Money in Market Clearing: November 2004
Money in Market Clearing: November 2004
Money in Market Clearing: November 2004
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Wheat
Boot Hat
Table
Abstract
Market clearing is the central issue in macroeconomics. Two centuries of debate on Say’s Law indicates that the
issue is not yet settled. This essay proposes that double coincidence is a necessary condition for market clearing, in
addition to the equality of demand and supply at equilibrium prices. However, the literature does not recognize
necessity of double coincidence. Jevons (1875) gave shape to the conventional wisdom on double coincidence. The
idea is that it is peculiar to barter, and that money overcomes this inconvenience. This is a fallacy. It prevents the
development of a theory of money as a necessary medium of indirect exchange. It hides the role of money in market
clearing. By recognizing double coincidence as a necessary condition for any trade, and the role of money in market
clearing, economics can become a much stronger and practically more useful science. Monetary reform can correct
the perverse circulation of money and prevent involuntary unemployment, undue instability, and excess debt.
Keywords: Market clearing, neutrality of money, double coincidence, unemployment, instability, debt.
JEL Classifications: B41, C67, C68, D46, D51, D71, D74, E41, E52, J64,
An earlier version was presented at the History of Economics Society Annual Meeting, June 25-28, 2004.
Victoria University, Toronto, Canada.
The authors thanks the many participants for useful comments and suggestions.
Special thanks are to Geoff Harcourt, Patrick Gunning and Sasan Fayazmanesh .
(1): “…....the point of philosophy is to start with something so simple as not to seem worth stating,
and to end with something so paradoxical that no one will believe it.” Russell (1918), page 53.
Apparently, the obvious fact that the buyer pays the seller was deemed ‘not worth
stating.’ The penalty of not stating the obvious has been tragic. The expenditure of much energy
to build monetary theory and macroeconomics did not produce compelling theorems about
money, as it was without a proper articulation of the role of money in market clearing. The key
issues are still being debated, and whether the market (especially for labor) clears is not yet
known with any confidence. Nor is anybody sure if money has effect on output or not.
If money is shown formally as a means of payment, then the inevitable conclusion is that
money is necessary to clear the market under indirect exchange. In a formal model with a means
of payment, price theory and monetary theory become two inseparable parts of the same theory
of payment. In that case, macro and microeconomics become inseparable, and the prevailing
micro and macroeconomics become obsolete One surprising conclusion is that the gravest
economic miseries of humanity, namely needless poverty, undue instability, and excess debt
arise from a perversion in the circulation of money such that market clearing is impeded. These
problems can be solved by reforming the monetary system.
William Jevons (1875) is the best architect of the conventional wisdom on double
coincidence. It is supposed that double coincidence is a peculiar inconvenience of barter, and that
money overcomes this. These erroneous Jevonian ideas became conventional wisdom and misled
the profession into fundamental error. The practical consequence of theoretical error has been the
persistence of needless unemployment, unjust transfer of wealth, and undue instability. For
further progress, economic theory must rethink the issue of market clearing and the role of
money in it. Economic policy must then be reformed to use the power of money properly for
growth, stability, and equity. Monetary reform can avoid the perversion in the circulation of
money, and thereby prevent involuntary unemployment, unjust transfer of wealth, and undue
instability.
(2): “But when the division of labour first began to take place, this power of exchanging must
frequently have been very much clogged and embarrassed in its operations. One man, we shall
suppose, has more of a certain commodity than he himself has occasion for, while another has
less. The former consequently would be glad to dispose of, and the latter to purchase, a part of this
superfluity. But if this latter should chance to have nothing that the former stands in need of, no
exchange can be made between them.” Smith (1776). Chapter 4, Para 2
(3): “…. What infinite confusion and difficulty must arise……..were everyone obliged to
exchange his own products specifically for those he may want; and were the whole of this process
carried on by a barter in kind. The hungry cutler must offer the baker his knives for bread;
perhaps, the baker has knives enough, but wants a coat; he is willing to purchase one of the tailor
with his bread; the tailor wants not bread, but butcher’s meat; and so on to infinity.”- J B Say
(1803): Book 1, Chapter 21, Section 1, Para 3.
(4): “The inconveniences of barter are so great, that without some more commodious means of
effecting exchanges, the division of employments could hardly have been carried to any
considerable extent.”-J S Mill (1848): Book 3, Chapter 7, Section 1, Para 3.
Jevons makes the statement clearer than earlier authors to articulate double coincidence:
(5): “The first difficulty in barter is to find two persons whose disposable possessions mutually
suit each other's wants. There may be many people wanting, and many possessing those things
wanted; but to allow of an act of barter, there must be a double coincidence, which will rarely
happen.” -W S Jevons (1875): Chapter I, Para 5.
(6): “We have seen that three inconveniences attach to the practice of simple barter, namely, the
improbability, of coincidence between persons wanting and persons possessing; the complexity of
exchanges, which are not made in terms of one single substance; and the need of some means of
dividing and distributing valuable articles. Money remedies these inconveniences, and thereby
performs two distinct functions of high importance, acting as— (1) A medium of exchange. (2) A
common measure of value.” - W S Jevons (1875): Chapter III, Para 1.
If exchange is the ‘the barter of the comparatively superfluous for the comparatively necessary’, then
double coincidence must mean that in an exchange, the seller of the first good regards it as
comparatively superfluous, that is, lower in utility compared to the payment (second good). In
short, it is gainful. Carl Menger holds the same view.
(8): “….. if command of a certain amount of A's goods were transferred to B and if command of a
certain amount of B's goods were transferred to A, the needs of both economizing individuals
could be better satisfied than would be the case in the absence of this reciprocal transfer.” Menger
(1871): Chapter 4, Section I, Para 4
The logical question must be asked: If exchange is gainful as it barters ‘the comparatively
superfluous for the comparatively necessary’, why is it regarded as inconvenient? We must conclude
that barter is improbable, but not inconvenient.
Double coincidence in kind is rare, but if it occurs, it is conveniently gainful. The danger
is that one may not see the fundamental distinction between barter and indirect exchange in
hence may not recognize that under indirect exchange, the absence of double coincidence in kind
is compensated by the presence of multiple coincidence in kind, and that if multiple coincidence
exists, it is possible to use money as a device to create artificial double coincidence.
As we study the literature, it becomes clear that the authors are confusing commodity
money with barter. For example, in the simplest case of indirect exchange, there are three real
goods. No tow of them have double coincidence and yet all three of hem together have triple
coincidence in the specific sense that each good has both an offer and an acceptance in its kind.
Thus suppose that a farmer first sells his food against a piece of cloth, and then sells the cloth to
buy medicine. It may appear as a two-stage barter, but it is not barter. The cloth here is used as
commodity money. Money is something which is bought without an intention to consume and
sold without having produced it. It is bought just to serve as an intermediate payment. The
critical point is that at each stage, there must be double coincidence. Thus at the first stage, there
is double coincidence between food and cloth, and at the second stage, there is double
coincidence between cloth and medicine. In a more advanced economy with fiat money, the
farmer sells food for money and then sells money for medicine, replacing commodity money
(cloth) with fiat money. But it is still the case that at the first stage, there is double coincidence
between food and money, and at the second stage, there is double coincidence between money
and medicine. It is not obvious that the job of money is to transfer claims and obligations on real
goods in an indirect exchange. If the farmer delivers food to the weaver, he has a claim on the
output of the weaver, but he wants to transfer this claim to obtain medicine from the aptekar. He
gives the cloth to the aptekar to get the medicine. Money is necessary to achieve this transfer.
The use of the term ‘inconvenience’ instead of ‘improbability’ makes it hard, and perhaps even
impossible to recognize that double coincidence must be present when money is used, although
this time, it is first between a real good and money, and then between money and another real
good. We could generalize Jevons by putting the word money and changing ‘rarely’ into
‘usually’ in his passage as follows: (Changes are in bold)
(5* generalized): There may be many people wanting money, and many possessing money; but to
allow of an act of barter between a real good and money, there must be a double coincidence,
which will usually happen.
“For example, the farmer may wish to exchange wheat for a hat; but the hatter is already supplied:
what, then, will the hatter accept? A table. The farmer must then go to the cabinet-maker, and
offer his wheat for a table. But the cabinetmaker is supplied with wheat. He would, however,
accept a pair of boots. The farmer applies to the boot-maker, who happens to wish for wheat and
accepts the offer. With the boots the farmer gets the table, and with the table gets the hat which he
desired. In such a state of things, this was the only process by which exchanges could be effected;
circuitous, and expensive in time and labor, as it was. We might have supposed a far more difficult
case; but this is sufficient to illustrate the inconvenience of barter, or the direct exchange of
commodities. But there is still another difficulty, of scarcely less magnitude. When articles to be
exchanged became numerous, it would be found a very intricate matter to establish satisfactorily
the relative value of each.” Walker (1865): Book III, Part 2. Chapter 1, Page 121.
Boot Hat
Table
Figure-1: Amasa Walker’s Payment Circuit
In the graph above, wheat pays for boot, which pays for table, which pays for hat, which
pays for wheat. The outer circle shows the direction of movement of goods. Money flows in the
opposite direction of the goods, as shown in the inner circle.
Let us consider the matter from the viewpoint of the farmer. We look at the upper part of
the graph. The farmer’s customer is the cobbler and the supplier is the hatter. When money is
used, as shown by the solid inner arrows, the farmer receives money from the cobbler and pays
the hatter with money, while he gives the wheat to the cobbler and gets the hat from the hatter. If
barter were possible, he would get the hat and pay with the wheat, and would neither receive
money nor give it.
Boot Hat
Figure-2: The Customer and the Supplier Hat
The key distinction is that in direct exchange, the customer is also the supplier, but in indirect
exchange, the customer is not the supplier. The problem is to find out why the hatter would
accept money against a real good, namely, what would he get for his hat in real terms? Again,
where does the cobbler get the money from or what happens to his boots? These questions about
demand and supply of money at the micro level have not been answered by the literature. We
must find the answers.
Boot Hat
Table
Figure-3: The Transfer of Claims and Obligations
Despite the presence of demand and supply for each good, no barter is possible because
there is no double coincidence. Money creates an artificial double coincidence to solve the
problem. The farmer does not really want to consume money, and his demand for it is artificial.
He buys money pretending to prefer money to his real good. Next, he is not the producer of the
money, and yet he creates an artificial supply. He sells money to his supplier. This is true for any
money- be it commodity money or fiat money. In Walker’s thinking, the farmer would use the
boot and the table as commodity money in succession. But if fiat money was available at a
lower transaction cost, the farmer would use fiat money, taking it rather than the boot from the
cobbler, and giving the money rather than the table to the hatter.
The necessity of money as a means of payment should settle the issue of neutrality of
money. If money is a necessary means of payment, it cannot fail to affect the output that must be
traded against it. The key is that the lack of money cannot be overcome by resorting to barter,
because barter is impossible. Money is not a more convenient alternative to barter: these are
mutually exclusive means of payment. If barter is possible, money is impossible; and if money is
possible, barter is impossible.
5. Money as a Numeraire
When double coincidence is overlooked, one does not have a formal model to see money as a
medium of exchange. Then the digression is to think of money as a unit of account or numeraire.
Of course prices in a monetized economy are quoted in money. Theory of money ought to be a
part of theory of payment because money is a means of settling payments, but it becomes a part
of theory of price. The quantity theory of money is not really a theory of money at all, but it is a
theory of price. It is concerned with explaining the general price level.
Had there been a formal model of payment, one would have defined price as the quantity
of payment. Now, if the payment is in money and its supply increases without any increase in the
supply of real goods, then the price counted in money of course goes up by definition. The crux
of the problem is to find out how money supply could have increased or decreased without a
change in the supply of real output, but the quantity theory tradition did not consider the supply
of money as a means of payment at all. Supply without a supplier has no useful meaning.
It is interesting to note that Jevons applies his logical sharpness to see that serving as a
store of value is an incidental function of money, not its essential or first function as a medium of
exchange. Suppose that money does not serve as a means of payment. Can it then serve as a store
of value? The answer is obviously negative. But most models of money are models of a store of
value, and not of a medium of exchange at all. Even Baumol’s model of transaction demand for
money ends up with storing cash balances as stores of value (Baumol 1952). The key question of
why money is used in transactions in the first place is not discussed.
Let us distinguish between money and bonds as mutually exclusive means of payment.
First, in an indirect exchange, there is a problem of transferring current claims on current output,
and it has nothing to do with lending or borrowing as such. If the farmer pays the hatter with
money, he is neither a lender nor a borrower. He gives money as a device to enable the hatter to
get the table in exchange for the hat indirectly.
But intertemporal exchange is a completely different thing. Let us imagine that the farmer
and the hatter trust each other. They both try to keep a steady flow of consumption over time, but
their production is unsteady. At some points, the farmer has more wheat than he can use and is
glad to lend the excess to the hatter. At other times, the farmer has a smaller supply of wheat
than he needs, and the hatter procures wheat from somewhere and settles his debt to the farmer.
The essence is that lending and borrowing is a method of balancing the flow of production (Q)
with the flow of consumption (C). Time lapse is the essence here. But time lapse is not the issue
in indirect exchange.
C, Q
Wheat
C
Q
Boot Hat
Table Time
7. Concluding Comments
If we recognize that the buyer actually pays the seller, then we must agree that there is double
coincidence. If the seller wants money rather than the particular kind of good the buyer is able to
deliver, this is because the money is a device to enable the seller to get the kind of good he
wants. Unless money is used, indirect trade cannot take place.
The recognition of the role of money as a necessary instrument of market-clearing under
indirect exchange must change economic theory fundamentally. We will mention a few of the
changes in the theoretical outlook.
Farmer
Wheat
Carpenter
Table
Figure-5: Short and Long Circulation of Money