Forex Pages 42 90
Forex Pages 42 90
Forex Pages 42 90
equities with the proportion of the two components depending on the attractiveness of prices. In
foreign exchange exposure terms, hedged positions are similar to bonds (known costs or yields)
and unhedged ones to equities (uncertain returns).
14.3 High Risk: Low Reward
Perhaps the worst strategy is to leave all exposures unhedged. The risk of destabilization of cash
flows is very high. The merit is zero investment of managerial time or effort.
14.4 High Risk: High Reward
This strategy involves active trading in the currency market through continuous cancellations and
re-bookings of forward contracts. With exchange controls relaxed in India in recent times, a few of
the larger companies are adopting this strategy. In effect, this requires the trading function to
become a profit centre. This strategy, if it has to be adopted, should be done in full consciousness
of the risks.
15. CONCLUSION
Thus, on account of increased globalization of financial markets, risk management has gained
more importance. The benefits of the increased flow of capital between nations include a better
international allocation of capital and greater opportunities to diversify risk. However, globalization
of investment has meant new risks from exchange rates, political actions and increased
interdependence on financial conditions of different countries.
All these factors- increase in exchange rate risk, growth in international trade, globalization of
financial markets, increase in the volatility of exchange rates and growth of multinational and
transnational corporations- combine to make it imperative for today’s financial managers to study
the factors behind the risks of international trade and investment, and the methods of reducing
these risks.
51.3625/3700, what would be the rate Canara Bank would quote to ABN-Amro Bank?
Further, if the deal is struck, what would be the equivalent US$ amount.
3. XYZ Bank, Amsterdam, wants to purchase ` 25 million against £ for funding their Nostro
account and they have credited LORO account with Bank of London, London.
Calculate the amount of £’s credited. Ongoing inter-bank rates are per $, ` 61.3625/3700 &
per £, $ 1.5260/70.
4. ABC Ltd. of UK has exported goods worth Can $ 5,00,000 receivable in 6 months. The
exporter wants to hedge the receipt in the forward market. The following information is
available:
Spot Exchange Rate Can $ 2.5/£
Interest Rate in UK 12%
Interest Rate In Canada 15%
The forward rates truly reflect the interest rates differential. Find out the gain/loss to UK
exporter if Can $ spot rates (i) declines 2%, (ii) gains 4% or (iii) remains unch anged over
next 6 months.
5. On April 3, 2016, a Bank quotes the following:
Spot exchange Rate (US $ 1) INR 66.2525 INR 67.5945
2 months’ swap points 70 90
3 months’ swap points 160 186
In a spot transaction, delivery is made after two days.
Assume spot date as April 5, 2016.
Assume 1 swap point = 0.0001,
You are required to:
(i) ascertain swap points for 2 months and 15 days. (For June 20, 2016),
(ii) determine foreign exchange rate for June 20, 2016, and
(iii) compute the annual rate of premium/discount of US$ on INR, on an average rate.
6. JKL Ltd., an Indian company has an export exposure of JPY 10,000,000 receivable August
31, 2014. Japanese Yen (JPY) is not directly quoted against Indian Rupee.
The current spot rates are:
INR/US $ = ` 62.22
JPY/US$ = JPY 102.34
It is estimated that Japanese Yen will depreciate to 124 level and Indian Rupee to
depreciate against US $ to ` 65.
Forward rates for August 2014 are
INR/US $ = ` 66.50
JPY/US$ = JPY 110.35
Required:
(i) Calculate the expected loss, if the hedging is not done. How the position will change,
if the firm takes forward cover?
(ii) If the spot rates on August 31, 2014 are:
INR/US $= ` 66.25
JPY/US$ = JPY 110.85
Is the decision to take forward cover justified?
7. You sold Hong Kong Dollar 1,00,00,000 value spot to your customer at ` 5.70 & covered
yourself in London market on the same day, when the exchange rates were
US$ 1 = H.K.$ 7.5880 7.5920
Local inter bank market rates for US$ were
Spot US$ 1 = ` 42.70 42.85
Calculate cover rate and ascertain the profit or loss in the transaction. Ignore brokerage.
8. You, a foreign exchange dealer of your bank, are informed that your bank has sold a T.T.
on Copenhagen for Danish Kroner 10,00,000 at the rate of Danish Kroner 1 = ` 6.5150. You
are required to cover the transaction either in London or New York market. The rates on
that date are as under:
In which market will you cover the transaction, London or New York, and what will be the
exchange profit or loss on the transaction? Ignore brokerages.
9. On January 28, 2013 an importer customer requested a Bank to remit Singapore Dollar
(SGD) 2,500,000 under an irrevocable Letter of Credit (LC). However, due to unavoidable
factors, the Bank could effect the remittances only on February 4, 2013. The inter -bank
market rates were as follows:
January 28, 2013 February 4, 2013
US$ 1= ` 45.85/45.90 ` 45.91/45.97
GBP £ 1 = US$ 1.7840/1.7850 US$ 1.7765/1.7775
GBP £ 1 = SGD 3.1575/3.1590 SGD 3. 1380/3.1390
(i) Determine the net exposure of each foreign currency in terms of Rupees.
(ii) Are any of the exposure positions offsetting to some extent?
11. The following 2-way quotes appear in the foreign exchange market:
Spot 2-months forward
RS/US $ `46.00/`46.25 `47.00/`47.50
Required:
(i) How many US dollars should a firm sell to get ` 25 lakhs after 2 months?
(ii) How many Rupees is the firm required to pay to obtain US $ 2,00,000 in the spot
market?
(iii) Assume the firm has US $ 69,000 in current account earning no interest. ROI on
Rupee investment is 10% p.a. Should the firm encash the US $ now or 2 months
later?
12. Z Ltd. importing goods worth USD 2 million, requires 90 days to make the payment. The
overseas supplier has offered a 60 days interest free credit period and for additiona l credit
for 30 days an interest of 8% per annum.
The bankers of Z Ltd offer a 30 days loan at 10% per annum and their quote for foreign
exchange is as follows:
`
Spot 1 USD 56.50
60 days forward for 1 USD 57.10
90 days forward for 1 USD 57.50
$/Pound Probability
1.60 0.15
1.70 0.20
1.80 0.25
1.90 0.20
2.00 0.20
(ii) If, as of March, 2009, the 6-month forward rate is $ 1.80, should the firm sell forward
its pound receivables due in September, 2009?
16. An importer customer of your bank wishes to book a forward contract with your bank on 3 rd
September for sale to him of SGD 5,00,000 to be delivered on 30 th October.
The spot rates on 3 rd September are USD 49.3700/3800 and USD/SGD 1.7058/68. The
swap points are:
USD /` USD/SGD
Spot/September 0300/0400 1st month forward 48/49
Spot/October 1100/1300 2nd month forward 96/97
Spot/November 1900/2200 3rd month forward 138/140
Spot/December 2700/3100
Spot/January 3500/4000
Calculate:
(i) Rate of discount quoted by the Bank
(ii) The probable loss of operating profit if the forward sale is agreed to.
20. In International Monetary Market an international forward bid for December, 15 on pound
sterling is $ 1.2816 at the same time that the price of IMM sterling future for delivery on
December, 15 is $ 1.2806. The contract size of pound sterling is £ 62,500. How could the
dealer use arbitrage in profit from this situation and how much profit is earned?
21. An Indian importer has to settle an import bill for $ 1,30,000. The exporter has given the
Indian exporter two options:
(i) Pay immediately without any interest charges.
(ii) Pay after three months with interest at 5 percent per annum.
The importer's bank charges 15 percent per annum on overdrafts. The exchange rates in
the market are as follows:
Spot rate (` /$) : 48.35 /48.36
3-Months forward rate (`/$) : 48.81 /48.83
The importer seeks your advice. Give your advice.
22. DEF Ltd. has imported goods to the extent of US$ 1 crore. The payment terms are 60 days
interest-free credit. For additional credit of 30 days, interest at the rate of 7.75% p.a. will be
charged.
The banker of DEF Ltd. has offered a 30 days loan at the rate of 9.5% p.a. Their quote for
the foreign exchange is as follows:
Spot rate INR/US$ 62.50
60 days forward rate INR/US$ 63.15
90 days forward rate INR/US$ 63.45
Which one of the following options would be better?
(i) Pay the supplier on 60th day and avail bank loan for 30 days.
(ii) Avail the supplier's offer of 90 days credit.
23. A company is considering hedging its foreign exchange risk. It has made a purchase on 1st
July, 2016 for which it has to make a payment of US$ 60,000 on December 31, 2016. The
present exchange rate is 1 US $ = ` 65. It can purchase forward 1 $ at ` 64. The company
will have to make an upfront premium @ 2% of the forward amount purchased. The cost of
funds to the company is 12% per annum.
In the following situations, compute the profit/loss the company will make if it hedges its
foreign exchange risk with the exchange rate on 31 st December, 2016 as:
(i) ` 68 per US $.
(ii) ` 62 per US $.
(iii) ` 70 per US $.
(iv) ` 65 per US $.
24. Following information relates to AKC Ltd. which manufactures some parts of an electronics
device which are exported to USA, Japan and Europe on 90 days credit terms.
Cost and Sales information:
Japan USA Europe
Variable cost per unit `225 `395 `510
Export sale price per unit Yen 650 US$10.23 Euro 11.99
Receipts from sale due in 90 Yen 78,00,000 US$1,02,300 Euro 95,920
days
Foreign exchange rate information:
Yen/` US$/` Euro/`
Spot market 2.417-2.437 0.0214-0.0217 0.0177-0.0180
3 months forward 2.397-2.427 0.0213-0.0216 0.0176-0.0178
3 months spot 2.423-2.459 0.02144-0.02156 0.0177-0.0179
Advise AKC Ltd. by calculating average contribution to sales ratio whether it should hedge
it’s foreign currency risk or not.
25. EFD Ltd. is an export business house. The company prepares invoice in customers'
currency. Its debtors of US$. 10,000,000 is due on April 1, 2015.
Market information as at January 1, 2015 is:
Exchange rates US$/INR Currency Futures US$/INR
Spot 0.016667 Contract size: ` 24,816,975
1-month forward 0.016529 1-month 0.016519
3-months forward 0.016129 3-month 0.016118
Initial Margin Interest rates in India
1-Month ` 17,500 6.5%
3-Months ` 22,500 7%
On April 1, 2015 the spot rate US$/INR is 0.016136 and currency future rate is 0.016134.
Which of the following methods would be most advantageous to EFD Ltd?
(i) Using forward contract
(ii) Using currency futures
(iii) Not hedging the currency risk
26. Spot rate 1 US $ = ` 48.0123
180 days Forward rate for 1 US $ = ` 48.8190
Annualised interest rate for 6 months – Rupee = 12%
Annualised interest rate for 6 months – US $ = 8%
Is there any arbitrage possibility? If yes how an arbitrageur can take advantage of the
situation, if he is willing to borrow ` 40,00,000 or US $83,312.
27. Given the following information:
Exchange rate – Canadian dollar 0.665 per DM (spot)
Canadian dollar 0.670 per DM (3 months)
Interest rates – DM 7% p.a.
Canadian Dollar – 9% p.a.
What operations would be carried out to take the possible arbitrage gains?
28. An Indian exporting firm, Rohit and Bros., would be covering itself against a likely
depreciation of pound sterling. The following data is given:
Receivables of Rohit and Bros : £500,000
Spot rate : ` 56.00/£
Payment date : 3-months
3 months interest rate : India : 12 per cent per annum
: UK : 5 per cent per annum
What should the exporter do?
29. An exporter is a UK based company. Invoice amount is $3,50,000. Credit period is three
months. Exchange rates in London are :
Spot Rate ($/£) 1.5865 – 1.5905
3-month Forward Rate ($/£) 1.6100 – 1.6140
Rates of interest in Money Market :
Deposit Loan
$ 7% 9%
£ 5% 8%
Compute and show how a money market hedge can be put in place. Compare and contrast
the outcome with a forward contract.
30. The rate of inflation in India is 8% per annum and in the U.S.A. it is 4%. The current spot
rate for USD in India is ` 46. What will be the expected rate after 1 year and after 4 years
applying the Purchasing Power Parity Theory.
31. On April 1, 3 months interest rate in the UK £ and US $ are 7.5% and 3.5% per annum
respectively. The UK £/US $ spot rate is 0.7570. What would be the forward rate for US $
for delivery on 30 th June?
32. An importer requests his bank to extend the forward contract for US$ 20,000 which is due
for maturity on 30 th October, 2010, for a further period of 3 months. He agrees to pay the
required margin money for such extension of the contract.
Contracted Rate – US$ 1= ` 42.32
The US Dollar quoted on 30-10-2010:-
Spot – 41.5000/41.5200
3 months’ Premium -0.87% /0.93%
Margin money for buying and selling rate is 0.075% and 0.20% respectively.
Compute:
(i) The cost to the importer in respect of the extension of the forward contract, and
(ii) The rate of new forward contract.
33. XYZ, an Indian firm, will need to pay JAPANESE YEN (JY) 5,00,000 on 30 th June. In order
to hedge the risk involved in foreign currency transaction, the firm is considering two
alternative methods i.e. forward market cover and currency option contract.
On 1st April, following quotations (JY/INR) are made available:
Spot 3 months forward
1.9516/1.9711. 1.9726./1.9923
The prices for forex currency option on purchase are as follows:
Strike Price JY 2.125
Call option (June) JY 0.047
Put option (June) JY 0.098
For excess or balance of JY covered, the firm would use forward rate as future spot rate.
You are required to recommend cheaper hedging alternative for XYZ.
34. ABC Technologic is expecting to receive a sum of US$ 4,00,000 after 3 months. The
company decided to go for future contract to hedge against the risk. The standard size of
future contract available in the market is $1000. As on date spot and futures $ contract are
quoting at ` 44.00 &` 45.00 respectively. Suppose after 3 months the company closes out
its position futures are quoting at ` 44.50 and spot rate is also quoting at ` 44.50. You are
required to calculate effective realization for the company while selling the receivable. Also
calculate how company has been benefitted by using the future option.
35. Gibralater Limited has imported 5000 bottles of shampoo at landed cost in Mumbai, of
US $ 20 each. The company has the choice for paying for the goods immediately or in 3
months’ time. It has a clean overdraft limited where 14% p.a. rate of interest is charged.
Calculate which of the following method would be cheaper to Gibralter Limited.
(i) Pay in 3 months’ time with interest @ 10% p.a. and cover risk forward for 3 months.
(ii) Settle now at a current spot rate and pay interest of the over draft for 3 months.
The rates are as follows:
Mumbai ` /$ spot : 60.25-60.55
Price for a Can$ /US$ option on a U.S. stock exchange (cents per Can$, payable on
purchase of the option, contract size Can$ 50000) are as follows:
Strike Price Calls Puts
(US$/Can$) July Sept. July Sept.
0.93 1.56 2.56 0.88 1.75
0.94 1.02 NA NA NA
0.95 0.65 1.64 1.92 2.34
According to the suggestion of finance manager if options are to be used, one month option
should be bought at a strike price of 94 cents and three month option at a strike price of 95
cents and for the remainder uncovered by the options the firm would bear the risk itself. For
this, it would use forward rate as the best estimate of spot. Transaction costs are ignored.
Recommend, which of the above two methods would be appropriate for the America n
firm to hedge its foreign exchange risk on the two interest payments.
37. Zaz plc, a UK Company is in the process of negotiating an order amounting €2.8 million with
a large German retailer on 6 month’s credit. If successful, this will be first time for Zaz has
exported goods into the highly competitive German Market. The Zaz is considering following
3 alternatives for managing the transaction risk before the order is finalized.
(a) Mr. Peter the Marketing head has suggested that in order to remove trans action risk
completely Zaz should invoice the German firm in Sterling using the current €/£
average spot rate to calculate the invoice amount.
(b) Mr. Wilson, CE is doubtful about Mr. Peter’s proposal and suggested an alternative
of invoicing the German firm in € and using a forward exchange contract to hedge
the transaction risk.
(c) Ms. Karen, CFO is agreed with the proposal of Mr. Wilson to invoice the German first
in €, but she is of opinion that Zaz should use sufficient 6 month sterling further
contracts (to the nearest whole number) to hedge the transaction risk.
Following data is available
Spot Rate € 1.1960 - €1.1970/£
6 months forward points 0.60 – 0.55 Euro Cents.
6 month further contract is currently trading at € 1.1943/£
6 month future contract size is £62,500
After 6 month Spot rate and future rate € 1.1873/£
You are required to
(a) Calculate (to the nearest £) the £ receipt for Zaz plc, under each of 3 above
proposals.
(b) In your opinion which alternative you consider to be most appropriate.
38. Columbus Surgicals Inc. is based in US, has recently imported surgical raw materials from
the UK and has been invoiced for £ 480,000, payable in 3 months. It has also exported
surgical goods to India and France.
The Indian customer has been invoiced for £ 138,000, payable in 3 months, and the French
customer has been invoiced for € 590,000, payable in 4 months.
Bank A Bank B
SPOT USD/CHF 1.4650/55 USD/CHF 1.4653/60
3 months 5/10
6 months 10/15
SPOT GBP/USD 1.7645/60 GBP/USD 1.7640/50
3 months 25/20
6 months 35/25
Calculate :
(i) How much minimum CHF amount you have to pay for 1 Million GBP spot?
(ii) Considering the quotes from Bank A only, for GBP/CHF what are the Implied Swap
points for Spot over 3 months?
48. M/s Omega Electronics Ltd. exports air conditioners to Germany by importing all the
components from Singapore. The company is exporting 2,400 units at a price of Euro 500
per unit. The cost of imported components is S$ 800 per unit. The fixed cost and other
variables cost per unit are ` 1,000 and ` 1,500 respectively. The cash flows in Foreign
currencies are due in six months. The current exchange rates are as follows:
`/Euro 51.50/55
`/S$ 27.20/25
After six months the exchange rates turn out as follows:
`/Euro 52.00/05
`/S$ 27.70/75
(A) You are required to calculate loss/gain due to transaction exposure.
(B) Based on the following additional information calculate the loss/gain due to
transaction and operating exposure if the contracted price of air conditioners is
` 25,000 :
(i) the current exchange rate changes to
`/Euro 51.75/80
`/S$ 27.10/15
(ii) Price elasticity of demand is estimated to be 1.5
(iii) Payments and receipts are to be settled at the end of six months.
49. Your bank’s London office has surplus funds to the extent of USD 5,00, 000/- for a period of
3 months. The cost of the funds to the bank is 4% p.a. It proposes to invest these funds in
London, New York or Frankfurt and obtain the best yield, without any exchange risk to the
bank. The following rates of interest are available at the three centres for investment of
domestic funds there at for a period of 3 months.
London 5 % p.a.
New York 8% p.a.
Frankfurt 3% p.a.
The market rates in London for US dollars and Euro are as under:
London on New York
Spot 1.5350/90
1 month 15/18
2 month 30/35
3 months 80/85
London on Frankfurt
Spot 1.8260/90
1 month 60/55
2 month 95/90
3 month 145/140
At which centre, will be investment be made & what will be the net gain (to the nearest
pound) to the bank on the invested funds?
50. Drilldip Inc. a US based company has a won a contract in India for drilling oil field. The
project will require an initial investment of ` 500 crore. The oil field along with equipments
will be sold to Indian Government for ` 740 crore in one year time. Since the Indian
Government will pay for the amount in Indian Rupee (`) the company is worried about
exposure due exchange rate volatility.
You are required to:
(a) Construct a swap that will help the Drilldip to reduce the exchange rate risk.
(b) Assuming that Indian Government offers a swap at spot rate which is 1US$ = ` 50 in
one year, then should the company should opt for this option or should it just do
nothing. The spot rate after one year is expected to be 1US$ = ` 54. Further you
may also assume that the Drilldip can also take a US$ loan at 8% p.a.
51. You as a dealer in foreign exchange have the following position in Swiss Francs on
31st October, 2009:
Swiss Francs
Balance in the Nostro A/c Credit 1,00,000
Opening Position Overbought 50,000
Purchased a bill on Zurich 80,000
Sold forward TT 60,000
Forward purchase contract cancelled 30,000
Remitted by TT 75,000
Draft on Zurich cancelled 30,000
What steps would you take, if you are required to maintain a credit Balance of Swiss Francs
30,000 in the Nostro A/c and keep as overbought position on Swiss Francs 10,000?
ANSWERS/ SOLUTIONS
Answers to Theoretical Questions
1. Please refer paragraph 8.1
2. Please refer paragraph 2.
Answers to the Practical Questions
1. Here we can assume two cases (i) If investor is US investor then there will be no impact of
appreciation in $. (ii) If investor is from any other nation other than US say Indian then there
will be impact of $ appreciation on his returns.
First we shall compute return on bond which will be common for both investors.
(Price at end - Price at begining)+ Interest
Return =
Price at begining
(5250 − 5000) + 350
=
5000
250 + 350
= =0.12 say 12%
5000
(i) For US investor the return shall be 12% and there will be no impact of appreciation in $.
(ii) If $ appreciate by 2% then return for non-US investor shall be:
Return x 1.02 = 0.12 x 1.02=0.1224 i.e. 12.24%
Alternatively, it can also be considered that $ appreciation will be applicable to the amount
of principal as well. The answer therefore could also be
£
£ receipt as per Forward Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.535) 1,97,239
£
£ receipt as per Forward Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.535) 1,97,239
£ receipt as per Spot Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.40) 2,08,333
Loss due to forward contract 11,094
£
£ receipt as per Forward Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.535) 1,97,239
£ receipt as per Spot Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.50) 2,00,000
Loss due to forward contract 2,761
Bid Ask
Spot Rate (a) 66.2525 67.5945
Swap Points for 2 months & 15 days (b) 0.0115 0.0138
66.2640 67.6083
Bid Ask
Spot Rate (a) 66.2525 67.5945
Foreign Exchange Rates for 66.2640 67.6083
20 th June 2016 (b)
Premium (c) 0.0115 0.0138
Total (d) = (a) + (b) 132.5165 135.2028
Average (d) / 2 66.2583 67.6014
Premium 0.0115 12 0.0138 12
× 100 × 100
66.2583 2.5 67.6014 2.5
= 0.0833% = 0.0980%
6. Since the direct quote for ¥ and ` is not available it will be calculated by cross exchange
rate as follows:
`/$ x $/¥ = `/¥
62.22/102.34 = 0.6080
Spot rate on date of export 1¥ = ` 0.6080
Expected Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ` 0.5242 (` 65/¥124)
Forward Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ` 0.6026 (` 66.50/¥110.35)
(i) Calculation of expected loss without hedging
The transaction would be covered through London which gets the maximum profit of
` 7,119 or lower cover cost at London Market by (` 65,10,176 - ` 65,07,881) = ` 2,295
9. On January 28, 2013 the importer customer requested to remit SGD 25 lakhs.
To consider sell rate for the bank:
US $ = `45.90
Pound 1 = US$ 1.7850
Pound 1 = SGD 3.1575
` 45.90 * 1.7850
Therefore, SGD 1 =
SGD 3.1575
SGD 1 = `25.9482
Add: Exchange margin (0.125%) ` 0.0324
` 25.9806
On February 4, 2013 the rates are
US $ = ` 45.97
Pound 1 = US$ 1.7775
Pound 1 = SGD 3.1380
` 45.97 * 1.7775
Therefore, SGD 1 =
SGD 3.1380
SGD 1 = ` 26.0394
Add: Exchange margin (0.125%) ` 0.0325
` 26.0719
Hence, loss to the importer
= SGD 25,00,000 (`26.0719 – `25.9806)= `2,28,250
10. (i) Net exposure of each foreign currency in Rupees
(ii) The exposure of Japanese yen position is being offset by a better forward rate
11. (i) US $ required to get ` 25 lakhs after 2 months at the Rate of ` 47/$
` 25,00,000
∴ = US $ 53191.489
` 47
(ii) ` required to get US$ 2,00,000 now at the rate of ` 46.25/$
US $ 200,000 × ` 46.25 = ` 92,50,000
(iii) Encashing US $ 69000 Now Vs 2 month later
Proceed if we can encash in open mkt $ 69000 × `46 = ` 31,74,000
Opportunity gain
10 2
= 31,74,000 ` 52,900
100 12
Likely sum at end of 2 months 32,26,900
Proceeds if we can encash by forward rate :
$ 69000 × `47.00 32,43,000
It is better to encash the proceeds after 2 months and get opportunity gain.
12. (i) Pay the supplier in 60 days
` 483,000,000
(ii) Convert these ` to GBP at London ( ) GBP 6,230,650.155
` 77.52
(iii) Convert GBP to USD at New York GBP 6,230,650.155 × 1.6231 USD 10,112,968.26
There is net gain of USD 10,112968.26 less USD 10,000,000 i.e. USD 112,968.26
14. (i) Under the given circumstances, the USD is expected to quote at a premium in India
as the interest rate is higher in India.
(ii) Calculation of the forward rate:
1 + R h F1
=
1 + R f Eo
Where: Rh is home currency interest rate, R f is foreign currency interest rate, F 1 is
end of the period forward rate, and E o is the spot rate.
1 + ( 0.10/2 ) F1
Therefore =
1 + ( 0.04 / 2 ) 55.50
1 + 0.05 F1
=
1 + 0.02 55.50
1.05
or 55.50 = F1
1.02
58.275
or = F1
1.02
or F1 = `57.13
(iii) Rate of premium:
57.13 - 55.50 12
100 = 5.87%
55.50 6
15. (i) Calculation of expected spot rate for September, 2009:
$ for £ Probability Expected $/£
(1) (2) (1) × (2) = (3)
1.60 0.15 0.24
1.70 0.20 0.34
1.80 0.25 0.45
1.90 0.20 0.38
2.00 0.20 0.40
1.00 EV = 1.81
Therefore, the expected spot value of $ for £ for September, 2009 would be $ 1.81.
(ii) If the six-month forward rate is $ 1.80, the expected profits of the firm can be
maximised by retaining its pounds receivable.
16.
Suggestion: If the exchange rate risk is not covered with forward contract, the expected
exchange loss is ` 3.33 lakhs. This could be reduced to ` 2.73 lakhs if it is covered with
Forward contract. Hence, taking forward contract is suggested.
18. Firstly, the interest is calculated at 3% p.a. for 6 months. That is:
USD 20,00,000 × 3/100 × 6/12 = USD 30,000
From the forward points quoted, it is seen that the second figure is less than the first, this
means that the currency is quoted at a discount.
(i) The value of the total commitment in Indian rupees is calculated as below:
(ii) It is seen from the forward rates that the market expectation is that the dollar will
depreciate. If the firm's own expectation is that the dollar will depreciate more than
what the bank has quoted, it may be worthwhile not to cover forward and keep the
exposure open.
If the firm has no specific view regarding future dollar price movements, it would be better to
cover the exposure. This would freeze the total commitment and insulate the firm from
undue market fluctuations. In other words, it will be advisable to cut the losses at this point
of time.
Given the interest rate differentials and inflation rates between India and USA, it would be
unwise to expect continuous depreciation of the dollar. The US Dollar is a stronger currency
than the Indian Rupee based on past trends and it would be advisable to cover the
exposure.
19. (i) Rate of discount quoted by the bank
(45.20 - 45.60) × 365 × 100
= = 5.33%
45.60 × 60
(ii) Probable loss of operating profit:
(45.20 – 45.50) 1,00,000 = ` 30,000
`
Amount required to purchase $130000[$130000X`48.36] 6286800
Add: Overdraft Interest for 3 months @15% p.a. 235755
6522555
If importer makes payment after 3 months then, he will have to pay interest for 3 months @
5% p.a. for 3 month along with the sum of import bill. Accordingly, he will have to buy $ in
forward market. The outflow under this option will be as follows:
$
Amount of Bill 130000
Add: Interest for 3 months @5% p.a. 1625
131625
Amount to be paid in Indian Rupee after 3 month under the forward purchase contract
` 6427249 (US$ 131625 X ` 48.83)
Since outflow of cash is least in (ii) option, it should be opted for.
22. (i) Pay the supplier in 60 days
(`)
Present Exchange Rate `65 = 1 US$
If company purchases US$ 60,000 forward premium is
60000 × 64 × 2% 76,800
Interest on `76,800 for 6 months at 12% 4,608
Total hedging cost 81,408
If exchange rate is `68
Then gain (`68 – `64) for US$ 60,000 2,40,000
Less: Hedging cost 81,408
Net gain 1,58,592
If US$ = `62
Then loss (`64 – `62) for US$ 60,000 1,20,000
Add: Hedging Cost 81,408
Total Loss 2,01,408
If US$ = `70
Then Gain (`70 – `64) for US$ 60,000 3,60,000
Less: Hedging Cost 81,408
Total Gain 2,78,592
If US$ = `65
Then Gain (` 65 – ` 64) for US$ 60,000 60,000
Less: Hedging Cost 81,408
Net Loss 21,408
Total
(` )
Sum due Yen 78,00,000 US$1,02,300 Euro 95,920
Unit input price Yen 650 US$10.23 Euro 11.99
Unit sold 12000 10000 8000
Variable cost per unit `225/- `395/- `510/-
Variable cost `27,00,000 ` 39,50,000 ` 40,80,000 ` 1,07,30,000
Three months forward rate 2.427 0.0216 0.0178
for selling
Rupee value of receipts `32,13,844 ` 47,36,111 ` 53,88,764 ` 1,33,38,719
Contribution `5,13,844 ` 7,86,111 ` 13,08,764 ` 26,08,719
Average contribution to sale 19.56%
ratio
If risk is not hedged
Rupee value of receipt `31,72,021 ` 47,44,898 ` 53,58,659 ` 1,32,75,578
Total contribution ` 25,45,578
Average contribution to sale 19.17%
ratio
1 + in A
S1 = S 0
1 + in B
1 + (0.075) 3
S1 = £0.7570 12
1 + (0.035) 3
12
1.01875
= £0.7570
1.00875
= £0.7570 × 1.0099 = £0.7645
= UK £0.7645 / US$
32. (i) The contract is to be cancelled on 30-10-2010 at the spot buying rate of US$ 1
= ` 41.5000
Less: Margin Money 0.075% =` 0.0311
= ` 41.4689 or ` 41.47
US$ 20,000 @ ` 41.47 = ` 8,29,400
US$ 20,000 @ ` 42.32 = ` 8,46,400
The difference in favour of the Bank/Cost to the importer ` 17,000
(ii) The Rate of New Forward Contract
Spot Selling Rate US$ 1 = ` 41.5200
Add: Premium @ 0.93% = ` 0.3861
= ` 41.9061
Add: Margin Money 0.20% = ` 0.0838
= ` 41.9899 or ` 41.99
33. (i) Forward Cover
1
3-month Forward Rate = = ` 0.5070/JY
1.9726
Accordingly, INR required for JY 5,00,000 (5,00,000 X ` 0.5070) ` 2,53,500
(ii) Option Cover
To purchase JY 5,00,000, XYZ shall enter into a Put Option @ JY 2.125/INR
JY 5,00,000 ` 2,35,294
Accordingly, outflow in INR
2.125
34. The company can hedge position by selling future contracts as it will receive amount from
outside.
$4,00,000
Number of Contracts = = 400 contracts
$1,000
Option Contracts
July Payment = 1010000/ 50,000 = 20.20
September Payment = 705000/ 50,000 = 14.10
Company would like to take out 20 contracts for July and 14 contracts for September
respectively. Therefore costs, if the options were exercised, will be:
July Sept.
Can $ US $ Can $ US $
Option Costs:
Can $ 50000 x 20 x 0.0102 10200 ---
Decision: As the firm is stated as risk averse and the money due to be paid is certai n, a
fixed forward contract, being the cheapest alternative in the both the cases, would be
recommended.
37. (i) Receipt under three proposals
(a) Proposal of Mr. Peter
€ 2.8 million
Invoicing in £ will produce = = £ 2.340 million
1.1965
(b) Proposal of Mr. Wilson
Forward Rate = €1.1970-0.0055 = 1.1915
€ 2.8 million
Using Forward Market hedge Sterling receipt would be = £
1.1915
2.35 million
(c) Proposal of Ms. Karen
The equivalent sterling of the order placed based on future price (€1.1943)
€ 2.8 million
= = £ 2,344,470 (rounded off)
1.1943
£2,344,470
Number of Contracts = = 37 Contracts (to the nearest whole number)
62,500
* ($1.97 + $0.04)
€ 4 million
Using Forward Market hedge Sterling receipt would be
1.1825
= £ 3382664
(c) Use of Future Contract
The equivalent sterling of the order placed based on future price (€1.1760)
€ 4.00 million
= = £ 3401360
1.1760
£3401360
Number of Contracts = = 54 Contracts (to the nearest whole
62,500
number)
Thus, € amount hedged by future contract will be = 54 £62,500
= £3375000
Buy Future at €1.1760
Sell Future at €1.1785
€0.0025
Total profit on Future Contracts = 54 £62,500 €0.0025 = €8438
After 6 months
Amount Received € 4000000
Add: Profit on Future Contracts € 8438
€ 4008438
Sterling Receipts
€ 4008438
On sale of € at spot = = €3401305
1.1785
(ii) Proposal of option (c) is preferable because the option (a) & (b) produces least
receipts.
42. Option I (To finance the purchases by availing loan at 18% per annum):
Cost of equipment ` in lakhs
3400 lakh yen at `100 = 340 yen 1,000.00
Add: Interest at 4.5% I Quarter 45.00
Add: Interest at 4.5% II Quarter (on `1045 lakhs) 47.03
Total outflow in Rupees 1,092.03
Alternatively, interest may also be calculated on compounded basis, i.e.,
`1000 × [1.045]² `1092.03
Since net payable amount is least in case of first option, hence the company should cover
payable and receivables in forward market.
Note: In the question it has not been clearly mentioned that whether quotes given for 2 and
3 months (in points terms) are premium points or direct quotes. Although above solution is
based on the assumption that these are direct quotes, but students can also consider them
as premium points and solve the question accordingly.
44. The contract would be cancelled at the one-month forward sale rate of ` 27.52.
`
Francs bought from customer under original forward contract at: 27.25
It is sold to him on cancellation at: 27.52
Net amount payable by customer per Franc 0.27
At ` 0.27 per Franc, exchange difference for CHF 10,000 is ` 2,700.
Loss to the Customer:
Exchange difference (Loss) ` 2,700
Note: The exchange commission and other service charges are ignored.
45. First the contract will be cancelled at TT Selling Rate
USD/ Rupee Spot Selling Rate ` 49.4455
Add: Premium for April ` 0.4200
` 49.8655
Add: Exchange Margin @ 0.10% ` 0.04987
` 49.91537 Or 49.9154
USD/ Sw. Fcs One Month Buying Rate Sw. Fcs. 1.5150
Sw. Fcs. Spot Selling Rate (`49.91537/1.5150) ` 32.9474
Rounded Off ` 32.9475
Bank buys Sw. Fcs. Under original contract ` 32.4000
Bank Sells under Cancellation ` 32.9475
Difference payable by customer ` 00.5475
Exchange difference of Sw. Fcs. 1,00,000 payable by customer ` 54,750
(Sw. Fcs. 1,00,000 x ` 0.5475)
Year 0 Year 1
(Million US$) (Million US$)
Buy ` 500 crore at spot rate of 1US$ = ` 50 (100.00) ----
Swap ` 500 crore back at agreed rate of ` 50 ---- 100.00
Sell ` 240 crore at 1US$ = ` 54 ---- 44.44
Interest on US$ loan @8% for one year ---- (8.00)
(100.00) 136.44
Decision: Since the net receipt is higher in swap option the company should opt for
the same.
51. Exchange Position:
Particulars Purchase Sw. Fcs. Sale Sw. Fcs.
Opening Balance Overbought 50,000
Bill on Zurich 80,000
Forward Sales – TT 60,000
Cancellation of Forward Contract 30,000
TT Sales 75,000
Draft on Zurich cancelled 30,000 —
1,60,000 1,65,000
Closing Balance Oversold 5,000 —
1,65,000 1,65,000
The Bank has to buy spot TT Sw. Fcs. 5,000 to increase the balance in Nostro account to
Sw. Fcs. 30,000.
This would bring down the oversold position on Sw. Fcs. as Nil.
Since the bank requires an overbought position of Sw. Fcs. 10,000, it has to buy forward Sw.
Fcs. 10,000.