diesel and electric locomotives
Space Satellite and launch systems parts and components, ball screws as electro‐mechanical actuator 11%
Fuel cell Electrolyser, Electrodes, fuel cell membrane, Bipolar plates, Anode and Cathode seal, stacks (Others)
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 19
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
5,000 4,415
3,979 4,098
4,000 3,547
3,112
3,000
2,000
1,000
‐
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY25
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 20
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 29: Precision engineering industry by end user segment
Auto Components Defence & Aerospace Engg & Capital Goods
Aviation Power Nuclear
Rs bn
Space Others
6000
4000
2000
0
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY25
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 21
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 30: Niche applications of sheet metal fabrication
Segments Uses Growth opportunities
Airbus is planning to add new suppliers from its 45+ supplier base in India and
looking at developing a supplier base to support its partnership with Indian Air
force and Tata for supplying transport aircrafts.
Aero skin for fuselage, wing,
Boeing procures from over 200 Indian suppliers and is planning to increase its
Aerospace building internal brackets,
supply from India from USD 1.1 Bn in 2019 to USD 2.0 Bn over the next five years.
racks, structures
With government initiatives and Make in India efforts, defence and aerospace
domestic production is expected to rise which will generate demand for sheet
metal fabrication for niche applications.
While stationary application is still in nascent stage in India, it is gaining traction.
GoI unveiled the first indigenous high temperature fuel cell system developed by
1. Stationary applications ‐ CSIR in partnership with Thermax and Reliance Industries in 2019
External casing
Bloom Energy in partnership Atelier Global, GAIL India and Indian Oil, and USISPF,
structure, internal rack
announced a commercial real estate development in Bangalore powered by clean
structure of fuel cell
Fuel cell reliable electricity generated on‐site using natural gas and fuel cell technology
module
Similarly fuel cell technology is being used by INTEL in Bangalore, IIT Delhi and BHU.
2. Transportation
With increased application of fuel cell stationary application, the demand for metal
applications ‐ mounting
fabrication for fuel cell units and modules will increase
structure
Stationary application has higher requirement of metal fabrication than
transportation application considering only fuel cell module.
Source: CRISIL Research
100%
20% 19% 19‐21%
80%
60%
20%
0%
FY16 FY20 FY25P
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 22
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 32: India’s Engineering exports
(Rs bn) Overall Engineering exports Precision engineering exports
6,000 5,662
5,381
4,911
5,000 4,314 4,377
3,836
4,000
3,000
2,000
671 615 639 686 821 781
1,000
‐
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 23
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 33: Growth drivers for precision engineering from key segments
Industry Growth forecast and reasons
Auto components The sector is expected to grow at 7‐9% CAGR between FY20‐25, to ~Rs 4,730 bn. The industry, along with
automobiles, is among the 27 champion manufacturing sectors identified by the Indian government.
Nuclear India’s nuclear power installed capacity was 6.78 GW in Aug 2020. By 2022, ~3,300 MW of capacities are
expected to be commissioned. This translates into a business opportunity of ~Rs 150 bn for manufacturing.
Further, tenders for 14 reactors (planned expansion market) is also expected in the near to medium term.
Defence and India plans to spend US$130 bn on military modernisation over the next 7‐8 years and targets revenue of USD
aerospace 25 bn in terms of country’s defence manufacturing. The Ministry of Defence has eased its procurement
norms, making it easier for Indian companies and start‐ups to provide equipment and other products to the
Indian armed forces. To achieve self‐sufficiency, the government is investing in defence industrial corridors in
northern and southern regions of the country, as well.
Power generation, CRISIL Research expects investments of Rs 9.5‐10.0 trn in this space over FY21‐25. Investment in the
transmission and generation segment is expected to be Rs 3.5‐4.0 trn. Rising private sector participation and ultra‐high capacity
distribution (T&D) green energy corridors, with expected investments of Rs 430 bn, will also support transmission capex
Material handling
Robust demand from the steel, power, mineral, and other infrastructure industries.
equipment
Commercial The commercial aircraft fleet is expected to increase from the current 600‐700 aircrafts to over 1,000 aircrafts
aviation over the next 4‐8 years to address the 3.3x increase in passenger traffic over the next 20 years.
Space Equipment ISRO has plans for 31 satellite missions over the next two financial years i.e FY21 and FY22 and a total of 32
launch missions have been planned. ISRO has announced that over the next five years, the private sector will
receive the mandate for ~70% of all the upcoming space missions
Clean Energy Government of India is supporting growth in fuel cell energy generation. MNRE is supporting investments in
hydrogen fuel cell transportation infrastructure in India. Also with rise in fuel cell installations /cars in Asian
continent, India will eventually adopt the technology on commercial viable scale as it is currently exploring
the area. At the same‐time India can cater to the manufacturing demand for fuel cell in Asia market.
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 24
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 34: Business overview of key players in the Indian precision industry space
Year of
Company Business description
establishment
MTAR Nuclear equipment, defence and aerospace equipment, fabrication facilities, Fuel cells
1999
Technologies manufacturing
Mahindra
Armoured solutions for military and paramilitary forces, and aircraft mobile surveillance, and
Defence 2012
modern defence equipment for the army, navy and air force
Systems
Alpha Design
2003 Defence electronics, avionics and space satellite systems
Technologies
Vem
1993 Manufacturing parts and systems for missiles, bombs, UAVs, helicopters, aircrafts, and radar
Technologies
CIM Tools 1997 Manufacturing aircraft parts and equipment
Sika Interplant Manufacturing engineering products and systems for aerospace and defence ‐ Aircraft landing
1985
Systems gear, hydraulic LRUs/assemblies, and actuators
Schaeffler India 1962 Ball bearings and roller bearings
SKF India 1961 Manufacturing bearings and its components
Timken India 1966 Manufacturing bearings, components and accessories
Shanti Gears 1972 Manufacture of gearboxes and geared motors
Offerings in the defence and space segment include space engines and satellite thrusters,
composites for space industry, land based systems such as missiles carriers, land mine, missile
Godrej & Boyce 1932
launchers, mixer bowls, air frame system for defence, sheet metal brackets and complex
fabrication and composites.
Offerings in the defence segment include weapon systems, naval platforms / systems, land
systems, missiles, aerospace offerings and defence infrastructure. Engineering systems under
L&T 1946 defence comprises of steering gear, stabiliser, ship lift and transfer system, helicopter handling
suite, shiplift and propulsion systems for aerospace segment. L&T’s nuclear segment offerings
include steam generators, reactor end shields, reactors vessels, spent fuel handling equipment.
Source: CRISIL Research
Figure 35: Financial performance
Op Op Net Interest Current
Company Year OPBDIT PAT RoCE Gearing
income margin margin coverage ratio
Rs. Mn % Times
Mahindra Defence FY20 3,073 420 190 13.7 6.2 16.3 0.0 33.4 2.2
Alpha Design
FY19 2,325 299 65 12.9 2.8 9.4 0.2 2.5 1.9
Technologies
Vem Technologies FY19 1,555 355 86 22.8 5.5 15.1 0.9 2.5 1.1
CIM Tools FY19 1,516 336 153 22.1 10.1 17.8 1.7 3.9 1.2
MTAR Technologies FY20 2,138 609 300 28.5 14 19.2 0.1 13.1 1.5
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 25
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 36: Overview of global nuclear reactors
Share of operational Share of under
Reactor type Main countries
capacities construction capacities
USA, France, Japan, Russia, China,
Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) 72.4% 91.8%
South Korea
Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor
Canada, India 6.1% 4.5%
(PHWR)
1.2%
Light Water Graphite Reactor (LWGR) Russia 2.3%
Source:, CRISIL Research
50
Tier 1 : Technology vendors
40
Tier 2 : Systems integrators
30 Tier 3: OEM
40‐47 Tier 4: Sub component
20 38 suppliers/ distributers
Tier 5: Processors / fabricators
10
Tier 6: Raw material suppliers
/ miners
0
2015‐2019 2020‐2025P
Source: CRISIL Research Source: CRISIL Research
In the past two decades, the share of nuclear power across the world
has been dwindling, largely on account of rising capital cost, safety
concerns, long construction cycle and greater focus on low-cost
renewable sources. However, the growth in nuclear capacity is
expected to be fuelled by the Asia-Pacific nations. The installed
capacity base is forecast to increase by ~5% - ~23% compared with
the previous five years. While the advanced economies are expected
to gradually reduce their dependence on nuclear power, countries
such as China, the UAE, South Korea and India together represent
more than ~45% - ~50% of future expected capacity additions.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 26
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 27
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 41: Type of opportunities in nuclear equipment market
Market Particulars Frequency
Maintenance Regular maintenance and site orders ‐ Awarded on an annual basis
Refurbishment Change of parts and assemblies for reactors operational for ‐ Awarded every two years
17‐18 years
‐ 7 reactors (5.3GWe) under construction. 3‐4 GWe
to be operational in the next five years
New build Contracts regarding new and under‐construction projects
‐ 14 new reactors (10.5 GWe) planned and tenders
are expected to be released in phases
Source: Company, CRISIL Research
0
2015‐2019 2020‐2025P
Source: CRISIL Research Source: CRISIL Research
Figure 44: Equipment costs 20‐25% of the total capital cost of nuclear power plant
(700 MWe)
Construction and installation works
3% ‐ 4%
2% ‐ 3% Equipments
29% ‐ 33%
3% ‐ 4%
Labor onsite
4% ‐ 5%
Site development and civil works
4% ‐ 7%
Construction material
Project management services
8% ‐ 11%
Project engineering, procurement and
11% ‐ 14% construction management
20% ‐ 25% Design, architecture, engineering and
licensing
Others
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 28
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 45: Under construction and planned reactors
Reactors Construction start State Type Gross capacity (GWe)
Under construction
Kakrapar ‐ 3 & 4 2010 Gujarat PHWR 0.7x2
Kudankulam ‐ 3 & 4 2017 Tamil Nadu PWR 1.0x2
PFBR 2004 Tamil Nadu FBR 0.5
Rajasthan ‐ 7 & 8 2011 Rajasthan PHWR 0.7x2
Total 7 units 5.3
Planned
Gorakhpur ‐ 1, 2, 3 & 4 Haryana PHWR 0.7x4
Chutka ‐ 1 & 2 Madhya Pradesh PHWR 0.7x2
Mahi Banswara ‐ 1, 2, 3 & 4 Rajasthan PHWR 0.7x4
Kaiga ‐ 5 & 6 Karnataka PHWR 0.7x2
Kudankulam ‐ 5 & 6 Tamil Nadu PWR 1.05x2
Total 14 units 10.5
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 29
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 46: Product offerings of key Indian competitors in the Nuclear Energy space
L&T Godrej & Boyce MTAR Technologies
Steam Generators Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor (PHWR) Fuel Machining Head – 220
Reactor End Shields (PFBR) - Bridge and Carriage ‐ 700 MWe MWe
Reactor Vessels Reactor F.M Bridge and Carriage –
- PHWR - Calendria ‐ 700 MWe 500 MWe
- PFBR - Drive Mechanisms ‐ 500 MWe and 220 Transfer Magazine – 500
Plasma Reactor & Research Reactor MWe MWe
- Tokamak Reactor Vessel - MAL FMAL Doors ‐ 500 MWe Coolant Channel
- Deck Plate - New Fuel Magazine (STIB) – 220 MWe Standpipe Thimble
- Fueling Machine - Shuttle Station (STIB) – 220 MWe Assembly
- Carriage and Trolley - Shuttle Transfer Stations – 500 MWe Liner Tube
- Test facility - Rotating Plugs of PFBR for BHAVINI Ball Screws
Heat Exchanger Equipment for Research Labs Sealing Plugs
Spent Fuel Handling Equipment - Glove Box Shielding Plugs
- Spent fuel Canisters & Cask - Toroidal Vacuum Vessel Fuel Locator Assembly
- High Level Radioactive Waste Storage - Microtron Assembly Adjustor Rod Mechanisms
Tanks Heat Exchangers Shut off Rod Drive
- Dump tanks - HP Feedwater Heaters Mechanisms
Heavy Water Production Equipment - LP Feedwater Heaters Calendria
- Distillation Columns & Trays - Closed Cooling Water Heat Exchangers PFBR Assemblies
Control Rod Drive Mechanism (CRDM) Miscellaneous Grid Plate
Fuel Transfer Arm & Tool Delivery System - Surface Condensers Control Plug
Nuclear Power Piping - Piping Spools
Modification, Revamp and Upgrades - Deaerators
- Steam Generators
Process Plants Internals
- Pressurizer
- Reactor Tray Internals
- Distillation Column
Power Plants
- Moisture Separator Re‐heaters
- Surface Condensers
- Flash Tanks
- HP Feedwater Heaters
- LP Feedwater Heaters
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 30
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
185 ‐ 190
70.00 GSLV Mk III 1 1 1 0
112
125
135
SSLV 0 0 2 2
80
91
69
20.00 Gaganyaan 0 0 1# 2
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22P FY25P Total 14 11+6* 36 31
Source: CRISIL Research Source: CRISIL Research, *Number of missions expected to be
achieved by March 2020. However, it might not have been achieved
due to the Covid‐19 pandemic. # Unmanned
Figure 49:Indian space equipment market
20 20
0 0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E* FY22P FY25P FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E* FY22P FY25P
Source: CRISIL Research Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 31
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 50: Product offerings of key Indian competitors in the space industry
MTAR Technologies L&T Godrej & Boyce HAL
Liquid propulsion rocket engines Rocket motor casings Air frame systems for PSLV
(Vikas Engines) Convergent and divergent defence GSLV ‐ MK II
Command system modules nozzles Space engines & GSLV ‐ MK III
POGO command modules Titanium gas bottles for liquid satellite thrusters Indian remote
Hot gas roll control module stages Sheet metal brackets sensing satellites
Pressurisation system module – Titanium tanks for liquid upper Complex fabrication Indian national
ground operation valve stages parts satellites
Roller screws Heat shield Tubes & ducts
Gas bottles for cryogenic engine Core base shroud Line replacement units
start‐up system Solar deployment mechanism Structures
Semi cryogenic engines Reflector deployment Rubber fuel tanks &
Cryogenic engines mechanism seals
Aerodynamic test facilities Composites & special
processes
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 32
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
6,000 ‐ 6,500
7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5%
3,000 5%
4,714
9% 0%
4%
2,000 ‐5%
2,373
2,573
2,846
3,194
3,323
3,967
4,290
4,609
5,138
1,000 ‐8%
‐10%
‐ ‐9% ‐15%
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21e
FY25P
Source: CRISIL Research
Figure 52: India’s defence capital outlay
Rs Bn Defence Capital Outlay (LHS)
Capital Outlay as % of Defence Expenditure (RHS)
Growth in Capital Outlay (% yoy) (RHS)
1500 22% 23% 25%
21% 21% 20% 20%
20%
16%
15%
1000
10%
10%
8% 4% 5%
500 ‐2% 4% 0%
‐5%
717 834 904 939 1034 1,072
0 ‐10%
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21e
Source: CRISIL Research
Figure 53: Modernisation Budget of Indian Armed Forces
2019‐20 (BE) 2020‐21 (BE)
YoY%
(Rs Bn) (Rs Bn)
Army 229.5 256.0 13.3%
Navy 221.0 256.2 15.9%
Air Force 363.7 390.3 7.3%
Total 814.2 906.5 11.3%
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 33
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 54: Trade Balance for Arms and Ammunition ‐ Parts and Accessories (FY18‐
FY20)
‐
2017‐18 2018‐19 2019‐20
Source: CRISIL Research
The arms and ammunition exports from India have risen at a robust
CAGR of 21% to Rs 9.3 bn from FY18 to FY20. However, in the same
period, the imports rose faster (38% CAGR), albeit at low base, to
reach Rs 4.4 bn. The trade balance has tilted in favour of exports
rising from INR 4.1 bn in FY18 to INR 4.9 bn in FY20.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 34
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 55: MTAR’s product offerings based on specific Defence clients
Client Offerings Production Expertise
Base Shroud and Fin Assembly
Airframe Structures for Agni A1, A2, A3, A4, A5, A1P
It has been key supplier for programs such as Agni A1,
ASL Metallic Canister for LRSAM Program
A2, A3, A4, A5, A1P and Prithvi missiles
Interstage ½ Assemblies for Missile programs
SITVC AND HFTC VALVES
Drop Tank Components –1200 & 800 Litres
Radome Bulk Heads
ADA ‐
10T, 20T Actuators
Control Module Components
Actuators
L P Shaft Turbine
Gear Casing
GTRE Casing Compressor ‐
Bevel Pinion Housing
Gear Box Casing
Assembly Diffuser Casing
Gyro Components for Invar
BDL Motor Body for Konkurs ‐
Manifold for C303 Anti Torpedo Missile System
Input Housing for ALH
Titanium Center Piece
Rotor Mast Bearing Housing MTAR manufactures actuators for LCA Tejas, critical
10 T ‐DALIA Actuators for HAL Tejas ‐Sleeves, Control Manifold, front and rear shafts for fighter aircrafts. They also
Fwd. & Rear cylinders, Pistons & other parts. manufacture critical turbine nozzles and turbine discs in
HAL
Main Gearbox for ALH super alloys, landing gear pistons, power door opening
Stub Shaft for ALH systems, ram bodies, housings, frames, leavers, pistons,
Tail Rotor Shaft for ALH cylinders etc.
Sukhoi HPC Shaft ‐Nickel Alloy
Engine Components for HAL
Precision Machined Components Critical Aluminum Weldments and other Machined
RAFAEL
Critical Aluminum Weldments components go into LRSAM Missile program by Rafael
Shaft V‐Tail
Actuator torque link, RHS Approximately 92 different critical components has been
ELBIT
Fork Wheel NLG supplied to ELBIT for Hermes 900 Drone program
Gear Leg
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 35
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 58: Types of fuel cell
Type Particulars
Fuel cell utilises hydrogen for A fuel cell uses the chemical energy of hydrogen or another fuel to produce electricity. Fuel
production of electricity cells continuously generate electricity as long as there is supply of fuel.
Electroyser / reformer for This helps in generation of hydrogen from other sources, such as natural gas/biogas (through
sourcing hydrogen reformation) or by electrolysing water.
Fuel cells based on natural gas / Fuel cells can also be designed to run on other fuels, provided these contain hydrogen (natural
methane gas/methane)
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 36
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
SOFC (solid oxide fuel cells) – are available with >200 kW capacity.
Each has a different operating characteristic and serves a different
segment of the CHP or power generation market
Figure 59: Comparison of technology types of fuel cells
Operating Major technology
Fuel cell type Typical stack size Electrical efficiency (%)
temperature deployment players
Polymer electrolyte 60% direct hydrogen fuel,
<120°C 1–100 kW Ballard
membrane (PEM) 40% reformed fuel
Alkaline fuel cell (AFC) 90‐120°C 1–100 kW 60% AFC Energy
Direct methanol fuel cell
30‐130 °C 25‐5 kW 40% SFC Energy
(DMFC)
5–400 kW, 100 kW module
Phosphoric acid fuel cell
150–200°C (liquid PAFC) <10 kW (polymer 40% Doosan Corporation
(PAFC)
membrane)
Solid acid fuel cell (SAFC) 220‐280°C 10W ‐ 10kW ‐ SAFCell Inc
Molten carbonate fuel cell 300 kW –3 MW,
600–700°C 50% Fuel Cell Energy
(MCFC) 300 kW module
Solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) 500–1,000°C 1 kW – 2 MW 60% Bloom Energy
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 37
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 60: Overview of fuel cell technologies
Fuel cell
Applications Advantages Challenges
type
Backup , Portable power
Solid electrolyte reduces corrosion and
Distributed generation
electrolyte management problems Expensive catalysts
PEM Transportation & Specialty
Low temperature Sensitive to fuel impurities
vehicles
Quick start‐up and load following
Grid support P2P
Wider range of stable materials allows Sensitive to CO2 in fuel and air
Military & Space
lower cost components Electrolyte management
AFC Backup power
Low temperature (aqueous)
Transportation
Quick start‐up Electrolyte conductivity (polymer)
Ideal for consumer goods such as mobile
Portable consumer devices Ill‐suited for powering large
phones, digital cameras or laptops
DMFC Military vehicles
Low noise & thermal signatures, no toxic
Smaller vehicles Limited power production capacity
effluent
Expensive catalysts
Suitable for CHP
PAFC Distributed generation Long start‐up time
Increased tolerance to fuel impurities
Sulphur sensitivity
High‐temperature corrosion and
High efficiency & Fuel flexibility
Electric utility breakdown of cell components
MCFC Suitable for CHP
Distributed generation Long start‐up time
Hybrid/gas turbine cycle
Low power density
High efficiency & Fuel flexibility High‐temperature corrosion and
Auxiliary power
Solid electrolyte breakdown of cell components
SOFC Electric utility
Suitable for CHP Long start‐up time
Distributed generation
Hybrid/gas turbine cycle Limited number of shutdowns
Source: CRISIL Research
Figure 61: Fuel cell installation in megawatts
3.8 times energy installations for fuel cell in 2019
1,200
1,000
800
MW
600 1,130
400 806
659
517
200
298
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 38
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 62: Global fuel cell industry size
$ mn
6,000
CAGR: 15.0% YoY ‐5% 14.0‐15.0% CAGR
5,000
4,000
3,000
5,200 ‐ 5,500
2,650 ‐ 2,700
2,000
1,620
1,977
2,226
2,467
2,832
1,000
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E 2025P
Source: CRISIL Research
The growth in fuel cell industry will be subject to various factors such
as improvements and innovations in technology and cost
effectiveness of fuel cell, innovations and cost competitiveness from
alternate power sources such as renewable energy, batteries or
electric vehicles, and support from government for policy and
regulations.
SOFC have been gaining market share over the recent years with
commercial success after product R&D and cost improvement. SOFCs
gained traction in the fuel cell market with increased R&D for
stationary applications.
Figure 63: Overview of growth in fuel cell industry
Parameter 2019 2025P Times increase
Fuel industry size RS. 2.8 bn Rs. 5.2‐5.5 Bn 1.9
Fuel industry installations by MW 1.1 GW 5.0+ GW 4.5
Source: CRISIL Research
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 39
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
100% 4% 100% 3% 5%
23% 9% 9%
80% 7% 80% 32%
8%
60% 18% 60%
0% 0%
2015 2019 2015 2019
Source: CRISIL Research Source: CRISIL Research
Growth drivers
Figure 66: Growth drivers for fuel cell technology
Drivers Particulars
Efficiency Fuel cells operate at high efficiency, ~60%, to convert chemical energy into electricity, as
compared to other conventional power sources with efficiencies of 20‐40%
Zero emissions Hydrogen can be produced from diverse domestic resources with potential for near zero
greenhouse gas emissions. Once produced, hydrogen generates electrical power in a fuel cell
emitting only water vapor and warm air
Government’s support towards While support for hydrogen is steadily increasing within the US, many other nations are taking an
decarbonisation of power active approach by implementing hydrogen and fuel cell focused strategies and investments
Utilising hydrogen as energy With growing concerns over climate change, hydrogen is emerging as a clean solution that can
source help curb carbon emissions globally
Reduces dependency on non‐ Diversification of sources of fossil fuel supply, due to growing security, economic concerns and
conventional energy sources environment concerns
Transportation and logistics Increasing demand for EVs/hybrid EVs/Plug‐in hybrid vehicles/FCEVs and need for alternate
applications sources in transportation
Demand for uninterrupted Commercial growth of the wireless telecommunications and data centers market provides
distributed power opportunities for backup power fuel cells
Niche applications Off‐grid applications at remote locations and marine and defense applications are attracting
interest from players
Source: CRISIL Research
Competitive landscape
The global deployment of large-scale fuel cells is currently dominated
by the US and South Korean markets, which together make up
~95% of installed capacity. In the fuel cell industry, there is one
specialist company that currently dominates the production of each
fuel cell type and its deployment. Fuel cell technologies are still in a
growing phase and R&D investments are supported by government
policies and strategies towards environment and energy market.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 40
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 67: Overview of business operations
Fuel cell Geographic
Company Product line End‐use sector Regions catered to
type revenue
Heavy duty modules, fuel China, Europe and China – 32%
cell stacks, backup power California Germany – 30%
Ballard Transportation
PEM systems, marine modules US – 24%
Power Material handing applications
and technological (2018)
solutions for fuel cell
US, Japan, China, US – 70‐75%
Bloom Stationary power India, and the Asia Pacific – 23%
SOFC Stationary power generation
Energy generation platform Republic of Korea (2019)
Fuel Cell MCFC, Stationary power US, South Korea, United States – 90‐
Stationary power generation
Energy SOFC generation platform Germany, England 95%
Hydrogen fuel cell turnkey solutions for North America North America
Plug Electric mobility and
PEM electric mobility and stationary power Europe >80%
Power stationary power
markets
Alkaline fuel cell and related Europe ‐
AFC AFC technologies (no
AFC technologies for modular power
Energy commercialization )
generation
Doosan Stationary power Stationary power generation Korea, US ‐
PAFC
Fuel Cell generation Charging stations
Germany, the North America –
Stationary power generation (mobile
DMFC & Stationary power Netherlands, 39%
SFC power generation for mobility, defence
hydrogen generation and power Romania and Germany – 13.5%
Energy & security, oil & gas and industry
FC supply solutions Canada Rest of Europe –
markets)
36.6%
Source: CRISIL Research
Bloom Energy is the largest player among the peers listed above
in terms of operating revenue and segmental product revenue
from fuel cell products. MTAR is one of the key suppliers to
Bloom Energy and sole supplier from India market as of FY20.
The top five players mentioned above - Bloom Energy, Ballard
Power, Fuel Cell Energy, Plug Power, and SFC Energy - contribute
to 35-40% of the overall fuel cell market, among which Bloom
Energy has the highest segmental product revenue from fuel cell
of $ 557 bn in 2019 followed by Plug Power at segmental revenue
of $ 150 bn in 2019.
Bloom Energy is one of the fastest growing company above the
peers listed during 2017-19, registering a CAGR of 45%, followed
by Plug Power at 32%.
Ballard Inc. is a leading player in PEMFC, Bloom Energy in SOFC
and Doosan in PAFC technology, which are the major
technologies in commercial application currently.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 41
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 68: Product revenue comparison for competitive landscape
Product Operating
Product Product revenue
Company revenue revenue Service
revenue Service revenue contents CAGR
revenue share
share
($ mn) 2019 2019 2017‐2019
Installation of energy servers,
sales revenue from electricity produced
Bloom Energy 557 786 71% 29% by energy servers, 88%
service revenue generated from
maintenance services agreements
Ballard Power 50 106 47% 53% Technology solutions revenue ‐20%
Service and licence revenues,
1% (58%
Fuel Cell Energy ‐ 61 99% generation revenue, ‐2%
in 2018)^
advanced technologies contracts
Plug Power 150 230 65% 35% Fuel cell services, PPAs 55%
SFC Energy 65.5 65.5 100% ‐ NA 3.3%
Source: CRISIL Research, ^ Fuel Cell Energy has shifted business focus from product sales to fuel cell service and power generation sales
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 42
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Key risks
Dependence on key customers
MTAR depends on a limited number of customers for a significant
portion of revenues. While the company catered to 35 customers
during 1HFY21, the top five customers contributing to 88.39% of
revenues from operations (87.31% in FY20). The loss of one or more
significant customers or a significant reduction in demand for its
products or failure to succeed in tendering for projects for its
customers in the future or a decline in the customers’ business
performance may adversely affect MTAR’s business, financials and
cash flows.
MTAR may face claims and incur additional rectification costs for
delays and/or defects in respect of precision components and
equipment. Further, imposition of liquidated damages and invocation
of performance bank guarantees / indemnity bonds by its customers
could impact its results of operations and it may face potential
liabilities from lawsuits and claims by customers in the future. MTAR
may not be able to secure new contracts if it is unable to issue the
requisite performance guarantees. While MTAR has not incurred
significant liquidated damages, in the past, the company has been
required to pay certain liquidated damages for delays. The maximum
extent of such liquidated damages range between 5% and 10% of
the value of the delayed portion, of the supplies of the purchase
order.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 43
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Promoter pledge
As of the date of its Draft Red Herring Prospectus, 1,269,625 Equity
Shares constituting 4.74% of the Equity Shares, held by Parvat
Srinivas Reddy, a Promoter of MTAR, are pledged in favor of
Blacksoil Capital Private Limited. Any exercise of such encumbrance
by such pledgee could dilute the shareholding of such Promoter and
consequently dilute the aggregate shareholding of its Promoters,
which may materially and adversely affect its business.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 44
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 45
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Board of directors
Figure 70: Board of Directors
Name Designation
Subbu Venkata Rama Behara Chairman & Independent Director
Parvat Srinivas Reddy Managing Director
Mathew Cyriac Nominee Director
Venkatasatishkumar Reddy Gangapatnam Non‐Executive Director
Praveen Kumar Reddy Akepati Additional Director
Gnana Sekaran Venkatasamy Independent Director
Vedachalam Nagarajan Independent Director
Udaymitra Chandrakant Muktibodh Independent Director
Krishna Kumar Aravamudan Independent Director
Ameeta Chatterjee Independent Director
Source: Company
Mathew Cyriac
He holds a bachelor’s degree in engineering, specialising in
mechanical engineering, from Anna University. He also holds a post-
graduate diploma in management from the Indian Institute of
Management, Bengaluru, where he was awarded the IIMB Medal for
securing the first rank in the course for the years 1992-1994. He has
previously worked with Blackstone Advisors India Private Limited,
and is currently a director on the board of Florintree Advisors Private
Limited.
Vedachalam Nagarajan
He holds a bachelor’s degree in engineering (mechanical
engineering), from the Faculty of Engineering, University of Madras.
He has also been conferred an honorary doctorate in science from
Madurai Kamraj University. He had worked with ISRO for over 35
years.
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 46
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Ameeta Chatterjee
She holds a bachelor’s degree in commerce, with honours, from the
University of Delhi, and a post graduate diploma in management
from the Indian Institute of Management, Bengaluru.
Figure 72: History of the Equity Share capital
Date Nature of Allotment New shares Cumulative shares
Nov'99 Initial subscription 201,000 201,000
Mar'02 Preferential allotment 150,000 351,000
Feb'05 Bonus issue 526,500 877,500
Mar'06 Bonus issue 731,250 1,608,750
Nov'07 1:10 stock split 14,478,750 16,087,500
Nov'07 Allotment pursuant to the 2007 Scheme 14,040,000 30,127,500
Nov'07 Private placement 5,682,386 35,809,886
Mar'09 Buyback (7,596,000) 28,213,886
Sep'14 Allotment pursuant to the 2014 Scheme 246 28,214,132
Mar'20 Buyback (1,454,541) 26,759,591
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 47
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 48
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 74: Standalone Profit and loss
Rs m FY18 FY19 FY20 Sep'20
Income
Revenue from operations 1,595.97 1,836.71 2,137.74 1,220.26
Other income 9.48 22.39 43.68 5.82
Total income (i) 1,605.45 1,859.1 2,181.42 1,226.08
Expenses
Cost of materials consumed 659.77 655.32 872.55 522.43
Changes in inventories of finished goods and work‐in‐progress (90.49) (29.7) (150.88) (11.27)
Excise duty on sale of goods 29.77 ‐ ‐ ‐
Employee benefits expense 446.09 435.08 516.26 235.77
Depreciation and amortisation expense 112.07 112.34 120.48 60.63
Finance costs 44.61 44.6 47.53 28.62
Other expenses 232.08 238.85 320.15 118.26
Total expenses (ii) 1,433.9 1,456.49 1,726.09 954.44
Restated profit before exceptional items and tax (I) 171.55 402.61 455.33 271.64
Exceptional items (II) ‐ 12.94 ‐ ‐
Restated profit before tax (III)= (I+II) 171.55 415.55 455.33 271.64
Tax expenses
Current tax 43.37 92.13 78.11 49.27
Taxes for earlier period/year 0.01 20.91 1.44 ‐
Deferred tax (credit)/charge 73.94 (89.47) 62.6 30.24
Total tax expenses (IV) 117.32 23.56 142.15 79.51
Restated profit for the period/year (V)=(III‐IV) 54.23 391.99 313.18 192.13
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 49
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 75: Standalone cash flows
Rs m FY18 FY19 FY20 Sep'20
A. Cash flow from operating activities
Restated profit before tax 171.55 415.55 455.33 271.64
Depreciation and amortisation expense 112.07 112.34 120.48 60.63
Provision for doubtful receivable and advances 11.91 ‐ 14.77 ‐
Bad debts written off 8.01 9.61 1.82 ‐
Finance costs 44.61 44.6 47.53 28.62
Liabilities no longer required written back (0.3) (3.34) (4.26) ‐
Loss/(Profit) on sale of property, plant and equipment 0.07 (1.63) ‐ ‐
Unrealised exchange loss/(gain) (10.43) 14.75 (16.8) (1.09)
Profit on sale of land ‐ (12.94) ‐ ‐
Interest income (7.15) (6.69) (9.96) (5.82)
Operating profit before working capital changes 330.34 572.26 608.92 353.98
Movements in working capital:
Increase in trade receivables (113.84) (34.66) (90.06) (104.69)
(Increase)/decrease in inventories (104.13) 8.61 (343.88) (0.29)
(Increase)/decrease in current and non current financial assets 235.91 1.49 115.27 (34.67)
(Increase)/decrease in other current and non current assets 58 27.43 (39.29) (9.53)
Increase/(decrease) in trade payables (75.96) (75.85) 250.01 (189.74)
Increase/(decrease) in other current liabilities (151.74) 39.09 122.87 (34.12)
Increase/(decrease) in provisions (9.01) (22.98) 10.5 4.72
Cash generated (used in)/from operations 169.58 515.38 634.34 (14.33)
Income tax paid (net of refunds) (25.4) (94.32) (72.45) (12.33)
Net cash flow (used in)/from operating activities (A) 144.18 421.06 561.89 (26.66)
B. Cash flows from investing activities
Purchase of PPE, intangible assets, CWIP, capital creditors and capital advances (21.01) (273.23) (118.89) (86.54)
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment 0.79 29.96 ‐ ‐
Investment in subsidiary ‐ ‐ (0.1) ‐
Investment in bank deposits (net) (0.13) (91.04) (10.81) (4.65)
Interest received 7.12 6.62 9.17 7.12
Net cash flow used in investing activities (B) (13.23) (327.69) (120.63) (84.07)
C. Cash flows from financing activities
Dividend and dividend distribution tax paid ‐ (102.04) (170.07) ‐
Amount paid on equity shares bought back and buy back tax ‐ ‐ (179.21) (38.98)
Proceeds from/(repayment of) short term borrowings (93.3) 89.45 (4.95) 116.5
Proceeds from long term borrowings, including current maturities ‐ ‐ ‐ 12.21
Finance costs paid (44.61) (62.27) (59.26) (24.2)
Net cash flows from/(used in) financing activities (C) (137.91) (74.86) (413.49) 65.53
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents (A+B+C) (6.96) 18.51 27.77 (45.2)
Effect of exchange differences on cash & cash equivalents held in foreign currency (0.02) (1.52) ‐ 0.31
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period/year 97.66 90.68 107.67 135.44
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period/year 90.68 107.67 135.44 90.55
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 50
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 51
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 77: Consolidated profit and loss
Rs m FY20 Sep'20
Income
Revenue from operations 2,137.74 1,220.26
Other income 43.68 5.82
Total income (i) 2,181.42 1,226.08
Expenses
Cost of materials consumed 872.55 522.43
Changes in inventories of finished goods and work‐in‐progress (150.88) (11.27)
Employee benefits expense 516.26 235.77
Depreciation and amortization expense 120.48 60.63
Finance costs 47.53 28.62
Other expenses 320.15 118.33
Total expenses (ii) 1,726.09 954.51
Restated profit before tax (I) 455.33 271.57
Tax expenses
Current tax 78.11 49.27
Taxes for earlier period / year 1.44 ‐
Deferred tax charge 62.6 30.24
Total tax expense (II) 142.15 79.51
Restated profit for the period/year (III) = (I‐II) 313.18 192.06
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 52
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
Figure 78: Consolidated cash flows
Rs m FY20 Sep'20
A. Cash flow from operating activities
Restated profit before tax 455.33 271.57
Adjustments to reconcile restated PBT to cash net flows
Depreciation and amortisation expense 120.48 60.63
Provision for doubtful receivable advances 14.77 ‐
Bad debts written off 1.82 ‐
Finance costs 47.53 28.62
Liabilities no longer required written back (4.26) ‐
Unrealised exchange gain (16.81) (1.07)
Interest income (9.96) (5.82)
Operating profit before working capital changes (608.90) 353.93
Movement in working capital:
Increase in trade receivables (90.06) (104.69)
Increase in inventories (343.88) (0.29)
(Increase)/ decrease in current and non ‐current financial assets 115.26 (34.67)
Increase in other current and non‐current assets (38.98) (9.50)
(Decrease) / increase in trade payables 250.05 (189.72)
(Decrease) / increase in other current liabilities 122.88 (34.13)
Increase in provisions 10.49 4.72
Cash generated (used in)/from operations 634.66 (14.35)
Income tax paid (net of refunds) (72.44) (12.33)
Net cash flow (used in)/from operating activities (A) 562.22 (26.68)
B. Cash flows from investing activities
Purchase of PPE, intangible assets, CWIP, capital creditors and capital advances (119.22) (86.51)
Investment in bank deposits (net) (10.81) (4.65)
Interest received 9.17 7.12
Net cash flow used in investing activities (B) (120.87) (84.04)
C. Cash flows from financing activities
Dividend and dividend distribution tax paid (170.07) ‐
Amount paid on equity shares brought back and buy back tax (refer note 11(a)(i) in Annexure VII) (179.21) (38.98)
Proceeds from / (repayment of) short term borrowings (net) (4.95) 116.50
Proceeds from long term borrowings, including current maturities ‐ 12.21
Finance costs paid (59.26) (24.20)
Net cash flows from/(used in) financing activities (C) (413.49) 65.52
Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents (A+B+C) (27.86) (45.20)
Effect of exchange differences on cash & cash equivalents held in foreign currency ‐ 0.31
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period / year 107.68 135.54
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period/year 135.54 90.65
Source: Company
NO PART OF THIS RESEARCH MAY BE REPRODUCED OR SENT INTO THE UNITED STATES OR CANADA, THE PRC OR JAPAN OR TO ANY CANADIAN, PRC
OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 53
WHATSOEVER. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF LAW.
MTAR001
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BUY - Stock expected to give a return 10%+ more than average return on a debt instrument over a 1-year horizon.
SELL - Stock expected to give a return 10%+ below the average return on a debt instrument over a 1-year horizon.
Add - Stock expected to give a return 0-10% over the average return on a debt instrument over a 1-year horizon.
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and 41 have REDUCE ratings.
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is a significant risk that the target price will not be achieved within the expected timeframe. Risk factors include unforeseen changes in competitive
pressures or in the level of demand for the company’s products. Such demand variations may result from changes in technology, in the overall level
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OR JAPANESE RESIDENT OR TO ANY OTHER COUNTRY OR ITS RESIDENTS WHERE IT WOULD VIOLATE APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS BY ANY MEANS 55
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www.iiflcap.com
India - Gas India - Chemicals India - Pharma India - Auto India - Strategy
Ready Set Flow! 1Q2020 Substitution reactions! 1Q2020 Legacy portfolio hurts MNCs 1Q2020 Gearing up for recovery 4Q2019 Uphill trek 4Q2019
City Gas scores over others Amid Easternisation, India plans for market share gains Advantage local firms Current headwinds more cyclical, less structural Resetting our Expectations (RoE)
Detailed
report
Return on Assets (%)
(%)
liabilities would be key risks to our call.
1.6 1.5
1.4 1.3
1.4 Financial summary (Rs bn)
1.2
1.2
1.1 Y/e 31 Mar, Parent FY18A FY19A FY20ii FY21ii FY22ii
1.0 Pre prov. operating inc. (Rs bn) 13.3 19.4 26.0 35.1 47.8
0.8
0.6 Pre‐exceptional PAT (Rs bn) 6.4 8.7 12.3 16.8 23.3
0.4 Reported PAT (Rs bn) 6.4 8.7 12.3 16.8 23.3
0.2
0.0
Pre‐exceptional EPS (Rs) 15.1 20.3 25.7 35.2 48.7
FY18 FY19 FY20ii FY21ii FY22ii Growth (%) 27.5 34.1 26.5 37.2 38.3
Source: Company IIFL Research
IIFL vs consensus (%) (5.8) (1.2) NA
PER (x) 44.6 33.3 26.3 19.2 13.9
Abhishek Murarka
abhishek.murarka@iiflcap.com Book value (Rs) 159 177 256 287 330
91 22 4646 4645 PB (x) 4.2 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.0
Moving on in Life Consolidating & Expanding The rise and rise of private dairies India formulations market
CAR (%) 15.3 13.5 15.1 12.6 10.7
Arash Arethna
arash.arethna@iiflcap.com ROA (%) 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1Q2019 3Q2018 3Q2018 3Q2018
91 22 4646 4655
ROE (%) 11.5 12.2 12.4 13.0 15.8
Source: Company, IIFL Research. Price as at close of business on 18 April 2019.
www.iiflcap.com
1 From ‘Save’ to ‘Protect’ Growing volumes amid a conducive cycle Milk the opportunity Source of sustainable cash generation
Detailed Detailed
India - Cement
report report
Institutional Equities
Biocon BUY India - Oil & Gas Institutional Equities
Motherson Sumi BUY India - NBFC
Institutional Equities Institutional Equities Institutional Equities
CMP
Target 12m
Rs533
Rs700 (31%)
The dark horse in biosimilars CMP Rs353 A behemoth in the making
Market cap (US$ m) 4,996 Target 12m Rs450 (28%)
Biocon-Mylan has established its credentials as a leading Motherson has grown into a USD7.3bn global auto parts
Enterprise value (US$ m) 5,086 Market cap (US$ m) 11,350
biosimilar player in the global markets, with the partnership major, helped by sound operating and financial principles. We
Bloomberg BIOS IN Enterprise value (US$ m) 11,855
having already received approval for Trastuzumab in US. We believe a good mix of businesses with steady growth
Sector Pharma
expect 2018 to be a year of approvals for Biocon-Mylan with Bloomberg MSS IN (standalone, SMR) and turnaround potential (SMP, PKC)
4-5 approvals coming up this year across US and EU. Addition Sector Auto would drive 28% EPS Cagr over FY17-20. Motherson is a
17 January 2018
of US/EU revenues from the first wave of biosimilars could
turnaround specialist with a highly credible history of value
52Wk High/Low (Rs) 564/295 potentially help Biocon’s profits to grow ~6x over the next creation through acquisitions. Motherson’s FY20 revenue
14 November 2017
Shares o/s (m) 600 five years. Biocon has also resolved its manufacturing issues, target of USD18bn entails acquisitions of USD6.2bn that
Daily volume (US$ m) 25 while growth in Syngene will continue to pick up. Maintain 52Wk High/Low (Rs) 374/185 would result in EPS accretion and offer sizeable upside risk.
Dividend yield FY18ii (%) 0.9 BUY with an upgraded TP of Rs700. Shares o/s (m) 2105
Free float (%) 39.3 A global giant built on sound operating/financial principles:
Daily volume (US$ m) 14
Clear runway for bagging regulated market approvals for the Starting out as a wiring harness (WH) supplier to Maruti in 1986,
Shareholding pattern (%) Dividend yield FY18ii (%) 0.7
first wave of biosimilars; potential to quintuple profits in five Motherson has grown to become the WH leader in India, the leader
Promoter 60.7 years: Biocon has continued to surprise us positively as it worked Free float (%) 36.9
in CV WH globally, the second largest auto mirror maker globally,
FII 15.4
toward putting together pieces for biosimilar approvals in the US/EU. Shareholding pattern (%) and a leading global supplier of plastic auto components.
DII 3.8 With Trastuzumab approval being the first in class, Biocon-Mylan has Motherson’s growth has been supported by sound operating/financial
Promoter 63.1
Others 20.1 established its credentials as a leading biosimilar player in the global principles: i) focus on quality, costs, ROCE; ii) increasing content per
FII 19.7
Price performance (%) markets. With 4-5 approvals coming up this year, we expect 2018 to DII 6.8 car to drive growth; iii) backward integration to increase value-
1M 3M 1Y be a year of approvals for Biocon-Mylan. These approvals will provide addition, cost/competitive advantage; and iv) making acquisitions
Others 10.4
Biocon 2.3 42.2 60.3 further visibility to earnings and continue to de-risk the business. with customer buy-ins, which significantly protects the downside.
Absolute (US$) 2.3 43.7 70.9 Addition of US/EU revenues from the first wave of biosimilars would Price performance (%)
Mix of businesses with steady growth and turnaround
Rel. to Sensex (1.6) 35.7 32.9 help Biocon’s profits to grow ~6x over the next five years. 1M 3M 1Y potential to drive 28% EPS Cagr: Motherson’s standalone
CAGR (%) 3 yrs 5 yrs Motherson (0.8) 9.1 75.5 operations (WH) and its subsidiary SMR (mirrors) are well established,
Strong execution aided by tailwinds: Biocon overcame
EPS 14.1 12.7 compliance challenges of USFDA inspections in April and June 2017 Absolute (US$) (1.5) 7.6 81.5 in terms of market standing, margins, and return ratios. We forecast
Rel. to Sensex (2.6) 3.3 52.3
Stock movement rather quickly. Pegfilgrastim (Neulasta) started as a competitive mid-to-high-teen earnings growth in standalone (led by volume and
Vol('000, LHS) Price (Rs., RHS) product. However, competition has whittled down further to only two CAGR (%) 3 yrs 5 yrs value) and SMR (led by market share gain, slight margin expansion).
60,000 600 projects looking at near-term approval. Insulin Glargine (Lantus) is EPS 28.0 36.1 On the other hand, SMP (plastics) and PKC (CV WH) are operating at
also expected to remain a low-competition product in the foreseeable
low margins (sub-2% net margin) and return ratios. We forecast
Stock movement 220bp/400bp Ebitda margin expansion for SMP/PKC by FY20. This
40,000 400 future, due to requirements of a dedicated manufacturing facility.
Vol('000, LHS) Price (Rs., RHS)
20,000 200
would result in multi-fold rise in earnings of these two subsidiaries.
Syngene back on track after an incidence of fire: About 20% of 40,000 400
0 0 Syngene’s business suffered due to a fire at one of its facilities in late History of value creation through acquisitions offers sizeable
30,000 300
FY17. However, the company regained lost ground, reflected in strong upside risk: Motherson’s stock is up ~19x in the past 10 years. We
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20,000 200
MH 06 2018
IND growth in recent quarters. Syngene remains an important value driver estimate ~40% of these returns have been generated through cheap
10,000 100 acquisitions and their subsequent turnaround. Motherson’s FY20 revenue
for Biocon. We believe that foray into large-scale manufacturing, client
Strong earnings visibility from FY20ii accretion in biology, and maturing of newly added dedicated centres 0 0 target of USD18bn implies acquisitions of USD6.2bn. Low cost of
Nov‐15
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Nov‐17
Revenue (USD mn) (LHS) are long-term growth drivers for Syngene, which would help it register borrowing (last debt raise was at 1.8%) and potential turnarounds
Ebitda margins (RHS)
1,600 40% ~20% revenue growth over the next five years. should make these acquisitions highly EPS-accretive.
1,400 35%
Financial summary (Rs m) Financial summary (Rs m)
1,200 30%
Y/e 31 Mar, Consolidated FY16A FY17A FY18ii FY19ii FY20ii Y/e 31 Mar, Consolidated FY16A FY17A FY18ii FY19ii FY20ii
1,000 25%
800 20% Revenues (Rs m) 33,372 38,763 39,049 45,868 74,311 Revenues (Rs m) 372,163 424,934 564,744 663,081 768,746
600 15%
400 10% Ebitda margins (%) 22.3 24.5 20.0 22.0 37.5 Ebitda margins (%) 9.5 10.1 9.7 10.7 11.3
200 5% Pre‐exceptional PAT (Rs m) 4,021 6,121 3,360 4,340 15,663 Pre‐exceptional PAT (Rs m) 12,276 16,517 19,259 26,920 35,388
0 0%
Reported PAT (Rs m) 5,504 6,121 3,360 4,340 15,663 Reported PAT (Rs m) 12,923 15,543 19,259 26,920 35,388
FY18ii
FY19ii
FY20ii
FY21ii
FY17
Pre‐exceptional EPS (Rs) 6.7 10.2 5.6 7.2 26.1 Pre‐exceptional EPS (Rs) 6.2 8.1 9.1 12.8 16.8
Source: Company IIFL Research
Growth (%) 0.1 52.2 (45.1) 29.1 260.9 Growth (%) 22.5 30.6 13.3 39.8 31.5
Detailed
report
ITC BUY
Institutional Equities
09 May 2017
35% discount to HUL currently (vs. 12% prior to FY13) is set
52Wk High/Low (Rs) 293/209 to contract, driving 29% upside to our price target of Rs.350.
Shares o/s (m) 12147 A change in incidence or structure of tax under GST regime is
Daily volume (US$ m) 48 the main risk to our BUY rating.
Dividend yield FY17ii (%) 1.7 Growth is set to revive: In the past two budgets, average increase
Free float (%) 100.0 in excise duty has been 8% vs. 18% for the four years prior to that,
Shareholding pattern (%) possibly as the government realizes that a higher tax rate does not
Promoter 0.0 increase tax collections but encourages illegal trade. Non tax
FII 20.0 regulations such as pictorial warnings and ban on public smoking are
already in place and others such as banning loose cigarettes are hard
DII 35.7
to implement. Moreover, revival in consumption would benefit ITC
Others 44.2
just as it would benefit other FMCG companies.
Price performance (%) Best industry structure: ITC is a virtual monopoly accounting for
1M 3M 1Y 86% of cigarette industry sales and 96% of profits. Moreover, FDI in
ITC (0.4) (2.2) 26.1 cigarette manufacture is banned. Due to these factors ITC has high
Absolute (US$) (1.0) 1.9 35.1 Ebit margins of 66% in the cigarette division vs. global average of
Rel. to Sensex (1.2) (7.9) 9.6 33%. Absence of competition gives ITC pricing power and reduces
CAGR (%) 3 yrs 5 yrs the risk of market share loss or margin erosion. Moreover,
EPS 8.7 13.8 government officials have stated that GST is likely to be tax neutral
– thus GST is unlikely to materially alter the industry structure.
Stock movement
Vol('000, LHS) Price (Rs., RHS)
Reasonable valuation in the light of improved capital
allocation: ITC generates 75-80% of its net profit as FCF, vs. an
100,000 400
80,000
average of 55% over FY03-15. Moreover, ITC trades at a discount of
300
60,000 35% to HUL (with similar expected growth for FY17-19) vs. an
200 average of 12% prior to FY13 when ITC’s EPS growth faltered due to
40,000
20,000 100 an adverse tax regime. With growth reviving, we believe that this
0 0 discount would shrink, resulting in an attractive 29% return to our
TP. Our extended DCF (terminal FY39) suggests an even higher
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upside of 46%.
Financial summary (Rs bn)
Y/e 31 Mar, Consolidated FY15A FY16A FY17ii FY18ii FY19ii
Revenues (Rs bn) 384 391 413 463 519
Ebitda margins (%) 37.0 38.5 37.7 38.2 38.6
Pre‐exceptional PAT (Rs bn) 97 99 104 118 134
Percy Panthaki
percy.panthaki@iiflcap.com Reported PAT (Rs bn) 97 99 104 118 134
91 22 4646 4662 Pre‐exceptional EPS (Rs) 8.0 8.2 8.6 9.8 11.1
Growth (%) 8.2 2.3 5.2 13.4 13.2
Avi Mehta IIFL vs consensus (%) (1.6) (2.1) (1.5)
avi.mehta@iiflcap.com
PER (x) 33.9 33.2 31.5 27.8 24.6
91 22 4646 4650
ROE (%) 32.8 30.2 29.0 29.5 29.9
Sameer Gupta Net debt/equity (x) (0.2) (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) 0.0
sameer.gupta@iiflcap.com EV/Ebitda (x) 22.3 21.3 20.6 18.3 16.2
91 22 4646 4672
Price/book (x) 10.2 9.6 8.6 7.7 6.9
www.iiflcap.com Source: Company, IIFL Research. Price as at close of business on 09 May 2017.