Ilovepdf Merged 3
Ilovepdf Merged 3
Ilovepdf Merged 3
EXAMINATION
1. Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your answer
booklet.
2. You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
3. You have 15 minutes of planning and reading time before the start of this examination.
You may make separate notes or write on the exam paper but not in your answer
booklet. Calculators are not to be used during the reading time. You will then have
three hours to complete the paper.
5. Attempt all 10 questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
(iii) a nominal rate of discount of 4% per annum convertible every three months.
[2]
[Total 6]
2 A bank offers two repayment alternatives for a loan that is to be repaid over sixteen
years:
Option 2: the borrower makes payments at an annual rate of £8,200 every second year
in arrear.
Determine which option would provide the better deal for the borrower at a rate of
interest of 5% per annum effective. [5]
3 A one-year forward contract on a stock was agreed on 1 March 2017 when the stock
price was £78 and the risk-free force of interest was 14% per annum. The stock was
expected to pay dividends of £3.20 on 1 June and 1 December 2017.
On 1 April 2017, the price of the stock was £80 and the risk-free force of interest was
11% per annum. The dividend expectations were unchanged.
Determine the value of the contract to the holder of the long forward position on
1 April 2017. [7]
4 An investor borrows money from a bank in order to invest in a business venture. The
initial loan is £500,000, with further loans of £250,000 made in 6 months’ time and
£250,000 made in 12 months’ time.
The business venture will provide the investor with an income of £2 million in exactly
10 years’ time and £3 million in exactly 15 years’ time.
The bank offers a force of interest, δ(t), as a function of time t (measured in years)
which is given by:
0.04 for 0 ≤ t ≤ 2
δ(t ) =
0.02 + kt for t > 2
(i) Derive expressions for v(t) which cover all values of t. [5]
CT1 A2017–2
(ii) Determine the minimum value of k that would ensure that the discounted
payback period is exactly 10 years. [4]
[Total 9]
5 An investment fund has liabilities of £11 million due in 7 years’ time and £8.084
million in 11 years’ time.
The manager of the fund will meet the liabilities by investing in zero-coupon bonds.
The manager is able to buy zero-coupon bonds for whatever term is required and there
are adequate funds at the manager’s disposal.
(i) Explain whether it is possible for the manager to immunise the fund against
small changes in the rate of interest by purchasing a single zero-coupon bond.
[2]
The manager decides to purchase two zero-coupon bonds, one paying £15.363 million
in 7.5 years’ time and the other paying £3.787 million in 14.25 years’ time. The
current interest rate is 5.5% per annum effective.
(ii) Determine whether the investment fund satisfies the necessary conditions to be
immunised against small changes in the rate of interest. [7]
[Total 9]
6 Exactly three months ago an investor purchased an office building for £5.8 million
with the intention of renting it out. In three months’ time the investor will spend
£850,000 on necessary refurbishments and improvements.
A tenant has agreed to lease the building in six months’ time for 35 years. The tenant
will pay an initial rent of £1.250 million per annum payable monthly in arrear. The
rent will be increased at five-yearly intervals at a rate of 4.2% per annum compound.
It has further been agreed that at the end of the lease period the tenant will buy the
building from the investor for £11.5 million.
The investor pays income tax at a rate of 35% and is expecting a net effective rate of
return of 8% per annum.
Calculate, showing all workings, the net present value of the project to the investor at
the time of purchase. [11]
An investor is liable to income tax at the rate of 30% and capital gains tax at the rate
of 40%. Income tax and capital gains tax are both collected on 1 June each year in
relation to gross payments made during the previous 12 months.
The investor bought £10,000 nominal of the stock at an issue price of £9,800.
(i) Show that the net redemption yield obtained by the investor will be between
3% and 4% per annum effective. [7]
The inflation rate over the term of the bond is assumed to be 2% per annum.
(ii) Calculate the net effective annual real redemption yield that would be obtained
by the investor. [3]
(iii) Explain, without doing any further calculations, how your answers to parts (i)
and (ii) would alter if the tax were collected on 1 April instead of 1 June each
year. [2]
[Total 12]
8 Two investment funds A and B are administered by different managers. The initial
values of the two funds on 1 January 2015 were £1.5 million and £2.3 million,
respectively. The funds received additional net cash flows at the beginning of 2015
and 2016, as follows:
The fund managers achieved the following annual returns during 2015 and 2016:
(i) Calculate the annual effective time weighted rate of return for each fund for
the period 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2016. [3]
(ii) Calculate the annual effective money weighted rate of return per annum for
each fund for the period 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2016. [8]
(iii) Comment on your answers to parts (i) and (ii) by explaining which of the two
measures is the better indicator of the comparative performance of the
managers for the given two-year period. [3]
[Total 14]
CT1 A2017–4
9 Let f t denote the one-year effective forward rate of interest over the year from time t
to (t + 1). Let it be the t -year effective spot rate over the period 0 to t.
The annual effective gross redemption yield from an n-year bond which pays coupons
of 5% annually in arrear is given by:
Each bond is redeemed at par and is exactly one year from the next coupon payment.
It is assumed that no arbitrage takes place.
(iii) Explain why the one-year forward rates increase more quickly with term than
the spot rates. [2]
[Total 13]
10 An individual aged exactly 65 intends to retire in five years’ time and receive an
annuity-certain. The annuity will be payable monthly in advance and will cease after
20 years. The annuity will increase at each anniversary of the commencement of
payment at the rate of 3% per annum.
The individual would like the initial level of annuity to be £20,000 per annum. The
price of the annuity will be the present value of the payments on the date it
commences using an interest rate of 7% per annum effective.
In order to purchase the annuity described in part (i), the individual invests £200,000
on his 65th birthday in a particular fund.
The investment return on the fund in any given year is independent of returns in all
other years and the annual return is:
(ii) Calculate, showing all workings, the expected accumulation of the investment
at the time of retirement. [3]
(iii) Calculate, showing all workings, the standard deviation of the investment at
the time of retirement. [4]
(iv) Determine the probability that the individual will have sufficient funds to
purchase the annuity. [3]
[Total 14]
END OF PAPER
CT1 A2017–5
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINERS’ REPORT
April 2017
Introduction
The Examiners’ Report is written by the Principal Examiner with the aim of helping candidates, both
those who are sitting the examination for the first time and using past papers as a revision aid and
also those who have previously failed the subject.
The Examiners are charged by Council with examining the published syllabus. The Examiners have
access to the Core Reading, which is designed to interpret the syllabus, and will generally base
questions around it but are not required to examine the content of Core Reading specifically or
exclusively.
For numerical questions the Examiners’ preferred approach to the solution is reproduced in this
report; other valid approaches are given appropriate credit. For essay-style questions, particularly the
open-ended questions in the later subjects, the report may contain more points than the Examiners
will expect from a solution that scores full marks.
The report is written based on the legislative and regulatory context pertaining to the date that the
examination was set. Candidates should take into account the possibility that circumstances may
have changed if using these reports for revision.
Luke Hatter
Chair of the Board of Examiners
July 2017
2. Please note that different answers may be obtained to those shown in these solutions
depending on whether figures obtained from tables or from calculators are used in the
calculations but candidates are not penalised for this. However, candidates may lose
marks where excessive rounding has been used or where insufficient working is shown.
1. The comments that follow the questions concentrate on areas where candidates could
have improved their performance. Where no comment is made, the question was
generally answered well by most candidates. The examiners look most closely at the
performance of the candidates close to the pass mark and the comments therefore often
relate to those candidates.
C. Pass Mark
Page 2
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Solutions
i
4
Q1 (i) 4%
12 3 1
1 d12 v4
= 1 i 4
4 1
4 13
d
1
12(1 1.01 3 )
12
12 1 1 i 4
3.9735% [2]
d
12 1
12
(ii) 1 e
12
d 12 1 e
1
0.0512
12
4.9896% [2]
4 1
(iii) 1 d4 v4
1 d12
12 3
4
1
d 12 1 1 d 4
12 3
4.0134% [2]
[Total 6]
Generally well-answered.
Page 3
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
£86,103.52 [2]
16, 400 v 2 v 4 ... v16
1 v16
16, 400 v 2
1 v 2
1 0.45811
16, 400 0.90703
1 0.90703
= £86,702.94 [2]
(above uses factors from Formulae and Tables Book – exact answer is £86.702.16)
Therefore, 1st option is better for the borrower as the total value of the repayments is
less than with the 2nd option. [1]
[Total 5]
For the second option, a common mistake was to assume the annual rate of
payment was £8,200. Some students omitted to give a final conclusion (and
so did not actually answer the question).
where I is the present value of income during the term of the contract.
0.14 123 9
0.14 12
I 3.2 e e 5.97098 [1]
11
0.11 12
K r Sr I * e(T r ) (80 I * )e [1]
Page 4
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
where I * is the present value of income during the term of the contract.
I * 3.2 e 6.115599
2
0.1112 8
0.1112
e [1]
11
0.1112
K 1 80 6.115599 e
12
81.72297 [½]
11
0.11 12
81.72297 82.85309 e
s ds
t
Q4 (i) v(t ) e 0
For 0 t 2
t
0.04ds
v(t ) e 0 e0.04t [2]
For t > 2
t
0.02 k .s ds
v (t ) v(2).e 2
t
0.08 0.02 s 12 ks 2
2
e e
e0.08 e
0.02t 12 kt 2 0.04 2 k
0.02t 12 kt 2 0.04 2 k
e [3]
Page 5
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
500 250 e0.02 e0.04
= 985.247 [1]
In part (i), it was important to give the required expression for 2 explicitly.
Q5 (i) No, as with only a single asset, the spread of the asset proceeds would be less
than the spread of the liability outgo (at times 7 and 11). [1]
Thus, the convexity of the assets would be less than the convexity of the
liabilities and the third condition of immunisation could not be satisfied. [1]
(ii) Redington’s first condition states that the PV of the assets should equal the PV
1
of the liabilities using v 0.94787 and working in £ millions:
1.055
Page 6
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Redington’s second condition states that the discounted mean term (DMT) of
the assets should be equal to the DMT of the liabilities, which equivalently can
be written as
VA VL (where in the calculations below the derivatives are with respect to
the force of interest)
Since the spread of asset proceeds exceeds the spread of liability outgo (as
asset proceeds are received at times 7.5 and 14.25, whereas liability outgo is
paid at times 7 and 11), the convexity of the assets is greater than the
convexity of the liabilities.
Alternatively:
Thus, the third condition is also satisfied and the company is immunised
against small changes in the rate of interest. [½]
[Total 9]
Page 7
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Q6 The investor’s proceeds in £ millions at the time of purchase can be calculated as:
9
PVin 1.25 (1 0.35)a5|(12) 5 5 10 10
[1 1.042 v 1.042 v ... 1.042 v 30 30
]v 12
9
35
11.5v 12 @ i 8% p.a.
[3]
1 r 7 0.75
0.8125 a5|(12) v 11.5v35.75 @ i 8% p.a. [1½]
1 r
where we have:
5
1.042 (12) 1 0.68058
r 0.836026 ; a5| 4.1371
1.08 0.07721
6
PVout 5.8 0.85v 12 @ i 8% p.a.
Thus, the investor’s net proceeds (in millions) are given by:
Then
5 20 512
9,800 400 a (2) 10,500v 20 0.30 400v 12 a20 0.40 (10,500 9,800)v
20
[4]
Page 8
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Try i = 3%
Try i =4%
9892.37 9800
i 0.03 0.01
9892.37 8551.92
1 i 1.0307
1 i
1 e 1.02
(iii) If tax were collected on 1 April instead of 1 June each year then tax payments
would be brought forward which would increase the present value of these
payments. [1]
This would decrease both the net money yield and the net real yield. [1]
[Total 12]
In terms of average mark, this was the worst answered question on the paper.
Many candidates simplified part (a) to assume that taxes were paid at the
same time as the coupon/redemption payments (ignoring the 5-month time
lag and/or assuming income tax was paid half-yearly) and they lost marks
accordingly. It was possible to get full marks on part (b) even if part (a) was
answered incorrectly. Part (c) was very poorly answered even though the
points required were straightforward.
Page 9
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Q8 (i) The TWRR for fund A and B results from the annual rates achieved for 2015
and 2016:
(ii) In order to calculate the MWRR, first we need to calculate the values of the
funds at the beginning and at the end of 2016. Working in £m, we have for
fund A and B where Ft , A and Ft ,B are the fund values at the end of 2014 + t
for Funds A and B respectively:
(iii) The TWRR is a more reliable indicator of the manager’s performance since it
is independent of the size of the amounts and the time at which investments
are made … [½]
…both of which are outside the manager’s control. [½]
In this case, manager A performed better than manager B for both 2015 and
2016 by achieving a higher TWRR for each of those years (i.e. 42% 36%
and 3% 2%). [1]
Page 10
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
It should be noted that manager A had a worse MWRR for the 2 year period
than manager B because manager A had so few funds invested during the best
period for investment which was 2015/manager A received a large cashflow
just before a period of poor performance. [1]
[Total 14]
Many candidates failed to notice the quick way that part (i) could be solved
although much of the extra working that they undertook was needed for part
(ii) anyway.
Part (iii) was poorly answered although other approaches to those given
above could be used to gain full credit. It is important in this type of question
to refer to the actual results obtained and the actual data given.
Unsubstantiated answers to this part were given no credit.
= 96.0334 [1]
5 105
and 96.0334 = [1]
1.071 1 i2 2
i2 7.203% p.a. [1]
= 93.9970 [1]
5 5 105
93.9970 = [½]
1.071 1.07203 2
1 i3 3
i3 7.307% p.a. [1]
1 f0 1 f1 1 i2 2 [1]
Page 11
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
1 f1
1.072032
1.071
1 i2 2 1 f 2 1 i3 3
1 f2
1.07307
3
1.072032
(iii) The spot rate for a term is the geometric average of the forward rates making
up that term. [1]
Since the spot rates increase with term, the forward rates must increase at a
faster rate than the spot rates to ensure that the geometric average of the
forward rates is itself increasing with term. [1]
[Total 13]
Many marginal candidates answered part (i) as if the gross redemption yields
given were actually spot yields. Others assumed the price of the bonds all to
be par. Part (ii) was answered well even by candidates who had struggled
with part (i). The examiners recognised that part (iii) would stretch many
candidates and indeed this part was found to be challenging.
Q10 (i)
1
Value of annuity = 20, 000 a(12) 1 1.03v 1.032 v 2 ... 1.0319 v19 [2]
1.03 20
1
1.07
20, 000 1.037525 0.93458 [1]
1.03
1 1.07
= 19,393.417314.26488
= £276,645. [1]
(above uses factors from Formulae and Tables Book – exact answer is
£276,639)
Page 12
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
(ii) Let S5 = Accumulation of £1 after 5 years and let it = investment return for
year t.
5
[ E ( S5 ) E 1 it
t 1
5
E (1 it ) using independence
t 1
5
(1 E (it )) ]
t 1
200, 0002 E S52 E S5
2
[1]
5 2
[where E S52 E 1 it
t 1
5
E 1 2it it2
t 1
5
1 2 E (it ) E (it2 ) from independence]
t 1
1.661809 [1]
Page 13
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2017 – Examiners’ Report
1
200, 000 1.661809 1.2884832 2
= £8,051.23 [1]
(above uses factors from Formulae and Tables Book – exact answer is
£8,051.74)
(iv) Note that 200, 000 (1.07)4 (1.04) = 272,645.57 < 276,639
and 200, 000 (1.07)5 = 280,510.35 > 276,639
Hence, the individual would require the annual return to be 7% p.a. for each of
the 5 years in order to reach the required fund. [2]
Parts (i) and (ii) were answered reasonably well although a few candidates
appeared to be under time pressure if this was the last question to be
attempted. Part (iii) was less well answered with many marginal candidates
2
confusing E (it ) and Var(it ) . Part (iv) was generally only answered by the
strongest candidates with many candidates incorrectly applying a lognormal
distribution to the problem.
Page 14
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINATION
1. Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your answer
booklet.
2. You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
3. You have 15 minutes of planning and reading time before the start of this examination.
You may make separate notes or write on the exam paper but not in your answer
booklet. Calculators are not to be used during the reading time. You will then have
three hours to complete the paper.
5. Attempt all 11 questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
(ii) Calculate the effective rate of interest per half year which is equivalent to a
force of interest of 3% per annum. [1]
[Total 7]
2 Describe how cash flows are exchanged in an interest rate swap. [2]
Calculate the annual simple rate of discount from the government bill if both
investments are to provide the same effective rate of return. [3]
4 A one-year forward contract was issued on 1 April 2016 on a share with a price of
$4.00 at that date. Dividends of $0.10 per share were expected on 30 September 2016
and 31 March 2017. The 6-month and 12-month risk-free spot rates of interest were
5% and 6% per annum effective respectively on 1 April 2016.
5 An individual invests £100 in an asset. The expected accumulation of this asset after
20 years is £200 and the standard deviation of the accumulation after 20 years is £50.
(i) Calculate the expected effective rate of return per annum. [1]
(ii) Calculate the standard deviation of the effective rate of return per annum. [4]
[Total 5]
6 An investor has a choice of two 15-year savings plans, A and B, issued by a company.
In both plans, the investor pays contributions of $100 at the start of each month and
the contributions accumulate at an effective rate of interest of 4% per annum before
any allowance is made for expenses.
In plan A, the company charges for expenses by deducting 1% from the annual
effective rate of return.
CT1 S2017–2
In plan B, the company charges for expenses by deducting $15 from each of the first
year’s monthly contributions before they are invested. In addition it deducts 0.3%
from the annual effective rate of return.
Calculate the percentage by which the accumulated amount in Plan B is greater than
the accumulated amount in Plan A, at the end of the 15 years. [6]
• Investor A uses the average gross redemption yield from all government
securities with the addition of a risk premium of 1% per annum effective.
• Investor B uses the spot rates of interest derived from the government bond
yield curve also with the addition of a risk premium of 1% per annum effective
to value each payment.
The investors are valuing a particular corporate bond which has half-yearly coupon
payments paid at a rate of 5% per annum and a term to redemption of exactly two
years. The bond is redeemed at 110% and tax is payable on coupons only at a rate of
20%.
The average gross redemption yield from all government securities is 3% per annum
effective.
(i) Calculate the price that investor A would pay for the corporate bond. [3]
Over time t, the spot rate of interest from the yield curve of government securities, yt
is given by yt = 0.015t per annum effective for t ≤ 2 .
(ii) Calculate the price that investor B would pay for the corporate bond. [3]
(iii) Calculate the forward rate of interest from government securities from t = 1 to
t = 2. [2]
(iv) Giving two reasons, explain why the spot yield curve might rise with term to
redemption. [3]
[Total 11]
(ii) Calculate:
Immediately after the sixth instalment, the borrower asks to repay the remaining loan
using level annual instalments. The lender agrees, but changes the interest rate at the
time of the alteration to 6% per annum effective.
9 The force of interest, δ(t), is a function of time and at any time t, measured in years, is
given by the formula:
0.09 − 0.003t 0 ≤ t ≤ 10
δ(t ) =
0.06 t > 10
(i) Calculate the corresponding constant effective annual rate of interest for the
period from t = 0 to t = 10. [4]
(ii) Express the rate of interest in part (i) as a nominal rate of discount per annum
convertible half-yearly. [1]
(iv) Calculate the corresponding constant effective annual rate of discount for the
period t = 5 to t = 15. [1]
CT1 S2017–4
10 An insurance company has liabilities of £100 million due in 10 years’ time and £200
million due in 20 years’ time.
The company’s assets consist of a zero-coupon bond and a level annuity paid annually
in arrear. The zero coupon bond will pay £144.054 million in 15 years’ time. The
current interest rate is 3% per annum effective at all terms to redemption.
Redington’s first two conditions for immunisation against small changes in the rate of
interest have been satisfied for this insurance company.
(iv) State Redington’s third condition for immunisation, explaining whether you
think it is fulfilled. [2]
The insurance company decides to sell the zero-coupon bond it holds and invest the
proceeds in another zero-coupon bond with a shorter term to maturity.
11 A university offers its students three financing options for a degree course that lasts
exactly three years.
Option A
Fees are paid during the term of the course monthly in advance. The fees are £10,000
per annum in the first year and rise by 5% on the first and second anniversaries of the
start of the course.
Option B
The university makes a loan to the students which is repaid in instalments after the
end of the course. The instalments are determined as follows:
• No payments are made until three years after the end of the course.
• Over the following 15 years, students pay the university £1,300 per year, quarterly
in advance.
• After 15 years of payments, the quarterly instalments are increased to £1,500 per
year, quarterly in advance.
Option C
• Students pay to the university 3% of all their future earnings from work, with the
payments made annually in arrear.
After the career break, he expects to restart work on the salary he was earning when
the career break started. He then expects to receive salary increases of 1% per annum
compound at the end of each year until retiring 45 years after graduating.
The student wishes to take the financing option with the lowest net present value at a
rate of interest of 3% per annum effective.
(i) Calculate the present value of the payments due under option A. [4]
(ii) Calculate the present value of the payments due under option B. [5]
(iii) Calculate the initial level of salary that will lead the payments under option C
to have the lowest present value of the three options. [8]
(iv) Comment on whether the student should use the same interest rate to evaluate
all three options. [2]
The university is concerned that this scheme exposes it to considerable financial risk.
END OF PAPER
CT1 S2017–6
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINERS’ REPORT
September 2017
Introduction
The Examiners’ Report is written by the Principal Examiner with the aim of helping candidates, both those who
are sitting the examination for the first time and using past papers as a revision aid and also those who have
previously failed the subject.
The Examiners are charged by Council with examining the published syllabus. The Examiners have access to
the Core Reading, which is designed to interpret the syllabus, and will generally base questions around it but are
not required to examine the content of Core Reading specifically or exclusively.
For numerical questions the Examiners’ preferred approach to the solution is reproduced in this report; other
valid approaches are given appropriate credit. For essay-style questions, particularly the open-ended questions
in the later subjects, the report may contain more points than the Examiners will expect from a solution that
scores full marks.
The report is written based on the legislative and regulatory context pertaining to the date that the examination
was set. Candidates should take into account the possibility that circumstances may have changed if using these
reports for revision.
Luke Hatter
Chair of the Board of Examiners
December 2017
2. Please note that different answers may be obtained to those shown in these
solutions depending on whether figures obtained from tables or from calculators
are used in the calculations but candidates are not penalised for this. However,
candidates may lose marks where excessive rounding has been used or where
insufficient working is shown.
The comments that follow the questions concentrate on areas where candidates
could have improved their performance. Where no comment is made, the
question was generally answered well by most candidates.
C. Pass Mark
Page 2
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
Solutions
0.03t
Q1 (i) (a) 6, 000 1 7, 600 [1]
365
7, 600 365
t 1 = 3,244.4 days [1]
6, 000 0.03
6, 000 1 0.03
t
(b) 365
7, 600 [1]
ln1.03 7, 600
t ln ln1.26667 0.23639
365 6, 000
0.23639
t 365 = 2,919.0 days [1]
ln1.03
0.03t
(c) 6, 000e 365 7, 600 [1]
365 7, 600
t
0.03 6, 000
ln = 2,876.1 days [1]
i
2
(ii) Effective interest rate per half year is where
2
i 2 i
2
1 e 2 e 0.015
1.0151131 1.51131% [1]
2 2
[Total 7]
Q2 One party agrees to pay to the other a regular series of fixed amounts… [½]
…for a certain/given term. [½]
In exchange, the second party agrees to pay a series of variable amounts [½]
…based on the level of a short-term interest rate. [½]
[Total 2]
The discounted value of 100 in the deposit account would be X such that:
Page 3
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
91
X 100 1.03
365
99.26576 [1]
To provide the same effective rate of return a government bill that pays 100 must have
91d
a price of 99.26576 and so 100 1 99.26576
365
365
d 1 0.9926576 0.029450 [2]
91
[Total 3]
There was a potential ambiguity with this question in that the term of
the government bill was not separately stated. Most students assumed
the term of the bill was also 91 days as the examiners intended but
candidates who assumed another term were also given credit.
No comments.
then E S20 1 j
20
(ii) Let s be the standard deviation of the annual effective rate of return.
Page 4
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
20
Var S20 1 j s 2 E S20
2 2
[1]
1 20
0.25 2 10 s2 22
1
1
s 2 0.25 22 2 0.00325372
20
10
s 0.057041 [2]
[Total 5]
Part (i) was well answered although many candidates struggled with
part (ii). The above solution uses the formulae developed in the core
reading in the case where the returns in each year are assumed to be
independent and identically distributed although these assumptions are
not necessary for the calculation of the above answer.
12 1.0315 1
12 100s 1, 200
15 3%
12 1 1.03
112
$22, 679.74
[2]
Accumulated amount from Fund B
12 12
12 100s
15 3.7%
12 15s
1 3.7%
1.037 14
1.03715 1 1.037 1
1, 200 180 1.037 14
12 1 1.037
112
12 1 1.037
112
23,967.992 305.313 $23, 662.68
[3]
Page 5
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
2
P 0.8 5a 110v2 with a gross redemption yield of 4% per annum. [1]
2
1 1.042
P 0.8 5 110 1.042
1
2 1.04 2 1
P 4 1.904771 110 0.924556 £109.320 [2]
(ii)
Time Government bond Present value Payment Present value
t spot rate yt + 1% factor of payment
1 y2
2
1
1.032
1 0.04522
(iii) Forward rate [2]
1 y1 1.015
(iv) It may be because interest rates are expected to rise in the future and the yield
curve is determined by expectations theory.
And/or because the market segmentation theory holds and short-term bonds
might be in demand by investors such as banks.
[1½ each point, maximum 3]
[Total 11]
Page 6
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
50 39.3738 50 7.7217
50 Ia 5 300a5 [1]
Xa4 6% 1,673.53
1, 673.53
X £482.96 [2]
3.4651
[Total 9]
10
Q9 (i) A 0,10 exp 0.09 0.003s ds
0
10
exp 0.09s 0.0015s 2 exp 0.9 0.15 e0.75 =2.1170 [3]
0
Require i where 1 i
10
2.1170 i 0.077884 [1]
(ii)
d 2 2 1 1 i
12
0.073611 [1]
Page 7
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
10
(iii) A 5,10 exp 0.09 0.003s ds
5
10
exp 0.09s 0.0015s 2 exp 0.75 0.45 0.0375 e0.3375
5
t
v t v 10 exp 0.06 ds
10
15
e0.05t 0.15
10
200 e
0.9
e0.7
0.05 11
Page 8
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
(ii) PV of assets = 144.054v15 Xat where t is the term of the annuity and X is the
annual payment.
X Ia t 1,571.859 Ia t
Thus 16.960
Xat 92.682 at
(iv) Redington’s third condition requires that the convexity or spread of the terms
of the asset proceeds around the discounted mean term is greater than that for
the liabilities.
It is likely that this is the case given that the asset proceeds consist in part of
an annuity of term 41 years (though not certain). [2]
(v) If the insurance company sells the security and buys one with a shorter term,
the discounted mean term of its assets will no longer be equal to that of its
liabilities (it will be shorter). This will mean that, if interest rates were to fall,
the insurance company would make a loss. [2]
[Total 15]
Part (i) was answered well. In a ‘Show that…’ question as in part (ii),
it is important to show steps clearly. Many marginal candidates did not
do this or, more seriously, appeared to claim that incorrect workings
led to the required final answer.
Part (v) was answered very poorly with few candidates explaining the
precise scenario where a loss would be made.
Page 9
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
10, 000a
12
1 1 1.05v 1.05v 2
12 1 1.05v
3
10, 000a
1 1 1.05v
1 v 1 1.05v
3
10, 000
d 1 1.05v
12
4 4 4
PVB v6 1,800a 200a 300a
45 15 30
PVB 1.036
1,800 1 v 45 200 1 v15 300 1 v30
4 1 1.03
14
1,800 0.735561 200 0.358138 300 0.588013
PVB 0.837484 £30,598
0.0294499
[3]
[or
4 4 4
PVB 1 i 1,300a
6
1,500v15a 1,800v30 a
15 15 15
a
4
15 1,300 1,500v 1,800v 15 30
1 v 1,300 1,500 0.641862 1,800 0.411987
15
4 1 1.03
14
0.358138
3, 004.3696
0.0294499
Page 10
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
(iii) Option A has the lower present value out of A and B. Therefore, the student
has to calculate the salary level so that PVC 30,176 [1]
Let the initial salary level in relation to option C be SC
30,176 0.03SC v3 v 1.03v2
1.039 v10 0.03SC1.0310 v18 v 1.01v2 1.0129 v30
[3]
4
0.03SC v 10 1.03 v 10 15
1 1.01v 1.01 v
29 29
1 1.0130 v30
0.03SC v 4 10 v5
1 1.01v
(iv) The risks to the students of the three options are very different. For example, the
payments under option C vary with salaries and probably with general inflation and
the time spent out of the labour market, whereas under options A and B payments are
fixed. Therefore, it does not seem reasonable to use the same interest rate (and
therefore risk premium) to evaluate all three options. [2]
There was an ambiguity in part (iii) where the examiners intended for
the maximum initial level of salary to be given as the answer. All
marginal candidates appeared to read this part as the examiners had
intended.
Parts (i) and (ii) were answered well but the later parts were answered
poorly, possibly as a result of time pressure. Parts (iv) and (v) did not
Page 11
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2017 – Examiners’ Report
require reference to the earlier calculations but were still not answered
well by marginal candidates.
END OF EXAMINERS’ REPORT
Page 12
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINERS’ REPORT
April 2018
Introduction
The Examiners’ Report is written by the Principal Examiner with the aim of helping
candidates, both those who are sitting the examination for the first time and using past papers
as a revision aid and also those who have previously failed the subject.
The Examiners are charged by Council with examining the published syllabus. The
Examiners have access to the Core Reading, which is designed to interpret the syllabus, and
will generally base questions around it but are not required to examine the content of Core
Reading specifically or exclusively.
For numerical questions the Examiners’ preferred approach to the solution is reproduced in
this report; other valid approaches are given appropriate credit. For essay-style questions,
particularly the open-ended questions in the later subjects, the report may contain more points
than the Examiners will expect from a solution that scores full marks.
The report is written based on the legislative and regulatory context pertaining to the date that
the examination was set. Candidates should take into account the possibility that
circumstances may have changed if using these reports for revision.
Luke Hatter
Chair of the Board of Examiners
June 2018
2. Please note that different answers may be obtained to those shown in these
solutions depending on whether figures obtained from tables or from calculators
are used in the calculations but candidates are not penalised for this. However,
candidates may lose marks where excessive rounding has been used or where
insufficient working is shown.
1. The comments that follow the questions concentrate on areas where candidates
could have improved their performance. Where no comment is made, the
question was generally answered well by most candidates. The examiners look
most closely at the performance of the candidates close to the pass mark and the
comments therefore often relate to those candidates.
2. Student performance was similar to that in recent diets with the average mark
being very close to the average of the previous six diets although lower than that
in September 2017. Students seemed to have difficulty with the early part of the
paper with the four worst answered questions all in the first five questions.
C. Pass Mark
Page 2
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
Solutions
This was a bookwork question similar to the type asked in most diets.
This was generally answered poorly particularly by marginal
candidates.
Q2 (i) An equity which is offered for sale without the next dividend is called ex-
dividend [1]
= 700v
1
12
(v 6
12 + 1.02 v + v ( 112
) + 1.02 ( v2 2
+v
2 12
) + ....)
= 700v
7
12 + 700v
1
12
(
1.02 v + v
112
) × 1 + 1.02v + 1.02 v 2 2
+ ... @ 7%
= 700v
7
12 + 700v
1
12
(
1.02 v + v
112
) × 1 − (1.021 /1.07) [2]
1
= 672.91 + 709.99 ×1.83807 ×
1 − (1.02 /1.07)
= $28,600 [2]
Page 3
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
Candidates who scored well on this question tended to score very well
overall but this was poorly answered by marginal candidates. Very few
got the timing right, with many failing to include the extra one month
offset. Many also struggled with simplifying the long equation into a
format which could be more easily calculated.
Q3 Effective rate of interest per month for first 10 years, i1 , comes from:
1
1=
+ i1 (1.03) 6 =
⇒ i1 0.49386% per month [1]
and effective rate of interest per month for last 15 years, i2 , comes from:
0.06
1 + i=
2 e
12 ⇒ i=
2 0.50125% per month [1]
× (1.0050125 )
180
⇒ Accumulation after 25 years = 80 s120
0.49386%
+ 80 s180
0.50125%
(1.0049386120 − 1)
s120
where = 0.49386%
1.0049386 ×
0.0049386
= 164.0318 [1½]
and s180
= 0.50125%
1.0050125 ×
(1.0050125 180
) = 292.6504
−1
[1½]
0.0050125
1=
+ i1 (1.03) 2 ⇒
= i1 6.09% per year
1 + i2= e0.06 ⇒ i2= 6.1837% per year
Page 4
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
(1.06183715 − 1)
and s( )
12 @ 6.1837%
= = 24.3877
15 0.061837 112
12 × 1 − 1 −
1.061837
⇒ Accumulation = 960 × 13.6693 × 1.06183715 + 960 × 24.3877
10 10
S10= ∏ (1 + it ) ⇒ ln ( S10=) ∑ ln (1 + it ) ~ N (10µ,10σ2 ) [1]
t =1 t =1
Page 5
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
(ii) (a) Increasing the value of µ will increase the expected annual investment
return and so the amount required at time 0 (to meet the liability with
probability 95%) will decrease. [1]
(b) Increasing the value of σ will increase the volatility of the annual
investment return ⇒ the amount required at time 0 (to meet the
liability with probability 95%) will increase. [1]
This was the worst answered question on the paper. Some candidates
tried to calculate the parameters of the distribution for the 10-year
accumulation from first principles and others made method/calculation
errors when manipulating the Normal distribution.
Q5 (i) The “no arbitrage” assumption means that neither of the following applies:
(a) an investor can make a deal that would give her or him an immediate
profit, with no risk of future loss; nor
(b) an investor can make a deal that has zero initial cost, no risk of future
loss, and a non-zero probability of a future profit. [2]
(ii) (a) The current value of the forward price of the old contract is:
whereas the current value of the forward price of a new contract is:
Alternative solution
Page 6
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
(ii) (b) The current value of the forward price of the old contract is:
−6
10.20 (1.025 ) = 8.7954
⇒ current value of old forward contract is
7.1×1.025−9 ×1.029 =
K0 = 6.7943
K3 =10.2 ×1.025−6 ×1.026 =9.9051
V3 = (9.9051 − 6.7943) ×1.02−6 = £2.7623
⇒ 102
= 2.25 a (2) + 103.95 v10 [2]
10
Page 7
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
= 105.59
= 96.68
105.59 − 102
i=
0.02 + × 0.01
105.59 − 96.68
and (1 + i) = (1 + i′)(1 + e)
1.0239
⇒ i′
= =− 1 0.00382 i.e. Real yield = 0.4% per annum [1]
1.02
(ii) If inflation had been less than 2% per annum throughout the term then the real
rate of return would have been higher. This is because one would be stripping
out a lower rate of inflation from the money yield to obtain the real yield. [2]
1
Q7 (i) Present value of initial outlay =
2 + 0.5 v 2 =
2.4767 [1]
= 0.1734 [2]
PV of 2nd to 14th year of net revenue
(
= 0.25v 2 a1 1 + 1.04 v + ... + 1.0412 v12 )
( )
13
1 − 1.04
i
= 0.25v3 1.10
δ 1 − 1.04
1.10
Page 8
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
= 0.25×0.75131×1.049206×9.49094
= 1.8704 [3]
= 1.5321 [½]
= £0.726m [1]
(ii) If the net revenue had been received mid-year rather than continuously then
1
we would be replacing a1 with v 2 in the formulae for the PV of the net
revenue.
i 1
Since we can observe that a= v > v 2 we can see that the PV of the net
1 δ
revenue would decrease. Therefore, the NPV of the profit would decrease.
[2]
Q8 (i) Let X and Y be the maturity proceeds from the amounts invested in the 7-year
and 14-year zero-coupon bonds respectively.
Redington’s first condition states that the PV of the assets should equal the PV
1
= = 0.95694 and working in £million):
of the liabilities (using
1.045
Redington’s second condition states that the discounted mean term (DMT) of
the assets should be equal to the DMT of the liabilities. The denominators for
the DMTs will be the respective PVs, which are assumed to be equal from the
first condition above, so we can just consider the numerators:
Page 9
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
=
7Y ν14 218.6491 − 7 × 22.9087
= 58.2882 [1]
58.2882
=Y = £15.421m
7 ×1.045−14
with an amount invested of Y ν14 =
£8.327 m [1]
(ii) The small increase in interest rates will mean that the present value of both
assets and liabilities will fall. The greater convexity of the assets mean that the
assets will fall by a smaller amount. There is a greater positive contribution
from the convexity term in the present value of the assets than that of the
present value of the liabilities. [2]
Part (i) was answered well although, for full credit, the amounts
invested needed to be given rather than the maturity values. Part (ii)
was less well answered with many marginal candidates not
appreciating how the greater asset convexity would influence the
change in relative values.
Q9 (i) Let the 1-year and 2-year zero-coupon yields (spot rates) be i1 and i2
respectively.
106
= 106v @ 5.2%
1 + i1
Page 10
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
6 106
+ = 6a2 6.1% + 100v6.1%
2
[1]
1 + i1 (1 + i2 ) 2
1 − 1
2
6 1.061 + 100
6 106
+ =
1.052 (1 + i2 ) 2 0.061 1.0612
= 10.984960 + 88.831957
= 99.816917
106 6
= 99.816917 −
(1 + i2 ) 2 1.052
106
⇒ (1 + i2 ) 2 =
94.113495
⇒ i2 =
6.1273% p.a.(= 6.127% to 3 dp) [3]
1 1 1 1
=⇒ 1 0.066 + + +
1 + i1 (1 + i ) 2 (1 + i )3 (1 + i )3
[1]
2 3 3
1.066
⇒ (1 + i3 )3 =
0.878663
⇒ i3 =
6.6543% p.a. (= 6.654% to 3 dp) [2]
(1 + i1 )(1 + f1 ) =(1 + i2 ) 2
1.0612732
⇒ 1 + f1 =
1.052
Page 11
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
⇒ f1 =
7.0628% p.a (=7.063% to 3dp). [1½]
(1 + i2 ) 2 (1 + f 2 ) =(1 + i3 )3
(1.066543)3
⇒ 1 + f2 =
(1.061273) 2
⇒ f2 =
7.7162% p.a. (= 7.716% to 3 dp) [1½]
Candidates who made errors in part (i) often scored full marks in part
(ii) after allowance was made for the effects of the earlier errors.
t
Q10 (i) We make use of: ( )
v = t exp − ∫δ ( s ) ds .
0
t
For 0 < t ≤ 6 v ( t ) =exp − ∫ ( 0.24 − 0.02 s ) ds
0
( )
t
= exp − 0.24 s + 0.01s 2 = exp −0.24t + 0.01t 2 [2]
0
t
For t > 6 v ( t ) = v ( 6 ) × exp − 0.12ds
∫
6
(
= exp ( −0.24 × 6 + 0.01× 36 ) × exp − 0.12 s 6
t
)
= exp ( −0.36 − 0.12t ) [3]
−1.56−( −0.8 )
= 1, 000e = 000e−0.76 467.67
1,= [2]
Page 12
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
12×(10− 4 )
i (12 ) 1, 000
(iii) 1 + = =e0.76
12 1, 000e −0.76
= > 1
72
(
i ( ) = e0.76 − ×12 =
12
)
0.12734 [2]
10 10
(iv) PV =∫ρ ( t ) v ( t ) dt =∫ 20 exp ( 0.36 + 0.32t ) × exp ( −0.36 − 0.12t ) dt
6 6
10
= ∫ 20e
0.2t
=
20 0.2t 10
dt 100
0.2
e
6
= ( )
× e 2 − e1.2 = 406.89 [4]
6
=L 8, 000v5.5% + 7,800v5.5%
2
+ 7, 600v5.5%
3
+ + 3, 200v5.5%
25
+ 200 × ( Da )
5.5%
= 3, 000 × a25
5.5%
25
[1]
1 − v5.5%
25
where =5.5%
a25 = 13.4139 , and
0.055
25 − a25
5.5%
( Da )5.5%
= = 210.6558 [1½]
25 0.055
Page 13
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
− 200 × ( Ia )
5.5%
L= 8, 200 × a25
5.5%
25
= 8, 200 ×13.4139 − 200 ×138.1065
= £82,372.95
a25
5.5%
− 25v5.5%
25
1.055 ×13.4139 − 25 ×1.055−25
=
where ( Ia )5.5% = = 138.1065 ]
25 0.055 0.055
(iii) Need loan outstanding immediately after 9th instalment (i.e. PV of future
repayments).
L* = 6, 200v5.5% + 6, 000v5.5%
2
+ 5,800v5.5%
3
+ + 3, 200v16
5.5%
+ 200 × ( Da )
5.5%
= 3, 000 × a16
5.5%
16
where
5.5% 16 − a16
5.5%
1 − v16
=5.5%
a16 5.5% (
= 10.4622 and = Da ) = 100.6880
0.055 16 0.055
Then, we have:
• interest component of 10th instalment is 0.055 × 51, 524.08 =£2,833.83 ,
and
• capital component of 10th instalment is 6, 200 − 2,833.83 = £3,366.17
[2]
(iv) Total amount repaid is:
Page 14
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – April 2018 – Examiners’ Report
Many attempts at proofs in part (i) were unclear. Part (ii) was generally answered well
although a common error was to miscalculate the amount of the level annuity component of
the loan outstanding. Some candidates also deducted the decreasing annuity component (or
equivalently added the increasing component).
Page 15
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINATION
1. Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your answer
booklet.
2. You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
3. You have 15 minutes of planning and reading time before the start of this examination.
You may make separate notes or write on the exam paper but not in your answer
booklet. Calculators are not to be used during the reading time. You will then have
three hours to complete the paper.
5. Attempt all 11 questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
The two dividend payments in any calendar year are expected to be the same, but the
dividend payment is expected to increase at the end of each year at a rate of 2% per
annum compound.
Assume that the share is ex-dividend on 1 December 2017 and use an effective rate of
interest of 7% per annum.
(ii) Calculate the present value of the investment at the date of purchase. [5]
[Total 6]
3 An investor pays £80 at the start of each month into a 25-year savings plan.
Calculate the accumulated amount in the savings plan at the end of 25 years. [6]
The insurance company has a liability of €800,000 payable at the end of year 10.
The company wishes to invest an amount now so that there is a 95% probability that
the accumulated amount at the end of year 10 will be sufficient to meet this liability.
(i) Calculate the amount of money that the insurance company should invest. [5]
(ii) Explain, without doing any further calculations, how your answer to part (i)
would change if each of the following occurs separately, with all other
parameters as in part (i):
CT1 A2018–2
5 (i) Describe what is meant by the “no arbitrage” assumption in financial
mathematics. [2]
An investor entered into a long forward contract for a security three years ago and the
contract is due to mature in six years’ time. The price of the security was £7.10 three
years ago and is now £10.20. The risk-free rate of interest can be assumed to be
2% per annum effective throughout the nine-year period.
(ii) Calculate the current value of the contract with the following dividend
payments, assuming no arbitrage:
(a) The security will pay dividends of £1.10 annually in arrear from now
until the maturity of the contract.
(b) The security has paid and will continue to pay annually in arrear a
dividend equal to 2.5% of the market price of the security at the time
of payment.
[6]
[Total 8]
6 On 1 April 2018 a government issued a 10-year bond redeemable at £105 per £100
nominal and paying coupons at the rate of 3% per annum half-yearly in arrear. The
price of the bond was £102 per £100 nominal.
An investor subject to income tax of 25% and capital gains tax of 35% purchased
£10,000 nominal of the bond at issue.
The investor assumes that inflation will be constant over the term of the bond at a rate
of 2% per annum.
(i) Calculate the net effective real redemption yield which the investor expects to
earn on the investment. [6]
(ii) Explain how your answer to part (i) would change if inflation were less than
2% per annum throughout the term. [2]
[Total 8]
The store will open 12 months after purchase. Revenues less running costs are
expected to occur continuously and will be £0.2 million in the first year of operation,
£0.25 million in the second year of operation and thereafter increasing at yearly
intervals by 4% per annum compound.
Eight years after purchase, a major refit costing £0.8 million will be required. Fifteen
years after purchase, it is assumed that the store will be closed and sold for
£6.4million.
The retailer requires a rate of return on its investment of 10% per annum effective.
It is now assumed that the revenue less running costs will be received mid-way
through each year, rather than continuously.
(ii) Explain how your answer to part (i) would change. [2]
[Total 10]
8 An investment fund has liabilities of £20 million due in 8 years’ time and £15 million
due in 12 years’ time.
The manager wishes to immunise the fund against small changes in the rate of interest
and seeks to achieve this by purchasing two zero-coupon bonds. One bond is for a
term of exactly 7 years and the other bond is for a term of exactly 14 years. The
current interest rate is 4.5% per annum effective.
(i) Calculate the amount that should be invested in each bond, demonstrating that
all three Redington conditions are met. [9]
(ii) Explain, without performing any further calculations, how the relative values
of the assets and the liabilities will change if the interest rate changes
immediately to 4.7% per annum effective. [2]
[Total 11]
CT1 A2018–4
9 Two bonds paying annual coupons of 6% in arrear and redeemable at par have terms
to maturity of exactly one year and two years.
The gross redemption yield from the 1-year bond is 5.2% per annum effective. The
gross redemption yield from the 2-year bond is 6.1% per annum effective. The 3-year
par yield is 6.6% per annum.
(i) the annual effective spot yields for each of the three years [8]
(ii) the annual effective one-year forward rates for each of the three years [4]
[Total 12]
10 The force of interest (t) is a function of time, and at any time t, measured in years is
given by the formula:
0.24 0.02t 0 t 6
(t )
0.12 6 t
(i) Derive, and simplify as far as possible, expressions in terms of t for the present
value of a unit investment made at any time, t. You should derive separate
expressions for each time interval 0 t 6 and 6 t . [5]
(iii) Calculate the constant nominal annual interest rate convertible monthly
implied by the transaction in part (ii). [2]
(iv) Calculate the present value of a continuous payment stream invested from
time t = 6 to t = 10 at a rate of (t ) 20e0.360.32t per annum. [4]
[Total 13]
n -a
(i) Show that the present value of this annuity is n [3]
i
The amount of the first instalment is £8,000 and each subsequent instalment reduces
by £200.
The effective rate of interest charged by the lender is 5.5% per annum.
(iii) Determine the interest and capital components of the 10th instalment. [6]
(iv) Calculate the total amount of interest payable over the term of the loan. [2]
[Total 14]
END OF PAPER
CT1 A2018–6
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINERS’ REPORT
September 2018
Introduction
The Examiners’ Report is written by the Principal Examiner with the aim of helping
candidates, both those who are sitting the examination for the first time and using past papers
as a revision aid and also those who have previously failed the subject.
The Examiners are charged by Council with examining the published syllabus. The
Examiners have access to the Core Reading, which is designed to interpret the syllabus, and
will generally base questions around it but are not required to examine the content of Core
Reading specifically or exclusively.
For numerical questions the Examiners’ preferred approach to the solution is reproduced in
this report; other valid approaches are given appropriate credit. For essay-style questions,
particularly the open-ended questions in the later subjects, the report may contain more points
than the Examiners will expect from a solution that scores full marks.
The report is written based on the legislative and regulatory context pertaining to the date that
the examination was set. Candidates should take into account the possibility that
circumstances may have changed if using these reports for revision.
Mike Hammer
Chair of the Board of Examiners
December 2018
2. Please note that different answers may be obtained to those shown in these
solutions depending on whether figures obtained from tables or from calculators
are used in the calculations but candidates are not penalised for this. However,
candidates may lose marks where excessive rounding has been used or where
insufficient working is shown.
1. The comments that follow the questions concentrate on areas where candidates
could have improved their performance. Where no comment is made, the
question was generally answered well by most candidates. The examiners look
most closely at the performance of the candidates close to the pass mark and the
comments therefore often relate to those candidates.
2. The number of candidates taking this exam was much lower than in previous
diets. This was not surprising given that non-members were not permitted to take
this exam due to the fact CT1 without CT5 will not translate to a pass in any
subject under the Curriculum 2019 structure.
C. Pass Mark
Page 2
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
Solutions
Q1
(i) Let d be the annual simple rate of discount.
The present value of the amount invested in the bank bond would be X such
that:
−91
(1.04 )
365
= =
X 100 99.0269 (99.0276 if 365.25 days in a year used) [1]
To provide the same effective rate of return a treasury bill that pays 100 must
91d
have a price of 99.0269 and so 100 1 − = 99.0269 [1]
365
365
d = (1 − 0.990269 ) = 0.03903 (unchanged if 365.25 days in a year used) [1]
91
(ii) An additional factor could be the risk of the investments [1]
[Total 4]
Part (i) was well answered although some candidates did not explicitly
give the price of treasury bill as asked for in the question. In part (ii),
answers referring to present value (which is directly related to the rate
of return) or term (which was the same for both investments) were not
given credit. Credit was given for answers mentioning marketability or
liquidity.
Q2
(i) δ = ln (1 + i ) = − ln (1 − d ) = − ln 0.95 = 0.051293 [1]
12
i (12 )
(ii) 1 +
12
= 1+ i =
1
1− d
12
(
−1
)
= 0.95−1 ⇒ i ( ) = 12 0.95 12 − 1 = 0.051403 [2]
12
d (12 )
(iii) 1 −
12
( )
=1 − d =0.95 ⇒ d (12 ) =12 1 − 0.95 12 =0.051184
1
[1]
[Total 4]
Page 3
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
⇒=
1 + i 1.33489=
⇒ i 0.3349 [1]
(ii) The money weighted rate of return gives a greater weighting to performance
when there is more money in the fund. [½]
The fund was performing better after it had been given the large injection of
money on 1 January 2017. [1½]
[Total 5]
Part (i) was answered well. As with similar questions in previous diets,
part (ii) was poorly answered. It is important in this type of question to
refer to the actual results obtained and the actual data given and the
majority of marks in this part were awarded for this.
=×
3 34.9997 + 103 × 0.47500 =
153.925 [1]
= (
i ( 2) 2 1.1 2 −=
1
)
1 9.762% [½]
D 6
(1 − t1 )= × 0.7= 4.078% [½]
R 1.03
i ( 2) ≤ g (1 − t ) ⇒ Capital gain [½]
Page 4
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
( )
0.7 × 6a25 + 0.6 × 103v 25
2
P=
1 − 0.4v 25
0.7 × 6 × 1.024404 × 9.0770 + 0.6 × 103 × 0.09230
=
1 − 0.4 × 0.09230
39.05395 + 5.70389
= = 46.474
0.96308
Q5 (i) (a) Options – holder has the right but not the obligation to trade. [1]
Futures – both parties have agreed to the trade and are obliged to do so.
[1]
(b) Call Option – right but not the obligation to BUY specified asset in the
future at specified price. [1]
Put Option – right but not the obligation to SELL specified asset in the
future at specified price. [1]
E (1 + it ) =1 + E ( it ) =1 + j =1.08 =e
( µ+ σ
2
2 )
Page 5
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
0.07 2
eσ 1
2
⇒ =−
(1.08) 2
0.07 2
⇒ σ= ln 1 +
2
= 0.0041922
1.08
[1]
0.0041922
µ+
1.08 = e 2
0.0041922
⇒ µ = ln1.08 − = 0.074865 [1]
2
X
⇒ P ln S10 > ln =
6, 000
0.975 [1]
X
ln 6, 000 − 0.74865
⇒ 1− Φ = 0.975 [1]
0.041922
X
ln − 0.74865
6, 000
⇒ = −1.96
0.041922
= (
⇒ X 6, 000 exp −1.96 × 0.041922 + 0.74865
= £8, 492 )
[1]
[Total 8]
Page 6
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
δ( s ) ds
20
Present value is v(20) = e ∫0
−
Q7 (i) [1]
20 10 20
∫0 δ ( s ) ds = ∫ 0.03ds + ∫ 0.003sds
0 10
20
= [0.03s ]100 + 0.0015s 2 10
=0.3 + 0.0015 ( 400 − 100 ) =0.75
[2]
( 20 ) e= 0.47237
v= −0.75
[1]
−20δ
(ii) Require δ such that e= e −0.75 =
⇒ δ 0.0375 [2]
8 8 8
(iii) Present value ∫ ρ ( t ) v (=
t ) dt ∫e
−0.06t −0.03t
e =dt ∫e
−0.09t
dt [2]
4 4 4
e −0.09t 8
= [1]
−0.09 4
Well answered.
Q8 (i) (a) The payback period is the first point at which the total revenues from a
project exceed the total cost, with no allowance made for interest. [1½]
Page 7
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
PV of revenue in years 11 to 30 =
(
v10 3.2a1 + 3.2 ×1.05va1 + 3.2 ×1.0519 v19 a1 ) [1½]
(
= 3.2v10 a1 1 + 1.05v + (1.05v )
19
)
1 − (1.05v )
20
= 3.2v a1
10
1 − 1.05v
[1]
1 − 1.06−1 1 − (1.05 1.06 )
20
3.2 1.06−10 ×
=×
ln1.06 1 − 1.05 1.06
=
3.2 × 0.55839 × 0.97142 ×18.30506 = 31.7739
[1]
Sales proceeds are P such that
Pv30 = 63.1855 + 42.5213 − 23.4941 − 31.7739 = 50.4388
The calculations in part (ii) were generally done well but parts (i) and
(iii) were poorly answered. Part (i) has been asked in previous diets
and generally answered better by candidates. Whilst part (iii) has not
often been asked, the answer comes directly from the Core Reading.
(ii) Let the RPI three months before issue (end 9/2015) = 100
Relevant RPI values are three months before first coupon payment (end
3/2016), three months before second coupon payment (end 9/2016) etc.
Page 8
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
1, 000, 000= 10,100v 0.5 + 10, 200v + 10,301v1.5 + 10, 404v 2 + 1, 010, 000v 2 [2½]
Try 2.5%.
RHS of equation of value becomes 1,001,089
Try 3%
RHS of equation of value becomes 991, 538 [1½]
Interpolating:
1, 000, 000 − 1, 001, 089
i = 0.025 + ( 0.03 − 0.025 ) × ≈ 0.0256 [1]
991,538 − 1, 001, 089
(iv)
The equation of value for the real cash flows is as follows (working in half
years):
RPI ( March 2016 ) RPI ( December 2015 )
=1, 000, 000 10, 000 × v
RPI ( September 2015 ) RPI ( June 2016 )
RPI ( September 2016 ) RPI ( December 2015 )
+10, 000 × v2
RPI ( September 2015 ) RPI ( December 2016 )
RPI ( March 2017 ) RPI ( December 2015 )
+10, 000 × v3
RPI ( September 2015 ) RPI ( June 2017 )
RPI ( September 2017 ) RPI ( December 2015 )
+10, 000 × v4
RPI ( September 2015 ) RPI ( December 2017 )
RPI ( December 2015 )
+1, 010, 000 v4
RPI ( December 2017 )
All the RPI factors cancel out except the last two because each is the ratio of
RPI at three-month intervals multiplied by the inverse of that ratio. [4]
Page 9
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
[Total 17
Q10 (i) A loan repayable by a series of payments at fixed times set in advance. [½]
Each payment contains an element to pay interest on the loan with the
remainder being used to repay capital [½]
The interest payment portion of the repayments will fall over time… [½]
… and the capital payments will rise over time. [½]
Page 10
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
10, 000 = 12 M
(1 − 1.04 ) −25
(
12 1.04
1
12 −1)
10, 000 × 0.0032737
=⇒M = $52.39
0.62488
[1½]
(b) The assets now have a much longer duration than the liabilities. [1]
Therefore, if interest rates rise, the assets will fall in value by more than
the liabilities and the bank will make a loss. [1]
Page 11
Subject CT1 (Financial Mathematics Core Technical) – September 2018 – Examiners’ Report
(12 )
(c) After ten years of payments, the capital outstanding is 12 × 52.39a
15
[1]
−15
1 − 1.04
=
12 × 52.39 =
7,117.15 [1]
0.039289
0.039289
Interest component of 121st payment =7,117.15 × =$23.30
12
[1]
Page 12
INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES
EXAMINATION
1. Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your
answer booklet.
2. You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
3. You have 15 minutes of planning and reading time before the start of this examination.
You may make separate notes or write on the exam paper but not in your answer
booklet. Calculators are not to be used during the reading time. You will then have
three hours to complete the paper.
5. Attempt all 10 questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
(i) Calculate the price of the treasury bill and the annual simple rate of discount
from the treasury bill if both investments are to provide the same effective rate
of return. [3]
(ii) Suggest one factor, other than the rate of return, which might determine which
investment is chosen. [1]
[Total 4]
Calculate:
(ii) the equivalent rate of interest per annum convertible monthly; [2]
(iii) the equivalent rate of discount per annum convertible monthly. [1]
[Total 4]
(i) Calculate the effective time-weighted rate of return per annum over the whole
period.[3]
(ii) Explain why the money-weighted rate of return per annum would be higher
than the time-weighted rate of return per annum. [2]
[Total 5]
CT1 S2018–2
4 A company issues a loan stock which pays coupons at a rate of 6% per annum
half-yearly in arrears. The stock is to be redeemed at 103% after 25 years.
(i) (a) Calculate the price per £100 nominal at issue which would provide a
gross redemption yield of 3% per annum convertible half yearly.
(b)
Calculate the price per £100 nominal three months after issue which
would provide a gross redemption yield of 3% per annum convertible
half-yearly.
[3]
An investor, who is liable to income tax at 30% and capital gains tax at 40%, bought
the stock at issue at a price which gave him a net redemption yield of 10% per annum
effective.
(ii) Calculate the forward price at issue assuming a risk-free rate of interest of 5%
per annum convertible half-yearly and no arbitrage. [4]
[Total 8]
6 In a particular investment fund, it is the effective rate of return in the t th year. Let Sn
be the accumulation of £1 invested over a period of n years.
Assume the mean of it is 0.08, the standard deviation of it is 0.07 and that 1 + it is
independently and lognormally distributed.
(ii) Determine the amount of the accumulated value after 10 years such that there
is a 97.5% probability of the investor actually achieving an amount greater
than this. [3]
[Total 8]
⎧0.03 0 ≤ t ≤ 10
δ(t ) = ⎨
⎩0.003t t > 10
(i) Calculate the present value of a unit sum of money due at time t = 20. [4]
(ii) Calculate the equivalent constant force of interest from t = 0 to t = 20. [2]
CT1 S2018–4
8 Two countries have recently signed a free-trade treaty and an insurance company in
one of the countries is considering establishing a subsidiary in the other. The country
in which the investment will take place currently has a small insurance market, but it
is expected to grow slowly over the next ten years and then rapidly thereafter.
The company expects to make investments of £15m in each of the next five years to
establish the subsidiary. These costs are assumed to be incurred at the end of each
year.
The subsidiary will start business immediately. Upon starting business, the following
costs and revenues are expected.
• Costs at a rate of £3m per year will be incurred continuously throughout the first
30 years of the subsidiary’s life.
• Revenues of £3.1m per year will be received continuously throughout the first
10 years of the subsidiary’s life.
• In the 11th year, revenues will be received continuously at a rate of £3.2m. The
rate at which revenues will be received is then expected to increase at a rate of 5%
per annum from the end of the 11th year to the end of the 30th year with increases
occurring at the end of each year from the end of the 11th year.
At the end of the 30th year, the company assumes that it will sell the subsidiary.
(b)
State two reasons why the payback period is a poor decision-making
criterion in the above circumstances.
[4]
(ii) Calculate the amount for which the company will have to sell the subsidiary
at the end of 30 years so that the project breaks even at a rate of interest of 6%
per annum effective. [9]
(iii) Suggest two ways in which risk could be taken into account when appraising
the project. [2]
[Total 15]
The coupon payments from the bond were linked to the retail prices index (RPI)
with a three-month lag with cash payments being rounded to the nearest pound. RPI
inflation was 2% per annum effective from three months before the bond was issued
until three months before it was sold.
(ii) Calculate the cash payments received by the investor from the index-linked
bond.[3]
(iii) Calculate, to the nearest 0.1%, the effective rate of return per annum obtained
from the bond over the holding period (before allowing for inflation). [5]
The real rate of return obtained from the bond over the holding period was 1% per
annum convertible half-yearly.
(iv) Calculate the rate of inflation in the three months to 31 December 2017,
expressing your answer as an annual effective rate. [7]
[Total 17]
CT1 S2018–6
10 (i) Describe the characteristics of a repayment mortgage. [3]
A bank has just granted a loan of $10,000 to a business to be repaid in ten equal
instalments, annually in arrears. The rate of interest is 4% per annum effective.
The bank wishes to immunise itself from changes in interest rates in relation to this
particular asset. For this purpose, the bank has issued two zero-coupon bonds. The
first bond is of nominal amount $5,000 and has a term to redemption of two years.
(iii) Determine the nominal amount of the second zero-coupon bond and its term
to redemption such that the present value and durations of the assets and
liabilities are equal. [6]
Immediately upon the loan being granted, the bank agrees to a request to change the
terms of the loan. The loan is now to be repaid monthly in arrears over 25 years and
the rate of interest remains unchanged.
(b) Explain, without further calculation, the main risk to the bank of a
change in interest rates.
(c)
Determine the interest and capital portions of the 121st repayment
under this new arrangement.
[8]
[Total 22]
END OF PAPER