International Payment 2022 Chapter 1-SV
International Payment 2022 Chapter 1-SV
International Payment 2022 Chapter 1-SV
INTERNATIONAL PAYMENT
1
PART ONE: FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE- OBJECTIVES
November 4, 2022
➢ Foreign Exchange
➢ Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate Quotation
2
I. FOREIGN EXCHANGE
November 4, 2022
Foreign Exchange (FX) includes all payment means that are
used in international settlements.(financial assets)
• Foreign currencies
• Standard Gold
3
ORDINANCE ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE CONTROL
ARTICLE 4
November 4, 2022
1. Foreign exchanges comprises:
(a) Currencies of other nations or the common European currency and
other common currencies used in international and regional payments
November 4, 2022
Exchange rate is conversion price for exchange one currency for
another (Dictionary of Banking Terms, Barrons)
Rate of Exchange or Exchange Rate is price at which one
November 4, 2022
The nature of exchange rate is the correlation of purchasing
power between currencies and is price in which currencies can
exchange of the others. (Financing Academy, International
November 4, 2022
The Classical Gold Standard
The Collapse of the Gold Standard
7
GOLD STANDARD AND ITS RULES
November 4, 2022
From ancient time to modern time, international trade operated
on the basis of “Commodity Standard”, among commodity,
metal was the main commodity, they were casted into bullions
8
THE CLASSICAL GOLD STANDARD
November 4, 2022
A government would define a unit of its currency unit as worth
such-and-such an amount of gold. It would stand ready to buy or
sell its currency for gold at that price at anytime, in any amount.
Such a currency was convertible, for it could be converted into
9
November 4, 2022
At the post-WWII parities of the Bretton Woods “gold
exchange” standard:
Thus the exchange rate of the dollar for the pound was £1 =
$2.40
10
THE COLLAPSE OF THE GOLD STANDARD
November 4, 2022
The international gold standard was suspended when WWI
began in 1914.
11
THE BRETTON WOOD SYSTEM
November 4, 2022
In ordinary times, exchange rates should be fixed: Fixed exchange rates
encourage international trade by making the prices of goods made in a
foreign country predictable, and so have powerful advantages.
November 4, 2022
Since the early 1970s the exchange rates at which the currencies
of the major industrial powers trade against each other have been
“floating” rates. The exchange rate is fixed by the government,
13
SOME CONCEPTS
November 4, 2022
Domestic (internal) purchasing power is the quantity of goods
bought by one unit of domestic currency in the domestic market.
14
SOME CONCEPTS
November 4, 2022
International (external) purchasing power is the quantity of
goods bought in the international market when one unit of
domestic currency is converted to foreign currency.
16
ECONOMIC THEORIES OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION
Exchange rates in the long run:
November 4, 2022
➢ The law of one price: in competitive markets free of
transportation costs and barriers to trade (such as tariffs),
identical products sold in different countries must sell for the
November 4, 2022
Exchange rates in the long run: The price of a “basket of goods”
should be roughly equivalent in each country. Exchange rates will
adjust to reflect changing price levels.
November 4, 2022
Eg: USD1 = VND16800 ; GBP1 = USD1.9437
Commodity Currency
Currency Code:
November 4, 2022
Foreign Exchange Rate In Vietnam In London
1 USD1 = VND16800 GBP1 = USD1.9437
2 1USD = 16800VND 1GBP = 1.9437USD
November 4, 2022
A point always refers to one unit of the last digit of a
conventional quotation.
23
November 4, 2022 Foreign Trade University, HCM city campus
24
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE: BID, ASK AND SPREAD
November 4, 2022
Bid Rate is the rate at which the quoting bank is willing to buy
the commodity currency.
For examples:
25
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE: SPREAD DEPENDS ON:
November 4, 2022
The amount of currencies dealt
The size or reputation of financial centre
26
IV. FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE: CROSS RATES
November 4, 2022
Cross rate is the rate of two currencies derived from the third
one (or medium currency)
November 4, 2022
Example 1:
USD/JPY = 117.90/94
USD/CHF = 1.2567/72
November 4, 2022
Example 2:
EUR/ USD = 1.2645/48
GBP/USD = 1.8793/98
November 4, 2022
Example 3:
EUR/USD = 1.2645/48
USD/CAD = 1.195/98
November 4, 2022
An exchange rate is the price of domestic assets in
terms of foreign assets
Using the theory of asset demand—the most important
factor affecting the demand for domestic (dollar) assets
and foreign (euro) assets is the expected return on these
assets relative to each other
November 4, 2022
Ee
− Et
i =i −D F t +1
Et
Capital mobility with similar risk and liquidity
the assets are perfect substitutes
The domestic interest rate equals the foreign
interest rate minus the expected appreciation of the domestic
currency
Expected returns are the same on both domestic and foreign assets
An equilibrium condition
November 4, 2022
Demand
Relative expected return
At lower current values of the dollar (everything else equal), the quantity
demanded of dollar assets is higher
Supply
The amount of bank deposits, bonds, and equities in the U.S.
Vertical supply curve
November 4, 2022
Investor Psychology and Bandwagon effects
November 4, 2022
Spot rate
Derivative rates
Closing rate
Transfer rate
Telegraphic transfer
Mail rate
44
EXCHANGE RATE CLASSIFICATIONS
November 4, 2022
Official rate
Black market rate
45
EXCHANGE RATE CLASSIFICATIONS
November 4, 2022
Norminal exchange rate (NER)
Real exchange rate (RER)
November 4, 2022
Changes in Interest Rates: When domestic interes t rates rise due to
an expected increase in inflation, the domestic currency depreciates .
47
Foreign Trade University,
November 4, 2022 17-48
HCM city campus
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Direct tools: devaluation, revaluation, the Central Bank
operations in the foreign exchange markets, surrender, restrictive
regulation
49
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Devaluation: In the fixed exchange rate regime, a devaluation of
a currency refers to a drop in domestic currency’s value in
comparison with foreign currencies (made by the government).
50
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Revaluation: In the fixed exchange rate regime, a revaluation is
the activity of the government to increase the domestic
currency’s value in comparison with foreign currencies. The
51
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
The Central Bank operations on the foreign exchange markets
are related to maintain fixed exchange rate (in the fixed
exchange rate regime) or affect exchange rate fluctuate in the
52
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Surrender (Remittance): The government sets regulations to
force legal individuals and entities who have foreign exchange
income to sell a specific part of their income in a specific period
53
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Restrictive regulation: A measure that regulates who are permitted
to buy foreign currencies, the purposes of foreign currency used,
the quantity of purchasable foreign currencies, and the time to
54
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Rediscount rate: Holding other things constant, when the Central
Bank raises rediscount rate, the average interest in the market
would be impacted to rise as an consequence. An increase in the
55
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Tariff: The high level of tariff is one of contributors to penalize
import which in turn brings about a decrease in the demand for
foreign currency. As a result, domestic currency is appreciated.
56
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Quotas: Like the hign level of tariff, quotas put the same effect
on exchange rate and penalize import. Removing quotas will
increase import, consequently affecting exchange rate like the
57
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Price subsidies: Through the price system, the government can
subsidize strategic exports or exports in the first period of
production. Exports subsidies will encourage the quantitu of
58
TOOLS OF EXCHANGE RATE POLICY
November 4, 2022
Required reserve adjustment on foreign currencies: When there is a
shortage of foreign currency in the foreign exchange market, the
Central Bank can increase the required reserve ratio on foreign
60
VII. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
November 4, 2022
The foreign exchange refers the organizational setting within which
individuals, businesses, governments, and banks buy and sell foreign
currencies and other debt instruments.
November 4, 2022
The first is to convert the currency of one country into the currency
of another.
62
November 4, 2022 Foreign Trade University, HCM city campus
63
TYPES OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS
SPOT TRANSACTION
November 4, 2022
A spot transaction is an outright purchase and sale of foreign currency
for cash settlement not more than two business days after the date the
transaction is recorded as a spot deal.
64
November 4, 2022 Foreign Trade University, HCM city campus
65
WHAT IS A DERIVATIVE?
November 4, 2022
A derivative is an instrument whose value depends on, or is
derived from, the value of another asset.
66
WHY DERIVATIVES ARE IMPORTANT
November 4, 2022
Derivatives play a key role in transferring risks in the economy
The underlying assets include stocks, currencies, interest rates,
commodities, debt instruments, electricity, insurance payouts, the
weather, etc
Many financial transactions have embedded derivatives
November 4, 2022
On exchanges such as the Chicago Board Options Exchange
In the over-the-counter (OTC) market where traders working for
banks, fund managers and corporate treasurers contact each
other directly
November 4, 2022
(FIGURE 1.1, PAGE 3)
70
Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for OTC
market and value of underlying assets for exchange market
November 4, 2022
A forward exchange contract is entered into between a bank and a
customer, the bank fixes the rate of exchange at which a foreign
currency will be bought or sold.
November 4, 2022
In many cases, a business or financial institution knows it will be
receiving or paying an amount of foreign currency on a specific date
in the future.
November 4, 2022
Forward transactions differ from spot transactions in that their
maturity date is more than two business days in the future. A
forward-exchange contract's maturity date can be a few months
76
FOREIGN EXCHANGE QUOTES FOR GBP, MAY 24,
2010 (SEE PAGE 5)
November 4, 2022
Bid Offer
77
Spot 1.4407 1.4411
November 4, 2022
SWAP RATE= Rs. K (Iv- Iu)/ (1+ Iu.K)
Swap rate > 0 : Premium
80
November 4, 2022 Foreign Trade University, HCM city campus
81
HOW THE FORWARD EXCHANGE
RATE IS CALCULATED
HOW THE FORWARD EXCHANGE
RATE IS CALCULATED
November 4, 2022
Foreign Trade University, HCM city campus
HOW THE FORWARD EXCHANGE
RATE IS CALCULATED
82
November 4, 2022
FORWARD PRICE
The forward price for a contract is the delivery price that
would be applicable to the contract if were negotiated today
(i.e., it is the delivery price that would make the contract
worth exactly zero)
The forward price may be different for contracts of different
maturities (as shown by the table)
November 4, 2022
On May 24, 2010 the treasurer of a corporation enters into a long
forward contract to buy £1 million in six months at an exchange
rate of 1.4422
This obligates the corporation to pay $1,442,200 for £1 million
on November 24, 2010
What are the possible outcomes?
November 4, 2022
in
that only a limited number of leading
Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a certain price at a certain
currencies are
time
traded; moreover, trading takes place in
Similar to forward contract
standardized
Whereas a forward
contract contract
amounts and inis atraded OTC, a futures contract is
specific
tradedgeographic
on an exchange
location. Table 11.3 on page 348
summarizes the
major differences between the forward
market and
the futures market.
November 4, 2022
Contract size / Trading unit
Price quote
Trading hours
86
EXAMPLE: FUTURE CONTRACT SIZE
November 4, 2022
Currency transacted at IMM (CME) Contract size
Pound Sterling GBP 62,500
Japanese Yen JPY 12,500,000
(Source : www.cme.com)
87
EXAMPLE: FUTURE CONTRACT FOR EUR AT IMM
November 4, 2022
Contract size / Trading unit EUR 125,000
Delivery date / Settlement date two working days before the third 88
Wednesday of delivery month
Last day of trading T he third Wednesday of delivery month
INITIAL MARGIN AND MAINTENANCE MARGIN
November 4, 2022
Currency Initial margin Maintenance margin
AUD 2,025 1,500
GBP 1,890 1,400
89
EXAMPLE
November 4, 2022
On Monday (Oct 6th), buy a future contract of EUR, which will
deliver in December.
You maintain the long position until you sell the contract at the
price of 1.4590 USD per EUR
90
FUTURE: MARKED TO MARKET- DAILY SETTLEMENT
(FROM OCT THE 6TH TO OCT THE 15TH)
November 4, 2022
Date Exchange Contract Marked to Margin Margin
rate value market + deposit account
- withdraw
91
FUTURES CONTRACTS
November 4, 2022
Trading in foreign exchange can also be done in the futures
market. In this market, contracting parties agree to future
exchanges of currencies and set applicable exchange rates in
92
FUTURES CONTRACTS
November 4, 2022
Forward Contract Future Contract
Issuer Commercial bank Futures Exchange
Trading "Over the counter" On the IMM's market floor
93
EXCHANGES TRADING FUTURES
November 4, 2022
CME Group (formerly Chicago Mercantile Exchange and
Chicago Board of Trade)
NYSE Euronext
TIFFE (Tokyo)
November 4, 2022
A currency swap is the conversion of one currency to another
currency at one point in time, with an agreement to reconvert it
back to the original currency at a specified time in the future.
95
November 4, 2022
CURRENCY SWAP
For example, Chase Manhattan Bank may have excess balances of
dollars but needs pounds to meet the requirements of its corporate
clients.
96
CURRENCY SWAP
November 4, 2022
Spot – Forward Swap
Forward – Forward Swap
November 4, 2022
At present, on September the 1st , company A has VND in its
bank account but it needs 1,000,000 USD to pay for imported
machines. Simultaneously in 3 months, the company will receive
Assumption:
100
OPTIONS
November 4, 2022
An option is simply an agreement between a holder (buyer) and a
writer (seller) that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to
buy or sell financial instruments at any time through a specified date.
101
FOREIGN-CURRENCY OPTIONS
November 4, 2022
Foreign-currency options provide an options holder the right to
buy or sell a fixed amount of foreign currency at a prearranged
price, within a few days or a couple of years.
102
FOREIGN-CURRENCY OPTIONS
November 4, 2022
There are two types of foreign currency options. A call option gives
the holder the right to buy foreign currency at a specified price,
whereas a put option gives the holder the right to sell foreign
currency at a specified price.
November 4, 2022
A call option is an option to buy a certain asset by a certain date
for a certain price (the strike price)
104
AMERICAN VS EUROPEAN OPTIONS
November 4, 2022
An American option can be exercised at any time during its life
A European option can be exercised only at maturity
November 4, 2022
A futures/forward contract gives the holder the obligation to buy
or sell at a certain price
An option gives the holder the right to buy or sell at a certain
price
November 4, 2022
Hedgers
Speculators
Arbitrageurs
November 4, 2022
40,000 Value of Holding ($)
35,000
No Hedging
30,000 Hedging
25,000
November 4, 2022
An investor with $2,000 to invest feels that a stock price will
increase over the next 2 months. The current stock price is $20
and the price of a 2-month call option with a strike of 22.50 is
$1
What are the alternative strategies?
November 4, 2022
A stock price is quoted as £100 in London and $140 in New
York
The current exchange rate is 1.4300
November 4, 2022
Traders can switch from being hedgers to speculators or from
being arbitrageurs to speculators
It is important to set up controls to ensure that trades are using
derivatives in for their intended purpose
Soc Gen (see Business Snapshot 1.3 on page 17) is an example
of what can go wrong
November 4, 2022
Hedge funds are not subject to the same rules as mutual funds
and cannot offer their securities publicly.
Mutual funds must
disclose investment policies,
makes shares redeemable at any time,
limit use of leverage
take no short positions.
Hedge funds are not subject to these constraints.
Hedge funds use complex trading strategies are big users of
derivatives for hedging, speculation and arbitrage