Introduction To Business Statistics: Probability

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10/29/2020

Probability

Introduction to 
Business Statistics
Session 5: Discrete Distributions • Chapter 5: Discrete Probability Distributions
Prof. dr. Bo van der Rhee

• Exercises Chapter 5

Summary of Discrete (left) & Continuous (right) For a Binomial distribution with p = 25% and


Uniform f(x) = 1/n f(x) = 1/(b-a) n = 10, which is TRUE?
All probabilities the same n = # possible outcomes b = max. & a = min.

A. The expected value equals 2 or 3 6.1%


f(x) = 𝑛
Binomial 𝑝 1 𝑝 Normal – f(x) = use Table!
𝑥
(p doesn’t change)  = average,  = st. dev.
n = # trials; x = # successes 30.6%
Note: approximate Hypergeometric by B. P(x < 5) = 1 - P(x > 5)
p = probability for success
Binomial if N>20n
𝑟 𝑁 𝑟 Note: you can approximate Binomial by
Hypergeometric f(x) = 𝑥 𝑛 𝑥 Normal if np & n(1-p) > 5: 8.2%
C. P(x = 10) = P(x = 0)
(p does change) 𝑁
N = # population; n = # sample 𝑛  = np; 2 = np(1-p)
r = # successes in population; x = # successes in sample
D. The expected value equals 2.5 55.1%
𝜇 𝑒 Exponential – f(x) = 1 𝑒 /
Poisson f(x) =
# occurrences in 𝑥! 𝜇
time/space  = average # occurrences per time/space unit  = average time between events;
x = # of occurrences we are looking for P(x > y) = e-y/ Closed

1
10/29/2020

For a Poisson distribution with mu = 4 per 5 You check 3 out of 20 new TVs and find that
minutes, which is TRUE? 1 is defective. Hypergeometric values?
N = 3, x = 1, n =
A. 3.1%
A. P(x = 2 in 3 minutes) = P(x = 4 in 6 minutes) 45.3% 20

N = 20, x = 1, n =
B. 80.0%
3
B. mu = 8 per 10 minutes 39.6%
C. r = 3, N = 1, x =... 4.6%

C. P(x = 4 in 5 minutes) = 100% 15.1%


D. x = 20, n = 3, r = 1 12.3%

Closed Closed

Read question together
We need to make sure that ALL 
students know what to do (not 
necessarily how to do it!)
Exercises!
In Class Homework
11 10
41 40 Work on the problem
49 46 Either alone or in small teams (no 
55 54 more than 3 students). TAs will 
NO 5.4 Bivariate Dist. walk around, and solutions will be 
shared after 10‐15 minutes.

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