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Studies
91
Edo chonin no kenkyui (Studies of the Edo ch6nin), vols. 1-3 (Yoshikawa
Kobunkan, 1972-74); and Minami Kazuo, Edo no shakai kozo (The social
structure of Edo) (Hanawa Shob6, 1969). On Edo's hatamoto see Kozo
Yamamura, A Study of Samurai Income and Entrepreneurship (Cambridge:
Harvard University Press, 1974); and on other categories of bushi see the
bibliography in Yamamura. For histories of Edo's growth see Naito Akira,
Edo to Edojo (Edo and Edo castle) (Kajima Kenkyfij5, 1966); Nomura
Kentaro, Edo (Shibundo, 1966); Ikeda Yasaburo, Hiroshige no Edo (Kodan-
sha, 1968); and Kawasaki Fusagoro, Edo happyaku hachi ch5 (The 808 wards
of Edo) (Togensha, 1967).
2. Gilbert Rozman, Urban Networks in Ch'ing China and Tokugawa
Japan (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1973).
ranked as the largest city in the world, rivaled only by one or two
cities in far more populous China. Under these circumstances, are
we not justified in asking whether Edo did not likewise operate as
44a potent engine working toward change?" Should we not both ob-
serve the reflection in Edo of nationwide currents of change and
examine the central role of this city in initiating changes which spread
across Japan?
Wrigley's model links demographic conditions, marketing, and
new forms of social mobility and consumption to the growth of Lon-
don and the establishment of a foundation for the industrial revolu-
tion. It credits London with exerting a pervasive impact on the rest
of England, largely through new patterns in the movement of people
and goods centering on this city. Before examining whether new pat-
terns of migration and marketing into Edo could have exerted a
similar impact, we shall first want to establish that changes similar to
those listed by Wrigley for English society prior to 1750 were also
occurring in Tokugawa society. Then we shall briefly consider the
prevailing image of Edo, showing how it differs from that of London.
After looking in some detail at the evidence for recasting Edo's
image, we should emerge in a position to draw preliminary conclu-
sions about Edo's impact on Japan in comparison to the impact of
other great cities on their premodern societies.
Included among Wrigley's checklist of ten changes which the
growth of London may have promoted and which by their occurrence
may have succeeded in engendering the magic ."take-off" are: 1) the
fostering of changes in agricultural methods which increase the pro-
ductivity of those engaged in agriculture so that the cost of foodstuffs
will fall and real wages rise; 2) the interplay between fertility, mortal-
ity, and nuptiality such that population does not expand too rapidly
for some time after real income per head has begun to trend upwards;
3) the steady spread of environments in which the socialization pro-
cess produces individuals with different orientations in their patterns
of action; 4) the establishment of conditions in which upward social
mobility need not necessarily lead to the recirculation of ability within
traditional society; and 5) the spread of the practice of aping one's
betters.8 While emphasizing that "it is not so much that London's
as coal, increasingly mined in England before 1750. See Wrigley, "A Simple
Model of London's Importance," pp. 65-67.
9. Ibid., p. 65.
10. Among the numerous articles authored individually or jointly by
Susan Hanley and Kozo Yamamura are: "Population Trends and Economic
Growth in Pre-industrial Japan," in D. V. Glass and Roger Revelle, eds.,
Population and Social Change (London: Edward Arnold, 1972), pp. 451-99;
"Toward an Analysis of Demographic and Economic Change in Tokugawa
Japan: A Village Study," The Journal of Asian Studies 31 (May 1972):
515-37; and "Toward a Reexamination of the Economic History of Tokugawa
Japan, 1600-1867," The Journal of Economic History 33 (September 1973):
509-41. The authors point specifically to similarities between England and
Japan in the first of these articles on pp. 451 and 485 and in the second
article on p. 536.
11. R. P. Dore, Education in Tokugawa Japan (Berkeley: University of
California Press, 1965); and Thomas C. Smith, "Farm Family By-employ-
ments in Preindustrial Japan," The Journal of Economic History 29 (December
1969): 687-715.
Edo's influence was carried down through the various levels of the
urban hierarchy. At the very least, we should examine the possibility
that Edo also provides a "convenient point of entry into the study
of the whole range of changes which took place."''3
In the absence of studies focusing on Edo's primacy in generating
social change, we are confronted with incomplete interpretations of
the mechanisms of social change during the first half of the Tokugawa
period and, more seriously, with one-sided impressions of the nature
of social change during the second half of this period. By now there
is general agreement that the seventeenth century was characterized
by unprecedented rapid urbanization. What is less clear is how this
urban growth transpired. What made possible a sudden four- or
five-fold jump in the urban population of Japan and a more than
doubling of the urban percentage? Comparisons with other premodern
societies suggest that three basic factors were involved: 1) the prior
existence by the late sixteenth century of a solid foundation of com-
mercial exchange; 2) the deliberate restructuring of administrative
practices and settlement patterns to maximize urban concentrations;
and 3) the promotion of new growth mechanisms which stimulated
the continued mobilization of increasing amounts of resources into
cities. By design, Edo became the center in the restructuring process
and at the same time an heir to the commercial legacy of the past.
A case will be made below that, in a less deliberate manner, Edo
also became the main source for the new mechanisms of resource
accumulation which pervaded all of Japan.
During the seventeenth century Edo's special significance for
overall urban growth in Japan stemmed above all from new patterns
of elite migration associated with the sankin k3tai system of alternate
residence and from the continually rising demand for goods and reve-
nues to meet the responsibilities commensurate with each elite position
within the city's finely stratified population. Unlike the sixteenth cen-
tury efforts at urban consolidation promoted by local lords,'4 impulses
emanating from the top of the urban hierarchy now produced waves
of urban growth in successively lower level cities. Daimyo transformed
their castle cities to support new mobilization of local resources to
meet expenses in Edo. Centralization in Edo spurred increased accu-
mulation and production also in Osaka and Kyoto and in smaller
cities, reaching eventually to the local commercial nexes subordinate
the gap between the two rates was roughly as in London and held
throughout the period. Accordingly, if the difference between the two
rates had fluctuated around 10 per 1,000 per annum, then at the time
when the population of Edo was one million, the shortfall of births
each year is assumed to have been 10,000. To make good this short-
fall and to permit an annual increase of the total population of 8,000,
the net immigration into Edo must have fluctuated around 18,000 per
annum. As Edo's population rose between 1590 and 1720, the net
immigration figure must also have been generally rising, with the city
at first requiring fewer persons to replace its losses through the excess
of deaths over births. Based on these assumptions, we should envision
a net immigration of about 10,000 persons during the first half of the
seventeenth century, 15,000 persons in the second half of that century,
and about 18,000 persons by the early eighteenth century. After the
relative stabilization of Edo's population at 1.0 to 1.2 million, a net
immigration figure of about 10,000! would again have been sufficient.
Two types of migration into Edo can be distinguished. Most widely
noted has been the elite inter-city mobility of daimyo, rejoining mem-
bers of their families left in Edo and accompanied by large entourages
of their samurai retainers often travelling with their families.17 This
closely regulated annual migration under the sankin k5tai system
involved increasing numbers of persons during the seventeenth cen-
tury, but its growth must have virtually stopped by the early eighteenth
century. Excluding the stationary hatamoto and gokenin, who together
with their families comprised perhaps ten per cent of Edo's popula-
tion, this assembled elite continuously replenished from f5kamachi
throughout Japan constituted roughly 25 to 30 per cent of the city's
population.
It would be difficult to exaggerate the importance of this regular
circulation of Japan's elite population between local f5kamachi and
Edo. In my opinion, this system of alternate residence ranks as the
single greatest accomplishment of Japanese leaders precisely because
it built on the already considerable scale of urban and, commercial
development to accelerate the mobilization of resources at both
national and local levels. Its multiplying effects, beginning with the
demand for supporting personnel in Edo, had ramifications that
reached from city to village throughout all parts of the country carried
by the migrating messengers of change.
The estimates of Edo's population classified as bushi, which are
season tickets parcelled among employees who take turns visiting the
facilities. It remains to be explored whether this male-oriented climate
was affected by the gradual shift in the balance of population main-
tenance away from in-migration toward natural increase.
At a time of declining village populations in the hinterlands of
big cities, Edo's continued slight population growth suggests that the
city maintained, and relative to other big cities increased, its appeal
to peasant migrants. The dynamics of migration changed markedly
from the first half of the Tokugawa period, reflected in a growing
mobile labor force finding employment outside of Edo and other
large cities. Policies to restrict entry into Edo and at times to return
recent arrivals may have contributed to, but were not the principal
cause of, this gradual realignment of labor mobility. Population move-
ment in eastern Japan was once oriented almost exclusively toward
Edo, but by the mid-nineteenth century intra-regional mobility in-
creased; as the volume of migration to the largest cities declined and
the number of migrants from village to village and to small cities in-
creased. In this respect, repeated in the histories of tens of other
Tokugawa cities, urban-centered patterns of movement bred new
rural-centered patterns as well. The details of this transformation in
migration patterns remain to be discovered. Furthermore, the problem
of explaining migration to Edo in terms of the characteristics of the
places of origin, as has been done for the major nineteenth century
Russian cities by Barbara Anderson, looms as an important task for
future study.29
While a much smaller proportion of Japanese had direct experi-
ence with life in Edo than did Englishmen with life in London, Edo's
demonstration effect took on added significance because of the elite
nature of its migrants. The daimyo and their retainers represented a
circulating elite with impressive control over resource allocation in
every local area of Japan except for areas directly administered from
Edo in which resources were mobilized without need for such an elite
through the more common procedure of dispatching officials to repre-
sent central interests. While chonin and other non-samurai throughout
Japan did not themselves exhibit a regular pattern of migration to
Edo, their efforts to control resources became closely intertwined with
this recurrent circulation of the elite. To a large extent, the popula-
tions of the castle cities engaged in accumulating goods and revenues
for use in Edo. In this respect, the regular movement to and from
Edo of individuals with exceptional control over local resources
swelled the city's impact throughout Japan. Given the inevitable
limitations on centralization in premodern societies as large as Japan,
a circulating elite proved to be a strikingly effective device. Elsewhere
I have argued that this was a similarity between Japan and Russia,
which helps explain their subsequent speed of modernizations
While the number of individuals moving in and out of Edo each
year totaled some tens of thousands, a much larger number, certainly
reaching into the millions, participated in the production, transporta-
tion, and exchange of goods bound for Edo. Indirectly nearly every-
one in Japan contributed in some way to the sizable han revenues
and the lively national commerce which supported new habits of
consumption in Edo. In turn, behavior and attitudes reflected the
decreasing self-sufficiency and growing outside orientation. Changing
family patterns resulting from popular aspirations for a higher living
standard most likely closely corresponded to the commercialization of
rural life. Marketing, probably more than migration, broadened the
horizons of ordinary villagers.
With respect to marketing, Edo's preeminence in the transforma-
tion of Tokugawa society is not nearly as indisputable as was Lon-
don's domination over English society. Unlike London, Edo was not
the first city in Japan associated with the development of a national
marketing system, nor was it the city during most of the Tokugawa
period best known for extensive commercial and credit facilities. In-
stead, Osaka and, at least during the seventeenth century, Kyoto have
long captured attention for economic supremacy, most notably through
a huge grain market, diverse specialty products from practically every
locale, and numerous handicraft industries. The heartland of com-
mercialized agriculture within the densely settled Kinki area pumped
goods directly into these neighboring cities. Does this mean that Edo's
contribution to social change centered on migration, while Osaka and
Kyoto dominated in marketing? Separate examination of the stages of
marketing in the Tokugawa period is needed to show Edo's position
relative to these cities.
During at least the first half of the seventeenth century Edo's
impact on the production and accumulation of goods throughout all
but a few areas of Japan was mediated largely through Osaka, nearby
34. My view on the unimportance of foreign trade contrasts with the view
expressed by Smith, "Pre-modern Economic Growth," pp. 147-49.
35. Gilbert Rozman, Urban Networks in Russia, 1750-1800, and Pre-
modern Periodization, chapter 1.