Regression

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Regression Analysis

Regression analysis is an important tool to understand possible relationships on one variable

to another. It is also valuable in coming up with prediction statements to see possible values of a

certain variable given another variable. However, part of using regression analysis is the

examination of linearity through the use of a scatter plot since the examination of the linearity of the

data will help improve the accuracy of the resulting regression. A scatter plot is a chart that shows

the relationship between the variables to be examined in the regression analysis.

In the conduct of regression analysis, the dependent variable or the response variable is the

variable to be predicted while the independent variable is called the predictor or explanatory

variable. The dependent variable is tried to be explained by the explanatory variable (Gallo, 2015).

The most simple way of analysis is through the use of a simple linear regression model

where the model requires the use of one (1) independent variable. The general format of the model

is =β0 + β1X1 + €. Multiple regression model, on the other hand, is used when there are several

possible predictors of the dependent variable. The general format of the model is Y=β0 + β1X1 +

β2X2+……+ βkXk+ €. In both situations, € stands for the possible random error. The evaluation of

the multiple regression model is just like the simple linear regression model. Sometimes the

relationship between the variables is nonlinear, thus there is a need to conduct simple variable

transformation to make it linear. This is available in most of the software used to do regression

analysis like Excel.


In using regression analysis, there are some cautions and possible pitfalls. One of the most

common errors in the conduct of regression analysis is when the assumptions are not met. This can

either be that the resulting statistical test is found to be invalid resulting from interval estimates. The

variables may be highly correlated with each other but there is a possibility of another factor that

affects both such as inflation rate. This often results when the value of x is below the minimum or

above the maximum value.

There are three categories of forecasting models. These are causal models, time series

models, and qualitative models. Causal models are used when the factors impact the quantity of the

forecast. This type of model is often used when the factors to be measured are humidity, weekday,

temperature, weekends, or season. Regression analysis is considered a causal model.

Time series models use the collection of past data to predict what happens in the future. It

assumes that the past will repeat itself and the way it will happen is based on the historical data

presented. Problems involving the use of moving averages, trend projection, exponential smoothing,

and decomposition are the common uses of time series models (Render et.al, 2018).

Qualitative models are a forecasting technique that is subjective because experts' judgments

and opinions are the one’s analyzed usually due to the absence of historical data. This type of

forecasting is usually done when conducting market research, the Delphi method, or the historical

life-cycle analogy.

There are several real-world applications of linear regression. It can be used in the prediction

of sales of products where the different factors may be inputted as the possible predictors of the

sales. In sports, for example, a linear regression can be used to predict the scores to be produced

by a specific athlete (Nguyen, 2020).


Works Cited

Gallo, Amy (2015). “A Refresher on Regression Analysis.” Retrieved from https://hbr.org/2015/11/a-

refresher-on-regression-analysis

Nguyen, Joseph (2020). “Regression Baiscs for Business Analysis.” Retrieved from

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/09/regression-analysis-basics-

business.asp

Render, Barry et. al. (2018). “Quantitative Analysis for Management, 13 th Edition.” Retrieved from

https://www.pearson.com/us/higher-education/program/Render-Quantitative-Analysis-for-

Management-RENTAL-EDITION-13th-Edition/PGM335022.html

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