Final Exam 4 November Answer

Graduate School of Business
MBA Program
Final Exam
Course: Applied Statistics
Lecturer: Prof. Dr. Alaa Abd Elbary
Date : 8 / 4 / 2022
Time: 2.5 hours
Student Name: Ossama Mohamed Rabie Nasser Mohamed Khalifa
ID:21227461
Select 5 Questions
1. For the following Data:
1000 , 1500 , 1750 , 15000 , 1000
Find
Mean ( X ) , Median , Mode , Range, and Standard Deviation (SD).
Mean = X = (1000+1500+1750+15000+1000)/5=4050
Median=
1000,1000,1500,1750,15000
Median= 1500
Mode=1000
Range=15000-1000=14000
Standard deviation=
We have to get variance first
x 𝒙−𝒙 , , )𝟐
(𝒙 − 𝒙
1000 -3050 9302500
1500 -2550 6502500
1750 -2300 5290000
15000 10950 119902500
1000 -3050 9302500
! 150300000
"#$%$$$$$
Variance = 𝒔𝟐 = 𝟒
= 37575000
Standard deviation = √𝒔𝟐 = √𝟑𝟕𝟓75000 = 6129.845
2. Consider the following data:
X 20 21 25 31 33
Y 7 8 5 4 2
a. Find the regression equation.
b. Estimate the value of when .
X Y XY 𝑿𝟐
20 7 140 400
21 8 168 441
25 5 125 625
31 4 124 961
33 2 66 1089
total 130 26 623 3516
Y = aX +b
!∗#$%&((%)∗$#)
A= = -265/680 = -0.3897
!∗%!(#&((%))!
B= (26/5) - (-0.3897*130/5) = 15.3322
Y= -0.3897 x + 15.314
Y when x = 40
Y = (-0.3897*40) + 15.3322 = -0.2558
3. Assume the likelihood that any flight on Delta Airlines arrives within 15 minutes of
the scheduled time is 0.90. We select 4 flights from yesterday.
i) What is the probability all four of the selected flights arrived within 15 minutes of the
scheduled time?
ii) What is the probability that none of the selected flights arrived within 15 minutes of
the scheduled time?
iii) What is the probability at least one of the selected flights did not arrive within 15
minutes of the scheduled time?
probability all flights = P(f) = 0.9
i) What is the probability all four of the selected flights arrived within 15 minutes of the
scheduled time?
P (f1 Ç f2 Ç f3 Ç f4) = 0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9 = 0.6561
ii) What is the probability that none of the selected flights arrived within 15 minutes of
the scheduled time?
P (f1` Ç f2` Ç f3` Ç f4`) =(1-0.9)! =0.0001
iii) What is the probability at least one of the selected flights did not arrive within 15
minutes of the scheduled time?
= 1 – probability all flights arrived = 1- 0.6561= 0.3439

4. Scores on an achievement test are known to be normally distributed with a mean of 420 and
a standard deviation of 80.
a. what is the probability of a score between 400 and 480?
b. What is the minimum test score needed in order to be in the top 5 % of all people taking the test?
"#µ
µ = 420 s = 80 Z= s
a. P (400 < X < 480)
400−420 480−420
P(
80
< z < 80
)
= P ( -0.25 < Z < 0.75)
= P (0.75) – {1- p (0.25)}
= 0.7734 – (1- 0.5987) = 0.3721
b. P (Z > score(S)) = 0.05 q(s)=0.95 between 0.9495 and 0.9505

(1.64+1.65)/2=1.645
P (Z > 1.645) = 0.05

X= (Z*s)+µ
X= (1.645*80) + 420 = 551.6
5. In developing patient appointment schedules, a medical center wants an estimate of the mean
time that a staff member spends with each patient. How large a sample should be taken if the
desired margin of error is 2 minutes at a 95% level of confidence? Use a planning value for
the population standard deviation of 8 minutes.
E=2 , z=1.96 , s=8

s
E = 𝑍! *
√%
8
2 = 1.96 * √%
8
√𝑛 = 1.96 * &
= 7.84
n= 61.46
The Sample Should be Taken is 62 Samples
6. In a random sample of 12,447 hip replacement or revision surgery procedures
nationwide, 162 patients developed a surgical site infection.
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all patients undergoing a hip
surgery procedure who develop a surgical site infection.
n=12447 , R=X/n=162/12447=0.013 , Z=1.96
R- ( 𝑍' * ,((*#()
%
) £ R £ R + ( 𝑍' * ,
((*#()
%
) =
0.013 - (1.96* , ) £ R £ 0.013 + ( 1.96 * , )

,.,*. (*#,.,*. ,.,*. (*#,.,*. )
*&!!0 *&!!0
=
(0.011 £ R £ 0.01499)
7. A soft drink maker claims that more than 50% of adults prefer its leading beverage over that
of its main competitor’s. To test this claim 500 randomly selected people were given the two
beverages in random order to taste. Among them, 270 preferred the soft drink maker’s brand,
211 preferred the competitor’s brand, and 19 could not make up their minds. Determine
whether there is sufficient evidence, at the 5% level of significance, to support the soft drink
maker’s claim against the default that the population is evenly split in its preference.
n=500 , p=50/100=0.5 , p`=270/500=0.54 , Zt=1.645
H0: p=0.5
H1: p>0.5
"`$" &.()$&.(
Zc= !(#-!)
=
'.)(#-'.))
=1.7888
% %
& )''
Decision is reject H0
So at the 5% level of significance majority of adults prefer the company’s beverage than
competitor beverage
8. If the proportion of smokers in a city in 1974 was 28.8%, and in 1982 a sample of the
population of this city, 1283 people, was selected, 320 people who were smokers. Did the
percentage of smokers decrease between 1974 and 1982? Use the significance level of α =
0.05.
n=1283 , p=28.8/100=0.288 , p`=320/1283=0.249 , Zt= -1.645
H0: p=0.288
H1: p<0.288
"`$" &.*)+$&.*,,
Zc= !(#-!)
= = -3.0849
'.*++(#-'.*++)
% %
& #*+,
Decision is reject H0
So at the 5% level of significance meaning that the proportion of smokers decreased between
the years 1974 and 1982

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Graduate School of Business

Time: 2.5 hours

Student Name: Ossama Mohamed Rabie Nasser Mohamed Khalifa

1000 , 1500 , 1750 , 15000 , 1000

probability all flights = P(f) = 0.9

P (f1 Ç f2 Ç f3 Ç f4) = 0.90.90.9*0.9 = 0.6561

P (f1` Ç f2` Ç f3` Ç f4`) =(1-0.9)! =0.0001

= 1 – probability all flights arrived = 1- 0.6561= 0.3439

a. P (400 < X < 480)

b. P (Z > score(S)) = 0.05 q(s)=0.95 between 0.9495 and 0.9505

P (Z > 1.645) = 0.05

E=2 , z=1.96 , s=8

n=12447 , R=X/n=162/12447=0.013 , Z=1.96

0.013 - (1.96* , ) £ R £ 0.013 + ( 1.96 * , )

n=500 , p=50/100=0.5 , p`=270/500=0.54 , Zt=1.645

n=1283 , p=28.8/100=0.288 , p`=320/1283=0.249 , Zt= -1.645

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