Supply Chain Drivers
Supply Chain Drivers
Supply Chain Drivers
Origins Of TQM
Total quality management has evolved from the quality assurance methods that were first developed
around the time of the First World War. The war effort led to large scale manufacturing efforts that
often produced poor quality. To help correct this, quality inspectors were introduced on the production
line to ensure that the level of failures due to quality was minimized.
After the First World War, quality inspection became more commonplace in manufacturing
environments and this led to the introduction of Statistical Quality Control (SQC), a theory developed by
Dr. W. Edwards Deming. This quality method provided a statistical method of quality based on sampling.
Where it was not possible to inspect every item, a sample was tested for quality. The theory of SQC was
based on the notion that a variation in the production process leads to variation in the end product. If
the variation in the process could be removed this would lead to a higher level of quality in the end
product.
After World War Two, the industrial manufacturers in Japan produced poor quality items. In a response
to this, the Japanese Union of Scientists and Engineers invited Dr. Deming to train engineers in quality
processes. By the 1950’s quality control was an integral part of Japanese manufacturing and was
adopted by all levels of workers within an organization.
By the 1970’s the notion of total quality was being discussed. This was seen as company-wide quality
control that involves all employees from top management to the workers, in quality control. In the next
decade more non-Japanese companies were introducing quality management procedures that based on
the results seen in Japan. The new wave of quality control became known as Total Quality Management,
which was used to describe the many quality-focused strategies and techniques that became the center
of focus for the quality movement.
Principles of TQM
TQM can be defined as the management of initiatives and procedures that are aimed at achieving the
delivery of quality products and services. A number of key principles can be identified in defining TQM,
including:
Executive Management – Top management should act as the main driver for TQM and create an
environment that ensures its success.
Training – Employees should receive regular training on the methods and concepts of quality.
Customer Focus – Improvements in quality should improve customer satisfaction.
Decision Making – Quality decisions should be made based on measurements.
Methodology and Tools – Use of appropriate methodology and tools ensures that non-
conformances are identified, measured and responded to consistently.
Continuous Improvement – Companies should continuously work towards improving
manufacturing and quality procedures.
Company Culture – The culture of the company should aim at developing employees ability to
work together to improve quality.
Employee Involvement – Employees should be encouraged to be pro-active in identifying and
addressing quality related problems.
Many companies believe that the costs of the introduction of TQM are far greater than the benefits it
will produce. However research across a number of industries has costs involved in doing nothing, i.e.
the direct and indirect costs of quality problems, are far greater than the costs of implementing TQM.
The American quality expert, Phil Crosby, wrote that many companies chose to pay for the poor quality
in what he referred to as the “Price of Nonconformance”. The costs are identified in the Prevention,
Appraisal, Failure (PAF) Model.
Prevention costs are associated with the design, implementation and maintenance of the TQM system.
They are planned and incurred before actual operation, and can include:
Product Requirements – The setting specifications for incoming materials, processes, finished
products/services.
Quality Planning – Creation of plans for quality, reliability, operational, production and
inspections.
Quality Assurance – The creation and maintenance of the quality system.
Training – The development, preparation and maintenance of processes.
Appraisal costs are associated with the vendors and customers evaluation of purchased materials and
services to ensure they are within specification. They can include:
Failure costs can be split into those resulting from internal and external failure. Internal failure costs
occur when results fail to reach quality standards and are detected before they are shipped to the
customer. These can include:
External failure costs occur when the products or services fail to reach quality standards, but are not
detected until after the customer receives the item. These can include:
The objective of the maintenance function is to maintain current technological, managerial, and
operating standards. The improvement function is aimed at improving current standards.
Under the maintenance function, the management must first establish policies, rules, directives and
standard operating procedures (SOPs) and then work towards ensuring that everybody follows SOP.
The latter is achieved through a combination of discipline and human resource development
measures.
Under the improvement function, management works continuously towards revising the current
standards, once they have been mastered, and establishing higher ones. Improvement can be broken
down between innovation and Kaizen. Innovation involves a drastic improvement in the existing
process and requires large investments. Kaizen signifies small improvements as a result of
coordinated continuous efforts by all employee
The Problem Addressed
One of the most difficult aspects of introducing and implementing Kaizen (continuous improvement)
strategy is assuring its continuity.
When a company introduces something new, such as quality circles, or total quality
management(TQM), it experiences some initial success, but soon such success disappear like
fireworks on summer night and after a while nothing is left, and management keeps looking for a
new flavor of the month.
This is because the company lacks the first three most important conditions for the successful
introduction and implementation of Kaizen strategy.
Top management may express commitment in many different ways, and it must take every
opportunity to preach the message, become personally involved in following up the progress
ofKaizen, and allocate resources for successful implementation.
Principles of Toyota Production System (TPS)
1. Reduced Setup Times: All setup practices are wasteful because they add no value and they tie
up labor and equipment. By organizing procedures, using carts, and training workers to do their
own setups, Toyota managed to slash setup times from months to hours and sometimes even
minutes.
2. Small-Lot Production: Producing things in large batches results in huge setup costs, high capital
cost of high-speed dedicated machinery, larger inventories, extended lead times, and larger
defect costs. Because Toyota has found the way to make setups short and inexpensive, it
became possible for them to economically produce a variety of things in small quantities.
3. Employee Involvement and Empowerment: Toyota organized their workers by
forming team and gave them the responsibility and training to do many specialized
tasks.Teams are also given responsibility for housekeeping and minor equipment repair. Each
team has a leader who also works as one of them on the line.
4. Quality at the Source: To eliminate product defects, they must be discovered and corrected as
soon as possible. Since workers are at the best position to discover a defect and to immediately
fix it, they are assigned this responsibility. If a defect cannot be readily fixed, any worker can halt
the entire line by pulling a cord (called Jidoka).
5. Equipment Maintenance: Toyota operators are assigned primary responsibility for basic
maintenance since they are in the best position to defect signs of malfunctions. Maintenance
specialists diagnose and fix only complex problems, improve the performance of equipment,
and train workers in maintenance.
6. Pull Production: To reduce inventory holding costs and lead times, Toyota developed the pull
production method wherein the quantity of work performed at each stage of the process is
dictated solely by demand for materials from the immediate next stage. The Kamban scheme
coordinates the flow of small containers of materials between stages. This is where the
termJust-in-Time (JIT) originated.
7. Supplier Involvement: Toyota treats its suppliers as partners, as integral elements of Toyota
Production System (TPS). Suppliers are trained in ways to reduce setup times, inventories;
defects, machine breakdowns etc., and take responsibility to deliver their best possible parts.
Keiretsu had seen much maligned, particularly in the West. It was thought of as a cartel several sharks
ganged up by a big shark amongst them so that they beat the international competition by unfair
means. It was seen as anti-ethical to laisse faire or the concept of free market and pure competition
which is known to be the basis of capitalism. The Japanese Keiretsu appeared akin to oligopoly which, in
the west, was a much despised restrictive trade practice. During the 1970s and 1980s, Japanese goods
swamped the American and European markets. They offered much better quality at significantly lower
prices and where very popular among the consumers. For a while one could not understand as to how
one could offer better quality, variety and lower prices consistently year after year.
There is a thin line between ganging up and teamwork. The major differences is that in the former the
intention of the gang is to reap undue benefits, while a team the benefits accrue to it because of its
efficiency and the superior performance and advantages delivered to the customer. Authentically
generated benefits due the synergy and economy of a team are shared with the customer. This sharing
is what makes the differences. It is a system of sharing between the business partners and with the
customers as well. It is a benefit-benefit situation and not ‘benefit-loss’. Supply chain management is a
concept of team working and sharing.
The reason as to supply chain management has become popular during the past decade is the
phenomenon of globalizations. Increased competition has made businesses look for core competencies
for enhanced performance. If a particular organization in some country has the core competence for a
certain product/component/ service, it will get the business for that product/s service. This is called
global outsourcing. For instance, a substantial amount of software service work is outsourced from USA
to India because several Indian companies have the core competence in providing those services.
However, when the work is outsourced to several locations in the world, a high degree of coordination
becomes imperative between them and the parent organization and also between themselves. For
instance, suppose an American company out sources its software services needs to India, Greece and
China. There is need to coordinate between the work being in India and that in USA, similarly between
Greece and USA and China and USA. Also, there may be a need to closely coordinate between the work
done in India, Greece and China. Thus, global outsourcing has compelled business organizations to look
for more effective ways of coordinating the flows of materials/information/services into and out of the
organizations. The appropriateness of supply chain management is accentuated when outsourcing
globally.
This phenomenon of "upstream amplification" occurs in many chains. It happens in food chains, in the
housing industry and is notorious in supply chains, where it has been labeled the bullwhip effect. Every
change downstream in the chain results in a relatively greater change one step upstream in the chain.
The amplification ratio is greater than 1.0. So, if mobile phone sales increase 10%, orders to the
semiconductor industry for mobile phone chips go up 30%, and orders for new wafer steppers and
other equipment used to produce IC easily double from one year to the next. This phenomenon was
already observed and masterfully analyzed by Prof. Jay Forrester in the late 1950s and described in
his Industrial Dynamics , still a must-read for all of us systems thinkers.
Delays between perceiving that a change has occurred and reacting to this change form one part of
the explanation for the bullwhip effect. But, there are more. Several of the explanations focus on
locally optimizing behavior of actors in the chain that result in sub-optimal performance of the chain as
a whole. One important type of behavior is shortage gaming . When, in 1999, mobile phone producers
noticed that the semiconductor manufacturers of this world could not keep up with their demand,
they inflated their orders for ICs. If I know that you can make 100 and my competitor and I both need
60, then we normally will both get 50 if the supplier allocates his stock fairly. But, what if I cheat and
ask for 90? Then the supplier will see a total demand of 150, and if he then tries to allocate fairly, he is
over extended by half of his capacity. So, he will only ship 2 units for every demand of 3, and so I will
receive the 60 I need, while my competitor will only get 40. Great idea, if only my competitor hadn't
thought of the same idea. So, total demand is inflated and everybody is worse off.
Behavioral routines such as these are the "usual suspects" of the bullwhip effect and you will find them
occasionally in retrospective accounts of a boom and bust. Unfortunately, these routines are typically
forgotten as soon as the next boom takes off. Much less obvious causes of demand amplification in
chains are our inventory control systems. Wasn't inventory intended to buffer against fluctuations in
the environment and hence smooth what happens behind it? Yes, but then you need the right
algorithms to do so. A widely used inventory control policy is the order-up-to rule: try and keep the
stock level at X, where X is so many weeks of average demand. So, every period, you try to produce to
stock as much as you need to bring stock levels back to X, taking into account the expected demand in
the coming period. Sounds reasonable enough, doesn't it? Yes, but let's now assume that it takes you 3
weeks to produce to stock. Now, demand in one week goes up with 10%. What many order-up-to
policies will assume, is that demand will remain at this higher level, or at least for the coming three
weeks. This means that you will start producing not 10%, but 3 times 10%. Hence, you will order 30%
more materials, and amplification happens again. This is one example of the unintended destabilizing
effects of inadequate inventory control policies. MRP systems typically work this way, and MRP lies at
the basis of ERP. And ERP, didn't we just spend several billions in various industries on making that the
corner stone of our goods flow control systems? Yes, we did. And since so many lemmings can't be
wrong, few people are questioning if the algorithms in these systems are really what we need to make
our supply chains perform better.2 ERP may be great to get rid of patchworks of legacy systems, but
the MRP algorithms embedded in it as production control system suck. With the advent of Advanced
Planning Systems (APS) on top of these ERP systems, life does not get better, on the contrary, because
the underlying model remains flawed.
So, what can be done to reduce demand amplification? One can obviously shorten response delays
both in cycle times and in order fulfillment. But, even better, why don't we move from push to pull?
MRP pushes goods through chains, but if you only pull through the chain what you need, you will not
be making more than you need, provided your production cycle times are short enough.
Before we diversify into the many pitfalls of cycle time reduction and pull systems, let's return to our
traffic congestion example one more time. This was not an example of just amplification, but
of oscillation as well. Oscillation, a repeated fluctuation around some long-term average, is very much
present in the visual metaphor of the bullwhip, and also very much a part of the everyday driving
experience of the Dutch commuter. Road speeds keep going up and down, not just once, but all the
time. This need not be because there is an infinite number of truck drivers that keep moving to the
right lane one after another. In many dynamic systems, it takes only a one-time disturbance to create a
continuous, or at least long-lasting, oscillatory movement, like a pendulum that keeps swinging for a
long time after you have pushed it once.
The important thing to note here is that this happens because many supply chains are inherently
unstable . Mathematically speaking, they belong to a class of systems that, for specific parameter
settings, have no stable equilibrium value. Key parameter values here are the lengths of the various
delays in the system. There are no simple answers as to what the "right" lengths will be, or how they
should relate to each other. What you can do is create a System Dynamics model of the structure of
the system and then conduct a sensitivity analysis: for what parameter values will this system start to
oscillate after a one-time disturbance and when will it remain stable? Just try and you will be amazed
how tiny differences in values turn an inherently unstable system into a robust one, and how other
sets of parameter values will make fluctuations go totally out of control.
Of course, such experiments are neither feasible nor wise to do in your car. However, it is feasible to
do this for your business. This may not have been the kind of excitement that Jack Kerouac was once
looking for, but it may just make your supply chain a much more robust one. And, to me, making that
happen is all the excitement I need.