U.S. Lessons Learned in Afghanistan: Hearing Committee On Foreign Affairs House of Representatives
U.S. Lessons Learned in Afghanistan: Hearing Committee On Foreign Affairs House of Representatives
U.S. Lessons Learned in Afghanistan: Hearing Committee On Foreign Affairs House of Representatives
LESSONS LEARNED IN
AFGHANISTAN
HEARING
BEFORE THE
(
Available: http://www.foreignaffairs.house.gov/, http://docs.house.gov,
or http://www.govinfo.gov
(II)
CONTENTS
Page
WITNESSES
Sopko, John, Special Inspector General For Afghanistan Reconstruction .......... 5
APPENDIX
Hearing Notice ......................................................................................................... 88
Hearing Minutes ...................................................................................................... 89
Hearing Attendance ................................................................................................. 90
(III)
U.S. LESSONS LEARNED IN AFGHANISTAN
Wednesday, January 15, 2020
House of Representatives
Committee on Foreign Affairs
WASHINGTON, DC
The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10 a.m., in room 2172
Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Eliot Engel (chairman of the
committee) presiding.
Mr. SHERMAN [presiding]. The committee will come to order. The
chairman’s staff has asked me to sit in for a bit. Without objection,
all members will have 5 days to submit statements, extraneous ma-
terials, and questions for the record, subject to length limitations
in the rules.
Pursuant to notice, we are here today to examine the lessons
from America’s war effort in Afghanistan.
Inspector General Sopko, welcome to the Foreign Affairs Com-
mittee. I look forward to learning the lessons of Afghanistan, but
also getting some input as to what we should do in the future. Our
casualties in Afghanistan over the last 6 years have averaged
roughly ten. We mourn those deaths; we take them seriously. But
compared to the other conflicts we are engaged in, compared to the
training deaths we suffer in our military, we cannot have the ex-
haustion of 10 years ago blind us to what is the operation now and
what is its cost.
I know the chairman has an opening statement, but I will first
recognize the ranking member, then I will recognize our witness for
his opening statement, and hopefully by then we will hear the
chairman’s opening statement.
Mr. McCaul.
Mr. MCCAUL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, pro tem.
The United States has been in Afghanistan for almost 19 years.
It is the longest war in the history of the United States. We sac-
rifice much on the battlefield, but we have also achieved a great
deal. We decimated al-Qaida and greatly weakened their global
network. As a result, Afghanistan has not been the staging ground
for another successful attack against our homeland.
After the 9/11 terror attacks, it was clear that our approach to
foreign threats and intelligence efforts needed to change. We could
no longer sit back and wait while our enemies plotted attacks thou-
sands of miles away. We needed to go on the offense, and we did.
Our presence in the region allowed us to capture Khalid Sheikh
Mohammed, the mastermind of 9/11, kill Osama bin Laden, and,
more recently, remove his son Hamza from the battlefield.
I visited Ambassador Crocker there many times and saw first-
hand the challenges we faced and the opportunities we had to suc-
ceed. We have led the charge on other important issues as well be-
(1)
2
Mr. ENGEL. Good morning. Our nation has been at war in Af-
ghanistan for more than 18 years. Eighteen years. And let that
sink in. More than 2,000 American lives lost and thousands more
wounded, more than 60 thousand Afghan deaths, and more than
$900 billion spent on a war that has dragged on for almost two dec-
ades, and this does not include what we will spend to take care of
our veterans in years to come. And where are we after all that
time? We are in a military stalemate.
In 2001, the United States invaded Afghanistan with a clear ob-
jective: defeat al-Qaeda and its Taliban hosts and prevent a repeat
of September 11th. By December of that year, American and coali-
tion partners defeated the Taliban government. Many of its senior
leaders were dead, others fled into hiding. The following year, in
2002, President George W. Bush said, and I quote: The history of
military conflict in Afghanistan has been one of initial success fol-
lowed by long years of floundering and ultimate failure. We are not
going to repeat that mistake. Unquote.
And yet here we are today, 18 years later, having made precisely
that mistake. So what happened? There is a lot to unpack when
we look at what went wrong, but some things are clear. We got dis-
tracted by the war in Iraq under an administration whose priority
was defeating Saddam Hussein, not an end game in Afghanistan.
We entered into a questionable alliance with Pakistan which con-
tinued to arm and support the Taliban, providing the group safe
haven and allowing it to strengthen its hand in Afghanistan. We
changed missions, changed priorities, and lost sight of what was
once considered ‘‘the just war’’.
So our role in Afghanistan constantly evolved as we plodded
along year after year until what now feels like a never-ending war.
In 2008, Congress established a Special Inspector General for Af-
ghanistan Reconstruction, what we call SIGAR, to conduct over-
sight of the American war effort in Afghanistan. And in 2014, we
called on SIGAR to do something that had not been done, conduct
deep-dive, original research into the war to look at its successes,
its failures, and lessons learned. So today, we focus on those les-
sons learned.
This past December, the Washington Post published a review of
hundreds of interviews and documents SIGAR collected for the Les-
sons Learned Program after obtaining them through the Freedom
of Information Act. These documents and the Post’s excellent re-
porting help fill in some significant gaps in our understanding of
the U.S. war in Afghanistan. They show a years-long campaign of
misrepresentation by our military officials.
Year after year we heard, ‘‘we are making progress.’’ Year after
year we were ‘‘turning a corner.’’ Three successive administrations
of both parties promised that we would avoid falling into a trap of
nation building in Afghanistan. And while presidents and military
officials were painting a rosy picture, the reality on the ground was
a consistently deepening quagmire with no end in sight. It is a
damning record. It underscores the lack of honest public conversa-
tion between the American people and their leaders about what we
are doing in Afghanistan and why we are doing it.
Yet even in the light of this new information, the Trump Admin-
istration is not righting the ship on our Afghanistan policy.
54
to you. You have to remember, going back to that time the initial
reason we went in there were to find the people who killed our peo-
ple. Find them, punish them. But the second point was to make
certain that country, Afghanistan, was not a place where terrorists
could breed and attack us again.
So we were trying to create or help create a government that
could manage their country; up to then they could not. So that is
where, we call it nation building. I do not know. That is a word
that I think is abused more than actually defined. It is always de-
fined in the negative. We do not do nation building, somebody else
does. But we were trying to make certain that an Afghan Govern-
ment could keep those terrorists out, so that is why we did build
roads, we did do training. We are doing train, advise, and assist
right now. So those were the two points of that goal, of our goal
in going into Afghanistan.
Taking it to what has worked and what has not worked, we iden-
tify, and this is one of the things we were briefing Joe Dunford and
his team on, on this one Lessons Learned report, which I think
may have helped the President in his decision on what to do in Af-
ghanistan where we have consistency in our training and we bring
people over there for more than 6 months. And you see that par-
ticularly with the Special Forces training, excellent training.
And if you look at the Afghan military right now, the best units
that are fighting are the Special Forces, that our teams are con-
nected with them, they live with them, they work with them. The
other area where we had great success has been with the Afghan
Air Force. Again, the U.S. Air Force has done a wonderful job par-
ticularly with a couple of platforms, the A–29, I think is the best
one, where the Air Force, our mentors, worked for 4 years, 4 years
they spend working with the Afghan Air Force. And that is tremen-
dous; that is one of the best programs we have and we were advis-
ing the President and his team that is what you should do.
So it goes back to we should have actually done a more of a
racking and stacking of what worked and did not. The Afghan mili-
tary, and particularly the Afghan police, has been a hopeless night-
mare and a disaster and part of it is because we rotate units
through who are not trained to do the work and they are gone in
six to 9 months.
I do not blame the military, but you cannot bring in a Black
Hawk pilot to train an Afghan policeman on how to do police work.
And that is what we were doing, we are still doing.
Mr. MCCAUL. Well, this has been very insightful and it will help
us in making our recommendations to the administration. It seems
to me in conclusion that really training their Special Forces, their
Afghan National Defense and Security Forces and their Air Force
with the appropriate people may be the best strategy.
I know the President hopes he can negotiate with the Taliban.
I am a bit skeptical, sir, that you can never negotiate with the
Taliban. I know a complete withdrawal would involve an overrun
by the Taliban, for sure. They would probably take the country
over and then we would have a real mess. So this is very com-
plicated, but something needs to change. The status quo is not ac-
ceptable here.
Yes, sir.
58
wherever you got the land or wherever the dowry was recognized
or whatever.
But the Taliban came in, it was rough justice and I am not advo-
cating Taliban justice. I remember I testified——
Mr. SHERMAN. Is there a period of time in Afghan’s history that
you would say the Afghan had the kind of government that those
villages would have wanted?
Mr. SOPKO. I think it probably would have been before the Soviet
invasion and it goes back to——
Mr. SHERMAN. And before the Communist regime that preceded
the——
Mr. SOPKO. And the Communist regime and the horror of that.
Mr. SHERMAN. I believe my time has expired.
Mr. ENGEL. Thank you, yes. Thank you, Mr. Sherman.
Mr. Smith.
Mr. SMITH. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. And thank
you, Mr. Sopko, for your tenacity. Your frustration level must be
just vexing. I do not know how you do it.
Ranking Member McCaul just mentioned a moment ago about
Osama bin Laden. In another part of the world I visited with
Bashir in Khartoum in Sudan and I was there to talk about
Darfur, and he was almost mocking. And then when I met with
Salah Gosh, one of his people, was mocking as they offered us
Osama bin Laden before he went to Afghanistan and the Clinton
Administration would not take it.
So in terms of hindsight being 20/20, if only.
Let me just ask you a couple questions. You know, 130 convic-
tions, a thousand investigations, criminal and civil, 600 audits, in-
spections, and other reports, maybe you could break out for us and
maybe even do it more for the record, who were those people? Were
they Americans? Were they people from Afghanistan that were con-
victed and what were they convicted of? Where did they go to jail
when they were convicted?
Second, with regards to some examples, and I think your testi-
mony is just amazing, you talk about how in 2014, then USAID ad-
ministrator—and I know him, Dr. Shah. He was a very, very hon-
orable man and I wonder if the information even got to him that
you were trying to provide. But he had said there are three million
girls and five million boys enrolled in schools compared to just
90,000 when the Taliban ruled Afghanistan, and you pointed out
that that information was gotten from the government and it was
contradicted by other government people and there was no attempt
to verify the accuracy. And I think that is very troubling.
You also point out on the rule of law programs, a billion dollars,
that in 2013 the strategy had no performance measures. I think
you know that is appalling and maybe you might want to touch on
that. And finally, you point out in the interviews for this Lessons
Learned Program, 80 percent of the people interviewed wanted
their names removed to be anonymous. Again, does that fall in—
was there retaliation against anyone as far as you know?
And that is a very, very, as you pointed out, (they have) a well-
founded fear of retribution from political and tribal enemies. Maybe
you could speak to that. And again, thank you.
61
Mr. SOPKO. Those are all good questions. Let me start at the end.
On retaliation, we know of no retaliation but we are concerned.
One of the concerns I have is that there is a lawsuit now pending
and the Washington Post wants to get the names of all of our peo-
ple who asked for anonymity. As an IG, I cannot work if I cannot
offer anonymity and protection to a witness or a whistleblower.
Well, you know what, whistleblowers are a lifeblood as an inspec-
tor general or any law enforcement agency. I have law enforcement
credentials. You have to have them. I mean, I find it so ironic, this
is the same Washington Post, if I recall, had an informant that I
believe it was for 30 years they kept the identity of Deep Throat
from the American people, but for some reason we have a new
Washington Post where they want to know our informants.
These people who spoke to us risked a lot, and you know what
this town is like. You know what is like if somebody bad mouths
their old boss or whatever. These people had realistic fear and
whatever. We do not give them a litmus test of whether your fear
is reasonable or not. We just ask them if they want us to use their
name. And so that is so important.
So—but there is no retaliation that we know of. I mean in Af-
ghanistan the difference is that these people would be killed. Sim-
ple, OK. But I suppose the Washington Post wants their names for
some reason. Why? They have the information, why do they need
the name? But I do not want to go there.
The question, I believe, and I am sorry if I lost——
Mr. SMITH. The rule of law and also the education of children
and 130 convictions.
Mr. SOPKO. Oh, yes. That is, it is fact versus fantasy. This is this
problem that we identified early on, this odor of mendacity. There
was this exaggeration after exaggeration of what we accomplished.
And there is another example we give about the life expectancy,
where USAID Administrator Shah, and it went all the way up to
the President, were saying about how we had doubled the life ex-
pectancy. And we talked to experts in the health field. We talked
to experts at the CIA that said it was statistically impossible, sta-
tistically impossible to double the life expectancy of any country
over that timeframe.
But that is—and I am certain some President and some AID ad-
ministrator, I must say the current AID administrator is totally
different and he sticks to the records and he sticks to the facts. I
am so proud of——
Mr. SMITH. That would be Mark Green?
Mr. SOPKO. Yes, one of your former colleagues. He is a tremen-
dous person to work with. But we find this. But I think the prob-
lem is, again, we did not send liars and thieves and troublemakers
to Afghanistan to work for USAID or for the Department of De-
fense or whatever. We sent the bravest, the smartest—I do not
want to say always the smartest. But we sent the best that we had,
but we gave them a box of broken tools.
We gave them—let’s say if you were a contracting officer you are
rated on how much money you put on contract, not if any of the
contracts work. We rated not on outcomes, but on output. We sent
over military officers with 9 months or less of duty and they had
62
sistance that flowed into the country since 2001, even the positive
gains remain fragile.
So, Mr. Sopko, if we are to be honest, Congress is culpable to
many of these problems. Too often we listen to officials without
adequately questioning their assumptions and conclusions. But you
are here today and you have told us that part of the problem is
that we do not have the facts. You said, the basic facts that we
need are not being given. Can you elaborate on that? What are the
basic facts that all these years later that we have been at this, that
you have been at this, we are still missing?
Mr. SOPKO. Well, let’s start with strategy. There is a strategy for
Afghanistan; it is classified. Now I have clearances. You do not
need a clearance to get it; you cannot get it. There is a start.
What is our strategy? There is a strategy for—there is no strat-
egy we think for narcotics.
Mr. DEUTCH. There is—well, let me just stop you there. So when
you are referring to the strategy, you are referring to, what are you
referring to? You are referring to a document?
Mr. SOPKO. Well, usually there are strategic documents.
Mr. DEUTCH. Right.
Mr. SOPKO. You have got to have a strategy and then you have
got to lay out the programs, because without the strategy you don’t
know where your programs should be going. That is the problem
we have had over 18 years. And you also have to have metrics or
ways to measure success.
Mr. DEUTCH. All right. But when you—I just want to stop you
for a second. But when you talk about the constant churn of new
people coming in and starting over, they are all operating pursuant
to that strategy, no?
Mr. SOPKO. No. They get a job assignment. They just go over
there to run a program. They do not know what—that is the whole
problem. They are sent over there without knowing what the strat-
egy is and what was the objective of the overall strategy in Afghan-
istan, but the individual program strategy.
Mr. DEUTCH. OK. Who is the keeper of that strategy? Where——
Mr. SOPKO. Well, usually——
Mr. DEUTCH. You make it sound as if there is this document that
if we all could just see it everything would become clear, if we
shared it with all the military officials and USAID they would un-
derstand. Help me understand.
Mr. SOPKO. Well, I did not mean to imply that this is the silver
bullet or the answer. You are just saying where are the problems
of not getting the facts.
Mr. DEUTCH. Right.
Mr. SOPKO. You start with the strategy and then you look at,
well, how did the programs meet that strategy? And then you look
at metrics for success, then you look at the facts. Now when I
talked about classification, I mean, and I can go through the list
of what is still classified and I think that may help you.
You know, the way to determine whether we are doing a good
job on training, advising, and assisting the Afghan Security Forces,
you would want to know about the Afghan National Security
Forces operation data. That is classified. The Afghan Security
64
mittee up here are the best ones to decide, but it should be recog-
nized we have a problem.
And I was going to look at the charting here.
Mr. PERRY. My time has expired, sir, but could you just do this.
With the chairman’s indulgence, could you give us one example re-
garding a statute where you think we could make a difference so
I can kind of contextualize this?
Mr. SOPKO. I will definitely do it. I asked my staff to do it right
now and we will get back to you.
Mr. PERRY. All right, thank you.
Mr. ENGEL. Thank you.
Mr. Keating.
Mr. KEATING. Thank you.
Let’s be clear on one thing right off the bat that our greatest re-
sponsibility to get things right, we are going to be talking about bil-
lions and billions of dollars, but our greatest responsibility to get
things right rests with those families that lost sons and daughters
and loved ones to this war and to the people who are living with
devastating injuries that they suffered in this war that forever will
challenge them both physically and mentally.
Now let me zero in on one area of concern that we raised. My
colleagues and I raised it. I authored with my colleagues a piece
of legislation ensuring that women are a part of the peace process
in Afghanistan and that they are engaged in the activity of being
meaningful partners in creating a lasting peace, something I hope
we will advance, Mr. Chairman, out of this committee shortly.
But you mentioned in your report that you expect, and in your
testimony that you expect to issue a report on women’s empower-
ment in Afghanistan this year or early next year. And in a recently
released 2019 High-Risk List, there is a section focusing on how de-
spite over a billion dollars spent since 2002 to advance the status
of women, gains by women in Afghanistan remain fragile.
So how would you categorize the current state of meaningful en-
gagement for women and what is a clear strategy in your mind
going forward to deal effectively with these gains that not only will
help women, but actually I think help the country achieve any sem-
blance of a lasting peace going forward?
Mr. SOPKO. Congressman, that is a very good question and I am
glad you highlighted our High-Risk List, because this report talks
about the importance of a number of issues and this is when I refer
to Congress needs to do something about ensuring that these risks
are dealt with if we want lasting peace.
I cannot tell you specifically what is the answer. I can just tell
you that although we have made advancements helping women in
Afghanistan, life for a woman in Afghanistan is horrible. Outside
of the cities, major cities, where the majority of the Afghan women
live, it has not improved much. And I have not met an Afghan
woman yet who trusts the Taliban. So that is something, and I
know you are concerned that they have a seat at the table or some-
body represents them at the table so they do not get lost in this
shuffle declaring victory and leaving. That is my concern.
Mr. KEATING. We have been assured that time and time again
by the Afghan——
Mr. SOPKO. By the Taliban?
67
Mr. KEATING. No, by the Afghan leaders, yet you are right. There
is no place at the table. So, but you categorize it as fragile right
now, so could you talk to us about right now and what we should
have done to make it less fragile and what we can do going for-
ward?
Mr. SOPKO. You know, I do not have specific answers to that. I
will get back to you. But I think one of the critical things about
that issue, and it is a delicate issue because you are talking about
cultures. But one of those things is we have to focus that the prob-
lem of women’s rights is men. And all of our programs have been
focusing on giving certificates and things to women, who are prob-
lem is, and Ms. Ghani, the President’s wife——
Mr. KEATING. I have spoken with her and had discussions with
her on this matter.
Mr. SOPKO. I have spoken with her too, in the palace, and she
says the women’s issue is a men’s issue, so the program should be
focused on them. But one of the things is if you are going to design
a women’s program talk to some Afghan women. And Ms. Ghani
was one of the first people who highlighted the problem with the
Promote Program, which is one of those programs that was over-
sold as the greatest program on earth for women, $250 million, and
there was going to be $250 million of donations from the European
Union and the European allies, and I remember meeting with the
European allies in Afghanistan and none of them had heard about
the program.
But we had already—this is again, this odor of mendacity. We
had already—OK.
Mr. KEATING. All right, I have 20 seconds left.
But there is a recurrent theme regardless whether you are talk-
ing about the judiciary system, the rule of law, whether you are
talking about the narcotics system or what we are talking about
with advancing women’s place in the society, we are not tailoring
our programs around the traditions of the host country. And I
think probably with later testimony that is going to be an area you
are going to highlight that that is a huge oversight on our part.
I have to yield back. My time is up.
Mr. SOPKO. We need to talk to the Afghans, sir.
Mr. ENGEL. Thank you.
Mr. Yoho.
Mr. YOHO. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Mr. Sopko, thank you for being here. I apologize because I feel
it is like welcome back to groundhog days again because we have
heard this over and over again, and you have done a great job of
highlighting this stuff.
I remember when Rajiv Shah was here when he was with
USAID. I think Afghanistan got a billion dollars through USAID
and they could not account for $300 billion and this has been a con-
tinual problem. I think what you pointed out was a grand plan and
I think Congress can do that and Congress should be the one that
does that and it should be the appropriate committees.
I think the Foreign Affairs Committee working with DOD or one
of the other committees should be able to create a policy that lives
beyond a presidency so that it is something that our allies and the
countries we work with can count on that this policy will not
68
change. Yes, the President can come in and they can tweak it as
needed, but it has to survive an administration. And that is some-
thing that if we vote on it in the House and the Senate, it will be
hard to change. And that all goes back to making sure we have the
correct policy. I lost my train of thought.
The one thing that you picked up, and you said this in the very
beginning and this is so important. Your reports come out every
year and I think they are spot on. It is this body that does not act.
We are the ones that are in charge of the money. We are the ones
that can direct these programs or not.
And I thought what you said in the very beginning, successful re-
construction is incompatible with continuing insecurity, until we
have a stable government, we can throw all the money you want,
but until there is a stable government, and it does not need to be
a democracy. I am against democracy building in a lot of these
countries because they are not ready for it. That is something that
has to come up from the top down. We cannot force feed a country
that. It has to be a stable government that we can work with.
And the women programs, those are all great and I agree with
you. But when you look at that culture, if you do not understand
that culture, their culture is you walk behind me eight or ten feet,
they are not going to have them at the seat, at the dais, unfortu-
nately as that is. We have been to countries where they have done
that because of our policies and the women are there, but when you
go to ask a question of them, the men answer. And I have inter-
rupted the men and said, I do not want you to hear from you, I
want to hear from the people that are here, the women here.
We need to understand that culture and give them time to
change and adapt, and I think we need to focus on stability. And
when we have stability, then our infrastructure projects can start
creating the economy that we need so that trade can come in a
gradual change. The Taliban, we ran them out and the women
went to school. But when the Taliban comes back, they are going
to be out of school and we know that is going to happen. And so,
I think we need to be a lot smarter in how we do this and this is
a lesson learned that we should never repeat again.
I want to get your sense, do you feel that the military industrial
complex that President Eisenhower forewarned us about, are they
playing a hand in this or impeding a success in this, or is it more
of our policies just being, you know, where it changes every—the
mental lobotomy that happens with talent that we send over there?
Mr. SOPKO. Yes, I can’t really comment on that. I think the prob-
lems we have you have identified. The other problem is there is a
tendency, and I talk about it in the statement, of we think that just
throwing money at it will answer it.
Mr. YOHO. Sure.
Mr. SOPKO. And more money is a problem. We spent too much
money, too fast, in too small of a country, with too little oversight.
Mr. YOHO. Right.
Mr. SOPKO. And that created the corruption problem. That dis-
torted the economy and distorted the culture, so smaller sometimes
is better. I don’t know if that has anything to do with the military
industrial complex, I think it more has to do with maybe it is a
tendency of American culture. We have a view as we are going to
69
get there with the firstest with the mostest, going back to, I don’t
know if it was General Sherman or something saying we are going
to do that. And we have the same thing about development aid and
we are going to get there with the firstest with the mostest and as-
sume that is good.
Mr. YOHO. And what we need to do is focus on what do you need,
what do you want, what we can help you achieve.
Mr. SOPKO. And what you can use.
And, sir, I would harken back to those seven questions which we
posed within a year of me coming on board. I was trying to, what
are the lessons we have learned and one of those questions is, do
the Afghans know about the program?
Mr. YOHO. Right.
Mr. SOPKO. Do they want the program? Will they use the pro-
gram? If you answered that in the affirmative that program will
probably succeed more than it will fail. But if you answer in the
negative, then why are you doing the program?
Mr. YOHO. Exactly. And your six conclusions and recommenda-
tions is what this body needs to do and we are the ones in charge
of that and I thank you.
Mr. SOPKO. Welcome, sir.
Mr. ENGEL. The gentleman’s time is—Mr. Cicilline.
Mr. CICILLINE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Thank you, Mr. Sopko, for your service. I want to understand a
little bit about the Afghanistan Papers. What was the document
that was being prepared? Was that going to be this report that you
have provided to the committee or is it an internal document? Be-
cause part of what I am trying to figure out is, is there some fail-
ure also of our current model of the Inspector General in terms of
getting this information in a way that will require action, because
I do think sunlight on this is really important.
So what, will you tell us a little bit about what the purpose, like
were you preparing a report that was going to be shared publicly
or shared with Congress?
Mr. SOPKO. That is a good question, and again I think it is one
of the misconceptions. We were not preparing a report. We inter-
viewed people in preparation for these seven reports as well we are
interviewing for the next series of reports. You know, we—these
were raw interview notes——
Mr. CICILLINE. OK.
Mr. SOPKO [continuing]. That we had done for those reports.
Mr. CICILLINE. For the reports that you had previously prepared,
OK.
Mr. SOPKO. Oh, yes. Yes. And it is up——
Mr. CICILLINE. I want to get to some questions.
Mr. SOPKO. Sure, OK. Yes.
Mr. CICILLINE. I appreciate that. I just want to, because I do
think getting this information is really valuable, but I want to
focus my questions very much on corruption, because I think, cer-
tainly, the absence of a clear set of objectives has to come, you
know, developing an objective for our mission in Afghanistan fol-
lowed by a strategy and then metrics to measure it. I think that
has been our challenge.
70
peace. Now maybe the cost of the warfighting may change, but just
because you sign peace with the Taliban does not mean you are
going to have peace with ISIS or the other 30-some terrorist groups
and the other warlords and gangs who are operating.
So you are going to have a cost. We have to face the reality there
and try to work with them. But that is one of the biggest concerns
we have in here because you also have to reintegrate. Let’s assume
it is a successful peace. You have 60,000 talib plus their families
who have to be reintegrated. That costs money. Can the Afghans
do that? No. We just had a major surrender of ISIS troops. I have
seen no evidence that the Afghan Government has done anything
to reintegrate those ISIS troops.
And, actually, if you talk to General Miller, you talk to our——
Mr. CASTRO. You will have to give the rest of it for the record.
I have to move on to another Representative.
Mr. SOPKO. I am sorry. But I think those are the conditions.
Mr. BERA. OK. We will continue this conversation.
Mr. SOPKO. I am terribly sorry. I did not hear you. I apologize.
Mr. BERA. Right.
Mr. BURCHETT. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for that recognition.
I am probably not as intellectual, but I will probably be more enter-
taining to you, so I appreciate the time.
And I do notice how important you are. Usually we have this
whole line of people up here and they get their 5 minutes and then
they tweet about it and go home. You are by yourself and then you
turn around to the group behind you and then they take note of
whatever you are saying and make notes of it. So they are doing
an excellent job behind you. I do not know if you knew that or not.
I had a couple of questions, brother, and thank you for being
here. Your father was a World War II veteran. My dad enlisted
shortly after December 7th, so I appreciate—my momma flew an
airplane during the war, so I appreciate you, brother, and I appre-
ciate what you have said up here.
I have actually been listening and I had a couple of good ques-
tions here. Have you seen any evidence that foreign State actors
have or are currently undermining U.S. reconstruction efforts and
can you expand specifically on the role Pakistan is playing?
Mr. SOPKO. I have not seen any evidence of that of foreign State
actions on reconstruction. And as for Pakistan’s role, obviously
there is a lot of reporting about their involvement with if they are
supporting various terrorist groups, but that is not within my juris-
diction so I am not the best person. I would just be reporting on
what read in the newspaper too.
Mr. BURCHETT. That is all right. And that is probably wrong, so
I appreciate you saying that, brother.
Should the U.S. continue to fund the counternarcotic programs
even though we have thrown nine billion dollars at the problem
and it seems with little success? And I say that coming to you—
I was a State legislator for 16 years. I was a county mayor. And
I remember when our Attorney General Randy Nichols told me,
talked about the price of brown tar heroin and when it became too
high the opioid epidemic would explode, and he was a prophet on
that. It did.
75
But I know that overseas the market is flowing in and out and
I was just curious of your opinion on that.
Mr. SOPKO. Well, counternarcotics is the 800-pound gorilla in the
room. It is the largest export from Afghanistan. It dwarfs the licit,
the legal economy. It employs more people than are in the Afghan
Army. So if you ignore it, you ignore it at your peril, particularly
if we are talking about developing lasting peace.
You have peace with the Taliban, but what about the drug war-
lords who are probably more powerful than the Taliban? They cor-
rupt the institution. They are recognized by the Afghan people as
that and if we tolerate them or if we allow the Afghan Government
to tolerate them, you kick the can down the street just so far and
that is a problem. So I do not know if I answered the question, sir.
Mr. BURCHETT. Do you ever see—it seems like these folks, you
know, we get a new regime in or whatever and the drug warlords
just seem to transcend to the next one. Is that because of their, in
its power or their cash-flow or is it a combination thereof?
Mr. SOPKO. I think it is a combination of it. And again, I do not
want to downplay how difficult it is to fight drugs.
Mr. BURCHETT. Yes.
Mr. SOPKO. We have a problem here in the United States.
Mr. BURCHETT. A huge problem.
Mr. SOPKO. You could look at Mexico. You look at Colombia. You
look at developed countries are having a problem with it. You put
it into a country like Afghanistan, it dwarfs a lot of the other prob-
lems. The sad thing is, over the last 18 years drug usage in Af-
ghanistan has skyrocketed. And I cannot remember and I can get
back to you on the data on the United Nations, I think Afghanistan
may have the highest addiction rate of any developing country now,
but I can double check that. I may be wrong.
Mr. BURCHETT. If you could get back to me that would be great
and no big deal. But thank you so much for being here. I yield back
the remainder of my time, Mr. Chairman. Thank you.
Mr. CASTRO. Thank you, Representative. I would call on myself
now. I am next in the lineup.
I want to ask you, Mr. Sopko, and, first of all, thank you for your
testimony. I want to ask you about our diplomatic corps and the
State Department and the efficacy of our diplomatic efforts. While
the United States has continued to spend billions of dollars annu-
ally, we apparently did not invest enough in our Foreign Service
Officers and diplomacy to train and retrain experts.
Given that we sought to achieve peace and development in Af-
ghanistan, more military was not always the right answer. Wheth-
er rebuilding or negotiating with the Taliban, personnel within the
State Department, of course, is of the utmost importance. So here
are my questions for you. What can be done to empower and
strengthen the diplomatic corps?
Mr. SOPKO. I think, first of all, is I think you hit a right point
on empowering and strengthening. They are essential. The problem
in Afghanistan is the Ambassador has been, it is sort of de facto,
his role as the senior U.S. Government official has been
downplayed by the fact that there is a military officer sitting across
the street.
76
Mr. CASTRO. What I was going to ask you about, about the inter-
play between——
Mr. SOPKO. He has more money.
Mr. CASTRO. Right. And the interplay between our military folks
that are there and the diplomatic folks that are there.
Mr. SOPKO. The problem is that the State Department, I think
you have hit it on the head, is underfunded. USAID is underfunded
in comparison to the military. We are fighting a war in Afghani-
stan, and I am not saying we should not fund General Miller and
RS the way we are doing it. But I am just saying is you cannot
ignore the diplomats; you cannot ignore USAID.
You particularly saw this at the PRTs and at the regional groups
when we set up, we were supposed to be AID and State and the
military out there in the region. Well, military all showed up. They
had the money. They had the manpower. They had the CERP
funds. Where were the State and AID people? There were not
enough of them to go around. And that is a problem.
I am old school. Development should be done by development ex-
perts. Those are diplomats and AID officials. They should not be
done by the U.S. military. And we highlight, when we give that
task to the U.S. military it almost automatically fails.
Mr. CASTRO. And that segues right into the next question that
I wanted to ask you. Why does the military appear to be at the
forefront of nation building in Afghanistan rather than the State
Department or USAID, especially in light of the fact that this has
been going on now for 18 years? So there has been plenty of oppor-
tunity to make course corrections, why do you think this is?
Mr. SOPKO. Because we have emphasized the warfighting and we
have given short shrift to development and reconstruction. And the
military has the weapons and they have the manpower and they
have the money.
Mr. CASTRO. And what does that say or what does the portend
for when our presence, our military presence is no longer there at
some point?
Mr. SOPKO. It is a big issue. It is one of those risks you face. Be-
cause, for example, our military assistance program has been run
by the military. We have trained the Afghans to deal with the mili-
tary. They have not been trained to deal through the normal em-
bassy functions, so there are some serious problems here and it is
an area I think Congress needs to look at.
Mr. CASTRO. Thank you, Mr. Sopko.
I am going to go now to Mr. Levin from Michigan.
Mr. LEVIN. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
Mr. Sopko, thank you for your public service, I really appreciate
it, and for coming here today. SIGAR interviewees indicated that
politics was partly to blame for the sheer amount of money poured
into Afghanistan even as money from prior years was left unspent,
and officials made clear that Afghanistan did not have the capacity
to put so much money to proper use.
Apparently, policymakers claimed, ‘‘The political signal by a
budget reduction at a turning point in the war effort would ad-
versely affect overall messaging and indirectly reconstruction ef-
forts on the ground. The articulation of goals for the purpose of
77
are talking about here with goats from Italy and so forth. What
contributed to this gap? What lesson do you take from reading all
these letters, the gap between what the U.S. is supporting and
what the Afghans needed on the ground?
Mr. CASTRO. Do you want to take 15 seconds to answer that?
Mr. SOPKO. I think I go back to the institutional hubris and men-
dacity that I talked about. We have incentivized lying to Congress,
and by that, I mean the whole incentive is to show success and to
ignore the failure. And when there is too much failure, classify it
or do not report it.
Congress has to weigh in and say, hold it, we want to know the
truth as gory as it is. Reconstruction takes a long time. You cannot
do it in 6 months. You cannot do it in 9 months. You probably can-
not do it in one administration. So if you wanted to help the Af-
ghans, it is the long haul. Eighteen——
Mr. CASTRO. Thank you.
Mr. SOPKO. OK, that is—I am sorry.
Mr. LEVIN. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back.
Mr. CASTRO. Thank you. Yes.
Representative Connolly.
Mr. CONNOLLY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
And welcome back——
Mr. SOPKO. Good to see you, sir.
Mr. CONNOLLY [continuing]. Mr. Sopko, and thank you for your
work. I mean, frankly, that press table ought to be filled to over-
flowing. The story about Afghanistan and the United States’ mili-
tary and economic assistance to that country really deserves the
kind of scrutiny you have been trying to provide and get attention
to. It is shocking in some ways that the story you are telling has
so little interest by the media, the public, Congress itself. We have
provided at least $132 billion in development assistance that is of
dubious value. Is that a fair——
Mr. SOPKO. Correct.
Mr. CONNOLLY [continuing]. Conclusion? Imagine, $132 billion.
And if I understand it, and I do not want to overstate it, almost
all of the systems put in place are designed to avoid measuring
progress, failure and success, and, for that matter, even account-
ability. So, for example, you earlier testified there are almost no
metrics for how are we doing, did it work? If that did not work,
let’s try something else.
You cannot—and when we have metrics, they classify them so
the public and the Congress and others actually cannot access
them; is that true?
Mr. SOPKO. That was my—basically, I was talking about the
military where the bulk of the 132 billion has been spent, right.
Mr. CONNOLLY. Speaking of the military, in the stabilization re-
port you talked about the fact that in a sense the military stifled,
suppressed USAID by bulldozing the agency into a clear, hold,
build strategy and demanded that AID, despite misgivings, imple-
ment a cash-for-work program despite AID’s protests as well as
misgivings; is that true?
Mr. SOPKO. That is correct.
Mr. CONNOLLY. How does such a thing happen?
Mr. SOPKO. Well.
79
was tired when we met because he had been out the night before
leading a raid, which we are doing every single night, degrading
the Taliban’s ability, al-Qaida, and ISIS elements as well. And I
have often thought about that captain, especially as we heard the
news of the two service members who were killed this weekend,
and wondered if we are serving him as well as he is serving us,
as well as many of our men and women in conflict are serving us.
And I want to thank you for your work. I think this is one of the
best parts of our democracy is that we can be critical of ourselves
and that we can take a critical eye to our commitments and say
what are we doing wrong and what can we do better. I am not here
to point fingers. There are multiple administrations involved. We
all know how long and how much money we put into this.
But one of my questions for you is that over the years you have
released a number of overarching recommendations for various
parts of the government, I want to know how receptive you found
the agencies involved to your recommendations. I think I read that
13 of them have been adopted; is that correct? And maybe tell us
what you think is standing in the way of some of those rec-
ommendations being adopted.
Mr. SOPKO. Well, that is in regard to, I believe we had about 130
recommendations from the first seven Lessons Learned report.
Overall, from our audits and inspections, about 86 percent to 90
percent of our recommendations are adopted. The reason for the
smaller number, I believe, is because many of our recommenda-
tions are conditional on events occurring such as peace or the
next—many of our recommendations are if you do this again, you
should do the following. So it is hard to say they have complied be-
cause it has not happened, so—but we are happy to report back on
that.
Mr. ALLRED. Yes.
Mr. SOPKO. The Lessons Learned Program have been very well
received by the military, the State Department, and USAID. Par-
ticularly, the military under General Dunford when he was the
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, he was very receptive and we are
using it—we have been asked to do it for training for them as well
as the Foreign Service Institute.
Mr. ALLRED. Oay. Well, I know that this has occurred before, but
while I was there, we were told that a new generation of Afghan
military leaders were emerging particularly in their Special Forces
and they were leading most of the kinetic fighting and doing actu-
ally a decent job. And I was wondering if you could provide you and
your agency’s opinion on the generation of leadership that is com-
ing through the Afghan military, whether or not they will be able
to stand up when we stand down.
And I know that some of that is a military consideration that is
outside of your purview, but from the reviews you have done and
over the years of your experience how you believe that is pro-
gressing.
Mr. SOPKO. Well, Congressman, it is a good point. It is in our
purview because it is part of the train, advise, and assist. So as for
the Special Forces, I think that is a success story. Our training and
advising and assisting the Afghan Special Forces is a success. We
highlight it, we continue to highlight it. I can give you more detail
81
if I had the time and happy to brief you on it. Just as I said with
the air program, we all are hoping for a new generation of officers,
senior officers in the Afghan military. I know General Nicholson
spoke that this is what we were hoping for. A lot of those officers
were old Soviet-trained officers and they finally got rid of them.
They retired and they pensioned them off.
But it is too early to tell. We are talking about the law that
pensioned all these older officers off was about less than a year old
or maybe older, we do not know. But the problem is that below
that corps level, maybe below that officer level you have a lot of
corruption, a lot of incompetency and it is seriously hurting the Af-
ghan military.
The biggest problem is not casualties, it is desertions. It is people
disappearing or it is people who never existed and we are paying
their salaries. So we all have to respect the Afghans for doing what
they are doing with the current situation. It is a difficult situation.
Many of them are not being paid or fed. They have to buy their
own food from their officers who steal it from them.
Mr. ALLRED. Yes. Thank you. I yield back.
Mr. CASTRO. Representative Spanberger.
Ms. SPANBERGER. Good afternoon, Mr. Sopko. Thank you for
being here. I, like many of my colleagues, recently visited our
armed forces in Afghanistan and had the opportunity to meet with
many of our men and women who are working on training special
forces and Afghan pilots. So it is good as we are discussing the
what is working and what is not to hear some of your discussion
related to those two success stories.
And you have talked a lot today about the fact that we are
spending too much money and the waste and abuse of U.S. tax-
payer dollars that we have seen in Afghanistan. And as we are
moving toward the congressional appropriations process, I was
wondering if you might dive into that question a bit more of where
are we spending too much money? Where are there places where
we are witnessing these abuses, and are there things that we as
Members of Congress could prioritize or should consider as we
move toward appropriations to ensure that we are not seeing the
continued abuse in the way that we have witnessed over the past
decade or more?
Mr. SOPKO. I cannot give you specific recommendations, but what
I would go back to is look at the justification for some of these pro-
grams. What has been the outcome? Ask the agencies, what has
been the outcome of funding, let’s say, counternarcotics. What has
been the outcome of funding rule of law, et cetera. So I think that
is probably the only way I can help you on that. I cannot tell you
for sure.
I think—let’s look—and this is what we did when we briefed
General Dunford. Let’s look at the successes and see if we cannot
duplicate that in, let’s say, the rest of the Afghan military. And we
were very hopeful that we were going to do that and they proposed
and I think they still have these brigades—excuse me—security
forces assistance brigades where they were trying to do that. But
I am not absolutely certain if the latest brigade has gone out.
Yes, it has gone out. That may be an area you want to look in.
I am happy to give you and any member—we can brief you on more
82
Thank you so much for coming here today. I actually really want
to commend you for being so frank. This is only my first year here,
a year and 2 weeks in, but you are, literally, the first person who
I have seen in front of us on any of my committees that I felt was
being honest and fully honest and not just waiting for the right
question to not answer it. So thank you so much for that.
Mr. SOPKO. Thank you.
Ms. HOULAHAN. Really, genuinely. And so given that you have ef-
fectively testified and talked about for the last couple hours the
fact that we have basically failed all of our objectives in Afghani-
stan over the last 17 years or so, 18 years, can you reflect on what
the implications are for efforts that we have in other unstable
countries and whether there is any, I guess, lessons to be learned
or cautionary tales that we should be aware of?
Mr. SOPKO. First of all, I just want to qualify not everything has
failed. There have been some successes. There are more women in
the economy. There are more women going to school. There are
more kids going to school.
Ms. HOULAHAN. So we have an F-plus.
Mr. SOPKO. Yes. Well, D-minus, I think, is a good thing.
Ms. HOULAHAN. D-minus.
Mr. SOPKO. I think it is hard to summarize 130 recommendations
in all these seven reports, but I think small may be better than
large. Definitely deal with corruption, early on. Before you go in,
also know where you are going in. I mean people were designing
and working programs in Afghanistan like they were walking into
Norway. This is not Norway. This is not Kansas, sometimes I felt
I was out of a movie and this does not look like Kansas, Toto.
Our staffers were, not our staffers, but some of the people and,
unfortunately, a lot were with AID, it was unbelievable where they
thought they were. So train our people before we send them in—
they are honest people, but they just do not know where they are—
and develop an understanding of that community. Know who the
warlords are and who their brother and who their seventh cousin
is because you may not want to give the contract to him, but you
just gave it to his cousin. We have that capability. Our intelligence
people know how to do that. But if they are not told to do that and
we do not follow them and follow their advice, we are going to fail.
I mean one of the other things is we have a tendency allowing
counterterrorism to trump countercorruption, and when you do
that you still have a security problem.
Am I over or under?
Ms. HOULAHAN. No, you are under.
Mr. SOPKO. Okay.
Ms. HOULAHAN. But I do have one more question, which you
spoke——
Mr. SOPKO. You are strict.
Ms. HOULAHAN. You spoke a little bit about the importance of
calendar versus condition-based timelines or vice versa. Can you
give us a little bit more detail about why you thought that our
strategy in Afghanistan was not successful because of improper se-
lection of those timelines?
84
honest about what it would take, but that is where we have been.
There have also been gains. Your job is to look at the problems, but
Afghanistan today is a vastly different country as I am sure you
would acknowledge from the utterly failed state that it was in
2001. People do not want to go back. Anyone who has been to Af-
ghanistan or who knows Afghans knows that.
And so let me ask you looking forward, what happens to this
work that you are evaluating and urging us to improve if we pre-
cipitously withdraw, if our military were to perhaps in response to
a tweet from somebody, just get up and leave?
Mr. SOPKO. We have not done an exact study on it, but just
based upon all of our work and what people are telling me, and I
was just there over Christmas and I have gone four times a year
since I started this job, if the military, our military precipitously
leaves, and I do not know how you define precipitously, but leaves
very quickly, the Afghan military is going to have a hard time
fighting on their own without our support. We give a lot of—we do
not do the bulk of the fighting, they do it, but we do a lot of sup-
port, particularly their air. We do a lot of support of that and with
the Special Forces, so you would have a very bloody stalemate con-
tinuing but probably declining.
If we precipitously cut funding, my prediction, and it is just my
prediction, we have not done a study on it, the Afghan Government
would fall.
Mr. MALINOWSKI. And do you see that the perception that this
might happen is having an impact on choices that Afghans are
making? Have we seen, for example, capital flight? People deciding,
you know what, I am just going to take my money. I am going to
sell my property and my business, move my money to another
country, send my kids to another country because I do not have
confidence that this support is going to continue over the long
term?
Mr. SOPKO. Again, we have not done a study on it, but from the
Afghans we have talked to, and again I have people there who have
been there for years and we have dealt with people are moving
their families out of the country, I assume money is going with it.
We have seen a bit of an uptick in theft of fuel and all of that and
that is what happened the last time when we thought there was
a drawdown, everybody is stealing what they can before we leave.
So that we have seen, so that is a problem.
Mr. MALINOWSKI. Do you have any confidence that there can be
a peace agreement with the power sharing with the Taliban that
would enable us to continue honest, corruption-free development
work in Afghanistan?
Mr. SOPKO. You know, it would be difficult, but it is something
you are hoping the Taliban also cares about. But that is the dif-
ficulty of this negotiation of the Taliban are involved in a lot of the
illegality. Beyond killing us, they are involved in the drug trade,
so what happens after that? They are involved in extortions,
kidnappings, stuff like that. It is a full-service criminal organiza-
tion on top of being a terrorist, so I do not know how that is going
to work.
Mr. MALINOWSKI. Yes. Well, I would conclude by saying this is
obviously difficult and complicated, but I think in all these years
86
did not like it and totally ripped it out and rebuilt another one so
it was comparable, so they feel happy, they look the same and all
that. We spent hundreds of thousands, not a lot, but hundreds of
thousands of dollars.
I remember asking the CSTC-A commander after we had done
that—we built an office, ripped everything out, spent U.S. tax-
payers’ dollars to make it look pretty again so he was happy—I
said, what did you get for that? He had no idea what I was talking
about. I said, you just did a favor for him, what did you get? Did
you get him, maybe he is going to fight corruption in some area?
That is smart conditionality. That is knowing who you are deal-
ing with. And that is, I think, a way we can proceed and we have
not really done that too much. As a matter of fact, we are right
now asking for what type of conditions we have imposed on the
funds to the Afghan military. And if I am not mistaken, they are
refusing, I believe, to give us their current conditions. By ‘‘they’’ I
mean our U.S. Government officials.
Ms. TITUS. I serve on the House Democracy Partnership and Af-
ghanistan has been a partner since 2016, but we have a very dif-
ficult time engaging with them and I think it goes back to the point
that you made that early on you said successful reconstruction is
incompatible with continuing insecurity, and that is just one little
example of how very true that is.
Mr. SOPKO. Correct.
Ms. TITUS. Well, thank you very much for your testimony. I yield
back.
Mr. CASTRO. Thank you, Representative.
Mr. Sopko, that concludes our witnesses. Do you have any closing
comments or statement you would like to make?
Mr. SOPKO. Other than to thank you very much and thank the
chairman and all the members for giving us this time. This is very
helpful, I think, for not only you, I hope, but also for the American
people.
Mr. CASTRO. Well, thank you to our Members of Congress and
also to our witness, Mr. Sopko.
Mr. Sopko, thank you for your candor and for your hard work on
these issues. The hearing is concluded and the committee stands
adjourned.
[Whereupon, at 12:21 p.m., the committee was adjourned.]
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APPENDIX
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