The Wall Street Journal - 05-01-2022
The Wall Street Journal - 05-01-2022
The Wall Street Journal - 05-01-2022
Edition
DJIA 33269.77 À 133.40 0.4% NASDAQ 10458.76 À 0.7% STOXX 600 440.19 À 1.4% 10-YR. TREAS. À 22/32 , yield 3.709% OIL $72.84 g $4.09 GOLD $1,852.80 À $13.10 EURO $1.0606 YEN 132.63
day without a winner. A1 BY SAM SCHECHNER plans to appeal the ruling and A thaw across the Northern 8
Natural-gas futures price,
Russia blamed the use of the fines. Hemisphere has melted down
7 front month contract
A top European Union pri- If the decisions are upheld, natural-gas prices, upending
banned mobile phones by
vacy regulator ruled that Meta they could mean Meta will dire forecasts of energy short- 6
its soldiers for the deadliest
Platforms Inc. can’t use its con- have to allow users to opt out ages and hamstringing Russian
known assault on Russian
tracts with Facebook and Insta- of ads that are based on how President Vladimir Putin’s plan 5
forces during its war with
Ukraine, as Zelensky warned gram users to justify sending individual users interact with to squeeze Europe this winter.
them ads based on their online its own apps—something that It isn’t expected to remain 4 Wednesday
that the Kremlin is prepar-
ing for a new offensive. A6
activity, delivering one of the could hurt its core business. as balmy as it was on Wednes-
3 $4.172
Russian troops have bloc’s biggest blows yet to the Ireland’s two decisions—one day, when temperatures hit 66
digital-advertising industry. for Facebook and one for Insta- degrees Fahrenheit in New 2
tempered their assault on
The ruling, made public on gram—give the company three York, but the forecasts that en-
the eastern Ukrainian city
of Bakhmut amid stiff re- Wednesday by Ireland’s Data months to stop relying on their ergy traders monitor call for 1
Protection Commission, also contracts with users to justify abnormally warm weather ex-
sistance, according to 0
imposed fines of 390 million its use of so-called behavioral tending into February, sapping
Ukrainian commanders. A6
euros, or $414 million, on ads, which are targeted based demand for the heating fuel. Feb. 2021 ’22 ’23
The WHO urged Beijing Meta, saying the company vio- on a user’s online activity. U.S. natural-gas futures for Source: FactSet
to be more transparent lated EU privacy laws by say- Meta could, however, seek a February delivery ended
about its Omicron out- ing such ads are necessary to stay on implementing the deci- Wednesday at $4.172 per mil- ing a 4.6% gain on Wednesday The price is now about the
break, with some officials execute contracts with users. sions pending its appeal. lion British thermal units. Fu- that snapped a four-session same as it was a year ago,
in a briefing Wednesday Meta, the parent of Insta- Ireland’s privacy regulator tures are down 57% from their losing streak, which included when temperatures also were
questioning the accuracy gram and Facebook, said it Please turn to page A7 summer highs, notwithstand- an 11% drop on Tuesday. Please turn to page A6
of China’s Covid-19 data. A8
EU member states
This edition of The Wall Street Journal was originally published in the United States and reprinted locally for regional distribution.
U.S. NEWS
Fed Officials Warn on Their Resolve November
Openings
Minutes of December or holding them at higher lev- last month. Some 17 of 19 offi-
Kashkari Sees Rates
meeting show fear that
market rallies would
els for longer, increasing the
risk of a deeper or longer eco-
nomic downturn. Climbing to 5.4%
raise rates to around 5.4% over
the next few months.
After that, he said, he ex-
cials penciled in plans to raise
the rate to a level above 5% in
2023 and hold it there until
For Jobs
pressure rates upward
“An unwarranted easing in
financial conditions, especially
if driven by a misperception by Minneapolis Fed President
pected policy makers would
need to hold rates at that level
to determine whether the Fed
some time in 2024. No offi-
cials projected rate cuts next
year, the minutes said.
Stay High
BY NICK TIMIRAOS the public of” how the Fed will Neel Kashkari said he expects had done enough to slow the While the December rate
react to economic develop- the Federal Reserve will need economy and bring inflation rise was widely expected, BY SARAH CHANEY CAMBON
WASHINGTON—Federal Re- ments “would complicate the to raise interest rates by an- down to its 2% goal. some analysts were perplexed AND BRYAN MENA
serve officials offered unchar- committee’s effort to restore other percentage point over “Wherever that end point by how officials had revised
acteristically blunt words of price stability,” said minutes of the next few months, despite is, we won’t immediately know higher their inflation projec- Job openings held nearly
warning to investors that cau- the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting. signs that inflation is deceler- if it is high enough to bring in- tions for the coming year after steady at historically high lev-
tioned against underestimat- “It was a very direct state- ating. flation back down to 2% in a some evidence that inflation els in November, adding to ev-
ing the central bank’s determi- ment,” said Tim Duy, chief U.S. “While I believe it is too reasonable period of time,” said might have peaked. Because idence that the labor market
nation to hold interest rates at economist at research firm soon to definitively declare that Mr. Kashkari. “Any sign of slow central bankers believe infla- remained strong heading into
higher levels to bring inflation SGH Macro Advisors. “The Fed inflation has peaked, we are progress that keeps inflation tion-adjusted or “real” policy 2023 despite rising interest
down. is saying it is committed to a seeing increasing evidence that elevated for longer will war- rates are what matter for rates and concerns about an
Minutes of the Fed’s policy particular outcome, which is it may have,” Mr. Kashkari said rant, in my view, taking the slowing the economy, a slower economic slowdown.
meeting last month, released higher unemployment and a in an essay published online policy rate potentially much decline in inflation would re- About 10.5 million jobs
Wednesday, highlighted the weaker labor market. The key Wednesday morning. “In my higher.” quire higher interest rates to were available in Novem-
tricky communications task issue for investors is whether view, however, it will be appro- Mr. Kashkari’s essay fo- achieve the same degree of ber, essentially unchanged
that has vexed the central the Fed will really stick with priate to continue to raise rates cused on why the central bank economic restrictiveness. from October and well above
bank over the past six months. that plan if inflation is moder- at least at the next few meet- and many other forecasters Several officials are shifting prepandemic openings levels,
The Fed’s rapid rate in- ating.” ings until we are confident in- misjudged the strength and their focus from broad infla- the Labor Department said
creases last year have fanned Despite some signs that in- flation has peaked,” he said. persistence of inflation in 2021 tion readings to the labor mar- Wednesday. The report also
investors’ hopes that inflation flation may have peaked last The Fed raised rates ag- and 2022. ket amid concerns that high showed layoffs stayed low and
will slow quickly over the summer, officials indicated at gressively last year to a range “Even if we had been able inflation could persist if it a larger share of workers quit
coming year. In the run-up to last month’s meeting that they of between 4.25% and 4.5% in to identify all the shocks in ad- leads workers to bid up wages. their jobs in November than a
the December meeting, longer- would continue raising inter- December, up from a level near vance, I don’t think our work- Wage growth hasn’t shown month earlier, a sign Ameri-
term bond yields tumbled, re- est rates in case price pres- zero in early March. Mr. Kash- horse models would have come meaningful signs of slowing, cans were still confident in
flecting both optimism about a sures prove more persistent kari said he anticipated the anywhere close to forecasting particularly as companies of- their employment prospects.
speedy decline in inflation and this year. central bank would need to 7% inflation,” said Mr. Kashkari. fer higher pay to attract new The data point to a solid
fears of a recession this year. Evidence has mounted that workers than they provide overall labor market as some
But many Fed officials are prices of goods could slow their current workers. Job well-known companies are an-
anxious they won’t be able to rapidly as supply-chain bottle- more evidence of progress to 0.5-percentage-point increase openings held nearly steady at nouncing layoffs. Salesforce
defeat inflation unless they necks abate and that rents and be confident that inflation was in their benchmark federal- historically high levels in No- Inc. said in a filing Wednesday
can slow the economy by other housing costs are also on a sustained downward funds rate last month. The in- vember, adding to evidence that it is laying off 10% of its
tightening financial condi- slowing. Fed officials are con- path,” the minutes said. crease followed four larger in- the labor market remained workforce as many of its cus-
tions, such as by raising bor- cerned, however, that labor Officials indicated they saw creases of 0.75 point and strong heading into 2023, ac- tomers are taking a more cau-
rowing costs or lowering stock markets are too tight, which the risk of inflation staying brought the rate to a range be- cording to a Labor Department tious approach to spending.
prices. could sustain strong wage higher than many forecasters tween 4.25% and 4.5%, a 15- report released Wednesday. “The labor market is strong,
Any market rallies that ease growth that keeps inflation anticipate as “a key factor year high. The minutes offered no in- and the key fundamental factors
financial conditions threaten well above their 2% target. shaping the outlook for pol- While markets expect the sight about the debate over show that it will continue to be
to hinder officials’ effort to While inflation moderated icy,” the minutes said. Fed to raise the rate to around whether to raise rates by 0.5 strong for at least the next sev-
cool hiring and wage growth. in October and November, offi- The Fed raised rates ag- 5% by the spring, officials pro- point or a smaller 0.25 point eral months,” said Robert Frick,
That, in turn, could prompt cials last month “stressed that gressively last year, including jected somewhat higher rates at their next meeting, Jan. 31- corporate economist at Navy
them to continue lifting rates it would take substantially by unanimously approving a in new projections released Feb 1. Federal Credit Union. “There is
this basic need to staff in cer-
tain businesses.”
CHANGE
FROM 2021
weighed on December sales,
making it hard to see the im-
pact of higher prices, JPMor-
sales target for 2023 because
of a slower-than-expected in-
crease of battery production.
Healthcare and government
organizations are still trying
to fill roles so they can func-
Set for Dent off, the whole industry had gan analysts wrote in a note to The semiconductor short- tion properly, Mr. Frick said.
GM
projections all above 16 mil- 2,274,088 s2.5% clients. Still, there are early age, while easing for some Bars and restaurants are seek-
lion,” said Jack Hollis, Toyota’s signs that demand might be other sectors, such as smart- ing to add workers, he said.
Toyota
U.S. NEWS
BOSTON—William “Rick”
Singer, the mastermind behind
a nationwide college-admis-
sions cheating scheme that en-
snared top universities, busi-
ness executives and Hollywood
celebrities, was sentenced to
KATHERINE TAYLOR/REUTERS
nearly $20 million in restitu-
BRIAN SNYDER/REUTERS
tion and forfeitures of ill-got-
ten gains.
The hearing in U.S. District
Court here Wednesday marked
the end to a lengthy drama for
Mr. Singer that exposed the
ease with which the high-stakes Operation Varsity Blues snagged former Georgetown University tennis coach Gordon Ernst, left, who was sentenced to 2½ years in prison; television star Lori Loughlin,
college-admissions process sentenced to two months incarceration; and Douglas Hodge, the ex-chief executive of bond giant Pacific Investment Management Co., who received a nine-month sentence.
could be corrupted. The scan-
dal, made public in March 2019 Though he was at the head Frank summarized the scheme. “Despite my passion to help complete. Mr. Singer’s lawyer to the teens or correct their
after a yearlong investigation of a conspiracy that prosecu- Mr. Frank said that while others, I lost my ethical values also died last year, leading to test responses afterward.
by the FBI, IRS and federal tors say brought in $25 million there were dozens of conspira- and have so much regret. To an additional delay. For his scheme related to
prosecutors, captivated the and tainted an admissions pro- tors, “Without Rick Singer be frank, I’m ashamed of my- Judge Zobel on Wednesday athletics, Mr. Singer exploited
country and inspired books and cess that was intended to be coming up with the scheme, self,” Mr. Singer said. said Mr. Singer needed to face the fact that coaches of low-
a Netflix documentary. It also based on merit, Mr. Singer also masterminding the scheme, Prosecutors called Mr. prison time, given how com- profile sports like sailing and
raised fundamental questions served as a key cooperator in orchestrating the scheme, it Singer’s scheme “staggering in plex and lucrative the scheme women’s soccer were often
about who deserves to get into the federal case. The probe, would never have happened.” scope” and “breathtaking in was, and how long it went on. poorly paid and under pres-
the nation’s most exclusive in- dubbed Operation Varsity “I am responsible for my its audacity.” They said his co- Still, she awarded him signifi- sure to raise money for their
stitutions of higher education. Blues by investigators, started actions and my crimes,” Mr. operation with the investiga- cant credit for his cooperation. programs.
Mr. Singer, 62 years old, with a tip from an investor in- Singer told U.S. District Judge tion was valuable, while also “It was a sobering day in Mr. Singer’s sentencing
pleaded guilty in 2019 to four volved in a stock-fraud scheme Rya W. Zobel. “The fraudulent beset with missteps. court,” said Candice Fields, an isn’t the final chapter of the
felonies, admitting to running a and ultimately led to criminal testing scheme, bribing of uni- In addition to the prison attorney for Mr. Singer. “He Varsity Blues saga. In Septem-
complex operation that ar- charges against 57 individuals. versity officials, lying on stu- term, Mr. Singer was sentenced hopes to continue making ber, a federal judge said for-
ranged for parents to fraudu- Most of those charged dents’ applications and pro- to three years of supervised re- amends for mistakes of the mer USC water-polo coach Jo-
lently boost their teens’ ACT pleaded guilty, with sentences files, I did all of it.” lease, and ordered to pay $10.7 past.” van Vavic could seek a new
and SAT scores and to bribe col- ranging from probation to 2½ Mr. Singer apologized to million in restitution to the In- Prosecutors say Mr. Singer trial after determining some
lege coaches to flag the clients years in prison. All but one per- the students he worked with, ternal Revenue Service, forfeit ran the test-cheating scheme trial statements by prosecu-
as recruited athletes, all but son who took their cases to saying they were “deserving of more than $5.3 million in as- on about 30 separate occasions. tors were misleading and po-
guaranteeing their admission to trial were found guilty; one more integrity than I showed sets and pay a $3.4 million for- He encouraged families to have tentially prejudicial.
schools including Georgetown parent also was pardoned by them,” and expressed regret feiture money judgment. their children tested for learn- Donna Heinel, a USC athlet-
University and the University of then-President Donald Trump for tarnishing the reputations The delay in sentencing Mr. ing differences, securing extra ics administrator who admit-
Southern California. Payments and one coach entered a de- of universities, tainting the ex- Singer is partly because of his time to take college-entrance ted to conspiring with Mr.
were often funneled through ferred prosecution agreement. periences of families who agreement with the govern- exams. Enough extra time and Singer, is scheduled to be sen-
Mr. Singer’s sham charity, al- Mr. Singer sat in the court- worked with him legitimately ment; cooperators typically they could sit for the tests at tenced Friday. And two par-
lowing parents to take tax room Wednesday afternoon as and embarrassing his family aren’t sentenced until after locations where Mr. Singer had ents have appealed their 2021
write-offs for the bribes. Assistant U.S. Attorney Stephen and friends. their work with authorities is a proctor either feed answers trial convictions.
Reyna, the mother of U.S. probe. He revealed that, in player who showed the wrong
men’s soccer star Gio Reyna, 1991, he had kicked his then- attitude in practice and
after she and Gio’s father, girlfriend (and now his wife of around the team in Qatar.
Claudio, took issue with Mr. 25 years) Rosalind Berhalter in “In this last World Cup, we
Berhalter’s public description the legs during an altercation had a player that was clearly
of benching their son during outside a bar. Mr. Berhalter not meeting expectations on
the Qatar World Cup. wrote that the allegation came and off the field,” Mr. Berhal-
Claudio and Danielle Reyna with a threat that the informa- ter said, under the assumption
confirmed in separate state- tion could “take me down.” that his comments wouldn’t be U.S. national team soccer coach Gregg Berhalter talks with player Gio Reyna in Qatar on Dec. 3.
ments on Wednesday that they The incident resurfaced on circulated outside the room.
had brought the allegation to Dec. 11 when, U.S. Soccer says, “One of 26 players, so it stood the World Cup. Ms. Reyna, in tion when he responded to Mr. Claudio Reyna wrote. “I too
the attention of U.S. Soccer, it was contacted with the alle- out. As a staff, we sat together her statement, said that she Berhalter’s comments in a Dec. was upset by Gregg’s com-
the sport’s national governing gation against Mr. Berhalter. for hours deliberating what we then contacted U.S. Soccer 12 post on Instagram. ments about Gio after the U.S.
body. The allegations repre- That person, who wasn’t named were going to do with this about the 1991 incident. “I fully acknowledge that I was out of the World Cup, and
sent a confrontation between by the federation, turned out to player. We were ready to book “But I want to be very clear let my emotions get the best I also appealed to [U.S. Soccer
two families that had been be Danielle Reyna, Gio’s a plane ticket home, that’s that I did not ask for Gregg to of me and affect my training sporting director] Earnie
friends for decades, dating mother, a former member of how extreme it was.” be fired, I did not make any and behavior for a few days Stewart on Dec. 11 asking him
back to the days when three of the U.S. women’s national team, Gio Reyna’s parents sur- threats, and I don’t know any- after learning about my lim- to prevent any additional com-
them were students at the and the current wife of former mised that the player in ques- thing about any blackmail at- ited role,” he wrote. “I apolo- ments.”
University of North Carolina. U.S. men’s national team player tion was their 20-year-old son, tempts,” Ms. Reyna said in the gized to my teammates and “However,” he added, “at no
News of the Reynas’ involve- Claudio Reyna. a highly regarded attacking statement reported by Fox coach for this, and I was told I time did I ever threaten any-
ment was reported by ESPN. Also on Dec. 11, a newslet- midfielder with Borussia Dort- Sports. was forgiven.” one, nor would I ever do so.”
The federation said Tuesday ter for the HOW Institute for mund who didn’t start any of Gio Reyna later confirmed “I support my wife, Dan- Mr. Berhalter couldn’t be
that it had opened an indepen- Society’s Summit on Moral the Americans’ four matches at that he was the player in ques- ielle, and her statement,” reached to comment.
this storm is just one of a series teenagers. peated use of sexual images of
several places just days after expected to hit California Olivia Hussey, who played minor children is the worst of
another system brought record- through next week. The storms Juliet, was 15 years old when behaviors in our society and
setting rain. are being fueled by an atmo- the movie was filmed and must be eradicated.”
Gov. Gavin Newsom declared spheric river—a flowing column Leonard Whiting, who played Paramount was “repackag-
a state of emergency, readying of condensed water vapor in the Romeo, was 16. Both are now ing what is essentially pornog-
state resources to assist with atmosphere that produces sig- in their 70s and allege that raphy,” the complaint said.
response and recovery efforts. nificant levels of rain and snow. Paramount engaged in fraud, Paramount Global didn’t
Evacuations were ordered Gov. Gavin Newsom has declared a state of emergency. A car is “This may be one of the sexual abuse and sexual ha- respond to a request for com-
ahead of the storm for portions towed out of a flooded intersection in Mill Valley, Calif. most challenging and impact- rassment, according to a com- ment. The Franco Zeffirelli
of Santa Barbara County in the ful series of storms to touch plaint filed Friday in state Su- Foundation, an organization
southern part of the state and of those regions, reported warned of wind as strong as 50 down in California in the last perior Court in Los Angeles dedicated to the legacy of the
Santa Cruz County in northern widespread outages around mph in other parts of the San five years,” said Nancy Ward, County. director, didn’t respond to a
California. Emergency officials coastal areas in the north of Francisco Bay Area and issued director of the state’s Office of Mr. Zeffirelli, who died in request for comment.
in cities and towns across the the state. About 140,000 Cali- flash-flood warnings for com- Emergency Services. 2019, told the actors they Ms. Hussey and Mr. Whiting
Golden State warned residents fornia customers were without munities including Big Sur. Officials in Santa Barbara would appear in flesh-colored were previously barred from
to prepare for a variety of haz- power Wednesday evening, ac- San Francisco Mayor London County issued an evacuation clothing in a bedroom scene, suing because the statute of
ards, including flooding, mud- cording to tracking site Pow- Breed said the city was being order for those in the Alisal, according to the complaint. But limitations had expired. But in
slides and damaging winds. erOutage.US. inundated with 911 calls related Thomas and Cave Fire burn on the day of the shoot, Mr. 2019, California passed a law
The strongest effects of the In Marin County, north of to the storm and urged resi- scars. In northern California, Zeffirelli told the actors they that lifted the statute of limi-
storm were felt in northern San Francisco, wind gusts were dents to use the number only the Santa Cruz County Sher- would wear body makeup with tations for childhood sex
and central California. Early as strong as 85 miles an hour, for life-or-death emergencies. iff’s Office issued evacuation the camera positioned in a way abuse for a three-year period.
Wednesday evening, PG&E according to the National The storm is the third sys- orders and warnings for sev- that wouldn’t show their nude That three-year window ex-
Corp., a utility serving much Weather Service. The agency tem to hit the region since Dec. eral communities. bodies, the lawsuit said. pired at the end of 2022.
A4 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 HK JP TU ML SI IN UK FR MN PR **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
WASHINGTON—President
Biden said he intended to visit
the U.S.-Mexico border during
his trip to Mexico City next
week.
“We’re working out the de-
tails now,” Mr. Biden said
Wednesday.
The president’s comments
came after The Wall Street
U.S. NEWS
ians also bashed the pizza.) ing else,” said Amal Abu
A Dessert Pizza Hut Israel said the
company wanted to honor
Hamid, a Ramallah resident.
When Yaffa Knafeh opened
knafeh and tap into its popu- its doors in 2019, Tel Aviv cus-
Debate larity by creating the new
pizza, which sells for as much
tomers sometimes had to wait
up to 90 minutes in a line
WORLD NEWS
Russia Says Cellphone Use Led to Attack
BY ANN M. SIMMONS Day. The regiment’s deputy military-political directorate of use unencrypted, unsecure and everyone they can muster French President Emmanuel
AND JARED MALSIN commander was killed in the Russia’s armed forces, said an communications equipment or to try to turn the tide of the Macron on Wednesday. France
attack, the ministry said. investigation was under way social media while on duty, war and at least postpone their will send light AMX-10 RC ar-
Russia blamed the use of “It is already obvious that in which “the guilty officials and increasingly to be wary defeat,” he said late Tuesday. mored combat vehicles to help
banned mobile phones by its the main reason for what hap- will be brought to justice.” about all kinds of electronic The commander in chief of in the war, Mr. Macron told
soldiers for the deadliest pened was the inclusion and The move to attribute blame communications. Ukraine’s armed forces, Val- his Ukrainian counterpart dur-
known assault on Russian massive use, contrary to the for the attack on the soldiers Ukrainian President Volod- eriy Zaluzhny, said the battle ing the phone call, according
forces during its war with ban, by personnel of mobile themselves came after some of ymyr Zelensky, meanwhile, around Bakhmut in eastern to French officials.
Ukraine, and raised the death phones in the reach of enemy the war’s staunchest supporters warned that Russia is prepar- Ukraine is “the most challeng- President Biden, when
toll from the attack to 89, as weapons,” the Defense Ministry criticized Russian military lead- ing a new offensive in an at- ing situation” faced by Ukrai- asked Wednesday whether the
Ukraine’s president warned said on its Telegram messenger ers for concentrating troops in tempt to reverse Moscow’s for- nian forces. U.S. would send Bradley Fight-
that the Kremlin is preparing channel Wednesday. The use of an unsecure location next to tunes in a war in which “There, the enemy is virtu- ing Vehicles to Ukraine, said
for a new offensive in the war. cellphones allowed opposing stockpiles of ammunition and Russian forces have lost swaths ally attempting to advance the combat vehicles are under
The Russian Defense Minis- forces to pinpoint the location other military equipment. of Ukrainian territory they oc- over their corpses,” said Gen. consideration.
try said the strike on a facility of Russian forces, it said. The U.S. and other mem- cupied early in the conflict. Zaluzhny in a call with the U.S. Washington is expected to
that housed its newly mobi- The statement, attributed bers of the North Atlantic “We have no doubt that the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of announce its next Ukraine aid
lized soldiers occurred at 12:01 to Lt. Gen. Sergei Sevryukov, Treaty Organization have long current masters of Russia will Staff, Gen. Mark Milley. package as early as Friday,
a.m. local time on New Year’s first deputy chief of the main warned their soldiers not to throw everything they have left Mr. Zelensky spoke with U.S. officials said.
winners last year. Cheaper gas weather. Prices also were pacity coming online for the
is good news for households first time since 2016.
and manufacturers whose bud- “The market is moving from
gets have been busted and a mind-set of winter scarcity to
profit margins pinched by high
Lower prices for looking ahead to exiting winter
fuel prices. Though shocks of natural gas should with more in storage, adding
cold and problems with pipe- production and not adding any
Skiers glide down a ribbon of artificial snow in the Swiss Alps amid warmer-than-usual temperatures. lines could still spike regional
help cool inflation in new LNG exports,” Mr. Rubin
prices, less-expensive natural the months ahead. said. “If anything, the market
Record Heat Wave Hits Europe gas should help to cool infla-
tion in the months ahead.
Mild weather is driving gas
looks oversupplied.”
Analysts have been reducing
their gas-price assumptions as
BY ALYSSA LUKPAT ing a predicted energy crisis as rologists said. Parts of Den- prices lower in Europe, too, pushed lower by another delay well as their outlooks for pro-
people shut off their heaters. mark, France, Germany, Po- spelling relief for the region in the restart of a Texas export ducers as the first weeks of
An unseasonable heat wave The continent was whip- land, Spain, Switzerland and that coming into the winter facility. It has been offline winter pass without sustained
in Europe shattered January sawed late last year by frigid other countries recorded their faced the possibility of rolling since a June fire. periods of cold weather.
temperature records in multi- temperatures and soaring gas warmest January days on re- blackouts and factory shut- Temperatures above 60 de- Gabriele Sorbara, an analyst
ple countries, thawing business prices, only to begin 2023 with cord. Temperatures reached downs. grees Fahrenheit are forecast at Siebert Williams Shank, told
at ski resorts but likely avert- unprecedented warmth, meteo- nearly 70 degrees Fahrenheit The drop is a welcome sur- this week around the Great clients this week that he ex-
in certain areas on Jan. 1. prise for European govern- Lakes and along the Ohio Val- pected natural gas to average
On a typical January day, ments that committed hun- ley, while highs in the South- $4.25 in 2023, down from a
national weather offices have dreds of billions of dollars to east might reach into the 80s. forecast of $5.50 before the
recorded average tempera- shield consumers and compa- As measured in heating-de- warm spell. As a result, he
tures about 15 degrees lower. nies from high energy prices. gree days, a population- downgraded shares of EQT
Relaxing...
Maximiliano Herrera, a cli- Moscow cut supplies of gas to weighted measure of tempera- Corp., the biggest U.S. pro-
matologist who tracks extreme Europe last year. tures below 65 degrees ducer and one of the top-per-
weather, said on Twitter this So far, Russia’s strategy Fahrenheit, this week will be forming stocks in the S&P 500
week that this heat wave was isn’t working. Warm weather is twice as warm relative to nor- last year, from “buy” to
“the mother of all extreme limiting demand, as is a Euro- mal as the last week of Decem- “hold.”
Luxury Barge events ever seen in Europe.”
Parts of the continent were
pean Union-led effort to curb
consumption. But analysts said
ber was cold, said Eli Rubin,
senior energy analyst at the
—Joe Wallace
contributed to this article.
Cruises forecast to get rain and wind
in the coming days that could
prices in Europe could shoot
up again when the continent 10% U.S. natural-gas inventories versus
offer a reprieve from the heat. tries to refill stores for the five-year rolling average, weekly
In the Alps, the warm tem- 2023-24 winter. 5
peratures thawed snow and Last year’s high gas prices
kept people off the slopes. in the U.S. were a big driver of
0
Several ski resorts in France the steepest inflation in four
and Switzerland said they decades. When prices peaked
were closed this week because in August, the question was –5
most of the snow had melted. whether there would be
The closures came during the enough gas to get through the –10
peak ski season, when resorts winter, given record consump-
depend on business to sustain tion by domestic power pro- –15
P.O. Box 2195, Duxbury, MA 02331 them for the rest of the year. ducers with few alternatives,
800-222-1236 781-934-2454 The warm front arrived on as well as demand in Europe,
www.fcwl.com the continent around Dec. 30, where the race is on to replace –20
said Switzerland’s Federal Office Russian gas. 2021 ’22
of Meteorology and Climatology. Now the question in the Source: Energy Information Administration
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, January 5, 2023 | A7
WORLD NEWS
Meta Fined
In EU Over
Online Ads
Continued from Page One
said it issued its decisions after
a board representing all privacy
regulators in the bloc in De-
cember ordered the Irish regu-
BENOIT TESSIER/REUTERS
WORLD NEWS
Mental-Health
and training and support for drug use. Besides the loss and dis- At Boys & Girls Clubs of the Fox
teachers, says Olivia Carter, a ruption teens experienced in the Valley in Wisconsin, behavior-sup-
school counselor at Terry W. pandemic, Ms. Fulp also blames port staffers created cards for
Kitchen Central Junior High in social media, including TikTok each child that detail information
Approaches
Cape Girardeau, Mo. At Ms. challenges that encourage children including “Least Favorite Activi-
Carter’s school, counselors are to vandalize bathrooms. ties” and “Things That Help the
coming in more often to help stu- She found, however, that out- Youth Calm Down.” “Some young
dents calm down after misbehav- of-school suspensions weren’t people may prefer to be left alone.
ing, she says. Counselors will take changing behavior. “Kids would Some look for connection” after an
To Discipline
children for a walk, play soothing come back angrier,” she says. outburst, says Carlyn Andrew, the
music or distract them with a chat So this school year, Ms. Fulp clubs’ senior director of counseling
about their favorite things before added a day of in-school suspen- and training.
they meet with the principal. sion, where students do their work The cards started as a pilot for
The recent discipline changes in a separate room. She also cut the “high-needs” children in 2020 and
are an acceleration of a shift over length of out-of-school suspensions. expanded to all children in 2022.
M
BY ANDREA PETERSEN tion, family stress and loss. the past decade or so, partly to ad- And all suspended students now Club employees also received
Principals and counselors say dress concerns about racial ineq- complete a “restorative assign- training on techniques to encour-
ore schools and they believe that working with uity in how punishments are lev- age good behavior. Instead of say-
community groups children to address deeper prob- ied, says Dr. Hoover. Government ing, “Stop yelling,” for example,
are taking a less lems is more effective. In the past, data has shown that Black stu- employees are coached to say,
punitive, more col- they say, penalizing children by dents are much more likely to be Steps include “Use your talking voice,” Ms. An-
laborative ap- sending them home or delivering expelled or suspended from school asking students to drew says.
proach to disci- other punishments didn’t typically than white children. Also these Aleshia Wiggs sends her two
pline as behavior problems rise lead to better behavior. Still, new punishments can lead to higher reflect on their sons, ages 8 and 10, to the clubs in
among children and teens. approaches can be harder for dropout rates and lower academic behavior. the summer and after school. She
Some schools are reducing out- schools to implement, requiring achievement, scientific studies, in- says her older son, Bradley, has
of-school suspensions in favor of more training and staff. cluding an analysis published in sometimes yelled or pushed chairs
in-school suspension days, adding “For a lot of students, depres- 2015 in the journal School Psychol- when he feels like he’s not being
sit-down talks with the principal sion can look more like irritability, ogy Review, have shown. ment” where they answer questions treated fairly.
and introducing written assign- and students who have experi- Instead of changing the prob- like “What is one thing uniquely Now, when Bradley gets upset,
ments reflecting how to change enced post-traumatic stress are lematic behavior, suspensions and wonderful about you?” and “What club staff encourage him to walk
behavior. Other schools are bring- more likely to act out,” says being sent to the principal’s office are you committed to doing as you away from the situation and take
ing in counselors prior to meetings Sharon Hoover, co-director of the can make acting out more likely, go back to class after today?” some time by himself to calm down.
with the principal to help children National Center for School Mental says Jill Sharkey, a professor in the After Ethan Robins, a 16-year- Then he can go back to the group,
calm down. Health at the University of Mary- department of counseling, clinical old junior who goes by the name talk out any issues, apologize if he
The moves partly stem from a land School of Medicine. and school psychology at the Uni- Parker, hit another student who he needs to and move on. Bradley has
growing consensus among many Discipline changes like limiting versity of California, Santa Barbara. said was making fun of him and also started therapy for anxiety.
who work in education that disrup- suspensions and not sending dis- If misbehavior gets children out of his friends, he was given a day of Ms. Wiggs says Bradley is hav-
tive behavior often reflects under- ruptive children out of the class- doing work or gives them extra at- in-school suspension. Parker said ing fewer anger outbursts and is
lying issues such as anxiety, de- room are seeing pushback from tention, kicking them out of class that talking to Ms. Fulp about better able to talk about how he is
pression and trauma. Mental-health some teachers, says Dr. Hoover. rewards that behavior, she says. what happened and then doing the feeling. In October, Bradley re-
problems among children and teens It’s challenging to teach with a dis- Mary Fulp, a high-school princi- restorative assignment made him ceived the clubs’ “Youth of the
surged during the pandemic, the ruptive child in the classroom and, pal in Palmer, Alaska, says she has reflect on his behavior. Month” award for good behavior
result, psychologists say, of isola- she says, many teachers are also seen a rise in behavior issues “It definitely helped me learn. and other positive qualities.
C
raft beer’s popularity has risen He recalls recently having beers like Hip-Hops and
nationwide for more than a tried one hazy IPA from near R&Brew, which is now a
decade. About 9,500 breweries Portland with notes of coffee flagship.
operate in the U.S. now, leading to and coconut juice. “We learned to keep bit-
the question of how much anyone “It was so weird, just a bi- terness and acidity low from
wants yet another take on the IPA. zarre assault on your palate,” those study groups,” Mr.
Highland Brewing Co. of Asheville, he says. Bloomfield says. Funkytown
N.C., opened in 1994. It advertises it- Geoi Bachoua, owner and has released 11 beers since
self as the first legal brewery to operator of Bine & Vine Bottle opening, and is now sold at
launch since Prohibition in the Appa- Shop in San Diego’s Normal local Whole Foods grocery
lachian city of 94,000 residents. Now Heights neighborhood, likes to stores and the United Cen-
it’s one of over 50 in the area. keep his 1,800-square-foot ter, home to Chicago’s NBA
The business has gone from a store’s selection of more than and NHL teams. Having ex-
basement brewery to a hilltop 40- 500 beers varied. He says he isn’t Monday Night Brewing, Best End beer culture, is home to over 428 panded the brewery’s footprint into
acre destination that produces more impressed with most of the 30 to 40 Brewing and Hop City Beer & Wine, craft breweries, according to the Milwaukee, he expects to sell 6,800
than 40,000 barrels annually and new beers he samples each week be- respectively—occupy the Lee + White Brewers Association, a trade group barrels this year at $4 million in
generates around $15 million in rev- fore deciding what gets stocked. retail development. Locals have nick- based in the state. There were 126 revenue, with almost $1 million in
enue, according to Leah Wong Ash- “The vast majority of what I named the complex Malt Disney. in 2011. net profits.
burn, president and chief executive taste is garbage,” he says. But Eric Johnson, Wild Heaven’s Charlie Berger, co-founder of the Funkytown’s strategy to distin-
of Highland. She says she worries Mr. Bachoua says that craft beer co-founder and brewmaster, says Denver Beer Co., welcomes the guish itself also includes eye-catch-
for the industry and how crowded has reached an oversaturation point breweries like his have benefited crowded field. The company plans ing label art that prominently fea-
the field has become. in the San Diego area, home to na- from the increased competition. to open its fourth taproom in early tures Black people. Community
“The competition is now such tionally known breweries like Stone “I don’t view any of that as even 2023. It also has a separate produc- support from breweries like Revolu-
that I think it’s overwhelming for Brewing. He says upstart breweries remotely problematic,” he says. Wild tion facility. tion Brewing and Half Acre Beer Co.
KEVIN J. BEATY/COLORADO PUBLIC RADIO/AP
consumers who haven’t been into need to take a hard look at the fi- Heaven arrived at Lee + White in “There’s a ton of room for helped the brewery gain footing.
craft beer,” Mrs. Ashburn says. “If nancial realities: “It’s not just growth July 2019, two years after the de- smaller, medium and even regional Customers ultimately determine
they walk by the cooler and see anymore. Seven years ago it was velopment opened. “We looked at breweries,” he says. “As you get to whether there’s too much beer in
1,000 choices, they have no idea nothing but growth.” this space because Monday Night the national level, there’s less. We’re their town.
what to do.” Now he sees “a lot” of breweries [Brewing] was already here. Creat- not playing at that level.” “There’s an old phrase in the
Pete Dunlop, a 34-year Portland, closing and consumers turning to ing a critical mass of folks doing Newbie breweries, like Chicago’s wine industry that I feel like I’ve
Ore., resident and beer aficionado, wine or nonalcoholic beverages like something exciting is important,” he Funkytown Brewery, have to work heard more in beer recently,” says
says that as the volume of breweries kombucha. says. hard to get noticed, their executives Bart Watson, chief economist at
has ballooned, the quality has plum- In Atlanta’s West End neighbor- Many others in the industry also say. The Black-owned brewery the Brewers Association. “How do
meted. He points to the microbrew hood, three craft breweries and a see plenty of room for growth. launched in 2021 with an eye on you make a small fortune in beer?
mecca of Bend, Ore., a town with beer-heavy bar—Wild Heaven Beer, Colorado, another hub of U.S. Black consumers new to craft beer. You start with a large fortune.”
A10 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
PERSONAL JOURNAL.
ON THE
CLOCK
CALLUM
BORCHERS
M
aybe your office
building has a gym
where you can
Power Gets Generally, it
takes some
squeeze in a few
bicep curls on your
lunch break. Or
Flexed in seniority to
block your
perhaps you’re still working from
home and could go for a run be-
tween Zoom calls.
Working out in the middle of the
Workday calendar for
fitness during
workday makes perfect sense…in
theory. In reality, a certain type of
Workouts business hours
M
any workers who professionally, explain that who says she sometimes
have been laid off in just vouching for your char- uses the tactic to make con-
THEY RECORD HISTORY. tech and elsewhere
are landing jobs at new em-
acter would go a long way,
but say you understand if
nections with potential
new business leads for her
ployers with an effective they feel they can’t. Ac- chemical-fingerprinting tech-
tactic—getting a company knowledge that you are ask- nology firm, RevoChem LLC.
insider to vouch for them. ing for a favor, she says. “It has to be a client I’ve
In the age of automated “Sometimes you just need known for a long time and a
hiring systems, having the to lean into the awkward,” person that’s very willing to
endorsement of someone on she says. help,” she says.
the inside can help candi- If the person declines, Some professionals say
dates stand out from the know that they might have they have had success mak-
dozens, if not hundreds, of good reasons for their deci- ing referral contacts on the
applicants for the same job. sion. Professionals tend to fly. When Deekshit Bonthala
Many people who have ad- make connections that make Nagendra looked for a prod-
vertised their layoffs on sense and will enhance their uct manager job in 2022, he
LinkedIn and other online net- own reputation, says Alisa says he researched the
working forums say it can Cohn, an executive coach and teams he was applying to
quickly lead to job referrals author. They might know join, then messaged those
from recruiters and employ-
ees at other companies and,
soon, actual offers. In a study
of recruiting practices at more
than 1,000 mid- and large-
size companies by talent-
management software firm
SilkRoad Technology Inc., em-
ployee referrals accounted for
more than 30% of all hires.
Yet asking for a referral of-
ten takes strategizing and the
willingness to accept potential
rejection, veteran job seekers
and career coaches say.
Whether asking someone
ISTOCK
ARTS IN REVIEW
CULTURAL COMMENTARY
A
BY MARC MYERS niversary reissue and hybrid Super
Audio CD. But in 1973, Mr. Spring-
t age 19, in 1969, Bruce steen’s brand of machine-gun sto-
Springsteen was a rytelling peppered with unmoored
homeless, self-described characters and seedy imagery was
“faux hippie” cast adrift radical. The album was mischarac-
in blue-collar Freehold, terized by critics as a cheap, bar-
N.J., an hour and a half band distillation of Bob Dylan,
south of New York. In his 2016 even though his nine songs today
memoir, “Born to Run,” he wrote seem more aligned with Jack Ker-
that he didn’t identify with the ouac’s Beat observations.
counterculture or conservatives, Mr. Springsteen’s rock ’n’ soul
and as a musician he wasn’t dis- style also didn’t fit an existing mu-
tracted by “drugs, booze or girls.” sic genre. War and Stevie Wonder
Rock, for Mr. Springsteen, was dominated the album chart on the
manual labor, and he believed that soul side while progressive-rock
a shot at success was possible only bands such as Jethro Tull and the
if he outworked everyone else. Moody Blues and folk-pop ballad-
What kept Mr. Springsteen eers James Taylor, Carly Simon,
grounded after his parents left Carole King and Neil Diamond
New Jersey for a better life in Cal- made up the balance.
ifornia was a guitar, dreams fed by Reviewing “Greetings” in Creem
Asbury Park gigs and the cast- magazine, Dave Marsh questioned
aways enshrined in his songs. Mr. Springsteen’s aesthetic: “His en-
Within three years, he would sign tire career is based upon a total dis-
with Columbia Records and pay regard for taste and control on the
tribute to the beach town on his most fundamental level.” Dan
first studio album. Nooger in the Village Voice piled
“Greetings From Asbury Park, on: “Much of the album seems to
N.J.,” released 50 years ago this stumble under the weight of its
month, initially did poorly. It did own supposed significance and ob-
not enter the Billboard album chart scures the fact that he has a strong
until two years later and peaked at innate feel for singing hard rock.”
No. 60, riding the coattails of his hit In Mr. Springsteen’s favor, how-
third LP, “Born to Run.” Two singles ever, was a sizable East Coast de-
were issued from “Greetings”— mographic of club-hoppers who
“Blinded by the Light” and “Spirit loved do-it-yourself rockers and
in the Night”—but neither charted. saw themselves in his songs. The
One of the album’s liabilities working-class blues that hung
was the absence of electric-guitar over coastal, suburban towns back
U
mberto Giordano’s “Fedora” have decamped to current paramour), production and attendance, when
(1898) proved to be perfect Switzerland. Things which cleverly accom- an unfamiliar title, featuring many
New Year’s Eve fare at the don’t end well. panies the Fedora-Lo- of the favorite musical and dra-
Metropolitan Opera on Saturday Ms. Yoncheva, ele- ris seduction. Other matic hallmarks of better-known
night. It’s relatively short; the creaky gantly swathed in notable soloists were turn-of-the-century Italian operas,
plot is melodrama rather than trag- sumptuous period Jeongcheol Cha, as could be slotted into the subscrip-
edy; there’s a party scene; and it’s a gowns by Brigitte Vladimir’s coachman tion season and please the audi-
splendid verismo showcase for the Reiffenstuel, managed Cirillo, offering halting, ence. Today, this production, even
right soprano—in this case, Sonya to make Fedora’s poignant testimony with its splendid cast and staging,
Yoncheva. David McVicar’s hand- questionable choices about the shooting, seems like something of a dinosaur.
some new production offered plenty persuasive. In Act I, and Luka Zylik, as a The Met recently announced that
of eye candy and kept the enter- she was every inch peasant boy, who sang it will increase the percentage of
tainment level high without cheesy the imperious aristo- a hauntingly dissonant contemporary titles in future sea-
overreach. With the early (6:30 crat, her imposing so- folk tune, accompanied sons, since new works like “Fire Shut
p.m.) curtain, the crowd could head prano declaring rap- by concertina, making Up in My Bones” and “The Hours”
out at 9 for their own festive din- turous adoration of a a striking contrast to have actually been outselling war-
ners and Champagne toasts after man who, it is clear, the volcanic emotional horses. Novelty matters, particularly
the heroine expired. she barely knows. explosions of Act 3. now that the company depends
Arturo Colautti’s libretto is based (We’ve already heard Mr. McVicar skill- heavily on single-ticket sales—sub-
on a play by Victorien Sardou, who his servants briskly fully balanced playful- scriptions have dropped to less than
also provided the source material for discussing his unsa- ness and histrionics. half of what they were two decades
Puccini’s “Tosca.” “Fedora” makes vory habits.) The se- Charles Edwards’s de- ago. The Met’s brand has always
less sense. The title character is a duction scene of Act 2 tailed set designs been grand traditional operatic enter-
Russian princess. In Act 1, which was perfectly manipulative, and her combined grandeur with sleight-of- tainment, performed for an audience
takes place in St. Petersburg, her fi- headlong tumble into passion, vigor- hand: Elements of each act’s set re- that returned every year to see many
ancé, Vladimir, is murdered, suppos- ously and idiomatically paced by
Umberto Giordano’s mained in the subsequent ones, re- of the same spectacles or related
edly by Nihilists (a violent political conductor Marco Armiliato, made 1898 ‘Fedora’ has minders that the past is never gone. ones, and willingly paid premium
group of the period), and she swears for a complete—and exciting—rever- The ghost of Vladimir also haunted prices. With that business model un-
to avenge him. In Act 2, at a grand sal. In Act 3, her voice turned lush
a creaky plot but an the production, both in his portrait, der heavy pressure, a pure diversion
party in Paris, she seduces the ac- and imploring as she begged for engaging score. hanging on a wall at stage left, and like this “Fedora”—if revived when it
cused killer, Count Loris Ipanoff, into forgiveness, a convincing prelude to in person. That physical ghost made is no longer New Year’s Eve and with
a confession. While Loris is off get- her inevitable suicide. for an effective staging of the a less starry cast—might well show
ting proof of justifiable homicide, Fe- As Loris, tenor Piotr Beczała had dreamy Act 2 Intermezzo, giving Fe- its C-list cracks. And in a repertory
dora dispatches a letter to St. Pe- less to do—he doesn’t even appear novelty. The Act 2 party took off dora and Vladimir—whom we never house that needs a lot of titles—23
tersburg condemning him. Loris until Act 2. His delivery was more with a merry waltz; later, the French see together alive—a mimed love this season—it’s hard to predict what
returns with a different letter (the stentorian than lyrical, which was diplomat Giovanni De Siriex (Lucas scene; Fedora’s subsequent switch to might take its place.
KEN HOWARD / MET OPERA
opera has quite a few) that proves particularly noticeable in the opera’s Meachem) and Fedora’s flirtatious Loris was thus all the more startling.
that Vladimir was having an affair brief hit tune, “Amor ti vieta,” but he cousin Olga (Rosa Feola) traded Adam Silverman’s atmospheric Ms. Waleson writes on opera for
with Loris’s wife and was marrying made a fine dramatic foil for Ms. teasing arias—he describes Russian lighting emphasized the different the Journal and is the author of
Fedora for her money. Shocked at Yoncheva. There were numerous women as tough Cossacks; she de- tones of the acts: The gloomy, “Mad Scenes and Exit Arias: The
these revelations, Fedora transfers other engaging musical moments as clares that French men are as heavy reds of Vladimir’s sitting Death of the New York City Opera
her affections to Loris. Alas, that well, since Giordano and Colautti ephemeral and headache-inducing as room in Russia; the breezy white and the Future of Opera in Amer-
letter to St. Petersburg will return laced the melodrama with fun and Veuve Clicquot Champagne. Both curtains in Paris; the bleached-out ica” (Metropolitan).
A12 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
SPORTS
The Mental Trauma Facing the NFL
BY ANDREW BEATON
AND LOUISE RADNOFSKY
A
s the NFL grapples with
the terrifying midgame
collapse and hospital- After Damar Hamlin’s collapse, the league must reckon with the impact on shaken players
ization of Buffalo Bills
safety Damar Hamlin,
it’s also confronting a rapidly evolv- The only time in modern history
ing sports landscape in which ath- that the NFL has nixed an entire
letes’ mental health has emerged as weekend of games was after the
a crucial issue. Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks,
The 24-year-old Hamlin was when the league shuttered the fol-
showing “signs of improvement,” lowing weekend.
the team said Wednesday, but was In the day after Hamlin’s col-
still in critical condition in the in- lapse, the NFL Players Association
tensive care of a Cincinnati hospital and the league were already draw-
on Wednesday after making a ing attention to mental-health op-
tackle, standing up and then crum- tions available to players. The union
bling to the ground during Buffalo’s tweeted: “ALL players: please reach
marquee game against the Cincin- out if you need someone to talk to.
nati Bengals on Monday. Medical There are several resources avail-
personnel appeared to perform CPR able to you,” with a link to counsel-
before he was taken to the hospital ing options.
in an ambulance. He was in cardiac In a memo sent to teams Tues-
arrest and his heartbeat was re- day, commissioner Roger Goodell
stored on-site. said that each club had received in-
League officials on Wednesday formation about mental health and
declined to pin down a specific support resources available to play-
cause of the incident, but Dr. Allen ers and staff.
Sills, the league’s chief medical offi- One recent study, from 2019 in
cer, said a condition called commo- the British Journal of Sports Medi-
tio cordis—in which a sudden blunt cine, found that elite athletes may
force trauma to the chest affects suffer from higher rates of trauma-
the electrical system of the heart, related mental disorders, such as
causing an arrhythmia and cardiac post-traumatic stress disorder, than
arrest—“certainly is possible.” the general population. Recognizing
The dramatic scene involving these can be made more difficult by
Hamlin played out not just on na- athletes’ tendencies to mask symp-
tional television, but also directly in toms, the study said.
front of players from both teams Tre’Davious White, left, and Mitch Morse of the Buffalo Bills reacted after Damar Hamlin collapsed on Monday night. These topics, once virtually non-
who watched a peer receive emer- existent in sports, have been ush-
gency treatment in a life-or-death tions have been raised about when to perform, as well as the impact of tions to navigate and the league to ered to the front burner in recent
situation, seconds after he had been players—not just on the Bills and performing on their mental health. navigate,” said Goldman, who has years. Biles, the 2016 Olympic all-
doing what every one of them also Bengals, but all around the league— As a result, sports officials are been an embedded psychologist around champion, withdrew from
does for a living. Those on the field might feel comfortable proceeding increasingly being asked to treat with two NFL teams in the past. the team final mid-competition at
were visibly shaken by what they with the season. Some were on the athletes’ mental health on a par “This is not a simple solution of the Tokyo Games, citing a state of
saw, with some in tears. Players on field and witnessed what happened with their physical well-being. Troy suspend the season or force re-en- mind that prevented her from com-
opposing teams embraced and Bills first hand. Others could have seen it Vincent, the NFL’s executive vice gagement.” peting safely or effectively.
players gathered, kneeling in a on television and imagined them- president of football operations, de- Dr. Angel Brutus, a licensed pro- Biles then sat out defending her
prayer circle. selves in their colleague’s shoes. scribed what happened Monday as fessional counselor with the U.S. all-around title, and three other
The NFL said that the Bills-Ben- Talks about whether or not some “traumatic.” Olympic & Paralympic Committee, event finals for which she had qual-
gals game, which was stopped after NFL players will feel ready to play Dr. Scott Goldman, a psychologist said that letting athletes collec- ified, before eventually returning
the incident, will not be played by this weekend have started, and who works with professional sports tively make a decision of when to with a scaled-down performance to
“this week,” while league officials some have expressed a desire to teams, said the problem is particu- return—and respecting individuals win bronze on the balance beam.
added that there were various pos- have the games delayed. “That’s larly tricky because different people who didn’t want to—is one way to Such situations are less and less
sibilities for handling it. The league been a real conversation since last cope with trauma in different fash- address varied responses. unusual. Osaka withdrew from the
did not announce any changes to night and again this morning and ions. What’s best for one player “One of the tenets when it comes 2021 French Open, after citing her
the schedule for Week 18, which is now into tonight,” said NFL agent might not be optimal for another. to trauma response is, ‘Where is my distress in conducting news confer-
slated to begin Saturday. The Bills David Canter on Tuesday. Some, he said, might not be able sense of control?’” she said. “If ences that she said contributed to
have begun inching back to nor- Such concerns have rapidly risen to fathom playing when a fellow there is an opportunity to cultivate her anxiety. Philadelphia Eagles
14
2 3 4 5
15
6 7 8 9
16
10 11 12 13 12 Region of
northern
Israel
The Forces That Shaped
17 18 19
13 Spread
apart
Donovan Mitchell’s 71-Point Night
20 21 22 23 21 Mo. with a BY ROBERT O'CONNELL mances is notable. Through pointers in a game (which he
solstice 560 games, there have been did Monday night, making
24 25 26 27 22 Promote IN ONE SENSE, what Dono- 87 games in which a player seven).
van Mitchell accomplished scored 40 points or more, ac- Then, in 2018, the league
28 29 30 31 32 25 An arm and Monday night was truly rare. cording to Stats Perform. The emphasized rules to allow of-
a leg, say The Cleveland Cavaliers guard previous high through the fensive players greater “free-
33 34 35 36 37 29 Cheyenne scored 71 points in an over- same stretch of the season in dom of movement,” cutting
allies time win over the Chicago the era since the NBA’s down on the grabs and
38 39 40 Bulls, the most in one game merger with the ABA in 1976? nudges that had long made
30 NYSE since Kobe Bryant scored 81 61, set two years ago. up the dark arts of defenses.
41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 watcher in 2006 and tied for the Basketball’s general scoring All of a sudden, players were
35 Reggae eighth-most in NBA history. boom began by way of both taking more valuable shots
49 50 51 52 53 precursor The list of players who scored inspiration and legislation. In while restrained by less con-
70 points in a game features the mid-2010s, the NBA fol- tact than ever.
54 55 56 57 37 “It’s Gonna just seven people, one of lowed the lead of Golden As offenses have accli-
Be Me” band whom—Wilt Chamberlain, State Warriors superstar Ste- mated themselves to the new
58 59 60 61 62 39 Afternoon still basketball’s statistical co- phen Curry and then-Houston scoring paradise, efficiency
affair lossus—did so six times. Rockets general manager has climbed almost annually.
63 64 65 66 “We were treated tonight Daryl Morey. The former This year, NBA teams’ 113.5
40 Red Cross to one of the greatest perfor- proved that the 3-pointer was points per 100 possessions—
67 68 69 class, briefly mances in the history of the as viable a superstar’s calling through Monday’s games—is
41 Crop for NBA,” Mitchell’s coach, J.B. card as the driving dunk, the the highest mark since pos-
70 71 72 cattle Bickerstaff, said after the latter demonstrated its use as session totals have been
game. a franchise-defining strategy. tracked.
42 Bucks In another sense, though, The resulting explosion It isn’t just stars who are
CROSSWALKS | By Jesse Goldberg 43 Short outing Mitchell’s outburst was sim- changed the game forever. contributing. The influx of op-
Across 28 Quartz and 55 Oscar Down ply the latest in a season of Mitchell, who was a senior at timized scorers includes role
46 Overdid it at
opal, e.g. winner buffed-up box scores. Six days Brewster Academy in New players, whose shooting skill
1 Viola range 1 Infomercial the buffet
with four before, the Dallas Mavericks’ Hampshire the year Curry can keep defenses from fixat-
5 “Peacemaker” 31 Cotton from #1 Billboard
urging 47 Nutty Luka Doncic had tallied a tri- won his first title, has never ing on drive-first scorers like
star John Arkansas, 2 NBC western confection ple-double of 60 points, 21 re- known a professional atmo- Antetokounmpo.
e.g.: Abbr. hits
of the early 48 Gap crossed bounds, 10 assists—a stat line sphere that frowned upon his In another era, a 50- or 60-
9 Hookah 57 Current 1960s without precedent. Three hoisting, say, 15 3- point night often suggested
cousins 32 Spot by impulses
setting 3 Betray fear days prior, the Milwaukee that a player had overruled
14 Outmoded 33 Become 51 Puzzle Bucks’ Giannis Antetokoun- Donovan his coaching staff or demoted
filled to 58 PC key 4 Laudatory
library 53 Dawn mpo had registered his sec- Mitchell his teammates, taking matters
overflowing 59 Shows of lines ond straight game with at scored 71 into his own hands. Now such
fixture goddess
34 In medias ___ respect 5 Military garb least 40 points and 20 re- points on performances get spoken of
15 Slept like ___ 56 Follower of bounds, becoming the first Jan. 2. in terms of optimization, not
36 Got 62 Copying 6 Zeal
16 Scads Jah player since 1982 to accom- ego. “It wasn’t just about him
something 63 Star of 7 Drifter
60 Equipment plish the feat. Just after scoring,” Bickerstaff said of
17 Timberland off one’s 1947’s “Law 8 Colorful Mitchell made his last two Mitchell after his 71-point
logo feature chest of the Lash” marbles 61 Brownie field-goal attempts on night. “He played the
18 2013 Jessica 9 Place for a Brick Road Monday night, a pair of complete game.”
38 Unlucky 65 Played for a
Chastain new delivery? brand 27-foot 3-pointers, Golden Mitchell’s game was
symbols, sucker
horror film four of 10 Physicist 64 Apache State’s Klay Thompson a montage of canny
66 Pace set to work on what new-age basketball. He
19 Drink order which can Georg allies
be found in 67 Curvy, would become his own capitalized on the space
20 Sibs and 11 Like the exit 66 Subject of 54-point total, in a in Chicago’s defense to
this puzzle crunchy
’rents, one should Tim Weiner’s double overtime win muscle in for layups,
chip
collectively 41 Makes leave through “Legacy of against the Atlanta drew enough fouls to
sense 68 They’re in a fire drill Ashes” Hawks. The next make 20 free-throws
21 Gives away not going night, Antetokounmpo and, when defenders
44 Germane places Previous Puzzle’s Solution
23 Narrow inlet S L O S H Y I E L D B A R
scored 55 in a win overcommitted to him,
45 Runs one’s 69 Charge O U N C E A C T O R A G E against the Washington Wiz- tossed alley-oops to his
24 Saunter mouth ards. teammates. Scoring wasn’t
carriers F L Y I N GW E D G E R U N
26 How 49 Long, in T U X N U N S A S B A D The NBA’s golden age of the only category in which
sensitive 70 Resort T E N S M A MM A scoring has lately stretched Mitchell led the Cavaliers; he
Hawaiian
KEN BLAZE/USA TODAY SPORTS
along the L A S E R S C A S T I R O N
subjects A L MA Y T A S K D I V A into an epoch; the league’s also handed out 11 assists.
should be 50 Seize Roaring Fork L I AM P O S T S G A I T collective offensive rating has Afterward, Mitchell joked
handled 52 Touchdown River A B L E O D E S H E N N A registered its seven highest that he’d previously pulled off
W I L DWO O D H A N S E L marks over the last seven a stat line like that only in
27 English preceder 71 Holders of P U R R S R O D S
spectacles C A R P E C A R A F B I
seasons. Even in that point- NBA 2K, the videogame se-
cathedral 54 Kingbird, for piling context, though, this ries. Then he mentioned one
A L I S A I L I N G C L U B
city one 72 Suit to ___ S S N T A L O N A D O R E season’s stretch of break- difference: “I don’t think I
▶ Solve this puzzle online and discuss it at WSJ.com/Puzzles. H O T S A L T S S C E N T through individual perfor- did it this efficiently.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, January 5, 2023 | A13
OPINION
Putin, Xi and One Dead Pope BOOKSHELF | By Mark G. Spencer
A big story
the past year
has been the
Russia. Pope Benedict’s
immediate predecessor
and good friend, Pope
characterized him repeat-
edly as a “conservative,”
which at best consigns him
At the Start
firming alli-
ance between
the world’s
John Paul II, had Ronald
Reagan, Margaret
Thatcher and a small army
to just another voice in the
political tumult. This is a
disservice to Benedict’s
Of the Spread
I
ping, predi- Volodymyr Zelensky. to sustain intact social
cated on their conclusion that Moreover, the challenge structures. He summa- n November 1736, Francis Franklin—Benjamin Franklin’s
the West is in terminal decline. from China and Russia is rized these views as pope beloved 4-year-old son—fell ill with smallpox and soon
Fortuitously, the world has just discussed mostly in mili- in his 2009 encyclical let- died. Philadelphia at the time was in the midst of an
lost its most relevant analyst tary and economic terms. ter, “Caritas in Veritate” epidemic, and the Franklins’ painful ordeal was one of an
of the presumption that the Ukraine’s defense against (Love in Truth). Secular- estimated 100,000 similar tragedies that played out in 18th-
West is finished—Pope Emeri- the Putin invasion is about ism, he argued, will fail century America. In “The Contagion of Liberty,” Andrew
tus Benedict XVI. transfers of military hard- Pope Benedict XVI without the ballast of reli- Wehrman weaves together dozens of individual stories and
Benedict’s funeral is Thurs- ware and economic sanc- gion, or faith: their layered historical contexts to provide a fascinating
day, and what we should not tions on Russia. Despite a new and devotion to one’s mother- “Reason and faith can come account of smallpox in America, from colonial times through
do is let him pass into history. consensus that Mr. Xi has land.” Mr. Putin’s traditional- to each other’s assistance. the early republic.
He was a man for our season. made China an aggressor na- ism, of course, is meretricious. Only together will they save Smallpox was one of the 18th century’s most feared
It would be insulting to the tion, most thinking is about It’s about power. man. Entranced by an exclu- diseases, affecting cities around the world and ravaging early
seriousness of Benedict’s criti- economic disentanglement and At the Communist Party’s sive reliance on technology, American urban centers in recurring waves. Those who were
cism of Western culture to say funding a long-delayed defense 20th National Congress in Oc- reason without faith is infected developed high fevers, body aches and painful pocks
he shared the views of Messrs. in the Pacific region. tober, Mr. Xi asserted that doomed to flounder in an illu- filled, Mr. Wehrman writes, “with a viscous milk-white
Putin and Xi, whose ideas But this underestimates the “scientific socialism is brim- sion of its own omnipotence. pustular fluid that could soak clothing and bedsheets with
about the West’s moral decline stakes as Messrs. Putin and Xi ming with renewed vitality in Faith without reason risks be- infectious material.” Forming beneath the skin, the pocks
see them. For them, this proj- 21st-century China. Chinese ing cut off from everyday could number in the thousands, often concentrating on the
ect isn’t only about specialists modernization offers humanity life.” face, hands and feet, inflaming nerve endings before erupting
Russia and China analyzing military and eco- a new choice for achieving Messrs. Putin and Xi want through the skin’s surface. The disease, highly contagious
nomic capacities. It’s about modernization.” That new to wear us down from the out- before and after the onset of visible signs of infection, was
want to replace the fundamental belief systems. As choice, evident from Chinese side in. But one may also ask, also deadly. Mortality rates
West. Benedict such, this is likely to be a long- daily life, includes each per- Why should we do it to our- ranged from 10% to 30%.
term struggle that runs be- son’s willingness to surrender selves? Look at the internal How best to control the
wanted to save it. yond the battles over Ukraine to the state an array of long- destabilization under way disease was an urgent
or Taiwan. assumed freedoms—of opin- from social pathologies and question. If first-level defenses
Their conclusion is that the ion, speech and privacy. disconnectedness. Secularism —targeted quarantines and
merely support strategies of West’s populations have be- Whether Russia and China by itself provides no brake on mobility restrictions—didn’t
cynical opportunism. Russian come morally soft and politi- will “win” this competition is bad choices. work, entire towns and cities
bots feed destructive garbage cally disconnected from any debatable. What’s not disput- This writer’s longstanding were locked down, disrupting
into the West’s social-media firm belief in the liberal demo- able is their belief that they solution to reducing the coun- daily life and devastating
ecosystem, which is also the cratic values that won two have the will to displace the try’s problems has been: Go to commerce. It was known that
reason U.S. national-security world wars and helped the West’s values with their own. church on the weekend. Learn smallpox survivors gained
specialists—like many par- West rise to economic and cul- As pope, Benedict was that in fact, you’re not No. 1 lifelong immunity; in 17th-
ents—believe the TikTok plat- tural dominance. Messrs. Putin acutely aware of China’s and not alone. century Europe, a procedure of
form is being used by China’s and Xi think the Western belief threat to these values. Speak- It has become unfashion- inoculation had emerged that
leadership as a force multiplier system is vulnerable now and ing on Christmas Eve 2010 able, if not forbidden, to talk involved taking a small amount
of cultural erosion. replaceable. from his window on St. Peter’s about religious belief in the of pus from an infected person
Benedict, by contrast, des- “The moral, historical truth Square, Benedict urged the context of public life. The “reli- and injecting it into a healthy person’s arm. If successful, the
perately wanted to save the is on our side,” Mr. Putin said “faithful of the church in gious right” and all that. But procedure would produce a mild case of the disease from
West and the Judeo-Christian in his New Year’s address. mainland China” not to “lose perhaps the moment is right to which the patient would survive, immunity intact. But things
tradition to which he had de- “This is the year,” he said, that heart through the limitations revive Benedict’s argument for could and did go wrong. The freshly inoculated were them-
voted his life. “showed that there is no higher imposed on their freedom of religion’s proper role in orga- selves contagious and posed a grave danger to the community.
It may seem quixotic to en- power than love for one’s fam- religion and conscience.” nizing a coherent, self-confi- Some patients died. Was inoculation advisable? Was it a
list a deceased pope for the ily and friends, loyalty to Obituaries of Benedict, while dent society, or nation. private affair? A civic responsibility? Hot-tempered debates
competition with China and friends and comrades-in-arms, respectful, have nonetheless Write henninger@wsj.com. raged in town meetings and newspapers. Some considered
inoculation insufficiently justified by the scientific evidence.
Others believed that surviving smallpox was best left to
T
second Outstanding Drama Se- U.S.—won the most Winter 500 rises in 2023. The House his own Pennsylvania Gazette’s last page, that Francis’s death
ime for the annual re- ries Emmy. Olympic medals. inquiry into Hunter Biden was not evidence against inoculation. The truth was that
view of my 2022 predic- I was right on three of four What do I think 2023 holds? damages him but not his fa- the boy had contracted the disease naturally. Franklin had
tions, followed by Jan. 6 items. Hundreds of de- Ukraine keeps making gains ther. Oversight hearings on the intended to have his son inoculated but had not done so in
prophecies for 2023. Here are fendants charged for the Capi- on the battlefield, but doesn’t border, Afghan withdrawal and time. Later, in his autobiography, he wrote: “I long regretted
the 23 correct and eight wrong tol assault pleaded guilty or restore its Feb. 23, 2022, bor- Covid prove big problems for bitterly, and still regret that I had not given [smallpox] to
picks that gave me a 74.2% were convicted; few were ac- ders. The West provides criti- the White House. Homeland him by inoculation.”
success rate for last year. quitted. The Supreme Court al- cal military and economic aid, Security Secretary Alejandro Americans developed their own techniques of inoculation.
First, things I got right. Re- lowed the release of President though with growing domestic Mayorkas departs this year. Dr. Adam Thomson of Philadelphia and Dr. George Muirson
publicans took the House with Trump’s Jan. 6 documents. The controversy. Vladimir Putin The House passes most of of New York, for instance, each claimed separately to have
fewer seats than the post- House investigating committee throws in more men and re- the 12 required appropriations invented the American method of including mercury in the
World War II average (way found that groups planned vio- sources, inflicting more vio- bills before the next fiscal year. inoculation process. John Adams complained of his 1764
less). Democrats gained gover- lence for that day. But it lence on the outnumbered The debt ceiling gets raised, inoculation that the mercury levels were so high it loosened
norships, but the Republican wasn’t established that the but it’s ugly. The U.S. avoids a his teeth. The new procedure had another side-effect: Its
advantage in state legislative Willard Hotel Trump command recession but has at least one higher cost made it too expensive for many.
seats grew. GOP secretary of post knew that. I missed on Roe v. negative quarter. By December, Communities struggled with how best to deal with all of
state candidates in Arizona, My really, really bad call nearly two-thirds of Americans this. In Boston, there were government-led efforts to provide
Michigan and Nevada (all was Roe v. Wade. The Supreme Wade but correctly believe the country is on the universal inoculation. In Norfolk, Va., an “informed citizenry”
Trump-endorsed election de- Court didn’t weaken the rul- called the NBA and wrong track. Prices rise faster reacted violently to elective private inoculations, favoring a
niers) lost. President Biden’s ing; it overturned it. Yet while than wages. Abortion becomes system that would require community approval. In Marble-
approval rating at year’s end abortion rights dominated the House majority. a bigger Republican headache head and Salem, Mass., debates about inoculation hospitals
was under 45%. Democratic messaging, it re- as demands from the base grow intertwined with discussions of freedom in a nascent
I was right on inflation ris- mained a minor advantage. Ev- for no abortions, no exceptions. revolutionary movement.
ing faster than wages. Growth ery GOP governor who re- Ukrainians. Despite the imbal- My heart screams TCU but
softened from 2021’s 5.9% to cently signed strong pro-life ance of forces, Russia doesn’t my head says Georgia. The
an estimated 1.9%. Unemploy- bills won re-election—in Flor- prevail. China suffers an explo- Bruins take the Stanley Cup. The march toward revolution in America
ment was 3.7% in November, ida, Georgia, Ohio and Texas. sion of Covid cases and deaths. Tom Brady plays his last game coincided with a smallpox epidemic. True freedom
the last data released from the Meanwhile, the only Demo- Beijing also steps up pressure for Tampa as the Buccaneers
year, lower than last Novem- cratic governor who lost, Ne- on Taiwan but doesn’t invade. exit the playoffs. Luka Dončić now meant freedom from disease as well.
ber’s 4.2%. Covid persists but, vada’s Steve Sisolak, based his Europe becomes more friendly wins NBA MVP. Before the All-
even with more variants, is a campaign on abortion rights. to nuclear and hydrocarbon Star break, LeBron passes Kar-
less significant issue. Public- But Democrats were helped in energy. eem to become all-time scor- The contest over smallpox didn’t end with the onset of the
school enrollment remains be- states with abortion referen- Mr. Biden declares that he’s ing leader. Steven Spielberg, Revolutionary War. George Washington—who had contracted
low pre-pandemic levels. dums, like Michigan. running for re-election. A sig- Colin Farrell and Cate Blanch- smallpox while traveling in Barbados as a 19-year-old—was
Russia failed to subjugate There were other predictions nificant Democrat realizes the ett win Academy Awards. Tay- at first “an inoculation skeptic,” Mr. Wehrman tells us. He re-
Ukraine. China and North Ko- that didn’t pan out. Hobbled by danger this represents and, à lor Swift grabs the Grammy for sisted wide-scale inoculation of his army, fearing “an uncon-
rea increased hostile actions: bad candidates, Republicans la Ted Kennedy 1980, runs. The Album of the Year. trollable epidemic.” But by February 1777, having come to see
China against Taiwan and Kim didn’t flip the Senate. The per- Republican field is a fraction of We’ll see in 12 months how things differently, he issued an inoculation order. That about-
Jong Un against everyone. Lula centage of Americans saying 2016’s 17 candidates—no more accurately I’ve described Mil- face, submits Mr. Wehrman, came only after Washington’s
was elected Brazil’s president the country is on the right track than six significant GOP candi- ton’s “never-ending flight of soldiers, officers and doctors demanded it. Still, “once
again. didn’t improve; it remained at dates are standing by year’s future days.” Washington fully committed to inoculation, he never again
Mike Tirico replaced Al Mi- 30% at year’s end. Inflation end. Mr. Trump’s numbers de- wavered.” His actions “signaled that the leadership of this
chaels on “Sunday Night Foot- didn’t decline from last year’s cline through the year. Mr. Bi- Mr. Rove helped organize new country would answer to its people.”
ball.” Mr. Michaels then landed 6.8% annual rate in November, den’s approval number ends the political-action committee The American Revolution’s historians, Mr. Wehrman writes,
at “Thursday Night Football.” but instead rose to 7.1%. Geor- 2023 below 45%. American Crossroads and is “have generally preferred to see the Revolution without its
Golden State became NBA gia beat Alabama to become Nancy Pelosi leaves Con- author of “The Triumph of Wil- smallpox scars.” A fuller picture shows that “widespread
champions. Jane Campion won college football champs. Argen- gress this year. The Supreme liam McKinley” (Simon & acceptance of inoculation had been forged in the same fire as
best director for “Power of the tina—not Brazil—took the Court ends racial preferences Schuster, 2015). the Revolution, steeped in its language, and animated by the
same popular political participation.” It also shows that for
African-Americans, who were by and large denied access to
God and Math at Dinner inoculation, “their pursuit of freedom required them to brave
fast-spreading natural smallpox.” They died by the thousands
in what Mr. Wehrman labels “the most ghastly tragedy of
By Mike Kerrigan counterintuitive to his old “I suppose,” Joe answered, a shotgun shack in heaven’s the American Revolution.”
I
man. checking my catechism outermost borough was good In 1799, news of Edward Jenner’s cowpox vaccination for
n “Orthodoxy,” his master- He said that between inte- against his set theory. Then he enough for a sinner like me. smallpox arrived in America. Jenner’s method eliminated the
piece of Christian apolo- gers—say, 1 and 2—there are said something even trippier. Joe concurred, and when he need for isolating the vaccinated, since they were not con-
getics, G.K. Chesterton ob- infinitely many real numbers, Although whole numbers can did, I was relieved. To Ches- tagious. Silencing many of the objections associated with
served something interesting like 1.1 and 1.265. Such think- be listed out to infinity, the terton, the madman “is not inoculation, vaccination spread in postrevolutionary America
about bards and rationalists: ing scared me straight into law hypothetical list of real num- the man who has lost his rea- “as a private salvation sold by physicians to individuals
“The poet only asks to get his bers is necessarily larger than son” but “the man who has willing to pay for it.” But, Mr. Wehrman writes, those 19th-
head into the heavens. It is the hypothetical list of whole lost everything except his rea- century developments ought not obscure the fact that “the
the logician who seeks to get My son explains why numbers. Not all infinities are son.” Our conversation as- Revolutionary War was won only by conquering smallpox
the heavens into his head. And some infinities are equal. sured me that Joe had ample first” and that doing so was a communal effort.
it is his head that splits.” Infinity and infinity-plus? stores of wonder. He was sim- Mr. Wehrman, an associate professor of history at Central
I shared this observation greater than others. Had that notion entered my ply seeing God in the math, as Michigan University, has produced a deeply researched and
with my eldest son, Joe, early mind in college, I’d have re- I see the math in God. gracefully written volume. The title of his book plays on the
in his college career, when he clined in darkness with a cold It was a delightful dinner phrase by the historian Bernard Bailyn, who wrote that the
told me he’d declared math as school at his age, yet somehow compress on my head. I didn’t between a father and his son. Revolution originated in, and then thrived on, the “contagion
a major. Chesterton’s warning I grasped it now, if only con- get the underlying math but, And when the check came, of liberty.” For Mr. Wehrman, there remains unfinished busi-
wasn’t against using logic, ceptually. “Like the Incarna- thinking I understood the perhaps proud of the numeri- ness. “The American Revolution,” he writes, “will only be
only embracing it to the exclu- tion,” I offered. An instance of broader concept, parried with cal proficiency I’d shown, Joe achieved with equality in health, and that requires an ongoing,
sion of all else. The topic the Creator, while remaining another analogy: “Like higher graciously let me pay. all-in public effort to spread the contagion of liberty.”
came up again recently over fully God and fully man, enter- and lower degrees of heavenly
dinner when Joe, now a se- ing into his creation: the infi- perfection.” Mr. Kerrigan is an attorney Mr. Spencer, a professor of history at Brock University, is the
nior, explained something nite bounded by the finite. Long ago I’d accepted how in Charlotte, N.C. author of “David Hume and Eighteenth-Century America.”
A14 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
Who’s Crazy Enough to Be Speaker? George Santos and All That Is Wrong in D.C.
W
e were taught to believe that all jobs chance to win, but he does now have a higher Regarding Peggy Noonan’s column be arrogant, condescending and
have dignity, but on second thought name ID. “Why George Santos’s Lies Matter” largely unapologetic. Mr. Santos
(Declarations, Dec. 31): Where do you rightly claims that other politicians
there is serving as Speaker of a Re- At this point all of this isn’t so much about Mr.
draw the line—Mr. Santos must go lie, most egregiously Mr. Biden, but a
publican-controlled House of McCarthy as about whether he but Elizabeth Warren and Richard line must be drawn somewhere, and
Representatives. After two You can’t lead a majority or anyone else could lead a co- Blumenthal can stay? Is it because Mr. Santos’s behavior is too offensive
days of intra-GOP stalemate that would rather herent majority for the next Sens. Warren and Blumenthal each to be excused.
over electing Kevin McCarthy, two years. Mr. McCarthy has al- told one big lie, whereas Rep.-elect Mr. Santos is the poster child for
our main question is why the be in the minority. ready conceded that a mere Santos told 15? Well, President Biden what is wrong with our politics. He
California Congressman still five Members will be able to told 300, but I guess his didn’t in- should be stripped of his office and
wants the job? move to vacate the Chair and clude claiming he was Jewish. Let’s sent to political purgatory as an ex-
For that matter, why would anyone want it? put his Speakership in jeopardy. Any small faction also not forget all the government of- ample to current and future candi-
It’s true the Speaker is third in line to be Presi- could hold him hostage at any time. ficials who lied about or covered up dates of both parties. As for the “big
dent, you get your name in the history books If Mr. McCarthy bows out, there are other information on Russiagate and guy”? Perhaps his lies will catch up
Hunter Biden’s laptop. with him in 2024.
and your portrait hung in the Capitol, and you Republicans who might be able to get 218
I think what Mr. Santos has said is PETER DODGE
can sit and applaud uncomfortably behind Pres- votes for Speaker, but why would they want disgraceful, but integrity has one St. Augustine, Fla.
ident Biden during his next two State of the the job? Does Steve Scalise, the No. 2 House meaning, and you don’t have it if you
Union addresses. Other than that, there’s not Republican, want to spend two years listening tell one lie or 300. Many people who voted for Mr.
much to recommend the job. to ultimatums from Colorado Rep. Lauren Boe- GLENDA STEPHENS Santos want him removed from of-
That was true for John Boehner, who became bert? Wisconsin Rep. Michael Gallagher gave Burke, Va. fice. The people who should be fired,
Speaker in 2011 but was ousted in 2015 by a a spirited nominating speech for Mr. McCar- however, are the opposition research-
rump GOP faction after he failed to show thy on Wednesday and is widely respected, Mr. Santos is kryptonite to the Re- ers for Democratic candidate Robert
enough enthusiasm for futile political gestures. but he can accomplish much more leading the publican Party. Allowing his assault Zimmerman, who lost to Mr. Santos
Paul Ryan took over and was able to push Select Committee on China that Republicans on truth will harm the entire party’s in November.
credibility. His interview with Tulsi HELMUTH W. TRIESHMANN JR.
through the 2017 tax reform, among other are setting up.
Gabbard on Fox News showed him to Newport News, Va.
things, but he left after 2018 rather than have The problem any GOP leader faces today is
to deal with the growing Crank Caucus. that too many Republicans don’t really want to
Mr. McCarthy lost three more floor votes on hold and keep political power. They’re much
Wednesday, as 20 Republicans refused to budge more comfortable in opposition in the minority,
despite being outvoted 10 to 1 by their col- which is easier because no hard decisions or
Misdiagnosis Meets Overdiagnosis in the ER
leagues. The rebels without a plausible alterna- compromises are necessary. You can rage against In a criticizing a recent peer-re- mated in primary care (0.1%) and
tive candidate first nominated Arizona Rep. “the swamp” without having to do anything to viewed government report that sum- inpatient care (0.4%), as expected.
Andy Biggs, who had received only 31 votes in change it. This is the fundamental and sorry marizes 279 studies on emergency- PROF. DAVID NEWMAN-TOKER, M.D.
November in the contest with Mr. McCarthy to truth behind the Speaker spectacle and the per- room misdiagnosis (“A Study Sounds PROF. KAREN ROBINSON
become GOP leader. He’d lose a race against a formative GOP politics of recent years. a False Alarm About America’s Emer- Johns Hopkins University
gency Rooms,” op-ed, Dec. 30), Dr. Baltimore
Capitol parking-lot attendant. It’s sorrier still because the country desper-
Kristen Panthagani focuses on only
The rebels then nominated Ohio Rep. Jim ately needs an effective check on the excesses one of the report’s findings: the esti- The basic flaw isn’t misdiagnosis
Jordan, who doesn’t want the job and endorsed of the progressive left that dominates today’s mate of 250,000 U.S. deaths a year but overdiagnosis. Until recently, the
Mr. McCarthy. Then they nominated Florida Democratic Party. That’s what voters said when from ER diagnostic errors. She as- ER was a place to rule out life-threat-
Rep. Byron Donalds, a second-termer who voted they gave Republicans the House majority, serts that “the estimate was derived ening situations, then discharge pa-
for Mr. McCarthy on the initial vote. He has no which they seem intent on squandering. from a single study” in which “one tients to the appropriate provider. In
person unexpectedly died related to a the age of Big Medicine, this is no
delay in diagnosis” in 2004. She longer the rule. Further, Medicare and
Biden Snookers Joe Manchin Again claims the report “misused this single
death to estimate a death rate.”
Medicaid penalize hospitals for read-
mitting patients within 30 days of
D
id President Biden take Joe Manchin luxury cars claimed they were jilted. As the report’s lead authors, we can discharge. This motivates ERs to think
attest that this misrepresents our twice before releasing anyone.
for another ride? The West Virginia Enter Treasury, which last week issued guid-
methods. We triangulated data from Fear of misdiagnosis causes many
Senator insisted on numerous condi- ance that would help automakers circumvent multiple sources to validate the 0.2% ER physicians to defer making any di-
tions for the $7,500 electric the restrictions by letting EVs death rate before extrapolating nation- agnosis at all and admit patients who
vehicle tax credit in the Infla- Treasury’s guidance on leased to consumers qualify as ally. We analyzed two high-quality can be served better as outpatients.
tion Reduction Act (IRA). Now EV subsidies ignores the “commercial clean vehicles,” studies that corroborate a 0.2% to 0.3% Instead, these physicians do work-up
the Treasury Department is which don’t include North death rate. We showed that the 0.2% to rule out many possible, although
doing an end-run to let more Senator’s policy limits. American manufacturing, ma- rate corresponds to 6.7% of ER-associ- unlikely, conditions, until something
Americans and EVs qualify. terial sourcing, income or ated deaths being due to diagnostic er- abnormal is found. Then even more
Mr. Manchin last spring ar- price restrictions. ror, which matches findings from au- tests and consultations follow.
gued that the government shouldn’t subsidize The IRA’s commercial EV tax credit was in- topsy studies. We also confirmed that During hospitalization, patients are
the estimated serious-harm rate of denied their usual routine and often
Americans to buy EVs, especially since some tended for the likes of Amazon, UPS and con-
0.3% is compatible with disease-spe- become weaker and sicker. So, even
models have waiting lists. But he later surren- tractors. But under Treasury’s interpretation, cific misdiagnosis-related harm rates when nothing significant is found after
dered and cut a deal with Senate Majority a BMW i7 (retail price: $119,300) leased to a synthesized in the report (0.2% to 0.5% weeks, the elderly patient may require
Leader Chuck Schumer to prevent the well-to- consumer would qualify for the commercial ve- for the most common symptoms, more time in rehabilitation. All this
do from pocketing the tax credit and boost U.S. hicle credit whether or not it is used by a busi- based on millions of U.S. ER visits). defensive medicine costs billions and
auto manufacturing. ness. Ditto other EVs no matter their cost or Diagnostic errors aren’t unique to results in overdiagnoses even as misdi-
The IRA’s modified $7,500 tax credit, which where they’re made. the ER setting. The ER serious-misdi- agnoses appear to have become rarer.
takes effect this year, includes new price limits An Experian report last February estimated agnosis-related harm rate we esti- JONATHAN L. FOX, M.D.
($80,000 for vans, SUVs and pickups and that about 28% of new EVs are leased. Many EV mated, 0.3%, lies between rates esti- Northfield, N.J.
$55,000 for sedans) and income caps ($150,000 drivers prefer leases because they expect bat-
for singles and $300,000 for married couples). tery technology to improve and their resale
It is also restricted to EVs assembled in North value to fall quickly. Treasury’s guidance will Can We Still Teach Southwest in B-School?
America. encourage dealers to lease EVs instead of sell- For decades, business schools have west resiliency. That Southwest’s op-
Half of the credit ($3,750) is tied to an in- ing them, and customers may find lease financ- used Southwest Airlines as a case erations collapsed during the Christ-
creasing share of EV battery components being ing more attractive. study in corporate-strategy classes mas storm when other airlines
made in North America, and the other half to All of this is a bait-and-switch on Mr. Man- (“Pete Buttigieg, Air Traffic Control- recovered quickly is shocking. The
its minerals being extracted or processed in the chin. Treasury’s guidance “bends to the desires ler,” Review & Outlook, Dec. 29). The company has none of the complexity
U.S. or countries with which the U.S. has a free- of the companies looking for loopholes and is company’s use of a single aircraft, the of its major competitors in fleet, crew
trade agreement. Under the law as written, few clearly inconsistent with the intent of the law,” Boeing 737, and its point-to-point net- or route. Perhaps we should teach the
EV models are expected to qualify for even half Mr. Manchin said last Thursday, adding that he work structure gave it cost and opera- case of Southwest in leadership
of the credit in coming years. plans to introduce legislation that “clarifies the tional advantages that drove growth classes instead, because surely this is
Cue the screams from the auto industry. original intent of the law and prevents this dan- and profitability. Southwest also es- a leadership failure of the first order.
chewed complicated network alliances PROF. MICHAEL WEEKS
Foreign auto makers and governments com- gerous interpretation from Treasury from mov-
and, until recently, international The Citadel, Baker School of Business
plained the law discriminated against them. ing forward.” routes. In principle, any Southwest Charleston, S.C.
European leaders have threatened to file a Good luck rounding up Democratic votes. As crew member should be able to oper-
complaint with the World Trade Organization. much as Mr. Manchin doesn’t want to admit it, ate any aircraft on any route.
U.S. auto makers warned the restrictions he bought a lemon when he voted for the IRA This structure should give South- Putin’s War in Ukraine and
would dampen demand. EV start-ups selling and now Americans are stuck with it.
The ‘Conversion of Russia’
This Slope Really Is Slippery Regarding Tunku Varadarajan’s
The Quest to Re-Educate Jordan Peterson In “MAID in Canada: What’s Be-
“The Patriarch Behind Vladimir Putin”
(Houses of Worship, Dec. 30): In my
Y
hind the Euthanasia Scandal?” (op-
ou would think Canadians had learned to a Sports Illustrated swimsuit cover of a plus- youth in the 1950s, I was often an al-
ed, Dec. 31), Chris Selley writes,
tar boy at a Roman Catholic Mass.
by now not to tell Jordan Peterson what size model: “Sorry. Not Beautiful. And no amount “There is no telling where it might
When the priest would announce that
to say. The psychology professor be- of authoritarian tolerance is going to change end.” In the U.S., we know where it
the last prayer was for the “conver-
came an internet sensation in that.” In Canada even offenses ends. It goes from “safe, legal and
sion of Russia,” I thought there was
2016 after arguing that Cana- For speaking his mind, begin with “sorry.” rare” to “anyone, anytime and for any
no way it would ever happen. It was
dian legislation amounted to “The impact risk in this case reason,” paid for by taxpayers and in-
the psychologist could is significant,” way too big an ask, even for God.
volving physicians irrespective of
“compelled speech” on gender the panel found, Lo and behold, it happened, ac-
their ethical or religious beliefs.
pronouns. Now the College of lose his license. because the comments “may KURT NEUMANN, M.D.
cording to Cyril Hovorun, an Ortho-
Psychologists of Ontario is de- cause harm.” It counseled Mr. dox monk and former private secre-
Bloomfield, Mich.
manding that Mr. Peterson ac- Peterson that coaching would tary and theological counselor to
knowledge he “lacked professionalism” in pub- help “mitigate any risks to the public.” The Col- Patriarch Kirill, head of the Russian
Orthodox Church. Mr. Hovorun claims
lic statements and undergo a “coaching lege of Psychologists declined to comment on
program” of remedial education. the case, citing confidentiality.
Taxes and Our Patriotic Duty that Mr. Putin and his ilk now “have
the mentality of crusaders, for whom
Maybe the new commissars missed Mr. Pe- Mr. Peterson responded sensibly: “Who ex- Politicians should recall the ruling
Ukraine is their Jerusalem.”
terson’s videos praising Aleksandr Solzheni- actly was harmed, how, when, to what degree, of Justice Learned Hand (“How Con-
I suppose God heard our prayers
tsyn, the man who said: “Live not by lies.” Mr. and how was that harm measured”? He says gress Cut Trump’s Taxes” by Jay Stark-
from 70 years ago. But I also now see
man, op-ed, Dec. 29): “Any one may so
Peterson won’t comply, and he says he’ll now there have been about a dozen formal com- how God acts in strange ways.
arrange his affairs that his taxes shall
face a disciplinary committee that could revoke plaints since 2017, each one demanding a formal be as low as possible; he is not bound
LAWRENCE G. KARCH
his license to practice. reply. One complainant cited Mr. Peterson’s Gainesville, Va.
to choose that pattern which will best
The College of Psychologists, the profession’s Twitter response to a critic worried about over- pay the Treasury; there is not even a
governing body in Ontario, appointed an investi- population: “You’re free to leave at any point.” patriotic duty to increase one’s taxes.”
gator in March to examine complaints about Mr. Mr. Peterson thinks the investigations aren’t NAFTALI REICH
Pepper ...
Peterson’s comments on Twitter and the popular about mitigating harm but preventing free ex- Lakewood, N.J. And Salt
Joe Rogan podcast. On Nov. 22, the College’s pression, and that “the process is the punish- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
panel released a decision. Per images provided ment,” giving online detractors an effective way
by Mr. Peterson, the panel ruled: “The comments to badger him. CORRECTION
at issue appear to undermine the public trust in Professional bodies are supposed to ensure
the profession as a whole, and raise questions that practitioners are competent, not enforce The Centers for Disease Control
about your ability to carry out your responsibili- political orthodoxies or act as language police and Prevention estimates that three-
ties as a psychologist.” outside the office. But that’s the trend in West- quarters of Covid virus circulating in
What are these comments? Calling Elliot ern medical associations and beyond. The Law Northeastern states is the XBB strain.
Page, the transgender actor, by his former Society of Ontario had pushed a mandatory di- This statistic was mischaracterized in
the Jan. 3 Life Science column.
name, “Ellen,” and the pronoun “her,” on Twit- versity pledge for all lawyers until a members’
ter. Calling an adviser to Prime Minister Justin revolt took over the board and nixed the pledge
Letters intended for publication should
Trudeau a “prik.” A sarcastic crack at anti- in 2019. At the time, an Ontario lawyer objected be emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
growth environmentalists for not caring that to the “ever-expanding mission to socially engi- include your city, state and telephone
their energy policies lead to more deaths of neer the profession.” number. All letters are subject to
poor Third World children. Sounds like an issue of id, ego and superego. editing, and unpublished letters cannot
be acknowledged.
Calling a former client “vindictive.” Objecting You could ask a psychologist about it. “Ready for the meeting?”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, January 5, 2023 | A15
OPINION
E
rights of listeners as well as
McCarthy lon Musk says the
Twitter Files prove a
speakers regardless of whether
the government was involved
profound and sys- in a particular individual’s be-
By Will Hurd tematic violation of ing censored.
I
the First Amend- If Twitter is no longer act-
t’s hard not to see the predica- ment. Commentators on the ing as a federal censorship
ment of Rep. Kevin McCarthy as left insist they’re a “nothing- field office, why wouldn’t such
a tragedy. A man who was her- burger.” This dispute ought to a class action by social-media
alded 15 years ago as a new brand be resolved in court. But how? users be moot like an individ-
of conservative leader, who set re- The wrong way would be ual lawsuit against the com-
cords for fundraising, and who more First Amendment law- pany? Because of Facebook,
helped get candidates elected all suits against Twitter by targets Google and other internet
over the country now has had to of censorship such as journal- companies. As Matt Taibbi re-
suffer through successive failures to ist Alex Berenson. Mr. Beren- ported, “the government was
become speaker of the House. son was suspended in 2021 for in constant contact not just
Mr. McCarthy was a co-author, disputing public-health ortho- with Twitter, but with every
with future Speaker Paul Ryan and doxy about Covid vaccines. Al- major tech firm.” There’s no
Majority Leader Eric Cantor, of though Twitter reinstated Mr. reason to think that has
“Young Guns: A New Generation of Berenson’s account before Mr. stopped. A class action against
MARTIN KOZLOWSKI
Conservative Leaders” (2010), which Musk took over the company, a federal defendants would seek
criticized earlier Republicans, par- judge dismissed the First to halt all government efforts
ticularly on matters of the federal Amendment claim without to use social-media companies
budget. They wrote that Republi- even allowing discovery, de- to achieve the censorship the
cans were “arrogant and out of claring it “implausible” that Constitution forbids.
touch” and suffered “failures from the federal government was The attorneys general of
high-profile ethics lapses to the in- heavily involved in the company’s have standing to bring suit. Agency, the Department of Home- Missouri and Louisiana have already
ability to rein in spending or even censorship decisions. That assump- Suing federal agents would pre- land Security and other federal jointly brought a similar lawsuit,
slow the growth of government.” tion was wrong. We now know that empt the claim that there was no agencies doing—inducing and en- and preliminary discovery has
federal agencies were deeply en- “state action.” The nub of the “noth- couraging Twitter to censor consti- added more evidence of federal in-
meshed in Twitter’s censorship, ingburger” argument is that the tutionally protected speech. volvement in censorship at all major
He’s very good at winning from high-level policy making to Twitter Files fail to show govern- The plaintiffs wouldn’t have to social-media companies. But a mo-
targeting specific posts. ment “coercion” and Twitter there- prove Twitter was a state actor. It tion to dismiss is pending in that
elections but doesn’t have But because of two recent devel- fore never became a state actor. wouldn’t even matter if Twitter had case, and it remains to be seen
what it takes to be a great opments, there are no real remedies That argument is wrong: A private rebuffed all the government’s cen- whether courts will find that state
available to a plaintiff in such a party can become a state actor sorship requests (which it didn’t). attorneys general have standing to
legislative leader. case. First, a Supreme Court deci- through voluntary joint action with Judge Richard Posner of the Seventh press these claims. A user class ac-
sion, Egbert v. Boule (2022), virtu- the government, which the Twitter U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals made tion would overcome this difficulty
ally guarantees that a plaintiff in Files richly detail. But a class action this point in Backpage.com v. Dart too.
Yet as a lawmaker, and in four these circumstances couldn’t re- against federal defendants would (2015): When a government official That no monetary damages lie
years as minority leader, Mr. McCar- cover monetary damages. Second, avoid the entire question. They’re unconstitutionally attempts to in- waiting explains why plaintiff class-
thy showed no particular legislative Mr. Musk’s takeover of Twitter pre- obviously state actors. duce a private company not to carry action firms aren’t lining up to
interests and had no signature cludes injunctive relief. If the com- someone else’s speech, the official’s bring this litigation. But that
achievements. He would have been pany no longer works with federal conduct “is actionable and can be shouldn’t deter intrepid public-in-
the perfect Republican National agents to censor speech and is wel- File a class action against enjoined” even if the company “ig- terest lawyers who still believe in
Committee chairman, a job that’s coming back the past targets of nores it.” the First Amendment, few though
concerned only with building the such censorship, there’s nothing to federal agents seeking an A class action would eliminate they may be. (And if the plaintiffs
party and winning elections. As a enjoin. injunction against social- another roadblock. Some free- prevail in a civil-rights case, their
leader in Congress, he needed to Instead, Twitter users—including speech cases against social-media lawyers are entitled to attorney fees
demonstrate that he could effec- but not limited to those targeted for media censorship efforts. companies have been dismissed on at market rates.)
tively legislate and govern as well. censorship—should bring a class ac- the ground that the individual plain- Let’s hope that proves incentive
Winning elections is the first step tion against the government agents tiffs couldn’t show that the govern- enough. The internet, as the Su-
to good governance. Effective policy involved in the censorship. And as the Supreme Court held in ment had targeted them or their preme Court has said, is the modern
and legislation is the next. Too The First Amendment protects Norwood v. Harrison (1973), it is an posts in particular. A class action public square. The freedom of
many politicians have forgotten not only speakers but also consum- “axiomatic” principle of constitu- escapes this difficulty. It might tar- speech can’t survive in this country
over the past decade that good pol- ers, listeners and viewers. As the tional law that the government get the CDC’s successful effort to if the government is free to work
icy is good politics. An effective high court held in Virginia Board “may not induce, encourage or pro- get Twitter to adopt policies ban- with tech companies to control what
lawmaker or statesman has to focus of Pharmacy v. Virginia Citizens mote private persons to accomplish ning posts arguing that children can be said or seen in that square.
on more than the X’s and O’s of Consumer Council (1976), when what it is constitutionally forbidden didn’t need Covid-19 vaccines or ob-
elections. speakers are muzzled, their in- to accomplish.” That’s exactly what serving that the government’s own Mr. Rubenfeld is a professor at
Mr. McCarthy repeatedly tried to tended audience suffers a First the Twitter Files show officials from data show the shots don’t prevent Yale Law School and a First Amend-
placate bomb throwers in his own Amendment violation too. Twitter the Federal Bureau of Investigation, infection or transmission. These pol- ment lawyer. He has advised numer-
party, who were never going to be users, even those who weren’t cen- the Centers for Disease Control and icies denied all users important in- ous clients who have been censored
happy with anything less than com- sored themselves, would therefore Prevention, the Central Intelligence formation and opinions and thereby online.
plete capitulation. He bent over
backward to please a vocal minority
while taking for granted that the
reasonable majority of his party
would remain loyal. He even exhib-
Will Climate Change Really Put New York Underwater?
ited such on the eve of the speaker- By Steven E. Koonin Goodbye New York? Despite this, the recent NASA re-
30-year Battery sea level rise, December 1922-October 2022
A
ship vote. Instead of staying firm port echoes a February National
and backing the wishes of the ratio- recent National Aeronautics 13 inches
NASA
? Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-
12
nal wing of the party, he caved in to and Space Administration re- 11
prediction tration report predicting more than
the demands of his opposition on is- port yet again raises alarm 10 1 foot of rise at the Battery by
sues like making it easier to “vacate that New Yorkers are about to be in- 9 2050. Such a rise during the com-
the chair”—the legislative process undated by rapidly rising seas. But a 8 ing 30 years would be more than
to remove the speaker. He was will- review of the data suggests that 7 double the rise over the past 30
ing to weaken the speakership to such warnings need to be taken with 6 years and more than triple the past
win it. If he’d spent more time more than a few grains of sea salt. 5
century’s average. Even more re-
4
working with rational lawmakers to The record of sea level measured Oct markably, the NOAA report says
3
get like-minded candidates elected, at the southern tip of Manhattan, 2
2022 this rise will happen regardless of
he wouldn’t have ended up in this known as the Battery, begins in 1
Dec future greenhouse-gas emissions.
1922
position. 1856. It shows that today’s waters 0 There is no way of knowing if this
The most glaring example of his are 19 inches higher than they were 1920 ‘30 ‘40 ‘50 ‘60 ‘70 ‘80 ‘90 2000 ‘10 ‘20
Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
‘30 ‘40 ‘50 prediction is correct.
appeasement: On the afternoon of 166 years ago, rising an average of So while New Yorkers should
Jan. 6, 2021, Mr. McCarthy report- 3.5 inches every 30 years. The geo- much sea level rose during the 30 through the Earth’s climate system. watch the waters around them,
edly spoke honestly to President logic record shows that this rise be- years prior to each year since 1920. The 30-year rises in the latter half there is no need to dash to higher
Trump about the rioters in the Capi- gan some 20,000 years ago as the That rise has varied between 1.5 and of the 20th century were diminished ground. The Battery’s sea level
tol: “They’re trying to f— kill me!” A 6 inches. The 5-inch rise over the by about an inch due to the filling of hasn’t done anything in recent de-
few weeks later, to get back into Mr. most recent 30 years is higher than reservoirs behind dams and changes cades that it hasn’t done over the
Trump’s good graces, he changed NOAA says the city’s sea the centurylong average but isn’t in groundwater around the world. past century. And although we’ll
his tune and went to Mar-a-Lago “to unprecedented and shows no sign of The Battery’s sea level also de- have to wait three decades to test
make peace with the ex-president,” level will rise a foot by increasing. pends on local changes in the sea the predicted 1-foot rise, measure-
as he told his colleagues. 2050, but there are too As the Earth warms, changes in and the sinking of the land. Most ments over the next decade should
Mr. McCarthy was only one of sea level at the Battery will depend important is the natural variability tell us how quickly we’ll need to
many Republicans who hitched their many variables to know. in part on global changes. These in- of winds, currents such as the Gulf raise the seawalls.
wagons to Mr. Trump. But the for- clude the loss of ice from mountain Stream, salinity and temperatures of
mer president has repeatedly shown glaciers, Greenland and Antarctica the North Atlantic, which cause Mr. Koonin is a professor at New
that he is a loser with a base that last great glaciers melted, causing as well as the ocean’s expansion as variations in sea level along the en- York University, a senior fellow at
never grows, and that trusting him the New York coastline to move in- it warms. It’s very difficult to pre- tire U.S. Northeast coast. Because of Stanford’s Hoover Institution, and
is a fool’s errand. By following him, land more than 50 miles. dict these changes—many factors in- these many variables, climate mod- author of “Unsettled: What Climate
Republicans lost the House in 2018, There is no question that sea fluence ice loss, and the oceans ab- els can’t account for the ups and Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t,
the White House in 2020, and the level at the Battery will continue to sorb only 0.25% of the heat flowing downs so evident in the graph. and Why It Matters.”
Senate in 2020 and again in 2022. rise in coming decades, if only be-
He was a major contributing factor cause the land has been steadily
in preventing a red wave last year. sinking about 2 inches every 30
The result was a House majority so
slender that a few extremists had
years because of factors including
tectonic motion, rebound from the
Notable & Quotable: Gov. Ron DeSantis
the power to deny the speakership mass of the glaciers, and local subsi- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, in his parents to partisan interest groups. dom and stunted commerce.
to the man Mr. Trump once called dence. Rather, the question is second-term inaugural address, They have imposed medical author- It has recklessly facilitated open
“my Kevin.” whether growing human influences Jan. 3: itarianism in the guise of pandemic borders: making a mockery of the
on the climate will cause sea level to mandates and restrictions that lack rule of law, allowing massive
Mr. Hurd, a Republican, repre- rise more rapidly. To judge that, we It is often said that our federalist a scientific basis. amounts of narcotics to infest our
sented Texas’ 23rd Congressional can compare recent rates of rise constitutional system—with 50 This bizarre, but prevalent, ideol- states, importing criminal aliens,
District, 2017-21. He is author of with those in the past, when human states able to pursue their own ogy that permeates these policy mea- and green-lighting the flow of mil-
“American Reboot: An Idealist’s influences were much smaller. unique policies—represents a labo- sures purports to act in the name of lions of illegal aliens into our coun-
Guide to Getting Big Things Done.” The nearby chart shows how ratory of democracy. Well, these justice for the marginalized, but it try, burdening communities and tax-
last few years have witnessed a frowns upon American institutions, it payers throughout the land.
great test of governing philosophies rejects merit and achievement, and it It has imposed an energy policy
as many jurisdictions pursued a advocates identity essentialism. that has crippled our nation’s domes-
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY much different path than we have We reject this woke ideology. We tic production, causing energy to cost
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson pursued here in the state of Florida. seek normalcy, not philosophical lu- more for our citizens and eroding our
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp The policies pursued by these nacy! We will not allow reality, nation’s energy security, and, in the
Matt Murray Almar Latour states have sparked a mass exodus facts, and truth to become optional. process, our national security.
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher
of productive Americans from these We will never surrender to the It wields its authority through a
Karen Miller Pensiero, Managing Editor DOW JONES MANAGEMENT: jurisdictions—with Florida serving woke mob. Florida is where woke sprawling, unaccountable and out-of-
Jason Anders, Deputy Editor in Chief Daniel Bernard, Chief Experience Officer; as the most desired destination, a goes to die! touch bureaucracy that does not act
Neal Lipschutz, Deputy Editor in Chief Mae M. Cheng, SVP, Barron’s Group; David Cho,
Barron’s Editor in Chief; Jason P. Conti, General
promised land of sanity. Now Florida’s success has been on behalf of us, but instead looms
Thorold Barker, Europe; Elena Cherney, News; Many of these cities and states made more difficult by the flounder- over us and imposes its will upon us.
Andrew Dowell, Asia; Brent Jones, Culture, Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer; Dianne DeSevo,
Training & Outreach; Alex Martin, Print & Chief People Officer; Frank Filippo, EVP, Business have embraced faddish ideology at ing federal establishment in Wash- The results of this have been pre-
Writing; Michael W. Miller, Features & Weekend; Information & Services, Operations; Robert Hayes, the expense of enduring principles. ington, D.C. dictably dismal. This has caused
Emma Moody, Standards; Shazna Nessa, Visuals; Chief Business Officer, New Ventures; They have harmed public safety by The federal government has many to be pessimistic about the
Elizabeth O’Melia, Chief Financial Officer;
Matthew Rose, Enterprise; Michael Siconolfi,
Josh Stinchcomb, EVP & Chief Revenue Officer,
coddling criminals and attacking gone on an inflationary spending country’s future. Some say that fail-
Investigations; Amanda Wills, Video
WSJ | Barron’s Group; Jennifer Thurman, Chief law enforcement. They have im- binge that has left our nation ure is inevitable.
Paul A. Gigot Communications Officer; Sherry Weiss, Chief posed unreasonable burdens on weaker and our citizens poorer, it Florida is proof positive that We
Editor of the Editorial Page Marketing Officer taxpayers to finance unfathomable has enacted pandemic restrictions the People are not destined for fail-
Gerard Baker, Editor at Large
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS:
levels of public spending. They and mandates—based more on ide- ure. Decline is a choice. Success is
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 have harmed education by subordi- ology and politics than on sound attainable. And freedom is worth
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES nating the interests of students and science—and this has eroded free- fighting for.
A16 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 ***** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
RONEN ZVULUN/REUTERS
ture and investing in Jewish by the Palestinian Authority, the settlements, but they are
settlements in the territory. which was created in the subject to Israeli civil law and
“We will lead the develop- 1990s as part of a peace pro- can vote in national elections.
ment, formalization and cess aimed at solving the Is- For Palestinians, the Israeli army
strengthening of our grip in raeli-Palestinian conflict. The administers everything. They
these areas of our homeland, peace process between the can’t vote in Israeli elections.
Judea and Samaria,” Beza- New Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich wants Israel to formally annex the occupied territories.
lel Smotrich said as the new
government was sworn in last tinian Authority’s ambassador panding normalization to opposed, including the U.S. the United States, we must through the military process.
week, using the biblical name to the U.K. “This is a stab in the Saudi Arabia. Mr. Netanyahu called the promote sovereignty de facto,” “The army isn’t meant to han-
for the West Bank. heart of the whole idea of a Blurring the distinction be- decision “despicable” and a vi- the party’s 2021 platform said. dle civil affairs, so citizens re-
Members of the Religious two-state negotiated solution tween Israel and the West olation of the Jewish people’s As part of a coalition agree- ceive far-worse services.”
Zionism party—many hailing sponsored by the United States.” Bank could make it increas- right to the territory. ment with Mr. Netanyahu, Mr. Mr. Tal didn’t respond to
from Israel’s West Bank settle- Mr. Smotrich’s vision for the ingly difficult for Israeli lead- Mr. Smotrich, who declined Smotrich was given control of questions about which body
ments—form a critical bloc in West Bank underscores the ers to argue that Israel’s occu- interview requests, advocates an Israeli military body that would respond to similar Pal-
Prime Minister Benjamin Ne- challenges Mr. Netanyahu will pation is temporary, said for Israel to one day formally regulates planning for both estinian requests.
tanyahu’s new government face as he tries to hold to- Pnina Sharvit-Baruch, who for- annex the occupied territory settlements and Palestinian Israeli settlers say even
and now control posts that gether a solidly right-wing gov- merly led the Israeli army’s in- without giving its 2.6 million construction in parts of the though they pay taxes like
oversee key elements of Is- ernment and maintain good re- ternational law department. Palestinian residents full polit- West Bank where Israel main- other Israeli citizens, they re-
rael’s presence there. lations with the U.S., Europe “Even if there’s no de jure ical rights, which left-wing Is- tains civilian control. Mr. Ne- ceive spotty cellular access,
Their aim is to pave the and Arab allies, all of whom op- annexation, merely a de facto raeli critics say would mean tanyahu said he has veto drive on poorer roads and face
way for a million more Jewish pose annexation. The Biden ad- one, it will become harder and the end of Israeli democracy. power over any changes Mr. additional bureaucracy be-
settlers and to gradually elimi- ministration has said it would harder to expect support even Religious Zionism said in its Smotrich plans to make. cause of the geopolitical sensi-
nate any differences between fight any attempt at annexation from our allies in this,” Col. platform that the process of A key move will be to grad- tivities of the West Bank.
life in the settlements and under the new government. Sharvit-Baruch said. slowly changing the reality in ually transfer authority cur- “We want to be treated like
within Israel’s internationally Mr. Netanyahu has pledged The United Nations General the West Bank is meant to skirt rently held by the military other citizens, with the same
recognized borders. Their ulti- not to annex the West Bank, Assembly voted on Friday for U.S. opposition to the formal body, which is led by an Israeli rights, just like anyone in
mate goal, they say, is to fore- but his new government’s ef- the International Court of Jus- Israeli annexation of the sensi- general, to civilian ministries, Ra’anana or Herzliya, and
close the possibility of a fu- forts to expand Israeli author- tice to issue an advisory opin- tive territory, which Washing- Religious Zionism lawmaker that’s not the situation today,”
ture Palestinian state. ity over the territory is likely ion on whether Israeli policies ton hopes will be the heart of a Ohad Tal said. said Hananel Dorani, an Israeli
“The difference now is the to test his relationship with on the ground have changed future Palestinian state. For example, Mr. Tal said if settler leader from Kedumim,
absolute clarity of this Israeli the U.S. It could also harm one the legal status of its occupa- “Since declaring sover- a settler wants a permit to naming wealthy cities within
government’s public policy,” of Mr. Netanyahu’s most-ambi- tion. Some 87 countries voted eignty over the entire area close off their porch, they Israel’s internationally recog-
said Husam Zomlot, the Pales- tious foreign-policy goals: ex- for the resolution and 26 were will encounter opposition from must submit an application nized borders.
ROME—Pope Francis has who stressed his esteem for his cial moments, even Pope Fran- frained from criticizing his on Saturday, the day of the re-
been the leader of the Catholic predecessor, had an interest in cis accepted this contribution successor in public, which may tired pope’s death, though re-
Church for almost 10 years, but avoiding explicit disagreement. of his predecessor, as when he have exerted a restraining in- corded months earlier.
he has been the only pope in According to Cardinal Jo- defended the priestly celibacy fluence on some of his conser- Although Benedict is gone,
the Vatican just since Saturday. seph Zen, a former bishop of of the Roman Church.” vative followers, an influence he could still pose a challenge
The death of Pope Benedict Hong Kong who has been criti- Pope Francis is now also now lifted with his death. to Pope Francis and his allies
XVI after a decade in retire- cal of the current pope’s rap- freer to establish a protocol for Already, one of the late in the realm of ideas. Bene-
ment has ended an extraordi- prochement with China, Bene- retired popes, to make it pope’s closest confidants has dict’s death and the commem-
nary arrangement that helped dict was a restraining influence clearer that there is only one confirmed that Benedict pri- orations around it could be
define the current pontificate. on Pope Francis on more than pontiff at a time, according to vately disapproved of Pope the occasion for renewed pub-
While Pope Francis has taken one occasion. In particular, he the Rev. Thomas Reese, author Francis’ 2021 decision to im- lic interest in his teaching,
a markedly different tack than cites the decision by Pope of the book “Inside the Vati- pose restrictions on the use of some of which is notably at
his predecessor, he may feel Francis in 2020 not to make it can.” Critics on both left and the traditional Latin Mass, variance with that of Pope
even freer to do so now. easier to ordain married men right have said clearer rules are which largely undid Benedict’s Francis, said Sandro Magister,
Benedict’s presence was a as priests, after Benedict de- necessary to avoid confusion lifting of restrictions in 2007. who writes about the Vatican
reassuring sign to many con- fended the tradition of clerical about the church’s leadership. “It hit him pretty hard. Pope for Italy’s L’Espresso maga-
servatives of continuity in celibacy in his contribution to Pope Francis at the Vatican “He could not do it while Benedict read [Francis’ decree] zine.
church leadership, and hence a book on the subject. Benedict was alive, because it with pain in his heart, because “Francis can’t free himself
of support for Pope Francis. “Someone said that Pope Church, a Pope Emeritus, like would have been seen as a his intention had been to help from the legacy of his prede-
That made Benedict’s occa- Benedict, after his resignation, every bishop and cardinal as criticism of Benedict and those who simply found a cessor, even if now his prede-
sional public statements all the should have kept quiet and not long as he has breath and is of would have been seen as de- home in the old Mass to find cessor is no longer alive, be-
more influential, especially created confusion in the sound mind, must fulfill his meaning if the retired pope inner peace,” Archbishop cause this legacy remains
when they indicated diver- Church. It seems to me quite duty as Successor of the Apos- had been told to stop wearing Georg Gänswein, Benedict’s alive, insofar as his heirs know
gence with the current pope’s the opposite: precisely be- tles to defend the sound tradi- white, not call himself pope private secretary, told a web- how to interpret and apply it,”
approach on matters including cause there is confusion in the tion of the Church,” Cardinal and return to his baptismal site affiliated with the German Mr. Magister said.
WORLD WATCH
AUSTRALIA MYANMAR
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some potentially very good riod afterward, for an aver- Joshua Sussberg, a lawyer While the demand slump
news. age of six years. That is a for Cineworld, owner of Regal poses challenges for the com-
The bad news was that, huge investment, especially Cinemas, told Judge Marvin pany, Mr. Han said Samsung
no, you can’t have all your into a fund with fees—1.25% Isgur of the U.S. Bankruptcy planned to overcome current
money back right now. So a year and 12.5% of profit— Court in Houston on Wednes- market challenges by fortifying
many other people tried to set for small private inves- day that the company’s re- its integration of connected de-
withdraw in December that tors, not major institutions. structuring effort since its vices and related software, an
the 5% quarterly cap will But it isn’t a pure vote of bankruptcy filing in Septem- Cineworld’s Regal Cinema in Chicago. area in which it has previously
limit the amount that comes confidence: Blackstone will ber is hindered by the lacklus- lagged behind rivals such as Ap-
out until March, assuming use as much as $1 billion to ter box-office performance. on the dollar as of December, As it entered the fifth ple Inc.
everyone renews their with- pay UC Investments if it In addition, there haven’t Mr. Sussberg said. month in bankruptcy, Cin- “A crisis usually creates a
drawal requests. Please turn to page B11 been many blockbusters be- Cineworld attributed the eworld is boosting its efforts new opportunity. When every-
cause the pandemic disrupted difficult restructuring process for a swift exit from chapter thing’s stable, it’s hard to shake
film production. to an industry transition as 11, including selling itself to a up the market order,” Mr. Han
A
AES..............................B3
Alphabet......................B3
H
Hamilton Lane..........B11
Hong Kong Exchanges
ReNew Energy Global
.....................................B3
Robinhood ................... B2
GE HealthCare Ends First Day
Amazon.com
............. B1,B2,B3,B4,B12
AMC Entertainment...B1
Apple....................A7,B11
and Clearing............B11
HP................................B2
Hyundai.......................A2
I
Roku ............................ B3
S
Salesforce.......A2,B1,B12
Samsung Electronics..B1
Of Trading With $27.5 Billion Value
Archer Aviation .......... B3
International Business Siemens Gamesa BY THOMAS GRYTA sions: jet engines, natural-gas- trade on the New York Stock months of 2022, GE Health-
B Machines...................B4 Renewable Energy....B3 powered turbines and wind Exchange, rose 5.9% to $70.20, Care reported revenue of $13.4
BlackRock..................B12 Silvergate Capital.......B2 General Electric Co. com- turbines. The gas and wind giving it a market capitaliza- billion, up 3% from the previ-
K Solv Energy.................B3
Blackstone...........B1,B12
Kohler..........................B4 pleted the spinoff of its turbines are expected to be tion of roughly $76.7 billion. ous year. Earnings fell to $1.4
ByteDance...................B4 Stellantis.....................B3
L healthcare business, which be- combined with other GE en- The stock had closed Tuesday billion from $1.7 billion as ex-
C T
gan trading Wednesday as GE ergy businesses into a new near $85 a share before ad- penses increased.
Lyft..............................B2 Tesla.....................A2,B11
Cineworld....................B1 HealthCare Technologies Inc. company called GE Vernova justing for the split, with a After the GE HealthCare
Coinbase Global..........B2 M Toyota Motor..............A1
Twitter ...................... B12 GE HealthCare, which that will split off in early market cap of about $91 bil- split, most investor attention
Comcast.......................B3 Meta Platforms
.................. A1,B1,B2,B12 U makes MRI machines and 2024. The three-way split, lion. will remain on Aerospace, said
F other hospital equipment, now first announced in the fall of GE Chief Executive Larry David Giroux, chief investment
Microsoft ............... B2,B3 UBS............................B12
Ford Motor..................A1 trades on Nasdaq under the 2021, follows years of restruc- Culp says the spinoffs will officer of T. Rowe Price Invest-
Fox.............................B10 N United Airlines............B3
Freddie Mac................A2 Netflix.......................B12 V ticker symbol “GEHC.” The turing. bring more focus and account- ment Management Inc., which
G News Corp.................B10 Verizon Communications stock ended its first day of “Once they are separate ability to the business he has held 2.1% of the GE shares out-
Nissan Motor..............A2 ...................................B12 trading Wednesday at $60.49 they will get a new set of in- revamped since 2018. Mr. Culp standing at the end of Septem-
GE HealthCare
Technologies.............B2 P-R Vimeo..........................B1 a share, giving the newly pub- vestors,” said Scott Davis, an plans to stay on as CEO of GE ber.
General Electric .......... B2 Paramount Global.......A3 W lic company a market capital- industrial analyst and CEO of Aerospace, the biggest and “Whatever is left, more
General Motors...........A1 PG&E...........................A3 Wells Fargo.................B4 ization of around $27.5 billion, Melius Research. He said over- most profitable unit. than 80% of the enterprise
according to Nasdaq’s website. all investor interest in GE has GE issued GE HealthCare value is going to be aero-
The separation is a key step been low going into the shares to existing sharehold- space,” he said. “There is a
INDEX TO PEOPLE in the breakup of the indus-
trial giant, which leaves the
breakup, but the spinoffs may
change that.
ers and will retain about 20%
equity in the spinoff.
very powerful recovery story
in the core aerospace business
conglomerate with three divi- GE’s own shares, which Through the first nine over the next five years.”
A Giroux, David .............. B2 N
Aguzin, Nicolas.........B11 Hollis, Jack..................A2 Naidoo, Shamla...........B4
Huth, Mandy...............B4
B P
Bankman-Fried, Sam..B2
Benioff, Marc.......B1,B12
Bojar, Grzegorz...........B4
I
Ielpo, Florian.............B11
J
Parker, Randy ............. A2
Patel, Dylan.................B2
R
Amazon
Butterfield, Stewart...B2
C
Culp, Larry...................B2
Jassy, Andy...............B11
Jong-hee, Han.............B1
K
Ray, John III................B2
S
Schmidt, Stephen.......B4
To Lay Off
D
Davis, Scott ................ B2
Dorsey, Jack................B1
Kilburg, Jeff................B1
Krosby, Quincy............B1
Kye-hyun, Kyung.........B2
Seshadri, Sunil............B4
Sidberry, Demetrius
...................................B11
18,000
Duy, Tim......................A2 L Sinha, Sumant............B3
Sud, Anjali .................. B1
E Li, Charles.................B11 Continued from page B1
M T
Espinasse, Philippe...B11 with a large percentage of them
Tavares, Carlos ........... B3
F Mahoney, Ken.............B1
Taylor, Bret..........B2,B12 in its warehouses. The layoffs
Mawston, Neil ............ B2
Frick, Robert...............A2
Moreno, Leonardo.......B3 W-Z are concentrated in the com-
G-H Murdoch, Rupert.......B10 Wheeler, Judy.............A2 pany’s corporate ranks, some of
Gallagher, Donny ........ B4 Musk, Elon..................B1 Zuckerberg, Mark ....... B1 the people said.
Amazon was one of the big-
gest beneficiaries of the
eral Bureau of Investigation vergate being the subject of at Prices of memory chips, Sam- ware capabilities to augment the
also filed an affidavit with a least four class-action lawsuits sung’s main source of income, use of its products, they said.
New York federal court in or- brought by FTX creditors and have plunged due to a supply In recent years, Samsung has
der to seize FTX funds. Silvergate shareholders. glut and as worldwide ship- struggled against rival Apple to
Meanwhile, court-appointed Silvergate said the liquida- ments of smartphones and other defend its share of the market
liquidators in the Bahamas have tors could aI have asked for con- electronic goods have con- for premium smartphones,
been attempting to recover re- sensual access instead of at- tracted. where a majority of the indus-
maining funds inside bank ac- tempting to obtain it through a Mr. Han, a veteran of Sam- try’s profits are generated. Ap-
counts in the U.S., some of court order. “Silvergate, having sung’s television business, took The executive hopes the downturn will ease in the second half. ple has built up an exclusive
which were frozen after the ex- repeatedly confirmed that the the helm of the company’s ecosystem of connected prod-
change’s collapse. However, fed- accounts had been frozen, vigor- newly combined smartphone each product unit to work on the item according to the in- ucts and services that helps at-
eral authorities pre-empted ously disputes the implications and consumer-electronics divi- improving users’ experiences on structions. tract new consumers and ad-
some of that dispute and seized that the funds are, in any way, sion in a shake-up in December multiple devices, said Mr. Han. Mr. Han’s bet, if successful, vance customer retention.
at least some of the disputed at risk of loss,” the bank wrote. 2021. He has made a series of The team’s office includes rooms would help increase consumer Should Samsung successfully
changes. Samsung’s other co- mimicking real homes and other demand and brand loyalty for develop an Apple-like ecosystem
CEO, Kyung Kye-hyun, heads its spaces where connected devices Samsung’s lineup of phones, TVs of well-connected devices and
Coinbase to Pay duct, including possible money semiconductors and compo- are tested and developed across and appliances as it looks to services, it could double the
laundering. “It is critical that all nents division. many scenarios. profit margin of Samsung’s con-
$50 Million Penalty financial institutions safeguard For years, Samsung staffers Mr. Han said the goal is to sumer tech businesses in the
their systems from bad actors,” from different units of the con- make devices of Samsung and long run, said Neil Mawston, ex-
Superintendent of Financial Ser- sumer tech business largely its partnered brands operate in
‘A crisis usually ecutive director for global wire-
Cryptocurrency exchange vices Adrienne Harris said. worked in silos and were moti- the most hassle-free manner creates a new less practice at TechInsights Inc.
Coinbase agreed to pay a $50 Paul Grewal, chief legal offi- vated to give priority to the in- possible, with the enabling tech Today, Samsung leads the
million penalty to New York cer at Coinbase, said in a state- terests of their own business running quietly in the back-
opportunity,’ says global smartphone market by
state’s Department of Financial ment that Coinbase “has taken units—a process that motivated ground, something he calls Han Jong-hee. overall shipments, but Apple
Services to settle accusations substantial measures to address internal competition but hin- “calm technology.” dominates the premium smart-
that it allowed customers to these historical shortcomings.” dered efforts to develop prod- For now, Samsung smart- phone market. Over the past
open accounts without conduct- The company “remains commit- ucts that could seamlessly work phone users can time a washer two years, Apple’s share of the
ing sufficient background checks. ted to being a leader and role with each other. Now, Mr. Han to finish its cycle for when they ward off growing competition market for premium smart-
The settlement also will re- model in the crypto space, in- said, they are aligned under the return home and turn on the from rivals, said Dylan Patel, phones priced over $600 has
quire Coinbase to invest $50 cluding partnering with regula- singular goal of “what’s the best music on a Samsung TV, with chief analyst at SemiAnalysis, a risen by roughly 10 percentage
million into its compliance pro- tors when it comes to compli- device and method to enable a the stereos automatically light- tech-industry consulting firm. points to 77% as of 2022, while
gram over the next two years. ance,” he added. certain connected feature in the ing up in sync with the beat. A Samsung sells nearly half a bil- Samsung’s share has fallen by
The DFS said Coinbase had Coinbase shares added 12% most effortless, user-friendly user can also scan the bar code lion devices around the world about 5 percentage points to
made itself vulnerable to being Wednesday. way?” on a packet of frozen hot dogs annually. 16%, according to Counterpoint
used for serious criminal con- —Vicky Ge Huang Samsung created an umbrella using a smartphone, and Sam- Analysts say differentiating Research, a tech-market re-
team staffed with workers from sung’s microwave will heat up smartphones through new de- searcher.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. ** Thursday, January 5, 2023 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
ARCHER AVIATION
factory the aviation company over the past two years Chrysler Automobiles NV in
plans to build in Georgia. through special-purpose ac- January 2021, said it intends
The Netherlands-based auto quisition companies, or SPACs. to spend $35 billion in the
maker also plans to provide up Archer has said its goal is to coming years on new battery-
to $150 million in equity capi- deploy 6,000 aircraft by 2030. Stellantis aims to be the exclusive maker of Archer Aviation’s Midnight, an electric-flying taxi. powered models and manufac-
tal to Archer and aims to be The aviation company’s turing capabilities.
the company’s exclusive con- first model, the Midnight, is nies have been developing and Archer expects to gain cer- shares closed up 9.3%. The car company said it
tract manufacturer for the designed to carry up to five testing vehicles but need to tification by the end of 2024 Stellantis aims to provide aims to have electric vehicles
forthcoming aircraft, which passengers, including the pi- secure approval from regula- and start commercial opera- Archer with the personnel, represent half of its sales in
can take off and land vertically lot, and take short-distance tors before they or customers tions afterward, the company’s manufacturing expertise and North America by 2030. At the
like a helicopter. trips of about 20 miles with a that purchase the aircraft CEO has said. capital to support production at same time, Stellantis has
The move is an unusual one 10-minute charging time in be- launch commercial service. In Archer’s stock has struggled the factory in Georgia, which is scaled back manufacturing
for the auto industry, which tween, Archer has said. United the U.S., the Federal Aviation since going public in September scheduled to open in 2024. ambitions in China, having
has largely stuck with ven- Airlines Holdings Inc. has Administration has been ex- 2021, with shares down roughly The two companies said the faced stiff domestic competi-
tures that involve ground backed Archer, agreeing last amining aircraft, working on 80% through Tuesday’s partnership would help Archer tion and complications with a
transportation and vehicles fall to pay a $10 million de- pilot requirements and looking close. Following the announce- meet its plans to commercial- local partner that built and
with wheels, rather than pro- posit on a 100-aircraft order. into how to integrate planned ment of the manufacturing ize its aircraft and avoid distributed Jeep SUVs in the
pellers. Electric-flying-taxi compa- vehicles into the airspace. plans Wednesday, Archer’s spending hundreds of millions country.
by building wind and solar able energy all the time would tric distribution companies are
farms capable of producing as require so much battery stor- struggling to handle mis- Roku said it will have increased control over its branded TVs.
much as three times the age that it isn’t economically matches between power de-
amount of power it had con- amount of solar- and wind- feasible at this time, says Mr. mand and supply as the
tracted to deliver—all in dif- generation in the power mix. Moreno. amount of wind and solar has
ferent parts of the country and In the U.S., for instance, Vir- Many renewables develop- grown to around 12% of the
knit together with sophisti- ginia-based power company ers are combining batteries country’s generation. When
cated software. AES Corp. is selling 24-hour with solar farms to let them the sun and wind are strong,
The project, which is sched- renewable-power contracts to store some energy during the those projects can produce a
uled to come online early this big corporations that are try- day, when the sun is shining, lot of electricity, but over the
year, is expected to perform ing to slash the amount of car- power production is at its peak course of the year, they might
more like coal or gas plants, bon emissions associated with and electricity prices tend to generate only 30% or less of
which utilities count on to de- their electricity use, says Leo- be lower. They discharge that their full capacity.
liver a reliable amount of nardo Moreno, president of power in the evening, when In 2019, the government
power when consumers need the company’s clean-energy solar supply falls but demand tried solving that problem by
it, says Sumant Sinha, ReNew’s business unit. for electricity, along with requesting bids for as much as
CEO. For the first such deal, prices, is high, says Donny Gal- 400 megawatts in renewable
“That is making it easier for signed in 2021 with Google, lagher, vice president of engi- energy that would produce at
[Indian utilities] to absorb AES pledged to build enough neering at Solv Energy LLC, least 80% of its full capacity
more renewable energy,” he new renewable-energy genera- one of the biggest builders of annually and 70% monthly—
says. tion to power the Alphabet large-scale solar installations the closest India had come to
Building the additional ca- Inc. unit’s Virginia data centers in the U.S. round-the-clock power from
pacity is expensive, with the for 90% of the hours con- That kind of strategy is es- sources such as wind and so-
total project cost at around tracted. To do that, AES pecially important in states lar. The government also in-
$1.2 billion. To help pull in crunched numbers on thou- such as California, where solar cluded steep penalties for
more revenue, ReNew plans to sands of configurations of in 2021 comprised around one- missing those targets.
B4 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 ** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
WSJ PRO
ing moves so far, chief infor- resources and technology. cuts, said Grzegorz Bojar, chief justified in each budgetary pe- additional resources that you
mation security officers say. Shamla Naidoo, global chief information officer at Polskie riod. That would force security have to manage,” she said.
“Security is a function information security officer at Sieci Elektroenergetyczne departments to look where Even large, established
that’s nonnegotiable in many International Business Ma- SA, the operator of Poland’s they most effectively deploy companies with the financial
places. At least to some ex-
tent, the business understands
chines Corp. until July 2021,
said there wasn’t much over-
electricity-transmission sys-
tem.
resources.
“The reality is that when
muscle to expand security
teams, and which plan to do
CYBERSECURITY
that you can’t take that out,” sight of security spending in “Nobody is so brave to save you’re facing recessionary so in 2023, say they face un- wsj.com/pro/cybersecurity
said Mandy Huth, vice presi- recent years, as boards lacked money on that now,” he said, type threats, and you’re facing certainty.
Dakota’s second-largest city has eos Americans watch on the The group describes itself as
gone the other way. app. TikTok says it would re- independent. The report con-
Rapid City’s city council fuse such an order. cluded that TikTok didn’t pose
voted 8-1 earlier this week to In Rapid City, Councilman a serious security threat. Other
kill a proposal that would have Jason Salamun said he intro- researchers have reached the
banned access to TikTok on city duced the proposal for the city- opposite conclusion.
devices and networks. The ban government ban after watching Ms. Armstrong shared the
also would have prohibited city federal leaders and the South report with fellow council
agencies from using the app. Dakota governor take similar members, including Ritchie
The vote gives TikTok an action. “If you know about a Nordstrom. He said he spent
early, albeit small, legislative threat, and you don’t bring it hours researching the topic and
victory as politicians and gov- forward, it would be negligent,” reached the same conclusion.
ernors move to enact restric- The app owned by China-based ByteDance has been scrutinized over national-security concerns. Mr. Salamun, a potential candi- “We just kept coming back
tions—or threaten to do so— date in the city’s mayoral elec- to: ‘There’s no evidence on
across the country. TikTok has national security concerns that matter at Tuesday’s city-council force TikTok’s owner, Beijing- tion in June, said Wednesday. this,’ ” Ms. Armstrong said.
roughly 100 million American many American officials have meeting. based ByteDance Ltd., to sell Mr. Salamun was the sole coun- “I’m not a huge fan of the Chi-
users, many of them young. raised about the Chinese- TikTok still faces much big- the app to a U.S. company. And cil member who voted in sup- nese government, but to get
That popularity threatens to owned app. ger challenges in Washington. a bipartisan group of Congress port of the ban. sucked into what I deem as me-
expand the public debate over Rapid City, population Some officials in the Biden ad- members has introduced a bill Among those opposing the dia McCarthyism is not the
moves to restrict it beyond the 76,000, took up the TikTok ministration want to try to that would ban TikTok for all ban was Councilwoman Laura right thing.”
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The Marketplace
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Inflation Week
Latest ago
—52-WEEK—
High Low Gold, per troy oz
Metals Corn,No. 2 yellow,Cent IL-bp,u
Corn gluten feed,Midwest-u,w
Corn gluten meal,Midwest-u,w
6.3800
n.a.
n.a.
Nov. index Chg From (%) Engelhard industrial 1865.00 Cottonseed meal-u,w n.a.
level Oct. '22 Nov. '21 Federal funds Handy & Harman base 1857.30 Hominy feed,Cent IL-u,w n.a.
Handy & Harman fabricated 2061.60 Meat-bonemeal,50% pro Mnpls-u,w n.a.
BANKRUPTCIES Effective rate 4.3400 n.a. 4.3400 0.0800 4.0275
U.S. consumer price index LBMA Gold Price AM *1835.05 Oats,No.2 milling,Mnpls-u
High 4.6500 4.6500 4.6500 0.0900 LBMA Gold Price PM *1843.25 Rice, Long Grain Milled, No. 2 AR-u,w n.a.
All items 297.711 –0.10 7.1 Low 4.3100 4.3000 4.3100 0.0500 Krugerrand,wholesale-e 1936.80 Sorghum,(Milo) No.2 Gulf-u n.a.
United states bankrUptcy coUrt, soUthern district of new york Core 299.600 0.10 6.0 Bid 4.3200 4.3300 4.3300 0.0600
I re: GTT CommunICaTIons, InC., et al.,1 ) Chpter 11, Ce n. 21-11880 (mEW) Maple Leaf-e 1983.14 SoybeanMeal,Cent IL,rail,ton48%-u,w n.a.
Debtr. ) (Jitly adiitered) Offer 4.3400 4.3400 4.3700 0.0800 American Eagle-e 1983.14 Soybeans,No.1 yllw IL-bp,u 14.6200
International rates
Notice of (A) eNtry of coNfirmAtioN order (i) coNfirmiNg the SecoNd AmeNded Mexican peso-e 2391.07 Wheat,Spring14%-pro Mnpls-u 11.0850
third modified JoiNt PrePAckAged chAPter 11 PlAN of reorgANizAtioN of gtt Treasury bill auction 1819.70
commuNicAtioNS, iNc. ANd itS debtor AffiliAteS ANd (ii) grANtiNg relAted relief Week 52-Week Austria crown-e Wheat,No.2 soft red,St.Louis-u 7.4550
ANd (b) occurreNce of effective dAte Latest High Low
4 weeks 3.830 3.610 3.970 0.020 Austria phil-e 1946.07 Wheat - Hard - KC (USDA) $ per bu-u 9.0075
ago
pLease take notice that tht Deceber 28, 2022 the uited stte Bkrptcy Crt fr 13 weeks 4.410 4.350 4.410 0.090 Silver, troy oz. Wheat,No.1soft white,Portld,OR-u 8.4750
the sther Ditrict f new Yrk (the “Crt”), etered rder [Dcket n. 821] (the “Cfirti
Prime rates 26 weeks 4.635 4.600 4.635 0.220 Engelhard industrial 24.5000
order”) cfirig the Second Amended Third Modified Joint Prepackaged Chapter 11 Plan of
Reorganization of GTT Communications, Inc. and its Debtors Affiliates [Dcket n. 729] (with ll Handy & Harman base 24.1450
Food
U.S. 7.50 7.50 7.50 3.25 Secondary market
ppleet d exhibit theret, the “aeded Pl”).
Canada 6.45 6.45 6.45 2.45
Handy & Harman fabricated 30.1810 Beef,carcass equiv. index
pLease take fUrther notice tht the Effective Dte f the aeded Pl ccrred
Fannie Mae LBMA spot price *£20.3600 choice 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 252.27
Deceber 30, 2022. Japan 1.475 1.475 1.475 1.475
pLease take fUrther notice tht prt t secti 5.2 f the aeded Pl, Prf f Cli (U.S.$ equivalent) *24.2950 select 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 226.37
30-year mortgage yields
with repect t Cli riig fr the rejecti f Exectry Ctrct r uexpired Lee prt
Policy Rates Coins,wholesale $1,000 face-a 21840 Broilers, National comp wtd. avg.-u,w 1.2172
t the aeded Pl sppleet, if y, t be filed with the Crt withi thirty (30) dy fter the 30 days 5.897 5.958 6.812 2.751
dte f etry f rder f the Crt (icldig the Cfirti order) pprvig ch rejecti. a Euro zone 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.00 Other metals Butter,AA Chicago-d 2.3800
clm g m
j
ex
u
c
Ux L uu
60 days 5.916 5.980 6.988 2.812 LBMA Platinum Price PM *1082.0 Cheddar cheese,bbl,Chicago-d 171.50
Switzerland 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.00
am pl sulm
fl
u
m ll ll u
c u
, Platinum,Engelhard industrial 1088.0 Cheddar cheese,blk,Chicago-d 197.25
v m
ll
l g
, l
l,
d
,
Britain 3.50 3.50 3.50 0.25 Other short-term rates Palladium,Engelhard industrial 1754.0 Milk,Nonfat dry,Chicago lb.-d 131.00
r gz d
,
e
g g
,
u
Australia 3.10 3.10 3.10 0.10
j
d
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,
, Aluminum, LME, $ per metric ton *2337.5 Coffee,Brazilian,Comp-y 1.7058
vl
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Week 52-Week Copper,Comex spot 3.7395 Coffee,Colombian, NY-y 2.2452
ex
u
c
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am pl sulm
ll m Overnight repurchase Latest high low
ago Iron Ore, 62% Fe CFR China-s 117.0 Eggs,large white,Chicago-u 5.1650
ull
fi, l
g,
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. U.S. 4.31 4.25 4.36 0.01
pLease take fUrther notice tht, le therwie rdered by the Crt, ll fil reqet fr Shredded Scrap, US Midwest-s,m n.a. Flour,hard winter KC-p 21.10
pyet f Prfeil Fee Cli t be Filed with the Crt lter th Febrry 13, 2023, Call money Steel, HRC USA, FOB Midwest Mill-s 720 Hams,17-20 lbs,Mid-US fob-u 0.84
which i the firt Bie Dy tht i frty-five (45) dy fter the Effective Dte. U.S. government rates 6.25 6.25 6.25 2.00 79.33
pLease take fUrther notice tht the ter f the aeded Pl, the Pl sppleet, the Battery/EV metals Hogs,Iowa-So. Minnesota-u
aeded Pl sppleet d the Cfirti order hll be ieditely effective d efrceble Discount BMI Lithium Carbonate, EXW China, =99.2%-v,w n.a. Pork bellies,12-14 lb MidUS-u n.a.
d deeed bidig p the Debtr r the Rergized Debtr, pplicble, d y d ll Commercial paper (AA financial) BMI Lithium Hydroxide, EXW China, =56.5% -v,w n.a. Pork loins,13-19 lb MidUS-u 1.0839
Hlder f Cli r Iteret (regrdle f whether ch Cli r Iteret re deeed t hve 4.50 4.50 4.50 0.25
ccepted r rejected the aeded Pl), ll etitie tht re prtie t r re bject t the ettleet, 90 days 4.57 n.a. 4.71 0.16 BMI Cobalt sulphate, EXW China, >20.5% -v,m 7488 Steers,Tex.-Okla. Choice-u n.a.
cprie, relee (icldig the Debtr Relee, Third-Prty Relee d I sqred Relee) Notes on data: BMI Nickel Sulphate, EXW China, >22%-v,m 5688 Steers,feeder,Okla. City-u,w n.a.
d ijcti decribed i the aeded Pl, ech etity cqirig prperty der the aeded Libor BMIFlakeGraphite,FOBChina,-100Mesh,94-95%-v,m 813
Pl d y d ll -Debtr prtie t Exectry Ctrct d uexpired Lee with the Debtr. U.S. prime rate is the base rate on corporate
One month 4.38429 4.38357 4.40129 0.10200 Fats and Oils
pLease take fUrther notice tht the aeded Pl, the Pl sppleet, the aeded Pl loans posted by at least 70% of the 10 largest Fibers and Textiles
sppleet, the origil Cfirti order, the Cfirti order d cpie f ll dcet filed U.S. banks, and is effective December 15, 2022. Three month 4.78843 4.72986 4.78843 0.22557 Degummed corn oil, crude wtd. avg.-u,w n.a.
i thee chpter 11 ce re vilble free f chrge by viitig the webite f Krll Retrctrig Other prime rates aren’t directly comparable; Six month 5.13314 5.15114 5.22529 0.34000 Burlap,10-oz,40-inch NY yd-n,w 0.7350 Grease,choice white,Chicago-h 0.6600
adiitrti LLC t http://ce.r.krll.c/gtt. Y y l bti cpie f y pledig lending practices vary widely by location;
filed with the Crt by viitig the Crt’ webite t http://www.yb.crt.gv d fllwig the One year 5.45500 5.47029 5.66643 0.59629 Cotton,1 1/16 std lw-mdMphs-u 0.8144 Lard,Chicago-u n.a.
Discount rate is effective December 15, 2022.
prcedre d pyig y fee et frth therei.
Secured Overnight Financing Rate is as of
Cotlook 'A' Index-t *100.00 Soybean oil,crude;Centl IL-u,w n.a.
Dted: Deceber 30, 2022, new Yrk, new Yrk, akin GUMp straUss haUer & feLd LLp, Secured Overnight Financing Rate Hides,hvy native steers piece fob-u n.a. Tallow,bleach;Chicago-h 0.6750
By: /s/ Philip C. Dublin , Ir s. Dizegff, Philip C. Dbli, Dvid H. Btter, ni m, oe Bryt January 3, 2023. DTCC GCF Repo Index is
Prk, new Yrk, new Yrk 10036, Telephe: (212) 872-1000, Fciile: (212) 872-1002, idizegff@ Depository Trust & Clearing Corp.'s weighted 4.31 4.30 4.32 0.04 Wool,64s,staple,Terr del-u,w n.a. Tallow,edible,Chicago-u n.a.
kigp.c, pdbli@kigp.c, dbtter@kigp.c, @kigp.c, Counsel average for overnight trades in applicable
to the Debtors and Debtors in Possession CUSIPs. Value traded is in billions of U.S. dollars. Value 52-Week
1
The Debtr i thee ce, lg with the lt fr digit f ech Debtr’ federl tx idetificti Latest Traded High Low KEY TO CODES: A=ask; B=bid; BP=country elevator bids to producers; C=corrected; D=CME; E=Manfra,Tordella &
Federal-funds rates are Tullett Prebon rates as Brookes; H=American Commodities Brokerage Co;
ber, re: GTT Cicti, Ic. (6338); Cicti Decii - snVC, LLC (6338); of 5:30 p.m. ET.
Cre180, LLC (6338); Electr Ltd. (6338); GC Pivtl, LLC (6227); GTT aeric, LLC (1133); GTT DTCC GCF Repo Index K=bi-weekly; M=monthly; N=nominal; n.a.=not quoted or not available; P=Sosland Publishing; R=SNL Energy;
Glbl Telec Gveret service, LLC (6338); GTT ReiC, LLC (0472); GTT apll Hldig, Sources: Federal Reserve; Bureau of Labor S=Platts-TSI; T=Cotlook Limited; U=USDA; V=Benchmark Mineral Intelligence; W=weekly; Y=International
LLC (2300); d GTT apll, LLC (8127). The ervice ddre fr the Debtr i 7900 Ty oe Statistics; DTCC; FactSet; Treasury 4.313 68.978 4.365 0.023 Coffee Organization; Z=not quoted. *Data as of 1/3
Plce, site 1450, mcLe, Va 22102. Tullett Prebon Information, Ltd. MBS 4.370 49.024 4.403 0.032 Source: Dow Jones Market Data
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, January 5, 2023 | B7
MARKETS DIGEST
EQUITIES
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index
Last Year ago Last Year ago Last Year ago
33269.77 s 133.40, or 0.40% Trailing P/E ratio 20.70 22.65 3852.97 s 28.83, or 0.75% Trailing P/E ratio * 18.59 29.33 10458.76 s 71.78, or 0.69% Trailing P/E ratio *† 23.81 39.63
High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.28 18.76 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 17.52 22.82 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate *† 21.96 30.25
trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.07 1.90 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield * 1.77 1.26 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield *† 1.00 0.63
All-time high 36799.65, 01/04/22 All-time high 4796.56, 01/03/22 All-time high: 16057.44, 11/19/21
Turkey lira
First Internet Bank of Indiana 4.39% Hong Kong dollar .1279 7.8169 0.1
2.50 0 Ukraine hryvnia .0271 36.8500 unch
2.00 India rupee .01210 82.667 –0.1
t Indianapolis, IN 888-873-3424 Euro UK pound 1.2054 .8296 0.4
s Indonesia rupiah .0000642 15588 0.1
Five-year 4.45% One year ago Middle East/Africa
t
COMMODITIES wsj.com/market-data/commodities
Metal & Petroleum Futures Jan'24 4.979 5.060 s 4.932 5.018 .064 49,381 May 2,575 2,617 s 2,572 2,607 31 60,819 Currency Futures
Contract Open
Coffee (ICE-US)-37,500 lbs.; cents per lb.
Agriculture Futures March 167.25 t 159.25
167.95 161.30 –5.00 93,824
Japanese Yen (CME)-¥12,500,000; $ per 100¥
Open High hi lo Low Settle Chg interest Jan .7635 .7708 t .7547 .7552 –.0108 611
May 167.05 t 159.45
167.75 161.35 –4.95 44,187
Copper-High (CMX)-25,000 lbs.; $ per lb. Corn (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. March .7706 .7768 t .7604 .7610 –.0109 170,330
Sugar-World (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Canadian Dollar (CME)-CAD 100,000; $ per CAD
Jan 3.7360 3.7520 t 3.7275 3.7395 –0.0265 1,906 March 670.75 t 652.50
671.75 653.75 –16.75 548,581
March 19.70 19.71 t 19.51 19.54 –.16 386,847 Jan .7322 .7421 s .7311 .7417 .0099 238
March 3.7710 3.8070 t 3.7085 3.7405 –0.0260 105,953 July 664.50 t 648.00
665.25 649.25 –15.50 215,827
Oats (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. May 18.43 18.45 t 18.30 18.35 –.09 216,108 March .7320 .7425 s .7313 .7421 .0099 134,653
Gold (CMX)-100 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Sugar-Domestic (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb.
March 364.00 364.75 t 354.25 357.75 –5.75 3,064 British Pound (CME)-£62,500; $ per £
Jan 1845.60 1859.10 s 1845.60 1852.80 13.10 69
May 362.00 362.00 t 354.25 356.50 –5.75 412 March 36.35 … 1,923 Jan 1.1989 1.2091 s 1.1963 1.2063 .0075 1,461
Feb 1845.20 1871.30 s 1842.00 1859.00 12.90 365,908 May 36.50 … 2,860 March 1.1989 1.2108 s 1.1977 1.2079 .0075 201,436
1852.00 1876.70 s 1852.00 1866.50 13.00
Soybeans (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu.
March 218
Jan 1491.75 1500.00 t 1477.25 1478.25 –9.00 4,922 Cotton (ICE-US)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Swiss Franc (CME)-CHF 125,000; $ per CHF
April 1861.40 1887.00 s 1858.30 1875.00 12.90 51,935 March 83.17 84.25 t 80.37 80.44 –2.70 97,048 March 1.0761 1.0886 1.0754 1.0839 .0066 32,836
March 1496.50 1506.50 t 1480.75 1483.50 –8.75 294,046
June 1876.00 1902.70 s 1874.00 1891.10 13.40 15,811 June 1.0968 1.0996 1.0877 1.0949 .0067 376
Soybean Meal (CBT)-100 tons; $ per ton. May 83.35 83.96 t 80.46 80.52 –2.58 36,460
Aug 1903.00 1917.00 s 1891.20 1907.30 13.80 5,906 Orange Juice (ICE-US)-15,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Australian Dollar (CME)-AUD 100,000; $ per AUD
Jan 478.70 483.50 s 474.90 482.50 5.70 4,438
Palladium (NYM) - 50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Jan .6733 .6890 s .6721 .6843 .0104 468
March 465.40 472.60 t 459.60 462.70 –2.40 209,125 Jan 205.45 1.75 21
March .6749 .6906 s .6735 .6859 .0105 132,015
Jan … … … 1788.00 103.80 Soybean Oil (CBT)-60,000 lbs.; cents per lb. March 203.05 204.35 201.20 203.40 1.25 9,920 Mexican Peso (CME)-MXN 500,000; $ per MXN
March 1705.00 1806.50 1705.00 1796.70 103.80 8,208 Jan 63.63 63.63 t 62.91 63.11 –.05 201 Jan .05149 –.00003 141
Platinum (NYM)-50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. March 63.44 63.75 t 62.50 62.85 –.35 159,092 Interest Rate Futures March .05092 .05129 s .05085 .05093 –.00003 244,764
Jan 1100.00 1100.50 s 1084.40 1080.70 –1.30 410 Rough Rice (CBT)-2,000 cwt.; $ per cwt. Euro (CME)-€125,000; $ per €
Jan 17.55 17.55 t 17.50 17.50 –.57 90 Ultra Treasury Bonds (CBT) - $100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
April 1095.70 1112.10 s 1086.90 1092.30 –1.00 68,124 Jan 1.0561 1.0645 1.0553 1.0615 .0039 2,730
March 18.34 18.35 t 17.75 17.77 –.62 6,291 March 136-120 138-190 135-300 137-080 1-23.0 1,416,621
Silver (CMX)-5,000 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. March 1.0600 1.0686 1.0591 1.0656 .0039 697,843
Wheat (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Treasury Bonds (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
Jan 24.085 24.105 t 23.750 23.792 –0.267 155 March 126-240 128-040 126-170 127-160 1-09.0 1,198,206
March 780.50 780.50 t 744.25 745.50 –30.00 158,496 Index Futures
March 24.175 24.640 t 23.745 23.964 –0.272 116,898 June 128-290 128-290 127-030 128-120 1-09.0 219
July 790.00 790.50 t 757.25 758.00 –28.50 70,734
Crude Oil, Light Sweet (NYM)-1,000 bbls.; $ per bbl. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% Mini DJ Industrial Average (CBT)-$5 x index
Wheat (KC)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu.
Feb 77.25 77.42 t 72.73 72.84 –4.09 238,487 March 112-285 113-155 112-265 113-060 17.5 3,850,882 March 33238 33564 33171 33416 138 79,412
March 872.00 872.75 t 836.50 840.75 –28.50 84,137
March 77.41 77.62 t 73.01 73.10 –4.02 182,448 June 113-190 114-000 113-090 113-240 18.0 209 June 33510 33810 33421 33666 139 312
May 863.00 867.00 t 832.75 836.50 –28.00 27,262
April 77.45 77.72 t 73.25 73.33 –3.94 77,466 Cattle-Feeder (CME)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. 5 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% Mini S&P 500 (CME)-$50 x index
June 77.25 77.76 t 73.48 73.56 –3.67 153,315 March 108-067 108-185 108-047 108-100 9.5 4,213,262 March 3842.75 3896.25 3836.50 3874.50 28.50 1,999,096
Jan 182.800 185.650 s 182.675 185.225 2.525 7,080
t 72.28 –2.69
2 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$200,000; pts 32nds of 100% June 3873.50 3929.25 3870.25 3908.00 28.75 7,668
Dec 75.11 75.51 72.16 180,770 March 185.025 188.750 s 184.875 188.225 3.450 21,142
March 102-191 102-239 102-189 102-192 1.5 2,219,799 Mini S&P Midcap 400 (CME)-$100 x index
Dec'24 70.89 70.98 t 68.90 69.12 –1.43 71,301 Cattle-Live (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. June 103-000 103-041 102-237 102-272 3.5 13 March 2435.00 2482.30 s 2427.30 2468.10 36.30 43,142
NY Harbor ULSD (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. Feb 157.025 157.850 156.925 157.275 .425 141,027 30 Day Federal Funds (CBT)-$5,000,000; 100 - daily avg. June 2487.60 36.30 n.a.
Feb 3.0682 3.0912 t 2.9215 2.9719 –.1146 72,346 April 161.000 161.775 160.950 161.425 .550 90,610 Jan 95.6700 95.6700 s t 95.6675 95.6675 430,804 Mini Nasdaq 100 (CME)-$20 x index
March 2.9968 3.0044 t 2.8539 2.8918 –.1064 46,863 Hogs-Lean (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Feb 95.3500 95.3600 s t 95.3450 95.3450 319,436 March 10941.25 11068.50 10863.50 10999.25 53.75 243,399
Gasoline-NY RBOB (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. Feb 84.875 86.025 t 83.475 84.075 –1.000 69,587 10 Yr. Del. Int. Rate Swaps (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% June 11042.50 11184.50 10981.50 11115.75 54.50 879
Feb 2.3501 2.3757 t 2.2433 2.2592 –.1020 81,357 April 93.650 95.025 t 92.500 92.900 –.900 48,722 March 103-120 103-155 102-150 103-025 19.5 16,077 Mini Russell 2000 (CME)-$50 x index
March 2.3553 2.3797 t 2.2507 2.2637 –.1022 47,568
Lumber (CME)-110,000 bd. ft., $ per 1,000 bd. ft. Three-Month SOFR (CME)-$1,000,000; 100 - daily avg. March 1758.60 1794.80 1757.20 1783.10 23.10 433,633
Jan 366.00 370.00 t 360.00 360.50 –3.00 413 Dec 95.5025 95.5050 s t 95.4975 95.5000 802,011 Mini Russell 1000 (CME)-$50 x index
Natural Gas (NYM)-10,000 MMBtu.; $ per MMBtu. 389.50 s 374.40
March 375.00 373.10 –2.90 2,402 March'23 95.0950 95.1200 s 95.0800 95.0850 1,217,019 March 2120.00 2137.60 2106.00 2127.70 17.60 6,923
Feb 4.008 4.219 3.900 4.172 .184 100,614
Milk (CME)-200,000 lbs., cents per lb. Eurodollar (CME)-$1,000,000; pts of 100% U.S. Dollar Index (ICE-US)-$1,000 x index
March 3.658 3.810 t 3.595 3.780 .139 182,323 Dec 20.46 20.49 s 20.46 20.49 .03 4,115 March 104.38 104.39 103.60 104.02 –.29 41,277
Jan 95.2000 95.2025 t 95.1875 95.1875 –.0100 149,985
April 3.570 3.701 t 3.511 3.678 .128 99,193 Feb'23 18.18 18.32 t 17.95 18.16 –.08 5,071 March 94.9250 94.9500 t 94.9100 94.9150 –.0050 879,577 June 104.00 104.00 103.37 103.66 –.26 571
May 3.600 3.723 t 3.540 3.702 .127 114,097 Cocoa (ICE-US)-10 metric tons; $ per ton. Sept 94.9400 95.0050 s 94.9200 94.9250 –.0150 686,174
Oct 3.912 4.014 t 3.845 3.996 .123 53,478 March 2,574 2,614 s 2,566 2,603 31 119,623 Dec 95.2500 95.3200 s t 95.2100 95.2200 –.0100 720,901 Source: FactSet
Closing Chg YTD iShMSCIACWI ACWI 85.98 1.27 1.3 iShUSTreasuryBd GOVT 22.95 0.48 1.0 SPDR S&P 500 SPY 383.76 0.77 0.3 VangdLC VV 174.79 0.77 0.3
Wednesday, January 4, 2023
ETF Symbol Price (%) (%) iShMSCI EAFE EFA 67.10 1.33 2.2 JPMEquityPrem JEPI 54.74 0.50 0.5 SPDR S&P Div SDY 126.82 1.09 1.4 VangdMC VO 205.83 1.46 1.0
Closing Chg YTD
ETF Symbol Price (%) (%) iSh MSCI EM EEM 39.37 3.01 3.9 JPM UltShIncm JPST 50.14 0.04 0.02 TechSelectSector XLK 123.58 0.26 –0.7 VangdMC Val VOE 137.12 1.53 1.4
iShCoreS&P500 IVV 385.51 0.78 0.3
iShMSCIEAFEValue EFV 46.76 1.10 1.9 SPDRBlm1-3MTB BIL 91.47 –0.01 ... UtilitiesSelSector XLU 71.14 0.91 0.9 VangdMBS VMBS 46.08 0.48 1.2
CnsStapleSelSector XLP 74.56 0.39 0.01 iShCoreS&P MC IJH 244.36 1.50 1.0
iShNatlMuniBd MUB 106.25 0.32 0.7 SPDR Gold GLD 172.67 0.94 1.8 VangdInfoTech VGT 317.72 0.43 –0.5 VangdRealEst VNQ 84.43 2.27 2.4
DimenUSCoreEq2 DFAC 24.39 0.87 0.5 iShCoreS&P SC IJR 95.64 1.21 1.1
iSh1-5YIGCorpBd IGSB 49.96 0.14 0.3 SPDRPtfDevxUS SPDW 30.28 1.51 2.0 VangdSC Val VBR 160.67 1.48 1.2 VangdS&P500ETF VOO 352.51 0.72 0.3
EnSelSectorSPDR XLE 84.39 –0.01 –3.5 iShCoreS&PTotUS ITOT 85.13 0.84 0.4
iShRussell1000Gwth IWF 213.37 0.35 –0.4 SPDRS&P500Value SPYV 39.57 1.23 1.7 VangdST Bond BSV 75.50 0.17 0.3
FinSelSectorSPDR XLF 34.87 1.60 2.0 iShCoreTotalUSDBd IUSB 45.40 0.51 1.0 VangdExtMkt VXF 134.10 1.51 0.9
iShRussell1000Val IWD 153.38 1.17 1.1 SPDRPtfS&P500 SPLG 45.13 0.78 0.3 VangdSTCpBd VCSH 75.40 0.17 0.3
HealthCareSelSect XLV 135.82 0.27 –0.02 iShCoreUSAggBd AGG 98.10 0.55 1.1 VangdDivApp VIG 152.75 0.64 0.6
iShRussell2000 IWM 175.56 1.25 0.7 SPDRS&P500Growth SPYG 50.19 0.26 –0.9 VangdShtTmInfltn VTIP 46.65 –0.11 –0.1
IndSelSectorSPDR XLI 99.29 0.88 1.1 iShSelectDividend DVY 121.85 1.09 1.0 VangdFTSEDevMk VEA 42.83 1.49 2.0
iShRussellMid-Cap IWR 68.19 1.53 1.1 SchwabIntEquity SCHF 32.89 1.45 2.1 VangdShortTrea VGSH 57.93 0.12 0.2
InvscQQQI QQQ 265.74 0.48 –0.2 iShESGAwareUSA ESGU 85.03 0.70 0.3 VangdFTSE EM VWO 40.42 2.59 3.7
iShRussell1000 IWB 211.27 0.85 0.4 SchwabUS BrdMkt SCHB 44.99 0.87 0.4 VangdSC VB 185.28 1.52 0.9
InvscS&P500EW RSP 143.32 1.56 1.5 iShEdgeMSCIMinUSA USMV 72.57 0.55 0.7 VangdFTSE Europe VGK 57.21 1.91 3.2
iShS&P500Growth IVW 57.93 0.28 –1.0 SchwabUS Div SCHD 76.19 0.99 0.9 VangdTaxExemptBd VTEB 49.84 0.44 0.7
iSh0-5YTIPSBd STIP 96.88 –0.12 –0.1 iShEdgeMSCIUSAQual QUAL 114.56 0.81 0.5 iShS&P500Value IVE 147.60 1.28 1.7 SchwabUS LC SCHX 45.32 0.85 0.4 VangdFTSEAWxUS VEU 51.37 1.72 2.5 VangdTotalBd BND 72.63 0.57 1.1
iShCoreDivGrowth DGRO 50.20 0.68 0.4 iShGoldTr IAU 35.21 0.95 1.8 iShShortTreaBd SHV 109.95 0.01 0.03 SchwabUS LC Grw SCHG 55.19 0.24 –0.7 VangdGrowth VUG 213.07 0.69 –0.02 VangdTotIntlBd BNDX 48.05 0.42 1.3
iShCoreHiDividend HDV 104.43 0.79 0.2 iShiBoxx$HYCpBd HYG 74.62 1.15 1.3 iShTIPSBondETF TIP 106.89 0.07 0.4 SchwabUS SC SCHA 40.85 1.42 0.8 VangdHlthCr VHT 248.11 0.44 0.02 VangdTotIntlStk VXUS 52.96 1.71 2.4
iShCoreMSCIEAFE IEFA 62.97 1.29 2.2 iShiBoxx$InvGrCpBd LQD 106.93 0.73 1.4 iSh1-3YTreasuryBd SHY 81.32 0.10 0.2 Schwab US TIPs SCHP 51.97 0.08 0.3 VangdHiDiv VYM 108.94 0.85 0.7 VangdTotalStk VTI 192.10 0.89 0.5
iShCoreMSCIEM IEMG 48.44 2.91 3.7 iShJPMUSDEmgBd EMB 86.00 1.22 1.7 iSh7-10YTreaBd IEF 97.27 0.77 1.6 SPDR DJIA Tr DIA 332.56 0.40 0.4 VangdIntrCorpBd VCIT 78.39 0.65 1.1 VangdTotWrldStk VT 87.30 1.23 1.3
iShCoreMSCITotInt IXUS 59.34 1.78 2.5 iShMBSETF MBB 93.81 0.67 1.1 iSh20+YTreaBd TLT 102.85 1.37 3.3 SPDR S&PMdCpTr MDY 447.45 1.53 1.1 VangdIntermTrea VGIT 58.97 0.44 0.8 VangdValue VTV 141.35 0.87 0.7
Bonds | wsj.com/market-data/bonds/benchmarks
Tracking Bond Benchmarks Corporate Debt
Return on investment and spreads over Treasurys and/or yields paid to investors compared with 52-week Prices of firms' bonds reflect factors including investors' economic, sectoral and company-specific
highs and lows for different types of bonds expectations
Total Total Investment-grade spreads that tightened the most…
return YTD total Yield (%) return YTD total Yield (%) Spread*, in basis points
close return (%) Index Latest Low High close return (%) Index Latest Low High Issuer Symbol Coupon (%) Yield (%) Maturity Current One-day change Last week
Broad Market Bloomberg Fixed Income Indices Mortgage-Backed Bloomberg Fixed Income Indices –11
Oracle ORCL 5.800 4.94 Nov. 10, ’25 59 75
1966.61 0.9 U.S. Aggregate 4.590 1.910 5.210 1955.55 1.0 Mortgage-Backed 4.650 2.120 5.380
Target TGT 4.000 4.72 July 1, ’42 76 –11 81
U.S. Corporate Indexes Bloomberg Fixed Income Indices 1924.21 1.0 Ginnie Mae (GNMA) 4.750 2.170 5.370
HSBC Holdings HSBC 6.800 6.76 June 1, ’38 306 –10 n.a.
2894.07 0.9 U.S. Corporate 5.330 2.490 6.130 1150.83 1.0 Fannie mae (FNMA) 4.620 2.110 5.390
Toronto–Dominion Bank TD 3.766 5.00 June 6, ’25 64 –9 73
2796.05 0.5 Intermediate 5.250 1.970 6.050 1760.17 0.8 Freddie Mac (FHLMC) 4.690 2.110 5.370
3857.89 1.7 Long term 5.480 3.290 6.370 560.19 0.7 Muni Master 3.185 0.938 3.936 Philip Morris International PM 5.000 4.72 Nov. 17, ’25 37 –8 64
561.68 1.0 Double-A-rated 4.700 2.190 5.320 400.39 0.6 7-12 year 2.880 0.971 3.794 Banco Santander SANTAN 5.294 5.81 Aug. 18, ’27 195 –8 188
765.94 0.9 Triple-B-rated 5.600 2.710 6.440 446.13 0.8 12-22 year 3.725 1.221 4.428 –8
Warner Bros. Discovery WBD 3.638 5.85 March 15, ’25 150 176
High Yield Bonds ICE BofA 418.04 1.4 22-plus year 4.398 1.733 5.131
Ally Financial ALLY 8.000 7.42 Nov. 1, ’31 371 –6 359
468.84 1.2 High Yield Constrained 8.743 4.462 9.623 Global Government J.P. Morgan†
425.30 1.2 Triple-C-rated 15.566 7.895 16.916 526.93 1.0 Global Government 2.970 1.080 3.250 …And spreads that widened the most
3155.58 1.4 High Yield 100 7.957 3.895 8.753 770.14 0.8 Canada 3.260 1.640 3.780 18
General Motors Financial … 6.050 5.50 Oct. 10, ’25 115 115
410.01 1.1 Global High Yield Constrained 8.770 4.676 9.945 340.05 2.1 EMU§ 3.014 0.522 3.308 16
Societe Generale SOCGEN 4.250 6.21 April 14, ’25 185 n.a.
311.54 0.8 Europe High Yield Constrained 7.439 2.822 8.508 633.51 2.2 France 2.820 0.400 3.110
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM 3.945 4.94 Aug. 4, ’25 58 13 64
U.S Agency Bloomberg Fixed Income Indices 452.07 1.9 Germany 2.260 -0.140 2.540
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial SUMIBK 1.710 5.33 Jan. 12, ’31 165 12 n.a.
1696.56 0.4 U.S Agency 4.510 1.270 4.910 277.07 -0.3 Japan 1.020 0.350 1.020
1500.53 0.3 10-20 years 4.500 1.180 4.890 490.16 2.2 Netherlands 2.530 0.050 2.800 Toyota Motor Credit TOYOTA 0.800 4.76 Oct. 16, ’25 41 8 n.a.
3251.52 2.0 20-plus years 4.660 2.330 5.240 792.32 1.2 U.K. 3.700 1.120 4.690 BPCE BPCEGP 2.700 5.47 Oct. 1, ’29 162 7 168
2544.79 0.5 Yankee 5.150 2.140 5.840 773.65 0.7 Emerging Markets ** 7.684 5.040 9.159 Caterpillar Financial Services … 1.700 4.28 Jan. 8, ’27 42 7 n.a.
*Constrained indexes limit individual issuer concentrations to 2%; the High Yield 100 are the 100 largest bonds † In local currency § Euro-zone bonds
PACCAR Financial … 4.950 4.79 Oct. 3, ’25 40 7 n.a.
** EMBI Global Index Sources: ICE Data Services; Bloomberg Fixed Income Indices; J.P.Morgan
selected other countries; arrows indicate whether the yield rose(s) or fell (t) in the latest session CSC Holdings CSCHLD 5.250 9.32 June 1, ’24 94.750 1.63 92.074
Country/ Yield (%) Spread Under/Over U.S. Treasurys, in basis points 0.94
Coupon (%) Maturity, in years Latest(l)-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Previous Month ago Year ago Latest Prev Year ago
OneMain Finance OMF 6.875 8.07 March 15, ’25 97.625 95.148
4.250 U.S. 2 4.387 t l 4.403 4.278 0.764 Telecom Italia TITIM 5.303 8.38 May 30, ’24 96.000 0.80 93.637
4.125 10 3.709 t l 3.791 3.502 1.666
Netflix NFLX 5.875 5.45 Nov. 15, ’28 102.125 0.79 101.000
0.250 Australia 2 3.346 t l 3.383 3.009 0.658 -102.8 -99.1 -10.0
1.750 10 3.916 t l 4.017 3.399 1.740 20.2 27.2 8.7 Dish DBS … 7.750 14.51 July 1, ’26 82.000 0.75 80.715
0.000 France 2 2.774 t l 2.863 2.117 -0.667 -160.1 -151.1 -142.5 Occidental Petroleum OXY 7.500 6.22 May 1, ’31 108.177 0.68 n.a.
2.000 10 2.790 t l 2.907 2.306 0.230 -92.4 -83.9 -142.3 0.65
Bath & Body Works BBWI 6.875 8.04 Nov. 1, ’35 90.750 88.920
2.200 Germany 2 2.571 t l 2.675 2.103 -0.615 -180.3 -169.9 -137.3
1.700 10 2.271 t l 2.387 1.854 -0.119 -144.3 -135.9 -177.1 …And with the biggest price decreases
2.500 Italy 2 3.004 t l 3.151 2.592 -0.071 -137.0 -122.3 -82.9 –0.48
Embarq … 7.995 19.43 June 1, ’36 46.022 46.000
2.500 10 4.289 t l 4.487 3.772 1.219 57.6 74.1 -43.3
Ford Motor Credit … 4.389 6.67 Jan. 8, ’26 93.875 –0.38 92.568
0.005 Japan 2 0.034 t l 0.035 -0.029 -0.085 -434.1 -433.9 -84.3
0.200 10 0.464 s l 0.416 0.252 0.089 -333.0 -156.4 Occidental Petroleum OXY 6.950 5.27 July 1, ’24 102.375 –0.13 101.569
-324.9
0.000 Spain 2 2.808 t l 2.876 2.329 -0.582 -156.6 -149.8 -134.0 Sprint S 7.875 5.51 Sept. 15, ’23 101.570 –0.06 101.459
2.550 10 3.321 t l 3.450 2.876 0.576 -39.3 -29.5 -107.7
Teva Pharmaceutical Finance Netherlands ... 2.800 6.38 July 21, ’23 98.120 –0.01 98.063
0.125 U.K. 2 3.445 t l 3.573 3.309 0.764 -92.9 -80.1 0.6
4.250 10 3.493 t l 3.654 3.153 1.087 -22.0 -9.1 -56.6 *Estimated spread over 2-year, 3-year, 5-year, 10-year or 30-year hot-run Treasury; 100 basis points=one percentage pt.; change in spread shown is for Z-spread.
Note: Data are for the most active issue of bonds with maturities of two years or more
Source: Tullett Prebon, Tradeweb ICE U.S. Treasury Close Source: MarketAxess
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. **** Thursday, January 5, 2023 | B11
MARKETS
slowdown in French
1.00
inflation
BY CHELSEY DULANEY 0.75
AND CORRIE DRIEBUSCH
0.50
Stocks rose as traders
weighed fresh economic data
that fanned fears of a looming 0.25
Prada (2011) 60
BY JING YANG exchange’s pitch to interna- panies. In the early 2010s, the 2.5
tional companies is that mone- exchange secured the listings Rusal (2010) 40
Hong Kong is making a tary conditions in China are of marquee western brands in-
2.2
pitch to multinational compa- dramatically different to those cluding Prada SpA, L’Occitane
PAUL YEUNG/BLOOMBERG NEWS
nies to list on its stock market, elsewhere. While central banks International SA. and Sam- Samsonite (2011)
20
despite heightened tensions in the U.S., the U.K. and the sonite International SA., as 1.3
between China and the West. eurozone are increasing inter- well as metals and mining gi-
The city’s stock exchange est rates to fight inflation, ants like Glencore PLC and L’Occitane (2010)
0
hopes a new initiative that al- China has cut rates this year Vale SA. At the time, those 0.8
lows mainland Chinese inves- and is only now coming out of companies saw Asia—and par- 2011 ’15 ’20 ’22
tors to trade shares of interna- a prolonged zero-Covid policy ticularly China—as their big- *Glencore withdrew its Hong Kong listing in 2018 due to low liquidity. †Includes companies from
tional companies will present that has hurt economic gest growth drivers and listing mainland China or controlled by people or entities in the country. 2022 data as of the end of November
a compelling case for some of growth. That means domestic their shares in Hong Kong was Nicolas Aguzin, exchange CEO Sources: Dealogic (funds raised); Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing (share)
the world’s largest businesses a way to capitalize on that
to raise funds in the Asian fi- potential. IPOs, said Philippe Espinasse, total market capitalization. investors, brokers and compa-
nancial hub. A decade on, the results a consultant and former equity That has led to some criticism nies, Mr. Aguzin said.
“Hong Kong will become
the only market in the world
where companies have the
ability to capture the demand
19
Foreign companies listed in
have been underwhelming.
Glencore, whose $10 billion
secondary listing in May 2011
remains the largest initial
capital markets banker who is
the author of several books on
IPOs.
“L’Occitane and Prada relied
that the exchange is overly re-
liant on China.
Mr. Aguzin, who joined the
company from JPMorgan
Under the leadership of
Charles Li, Mr. Aguzin’s prede-
cessor, the HKEX pursued
some high-profile expansions.
from two gigantic pools of in- Hong Kong at end of November public offering by a foreign materially on Chinese demand Chase & Co in May 2021, is the That included the $2 billion
vestors that are uncorrelated,” company in Hong Kong to for their products and growth first CEO of the exchange who acquisition of the London
said Nicolas Aguzin, chief ex- date, withdrew its shares from at the time of their IPOs. doesn’t speak Chinese. The 54- Metal Exchange in 2012 and a
ecutive of Hong Kong Ex- the exchange in 2018, citing a Things are now very different year-old Argentine said he has failed bid to buy the London
changes and Clearing Ltd., in bonds offer limited returns for lack of liquidity. Only 0.3% of post-Covid and, of course, geo- no qualms about aligning Stock Exchange in 2019.
an interview. “You could have Chinese investors. It could its shares were traded on the political considerations may Hong Kong’s future with that Global investors have been
the best of both worlds,” he also make international shares HKEX, the Swiss company said make listing in Hong Kong dif- of China. cautious about Chinese stocks
added. more attractive. at the time. Glencore was also ficult for some,” he said. “What do I say to people over the past year in light of
In December, securities reg- Mr. Aguzin is also pitching listed in London and Johan- At the end of November, saying you’re too focused on Beijing’s long-running zero-
ulators said foreign companies international companies on nesburg and still trades in there were 196 foreign compa- China? Of course, that’s my Covid policy and its regulatory
with primary listings in Hong the value of making their both of those cities. nies listed in Hong Kong with strength. I want to use that, clampdowns on private com-
Kong could—for the first shares available in China—a Shares of Prada, which a combined market value of build that strength to do panies. The government has
time—be eligible for inclusion huge consumer market for listed in Hong Kong in June $297 billion, or 7% of total something great internation- performed a U-turn on both
in the eight-year-old Stock multinationals. 2011 after raising $2.1 billion, market capitalization, accord- ally,” he said. measures—scrapping its com-
Connect trading link with “If they are companies that had an average daily trading ing to data from the HKEX. The expansion of the Stock mitment to zero-Covid, and
mainland China. The plan have some sales revenues, turnover of around $4 million The HKEX has been ranked Connect link is only part of moving to support private
would give these companies manufacturing or whatever over the past year, according as the world’s top IPO venue the exchange’s pitch to inter- companies, including those in
direct access to China’s active from the mainland, that would to FactSet data. for seven of the past 13 years, national companies. On Dec. the property sector. That has
individual investor base if be a plus,” he said. A key reason for the light thanks in large part to a long 20, the HKEX opened a New made some investors and ana-
their stocks meet market-capi- This isn’t the first time the trading in companies like parade of Chinese listings. York office. It is also scouting lysts more bullish on China,
talization criteria and other exchange operator, also known Prada is because they failed to Mainland Chinese companies locations for a European of- but has also raised concerns
requirements. as HKEX, has attempted to at- secure significant local de- now account for more than fice. These offices could help about the capriciousness of
A big part of the Hong Kong tract more international com- mand at the time of their three quarters of the HKEX’s bring the exchange closer to Chinese policy.
B
tion to buy discounted lackstone said that the it available in case the manager said Wednesday it lio of deals through a single
shares secured by Warren university team did 0 looming recession hits their closed the vehicle, Hamilton vehicle with a lower fee struc-
Buffett when he put $5 bil- due diligence on the income—would be right to Lane Equity Opportunities ture than typical buyout
2017 ’18 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22
lion into Goldman Sachs at portfolio, including meeting worry that they may well Fund V, with $2.1 billion. The funds, Mr. Sidberry said. He
the height of the 2008 fi- the heads of each BREIT Sources: Blackstone (BREIT); Refinitiv (FTSE) not be able to get it back sum exceeds both the firm’s said the fees involved are
nancial crisis. unit. That doesn’t guarantee quickly. $2 billion fundraising target about half those of a typical
In fact, BREIT has re- that values aren’t marked and is now even more un- At a time of rising inter- and the $1.7 billion it raised buyout fund.
turned more than that since up too high or that rents likely. est rates, liquidity is at a for a predecessor vehicle that The firm has backed more
launching in 2017, as it and housing will withstand The trouble for BREIT’s premium. The University of closed in 2019. than two dozen deals so far
chose to focus on Sunbelt the recession widely ex- other investors is that none California just put a price Hamilton Lane began collect- through the new vehicle and
housing, warehouses and pected later this year. But it of this solves the original on that premium: $1 billion ing the new fund, which is part has invested roughly half of
data centers, which have is an additional check by problem of too many people to underwrite 11.25% was of its direct-equity series, in the fund, according to Mr. Sid-
been in strong demand. But smart people who put seri- wanting their money back. their demand in return for a 2020 and has raised a total of berry. Focus sectors for the
the fund lost value in No- ous money on the line. A In December, investors six-year lockup. That is ex- $3.7 billion for such deals dur- new vehicle include health-
vember, and a recession spokesperson for the univer- asked for 5.44% of the fund pensive. It suggests that pri- ing that time, with the remain- care, cybersecurity and busi-
would hit rents. sity declined to comment. back, but only 0.23% was vate funds without the re- der of the capital going into ness-process outsourcing, he
Still, the investment The extra $4 billion available because of with- cord of BREIT, or the separately managed accounts said.
shows the university has means BREIT is even further drawals in the two prior financial resources of Black- and other types of investment “The good news about rais-
faith in BREIT. The $1 billion away from running out of months. The money from UC stone, are going to find it structures pursuing the same ing [capital] during the pan-
of possible support, held in cash to finance withdrawals. Investments won’t be used hard to keep attracting the strategy, said Demetrius Sid- demic is that we went in with
BREIT shares by Blackstone A run on the bank was al- to lift the cap on withdraw- money that flowed in so berry, a managing director in eyes wide open about risks,”
already, provides some pro- ready far off—thanks to als, so the cap will almost easily during their decade- the firm’s direct-equity group. Mr. Sidberry said.
tection if the fund underper- monthly and quarterly limits certainly limit withdrawals long boom. Like the other commingled With $824 billion under
forms but is far too little to on overall withdrawals and again this quarter. If the Bear that in mind when funds in the direct-equity se- management and supervision,
guarantee the 11.25% return more than $20 billion of outlook for BREIT’s returns you consider investments ries, the new vehicle will co- Hamilton Lane is one of the
if Sunbelt rental apart- cash, easy-to-sell invest- worsens, more will want to where it is hard to get your invest alongside other fund largest private-markets asset
ments, warehouses and data ments and loan facilities— get out, so the danger is money back. managers, typically looking at managers in the world.
B12 | Thursday, January 5, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
After the global financial crisis, longer term has rarely been harder World exports as a volves the disciplining effect of glob- long-maturity bonds and “growth”
tectonic shifts in the global economy than it is right now. percentage of GDP alization on labor demands and the stocks like technology giant Netflix.
meant that almost every asset class Last year was a year of rapid shift prices of tradable goods and ser- UBS economists underscore that
32%
mostly went up. Then last year, the from boom to bust, volatile prices vices. The world is reverting back to globalization is found to have com-
portfolio playbook was the simple and central bankers aggressively 30 economic and financial blocs, which pressed inflation by only around 0.16
opposite: Sell everything. In 2023, tightening monetary policy. This is the war in Ukraine could accelerate. percentage point a year and that
for the first time in a decade and a the polar opposite of the period that 28 If true, then bonds are far less based on corporate announcements
half, investors need to make big as- started in 2008—perhaps even in 26 attractive for long-term investors. so far, reshoring of production will
sumptions about the world. the 1990s—which involved subdued Worse, they may no longer act as happen at only a small scale.
Though the S&P 500 index ended but stable growth and inflation, and 24 cushions during equity selloffs, Also, the data doesn’t bear out
2022 with a 19% fall, it traded side- ultralow interest rates. Was last year spelling the continuing demise of the alleged link between aging and
22
ways during the second half. During just a brief interruption, or the start the ubiquitous “60/40 portfolio.” higher inflation—many theorists
this period, most analysts came to of a new secular trend that rewrites 20 Investors should opt for inflation- even believe aging should lower it.
agree that inflation has likely the investment playbook? linked paper and commodities, and More straightforward is that declin-
peaked, but that there will be a re- Here, Wall Street professionals 18 choose stocks in cheap or “value” ing unionization rates across West-
cession in rich nations during the are far less in agreement, as sug- 16 sectors with predictable earnings. ern nations have weakened workers’
first two quarters of 2023—albeit a gested by an analysis of more than A representative firm would be bargaining power, and that this dis-
1983 ’90 2000 ’10 ’20
mild one. It isn’t a cheerful consen- 40 annual outlooks sent by bro- telecommunications conglomerate inflationary force remains in place.
sus, but it does offer a clear invest- kers and asset managers to clients Source: World Bank Verizon Communications. In the U.S., 12% of workers are
ment strategy. If a central-bank by year-end. Take long-term infla- Though annual outlooks explicitly unionized, compared with 21% in
pivot in the face of a downturn is tion, a measure at the nub of the There are two big arguments sup- predicting a full return to pre-2020 1983. But even this is complicated
nigh, then buying bonds makes debate: Those who think it will be porting this worldview. The first, en- trends are the least common, this because pay rises are a poor expla-
sense. Most big brokers believe 10- hard to bring back to prepandemic dorsed by British economist Charles view has proponents too—perhaps nation for inflation: The correlation
year Treasury yields will end 2023 levels are in the majority, but by a Goodhart, is that a progressively ag- more than sell-side recommenda- is strong only in periods when infla-
below their current 3.9% level. Eq- narrow 56%. ing population shrinks workforces, tions suggest: Market measures of tion is high, for reasons such as the
uities can be added as the economy BlackRock, the world’s largest increasing labor’s bargaining power. long-term inflation expectations commodity shock in 2022.
rebounds later in the year. investment manager, believes the The integration of Chinese workers have remained contained. Investors can choose where they
Arguably, savers should care less world is in a new regime. It into the global economy paused this Swiss bank UBS, for example, is stand in the big philosophical de-
about the next 12 months than the warned that “we expect inflation trend, but one-child policies have advising clients to bet on disinflation bates affecting markets. They just
next 12 years. This is where it gets to cool but stay persistently higher now precipitated a demographic re- and put money on the winners of can’t ignore them anymore.
tough: Making guesses about the than central bank targets of 2%.” versal there as well. The second in- the past two decades, including —Jon Sindreu
looking to hire more workers. with the Institute for Supply Man-
The Labor Department on agement’s monthly manufacturing
Wednesday reported that there report, which also came out
were a seasonally adjusted 10.5 Wednesday. The ISM’s index of
million unfilled job openings in the manufacturing activity came in at
U.S. as of the last day of Novem- 48.4 for December, down from No-
ber, about equal to the upwardly vember’s 49. Anything below 50 in-
revised count for October. That dicates factory output is contract-
The price Blackstone is putting on the fund’s real estate, roughly half of which is housing, has come under scrutiny. was down from the extremes hit ing. But an employment subindex
earlier last year, but still far above within the report rose to 51.4 last