Lecture Notes T01
Lecture Notes T01
Lecture Notes T01
Topic I: Introduction
This course is about: Corporate Finance
We ask two questions:
That there are general principals that tell us how to make these decisions is one of the
most remarkable facts in economics.
We start by examining investment decisions for a firm – say, Boeing Corp:
• Boeing has to decide what kinds of planes to design and build. Does it new
equipment? More employees?
• Where will it get money? Typically from financial markets. But then it faces a
decision. Should it issue bonds (which require fixed payments – interest), or stock?
⇒ These are the kind of decisions the firm needs to make. If these are made correctly,
value will be created. If these are made incorrectly, value will, typically, be destroyed.
So, we want to know what we can do to make these decisions correctly. With this in mind,
let’s consider the outline:
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
9. This will lead to a way to adapt NPV analysis for situations involving risk
10. Market efficiency also should be interesting to CFOs and investors in financial
markets, and it has been a hotly debated area in recent years. The question market
efficiency deals with is how quickly markets incorporate information. Can when make
money by trading on publicly available information?
11. The next topics use this material on risk as background to look specifically at the
question of debt versus equity. Can value be improved with this choice? Sometimes.
In this section, we consider the investment decisions as fixed
12. Finally, we integrate the financing with the investing decision. This is where tools
such as adjusted present value and weighted average cost of capital come into play
13. Options is a special topic at the end. Many kinds of financial decisions can be
thought of in terms of pricing an option. Here, our aim is to present foundational
material that will prepare you for finance electives.
Before defining the NPV rule, we need several present value concepts:
Future Value
Assume you deposit $1000 in a bank account that pays 10% interest:
FV = Principal + Interest
= $1000 + $1000(0.10)
= $1100.
= $1000 + $1000r
= $1000(1 + r).
FV = C0 (1 + r).
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
Present value
Suppose you need $1000 in one year. What do you need to put aside today? Note that
$1000 is now the future value:
$1000 = PV × (1 + r)
Rearranging:
$1000
PV =
1+r
when r = 10%, PV = $1000/(1.10) = $909.09. $909.09 is the present value of $1000, at
10%. Note that we are bringing the $1000 backward in time.
Definition Suppose you will have a cash flow of C1 in one year. The present value of C1
at interest rate r is:
C1
PV = .
1+r
Note that we reduced the $1000 to bring it back to the present. This is why present value
is sometimes called present discounted value.
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Discount factor = < 1.
1+r
This says that the PV of $1000 < $1000. Why? You earn r > 0 in a bank account.
An aside: Why do you earn r > 0 in a bank account? Suppose a bank said, “we will take
$1000 and give you $920 next year.” The interest rate is then
$920/$1000 − 1 = −0.08.
or -8%. You’d say: “I’d rather put my money in a mattress.” In this class, we will assume
the rate you can get in a bank is > 0. Keep in mind that this relies on money being
storable.
Note: a consequence is that $1000 is worth less to you one year from now than today if you
have access to a bank account. $1000 one year from now is worth $909.09 today. This
difference represents the time value of money.
So now we’ve learned about present value. What’s net present value?
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
Definition Consider an investment that pays a cash flow of C1 in 1 year and costs −C0
today. Interest rate is r. The NPV of the investment is:
C1
NPV = C0 + .
1+r
⇒ Basically, NPV is just present value. The “net” emphasizes that we have a negative
cash flow at time zero. It is helpful to put these on a diagram:
Cash Flow C0 C1
Time 0 1
Example You are a software developer. You see an opportunity to develop a software for
a specific client. The investment has a cost (required investment) of $0.5M and will pay
you $0.54M in one year. Interest rate is 5%. Payments are as follows:
Time 0 1
Note: C0 = −0.5M . That’s your cash flow (outflow ) at time 0. C1 = 0.54M . It is an inflow.
0.54
NPV = −0.5 +
1.05
= −0.5 + 0.5143
= $0.0143M
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
Definition NPV rule: Accept projects with NPV > 0 and reject projects NPV < 0.
Result. Following the NPV rule maximizes the value of the corporation.
To prove this result, let’s consider a very simple corporation, consisting of a single person
(Suzy), who has access to $1M and can borrow and lend from a bank at 20%. Suzy
allocates wealth between youth and old age. Assuming this bank represents Suzy’s only
opportunity, what should she do?
1. She can go on a trip around the world, and then live in poverty in old age
2. She can go on a smaller trip, have a moderate lifestyle in her youth (spending 0.5M)
and still have 0.5(1.2) = 0.6M for her old age. (Note: FV of 0.5M is 0.6M)
3. She can put it all in the bank and go for an even better trip around the world in old
age ($1.2M)
y = (1 − x)(1 + r)
• So the relation between consumption today and in old age is a straight line with a
negative slope of −(1 + r). For example, if she consumes everything today (1M) she
will have nothing in old age. If she saves everything, she will have 1.2M in old age
0.8
0.4
0
0.00
0.50
1.00
Dollars
today
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
• Suzy’s preferences between now and old age determine where she is on the line
• This shows the trade-off between spending now and in old age. The slope is negative,
and equal to −(1 + r). For every $1 you do not spend now, you get $1(1 + r) in old
age
• Now suppose Suzy considers opening a restaurant. Start-up costs would be 0.7M. She
could invest in this restaurant and have 0.8M in her old age. Should she invest? No.
• Why? If she puts the 0.7M in the bank, she has 0.7(1.2) = 0.84M ⇒ don’t need to
know anything about Suzy’s preferences to make this decision
• Now suppose Suzy spies a plot of land for a vineyard that costs 0.7M and will yield
0.91 in old age. Should she invest? It seems the answer should be yes
• But what if she is planning to spend money on college and an MBA? This will cost
her 0.2M. Now she only has 0.1M left. Should she still make the investment?
Suppose Suzy wishes to consume x$ today. For now, let’s say x > 0.3. She will need to
borrow x − 0.3. In old age, she has 0.91 from the vineyard. She has also borrowed x − 0.3,
and she needs to pay back the principal and interest on the loan. So:
y = 0.91 − (x − 0.3)(1 + r)
• What if x ≤ 0.3? Then she will be able to invest 0.3 − x in the bank. In old age, she
has:
y = 0.91 + (0.3 − x)(1 + r) = 0.91 − (x − 0.3)(1 + r)
• In fact, she can move everything to old age, in which case she has:
• Mathematically, this equation says that if Suzy wants to consume everything today,
she can consume x, where x solves:
0 = 0.91 − (x − 0.3)(1.2)
which implies:
0.91
x= + 0.3 = 1.06M
1.2
Economically, what’s going on? The bank knows Suzy will have access to this 0.91 in
the future and is happy to lend her the PV of it now, knowing she will pay it back.
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
• Last point: We may be tempted to think the slope has changed, the reason being
that the investment rate has changed. The investment in the vineyard has a return
rL , where:
0.91
rV = − 1 = 30%
0.7
Note: rV > 20%. Shouldn’t we re-draw the line with slope −(1 + rV )? No because:
1. Suzy borrows at r, not rV (fortunately for Suzy who likes to consume today).
2. Suzy cannot scale up her vineyard investment (unfortunately for Suzy who likes
to consume tomorrow).
We’ve established that Suzy should invest in the vineyard as long as it yields more than
the investment in the bank. In other words, as long as:
C1 > −C0 (1 + r)
Recall −C0 = 0.7M . Moving the RHS to the left and dividing by 1 + r leads to the NPV
rule:
C1
NPV = C0 + >0
1+r
We have just shown that following the NPV rule is optimal for Suzy, regardless of her
preferences for consumption in youth or old age.
Should corporations follow the same rule? The problem for corporations is different because
there is not one shareholder, but many. For now, assume the corporation is all equity.
Consider a small corporation “Mini GM”. This corporation has two shareholders:
Assume: (1) has NPV < 0, while (2) has NPV > 0. Is there a conflict between Grandma
and the Child’s investment trust over which project to pick?
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
• No – both are better off if Mini GM develops self-driving cars. The reason is
Grandma can borrow, and then she / her heirs, can repay the loan using the project’s
cash flows
• Both shareholders, regardless or their preference for current or future income, want
the firm to choose the positive NPV project
Another name for this result is the Separation Theorem. This is one of many we will see:
Separation Theorem Investment decision does not depend on preferences of individual
investors for current vs. future income
• This implies all shareholders want the firm to use the NPV rule, which maximizes
their share value. Then they will use the capital markets, e.g. a bank, to obtain
desired consumption
• Let’s consider the importance of this theorem: without it, the CFO’s job would be
impossible. The real GM CFO would have to poll thousands of people to see when
they wanted their consumption, and somehow aggregate those preferences.
Individuals, on the other hand, would have to always be lobbying for their wishes.
Because the NPV rule works, we can diversify our wealth across corporations, and
corporations can draw from the huge amount of resources available in capital markets
⇒ This rule will be the basis of all we do. We made some simplifying assumptions: single
period and no uncertainty. These will be relaxed later. Some assumptions are more critical:
1. The borrowing rate is equal to the lending rate (alternatively, access to a secondary
market in which to sell shares).
2. All investors have the same information (or they might disagree on NPV or even r).
3. Markets are competitive (no firm affects interest rates).
Why do these assumptions matter? Clearly, if many investors are unable to borrow, our
argument breaks down because they would prefer consumption today. If investors cannot
agree on what constitutes a positive NPV project, then they will want the firm to do
different things. If a firm affects interest rates by its investment, then some investors may
want the firm to take actions that raise rates, while others will want the opposite.
These assumptions are reasonably approximations in today’s world economy, most of the
time. Many people can borrow fairly inexpensively by using their home as collateral.
Moreover, most U.S. shareholders are wealthy or are institutions and face low borrowing
costs. They are also similarly well-informed. Finally, in the US, even very large
corporations are small relative to the economy.
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Jessica Wachter Notes for Finance 604
As you will see throughout this course, their is a tradeoff in building theories between
simplicity and realism. The aim is to not exactly imitate the world, but to build a theory
that is simple and makes reasonable assumptions, and then to see how far it takes you.