CMA Part 2 Financial Decision Making
CMA Part 2 Financial Decision Making
CMA Part 2 Financial Decision Making
Cram Session
Ronald Schmidt, CMA, CFM
Patti Burnett, CMA
CMA Exam & Gleim
• CMA overview pages 3 – 6
– Pass both parts within 3 years
– Satisfy the experience requirements (see next page)
– CPEs
• Gleim website
– You can create a mock exam on website, and there
are ones already created for you
Experience Requirements
Exam format
• 3 hrs - 100 multiple choice questions = approx. 1.5 minutes per question
(on average).
– Fi d a s to a k ti e
– Look for short-cuts
– You ill fi d that ou ost uestio do ot see eas , do ’t get
discouraged
– You ea poi ts fo ea h uestio a s e ed o e tl
– “o e uestio s a e test uestio s that a o poi t alue. You ill ot
know which ones they are
– Extra time can be carried forward to the Essay portion
• Relax - NO ONE HA“ DIED FROM FAILING THE CMA EXAM , the e is life e o d a d e ill help
you pass it!!!!
Exam
• Budget ou ti e, k o ou ti e ha ks
• See how many Essay sub-questions you will be given.
There are two parts with different amounts of sub-
parts
• Answer the questions in consecutive order, and limit
the number you want to come back to no more than
say 10, but make sure you answer it before going on to
the next.
• Never leave a question unanswered, score is based on
number of correct answers.
• Do not allow the answer choices to affect your reading
of the question
Most common reasons for missing
questions
1. Misreading the requirement (stem) – Read the question first
2. Not understanding what is required
3. Making a math error – Try to not do calculations of paper first, with the
idea of t a sfe i g to the e a late . If ou k o ho to use ou
memory button(s) well on your calculator, use it (i.e. save sub-
calculations in your calculator).
4. Applying the wrong rule or concept
5. Being distracted by one or more of the answers – the most common
wrong answers are the incorrect alternatives
6. Incorrectly eliminating answers from considerations – read all answers
first, some are more correct or complete then others
7. Not having any knowledge of the topic tested – do ’t ago ize o e it. If
possible try to make an educated guess by eliminating obvious wrong
answers. If you guess, use the same letter each time.
8. Employing bad intuition when guessing
The essays
• Remember, 2 essay questions with up to 8 parts each!
• The CMA exam uses essays to reflect a more "real-world" environment in which
candidates must apply the knowledge they have acquired. Essays are graded on
both writing skills and subject matter. Partial credit IS available for essays that have
some correct and some incorrect points. Finally, it is important to remember that
essays are not intended to test typing ability, so the time you allocated for essay
response is adequate to complete the questions even if you do not have the best
typing skills.
http://www.imanet.org/resources_and_publications/ethics_center_helpline.aspx
– Ha e it o eptuall e o ized.
– Similar to the AICPA version
– You will then be able to answer any question from there
– “ta ithi a o je ti e ie , a d do ’t get side-tracked in
emotional distractors
SU 1 - Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
• E o , A thu A de se …
• Extensive responsibilities on issuers / auditors
of publicly traded securities.
– Sec 406(a) Senior financial officers Code of Ethics
• Reasonably necessary to promote
– Honest and ethical conduct
– Full, fair, accurate, timely, and understandable disclosure
– Compliance with governmental rules and regulations
• See questions –
• 31 – page 53
• 33 – page 54
• 34 – page 55
SU 1 – Statement of Income and Statement of
Retained Earnings
• Understand the different elements of the Income
Statement
– Revenues versus gains
– Expenses versus losses
– Irregular Items
• Discontinued Operations = Income from operations, and gain/loss
from disposal of operations
– One of the assumption of this ratio is that sales occur evenly throughout the
year, therefore average A/R can be estimated using the average of beginning
and ending A/R balances.
– When sales are seasonal or uneven, the beginning and ending balances may
not be indicative of the average A/R balance. This is one of the reasons that
most retailers have a fiscal year ending on January 31 and not December 31,
because the sales in that industry are seasonal.
Activity Measures
A/R turnover also can be analyzed in days instead
of times
• Long-term debt/Equity
– ??? – which is better, increase or decrease of Long-term Debt to Equity Ratio, year over year?
• EBIT/Interest Expense
• Most common mistake – not to add back that years interest payment
to NI before taxes
• Example page 72
2.5 – Leverage
– Degree of Operating Leverage – Perc.-Change Version
• Example page 72
– EBIT/EBT
• Quiz
Capital Structure – Other considerations
Consider that increases in debt create higher fixed costs for interest
and principal payments. It also results in a higher debt to equity ratio
and, therefore, a less favorable position for long-term debt-paying
ability.
Decreases in equity, as a result of redemption of stock or losses from
operations, also would result in a higher debt to equity ratio and
highe isk fo the o pa ’s a ilit to pay long-term debt.
– The difference between the two are Liabilities, which is why ROE is
always larger than ROA
Key Take-Away
• CMA are expected to be able to determine the
profitability of a business by calculating ROA /
ROE using the DuPont Model and explain how it
helps analysis
• Demonstrate:
– That you know the formulas
– That you are able to properly apply and analyze and
evaluate
– Discussion on inconsistent definitions and what
factors contribute to inconsistency
DUPONT Analysis
• Developed in 1919 as a way to better
understand return ratios and why they change
over time.
• The bases for this approach are the linkages
made through financial ratios between the
Balance Sheet and the I/S
• Breaking returns into their components
DuPont Model
Dupont Model: Deep Dive
• ROE = Profit Margin X Asset Turnover X Equity Multiplier
• Market/Book Ratio
• Price/Earning Ratio
• Price/EBITDA
SU 3 – Earnings per Share and Dividend
Payout
• EPS
• Income quality
• Unsystematic
• Financial Risk
• Indifference Curve
SU 4 - Standard Deviation
• Disadvantages of Bonds
– Interest is considered legal obligation
– Raises risk level
– Raises risk profiles
– Contractual requirements (e.g. required debt to
equity)
– Debt financing limits
SU 5 - Bonds
• Types of Bonds
– Maturity
• Term bond – single maturity
• Serial bond
– Valuation
• Variable rate
• Zero-coupon or deep-discount bonds
• Commodity-backed bonds
– Redemption Provisions
• Callable bonds – by the issuer
• Convertible bonds – into equities
– Securitization
• Mortgage bonds – specific
• Debentures – o o e ’s ge e al edit ut ot spe ifi ollate al
SU 5 - Bonds
• Bond valuation and sales price
– Several components to determining the fair price of a bond:
• Risk
• Duration
• Face amount
• Interest payment
• Other features such as callable, convertibility
• Stock Valuations
– Preferred is similar to Bonds in valuation
– Discount rate will probably be higher then bonds due to riskiness
– Common stock valued also the same way except based on earnings (per share)
SU 5 – Corporate/Stock Valuation
Methods
• Dividend Discount Model
– Based o PV of e pe ted di ide ds pe sha e
– Can only be used when dividends are expected to
grow at constant rate
– 3 Step process
• Step 1 – Calculate and sum the PV of Dividends in the period
of high growth
• Step 2 – Calculate the PV of the stock based on the period of
steady growth discounted back to year 1 using the dividend
discount method.
• Step 3 – Sum the totals from Step 1 and 2
• Components of Capital
– Debt – after-tax interest rate on the debt
– Preferred Stock – dividend yield ratio
– Common Stock – dividend yield ratio
• Overview
– A firm must balance default risk and sales
maximization
• Simple interest loans – Interest paid at the end of the term; statet is same as nominal
• “e o da a ket o ti ued…..
– Over-the-counter markets – Broker & Dealer market
• Bonds – US companies, federal, state, & local governments
• Open-end investment company shares of mutual funds
• New securities issues
• Secondary stock distributions – whether of not listed on the
exchange
– NASD – National Association of Securities Dealers
• NASDAQ – NASD Automated Quotation system
– Transaction happen in virtual space
– Price quotes and volume
– Auction markets – NY Stock Exchange
– Transaction happen at NYSE by floor traders
• Financial Intermediaries – Use funds from savers
– Ba ks, CU’s, I su a e o., Pe sio fu ds, et .
SU 7 - Financial Markets and Security Offerings
• Efficient Markets Hypothesis
– Current stock prices immediately and fully reflect all
relevant information. Impossible to obtain consistently
abnormal returns with fundamental or technical analysis.
– Three forms of efficient markets hypothesis
• 1) Strong form
– All public and private information is instantaneously reflected in
se u ities’ p i e.
– Insider trading would not result in abnormal returns.
• 2) Semi-strong form
– All publicly available data are reflected in security price, but private or
insider data are not immediately reflected.
– Insider trading can result in abnormal returns.
• 3) Weak form
– Prices reflect all recent past price movement data.
– Technical analysis will not provide a basis for abnormal returns.
• Dividend Policy
– To dist i ute o ot to dist i ute ?
Higher dividend – lower growth rate, finding the balance
Stable dividends are desirable
– Factors influencing Company Dividend Policy
• Legal Restrictions- Dividend amount must be in RE.
• Stability of Earnings
• Rate of Growth
• Cash Position
• Restrictions in Debt Agreements
• Tax Position of Shareholders
• Residual Theory of Dividends – Minimize Cost of Capital
SU 7 – Dividend Policy and Share Repurchase
• Di ide d dates
• Date of declaration – formal vote to declare a dividend. Dividend
becomes a liability to the company.
• Date of record – Shareholder on that date will receive the dividend.
– 2-6 weeks after Date of declaration
• Date of distribution – Dividend is paid. 2-4 weeks after date of record
• Ex-dividend date – Purchase before date will receive dividend
– Established by stock exchange
• Stock price will usually drop on ex-dividend date in the amount of
dividend
• Stock dividends vs. stock splits
– More stock is issued, but no value increase or decrease occurs.
– Stock dividend – transfers amount from RE to Paid-in capital
– Stock split – no accounting entry
– Lowers stock price
SU 7 – Dividend Policy and Share Repurchase
• Repurchase
– Treasury shares
– Mergers, Share options, Stock dividends, Tax reasons,
increase EPS, prevent hostile takeovers, eliminate a
particular ownership interest
– Dividend Reinvestment Plans - DRPs or DRIPS
• Dividends owed to shareholders are reinvested into
shares.
• Insider Trading laws
• SEC Rule 10b-5
• Leases
SU 7 - Mergers and Acquisitions
• Merger vs. Acquisitions
– Mergers – Acquiring firm absorbs a 2nd firm.
• Types
– Horizontal – Companies of same business line merge.
– Vertical – Combine supplier with customer
– Congeneric – Related products or services
– Conglomerate – Unrelated companies merge.
• Advantages and disadvantages
– Acquisition – Acquiring firm purchases all of 2nd firms assets or
stock.
• Requires shareholder vote.
• Hostile takeover
• 5% ownership of any stock class requires SEC filing.
• Advantages and disadvantages
• Proxy – File with SEC 10 days prior, furnish shareholder with all material
subject to vote, The Proxy form, Proxies for Directors in Annual Report
• Goi g p i ate - LBO
SU 7 - Mergers and Acquisitions
• Opposition to Combinations
– Greenmail – Targeted Repurchase
– Staggered Directors or Supermajority vote requirements
– Golden Parachutes
– Fair Price Provisions – Ensures all stockholder are treated equally.
– Going Private and LBOs
– Poison Pill – Kills the company value.
– Flip-over Rights – Shareholder exchange for greater value.
– Flip-in Rights – Gives existing shareholders more rights than large acquirer.
– Issuing Stock -
– Reverse Tender
– ESOP
– White Knight Merger
– Crown Jewel Transfer
– Legal Actions
• Other Restructurings
– Spin off, divestiture, asset liquidation, carve-outs, Letter stock- separate
valuation
SU 7 - Mergers and Acquisitions
20
* ** *
1,000’s of Dollars
* *
Total Cost in
**
10 * *
Estimated fixed cost = 10,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Activity, 1,000’s of Units Produced
Scatter Diagrams
Δ in cost
Unit Variable Cost = Slope =
Δ in units
20
* ** * Vertical
1,000’s of Dollars
* *
Total Cost in
distance is
** the change
10 * * in cost.
– Mixed costs – (See slide 11) Costs that have both a fixed and variable
component. For example, the cost of operating an automobile includes some
fixed costs that do not change with the number of miles driven (e.g., operating
license, insurance, parking, some of the depreciation, etc.) Other costs vary
with the number of miles driven (e.g., gasoline, oil changes, tire wear, etc.).
– Sensitivity analysis – (See slide 12) Examines the effect on the outcome of not
achieving the original forecast or of changing an assumption. Since many
decisions must be made due to uncertainty, probabilities can be assigned to
diffe e t out o es hat-if .
SU 8 – Cost-Volume-Profit (CVP) Analysis -
Theory
• Unit Contribution Margin (UCM) is an important term used with break-even point
or break-even analysis is contribution margin. In equation format it is defined as
follows:
• The contribution margin for one unit of product or one unit of service is defined
as:
Contribution Margin per Unit = Revenues per Unit (Sales price) – Variable
Expenses per Unit
Slope of total cost curve plotted so that volume is on the x-axis and dollar value is
on the y-axis
SU 8 – Cost-Volume-Profit (CVP) Analysis -
Theory
• Break-even point in units
Fixed costs
UCM
Fixed costs
CMR
Remember
Computing the Break-Even Point
We have just seen one of the basic CVP relationships
– the break-even computation.
Fixed costs
Break-even point in units =
Contribution margin per unit
Fixed costs
Break-even point in dollars =
Contribution margin ratio
• CVP Applications
– Target Operating Income
– Multiple products
– Choice of products
• Economic Costs = The economic cost of a decision depends on both the cost of the
alternative chosen and the benefit that the best alternative would have provided if
chosen. Economic cost differs from accounting cost because it includes
opportunity cost.
As an example, consider the economic cost of attending college. The accounting cost of attending college
includes tuition, room and board, books, food, and other incidental expenditures while there. The
opportunity cost of college also includes the salary or wage that otherwise could be earning during the
period. So for the two to four years an individual spends in school, the opportunity cost includes the money
that one could have been making at the best possible job. The economic cost of college is the accounting
cost plus the opportunity cost.
Thus, if attending college has a direct cost of $20,000 dollars a year for four years, and the lost wages from
not working during that period equals $25,000 dollars a year, then the total economic cost of going to
college would be $180,000 dollars ($20,000 x 4 years + the interest of $20,000 for 4 years + $25,000 x 4
years).
SU 8 - Marginal Analysis
• Explicit vs. Implicit Costs
– Implicit Costs = implicit cost, also called an
imputed cost, implied cost, or notional cost, is
the opportunity cost equal to what a firm must
give up in order to use factors which it neither
purchases nor hires.
– Explicit Costs = An explicit cost is a direct payment
made to others in the course of running a
business, such as wage, rent and materials.
SU 8 - Marginal Analysis
• Accounting vs. Economic Profit
– See Utorial at http://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain/microeconomics/firm-
economic-profit/economic-profit-tutorial/v/economic-profit-vs-accounting-profit
– Disinvestments
– Sell-or-Process further
SU 8 - Short-run Profit Maximization
• Pure Competition - A market structure in which a very large number of firms sell a
standardized product into which entry is very easy in which the individual seller
has no control over the product price and in which there is no nonprice
competition; a market characterized by a very large number of buyers and sellers.
Examples: Agricultural products
• Monopoly - A market structure in which one firm sells a unique product into which entry is blocked
in which the single firm has considerable control over product price and in which non-price
competition may or may not be found. Examples: Public utilities
• Monopolistic Competition - A market structure in which many firms sell a
differentiated product into which entry is relatively easy in which the firm
has some control over its product price and in which there is considerable
non-price competition. Examples are grocery stores and gas stations
• Oligopoly - A market structure in which a few firms sell either a standardized or differentiated product into which entry is difficult in
which the firm has limited control over product price because of mutual interdependence (except when there is collusion among firms)
and in which there is typically non-price competition.
•
SU 8 - Short-run Profit Maximization
• Law of Demand - Law of demand states that ' all other things remaining unchanged,
people demand (buy) more of any good / service if the price of that good / service falls
and demand (buy) less if the price increases.
• Elasticity of demand measures how responsive a products demand is to changes in its
price level.
– When we have inelastic demand, a consumer will pay almost any price for the
good.
– Generally goods which have elastic demand tend to have many substitutes
• Price elasticity of demand is calculated as the percentage change in quantity demanded
divided by the percentage change in price.
Elasticity > 1 : elastic (% change in demand is greater than % change in price e.g. luxury
goods such as cars etc.)
Elasticity < 1 : inelastic (% change in demand is less than % change in price e.g.
essential goods such as food)
Elasticity = 1 : unitary elastic (% change in demand is equal to the % change in price)
SU 9 - Decision Making: Applying Marginal
Analysis
• Relevant = be made in the future (not SUNK costs)
• Committed costs are not part of the decision making
process
• Relevant = differ among the possible alternative courses of
action
• Relevant = avoidable costs (controllable = subject to
Management decision / strategy)
• Relevant = incremental (marginal or differential)
Relevant Range = incremental cost of an additional unit of
output is the same. Outside range incremental cost
change.
• Be careful using UNIT revenue and cost
Emphasis to be on TOTAL relevant revenues and costs
SU 9 - Decision Making: Applying Marginal
Analysis
• Marginal / Differential / Incremental Analysis
– Problem in CMA will be an evaluation of choices
among courses of action
– What are the relevant and irrelevant costs?
– Quantitative analysis = ways in which revenues
and costs vary with the option chosen.
– Focus on incremental rev & costs, not total rev &
cost
– Example page 347 idle capacity (incremental
impact)
– Compare Marginal revenue / Marginal Cost
(contribution Margin) – Fixed costs have already
ee a so ed
SU 9 - Decision Making: Applying
Marginal Analysis
– Qualitative Factors to consider:
- Pricing rules
- Government Regulation
- Cannibalization between products (stealing MS from
yourself)
- Outsourcing
- Employee Morale
SU 9 - Decision Making: Applying
Marginal Analysis
• Add-or-drop-a-segment decisions
– Disinvestment / capital budgeting decisions
– Marginal cost > Marginal revenue = Firm should disinvest
• 4 Steps to be taken:
1/ Identify fixed costs that will be eliminated if disinvesting
2/ Determine the revenue needed to justify continuing operations
3/ Establish the opportunity cost of funds that will be received
4/ Determine whether the carrying amount of the asset = economic
value. If not revalue use market fair value and not carrying amount
Cost of idle capacity is relevant cost.
• Special Orders when excess capacity
– No opportunity costs
– Accept order = Variable costs (Contribution Margin)
SU 9 - Decision Making – Special
Orders
• Special Orders when excess capacity exists
– Differential (marginal or incremental) cost must be
considered.
• Page 348
• Special Orders when no excess capacity exists
– Differential (marginal or incremental) cost must be
considered.
• Page 349
SU 9 - Decision Making – Make or Buy
Continued
SU 10 – The Capital Budgeting Process
– Other considerations
• Book Rate of Return – GAAP NI from Investment
Book Value of Investment
• Other Considerations
– Inflation – Raises hurdle rate.
– Post-audits – Deterrent of bad projects.
» Actual to expected cashflow
» Identify sources of unrealistic estimates
» Avoid premature evaluations of projects
» Non-quantitiative benefits
SU 10 - Discounted Cash flow Analysis
• Time Value of Money
– Concepts – A dollar received in the future is worth less
than today.