Q4Q21 Final Minusp45 Compressed
Q4Q21 Final Minusp45 Compressed
Q4Q21 Final Minusp45 Compressed
1. The industry,
2. Prospective entrants,
3. Government,
4. Academia and other stakeholders.
UCC does not give any warranty and may not be liable for the interpretation arising from its use or misuse.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Introduction
This is a review of the industry performance, trends and key developments for the quarter starting October
to December 2021. The report covers:
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
Global Highlights
1.1 Facebook Goes META
In the biggest news of the quarter, the tech world saw social media giant Facebook rebrand to “Meta” in
October 2021. This is probably the biggest tech company rebrand in the last 10 years swamping earlier
rebrand efforts by tech actors like Instagram, Dropbox, and Firefox.
In rebranding statements attributed to Facebook, the company claims that the rebrand is motivated by
a new focus beyond messaging to an Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Virtual Reality (VR) inspired new
world. The company further claims that this is natural cooperation from the screen-centered (mobile-
centered) communication that we know today to a deeply immersive virtual connectivity world. This
world they have chosen to call the “Metaverse”.
That being said, brand analysts have continued to posit that the big rebrand was motivated by major
brand damage over the years that saw Facebook’s brand valuation/ranking fall to 15th in the world and
well behind leading tech brands like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple.
These have maintained the top 5 brand rankings in the last 3 years .
This brand damage analysts claim has been fueled by several incidents like,
1. The Cambridge Analytica Electoral Process manipulation allegations of 2018
2. Increased regulatory scrutiny and pressure on micro profiling that is a key tenet of Facebook’s
business model.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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1.2. Big Tech Valuations and Subscriptions
December 2021 saw the big tech companies close the year with record annual surges in market
capitalization. The 5 leading tech companies (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms (formerly
Facebook), and Microsoft) posted a record USD 2.45 trillion increase in market caps over the 12-month
period. Microsoft, Apple, and Alphabet Inc. were the top three contributors to the S&P 500 index’s 2021
gains.
Leading this growth, was Alphabet Inc.’s 65% annual gain in market cap over the 12 months period.
This represents Alphabet’s biggest annual surge in market cap since 2009.
The big tech growth over the 12 months remains fueled by growth in cloud services, increased digital
ad spend as sectors recover from the earlier lockdowns, the launch of new enterprise software as well
as new hardware releases by entities like Apple.
Source: https://companiesmarketcap.com/tech/largest-tech-companies-by-market-cap/
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
Source: Bloomberg
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Source: Bloomberg
The quarter witnessed a 4-hour blackout on all Facebook platforms including Whatsapp, Facebook
Messenger, and Instagram affecting more than 2 billion users worldwide.
In a public statement, FB explained that configuration changes at the time at their various data centers
were the cause of the shutdown and not a Distributed Denial of Service Attack (DDOS). Facebook
further reassured its customer base that no personal data was compromised during the outage.
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1.4. Ofcom Sets Consumer Protection and Risk Management Rules for Video
Sharing Platforms
The October 2021 guide referenced as “The video Sharing Platform Guidance” obliges platforms
to put in place risk management and consumer protection systems to guard against harmful
content like hate speech, terrorist content, child sexual abuse material, racism, and xenophobia.
The regulator’s effort follows statutory and self-regulation efforts like content mediation by content
sharing platforms that have gained traction over the last two years.
Ofcom’s decision to develop this guide was based on its research in 2021. The research
conducted on video-sharing platform users showed that a third of U.K. internet users say they
witnessed or experienced hateful content; a quarter claimed they were exposed to violent or
disturbing content; while one in five had been exposed to videos or content that encouraged
racism.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
The quarter recorded a 40 million growth in the number of global smartphone shipments. This
translates into nearly 10% quarter-on-quarter growth of smartphone shipments despite the shortages
in hardware chips witnessed during the last half of 2021.
In terms of market share, Apple led total shipments with 85 million phones sold accounting for 23% of
total phone sales during the period. It was followed by Samsung and Xiaomi that accounted for 19%
and 12% share of global shipments respectively during the period.
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Market Share of
Source: IDC Fourth Smartphone
Quarter 2021 Repoort Shipments
4Q21
In further confirmation of the growing soccer market in North America, broadcast giant National
Broadcasting Company (NBC) a commercial broadcaster in the US renewed its UK Premier League
broadcast rights for a further 6 years (2022 - 2028).
The USD 2 billion fees paid by the broadcaster to beat off interest from ESPN and CBS translates into
a nearly 100% increase in fees paid for the same content in 2016 for the same rights and duration.
By comparison, North America continues to be a prime live sport media market with the annual payout
for the premier league media rights more than tripling payments by other regional broadcasters.
RENEWED
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
US renewed its UK
Premier League
broadcast rights for
6 years
(2022 - 2028)
The extended lockdowns have fast-tracked the appeal and global dependence on content and video
streaming services. The highlight of this during the quarter was the alleged 2.1 billion hours of viewing
attributed to Netflix’s blockbuster show called Squid Game.
So significant has been the growth in traffic on account of the show’s viewership that South Korean
broadband Provider SK Broadband has reported a record traffic peak of 1,200 Gbps per second
10 attributed to the Squid Gameshow. This is from an earlier traffic average of only 50 Gbps.
Subsequently, in an October 2021 lawsuit in Seoul, the broadband provider has sought compensation
from the streaming giant to accommodate increased network traffic and maintenance costs. The
streaming giant that has since become the second biggest traffic generator in South Korea has
promised to review the claims and work with the network provider to maintain quality service with its
last-mile customers.
The growth in video streaming traffic brings back earlier industry conversations on the matter of net
neutrality.
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Domestic Highlights
2.1. First Telco Listing on Uganda Securities Exchange
In a market first, Uganda saw a licensed telecom entity get listed for the first time on the local securities
exchange. The listing of 20% of the MTN Uganda portfolio was in fulfillment of the National Broadband
Policy as well as licensing obligations from the sector regulator .
In another first, the Initial Public Offering (IPO) was issued through traditional intermediaries as well
as new mobile money channels. This is probably the most inclusive IPO on the Uganda Securities
Exchange (USE).
At the end of the IPO, the operator had raised USD 151 million while the Group maintained an 83%
share of its local subsidiary.
Source:nilepost.co.ug/2021/10/06/mtn-uganda-to-float-20-of-its-shares-on-the-uganda-securities-
exchange/
The highlight of the domestic infrastructure market was the conclusion of Towerco of Africa’s (TOA)
acquisition of a majority stake in Ubuntu Towers Uganda Limited, a newly licensed passive infrastructure
provider in Uganda.
Towerco of Africa is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Axian Group that has terrestrial and undersea telecom
infrastructure interests around the continent. The Group services a combined customer portfolio of 25
million subscribers with more than 15,000 Kms of terrestrial fiber and 3,700 tower deployments.
The transaction should release more than USD 50 Million in equity and debt finance for Ubuntu
Towers Uganda Ltd.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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George A. Ssamula
Chief Legal Officer
Ubuntu Towers
Axian Telecom has been the most active telecom player of Africa in terms
of inorganic growth. In addition to Mobile, Fixed as well as Digital Financial
services and deep expertise in Telecom Infrastructure, it made it an easy
choice for us as Ubuntu to make Axian an equity partner. We are delighted
to be supported by Axian, especially looking at the achievements over the
last 12 months some of which include the Tigo Tanzania acquisition; the
successful $420m debut bond issuance and Investment in Ubuntu Towers.
The telecom landscape continues with segmentation of markets and value prepositions by providers
to special interest groups.
In 4Q21, the market saw Airtel renew its partnership with K2 Telecom a central region-focused telecom
brand under the number ranges 708 and 709. In the partnership, Airtel maintains a revenue share
arrangement with the K2 brand owners who initially run the brand as a Mobile Virtual Network Operator
- MVNO outfit.
Airtel provides all radio and core network services in the partnership. The brand owners engage in joint
marketing with the MNO.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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2.4. Policy Stewardship Changes in Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)
In a bid to kickstart Uganda’s competitiveness in the ICT Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) space,
the Ministry of ICT and National Guidance (MOICT&NG) has commissioned the inaugural BPO and
Innovation Council.
The 9-member council is chaired by Prof. William Bazeyo who also doubles as the Chairperson of
Makerere University Research and Innovations Fund (Mak-RIF). Other members include,
1. Dr. Rebecca Isabella Kiconco, the Vice-Chairperson of the Council and Lecturer Makerere University
Business School
2. Rajeev Agarwal, a business consultant
3. Eva K. Mugerwa, a lawyer and member of the United Nations Joint Population Programme
4. Rowena Turinawe, the Business Transformation Manager at the National Information Technology
Authority Uganda
5. Fred Otunnu, the Director of Corporate Affairs at the Uganda Communications Commission.
6. Richard Okuti, an International Trade expert
7. Richard Zulu, the chairperson of Startup Uganda
8. Charles Odongtho, a communications consultant
9. Dr. Diana Nandagire Ntamu, the Director of the Entrepreneurship, Innovation and Incubation Centre
at Makerere University Business School (MUBS).
Dr. Diana
Richard Zulu Charles Odongtho
Nandagire Ntamu 15
The council is tasked with:
1. Formulating strategies for job creation through ICT outsourcing and Innovation
2. Prescription of regulatory reforms and projects to facilitate the growth of ICT BPO and Innovation
industry.
3. Identify, support, and scale-up breakthrough technologies and disruptive innovations.
Multichoice Uganda, Uganda Tourism Board, and Tangerine have joined the UCC as early sponsors
for the 9th Uganda Film Festival.
Some of the Previous winners of the UFF awards include,
1. Best Student Film – Till Death Do Us Apart
2. Best Short Film – The Blind Date by Loukman Ali
3. Best Supporting Actress in Feature Film – Keloy Loy Kemigisha
4. Best Director for a Feature Film – Kizito Samuel Saviour
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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2.6. Uganda Content Development Support Programme Launched
In further support to the local creatives market, the UCC launched the Content Development Support
Programme. The program is one of the many industry initiatives aimed at improving local content
production in the country.
In the inaugural financing round, under the theme “Promoting Culture and Tourism”, UGX 512 million
was awarded to four select projects after a competitive beneficiary evaluation.
The beneficiaries were,
1. Rachael’s Old King by Mark Byarugaba
2. Karamojong by Eleanor Nabwiso
3. Unheard by Polly Kamukama and Joseph Ssebagala
4. Borders by Ampire Daphne Rubaramira
Ampire Daphne
Rubaramira
UGX
172.9M
UGX
150M
Mark Byarugaba
UGX
130.8M
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
Eleanor Nabwiso
UGX
50M
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2.7. Uganda Film on the Continent
Local productions continued to make inroads on the continental film scene with several nominations in
the annual Africa Movie Academy Awards (AMAAs). In the November 2021 awards held in Nigeria, the
Ugandan productions were nominated in 6 categories:
1. Stain – Best Film, Best Director, Best Achievement in Screenplay, Best Cinematography, Best Visual
Effects, Ousmane Sembene Award for Best Film in an African language, Best Actress in Leading Role
2. Tecora – Best Production Design, Best Makeup, Best Costume Design
3. Meat – Best Short Film
4. A Thousand Fate – Best Animation
5. Noboth – Best Documentary
6. Monica – Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Joan Agaba won Best Lead Actress for her role in “Stain” while Asher Roshen’s production “Meat” won
Best Short Film category in the awards.
Relatedly, in December 2021, a first Ugandan production was debuted on global streaming service
Netflix. “The Girl in the Yellow Jumper” is produced by Loukman Ali a local producer and past winner of
Best Short Film in the Uganda Film Festival.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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2.8. Solar Powered Tablet Pilot for the Digitally Excluded
In pursuit of the digital inclusion agenda, the UCC through Uganda Communications Universal Services
Access Fund (UCUSAF) launched a last-mile digital inclusion pilot premised on the provision of
low-cost internet-connected solar-powered tablets to rural digitally excluded groups. Special content
in education, e-governance, and agriculture were specially provided to the pilot subjects/beneficiaries.
The project that was undertaken in the areas of Loodoi in Kotido, Looro in Amudat, Bubinge A and
Musitu in Butaleja, Kyetume in Kayunga, Bukayo in Buvuma, Kanyashogyi in Kanungu, Mvule in
Bulisa, was specially mooted to improve long term design of grid, awareness, and content limitations
in digital inclusion programming.
The pilot project seeks to further further facilitate persons disadvantaged by poverty to participate in
the economy and reap the benefits of access to communication.
This would provide useful insights and learnings in the mainstream of similar projects for the inclusion
of other off-grid communities and the promotion of relatable relevant content for target communities.
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Subscriptions and Access
3.1. Radio Network Infrastructure Access
Passive Towers
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3.3 Last Mile Voice Connectivity
In terms of connectivity, the last three months of 2021 saw 1.05 million jump in subscriptions matching
the previous 12 months quarterly peak of 1.05 million new subscriptions posted in 3Q21.
This growth in subscriptions is a 4% quarter on quarter growth and a 9% annual growth in the 12
months ending 31st December 2021.
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The quarterly peak performance for the year during 4Q21, 1.8 million new subscriptions is attributed
to traditional seasonal demand of the festive season characterised by heavy promotional campaigns
for both gadgets and data offerings as well as continued loosening restrictions on cross boarder travel.
At the end of December 2021, a record 34 million devices were connected to the network. These
include mobile handsets, laptops, tablets and other IOT devices.
SMARTPHONES
A class of mobile phones and of multi-purpose mobile computing
devices. They are distinguished from feature phones by their
stronger hardware capabilities and extensive mobile operating
systems, which facilitate wider software, internet (including web
browsing over mobile broadband), and multimedia functionality
(including music, video, cameras, and gaming), alongside core
phone functions such as voice calls and text messaging.
Monthly Users
2Q21 9,729,758
3Q21 9,390,005
4Q21 10,098,098
In terms of quarterly net growth, device additions on the network stood at 1.3 million new devices in
the 3 months ending December 2021. This is the highest net quarterly addition in the last 12 months.
Worth noting is the fact that net terminal additions (of 1.3million gadgets) were less than the new
broadband connections (2.5million data connections) during the period. This is on account of the fact
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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3.6 Growing E-waste Challenge
The withdrawal of basic handset terminals from networks more than ever puts pressure on industry
actors to mainstream e-waste management policies as the market migrates to new data centric
technologies (3G, 4G and hopefully 5G).
Relatedly, some countries and network operators continue to decommission 2G networks and by
extension service to basic handsets. This creates new pressure on the management of terminals,
radio and core network 2G infrastructure.
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3.6. Digital Financial Services Subscriptions and Access Infrastructure
The Central Bank continued with its licensing of non-bank payment service providers (Mobile Money
and payments agencies). At the end of December this number had grown to 12 licensed non-bank
payments entities across different licensing classes.
Table 1 below shows the different licensed Non-Bank Payment Service Providers and Payment System
Operators as of January 5, 2022.
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Interswitch Payment Large Funds Plot 2B, Na- +256414256671 Website:
East Africa Systems Transfer kasero Hill www.inter-
(U) Limited Operator Road, P. O. switchgroup.
Box 7555, com/ug
Kampala,
Payment Class A Uganda
Service (Large elec-
Provider tronic mon-
ey issuer
Issuer of Class A
Payment (Payment
Instruments Cards)
Pegasus Payment Large funds Plot 38A +256393193255 E-mail:
Technolo- Systems transfer and Martyrs info@pega-
gies Operator Third-party Way. P. O. sus.co.ug
Limited of systems Box 36817
Uganda Mukuru
Limited Curve, Ntin-
da, Kampa-
la, Uganda
Agent Bank- Website: Medium AHA Tow- +256414233799/ Email:
ing Com- www.pega- Funds ers, Plot 0800100166 info@
pany sus.co.ug Transfer 7 Lourdel mcash.ug
road, Naka-
sero, P. O. Website:
Box 8020, www.mcash.
Kampala, ug
Uganda
Wave Payment Large Funds Mirembe 0200909103 E-mail:
Transfer Systems Transfer Business ugoffice@
Limited Operator Centre, 4th wave.com
Payment Class A Floor, Plot Website:
Service (Large elec- 46, Lugogo www.wave.
Provider tronic mon- Bypass com
ey issuer) P.O. Box
102187
Kampala,
Uganda
Chipper Payment Other 7th Street 0200 935 935 Email:
Technolo- Service Payment Industrial uganda@
gies Provider Services Area, SMS chipper-
Uganda House cash.com
Limited Payment Large Funds 2nd Floor, Website:
Systems Transfer Room 203 www.chip-
Operator P.O Box percash.
29274 com
Kampala,
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
Uganda
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Future Link Payment Medium Plot 97 Bu- +256312316900 Email:
Technolo- Systems Funds koto Street, +256393238278 info@fltug.
gies Operator Transfer P.O. Box com
75408, Website:
Kampala www.fltug.
com
Guinness Payment Medium BLOCK 0200502050 Email: rob-
Tech (U) Ltd Systems Funds 210, PLOT sanford@
Operator Transfer 1704 safeboda.
Kanyike com
Road, www: safe-
Kyebando boda.com
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ii.) Registered Mobile Money Accounts
Following 2021’s highest net additions of 0.9 million mobile money accounts recorded in 3Q21, 4Q21
only posted a paltry performance with only 500,000 new mobile money accounts.
The new growth translates into a national mobile money account total of 32.7 million from 32.2 million
accounts at the end of September 2021. This is a national mobile money penetration of 76 accounts
per 100 persons in Uganda
In the Quarter ending December 2021, total active mobile money accounts stood at 22.6 million of the
32.7 million registered accounts. At the end of the quarter, 70% of registered mobile lines conducted at
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Service Traffic and Pricing
Highlights
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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4.1. Domestic Voice Traffic
The market yet again surpassed 16 billion in total (offnet and onnet) domestic minutes. This is the
highest recorded domestic traffic since the UCC started tracking domestic traffic indicators.
Consistent with previous usage patterns, domestic traffic remains largely 99% onnet resulting from
bundle pricing patterns and bonuses.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
The market remains a predominantly 2 SIM market as consumers seek to maximise the onnet voice
call discounts. The multi SIM behaviour is further buttressed by significant cross network mobile money
charges that exist in the payments and P2P remittance markets.
The new growth in traffic translates into an estimated 186 minutes of domestic calls per subscriber per
month.
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4.2. International Voice Traffic
For the first time in the previous 6 quarters, total international voice traffic (inbound and outbound)
posted a net quarter on quarter growth.
The 5% quarterly international traffic growth is attributed to traditional seasonal demand as well as the
continued resumption of global and regional business.
For the quarter ending December 2021, the market registered 9 billion USSD sessions translating
into a net quarter on quarter growth of 6%.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
9 BILLION
Sessions
This growth is in sync with the growth in mobile subscriptions and mobile money transactions registered
during the three months period ending December 2021.
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4.4. Broadband Traffic
For the 4th quarter running, the market recorded a growth of more than 107 billion MBs. This translates
into a 7% quarter on quarter broadband traffic growth which is near similar to the 8% growth in
broadband subscriptions.
The broadband traffic growth translates into an estimated 500 MBs of data downloaded per broadband
subscriber per month.
500 MBS Per Month Per Subscriber 1500 MBS Per Quarter Per Subscriber
The market yet again registered over 1 Billion Mobile Money transactions in 4Q21 slightly
outperforming the previous 2 quarters by 105 million transactions.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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This is attributed to the growing P2B and P2P mobile money applications in addition to the offers from
the different operators in the industry particularly during the festive season like, Airtel’s “Money After
Money” promotion and MTN’s “Senkyu” bonus points upon mobile money transactions.
4.6.Pricing Highlights
Retail service pricing in the market was largely driven by the seasonal Christmas calendar and the
associated influx of foreign nationals coming into the country for the festivities.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
The growing demand for voice, broadband and mobile money services was largely driven by a host of
offers from different operators. These include:
1. MTN Super Bundle offers: provide more voice and data for the same price. These were launched in
three (3) variants; 3-day, 14-day, and 30-days and can be accessed at *160*60#.
2. Airtel Smartphone offers: provided a bonus data offer for all of its new customers who purchased
smartphones at their outlets.
3. Smile Forever bundles:In 4Q21, Smile introduced the forever non-expiry data bundles that have
different packages ranging from 1GB to 100GBs of data.
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Financial Highlights
5.1. Revenue
In the three months ending December 2021, the industry posted a revenue performance of UGX 1.2
trillion. This is against the backdrop of maintaining a trillion gross revenue mark all year round.
In terms of a year-on year comparison, the gross revenue grew to a tune of UGX 60 billion translating
into a 10% growth.
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Post and Courier
6.1. Trending Models in the Sector
The post and courier services sector in Uganda has developed into evolving services and business
models like Real time mail tracking systems, On-time door to door delivery, Order & pay on-delivery,
among others.
The sector is comprised of operators -such as DHL, Sky Net, TNT, Link Bus, Godel, SGA (Big Orange),
Nation courier, S-M Cathan Logistics, Sail Courier, Courie- Mate, Uganda Post Limited (UPL) among
others. These have been enablers in facilitating global trade, especially among small and medium-
sized enterprises (SMEs).
The Post and Courier service segment has therefore been a facilitator of last mile and point to point
mail deliveries countrywide, with a host of operators remodeling their business towards e-commerce
and digital addressing.
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6.2. Mail Volumes
In 4Q21, the domestic mail volumes were posted by SGA with 29.3%, New Times Express (DHL)
with 27.6%, UPL with 19.3%, Nation Couriers Ltd with 6.1%, CourieMate with 5.4% and other courier
operators contributed 13.4%.
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6.4. Rest of Africa Out bound and In bound mail volumes
In 4Q21, the mails sent from Uganda to the Rest of the world increased from 32,011 mails in 3Q21
to 35,945 mails in 4Q21, registering a 12% quarter on quarter growth. On the other hand, the mail
volumes received in Uganda from the Rest of the world grew from 42,782 mails in 3Q21 to 45,997
mails in 4Q21, registering 8% quarter on quarter growth.
In the October - December 2021 period, the imported mails were higher than the exported mails by
10,052 mails which is about 28% of the exported mails in 4Q21.
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UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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Broadcast and Multimedia
7.1 TV Market
i). Free-to-Air
The delivery of FTA channels is mainly via the government-owned SIGNET UG Ltd. By the end of
December 2021, 40 FTAs were carried on the SIGNET platform.
ii). Pay TV
The Pay-Tv market in Uganda is served by a combination of Satellite, Cable and Digital Terrestrial
networks, with 7 licensed content aggregators.
4Q21 has seen an increase in the total active subscribers from a total of 1.51 million as of September
2021 to 1.65 million in December 2021. The growth in pay tv subscriptions is seasonal relating to the
resumption of major sports leagues which was expected to kickstart the subscription numbers.
iv). Programming
Pay-Tv service providers deliver a range of content on their platforms and the number of channels on
a network may vary slightly month to month.
UCC 4Q21 - Market Performance Report
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v). Bouquet Pricing
Bouquet pricing is diverse, with Pay Tv providers offering packages targeted at various market
segments. Subscriber numbers by and large vary heavily with price, indicating a high price
sensitivity for Pay-Tv content.
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