Pratik Tiwari Finance Project
Pratik Tiwari Finance Project
Pratik Tiwari Finance Project
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION AND RESEARCH DESIGN
1.1 INTRODUCTION:
The link between credit risk and return patterns on equity markets has
increasingly become an area of interest. In this project we investigate the
existence of a systematic relationship between credit ratings, as indicators of
credit risks, and abnormal equity returns. In particular, we investigate the
announcement effect on equity returns associated with credit rating changes.
Furthermore, we contribute to the understanding of the observed announcement
effects by relating them to various components of the rating process. Through sub
sample and cross-sectional analysis we gain a deeper understanding of the driving
forces behind the characteristics of the observed announcement effects. In
general, we argue that variations in announcement effects are driven by various
event and issuer specific characteristics and that these can be related to the
relevance and implication of the information as well as the degree of market
anticipation. Specifically, rating updates driven by changes in profitability and
market position are more pricing relevant than those motivated by changes in
capital structure. Also, rating events preceded by official opinions of the likely
direction of the rating update have less pricing impact. Based on these two
dimensions we identify several additional aspects of the credit rating process with
implications for the impact on equity returns. These explanatory factors provide
the foundation for a comprehensive analysis of the asymmetric reactions between
upgrades and downgrades as well as for the cross-sectional variations for both
rating events.
However, credit ratings are only opinions and not recommendations to buy, sell,
or hold a security, High ratings are not a guarantee that an entity is a safe
investment. Even an entity with an AAA rating (the highest) has approximately
one chance in 600 of default over a five-year period. The differences in credit
quality increase with each category lower down the scale, which is reflected in
the default frequencies measured of the individual categories. For example, over
an 18-year period, from 1971 to 1988, there were no one-year defaults in the AAA
or AA category.
In fact, the rating is an opinion on the future ability and legal obligation of the
issuer to make timely payments of principal and interest on a specific fixed
income security. The rating measures the probability that the issuer will default
on the security over its life, which depending on the instrument may be a matter
also provide information about countries' sovereign debt. The global credit rating
industry is highly concentrated, with three agencies: Moody's, Standard & Poor's
and Fitch. CRAs are regulated at several different levels the Credit Rating Agency
Reform Act of 2006 regulates their internal processes, record-keeping, and
business practices.
The agencies came under heavy scrutiny and regulatory pressure because of the
role they played in the financial crisis and Great Recession. The global credit
rating industry is highly concentrated, with three agencies Moody's, Standard &
Poor's and Fitch controlling nearly the entire market. Together, the provide a
much-needed service for both borrowers and lenders, as well as to lenders. They
intend to give the market information that is both reliable and accurate about the
risks associated with certain kinds of debt. Fitch is one of the world's top three
credit rating agencies. It operates in New York and London, basing ratings on
company debt and its sensitivity to changes like interest rates. When it comes to
sovereign debt, countries request Fitch and other agencies to provide an
evaluation of their financial situation along with the political and economic
climates. Investment grade ratings from Fitch range from AAA to BBB. These
letter grades indicate no to low potential for default on debt. Non-investment
grade ratings go from BB to D, the latter meaning the debtor has defaulted. The
credit ratings industry began to adopt some important changes and innovations in
1970. Investors subscribed to publications from each of the ratings agencies and
issuers paid no fees for performance of research and analyses that were a normal
part of the development of published credit ratings. As an industry, credit ratings
agencies began to recognize that objective credit ratings significantly helped
issuers: They facilitated access to capital by increasing a securities issuer's value
in the market place and decreasing the costs of obtaining capital. Expansion and
complexity in the capital markets coupled with an increasing demand for
statistical and analytical services led to the industry-wide decision to charge
issuers of securities fees for ratings services. In 1975, financial institutions such
as commercial banks and securities broker-dealers sought to soften the capital
and liquidity requirements passed down by the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). As a result, nationally recognized statistical ratings
organizations (NRSROs) were created.
Financial institutions could satisfy their capital requirements by investing in
securities that received favourable ratings by one or more of the NRSROs. This
allowance is the result of registration requirements coupled with greater
regulation and oversight of the credit ratings industry by the SEC. The increased
demand for ratings services by investors and securities issuers, combined with
increased regulatory oversight, has led to growth and expansion in the credit
ratings industry. Credit rating agencies came under heavy scrutiny and regulatory
pressure following the financial crisis and Great Recession of 2007 to 2009. It
was believed that CRAs provided ratings that were too positive, leading to bad
investments. Part of the problem was that despite the risk, the agencies continued
to give mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) AAA-ratings. These ratings led many
investors to believe that these investments were very safe with little to no risk.
The agencies were accused of trying to raise profits as well as their market share
in exchange for these inaccurate ratings. This helped lead to the subprime
mortgage market collapse that led to the financial crisis. To add fuel to the fire,
the agencies' European sovereign debt ratings were also cause for scrutiny. After
the calamity caused by the debt crisis of several European countries including
Greece and Portugal, the agencies downgraded the ratings of other nations in the
EU. Some have argued that regulators have helped to prop up an oligopoly in the
credit rating industry, providing rules that act as barriers to entry for small- or
mid-sized agencies. New rules in the EU have made CRAs liable for improper or
negligent ratings that cause damage to an investor. Investors may utilize
information from a single agency or from multiple rating agencies. Investors
expect credit rating agencies to provide objective information based on sound
analytical methods and accurate statistical measurements.
Investors also expect issuers of securities to comply with rules and regulations set
forth by governing bodies, in the same respect that credit rating agencies comply
with reporting procedures developed by securities industry governing agencies.
The analyses and assessments provided by various credit rating agencies provide
investors with information and insight that facilitates their ability to examine and
understand the risks and opportunities associated with various investment
environments. With this insight, investors can make informed decisions as to the
countries, industries and classes of securities in which they choose to invest.
Tania Jaleel (2018)2: This article explains about what are credit rating? And how
is it important? It explains the credit rating scale and the how different credit
ratings agencies give ratings. Also the uses of credit ratings during investment
decision is discussed.
Yogita Khatri (2017) 3: This article explains about what leads to the downgrade
of credit ratings? How does it impact companies? How downgrade impacts us?
What should we do? And How should companies anticipate a downgrade?. It is
also discussed that the firms with high debt-equity ratio and firms with poor
interest coverage ratio.
Neeraj Thakur (2017) 4: This article explains about criteria used by international
ratings agencies to rate the debt profile of different countries. Further, also
criticised for methodologies and differential treatment shown towards India.
Gayatri Nayak (2017) 5: This article gives information regarding the Economic
Survey has slammed credit rating companies for their inconsistency in making
projections and criticised the methodologies adopted by them. It is also critical of
the differential treatment they showed towards India.
Economic Times, article on rating shopping (2019) 6: This article explains that
rating agencies have been largely blamed for their lax policies and oversight for
the 2008 global financial crisis, which primarily spawned from junk-type
mortgage bonds and their derivatives worth trillion of dollars that the Wall Street
bankers invented and hawked across the globe to get AAA ratings and finally
imploded.
The Hindu, article on credit ratings (2017) 7: This article explains about What
is a credit rating? Why do countries get credit ratings? What factors decide these
ratings? And Where does India stand now?. It also discusses how India’s credit
rating has been upgraded by Moody’s, a global credit rating agency.
The Hindu, article on reliability of credit ratings (2019) 8: This article explains
that Can we rely on credit ratings? How reliable are these assigned credit ratings?.
It also gives details about mutual incentives and fiduciary duties.
The Hindu, article on credit rating illusions (2018) 9: This article explains how
credit ratings create a illusion in the market and their frequent irregular ratings.
Further, it also discusses about the areas of development in credit ratings industry.
Thomas Bergh & Olof Lennstrom (2006) 10: This is a thesis of Stockholm
School of Economics which demonstrates topics such as credit rating process
and their impacts on equity returns.
Rai University (2013) 12: This lesson gives information regarding credit rating
methodologies, process, factors involved in rating, instruments used while rating,
limitation, factors involved in financial decision and various approach towards
credit ratings.
E gordon & Dr. K. Natrajan (2009)13: This is a book which explains various
aspects and types of credit rating, credit rating agencies and their working.
Whereas, it also showcases its roles, drawbacks and benefits.
M Y Khan (2013) 14: This book explains about credit rating agencies and their
credit rating, what they are, how they work, and why they are relevant.
Subsequently, it also explains credit rating foundation and business.
Savita Bodke (2019) 15: This book gives information about various aspects of
credit rating agencies such as its origin, features, advantages, regulatory
framework, rating process, limitations and symbols.
1.8 REFERENCES:
1. Sanket Dhanorkar (2019), ‘How reliable are credit ratings?’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/how-reliable-are-credit-
ratings/articleshow/68122355.cms
2. Tania Jaleel (2018), ‘What is credit rating and how important is it while making
an investment decision?’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/what-is-credit-rating-and-
how-important-is-it-while-making-an-investment-
decision/articleshow/65806143.cms
5. Gayatri Nayak (2017), ‘No credit to global rating agencies’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/economic-survey-
no-credit-to-global-rating-agencies/articleshow/56901670.cms?from=mdr
10. Thomas Bergh & Olof Lennstrom (2006), ‘Credit ratings and equity
returns’, Stockholm School of Economics
http://arc.hhs.se/download.aspx?MediumId=132
13. E Gordon & Dr. K. Natrajan (2009), ‘Financial Markets and Services’,
Himalaya Publishing House, Pg. 450-466
CHAPTER II
INTRODUCTION TO CREDIT RATING AGENCIES
2.1 INTRODUCTION:
Credit Rating Agency means any commercial concern engaged in the business of
credit rating of any debt obligation or of any project or programme requiring
finance, whether in the form of debt or otherwise, and includes credit rating of
any financial obligation, instrument or security, which has the purpose of
providing a potential investor or any other person any information pertaining to
the relative safety of timely payment of interest or principal.
It is a company that assigns credit ratings to institutions that issue debt obligations
securities. These institutions can be companies, cities, non-profit organizations,
or national governments, and the securities they issue can be traded on a
secondary market. A credit rating measures credit worthiness, or the ability to pay
back a loan. It affects the interest rate applied to loans - interest rates vary
depending on the risk of the investment. A low-rated security has a high interest
rate, in order to attract buyers to this high-risk investment. Conversely, a highly-
rated security (carrying a AAA rating, like a municipal bond which is backed by
stable government agencies) has a lower interest rate, because it is a low-risk
investment. These low risk bonds are available to a wide range of investors,
whereas high-risk bonds cater to a narrow investing demographic. Companies
that issue credit scores for individuals are usually called credit bureaus and are
distinct from corporate ratings agencies.
Each rating agency has developed its own system of rating grades for sovereign
and corporate borrowers. They are the main authority to assign rate of credit for
the companies who issue debt. Any investor can measure the risk of bad debt after
analysis these credit rates. These credit rates are fixed on the basis of ability to
pay back the loan.
In capital market, its importance is not less than SEBI because credit rating
agencies protect different investors from risk of financial loss by providing them
up to date information of credit rate. To compare the loan on the basis of quality
of credit and loan. Suppose X, Y and Z are three companies offering debentures
to investors. Credit rating agencies will assign their credit rate because these are
financial expert and assign rate on the basis of analysis of past financial records.
Further expansion of the credit rating industry took place in 1916, when the Poor's
Publishing Company published its first rating followed by the Standard Statistics
Company in 1922, and Fitch Publishing Company in 1924. The Standard
Statistics Company merged in 1941 to form Standard and Poor's, which was
subsequently taken, over by McGraw Hill in 1966. For almost 50 years, since the
setting up of Fitch Publishing in 1924, there were no major new entrants in the
field of credit rating and then in the 1970s, a number of credit rating agencies
commenced operations all over the world. These included the Canadian Bond
Rating Service (1972), Thomson Bankwatch (1974), Japanese Bond Rating
Institute (1975), McCarthy Crisani and Maffei (1975 acquired by Duff and Phelps
in 1991), Dominican Bond Rating Service (1997), IBCA Limited (1978), and
Duff and Phelps Credit Rating Company (1980). There are credit rating agencies
in operation in many other countries such as Malaysia, Philippines, Mexico,
Indonesia, Pakistan, Cyprus, Korea, Thailand and Australia.
In India, the Credit Rating and Information Services of India Ltd. (CRISIL) was
set up as the first rating agency in 1987, followed by ICRA Ltd. (formerly known
as Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited) in 1991,
and Credit Analysis and Research Ltd. (CARE) in 1994. The ownership pattern
of all the three agencies is institutional. Duff and Phelps has tied up with two
Indian NBFCs to set up Duff and Phelps Credit Rating India (P) Limited in 1996.
2.7.1 GUIDELINES:
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Credit Rating Agencies)
Regulations, 1999 offers various guidelines with regard to the registration and
functioning of the credit rating agencies in India. The registration procedure
includes application for the establishment of a credit rating agency, matching the
eligibility criteria and providing all the details required. They have to undergo the
strict examination procedure with regard to the details furnished by them. They
are required to prepare internal procedures, abidance with circulars. They are
offered guidelines regarding the credit rating procedure, by the Act. The credit
rating agencies are provided with compliance officers. They are required to show
their accounting records.
CHAPTER III
WORKING OF CREDIT RATING AGENCIES IN INDIA
3.1 INTRODUCTION:
A credit rating agency is a private company whose purpose is to assess the ability
of borrowers, either governments or private enterprises, to repay their debt. To
do this, these agencies issue credit ratings based on the borrower’s solvency. The
three biggest global rating agencies control 95% of the market. They include Fitch
Rating Ltd, Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s. Since 2011, these independent
companies have had to obtain certification from the European Securities and
Markets Authority (ESMA) in order to operate in Europe. ESMA performs
regular inspections to ensure that the rating agencies are following European
regulations and the authority can issue sanctions for any infractions. Credit rating
agencies collect a fee either from the entity seeking to receive a rating or from the
entity seeking to use and analyse the rating. To evaluate the solvency of
borrowers, rating agencies issue credit ratings corresponding to the credit risk
represented by the borrower, or in other words, the risk that the borrower will
default on the loan. Credit ratings place this risk on a scale ranging from low risk
investment category to high risk speculative category. Though there is no
standard scale, credit ratings are typically expressed by letters corresponding to
the potential risk, with the highest rating represented by AAA and the lowest
rating by C or D, according to the agency. In addition to the letter grade, a credit
rating might also consist of a “forecast” that describes how a particular rating may
change in the future. For example, a credit rating with a negative outlook may
indicate a future downgrade. Each rating agency uses its own method to calculate
its ratings. These methods take into account quantitative, qualitative, business
strategy for a company or political stability for a country and contextual criteria
like changes in industry for a company or public finances for a country. The final
rating represents the credit agency’s evaluation of a borrower’s credit risk at a
given time. It does not constitute investment advice.
Along with other criteria, investors take credit ratings into account to help manage
their portfolios. A rating downgrade indicates a greater risk for the lender.
Depending on the sensitivity of the market, investors may require a higher return
to protect against this risk, which in turn raises financing costs for the borrower.
3. Eligibility Criteria
The Board shall not consider an application for the grant of a certificate unless
the applicant satisfies the following condition:
i. The applicant is set up and registered as a company under the Companies Act,
1956.
ii. The applicant has, in its memorandum of Association, specified rating activity
as one of its main objects.
iii. The applicant has a minimum net worth of rupees five crores.
iv. The applicant has adequate infrastructure, to enable it to provide rating service.
v. The applicant and the promoters of the applicant have professional
competence, financial soundness and general reputation of fairness and integrity
6. Grant of certificate
i. The Board. On being satisfied that the applicant is eligible for the grant of a
certificate of registration, shall grant a certificate.
ii. The grant of certificate of registration shall be subject to the payment of the
registration fee specified.
8. Renewal of certificate
A credit rating agency, if it desires renewal of the certificate granted to it, shall
make to the Board an application for the renewal of the certificate or registration
within 3 months before expiry of the period of the validity of the certificate. The
application for the renewal shall be accompanied by a renewal fee.
2. Equity Rating
Rating of equity shares issued by a company is called equity rating. Rating of
equity shares is not mandatory in India but credit rating agency ICRA has
formulated a system for equity rating. Even SEBI has no immediate plans for
compulsory credit rating of initial public offerings (IPOs).
6. Borrowers Rating
Rating of borrowers is referred as borrower rating. It can also be referred as
borrowers, may be an individual or a company is known as borrower’s rating.
9. Bank Rating
Private and cooperative banks have been failing quite regularly in India. People
like to deposit money in banks which are financially sound and capable of
repaying back the deposits. CRISIL and ICRA are now doing rating of banks.
In all, ratings are classified into 14 or 15 categories. Signs “+” or “-” are used to
show the certainty of timely payment. The suffix + or – may be used to indicate
the comparative position of the instrument within the group covered by the
symbol. Thus FAA- lies one notch above FA+. To provide finer gradations, rating
industry attach + or – to their ratings. The rating symbols for different instruments
of the same company need not necessarily be the same.
2. Investment Grades
i. A: Denotes adequate safety in terms of timely payment of interest and principal.
Changes in circumstances can adversely affect such issues.
ii. BBB: Triple B denotes moderate safety in terms of timely payment of interest
and principal speculative grades.
3. Speculative Grades
i. BB: Double B denotes inadequate safety terms of timely payment of interest
and principal. Uncertain changes can lead to inadequate financial capacity to
make timely payments in the immediate future.
ii. B: denotes high risk. Adverse changes could lead to inability or unwillingness
to pay timely payment.
iii. C: denotes substantial risk.
iv. D: denotes default in terms of timely payment of interest and principal.
These symbols are just a current opinion of an agency and they are not
recommendations to invest or not to invest. The rating assigned applies to a
particular instrument of the company and is not a general evaluation of the
company.
i. Industry Risk:
Nature and basis of competition, key success factors, demand and supply
position, structure of industry, cyclical factors, government policies and so on.
ii. Market Position of the Issuing Entity Within the Industry:
i. Accounting Quality:
Overstatement of profits, auditor qualifications, method of income recognition,
inventory valuation and depreciation policies, off-balance sheet liabilities and so
on.
ii. Earnings Prospects:
Sources of future earnings growth, profitability ratios, earnings in relation to fixed
income charges and so on.
iii. Adequacy of Cash Flows:
In relation to debt and working capital needs, stability of cash flows, capital
spending flexibility, working capital management and so on.
iv. Financial Flexibility
Alternative financing plans in times of stress, ability to raise funds and so on.
3. Management Risk
A proper assessment of debt protection levels requires an evaluation of the
management philosophies and its strategies. The analyst compares the company’s
business strategies and financial plans to provide insights into a management’s
abilities, with respect to forecasting and implementing of plans. Specific areas
reviewed include:
i. Track record of the management, planning and control systems, depth of
managerial talent, succession plans.
ii. Evaluation of capacity to overcome adverse situation and
iii. Goals, philosophy and strategies.
4. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis should include:
i. Capital Adequacy:
Assessment of the true net worth of the issuer, its adequacy in relation to the
volume of business and the risk profile of the assets.
ii. Resources:
Overview of funding sources, funding profile, cost and tenor of various sources
of funds.
iii. Asset Quality:
Quality of the issuer’s credit risk management, systems for monitoring credit,
sector risk, exposure to individual borrowers, management of problems credits
and so on.
iv. Liquidity Management:
Capital structure, term matching of assets and liabilities, policy on liquid assets
in relation to financing commitments and maturing deposits.
v. Profitability and Financial Position:
Historic profit, spreads on funds deployment, revenues on fund-based services,
accretion to reserves and so on.
3. Obtaining Information
The analytical team obtains the requisite information from the client company.
Issuers are usually provided a list of information requirements and broad
framework for discussions. These requirements are derived from the experience
of the issuers business and broadly confirms to all the aspects which have a
bearing on the rating.
5. Presentation of Findings
After completing the analysis, the findings are discussed at length in the Internal
Committee, comprising senior analyst, of the credit rating agency. All the issue
having a bearing on rating are identified. An opinion on the rating is formed. The
findings of the team are finally presented to Rating Committee.
7. Communication of Decision
The assigned rating grade is communicated finally to the issuer along with
reasons or rationale supporting the rating. The ratings which are not accepted are
either rejected or reviewed in the light of additional facts provided by the issuer.
The rejected ratings are not disclosed and complete confidentiality is maintained.
CHAPTER IV
A STUDY OF AWARNESS ABOUT CREDIT RATING AGENCIES
4.1 INTRODUCTION:
In this chapter, data is analysed and interpreted through various sources. Data is
collected through 50 respondents in the city of Mumbai and then the answers
collected through the questionnaire is analysed and interpreted. The questions
which were included in the questionnaire consisted of different fundamental of
credit rating and agencies such as awareness about credit rating agencies,
knowledge and sources of credit rating, preference of agencies, investment
decision, additional purposes, are ratings given by agencies easy to understand
and reliable, does it affect equity returns, is the process transparent, does it affect
corporate image, are agencies in foreign better than agencies in India, are ratings
time saving, does it enables accompany to grow and lastly, does it affect
consumer preference is discussed in the questionnaire. Overall, the output was
positive and people were aware of the various aspects in the credit rating industry.
Preparation is vital and it only focuses on the aims of the investigation and
consider how the data is to be analysed before collecting it. Failure to do this may
result in data being collected that is incomplete or that is not adequate for
satisfying the research aims. The means of analysis is also decided before the
questionnaire is delivered, not after the data is collected, this is to ensure that the
questions are in a format which is suitable for analysis by the package chosen. A
lot of skill is involved in designing a good statistically sound questionnaire. Data
Protection legislation is complied with it and only data that is essential should is
collected and is only be used for the purposes declared on the questionnaire.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 1 shows that there was 1 respondent in the age of 17, 18,
22,23,29. 2, 3 & 4 respondents in the age of 25,28 & 19 respectively. There are
12 respondents in the age of 21 and 20 respondents in the age of 20.
2. Gender
Table 2: Table 2 showing the no. of respondents among Male and Female.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 2 shows that there were 46 Male and 4 Female respondents
among the total 50 respondents.
Chart 3: Chart 3 showing the how many respondents are aware of credit rating.
Table 3: Table 3 showing no. of respondents who are aware of credit rating.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 3 shows that 42 respondents were aware of credit rating
which is 84% and 8 respondents were unaware of credit rating which is 16%
among the total 50 respondents.
Chart 4: Chart 4 showing the how many respondents are aware of credit rating
agencies.
Table 4: Table 4 showing no. of respondents who are aware of credit rating
agencies.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 4 shows that 38 respondents were aware of credit rating
agencies which is 76% and 12 respondents were unaware of credit rating agencies
which is 24% among the total 50 respondents.
Chart 5: Chart 5 showing how many respondents get knowledge about credit
ratings from.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 5 shows that 10 respondents used newspapers which is
20%, 9 respondents used magazines which is 18%, 26 respondents used internet
which is 52% and 5 respondents used other sources for getting knowledge about
credit rating among the 50 respondents.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 6 shows that 17 respondents prefer CRISIL which is 34%,
13 respondents prefer ICRA which is 26%, 13 respondents prefer CARE which
is 26% and 7 respondents prefer FITCH which is 14% among the 50 respondents.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 7 shows that 8 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 16%, 24 respondents choose agree which is 48%, 13 respondents choose
neutral which is 26%, 3 respondents choose disagree which is 6% and 2
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 8 shows that 7 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 14%, 24 respondents choose agree which is 48%, 13 respondents choose
neutral which is 26% and 6 respondents choose disagree which is 12% among
the 50 respondents.
Chart 9: Chart 9 showing how many respondents find Credit Rating given
by agencies easy to understand.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 9 shows that 6 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 12%, 19 respondents choose agree which is 38%, 19 respondents choose
neutral which is 38%, 5 respondents choose disagree which is 10% and 1
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
Chart 10: Chart 10 showing how many respondents find Credit Rating given
by agencies reliable.
Table 10: Table 10 showing no. of respondents finding Credit Rating given
by agencies reliable.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 10 shows that 11 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 22%, 20 respondents choose agree which is 40%, 12 respondents choose
neutral which is 24%, 6 respondents choose disagree which is 12% and 1
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
Chart 11: Chart 11 showing how many respondents think changes in Credit
Rating affect equity return.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 11 shows that 8 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 16%, 18 respondents choose agree which is 36%, 20 respondents choose
neutral which is 40%, 3 respondents choose disagree which is 6% and 1
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
12. Do you think there is transparency the agencies in the Credit rating
process?
Interpretation:
The above given Table 12 shows that 6 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 12%, 21 respondents choose agree which is 42%, 16 respondents choose
neutral which is 32%, and 7 respondents choose disagree which is 14% among
the 50 respondents.
13. Do you think that the agencies in foreign are better than the agencies
in India?
Chart 13: Chart 13 showing how many respondents think that the agencies
in foreign are better than the agencies in India.
Table 13: Table 13 showing no. of respondents think that the agencies in
foreign are better than the agencies in India.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 13 shows that 5 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 10%, 19 respondents choose agree which is 48%, 21 respondents choose
neutral which is 42%, 4 respondents choose disagree which is 8% and 1
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
14. Do you think Credit Rating helps in improving the corporate image of
a company?
Chart 14: Chart 14 showing how many respondents think Credit Rating
helps in improving the corporate image of a company.
Table 14: Table 14 showing no. of respondents think Credit Rating helps in
improving the corporate image of a company.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 14 shows that 11 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 22%, 27 respondents choose agree which is 54%, 7 respondents choose neutral
which is 14%, 4 respondents choose disagree which is 8% and 1 respondents
choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
15. Do you think Credit Rating helps in saving time and effort in
analysing the financial strength of a company?
Chart 15: Chart 15 showing how many respondents think Credit Rating
helps in saving time and effort in analysing the financial strength of a
company.
Table 15: Table 15 showing no. of respondents think Credit Rating helps in
saving time and effort in analysing the financial strength of a company.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 15 shows that 7 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 14%, 24 respondents choose agree which is 48%, 13 respondents choose
neutral which is 26%, 3 respondents choose disagree which is 6% and 6
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 6% among the 50 respondents.
Chart 16: Chart 16 showing how many respondents think Credit Rating
enable a company to grow and expand.
Table 16: Table 16 showing no. of respondents think Credit Rating enable a
company to grow and expand.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 16 shows that 8 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 16%, 25 respondents choose agree which is 50%, 11 respondents choose
neutral which is 22%, 5 respondents choose disagree which is 10% and 1
respondents choose strongly disagree which is 1% among the 50 respondents.
17. Please indicate to which extent you agree or disagree with the
following statements
Chart 17: Chart 17 showing how many respondents agree or disagree with
the following statements.
Table 17: Table 17 showing no. of respondents agree or disagree with the
following statements.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 17 shows that 24 respondents choose strongly agree, 15
respondents choose agree, 9 respondents choose neutral, 2 respondents choose
disagree and 0 respondents choose strongly disagree among the 50 respondents.
Chart 18: Chart 18 showing how many respondents think Credit Rating will
be useful in the future.
Table 18: Table 18 showing no. of respondents think Credit Rating will be
useful in the future.
Interpretation:
The above given Table 18 shows that 14 respondents choose strongly agree which
is 28%, 20 respondents choose agree which is 40%, 14 respondents choose
neutral which is 86% and 2 respondents choose disagree which is 6% which is
1% among the 50 respondents.
CHAPTER V
SUMMARY, MAJOR OBSERVATION & SUGGESTION
5.1 SUMMARY:
A Credit Rating is a useful tool not only for the investor, but also for the entities
looking for investors. An investment grade rating can put a security, company or
country on the global radar, attracting foreign money and boosting a nation's
economy. Indeed, for emerging market economies, the credit rating is key to
showing their worthiness of money from foreign investors, and because the credit
rating acts to facilitate investments, many countries and companies will strive to
maintain and improve their ratings, hence ensuring a stable political environment
and a more reliable.
It is an undisputed fact that Credit Rating Agencies play a key role in financial
markets by helping to reduce the informative gap between lenders and investors,
on one side, and issuers on the other side, about the creditworthiness of
companies. An investment grade rating can put a security, company or country
on the global radar, attracting foreign money and boosting a nation's economy.
Indeed, for emerging market economies, the credit rating is the key to showing
their worthiness of money from foreign investors. Credit rating helps the market
regulators in promoting stability and efficiency in the securities market. Ratings
make markets more efficient and transparent.
It is also seen that, there is no systematic link between indicators of credit risk
and equity market returns which applies to all credit rating events. However, the
information associated with credit rating changes may be pricing relevant for
equity investors depending on several issuer and event specific characteristics. In
particular, we find that the major explanatory factors for the magnitude of the
announcement effect as well as the differential effect between rating events are
related to indicators of information relevance and implications for shareholders
as well as the degree of market anticipation.
Lately, a series of recent spectacular studies, have put an increasing focus on the
link between bond and equity markets. This thesis provides insights to the
dynamics of the relationship between bond market risks and stock market returns.
By studying the announcement effects associated with credit rating updates as
well as various aspects of the rating process, this study confirms the role of the
CRAs as effective information providers and that the information is of interest
for a broader clientele than merely bond market investors.
1. CHAPTER II
In this chapter it is observed that, from where CRA’s are originated and how they
grew over the period, also the reason of setup of CRA’s is observed. Different
uses, functions and how CRA’s are regulated by SEBI is observed. Following
that, the top 4 CRA’s in India are analysed, the practical problems faced by them
and the need of CRA’s in future is observed.
2. CHAPTER III
In this chapter it is observed the overall working of credit rating agencies. It starts
with the registration of CRA’s. Then, different types of credit rating involved is
observed. Further, different credit rating symbols and methodology is observed.
Lastly, the credit rating process practiced by various CRA’s is observed.
3. CHAPTER IV
The observations of this chapter is done based on primary data collected through
questionnaire:
i. It is observed that, there were 46 Male and 4 Female respondents among the
total 50 respondents.
ii. It is observed that, 42 respondents were aware of credit rating which is 84%
and 8 respondents were unaware of credit rating which is 16% among the total 50
respondents.
iii. It is observed that, 38 respondents were aware of credit rating agencies which
is 76% and 12 respondents were unaware of credit rating agencies which is 24%
among the total 50 respondents.
iv. It is observed that, 10 respondents used newspapers which is 20%, 9
respondents used magazines which is 18%, 26 respondents used internet which is
52% and 5 respondents used other sources for getting knowledge about credit
rating among the 50 respondents.
5.3 SUGGESTION:
1. For Investors
i. Investors should not forget the Contract Law principle of ‘Caveat Emptor’.
Caveat Emptor means ‘let the buyer beware’. It should be forgotten that
everything including returns cannot be guaranteed and investments cannot be
risk-free.
ii. Investors should observe caution while investing their money and be aware
themselves before taking their investment decisions. Investors should self study
the facts and information available about the investment products and the
creditability of the issuers, before zeroing on their decisions.
iii. It is equally important for individual investors to maintain their good credit
history by repaying loans on time and not breaching any rules of law in respect
of investments, taxation, etc. that will go a long way in making the individual’s
future secure and smooth.
iv. Investors must understand that the objective of assessment for IPO Grading
and Credit Rating are very different; though the basis elements of the analysis are
same. Credit Rating assesses factors from debt-holders perspective and usually
requires recurring surveillance over the life of the instrument.
iii. The rating agencies make public only those ratings which are accepted by the
issuer companies. They should also publish even those ratings which are not
accepted by the given companies
iv. The credit rating agencies also follow qualitative aspects for rating which may
not be more reliable and accurate. Therefore, they should lay more emphasis on
quantitative factors.
v. Besides the given factors considered by the credit rating agencies, they should
also take into consideration other issues regarding investment like, liquidity risk,
prepayment risk, interest rate risk, taxation aspects, risk of securities market loss,
exchange loss risk, etc.
APPENDIX:
1. Name:
2. Age:
3. Gender:
⚫ Male
⚫ Female
⚫ Other
⚫ Other
8. Do you think Investment decisions are taken on the basis of Credit Rating?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
9. Are there any additional purposes other than investment decisions to check
Credit Rating?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
13. Do you think there is transparency by the agencies in the Credit Rating
process?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
14. Do you think that the agencies in foreign are better than the agencies in India?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
15. Do you think Credit Rating helps in improving the corporate image of a
company?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
16. Do you think Credit Rating helps in saving time and effort in analysing the
financial strength of a company?
⚫ Strongly Agree
⚫ Agree
⚫ Neutral
⚫ Disagree
⚫ Strongly Disagree
BIBLIOGRAPHY:
1. Sanket Dhanorkar (2019), ‘How reliable are credit ratings?’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/how-reliable-are-credit-
ratings/articleshow/68122355.cms
2. Tania Jaleel (2018), ‘What is credit rating and how important is it while making
an investment decision?’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/what-is-credit-rating-and-
how-important-is-it-while-making-an-investment-
decision/articleshow/65806143.cms
5. Gayatri Nayak (2017), ‘No credit to global rating agencies’, Economic Times
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/economic-survey-
no-credit-to-global-rating-agencies/articleshow/56901670.cms?from=mdr
10. Thomas Bergh & Olof Lennstrom (2006), ‘Credit ratings and equity
returns’, Stockholm School of Economics
http://arc.hhs.se/download.aspx?MediumId=132
13. E Gordon & Dr. K. Natrajan (2009), ‘Financial Markets and Services’,
Himalaya Publishing House, Pg. 450-466