La serie de datos de lluvia fue obtenida de la estación Cerrillos-Salta de la página del

INTA.
Año Pmáx
(mm)
1971 63.60
1972 44.6
1973 63.8
1974 153.5
1975 50.8
1976 52.5
1977 74.2
1981 91.6
1987 47.6
1988 73.3
1989 67.4
1990 69
1992 34.7
1993 49.3
1994 53.4
1995 76.4
1996 60.2
1997 41.2
1998 56.3
1999 40.7
2000 130
2004 44.5
2005 35.5
2006 74.9
2007 82.2
2008 83.7
2009 51.8
2010 64.8
2011 63.5

El ajuste a funciones de distribución de probabilidad fue realizado mediante el

programa Hydrognomon.

Weibull LogNormal PearsonIII LogPearsonIII Gumbel Max GEV Max

Return period (T) f or Maximum v alues in y ears - scale: Normal distribution

1000
2000
1.01

1.02

1.11

1.25

1.43

3.33
1.01

1.05

1.67

200
100

500
2.5

10

50
20
1
1
1

200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
mm

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

X-Square test for All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained Pearson
 a Param.
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 14.01% 3.93103
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 39.41% 1.86207
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 16.64% 3.58621
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 71.03% 0.13793
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 9.92% 4.62069
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 11.79% 4.27586
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 19.78% 3.24138
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 27.89% 1.17241
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 48.72% 0.48276
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 16.64% 3.58621
EV2-Max ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 4.98% 6
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 7.03% 5.31034
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 14.01% 3.93103
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 71.03% 0.13793
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 11.02% 2.55172
Pareto ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 3.16% 4.62069
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 48.72% 0.48276
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 21.80% 1.51724
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 66.11% 0.82759
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 5.92% 5.65517
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 19.78% 3.24138
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 39.41% 1.86207
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.74% 2.2069
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 78.55% 0.48276
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 7.03% 5.31034
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-
Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 78.55% 0.48276
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-
Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 33.17% 2.2069

La que mejor ajusta es la de Log Pearson III.

Weibull LogPearsonIII Prediction interval limits 95%

Confidence interval limits 95%

Return period (T) f or Maximum v alues in y ears - scale: Normal distribution

2000
1000
1.01
1.01

1.02

1.05

1.11

1.25

1.43

1.67

3.33

100
200

500
2.5

10

20

50
1
1
1

200

180

160

140

120
mm

100

80

60

40

20

0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
 Pmax
TR
(mm)
2 59.0395
5 80.6339
10 97.1935
15 107.367
20 114.867
25 120.864
50 140.617
100 162.294
Método del SCS para determinar la curva IDT (Intensidad-Duración-Frecuencia)
Tormenta de 24 horas
Hora t t/24 PT/P24
Tipo I Tipo IA Tipo II Tipo III
0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2.00 0.083 0.035 0.050 0.022 0.020
4.00 0.167 0.076 0.116 0.048 0.043
6.00 0.250 0.125 0.206 0.080 0.072
7.00 0.292 0.156 0.268 0.098 0.089
8.00 0.333 0.194 0.425 0.120 0.115
8.50 0.354 0.219 0.480 0.133 0.130
9.00 0.375 0.254 0.520 0.147 0.148
9.50 0.396 0.303 0.550 0.163 0.167
9.75 0.406 0.362 0.564 0.172 0.178
10.00 0.417 0.515 0.577 0.181 0.189
10.50 0.438 0.583 0.601 0.204 0.216
11.00 0.458 0.624 0.624 0.235 0.250
11.50 0.479 0.654 0.645 0.283 0.298
11.75 0.490 0.669 0.655 0.357 0.339
12.00 0.500 0.682 0.664 0.663 0.500
12.50 0.521 0.706 0.683 0.735 0.702
13.00 0.542 0.727 0.701 0.772 0.751
13.50 0.563 0.748 0.719 0.799 0.785
14.00 0.583 0.767 0.736 0.820 0.811
16.00 0.667 0.830 0.800 0.880 0.886
20.00 0.833 0.926 0.906 0.952 0.957
24.00 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
 Curvas Adimensionales de Distri-
bución Temporal (SCS)
1.00
0.80 Tipo I
Tipo IA
0.60
Tipo II
P*=P/PT 0.40 Tipo III
0.20
0.00
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00
t*=t/24

Periodo de retorno: 10años

Precipitación de diseño: 97,19mm
Tormenta de 24hs Tipo II

Curva Másica Precipitación caída en intervalos de t

P
P
t (hs) acum P 1h P 2h P 4h P 6h P 8h P 12h P 18h P 24h
0,5h
(mm)
0.00 0.00
2.00 2.14 2.14
4.00 4.67 2.53 4.67
6.00 7.78 3.11 5.64 7.78
7.00 9.52 1.75
8.00 11.66 2.14 3.89 7.00 9.52 11.66
8.50 12.93 1.26
9.00 14.29 1.36 2.62
9.50 15.84 1.56 2.92
9.75 16.72
10.00 17.59 1.75 3.30 5.93 9.82 12.93 15.45
10.50 19.83 2.24 3.98 6.90
11.00 22.84 3.01 5.25 8.55 13.32
11.50 27.51 4.67 7.68 11.66
11.75 34.70 17.98
12.00 64.44 36.93 41.60 46.85 52.78 56.66 59.77 64.44
12.50 71.44 7.00 43.93 51.61 58.51
13.00 75.03 3.60 10.59 52.19 60.75 65.51
13.50 77.66 2.62 6.22 50.15 61.82
14.00 79.70 2.04 4.67 15.26 62.11 68.04 71.92 77.56
16.00 85.53 5.83 21.09 67.94 73.87 80.86
20.00 92.53 7.00 12.83 28.09 80.86 90.39
24.00 97.19 4.67 11.66 32.75 89.42 97.19
P
36.93 43.93 52.19 62.11 68.04 73.87 80.86 90.39 97.19
Máx
t (hs) 0.5 1 2 4 6 8 12 18 24
I máx 73.86 43.93 26.09 15.52 11.33 9.233 6.738 5.021 4.049
(mm/
71 15 65 67 92 38 75 66 73
h)