Youth in India 2022 Report

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Youth in India 2022 report

July 15, 2022


In news– The Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation has released the ‘Youth in India 2022’ report
recently.

Key findings of the report-

Following are some of the findings of the report:

India’s favourable demographic dividend is at an


inflection point of sorts, with the population share of
the youth starting to taper off even as the share of the
elderly is expected to steadily surge during 2021-2036.
The states of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, which experienced
a rise in proportion of youth population to total
population till 2021, are expected to see a decline from
hereon.

These two states, along with Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh


and Rajasthan, are projected to have over half (52 per
cent) of the country’s youth.

States such as Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Himachal Pradesh


are projected to see a higher elderly population than
the youth by 2036.
Citing the findings from the Report of Technical Group
on Population Projections, 2020, constituted by Ministry
of Health and Family Welfare, this report said youth in
the age group of 15-29 years comprise 27.2 per cent of
the population for 2021, which is expected to decrease
to 22.7 by 2036.
The proportion of the population aged under 15 years is
projected to decline, the elderly in the population is
expected to increase.
The total youth population increased from 222.7 million
in 1991 to 333.4 million in 2011 and is projected to
reach 371.4 million by 2021 and, thereafter, decrease to
345.5 million by 2036.
For Kerala, which saw the youth population peak earlier
than other states, the elderly population share in total
population has been projected at 16.5 per cent compared
with 22.1 per cent of youth population in 2021.
The share of elderly in total population (22.8 per cent)
in Kerala is then projected to cross the share of youth
(19.2 per cent) by 2036.
Tamil Nadu and Himachal Pradesh are also projected to
experience elderly population more than the youth by
2036.
A greater proportion of youth at present will result in
a greater proportion of elderly in the population in
future. This will create a demand for better healthcare
facilities and development of welfare schemes/programmes
for elderly people.
Proportion of youth to the total population had
increased from 26.6 per cent in 1991 to 27.9 per cent in
2016 and then projected to start a downward trend and to
reach 22.7 per cent by year 2036.
On the contrary, the proportion of elderly population to
the total population has increased from 6.8 per cent in
1991 to 9.2 per cent in 2016 and is projected to reach
14.9 per cent in 2036.
United Nations’ World Population Prospects (WPP)-2022-

As per the 2022 edition of the United Nations’ World


Population Prospects (WPP), released in July, India is
projected to surpass China as the world’s most populous
country in 2023.
The report pointed out that a sustained drop in
fertility has led to an increased concentration of the
population at working ages (between 25 and 64 years) and
this shift in the age distribution provides a time-bound
opportunity for accelerated economic growth known as the
“demographic dividend”.
The UN report, however, also noted that the population
of older persons is increasing both in numbers and as a
share of the total, with the share of the global
population aged 65 years or above projected to rise from
10 per cent in 2022 to 16 per cent in 2050, warning
countries with ageing populations to take steps to adapt
public programmes to the growing proportion of older
persons, including by improving the sustainability of
social security and pension systems and by establishing
universal health care and long-term care systems.

Further reading:
https://journalsofindia.com/united-nations-world-population-pr
ospects-wpp/

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