Revision Midterm
Revision Midterm
Revision Midterm
o Liquidity:
o Debt vs Equity:
o Market value and Book value
To make financial decision : market value
+ Income statement:
Income statement equation: Earnings (Profit) = Rev – Expenses
o GAAP (accrual accounting method)
o Non cash items Earnings/Net income is not cash
o Time vs cost
+ Tax: marginal tax vs average tax marginal tax rate should be used to make financial
decisions
o Cash flows from operating activities (CFO) starts with net income (NI)
o Cash flows from investing activities (CFI)
o Cash flows from financing activities (CFO)
Accounting treats interest expense operating cash flows
To enhance comparison
+ Common sizing financial statements present financial statements in percentage
o Liquidity
o Leverage
o Asset management
o Profitability
o Market value
+ Some potential problems
+ Dupont identity:
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝑅𝑂𝐸 = = 𝑥 𝑥
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
o Simple model: all accounts and line items vary with sales
o Percentage of sales approach:
Estimating EFN (external financing needed)
EFN = projected assets – projected (liabilities + equity)
+ Growth rates:
+ Due cash flows (beginning cash flows): calculate the ending PV or FV and then
multiply the result by the (1+R).
+ Effective Annual Rate of Return (EAR): Actual return taking into account number of
compounding period effect
EAR is more relevant to use to make decision, instead of APR (quoted interest
rate)
+ Simplifications:
• Face value (FV)/Par value an amount bondholder get back at the maturity date.
($1,000)
• Coupon rate (c%): annual interest rate that the bond issuer commit to pay to
bondholders
• Coupon payment (C): amount of interest bondholders receive periodically
C = c%*FV
EX: c% = 8%; FV = $1,000 C= 8%*1,000 = $80
• Maturity date (T): the date the bond is expired and the bondholders get back the face
value
Yield to maturity (YTM):
o the required market rate of return on the bond bond issuers (borrowers)
o the actual return the bondholder earns if he/she buys the bond today at
market price and hold it till maturity bondholders (lenders)
Why do we need to price a bond? to make investment decision
VALUATION PRINCIPLE:
(Intrinsic) Value of financial asset = PV of its expected future cash flows
EX: Suppose that the Youth Corporation issues a 10-year zero-coupon bond to raise funds to finance a
plant expansion. The bond’s face value is $1000; coupon rate is 12 percent annually.
Answer:
+ Relationship between YTM and bond price: There is the negative (inverse) relationship
between market required return (YTM) and bond price
Bond concepts:
YTM (14%) > c% (12%) P< FV Discount Bond
YTM (12%) = c% (12%) P= FV Par Bond
YTM (10%) < c% (12%) P> FV Premium Bond
+ Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than high coupon rate bonds.
Reinvestment Rate Risk: Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be
reinvested
+ Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than long-term bonds.
+ High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than low coupon
rate bonds.
Calculate YTM:
• YTMJ= 17.5%
YTM = current yield + capital gain yield.
2/ ZERO COUPON BOND (PURE DISCOUNT BOND Bond pays NO periodic interest (coupon)
1 2 3 4 5
C 0 0 0 0 0
FV 1,000
Bond theorem: Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to yield about the
same return (the same YTM), regardless of the coupon rate.
If you know the price of one bond, you can estimate its YTM and use that to find
the price of the second bond. This is a useful concept that can be transferred to
valuing assets other than bonds.
Ex: Your company K is going to issue a new bond which has FV: 1000$ c%=6% T=5
years What should be the issuance price?
Suppose K. Bond has the same risk with J. Bond K can take J. Bond’s YTM to be its
YTM (17.5%)
How to know K and J have the same risk? we have to look at credit rating
• Inflation and Interest Rates
(1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where
o R = nominal rate
o r = real rate
o h = expected inflation rate
Approximation
oR=r+h
Discounted Dividend Model (DDM)
Share price depends on dividend and required return (R) (length of time investor hold the
share)
Dividends may not fixed and unknown because they depend on both firm’s performance
and dividend policy.
1/ Case 1: zero growth dividend (g=0) Dividends are constant forever perpetuity
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ………
D D D D D D
EX: A Company promise to pay dividend of $2/share forever and the R = 10%:
P = 2/0.1 = $20
b/ Constant growth case (g=const.): Dividends grow at constant growth rate (g: const.) forever
Growing perpetuity
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ………
D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
D1 = D0*(1+g)
The required return consists of 2 components: dividend yield (D1/P) and dividend
growth rate (g)
P = EPS1*(P/E)industry
EX: VNM ---Next year EPS of VNM = vnd 9,000
PE of dairy industry : 18x