Occasional Paper: United Nations Development Programme
Occasional Paper: United Nations Development Programme
Occasional Paper: United Nations Development Programme
OCCASIONAL PAPER
Background paper for HDR 2004
Brendan O’Leary
2004/9
BUILDING INCLUSIVE STATES
Brendan O’Leary
University of Pennsylvania
Commissioned Paper for the United Nations Human Development Report 2004
causes of exclusion.
States matter more than societies in building inclusion. That is because they
characterize functioning states. They have coercive capacities: they can regulate
all instruments of potential public violence, and prevent or inhibit their own
agents from being predators. They express authentic legal sovereignty over
persons, property, and their movements, and are recognized as such entities by
their citizens, civil society organizations, and by other states. Through self-help
or alliances they can defend themselves against other states. Lastly, functioning
states are defined by their recognized sovereignty over territory, and its
accompanying prerogatives: control over entry and exit of persons and entities. If
Brendan O'Leary Page 1 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
1
states lack these capabilities they cannot protect elementary human rights,
family, clan or clique - who do not distinguish public and private realms. They
decision-making that inhibit predation. They are predators. They lose their
other states. They neither make nor enforce law. Those over whom they have
failed to rule despise them as much as they fear them. Functioning states pay lip-
service to failing states, avoiding their ‘officials’ if they can, invading ‘their’ lands
These properties of failed states should remind us that ‘inclusion’ is only possible
than the diffusion of the right values; they need the soil of functioning states
of ‘Warre’: ‘the time men live without a common Power to keep them all in
awe…in which every man is Enemy to every man; …wherein men live without
Brendan O'Leary Page 2 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
2
other security, than what their own strength, and their own invention shall
furnish them…In such condition, there is no place for Industry; because the fruit
Society; and which is worse of all, continuall feare, and danger of violent death;
and the life of man, solitary, poore, nasty, brutish and short’2. Hobbes was right
solution. But we may still draw a lesson from his arguments: without a well-
development or inclusivity.
Unlike Hobbes, we know that states may be lethal, more lethal than the ‘war of
all against all’. States are the most powerful agencies of exclusion, governments
the major killers in human history. Many state-builders and nation-builders have
Rudolf Rummel has calculated that governments killed nearly 170 million people
within their borders, a figure that exceeds those killed in wars between states3.
been more common than most countries’ official histories acknowledge, and
governments have been the major perpetrators - and the list is not confined to
Brendan O'Leary Page 3 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
3
Ottoman Turkey, Nazi Germany, and Interahamwe Rwanda. Politicide, killing
modernity. The Soviet Union, especially under Stalin, was the major killer regime
of the last century: nearly 62 million are estimated to have perished at its hands;
Maoist China was often as brutal, killing over 35 million people. Democide, the
killing of peoples, is the ultimate form of exclusion, and governments its major
the expulsion of whole categories of persons from their land borders or their
exclusion.
collectively. And it is to their practices that we must look when considering how
Brendan O'Leary Page 4 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
4
differences, is the product of coercive homogenization and of differential
communities ‘in’, as members, and others ‘out’. Genocide, expulsion and the
imposed partition of territories are modes of homogenizing peoples that are now
internationally outlawed, even if the relevant laws are frequently not enforced. If
and when international norms against genocide and expulsion are rigorously
powers, so that both their policy-makers and domestic constituencies see the
The record of recent history is mixed: it need not occasion despair. Sanctions
and domestic sources, both moral and political causes. Decolonization, de-
segregation and civil rights movements are very important elements in the
Brendan O'Leary Page 5 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
5
implication, encompasses sets of policies, institutions and practices that both do
2. Assimilation.
policy of inclusion in two model and hegemonic states, the USA and France5,
English and French. The Oxford English Dictionary tells us that to assimilate
means to
1. Absorb and digest (food etc.) into the body, absorb (information etc.)
The first, second and last of these meanings point towards the term’s political
Brendan O'Leary Page 6 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
6
‘coming to resemble’. The Concise Oxford French Dictionary tells us that when
2. To digest;
This suggests, among other things, that in French the notions of ‘assimilation’
assimiler; but that ‘to integrate’ should be translated as compléter (when it means
‘to complete’), as unifier (when it means ‘to form into a whole’); and as intégrer
(when it means ‘to assimilate’) (Concise Oxford French Dictionary, 2nd ed. 1980).
These inspections suggest the need to move beyond ordinary usages in both
public and private domains who are not culturally differentiated for political
Brendan O'Leary Page 7 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
7
where, for example the members of group B absorb group A’s culture: A + B = A.
produces a novel entity, e.g. three groups A, B and C fuse to form a novel group,
recent social science literature, is that assimilation eliminates public and private
differences between people’s cultures but not necessarily their private cultural
councils, bureaucracies and legal institutions are used to socialize all the targets
Brendan O'Leary Page 8 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
8
of the policy in the mandated language. Assimilation of this kind may extend to
and extension of legitimate surnames and first names of persons, and of public
parties and discourses that are opposed to the dominant nation’s assimilationist
national, ethnic, religious and cultural minorities from having the possibility of
Voluntary assimilation, by contrast, works though both market and public policy
are useful for communication, their education and the development of their
Brendan O'Leary Page 9 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
9
wider human capital. This fact accounts for the success of distinct lingua franca
around the world, including languages like Swahili and former colonial
and immigrants may change their religious identities or beliefs in the interests of
status enhancement. They may acculturate to political practices and mores when
they are welcomed when they do so. Shared citizenship and common public
deliberation may lead to a shared identity and the loss of historic cultural ties.
has been in immigrant states, such as the USA,7 Canada8, Australia9 and
Argentina.
The declared goals and the motives of state officials who have encouraged
develop10. In 1789 in emancipating the Jews it was said before the French
National Assembly that, <<Aux Juifs comme nation nous ne donnons rien; aux
Juifs comme individous nous donnons tout>> - ‘For the Jews as a nation we
grant them nothing; for the Jews as individuals we grant them everything’11.
Brendan O'Leary Page 10 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
10
Assimilationists have also promoted nation-building to achieve state
consolidation and military security,12 but usually they have argued that
into the current of the ideas and feelings of a highly civilized and cultivated
protection, and the dignity and prestige of French power — than to sulk on his
own rocks, the half-savage relic of past times, revolving in his own little mental
orbit, without participation or interest in the general movement of the world. The
developmental horizons has gone beyond the claim that it is better not to sit on
clans, of kin, of what Ernest Gellner called the “tyranny of cousins”14; and, not
least, they claim that assimilation (into a high modern culture) frees children and
Brendan O'Leary Page 11 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
11
and Political Rights declares that “In those States in which ethnic, religious or
linguistic minorities exist, persons belonging to such persons shall not be denied
the right, in community with other members of their group, to enjoy their own
culture, to profess and practice their own religion, or to use their own language”.
This clause does not directly protect national minorities, as opposed to the
mestizos, and creoles; in the free development of political parties and party
descendants of historic communities. Believing that is (or should be) its past the
French state often declared that Article 27 of the International Covenant is not
Brendan O'Leary Page 12 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
12
Mutually agreed assimilation projects by definition have excellent prospects of
success – though that is not to say that they are irreversible. There are, however,
within strata of the Staatsvolk, the dominant people. Either its elites or its less
to the scale and pace of immigration for these reasons16. They may refuse to fuse
or share space with national minorities who share historic residency in their
territory. Another source of blockage may lie within the weaker communities,
and develop - their cultures for both defensive and developmental reasons.
peoples of the world and their empathizers. Lastly, there is some evidence to
states within the better-off and more well-ordered states; and the second is the
greater ease with which migrant communities today may retain the culture,
Brendan O'Leary Page 13 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
13
especially the language and religion, of their homelands through easy access to
Voluntary assimilation works best through indirect incentives, and works most
effectively upon voluntary immigrants willing to trade their culture in return for
citizenship. It does not work so easily with forced immigrants (slaves and their
has many benefits in expanding the repertoire of human capacities for choice and
development but it is not without psychic costs for those who acculturate or
people who wish to imprint their cultures on others – albeit for their mutual
reaped what they have sown, i.e. protests, riots, armed secessionism, and
Iraq and Islamization in the Sudan register similar stories and counter-stories.
Brendan O'Leary Page 14 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
14
The language and practices of “integrationists” are, at first glance, much more
differences from having salience in the public domain. The object is to create a
is rendered under formulae that have the same substantive meanings: “liberal
Integration fosters the removal of ethnic identities from the political arena. It
they are simply to be “privatized” and tolerated. Integration has as its nominal
focal concern the human individual. It promotes the primacy of the individual
over that of the group, freedom from group control, or, as it is often put,
Brendan O'Leary Page 15 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
15
Integration eliminates the relevance of difference in culture (of origin) among
may have their own religion provided it is not brought into the legislature or
imposed on others; each may have their own language at home – or in private
identity for citizens but allows them as many private identities as are compatible
Public officials, aware that assimilation may provoke negative reactions and
hostility, may pursue integration. So may new governing elites sincerely intent
by those who have been excluded or treated as second class citizens, e.g. African
Americans, where the African denotes community of origin, or by those who are
wish to become citizens). Where integration is sought both from above and
Brendan O'Leary Page 16 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
16
differ little from voluntary assimilationists. They want no publicly
ethnicization of units; they affirm the merits of political parties and electoral
nationality, language or theology; they desire voters to “pool” their votes across
historic communities of origin; they argue for a common public education system
and a common curriculum at all levels of development – the school and the
family, the clan, the tribe, the church, synagogue, temple and mosque; they
promote public and private sector housing policies that “mix” people and avoid
assimilationists. They are liberals. They are neither coercive homogenizers, nor
inclusionary. Critics argue that integration is, however, not as neutral as its
exponents pretend. Its inclusions have price-tags. The integrationist state has a
face; the state broadcasts; the state dresses; the state has styles; the state defines
Brendan O'Leary Page 17 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
17
what is public and what is private. The state just cannot be as difference-blind
will benefit one community’s religion: after all, what holidays (holy-days) are
public, and why? Its dominant community will have its culture fully expressed
in both the public and private domains; others will not be so fortunate. That
which is “civic” inevitably has cultural and ethnic content, even if civic
contract for voluntary migrants willing to pay the price of learning a new public
that promote agendas different from that of the approved public culture then
Multi-culturalism is one of the most contested and discussed terms of our times
Brendan O'Leary Page 18 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
18
describe the demography of states, philosophical relativism, the beliefs of
I define it to describe official state constitutions, legal norms and public policies
that institutionalize more than one culture (be it national, ethnic, linguistic,
religious) in the public domain, as well as permitting more than one culture to
true; sometimes it is not. For example, Switzerland, for many the model of a
excluded women from the comprehensive adult suffrage for longer than all of its
European neighbors, and presently excludes one fifth of its residents, guest-
One, by the nature of the cultures that are politically included in the multi-
cultures not included fully in the public domain while others are? Two, by the
categories of culture included. This review cannot consider all the identities and
Brendan O'Leary Page 19 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
19
and sexual orientations, or class and caste divisions; here the focus is on
an equal footing? Are they present in the executive, the legislature, the legal
personal law? And four, by their territorial organization: Are the relevant
cultures granted their own territorial domains in which their members have self-
state? Rather than explore these four variations in depth, for simplicity’s sake it
4. Consociational arrangements
political system with both inclusionary shared rule and autonomous self-rule.
Brendan O'Leary Page 20 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
20
communities in political institutions and the public sector.
autonomy.
Consociations may have a fourth trait connected to both shared and self-rule:
(d) they may empower community leaders with veto rights over
Consociational thinking has a long pedigree. In the western world its lineages
and Otto Bauer, and, more recently, the Nobel Laureate, Sir Arthur Lewis. It is
associated in our times with Arend Lijphart, a distinguished past president of the
Brendan O'Leary Page 21 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
21
sharing”27, consociation is the prescribed method of conflict regulation of the
detect a hint of utopianism, and are right to detect “rationalism”, the belief that it
Conservatives tend to condemn consociational ideas as futile: they say such ideas
difference; or, they don’t work, ergo they are not a remedy. A more sophisticated
variation of this thesis is that consociations are only likely to work well where
they are not needed, or are redundant (i.e. in moderately rather than deeply
Brendan O'Leary Page 22 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
22
likely the product of resolved struggles or of relatively moderate cleavages”, and
and democratic dispositions. They often argue that consociations are perverse,
Brass is typical when he argues that the elites whose prudence is hailed by
to operate with the “mistaken assumption that cultural differences among ethnic
groups are “objective” factors”, and to exaggerate the problems associated with
strong collective identities, and to assume that “ethnic divisions are more
inflammatory than other types.”29 Liberal, socialist and feminist critics suggest
as conservatives, who take people as they are (or have been made to be) and not
Brendan O'Leary Page 23 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
23
as they might be (or long to be). Political integration, the creation of a common
the public domain, from this perspective, is much preferred. As Brass puts it, it is
best to “keep some possibility for change, internal division [of communities], and
secularization open, for the sake of the ultimate integration of the people in a
common political order and to preserve individual rights and the future
preferential policies will lead to the weakening of the merit principle – thereby
individuals and groups. Brass speaks for these critics when he asserts that
“Consociational democracy inevitably violates the rights of some groups and the
Brendan O'Leary Page 24 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
24
developed consociational system is inherently undemocratic”; it is elitist and
Courtney Jung and Ian Shapiro concur: consociation permits “the same
benefits that can accrue from “tossing the rascals out” are unavailable”;
to keep government honest by shining light in dark corners”. “Mutual vetoes can
among elites, and to promote insider clubism”. The price of consociation it seems
Adversarial politics in Canada, India and Sri Lanka, he maintains, are no worse
Brendan O'Leary Page 25 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
25
A last argument sometimes deployed against consociations is the outright denial
based on selecting the worst rhetorical excesses39. While one must concede that
expositions (to which he has made measured and reasoned responses), plainly it
cannot be true that consociation is simultaneously perverse, i.e. reinforces and re-
entrenches ethnic antagonisms, and at the same time jeopardizes all key liberal,
democratic and international values, and, all the while is futile, i.e. makes no
consociation, and it is fair to say that the weight of the critics’ case rest on
just as concerned about justice and freedom as their critics. They submit that
Brendan O'Leary Page 26 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
26
through negotiations by politicians after the failure of homogenizing or
those based on nationality, ethnicity, language and religion, are generally fairly
durable once formed, especially when they have been politicized. To say they
are durable, or are likely to be durable, is not to say that they are either
opposed to shallow and malleable interests and identities, can be, and often are
myths and symbols as well as through realistic rather than merely prejudiced
appraisals of past group antagonisms. These narratives, myths and symbols may
integrationists who are too facile about the capacities of political regimes to
they think, too often cloak a partisan endorsement of one community’s identity
assimilate).
Brendan O'Leary Page 27 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
27
Consociationalists argue from a standpoint of moral and political necessity: they
do not embrace pluralism for its own sake, or because they want a romantic
some tough cases, their claim is that the effective choice is between
that it is best not to have to build democracy after filling graveyards. Negotiated
the majority, but in his most illustrious texts he failed to emphasize that a
skeptical about the current celebration of civil society as the or even a vehicle of
Brendan O'Leary Page 28 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
28
transformation, peace-making, peace-building, and inclusion. In divided
territories, they observe, there is more than one society and their relations may be
voices, and that it is not often possible to create “ideal speech situations”.
consociational ideas have been present in the best of the socialist tradition41; and
two, by observing just how regularly and pervasively working class and popular
unity has historically been rendered hopeless by national, ethnic, religious and
Within consociational arrangements trust may develop that may enable wider
working class or popular unity behind the welfare state or other forms of
democracy to Sir Arthur Lewis, the Nobel-prize winning economist, who argued
in his Politics of West Africa (1965) that the post-colonial multi-ethnic states of
Brendan O'Leary Page 29 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
29
West Africa suffered from the inheritance of British and French majoritarian or
that would give ethnic communities territorial autonomy. Lewis’s argument was
group to their own affairs where that is possible and widely sought – “good
natural rights, of individuals and communities, the most important right being
the right to exist: the international law of Grotius applied within states.
Brendan O'Leary Page 30 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
30
they have a better and more inclusive model of democracy for certain pluralist
states. Much more of the people than a plurality or a majority may influence or
control the executive. Much more than a majority gets effective “voice”.
political elites, and shifts of support between parties; and in a liberal consociation
political leaders and parties is not a problem. They merely claim that there is no
carefully rebutted.
executives.
Brendan O'Leary Page 31 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
31
Imagine there are two ethnic groups, NA and NB, and that all their voters split
their votes between two political parties respectively, giving rise to a four party
political system, A1, A2, supported by community NA, and B1, B2, supported by
where political parties choose to exclude their leaders from office by refusing to
from parties A1 and B1, but not all of each communities’ leaders are present.
when each significant ethnic community has representation in the executive and
that executive has at least majority support from each such significant
consensus), i.e. from 1/N to N, where N is the number of voters (See Figure 1.1).
Brendan O'Leary Page 32 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
32
unanimity can be described on the basis of how many (actual or potential) voters
influence (or control) the government. Where democracy masks rule by a small
number who control the agenda and have their preferences translated into public
policy against the preferences of the overwhelming majority then this is elite
legislative party which can determine law and public policy against the
government that carries out their wishes, we have what Nagel deems
democracy; and, lastly, where nearly all voters support government policy we
Brendan O'Leary Page 33 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
33
QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture.
Figure 1.1. The Nagel Spectrum: The Scope of Popular Support for an Executive
NB, and so on, has all its parties in the executive, leading to consensus across all
peoples in the consociation (here there is for the time being no formal prospect of
organized opposition). In the example we have used above the executive would
Brendan O'Leary Page 34 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
34
one in which each significant community, NA and NB, and so on, has over half of
its voters supporting parties in the government and acting on their behalf, but
less than the level of representation that would exist with consensus support in
each community. In the example we have been using the executive would
comprise A1B1, and each party would have majority support within their
weakly consociational when each significant community, NA and NB, and so on,
has competitively elected political leaders in the executive, but only to the extent
that in at least one community the relevant leadership has just plurality support
typification, if one or more community merely gives its plurality assent while
is the largest (but not majority party) in its community, and each of which is
opposed by a range of smaller parties within each community, e.g. A2 A3… An,
and B2, B3, … Ban. The Nagel spectrum can lastly be employed to describe non-
(authoritarians) from each community share executive power with one another,
but are not effectively democratically accountable to (their own or any) ethnic
Brendan O'Leary Page 35 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
35
communist rule. Where executives have democratic support within one
the basis of our stylized example43. This excursus should resolve the recurrent
support within its community44. This clarification refutes the insistence that all
opposition.
Brendan O'Leary Page 36 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
36
amendment procedures – not least because these will normally have a bearing
QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture.
Figure 1.2. Nagel spectra applied to two ethnic communities, with each spectrum describing
Brendan O'Leary Page 37 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
37
Factional Factional Factional Authoritarian
Factional Elite Factional authoritarian and control
Elite Elite Oligarchic
Dictatorship - -
Table 1.1. Variations in Public Support Within Two Communities for Power-Sharing Executives
any large and complex state or region in which there are numerous small ethnic
of a consociation.
But consociational practices may prevail without the participation of one or more
example, a dominant coalition may practice consociation among the partners but
deliberately exclude another community, i.e. consociation for the dominant and
Brendan O'Leary Page 38 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
38
Jews) and Likud (predominantly supported by Mizrahi Jews) coalitions as an
but joint control by Israeli Jews over Palestinians in Israel (and in the Palestinian
executives may have formal rules that produce thresholds of electoral support
and legislative representation that parties must achieve before winning control
arrangements agreed in negotiations between the National Party and the African
National Congress in 1992-3 political parties had to obtain 5 % of the vote before
they could be guaranteed places in the cabinet, and 20 % of the vote, if they
Northern Ireland, after its 1998 settlement, ten cabinet positions were available to
Brendan O'Leary Page 39 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
39
excludes parties that fail to achieve significant levels of electoral and legislative
support. Four parties, with 22, 21, 20 and 18 per cent of the first preference vote
respectively, took all of the ten cabinet positions, leaving a fifth of the electorate
African and Northern Irish illustrate how proportional allocation rules and
territory, for nearly all voters to vote cleanly for ethnic parties or candidates
obliges voters to vote only within their own community for their own ethnic
parties, then, and to that degree, the system should be called corporately
requirement that everyone register on one and only one roll illustrates this
Cypriot or Greek Turkish rolls. By contrast, in a liberal consociation all voters are
on a common electoral register, and though they may vote for their own ethnic
Brendan O'Leary Page 40 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
40
parties, they are not required to do so. The distinction between corporate and
In competitive democracies there will, of course, be voters who vote for non-
ethnic, inter-ethnic and cross-ethnic parties. Where they are a minority in each
significant community, and a minority overall, they may oppose but not
a new community, a community of “others” who reject the available ethnic and
they may start to bargain for a proportionate stake in the system. In other cases,
voters who back non-ethnic, inter-ethnic and cross-ethnic parties are signaling
voluntarily dissolve.
ethnic parties may lead to the creation of weakly consociational executives, i.e.
situations in which a large catch-all governing party may enjoy plurality support
Brendan O'Leary Page 41 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
41
from each descriptively represented community. Large catchall, (or ideological
or even confessional) parties that deliberately ensure that they have proportional
ethnic identities have clear intentions. They are trying both to appeal to voters as
(e.g. proportionality and power-sharing), and to insure the party against possible
withdrawals of support on ethnic criteria. Where such parties are successful and
party because it usually alternates its party leadership between French and
English speakers, and allots informal quotas of cabinet seats to Anglophones and
the Indian National Congress party in its heyday, and are beginning to be
(i) the extent to which they draw support from each major community of voters
(ii) the extent to which they are descriptively representative in the legislature and
Brendan O'Leary Page 42 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
42
(iii) their internal party organizational characteristics (i.e. the extent to which
(iv) the extent to which they follow consociational practices to manage crises that
Brendan O'Leary Page 43 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
43
Presidential Executives Parliamentary Executives
1. Directly elected president appoints 7. Strong premier appoints virtually
persons from other communities to other representative cabinet (Canada)
key cabinet posts, and must appoint a 8. Constrained premier co-exists with other
consociational cabinet (Lebanon). party elites in a bi-communally
2. Directly elected collective executive representative coalition government
presidency (Bosnia and Herzegovina). (Belgium).
3. Indirectly dual presidency elected on a 9. Dual premiership elected by a concurrent
joint platform (Federation of Bosnia and majority of the Assembly works with a
Herzegovina). cabinet allocated by the d’Hondt rule
4. Indirectly elected rotating single person (Northern Ireland).
presidency (segmental majority +
informal concurrent consent) and two
vice presidents, with a representative.
cabinet (Region of Trentino-Alto Adigo,
Province of Bolzano).
5. Indirectly elected collective presidency
(Switzerland).
6. Indirectly appointed dual collective
executive (European Union’s Council of
Ministers and European Commission).
Table 1.2. Empirical variations in executive designs compatible with consociational principles.
The foregoing discussion has qualified Lijphart’s views and that of his critics.
representation and support, though the forms of representation may range from
complete, through concurrent, to weak and virtual modes of support across the
iii. in the degree to which they are liberal or corporate in their popular
consociations.
Brendan O'Leary Page 44 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
44
Consociational arrangements may co-exist with non-ethnic and inter-ethnic
sectors (in the domain of the politics of identity, recognition and constitutional
change); they may be applied piecemeal where they are deemed necessary; they
may apply to regions rather than entire states. They need not be mechanically
South Africa. The categories of semi- and quasi- as I read Lijphart appear to
Brendan O'Leary Page 45 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
45
exclusion of a segment or some segments from participation and autonomy, let
they are not, and they are not democratic in elementary senses so the “quasi”
have executive power sharing, proportionality and autonomy, but lack full
Consociation, its advocates declare, facilitates justice, both procedural and social.
There is also a correlation between numbers and potential power that makes
not endorse the Hobbesian view that justice is each according to their threat-
Brendan O'Leary Page 46 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
46
advantage, but one of their tacit arguments is that in some cases proportional
E. Rules of (i) Proportionality , (ii) Autonomy and (iii) Veto Rights For Inclusion
E. (i) The feasibility of the idea of proportionality is not at issue in disputes over
consociation, unlike the idea of grand coalitions, or as we shall see, the idea of
least rough accordance with its demographic, or electoral share of the citizenry
the interests of their groups. There may, of course, be differences between the
state and indeed within civil society (excluding those in which each community
operate with particular formulae. Whole families of such systems ensure that
Brendan O'Leary Page 47 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
47
legislative bodies are composed so that parties are represented in proportion to
their vote-shares56. The most commonly used are closed and open party list
up seats for parties). Table 1.3. lists some of the commonly used variants of
electoral formulae. The list is confined to those formulae that may be deployed
with party list and preferential systems of voting. All achieve proportionality57.
beings do not come in fractions, that voters are very unlikely to divide their votes
in neat easily convertible shares, and that each method for achieving
votes into seats. Each rule will have an explicit or tacit notion of what
over smaller ones. From the most favorable for largest parties to the least favored
the rank order is: d’Hondt > STV (Droop) > LR-Droop > modified Sainte-Laguë
surprise that d’Hondt or STV (Droop) are the commonly used formulae since
Brendan O'Leary Page 48 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
48
including within consociations. Table 1.4. illustrates the use of Largest
Remainders-Hare, Table 1.5. the use of d’Hondt, and Table 1.6. the use of the
Droop quota. In each case it is assumed that there are 500 voters with 5 seats to
be awarded. The examples show that when different formulae are applied to the
same vote distribution that d’Hondt will benefit the largest party, whereas in this
example under both Hare and Droop the third party gains a seat.
Adams n-1
Single Transferable Vote Quota
Method
Candidates with Droop V/(s+1) Northern
quota of votes are Ireland
elected. Unfilled seats
filled by transferring
Brendan O'Leary Page 49 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
49
surplus votes from
elected candidates and
eliminated candidates.
Table 1.3. Various methods for proportionally allocating seats from votes.
outcomes are obvious. Provided district magnitudes are not too small, and
districts61, then PR methods will produce outcomes that are usually seen as
technically fair and consistent, even though each may each have distinct quirks
of their own 62. Using such systems on a common roll also has the merit of
Notes. The numbers in round brackets are seats awarded because of full quotas (v/s, = 100). The
numbers in square brackets are seats awarded because of largest remainders.
Brendan O'Leary Page 50 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
50
1 300 (1) 140 (3) 60
2 150 (2) 70
3 100 (4)
4 75 (5)
Total 4 1 0
Notes: The numbers in round brackets are seats awarded in sequential order of party presenting
the highest (remaining) average.
Reserved seats may be kept for certain groups, e.g. the Maoris of New Zealand
were reserved seats when New Zealand used plurality rule, at least initially
broadly in line with their share of the citizenry, though it started to veer towards
religious or linguistic origin, though such results cannot be guaranteed. Thus the
deputies were divided in the ratio of six Christians to five Muslims, or 54.5: 46.5,
Brendan O'Leary Page 51 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
51
which supposedly reflected the shares of the two communities in the 1932
specific numbers of Christian and Muslim deputies to achieve this effect. In fact,
the census of 1932 suggested a Christian: Muslim ratio of residents of 50: 49, and
of 52: 47 among registered citizens. So the fixed ratio of 6: 5 was not very
proportionate. Parity, or a ratio of 9:8, would have been more just. The ratio of 6:
the ratio in accordance with changing census returns. But in Lebanese politics it
be included in any count. This led to a stalemate and was one of the grievances
electoral formulae. They may also involve pre-empting people’s identities and
as in the case of the Lebanon. That said, much the least controversial quota
Brendan O'Leary Page 52 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
52
By contrast, the over-representation of significant minorities automatically
other protections or has historically been privileged65. In one famous example the
Cypriot constitution of 1960 guaranteed 30 per cent of the seats in the Cypriot
Cypriots66, even though they comprised less than 20 per cent of the population.
from the local majority of Bosniacs: “Section IV. B. Article 5: No fewer than one-
Flemish and French speakers, even though Flemish speakers are a clear
(1999-2002) had equal numbers of unionist and nationalist ministers, but this was
a result of parties agreeing that there should be ten ministries and the subsequent
result of the application of the d’Hondt formula. With the same number of
ministries and a different distribution of seats won among parties there would
Brendan O'Leary Page 53 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
53
Lijphart has described both the over-representation of minorities and parity of
This is unfortunate linguistic acrobatics, but it is plain that his intentions have
rights (see below) creates obvious protests from majorities. Majorities may well
for minorities, but they do not appreciate why they additionally have to endure
guaranteed funding for the Turkish communal chamber at ¼1/4 of the sums to
be provided for the Greek communal chamber, even though Turkish Cypriots
Brendan O'Leary Page 54 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
54
comprised less than 1/5 of the population. Proportional allocation of public
positions throughout the state or region, especially in its public (and sometimes
in its private) sector. In 1958 in the Lebanon President Chehab proclaimed the
appointees to the civil service. This calmed communal relations though tensions
they started to demand the end of the quota and the proportionality principle.
and judicial positions abound in the literature of national and ethnic conflict
regulation: Northern Ireland, Canada, and Belgium are all regions or countries
with rigorous fair employment laws, including the use of affirmative action, and
Brendan O'Leary Page 55 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
55
E. (ii). Consociations share political power on matters agreed to be of common
minorities is “rule by the minority over itself in the area of the minority’s
majorities that have autonomy. The idea of autonomy is easy to state in principle
but its institutional and regulatory manifestations are complex and varied71.
Brendan O'Leary Page 56 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
56
Territorial autonomy arrangements can be organized in federations (state- or
the central government reserves full legal sovereignty). These are discussed at
greater length below but Table 1.7. suggests examples of how territorial
Brendan O'Leary Page 57 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
57
Table 1.7: Possible combinations of territorial autonomy and consociational (executive and
legislative) arrangements at the centre.
equal) share in the running of the federal government, and when the boundaries
government in the federation, and when the federation at the centre reflects the
regions at the revisable discretion of the central government, but the regional
Brendan O'Leary Page 58 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
58
autonomy are distinctly consociational (because territorial autonomy is often
specific territory within which they live or work. So, for example, they may
publicly profess their religious beliefs and hold religious meetings in public no
matter where they live. Under personal autonomy each person may opt to be
for example, a person living in Brussels, Belgium, may opt to receive information
examples of corporate legal autonomy are the separate civil law and personal
separate personal laws for its Muslim and Christian minorities are the world’s
integrationist eye, but no less consociational, are the fully funded and separate
Brendan O'Leary Page 59 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
59
The 1960 constitution of Cyprus contained very extensive provisions for both
legal and administrative pluralism (see Insert below) that illustrate autonomy in
laws and policies. Reading Articles 86, 87 and 2 may create the impression that
these provisions were utterly corporate in nature, albeit dually corporate, and
strongly patriarchal (in that identity of origin was presumed to follow from the
the constitution. Citizens were free to de-register and join other communities.
The minor religious communities, the Armenians, Maronites and Latins, were
guaranteed the continued enjoyment of the liberties and status they had under
rights and fundamental freedoms comparable to those set out in the European
Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms, and
discrimination. The constitution enabled the Armenians, the Maronites and the
Article 86. The Greek and the Turkish Communities respectively shall elect from amongst their own members a
Communal Chamber which shall have the competence expressly reserved for it under the provisions of this Constitution.
Article 87. 1. The Communal Chambers shall, in relation to their respective Community, have competence to exercise
within the limits of this Constitution and subject to paragraph 3 of this Article, legislative power solely with regard to the
following matters:-
(a) all religious matters; (b) all educational, cultural and teaching matters; (c) personal status; (d) the composition and
instances of courts dealing with civil disputes relating to personal status and to religious matters; (e) in matters where the
interests and institutions are of purely communal nature such as charitable and sporting foundations, bodies and
associations created for the purpose of promoting the well-being of their respective Community; (f) imposition of
personal taxes and fees on members of their respective Community in order to provide for their respective needs and for
the needs of bodies and institutions under their control as in Article 88 provided; (g) in matters where subsidiary
Brendan O'Leary Page 60 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
60
legislation in the form of regulations or bye-laws within the framework of the laws relating to municipalities will be
necessary to enable a Communal Chamber to promote the aims pursued by municipalities composed solely of members
of its respective Community; (h) in matters relating to the exercise of the authority of control of producers' and
consumers' co-operatives and credit establishments and of supervision in their functions of municipalities consisting
solely of their respective Community, vested in them by this Constitution:
Provided that-
(i) any communal law, regulation, bye-law or decision made or taken by a Communal Chamber under this sub-paragraph
(h) shall directly or indirectly be contrary to or inconsistent with any by which producers' and consumers' co-operatives
and credit establishments are governed or to which the municipalities subject,
(ii) nothing in paragraph (i) of this proviso contained shall be construed as enabling the House of Representatives to
legislate on any matter relating to the exercise of the authority vested in Communal Chamber under this sub-paragraph
(h):
(i) in such other matters as are expressly provided by this Constitution.
2. Nothing in sub-paragraph (f) of paragraph 1 of this Article contained shall be construed as in any way curtailing the
power of the House of Representatives to impose, in accordance with the provisions of this Constitution, any personal
taxes.
3. Any law or decision of a Communal Chamber made or taken in exercise of the power vested in it under paragraph 1 of
this Article shall not in any way contain anything contrary to the interests of the security of the Republic or the
constitutional order or the public safety or the public order or the public health or the public morals or which is against
the fundamental rights and liberties guaranteed by this Constitution to any person.
Article 2
For the purposes of this Constitution:
(1) the Greek Community comprises all citizens of the Republic who are of Greek origin and whose mother tongue is
Greek or who share the Greek cultural traditions or who are members of the Greek-Orthodox Church;
(2) the Turkish Community comprises all citizens of the Republic who are of Turkish origin and whose mother tongue is
Turkish or who share the Turkish cultural traditions or who are Moslems;
(3) citizens of the Republic who do not come within the provisions of paragraph (1) or (2) of this Article shall, within three
months of the date of the coming into operation of this Constitution, opt to belong to either the Greek or the Turkish
Community as individuals, but, if they belong to a religious group, shall so opt as a religious group and upon such option
they shall be deemed to be members of such Community:
Provided that any citizen of the Republic who belongs to such a religious group may choose not to abide by the option of
such group and by a written and signed declaration submitted within one month of the date of such option to the
appropriate officer of the Republic and to the Presidents of the Greek and the Turkish Communal Chambers opt to belong
to the Community other than that to which such group shall be deemed to belong:
Provided further that if an option of such religious group is not accepted on the ground that its members are below the
requisite number any member of such group may within one month of the date of the refusal of acceptance of such option
opt in the aforesaid manner as an individual to which Community he would like to belong.
For the purposes of this paragraph a " religious group " means a group of persons ordinarily resident in Cyprus
professing the same religion and either belonging to the same rite or being subject to the same jurisdiction thereof the
number of whom, on the date of the coming into operation of this Constitution, exceeds one thousand out of which at
least five hundred become on such date citizens of the Republic;
(4) a person who becomes a citizen of the Republic at any time after three months of the date of the coming into operation
of this Constitution shall exercise the option provided in paragraph (3) of this Article within three months of the date of
his so becoming a citizen;
(5) a Greek or a Turkish citizen of the Republic who comes within the provisions of paragraph (1) or (2) of this Article
may cease to belong to the Community of which he is a member and belong to the other Community upon -
(a) a written and signed declaration by such citizen to the effect that he desires such change, submitted to the appropriate
officer of the Republic and to the Presidents of the Greek and the Turkish Communal Chambers;
(b) the approval of the Communal Chamber of such other Community;
(6) any individual or any religious group deemed to belong to either the Greek or the Turkish Community under the
provisions of paragraph (3) of this Article may cease to belong to such Community and be deemed to belong to the other
Community upon -
(a) a written and signed declaration by such individual or religious group to the effect that such change is desired,
submitted to the appropriate officer of the Republic and to the Presidents of the Greek and the Turkish Communal
Chambers;
(b) the approval of the Communal Chamber of such other Community;
(7) (a) a married woman shall belong to the Community to which her husband belongs. (b) a male or female child under
the age of twenty-one who is not married shall belong to the Community to which his or her father belongs, or, if the
father is unknown and he or she has not been adopted, to the Community to which his or her mother belongs.
Brendan O'Leary Page 61 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
61
Cypriot community. In the event of option, the members of the group enjoyed
the same benefits as the other members of the relevant community. Any religious
group that opted as a group to belong to one of the two communities had the
community for which it opted. Any religious group, in common with other
bodies, had the right of recourse as a group to the supreme constitutional court.
Last, the constitution provided for members of the smaller religious groups to
enjoy no less extensive rights in respect of religious matters than they enjoyed in
law before, and matters of personal status remained under their jurisdiction.
not without their difficulties. While ethnic, religious and linguistic associational
jurisdiction, either within a state, or within a region. In some matters – the usual
examples given are criminal or business law – a single code of behaviour and a
single regime of sanctions will usually be sought and rational in at least some
generate a complex jurisprudence in which courts and other authorities will have
Brendan O'Leary Page 62 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
62
to regulate potentially conflicting territorial, corporate and personal principles.
about consociation, but what matters here is to establish the coherence and
Lebanon75.
traits, mutual community veto rights, is partly implied by the existence of the
each segment has at least weak and perhaps vigorous protection against
minorities who benefit from such autonomy can stop other minorities or
Brendan O'Leary Page 63 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
63
then the capacity of each group to block dominance by the others is enhanced –
very strong form of political inclusion. Formal mutual veto rights may exist
Within the legislature the consent of all the affected segments may be required
provisions for co-existence among Christians. This can take the form of requiring
charged with protecting group autonomy in bills of rights and charters that
Brendan O'Leary Page 64 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
64
Veto-rights create obvious difficulties for standard majoritarian democratic
stagnation can flow from the deployment of vetoes by all groups; and minorities
that over-use their veto rights may de-stabilize a consociational settlement76. That
formal veto rights tend to apply in the domains of the politics of identity: in
ethnic, religious or national domains, and not in every policy sector. In effect, in
these domains groups have parity of power, rather than proportional power.
They are likely to be attached to those provisions that make the state and the
multi-religious.
Lijphart argues that mutual vetoes may be formal or informal77. If they are
formal they are found within constitutions and institutional rules. Though
countries that are akin to mutual veto rights language should not be stretched.
practices into account. Veto-rights which have legal parity of power for the
Brendan O'Leary Page 65 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
65
segments in certain domains should be regarded as elements of more rigid
latter are plainly much more compatible with liberal human developmentalism.
consociation. They may entail, but do not mandate a fourth. In more rigid
consociations there will be parity or veto rights. These are most likely to be found
in constitutional provisions.
Brendan O'Leary Page 66 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
66
F. The Naturalness of Consociations and Explaining Them. Consociationalists observe
that consociations occur without their urgings. They think of them as “natural”
1958, and British politicians did so for Northern Ireland in 1972. We can add that
weighted toward the concerns of Turkish Cypriots (and Turkey) that they lost
the possibility of support among a majority of Greek Cypriots. And it is not just
Brendan O'Leary Page 67 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
67
(proportionality), and group rights (autonomy) are often advanced in packages
Much comparative political science has been devoted to explaining the genesis of
that might explain the development of consociational systems (some of which are
mutually incompatible). They may be ordered by (a) the number and the divisions
between groups (the demography and historical sociology of group relations); (b)
the domestic political regime (and the relations of its elites and citizens); and (c) the
This is not the place to review all these possible explanatory variables, or their
are less likely to be found among great military powers, because they are
discretionary executive power80. Such is now the argument of those who want to
create a vigorous apparatus for the foreign and security policy-making of the
European Union. Second, great powers are willing to impose on small powers
Brendan O'Leary Page 68 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
68
d. Not too many communities
e. Demographic equilibrium
2. History f. Elite traditions of accommodation
g. Past violence and its costs promotes accommodative
politics
h. Non-colonial relationships among communities
i. Absence of special homeland claims
j. Over-arching unifying identities, shared rather than rival
nationalisms
3. Sociology k. Internal cohesion among communities
l. Cross-cutting cleavages that weaken central axis of
antagonism
m. Geographically heterogeneous groups
n. Distinct lines of cleavage (that increase community
security) including geographical isolation
o. Approximate socio-economic equality of the communities
The Political 4. Political culture p. Publics disposed toward accommodation and power-
Regime sharing
q. Elites that know one another (size – see below under v)
and negotiate without too much constituency pressure
r. Adequate articulation of community interests
s. Secure and autonomous elites - popular legitimacy of the
governing elites
5.Political t. Institutions facilitate complete, concurrent, weak or
institutions descriptively consociational executives
u. Systems of electoral and party law that create elite
predominance or secure and accountable elites
The external 6. External position v. Small size – Elites that know one another
environment of the state or regime w Small size – Easier governance
x. Shared external threats
y. Relatively low foreign policy load
z. External pressure and international norms
consociational arrangements e.g. the USA and European powers used vigorous
Herzegovina and Macedonia, and in the last century the European powers
within many of the provinces of the Ottoman empire – ones that they did not
always apply to their own religious minorities. Similarly, the centers of sovereign
Brendan O'Leary Page 69 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
69
autonomy settlements in small regions without re-engineering their core states,
e.g. Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and Italy and South Tyrol. Third, the
sovereign states were to leave one another alone in their domestic cultural
zones. Their sovereignty gave them the right coercively to assimilate or integrate
This standard reading of the Westphalian system has never been without
1920s (after the collapse of the Habsburg, Ottoman and Czarist empires) new
principle could be regulated by the League of Nations. The treaties bound them
not to abuse their minorities and in some cases required them to develop semi-
autonomy). The story was hardly a success, and the United Nations was partly
efforts to lock new states into systems of minority protection. In turn this has
Brendan O'Leary Page 70 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
70
provided some external shield for minorities that advance consociational
demands.
Other indirect effects of international norms and interventions are also evident
and expulsion. Norms of some significance reward states that are democratic –
and make discriminatory regimes potential pariahs (though these now often
parade themselves as allies in the global war on terror). There are also
of all these norms leave international organizations and great powers when they
Northern Ireland, Cyprus, Iraq --- is to prescribe the partisan victory of one
Brendan O'Leary Page 71 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
71
Emergent Cases. There are at least three current experiments in “complex
illustrate these tentative suggestions. (Cyprus might have been another had
Turkey not over-negotiated and had the United Nations and the European Union
managed the local politics with greater perspicacity). All three involve executive
minorities with their kin in other states. They are somewhat less frequent than
which they can co-exist. They may involve defining the state as multi-national,
recurrences. They involve both the reform and the restructuring of security
Brendan O'Leary Page 72 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
72
systems, and measures intended to end secessionist (and anti-secessionist)
has internal territorial autonomy for Bosniacs and Croats. Macedonia will have
citizenship equality provisions --- and, they may have mechanisms that enable
great powers, regional organizations (e.g. the OSCE or the EU), or international
Brendan O'Leary Page 73 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
73
incorporation of international human and minority rights standards does not
co-operation and the formation of bodies with executive powers in more than
colonial overlords).
Summary. The rival moral and political evaluations of consociation are unlikely
integrationists will provoke avoidable wars and are biased towards the interests,
taxonomies and theories in the social and legal sciences is twofold: i.e. whether
that exponents of consociation, when their case is put carefully, can rebut the
wilder charges made against their moral and political positions. Consociations,
simple or complex, are certainly difficult to love and celebrate – even if their
makers often fully merit intellectual, moral and political admiration. They are,
Brendan O'Leary Page 74 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
74
after all, usually cold bargains, even if they may be tempered by political
counseled that their efforts may land them with these systems if they fail to win
5. Federal Arrangements
Philadelphia82. And, like consociations federations can be built around the idea
merits for achieving inclusion. Lastly they elaborate briefly on the less well-
Brendan O'Leary Page 75 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
75
drawing upon my own thoughts84, and some unpublished work by David
Rezvani85.
In a genuine federation at least two governmental units, the federal and the
concurrent or shared powers. Both the federal and regional governmental units
are empowered directly to deal with their citizens – which differentiates most
elect at least some components of both the federal and regional governments.
the constitution, and not from another government86. In authentic federations the
charged with upholding the constitution and umpiring differences between the
of the citizens as a whole, and a second chamber that represents the regions.
Federations vary extensively; first, in the extent to which they are “majoritarian”.
majorities, but do so to different degrees87. The USA, Australia and Brazil for
Brendan O'Leary Page 76 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
76
example, allow equal representation to each of their regions in the Senate,
federation is not majoritarian to the extent that it has inclusive executive power-
resources; and has mechanisms, such as the separation of powers, bills of rights,
monetary institutions and courts, that are insulated from the immediate power
federation. Kurds have been an enduring minority in Iraq and, judging by the
threaten their national, linguistic and cultural identities, as well as their regional
and economic interests. Sunni Iraqis too have an interest in constraining the
power of a potential federal majority that might be inimical to their religious and
other interests. Shi‘a may be the most tempted by a majoritarian political system,
but they may be less homogeneous than some of them hope and others fear –
given differences among them in religiosity, and dispositions towards Iran and
other neighboring states88. The more homogeneously Shi`a mobilize and act then
Brendan O'Leary Page 77 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
77
the greater the likelihood that they will generate a coalition of minorities against
them.
federal government. Some create very powerful second chambers. The US Senate
special powers over nominations to public office, and over treaty-making. Other
second chambers, such as those in Canada, India and Belgium, are very weak89.
Some have separately elected executives; some have executives chosen by the
federal first chamber; and there are both single person and collective executives.
federal and regional governments. In some federations the powers of the federal
German model the federal government makes broad policy and law while
empowering both tiers with distinct enabling and blocking powers (the
the courts) may not be an accurate guide to the policy-making autonomy and
discretion held by the separate tiers. The superior financial and political
resources of one tier (usually the federal) may allow it to weaken the other tier’s
Brendan O'Leary Page 78 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
78
capacities – as in the USA where the federal government’s pre-eminence is now
established90.
and its regions, the critical choice on political inclusion is whether the
internal national - and perhaps also, ethnic - differences from lasting political
have adopted this US model. Germany, Austria, Australia, Malaysia and the
United Arab Emirates are also national federations. National federalists think
one nation and one federation can be combined successfully. The earliest-
the USA and the Second German Reich were stepping-stone nationalists: the
prime function of federation was “to unite people living in different political
perform92.
Brendan O'Leary Page 79 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
79
American and American-educated intellectuals, political scientists and
were even cautious about immigrant groups concentrating too much in given
territorial locales, lest this give rise to ethnically based demands for self-
promote their dispersal: William Penn dissuaded Welsh immigrants from setting
federation, in the words of one of its most distinguished analysts, shows “little
precise to say that the sole coincidence is between white majorities and state
Brendan O'Leary Page 80 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
80
the famous melting pot of what Milton Gordon described as “Anglo
federation was evident in the now sacramental The Federalist Papers. In the words
of John Jay: “Providence has been pleased to give this one connected country to
one united people – a people descended from the same ancestors, speaking the
same language, professing the same religion, attached to the same principles of
government, very similar in their manners and their customs, and who, by their
joint counsels, arms and efforts, fighting side by side throughout a long and
This quick assessment of the “historical starting point” and development of the
Providence or not. In such cases to create regions in which one culture or one
people is pre-eminent, the historical practice of the USA, is a recipe for conflict,
example for analysis. It takes little historical knowledge to argue that no one
could plausibly advance John Jay’s arguments during the making of Iraq’s new
constitution. Iraq may be contiguously connected on maps, but it has not had a
united people, i.e. a people who think of themselves as descended from the same
ancestors, who speak the same language, or who profess the same religion –
Brendan O'Leary Page 81 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
81
Islam has, after all, divided them as much as it has united them. They neither
flow from a common stock, nor are they united by a common immigrant or
assimilationist experience. They have not “by their joint counsels, arms and
efforts” just fought a combined war of national liberation. To the contrary: only
the Kurds fought with the Allies; the Shi`a were reluctant to rise given their
some Sunni Ba’athists to this day are fighting the Allied occupation. It is true that
many Iraqi Arabs, be they Sunni or Shi’ite, fought side by side in Saddam
Hussein’s long and bloody war with Iran, and that that war proved that for most
of them ethnicity trumped religiosity, but some Shi`a did enroll with Iran, and
most were at the front through conscription rather than by choice. Notoriously
during that war Saddam organized genocidal massacres of Kurds, who were not
in any sense “his own people”98; just as he would later engage in repressive
It is, of course, feasible to have many regions in Ireaq in which Shi`a would be
regional boundaries that would not make the Shi`a dominant in many of them.
majorities anywhere in Iraq. In the case of the Kurds such a strategy would
require the partition of the existing regional government’s de facto jurisdiction and
Brendan O'Leary Page 82 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
82
the addition of significant non-Kurdish population and territories into each new
unit. Such design principles would return the Kurds to armed conflict with the
acquiesced in the partition of its homeland. As for Sunni Arabs, one reason why
the Ba’athists remain partly embedded among them is the widespread fear
among them that Shi`a will create a majoritarian democracy that they will see as
than designing the territorial boundaries of the new Iraqi federation to prevent
either Kurds or Sunnis from having regions in which they are the
considerations are overlooked by those who argue that a new Iraqi federation
should be built around the eighteen provinces of Ba’athist Iraq99. One American
political scientist has argued that the regional boundaries should be drawn to
prevent any of the three major communities, Kurds, Sunni Arabs or Shi’ite Arabs
from having local majority control100. There is nothing wrong in principle with
advocating this design, but it has no prospect of success in Iraq. To design or re-
draw regional borders along these lines would require the services of the armed
forces of the Allied occupiers or future UN forces. It is also difficult to see how
this thinking could even be regarded as feasible before a reliable new census; and
if it were known that the census would inform the drawing of such new borders
Brendan O'Leary Page 83 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
83
Advocates of multi-national federations have a different conception of how to
thought. Like consociationalists they seek “to unite people who seek the
and culture”101. They seek to recognize, express and institutionalize at least two
believe it is possible for the citizens of such federations to have dual or multiple
this symposium). They believe it is wrong to assume a priori either that multi-
national federations will lead to the abuse of the rights, interests and identities of
Multi-national federalism has long been advocated within both liberal and
academy102, including both those who see federations as devices to hold peoples
together as well as those who emphasize the merits of territorial autonomy for
and Canada are among the world’s oldest states – they have lasted in
recognizably similar forms since 1848 and 1867 respectively. But, while multi-
national federations have their enthusiasts, no one can deny that in the twentieth
century that they have had “a terrible track record”103. Multi-national and multi-
Brendan O'Leary Page 84 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
84
ethnic federations have broken down or have failed to remain democratic
Czechoslovakia and the USSR; and Ethiopia “lost” Eritrea); and they have also
Asia and the Caribbean104. In the Arabic world the United Arab Emirates is the
which the architects of the new Iraq would be well advised to bear in mind. John
McGarry and I highlight five key elements that have facilitated the breakdown of
multi-national federations105:
1. Coercion: They were usually forced together rather than being the outcome
Union.
Yugoslavia.
Brendan O'Leary Page 85 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
85
3. Maltreatment of smaller nations: They failed to resolve tensions between the
The implications for Iraq (and other possible postcolonial and postconflict sites)
One: The federation must be a voluntary pact, and not regarded as an American
prospective units –e.g Kurds must have a referendum in their own unit to
universal adult suffrage, competitive elections, freedom for political parties and
interest groups to mobilize, a constitution with the rule of law, human rights
Brendan O'Leary Page 86 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
86
protections, and a free media. Three: constructive relations based on mutual
recognition must be built between the three largest national and religious
communities, Kurds, Sunni Arabs, Shi’ite Arabs, as well as the smaller minorities
of Turkomen, Christians and others. Four: robust and adequate agreements have
to be built over the sharing of Iraq’s natural resources. Lastly, there must be
mechanisms – that would inhibit future efforts to centralize the federation, e.g.
governing coalition in the rest of Iraq in the future try to undermine Kurdistan’s
course, the only way to think about these matters. The major surviving federal
have had histories, institutions and practices that may separately or jointly
1. Multi-national federations may well benefit from having one large group,
a Staatsvolk. All other things being equal a Staatsvolk can feel secure and
has both the practical power to resist secession, and the capacity to be
Brendan O'Leary Page 87 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
87
2. Conversely, multi-national federations that lack a Staatsvolk, if they are to
federation but judging by the record of the twentieth century the presence
federations106.
interventionist neighbors who do not seek to play major roles in the lives
Brendan O'Leary Page 88 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
88
respective communities feel secure – and in consequence may facilitate the
5. Prosperous and fair federations are more likely to endure than those that
are not. One should not exaggerate the power of materialism in politics. It
Switzerland, Canada and India did not start rich, and India is far from
being rich. But, federations that over time facilitate increasing per capita
The application of these arguments to the future of Iraq may now be briefly
sketched. First, Iraq has a potential Staatsvolk, Shi`a Arabs, who might be
several factors tell against the materialization of this prospect. They have not
been the historically dominant people in the state; and it is unlikely that they will
be politically homogeneous – provided they get a fair stake in the new order.
They have religious and secular cleavages among them; they have intra-religious
cleavages; and they have class differences. Vigorous Shi`a majoritarianism would
guarantee a prolonged Sunni Arab resistance that would not just be political.
And Sunni Arabs, by virtue of their past dominance, have greater resources than
their potential rivals. Second, if there is no compelling evidence that the Shi‘a
Brendan O'Leary Page 89 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
89
centre as well as autonomy within the regions will be necessary to preserve the
federation. Federalism, after all, involves both “shared rule” as well as “self-
representation and power at the center is a sure recipe for conflict and
military, police and judiciary) and formal or informal minority veto-rights. And,
it has been argued that India has been at its most stable when its executive has
communities107. This evidence strongly suggests that Iraq needs an executive that
Kurdistan region, a Sunni dominated region, Baghdad and two Shi`a dominated
character – and would not require formal “set-asides”, the bugbear of many
Brendan O'Leary Page 90 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
90
military, police and judges are representative of Iraq’s diversity would cement
the necessary political accommodation. Third, the external conditions for the
success of federation in Iraq are not difficult to spell out: Turkey, Syria, Iran and
Saudi Arabia will have to keep out of their neighbor’s territory, and avoid
democratic federation in Iraq, but if, and only if, that future Iraqi federation is
range of other ethnic communities, notably Turkomen, who will need to have
institutional recognition and protections, both at the federal and regional levels.
Multi-religious, both to manage the Shi`a and Sunni divide, their internal
divisions, and the non-Muslim religions, as well as those who have no religion.
the state from any distinctive religion, though it need not preclude the
constitution from recognizing Islam as the major religion of the peoples of Iraq –
a policy that would avoid establishing any clerisy. Regional and proportional
Brendan O'Leary Page 91 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
91
funding of education might also resolve many possible religious sources of
conflict.
We may also treat the notion of ‘federacy’, also raised in Professor Stepan’s
Baghdad (or London or in other capitals in the world). Kurds cannot, of course,
negotiate with those willing to make a deal with them. Kurds, however, have
of its units, and within that unit they should deepen and extend their own
rights for Turkomen that Turks have not given to Kurds in Turkey. Kurds
sharing in the federal government, and full cultural rights for Kurds living
outside Kurdistan.
Brendan O'Leary Page 92 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
92
3. To insist on default mechanisms that would protect Kurdistan in the
But Kurds have to consider their options if the rest of Iraq chooses not to accept
can say that they will accept the rest of Iraq choosing to be unitary, or indeed
its institutions and constitutional competencies from the rest of the state; it
creates a division of powers between the federacy and the central government
international, to deal with difficulties that might arise between the federacy and
entrenched so that the federacy can veto any changes in its status or powers; and,
ideally, its status and powers are internationally protected in a treaty. In short,
while Kurds have no right to impose a federation on the rest of Iraq, they have
Brendan O'Leary Page 93 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
93
they would probably seek looser power-sharing arrangements in the central
permutations of all three systems, are ways of achieving inclusive but non-
linguistic and religious diversity. There are working examples of each. The
model of the homogenizing nation-state not only need not be followed, it is often
a recipe for protracted conflict. This is not to say that maintaining a state must be
exercised through secession is the best remedy for historic ill-treatment and a
fresh start. But unionists and federalists determined to maintain their states
integrationist nation-states.
Brendan O'Leary Page 94 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
94
Appendix 1. Electoral Arrangements and Inclusion.
more significantly the greater the ease with which voter-registration can be
administration and the counting process, the greater the personal security of
competitiveness of media outlets, and the greater the transparency and equality
arrangements.
The discussion above has identified four broad political strategies that encourage
federalized models of territorial autonomy. The first two are attached to nation-
state models of homogenization; the latter two attempt to build and expand dual
strategies are, of course, possible, but are not treated here. Each of the four
strategies fits better with certain electoral designs – though this comment
Brendan O'Leary Page 95 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
95
Assimilationist and integrationist democrats prefer state-wide political parties,
on divisible, tradable, and material interests. For these reasons they are disposed
toward electoral systems that promote two-party or two bloc systems, and that
bloc – government, facing a single-party (or at least single bloc) opposition. They
believe the best systems generate pressures for parties to support median or
the form of plurality rule in single-member districts (the historic British and
American norm) or double-ballot systems (the historic French norm). They may
vote), that is used to elect the lower chamber of the Australian federal
ambitions, and for these reasons they too tend to favor majoritarian electoral
within regions – enabling each region to have self-government – but may prefer
more proportional (in the house) or parity (in the senate) systems at the level of
Brendan O'Leary Page 96 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
96
Such systems can reinforce existing divisions creating tyrannies of the majority
(or of the plurality). Conflict in Sri Lanka stems from the 1950s where
only) extremism, and where Tamil votes did not count in the way they might
Northern Ireland between 1920 and 1972 the dominant Ulster Unionist Party was
thereby unifying the unionist bloc against Irish nationalists. In the deep South of
for a century. In fairness, however, it has to be said that these are not necessary
results of these electoral systems (and be it noted that changes of such electoral
systems towards more proportional ones may not immediately improve inter-
group relations). Throughout their democratic histories Canada and India, both
parties capable of appealing across ethnic and linguistic blocs and being broadly
respectively.
Brendan O'Leary Page 97 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
97
Certain integrationists commend the merits of two means of making the votes of
over an entire state or region. The logic is to ensure that candidates and parties
have incentives to win broad-based support. The hope is that will ensure that
Such systems, however, have certain drawbacks: they may not specify what
fail guarantee clear outcomes); and a candidate might defeat another candidate
even though the “winner” has a lower share of the overall vote. The second is to
The logic here is that if minorities are present in enough heterogeneous electoral
districts then larger parties and their candidates will seek to win lower-order
having enough such heterogeneous districts, and forgets that majorities within
when the former can represent the latter as betraying the relevant community.
obtain 50 per cent of the vote, plus one (before or after lower-order preferences
Brendan O'Leary Page 98 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
98
have been counted), makes it very unlikely that small parties will fare well, and
even if minorities may get to influence the behavior of the candidates of larger
parties under the alternative vote, it may well be at the price of achieving the
representation as the preferred goal and method of the electoral system. Other
mechanisms can be used. Communal rolls have been used in consociational and
independent Lebanon and Cyprus, but for reasons discussed in the text these are
corporate and illiberal in nature. Reserved seats for minorities have been used to
where ‘spiders’, ‘lollipops’ and generally contorted districts are drawn to ensure
e.g. African-American or Latino majority districts in the USA. Such systems may
be useful, especially for groups that might otherwise fail to win any elected
Brendan O'Leary Page 99 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
99
Liberal consociationalists, however, reject reserved seats (except for very small
minorities); and they reject communal rolls of voters (though they object less to
one community). For liberal consociationalists the effective choice is between list
proportional representation systems (the formulae that can be used with such
systems are cited in the main text) and the preferential voting system known as
voters to cast one vote for a party that has presented and ranked-ordered its list
share of the vote, the formula used (see above), and the district magnitude (the
number of seats to be filled). These systems enable voters to choose that party
with which they identify. They may pick a national, ethnic, religious or linguistic
party, or not, the choice is theirs. Such systems normally enable party leaders to
have control over the rank-order of candidates on the list (though open-list
systems are also possible), and they are sometimes defended because they fortify
preferences in numerical order across both parties and candidates. This system
support for a candidate or a party that is unpopular the may rest assured that
Brendan O'Leary Page 100 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
100
their lower-order preferences are likely to count in determining which
candidates reach the quotas required for election to office. This system has the
No political scientist would claim that electoral systems on their own can achieve
inappropriate electoral system may well be deeply damaging for the prospects of
consociation.
Brendan O'Leary Page 101 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
101
Endnotes
1 This assertion takes issue with the emphasis on ‘social capital’, inspired recently by Robert D.
Putnam’s Making Democracy Work, 1993 – and see his "Tuning in, Tuning Out: The Strange
Disappearance of Social Capital in America." PS: Political Science and Politics xxviii, no. 4 (1995):
664-83. The ‘social capital’ school focuses on societies’ capacities to explain developmental
differences between regions and states, including in political participation, citizens’ conceptions
of their efficacy and democratic development. The notion of ‘social capital’ has merits – and
difficulties - but it is states that determine the trajectories of their societies, including their levels
of social capital, for good or ill.
2 Hobbes, Thomas. Leviathan (or the Matter, Forme & Power of a Common-Wealth Ecclesiastical and
Civill), edited by Richard Tuck, Cambridge Texts in the History of Political Thought. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 1991 (1651), pp. 88-9.
3 Rummel, Rudolph J. Death by Government, with a Foreword by Irving Louis Horowitz. London and
New York: Transaction Publishers, 1997.
4 Power, Samantha. A Problem from Hell: America and the Age of Genocide. New York: Basic Books,
2002.
5 See inter alia Horowitz, Donald L, and Gérard Noiriel, eds. Immigrants in Two Democracies:
French and American Experiences. New York: New York University Press, 1992, and Noiriel,
Gérard. Le Creuset Française. Paris: Sueil, 1988.
6 ‘The consistent policy of the state of Turkey from its inception has been the destruction of
Kurdish culture and the forced assimilation of Kurds into a purely Turkish society’, Hannum,
Hurst. Autonomy, Sovereignty, and Self-Determination: The Accommodation of Conflicting Rights.
Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1990, p 188. See also US Helsinki Watch
Committee. "Destroying Ethnic Identity, The Kurds of Turkey." New York and Washington D.C.,
1988.
7 For contrasting perspectives on some of the US literature see Alba, Richard. "Immigration and
the American Realities of Assimilation and Multiculturalism." Sociological Forum 14, no. 1 (1999):
3-25; Brubaker, Rogers. "The Return of Assimilation? Changing Perspectives on Immigration and
Its Sequels in France, Germany, and the United States." Ethnic and Racial Studies 24, no. 4 (July)
(2001): 531-48; Foner, Nancy, Rubén G Rumbaut, and Steven J Gold, eds. Immigration Research for
a New Century. New York: Sage, 2003; Gans, Herbert J. "Toward a Reconciliation of "Assimilation"
and "Pluralism": The Interplay of Acculturation and Ethnic Retention." International Migration
Brendan O'Leary Page 102 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
102
Review 31, no. 4 (1997): 875-92; Glazer, Nathan. "Is Assimilation Dead?" Annals of the American
Academy of Political and Social Science 530 (1993): 122-36, and We Are All Multiculturalists Now.
Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press, 1997; Gordon, Milton M. Assimilation in American
Life: The Role of Race, Religion and National Origins. New York: Oxford University Press, 1964;
Horowitz, Donald L, and Gérard Noiriel, eds. Immigrants in Two Democracies: French and American
Experiences. New York: New York University Press, 1992; Kazal, Russell A. "Revisiting
Assimilation: The Rise, Fall and Reappraisal of a Concept in American Ethnic History." The
American Historical Review 100, no. 2 (1995); Portes, Alejandro, and Rubén G Rumbaut. Immigrant
America: A Portrait. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1990; Rumbaut, Rubén G.
"Assimilation and Its Discontents: Between Rhetoric and Reality." International Migration Review
31, no. 4 (1997): 923-60; Sowell, Thomas. Ethnic America: A History. New York: Basic Books, 1981;
Waters, Mary C. Black Identities: West Indian Immigrant Dreams and American Realities. Cambridge,
Mass: Harvard University Press, 2001.
8 For some largely comparative reflections on Canadian assimilationist policies towards the ‘first
nations’ see, inter alia, Armitage, Andrew. Comparing the Policy of Aboriginal Assimilation: Australia,
Canada and New Zealand. Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press, 1995; Cairns, Alan C.
"Dream Versus Reality in "Our" Constitutional Future: How Many Communities." In
Reconfigurations: Canadian Citizenship and Constitutional Change: Selected Essays by Alan Cairns,
edited by D. Williams, 315-47. Toronto: McClelland and Stewart, 1995; Noel, Sid J.R. "Canadian
Responses to Ethnic Conflict: Consociationalism, Federalism and Control." In The Politics of Ethnic
Conflict-Regulation: Case Studies of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts, edited by John McGarry and Brendan
O'Leary, 41-61. London: Routledge, 1993; Werther, Guntram F.A., ed. Self-Determination in
Western Democracies: Aboriginal Politics in a Comparative Perspective. Westport: Greenwood Press,
1992.
9 For some discussions of historic coercive assimilationist policies towards Australasian
aboriginals see inter alia Armitage, Andrew. Comparing the Policy of Aboriginal Assimilation:
Australia, Canada and New Zealand. Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press, 1995; Birch,
Anthony. Nationalism and National Integration. London: Unwin Hyman, 1989; Brett, Judith. "Every
Morning as the Sun Came Up: The Enduring Pain of the "Stolen Generation"." In Times Literary
Supplement, 4-5. London, 1997; Human Rights and Equal Opportunity Commission. "Bringing
Them Home: Report of the National Inquiry into the Separation of Aboriginal and Torres Strait
Islander Children from Their Families." 689. Sydney NSW Australia, 1997; Hutchinson, John. "Re-
Interpreting Cultural Nationalism." Australian Journal of Politics and History 45, no. 3 (1999): 393-
407; Reynolds, Henry. Aboriginal Sovereignty: Reflections on Race, State, and Nation. St. Leonards,
Brendan O'Leary Page 103 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
103
NSW: Allen & Unwin, 1996.
10 For an interesting comparison of ‘nations’ to ‘batteries’ see Canovan, Margaret. Nationhood and
Political Theory. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1996.
11 Cited in Tessler, Mark. A History of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Bloomington: Indiana
University Press, 1994, p. 25.
12 See inter alia Finer, Samuel E. "State and Nation Building in Europe: The Role of the Military."
In The Formation of National States in Western Europe, edited by Charles Tilly. Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 1975; Tilly, Charles, ed. The Formation of National States in Western Europe.
Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1975, passim; Mann, Michael. "The Emergence of
Modern European Nationalism." In Transition to Modernity: Essays on Power, Wealth and Belief,
edited by John A. Hall and Ian C. Harvie, 137-63. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992;
and Anthony W. Marx [fill in reference]
13 Mill, John Stuart. "Considerations on Representative Government." In Utilitarianism, on Liberty
and Considerations on Representative Government, edited by H.B. Acton. London: Dent, 1988, ch. 16.
14 Gellner, Ernest. Conditions of Liberty: Civil Society and Its Rivals. London: Hamish Hamilton,
1994.
15 Thornberry, Patrick. "The UN Declaration on the Rights of Persons Belonging to National, or
Ethnic, Religious and Linguistic Minorities: Background, Analysis, Observations, and an
Update." In Universal Minority Rights, edited by Alan Phillips and Allan Rosas, 13-76. Abo and
London: Institute of Human Rights Abo Akademi University and Minority Rights Group
International, 1995, p. 21.
16 Rowthorn, Bob. "Migration Limits." Prospect 2003, 24-31.
17 For some discussions of homeland psychology see inter alia Connor, Walker. "The Impact of
Homelands Upon Diasporas." In Modern Diasporas in International Politics, edited by Gabriel
Sheffer, pp. 16-46. London: Croom Helm, 1985; Esman, Milton. "Two Dimensions of Ethnic
Politics: Defence of Homelands, Immigrant Rights." Ethnic and Racial Studies 8, no. July (1985);
and Yiftachel, Oren. "The Homeland and Nationalism." In Encyclopaedia of Nationalism, edited by
Alexander Motyl, pp. 359-83. New York: Academic Press, 2001.
18 For a celebration of cosmopolitanism that tacitly rests on the merits of assimilation see
Waldron, Jeremy. "Minority Cultures and the Cosmopolitan Alternative." In The Rights of Minority
Cultures, edited by Will Kymlicka, 93-122. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995.
19 Brubaker, Rogers. "National Minorities, Nationalizing States, and External National Homelands
in the New Europe." In Nationalism Reframed: Nationhood and the National Question in the New
Europe, 55-76. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996.
Brendan O'Leary Page 104 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
104
20 For a consistent polemic on behalf of integration and against multiculturalism see Barry, Brian.
Culture & Equality: An Egalitarian Critique of Multiculturalism. Oxford: Polity, 2001.
21 See Smith, Rogers M. Civic Ideals: Conflicting Visions of Citizenship in U.S. History. New Haven:
Yale University Press, 1997, and Stories of Peoplehood: The Politics and Morals of Political Membership.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003.
22 See the chapter by Kymlicka in this collection.
23 In the case of the USA contrast the fears of Schlesinger, A.M. The Disuniting of America:
Reflections on a Multicultural Society. New York: W.W.Norton, 1992 with the careful empirical
arguments of Hall, John A, and Charles Lindholm. Is America Breaking Apart? Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 1999.
24 For a mere sample of the huge, cacophonous albeit Anglophone literature see inter alia Alba,
Richard. "Immigration and the American Realities of Assimilation and Multiculturalism."
Sociological Forum 14, no. 1 (1999): 3-25; Appiah, K. Anthony. "Culture, Subculture,
Multiculturalism: Educational Options." In Public Education in a Multicultural Society: Policy,
Theory, and Critique, edited by Robert K. Fullinwider: Cambridge University Press, 1996; Barber,
Benjamin R. "Multiculturalism between Individuality and Community: Chasm or Bridge?" In
Liberal Modernism and Democratic Individuality; George Kateb and the Practices of Politics, edited by
Austin Sarat and Dana R. Villa. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1996; Barry, Brian. Culture
& Equality: An Egalitarian Critique of Multiculturalism. Oxford: Polity, 2001; Baubock, Rainer.
"Liberal Justifications for Ethnic Group Rights." In Multicultural Questions, edited by Christian
Joppke and Steven Lukes. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999; Bennett, Fred. "The Face of the
State." Political Studies xlvii, no. 4 (1999): 677-90; Birnbaum, Pierre. "From Multiculturalism to
Nationalism." Political Theory 24, no. 1 (Feb. '96) (1996): 33-45; Eide, A. "A Review and Analysis of
Constructive Approaches to Group Accommodation and Minority Protection in Divided or
Multicultural Societies." Dublin: Forum for Peace and Reconciliation, 1996; Fish, Stanley, The
Trouble with Principle. Cambridge. Mass: Harvard University Press, 1999; Glazer, N.
"Multiculturalism and Public Policy." In Values and Public Polciy, edited by Henry J. Aaron,
Thomas E. Mann and Timothy Taylor, 113-45. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institute, 1993;
Glazer, Nathan. We Are All Multiculturalists Now. Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press,
1997; Guibernau, Montserrat, and John Rex, eds. The Ethnicity Reader: Nationalism,
Multiculturalism and Migration. Oxford: Polity Press, 1997; Habermas, Jurgen. "Struggles for
Recognition in Constitutional States." European Journal of Philosophy 1, no. 2 (1993): 128-55; Harles,
John. "Integration before Assimilation: Immigration, Multiculturalism and the Canadian Polity."
Canadian Journal of Political Science XXX, no. 4 (1997): 711-36; Hell, Judit, and Ferenc L Lendvai.
Brendan O'Leary Page 105 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
105
"Multiculturalism and Constitutional Patriotism in Eastern Europe." In Beyond Nationalism.
Soverignty and Citizenship, edited by Fred Dallmayr and Jose Rosales. Lanham, Maryland:
Lexington Books, 2001; Hughes, Robert. The Culture of Complaint: The Fraying of America. Oxford:
Oxford University Press, 1993; Joppke, Christian, and Steven Lukes, eds. Multicultural Questions.
Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000; Kymlicka, Will. Multicultural Citizenship: A Liberal Theory
of Minority Rights. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995; Kymlicka, Will, and Wayne Norman,
eds. Citizenship in Diverse Societies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000; Lehning, Percy.
"Towards a Multicultural Civil Society: Social Capital and Democratic Citizenship." Government
and Opposition (1998); Linder, Wolf. Swiss Democracy: Possible Solutions to Conflict in Multicultural
Societies. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1994; Lukes, Steven. Liberals and Cannibals: The Implications
of Diversity. London: Verso, 2003; Modood, Tariq. "Multiculturalism, Secularism and the State."
Critical Review of International Social & Political Philosophy 1, no. 3 (1998): 79-97; Okin, Susan
Moller. "Feminism and Multiculturalism; Some Tensions." Ethics 108, no. July (-1998): 661-84;
Parekh, Bhikhu. "Dilemmas of a Multicultural Theory of Citizenship." Constellations 4, no. 1
(1997): 54-62; Raz, Joseph. "Multiculturalism." Dissent, no. Winter (1994): 67-79; Shapiro, Ian, Will
Kymlicka, Ethnicity and Group Rights Edited by Ian Shapiro and Will Kymlicka, Nomos ; 39. New
York: New York University Press, 1997; Shweder, Richard A, Martha Minow, and Hazel Rose
Markus, eds. Engaging Cultural Differences: The Multicultural Challenge in Liberal Democracies. New
York: Russell Sage Foundation, 200#; Takaki, Ronald. A Different Mirror: A History of Multicultural
America. Boston: Little Brown, 1993; Taylor, C. "The Politics of Recognition." In Multiculturalism
and 'the Politics of Recognition', edited by C. Taylor and A. Gutman. Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 1992; Taylor, Charles. Multiculturalism and the Politics of Recognition. Princeton
NJ: Princeton University Press, 1992; Tempelman, Sasja. "Constructions of Cultural Identity:
Multiculturalism and Exclusion." Political Studies XLVII (1999): 17-31; van den Berghe, Pierre.
2001; Waldron, Jeremy. "Multiculturalism and Melange." In Public Education in a Multicultural
Society: Policy, Theory and Critique, edited by Robert K. Fullinwider, 90-118: Cambridge Univeristy
Press, 1996; Ward, Cynthia. "The Limits of "Liberal Republicanism": Why Group-Based Remedies
and Republican Citizenship Don't Mix." Columbia Law Review 91, no. 3 (1991): 581-607; Young, Iris
Marion. "A Multicultural Continuum: A Critique of Will Kymlicka's Ethnic-Nation Dichotomy."
Constellations 4, no. 1 (1997).
25 Inter-state modes of multi-culturalism, confederations, such as the European Union cannot be
considered here, though the discussion of federal and consociational principles is in many
respects equally pertinent at the inter-state level within alliances, leagues and confederations.
26 See inter alia Lijphart, Arend, ed. Conflict and Coexistence in Belgium: The Dynamics of a Culturally
Brendan O'Leary Page 106 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
106
Divided Society, Research Series, No 46. Berkeley: Institute of International Studies University Of
California, 1981; "Consociation and Federation: Conceptual and Empirical Links." Canadian
Journal of Political Science xii, no. 3 (1979): 495-515; "Consociational Democracy." World Politics 21,
no. 2 (1969): 207-25; Democracy in Plural Societies: A Comparative Exploration. New Haven, London:
Yale University Press, 1977; The Politics of Accommodation: Pluralism and Democracy in the
Netherlands. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1968; Power-Sharing in South Africa. Berkeley:
University of California Press, 1985; "Self-Determination Versus Pre-Determination of Ethnic
Minorities in Power-Sharing Systems." In The Rights of Minority Cultures, edited by Will Kymlicka.
Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995; and "Typologies of Democratic Systems." Comparative
Political Studies 1, no. 1 (1968): 3-44.
27 ‘Power-sharing’ is not a synonym for consociation because there are other than consociational
ways to share power: e.g. through federation, intermittent and temporary coalitions, alternating
governments, the separation of powers, and through generally ‘collegial’ institutions, cf. Collins,
Randall. "Democratization from the Outside In: A Geopolitical Theory of Collegial Power." In
Macro History: Essays in Sociology of the Long Run, 110-51. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press,
1999. Each of the types of power-sharing just listed can be deployed in consociational formats.
What makes consociational power-sharing distinctive is that it mandates power-sharing across
communities through formulae of proportionality and autonomy.
28 Horowitz, Donald L. Ethnic Groups in Conflict. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985, p.
256.
29 Brass, Paul R. "Ethnic Conflict in Multiethnic Societies: The Consociational Solution and Its
Critics." In Ethnicity and Nationalism: Theory and Comparison, 333-48. New Delhi: Sage, 1991, pp.
333, 338.
30 Brass, op. cit., p. 346, n.11.
31 For a typical libertarian objection to affirmative action see Sowell, Thomas. Preferential Policies:
An International Perspective. New York: Quill, 1990.
32 Brass, p. 334, my emphasis.
33 Jung, Courtney, and Ian Shapiro. "South Africa's Negotiated Transition: Democracy,
Opposition, and the New Constitutional Order." Politics & Society 23, no. 3 (1995): 269-308, cf. 274,
275.
34 Ibid. , p. 293.
35 Originally posed by Brian Barry the claim is now endlessly recycled, Barry, Brian. "The
Consociational Model and Its Dangers." European Journal of Political Research 3 (1975): 393-413,
"Review Article: Political Accommodation and Consociational Democracy." British Journal of
Brendan O'Leary Page 107 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
107
Political Science 5 (1975): 477-505. Observing that Lijphart accepts Robert Dahl’s definition of
polyarchy, one critic maintains that Dahl’s emphasis on competitive politics implies that
consociational democracy is a contradiction in terms, Van Schendelen, M.P.C.M. "The Views of
Arend Lijphart and Collected Criticism." Acta Politica 1 (1984): 19-55, p. 32.
36 Brass, op. cit., p. 340. Since he uses Great Britain for his argument rather than the United
Kingdom one must assume that his exclusion of Northern Ireland from his endorsement of its
adversarial politics is deliberate (or else he fallaciously equates Great Britain with the United
Kingdom). If Northern Ireland is considered part of the United Kingdom political system, which
it has been, the merits of adversarial politics are much less obvious. As for the USA the claims for
the integrative effects of adversarial politics with respect to native Americans and the
descendants of slaves have been unconvincing to successive cohorts of foreign observers of the
USA from Tocqueville to Myrdal. Their stories are an integral part of the critical histories of
American political development.
37 Halpern, Sue. "The Disorderly Universe of Consociational Democracy." West European Politics 9,
no. 2 (1986): 181-97.
38 Kieve, Ronald. "Pillars of Sand: A Marxist Critique of Consociational Democracy in the
Netherlands." Comparative Politics 13, no. April (1981).
39 These objections to consociation are common to distinguished liberal political philosophers
like Brian Barry and Ian Shapiro and distinguished liberal political scientists such as Ian S
Lustick and Paul Brass, as well as more conservative distinguished political scientists. It is of
interest that one can classify three of these standard political and ethical arguments against
consociation according to the tropes of Albert Hirschman’s The Rhetoric of Reaction: Perversity,
Futility, Jeopardy.
40 In On Liberty and Considerations on Representative Government Mill, like Tocqueville, was much
more concerned about the tyranny of the ignorant, the conformist, the puritanical, and the
unlettered masses. In Considerations, however, he did decree the unlikelihood of multi-national
or bi-national states, but largely because he seemed to consider one nationality and one language
necessary for one public opinion.
41 Bauer, Otto. The Question of Nationalities and Social Democracy, Edited by Ephraim Nimni, Trans.
Joseph O'Donnell. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 2000.
42 Nagel, Jack H. "Expanding the Spectrum of Democracies: Reflections on Proportional
Representation in New Zealand." In Democracy and Institutions: The Life Work of Arend Lijphart,
edited by Markus M.L. Crepaz, Thomas A Koelbe and David Wilsford, 113-27. Ann Arbor: The
Brendan O'Leary Page 108 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
108
University of Michigan Press, 2000. This spectrum was introduced in a criticism of some of
Lijphart’s formulations, and originates in the work of Buchanan and Tullock.
43 This idea had its origins in thinking about how to classify cross-community levels of supports
for elements of the unfolding peace process in Northern Ireland.
44 Lijphart recognizes this by describing joint decision making as the key characteristic of power-
sharing. Our analysis suggests some objections to Lijphart’s classifications may be dismissed, e.g.
Horowitz, op. cit., p. 575, complains none of the four developing countries identified by Lijphart
as having followed consociational practices, viz. Lebanon, Malaysia, Surinam and the
Netherlands Antilles, had grand coalitions because each group was represented by more than
one set of leaders.
45 See Taagepera, Rein, and Matthew Soberg Shugart. Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants
of Electoral Systems. New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 1989, pp. 273-5, and Lijphart,
Arend, ed. Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, Comparative
European Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1994., pp. 25-30.
46 See O'Leary, Brendan. "The Nature of the Agreement." Fordham Journal of International Law 22,
no. 4 (1999): 1628-67.
47 Another issue here is the question of exclusion and inclusion of communities over time. If a
pivotal or dominant party alternates in its choice of community parties (as occurred in the
Netherlands before the 1970s) in sharing executive power how may such a case be classified?
One simple answer is that the executive is consociational as regards the included communities
(and variable in degree: i.e. the executive may enjoy complete, concurrent or weak support from
within the included communities). But, it is not consociational as regards the excluded. Where
one community stays constantly in the executive, and alternates its partners from other
communities it may seem plausible to label this phenomenon a ‘diachronic grand coalition’, but
this looks too much like conceptual stretching. My thanks to Matthijs Bogaards for obliging me to
address this matter (personal communication).
48 S.J.R. Noel cites historian Frank Underhill as saying that the great Canadian invention of the
nineteenth century was the ‘composite bi-racial, bi-cultural party, uniting both French and
English voters’, "Canadian Responses to Ethnic Conflict: Consociationalism, Federalism and
Control." In The Politics of Ethnic Conflict-Regulation: Case Studies of Protracted Ethnic Conflicts,
edited by John McGarry and Brendan O'Leary, 41-61. London: Routledge, 1993, p. 49.
49 This discussion has benefited from discussions with Dr. Matthijs Bogaards of the University of
Southampton.
50 The second and third criteria are Bogaards’s; the first and last suggestions are mine.
Brendan O'Leary Page 109 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
109
51 See Lijphart’s comments on the Study Project on Christianity in Apartheid Society, Power-
Sharing in South Africa p. 48-51.
52 See Lijphart’s commentary on South Africa’s 1993 Constitution, Power-Sharing in South Africa,
pp. 52-64, especially p. 61.
53 Lijphart meant to use quasi to describe ‘having some resemblance, but false’ (personal
communication).
54 Donald Rothchild, ‘Hegemonial Exchange: An Alternative Model for Managing Conflict in
Middle Africa.’ In Ethnicity, Politics and Development (eds.) Dennis L Thompson and Dov Ronen
(Boulder, Co: Lynne Rienner, 1986); Managing Ethnic Conflict in Africa (Washington, D.C.:
Brookings Institution Press, 1997); and ‘Middle Africa: Hegemonial Exchange and Resource
Allocation, ‘ in Comparative Resource Allocation, in (eds.) Alexander Groth and Larry Wade (New
York: Sage Publications, 1984).
55 For example, the appointment of Protestants to Catholic school boards would be against the
spirit of consociational accommodation if education is supposed is a domain of community
autonomy.
56 The literature on electoral systems and their consequences is huge. For useful samples see
Barry Ames, ‘Electoral Strategy under Open-List Proportional Representation.’ American Journal
of Political Science 39, no. 2 (1995): 406-34; Andre Blais, ‘The Classification of Electoral Systems.’
European Journal of Political Research 16 (1988): 99-110, Vernon Bogdanor and David Butler (eds.)
Democracy and Elections: Electoral Systems and Their Political Consequences (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 1983), Andrew M. Carstairs, A Short History of Electoral Systems in Western
Europe (London: Allen and Unwin, 1980), Gary Cox, Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in
the World's Electoral Systems (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1997), K.R. de Silva,
‘Electoral Systems for Multi-Ethnic Societies.’ (Geneva: UNRISD, 1995), David M. Farrell,
Comparing Electoral Systems (Hemel Hempstead: Prentice-Hall, 1997), Bernard Grofman and
Arend Lijphart (eds.) Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences (New York: Agathon Press,
1986), Bernard Grofman and Andrew Reynolds, ‘Electoral Systems and the Art of Constitutional
Engineering: An Inventory of the Main Findings’, in Rules and Reason: Perspectives on
Constitutional Political Economy (eds.) R. Mudambi, P. Navarra and G. Sobbrio (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2000), Jennifer Hart, Proportional Representation. Critics of the British
Electoral System 1820-1945 (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 1992), Jean A
Laponce, ‘The Protection of Minorities by the Electoral System.’ Western Political Quarterly X
(1957): 318-39, Arend Lijphart (ed.) Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven
Democracies, Comparative European Politics (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1994), A. Lijphart
Brendan O'Leary Page 110 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
110
and B. Grofman (eds.) Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives (New York: Praeger,
1984), Dieter Nohlen, Elections and Electoral Systems (New Delhi: Macmillan, 1996), Benjamin
Reilly and Andrew Reynolds, Electoral Systems and Conflict in Divided Societies, Papers on
International Conflict 2 (Washington DC: National Academy Press, 1999), and The International Idea
Handbook of Electoral Design (Stockholm: International Institute for Democracy and Electoral
Assistance, 1997), W. Rule and JF Zimmerman (eds.) Electoral Systems in Comparative Perspective:
Their Impact on Women and Minorities (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1994), Giovanni Sartori,
‘The Influence of Electoral Systems: Faulty Laws or Faulty Methods?’, in Electoral Laws and Their
Political Consequences, (ed.) B. Grofman and A. Lijphart (New York: Agathon Press, 1986), pp. 43-
68, Rein Taagepera and Matthew Soberg Shugart, Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants of
Electoral Systems (New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 1989).
57 The list includes formulae that have not yet been used in functioning consociational systems.
58 Michael Gallagher, ‘Proportionality, Disproportionality and Electoral Systems.’ Electoral Studies
10, no. 1 (1991), p. 49.
59 I follow Michael Gallagher, ‘Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems:
Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities’, British Journal of Political Science 22 (1992): 469-96,
and exclude imperiali quotas or divisors because they are not generally proportional as Gallagher
has demonstrated.
60 Gallagher, ‘Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems’.
61 Judges or independent commissions working to establish criteria are incomparably than
politicians in ensuring that electoral gerrymandering is minimized. Indeed, to achieve the
equality of voters, a key measure of inclusiveness, this is perhaps the simplest lesson of
democratic design.
62 Gallagher, ‘Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems’, pp. 491-2, has
demonstrated that ‘highest averages’ methods are free from the paradoxes that can arise with
‘largest remainders’ methods (where parties growing relative to other parties might lose a seat, or
an expansion in the number of seats in a parliament may lead to a region having its
representation reduced even though its population remains the same).
63 For an extended discussion see Arend Lijphart, ‘Proportionality by Non-PR Methods: Ethnic
Representation in Belgium, Cyprus, Lebanon, New Zealand, West Germany and Zimbabwe.’ In
Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives, (eds.) A. Lijphart and B. Grofman (New
York: Praeger, 1984), pp. 111-23.
64 The presumed Muslim demographic expansion had two causes: a higher birth-rate, and
Muslim over-representation among the Palestinian refugee population - from the 1948 war
Brendan O'Leary Page 111 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
111
accompanying the formation of Israel, and from the ‘Black September’ massacre in Jordan in
1970.
65 This situation should be distinguished from one in which positive preferential or affirmative
action is required to rectify historical imbalances (that is usually the result of historic
discrimination). Positive preferential or affirmative action policies may well temporarily over-
represent the under-represented in new cohorts of appointees. But these policies are intended to
achieve overall proportionality not to deliver net over-representation.
66 Constitution of Cyprus 1960, Article 46 [accessed on October 21 2002].
http://www.pio.gov.cy/cygov/constitution/appendix_d_part3.htm
67 For example see Arend Lijphart, ‘Multiethnic Democracy’, in The Encyclopaedia of Democracy
(ed.) Seymour Martin Lipset, (London: Routledge, 1995: 857).
68 Hanf, ‘Coexistence in Prewar Lebanon’, p. 95.
69 One source of tension in the Lebanon before its civil war began in 1975 was that Maronites
regarded certain key offices as their ‘preserves’: ‘the command of the army, the directorates of
military intelligence and state security, the governorship of the Central Bank and the
chairmanship of the Conséil d’État’, Hanf, Coexistence in Wartime Lebanon, p. 95.
70 Lijphart, Democracy in Plural Societies, p. 41.
71 See inter alia Hurst Hannum, Autonomy, Sovereignty, and Self-determination: The Accommodation
of Conflicting Rights. rev. ed (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1996) and Ruth E.
Lapidoth, Autonomy: Flexible solutions to ethnic conflicts (Washington, DC: United States Institute
of Peace Press, 1997). See the discussion of territorial autonomy below, and the paper by
Professor Stepan in this symposium.
72 A confederation in which the member-states did not have complete or concurrent
representation in the executive would no longer be a confederation: it would be well on the way
to being a federation (cf. the discussions over the new constitution of the European Union).
73 Kenneth D. McRae, ‘The Principle of Territoriality and the Principle of Personality in
Multilingual States.’ International Journal of the Sociology of Language 4 (1975): 33-54.
74 Available at http://www.pio.gov.cy/cygov/constitution/appendix_d_part5.htm and
http://www.pio.gov.cy/cygov/constitution/appendix_d_part1.htm [Accessed October 21
2002]).
75 Oren Yiftachel, ‘'Right-Sizing' or 'Right-Shaping?' Politics, Ethnicity and Territory in Plural
States’, in Right-Sizing the State: The Politics of Moving Borders, (eds.) B. O'Leary, I. S. Lustick and
T. Callaghy, (Oxford, Oxford University Press: 358-87).
Brendan O'Leary Page 112 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
112
76 John C. Calhoun’s defense of the concurrent majority principle is cited by Lijphart, Democracy
in Plural Societies, p. 37, drawing on G. Kateb, ‘The Majority Principle: Calhoun and His
Antecedents’, Political Science Quarterly, 84, 4: 583-605. Calhoun argued that the threats of
blockages would promote consensual and mutual policy-changes. That he used his arguments in
defense of a commitment to slaveholding institutions explains why his formal arguments are not
often recalled.
77 Lijphart, Democracy in Plural Societies, p. 38
78 Section IV. B. Article 6 (1) and (2) of the constitution of the Federation of Bosnia Herzegovina
provides an example of a strong veto-right within the cabinet: ‘(1) Decisions of the Cabinet that
concern the vital interest of any of the constituent peoples shall require consensus. This provision
may be invoked by one-third of the Ministers, excluding the Prime Minister and Deputy Prime
Minister, unless otherwise determined by the Constitutional Court….(2) when the Prime Minister
concludes that the Government cannot reach consensus described in paragraph (1), he shall refer
the pending matter to the President or Vice-President, whoever is not from the same constituent
people as is the Prime Minister, for a decision without delay’.
79 See Professor Kymlicka’s contribution to this symposium.
80 Max Weber went further suggesting that the Machtstaat cannot realize democracy, cf. Weber,
Max. "Between Two Laws." In Political Writings, edited by Peter Lassman and Ronald Speirs, 75-
80. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1994.
81 See inter alia Daniel Elazar, Exploring Federalism (Tuscaloosa: University of Alabama, 1987),
Preston King, Federalism and Federation (London: Croom Helm, 1982), Preston King, Federalism and
Federation, 2nd ed. (London: Frank Cass, 2001).
82 For elaborations on these distinctions see Ronald A Watts, "Federalism, Federal Political
Systems, and Federations," Annual Review of Political Science 1 (1998).
83 On the importance of peoplehood see Rogers M Smith, Stories of Peoplehood: The Politics and
Morals of Political Membership (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003).
84 Brendan O'Leary, "The Kurds Must Not Be Betrayed Again," Financial Times, March 24th 2003.
85 David R Rezvani, Federacy: The Dynamics of Semi-Sovereign Territories (Unpublished Manuscript)
(2003).
86 The expression is Elazar’s, op. cit.
87 Alfred Stepan, "Federalism and Democracy: Beyond the U.S. Model," Journal of Democracy 10,
no. 4 (1999).
88 For recent discussions of Shi’ite politics in Iraq see inter alia David Gardner, "Time of the Shia,"
Financial Times, August 30/31 2003, Faleh A Jabar, The Shi'ite Movement in Iraq (2003). The
Brendan O'Leary Page 113 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
113
perspectives of Muhammed Baqir al-Sadr’s, executed by Saddam Hussein in 1980, are
widespread among Shi`a, and diverge from the political Islam of Khomeini and his successors.
Historically communism was strong among the Shi`a of Iraq, but whether the Iraqi Communist
Party will experience a significant revival in the 2000s remains to be seen.. What is plain is that
there are significant numbers of secular Shi`a, and that significant numbers of religious Shi`a do
not agree with political leadership being monopolized by clerics. Two authorities remark on a
‘dangerous tendency in the West to equate secular with Sunni and Islamist with Shi’ite’, Fuller
and Francke, op. cit., p. 108.
89 Ronald L Watts, "Federalism, Federal Political Systems, and Federations," Annual Review of
Political Science 1 (1998), Ronald L Watts, "Models of Federal Power-Sharing," International Social
Science Journal, no. March (2001).
90 The proportion of public expenditure allocated by regions as opposed to federal governments
may well be a better guide to their autonomy and power than the text of the constitution --- for
discussions of such measurements see Watts, op. cit. 2001, p. 29, and Arend Lijphart,
"Consociation and Federation: Conceptual and Empirical Links," Canadian Journal of Political
Science xii, no. 3 (1979)., p. 505.
91 See Murray Forsyth, ed., Federalism and Nationalism (Leicester: Leicester University Press, 1989).,
p. 4.
92 See William H. Riker, Federalism: Origin, Operation, Significance (Boston: 1964).
93 See Nathan Glazer, "Federalism and Ethnicity: The American Solution," in Ethnic Dilemmas,
1964-82, ed. N. Glazer (Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press, 1983).
94 Milton Gordon, Assimilation in American Life: The Role of Race, Religion and National Origins (New
York: Oxford University Press, 1964)., p. 133.
95 Glazer, op. cit., p. 276.
96 Gordon, op. cit., passim.
97 Publius [John Jay], in James Madison, Alexander Hamilton, and John Jay, The Federalist Papers,
Edited and with an Introduction by Isaac Kramnick, Penguin Classics (Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1987
(1788))., Paper II, p. 91
98 David McDowall, A Modern History of the Kurds, 2nd and revised ed. (London: I.B. Tauris,
2000)., pp. 343-67. It was a standard trope in the English language media that favored
intervention in Iraq that Saddam Hussein had ‘gassed his own people’. That he gassed people is
not in question. That he shared a common peoplehood with his victims most certainly is.
99 The US’s most influential foreign policy journal published a scenario for re-building Iraq in the
summer of 2003, Adeed Dawisha and Karen Dawisha, "How to Build a Democratic Iraq," Foreign
Brendan O'Leary Page 114 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
114
Affairs 82, no. 3 (2003). The Dawishas advocate maintaining ‘Iraq’s present administrative
structure, under which the country is divided into 18 units’, p. 39, while on the same page insist
that the Kurds should have their own territorial ‘unit in the federal structure’. This is
contradictory, and whatever it means, the argument is outmoded by the de facto boundaries of
Iraqi Kurdistan, which cut across prior provincial jurisdictions. For similar advocacy of the
eighteen provinces see Rachel Bronson, et. al., Guiding Principles for U.S. Post-conflict Policy in Iraq,
New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2003.
100 Brancati D. 2004 in press. Is Federalism a Panacea for Post-Saddam Iraq? The Washington
Quarterly 27. Brancati’s case is based on her doctoral research on parties, decentralization and
ethnic conflict – much of which I agree with. It is the erroneous objection of blueprint thinking to
Iraq to which I object.
101 Forsyth, op. cit., p. 4.
102 See inter alia Michael Hechter, Containing Nationalism (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000),
Michael Keating, "Managing the Multinational State: Constitutional Settlement in the United
Kingdom," ed. Trevor Salmon and Michael Keating (2001), Juan Linz, "Democracy,
Multinationalism and Federalism" (paper presented at the Juan March Institute, 1997), Margaret
Moore, The Ethics of Nationalism (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2001), Stepan, "Federalism and
Democracy: Beyond the U.S. Model.", Alfred Stepan, "Modern Multinational Democracies:
Transcending a Gellnerian Oxymoron," in The State of the Nation : Ernest Gellner and the Theory of
Nationalism, ed. John A. Hall (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1998).
103 Jack Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict (New York: W.W.
Norton, 2000)., p. 327.
104 Brendan O'Leary, "An Iron Law of Federations? A (Neo-Diceyian) Theory of the Necessity of a
Federal Staatsvolk, and of Consociational Rescue. The 5th Ernest Gellner Memorial Lecture,"
Nations and Nationalism 7, no. 3 (2001).. For other discussions see Thomas M Franck, Why
Federations Fail: An Inquiry into the Requisites for Successful Federation (New York: New York
University Press, 1968), Ursula K Hicks, Federalism, Failure and Success: A Comparative Study
(London: Macmillan, 1978), Ronald L Watts, Comparing Federal Systems in the 1990s (Kingston,
Ontario: Institute of Intergovernmental Relations/Queen's University, 1996), Ronald L Watts,
"The Survival or Disintegration of Federations," in Options for a New Canada, ed. Ronald Watts
and Douglas M Brown (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 1971).
105 John McGarry and Brendan O'Leary, "Federalism, Conflict-Regulation and National and
Ethnic Power-Sharing" (paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science
Association, Philadelphia, August 28-31 2003 2003)., August 28-31..
Brendan O'Leary Page 115 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
115
106 O’Leary, 2001, op.cit.
107 Katharine Adeney, "Constitutional Centring: Nation Formation and Consociational Federalism
in India and Pakistan," Journal of Commonwealth & Comparative Politics 40, no. 3 (2002).
Brendan O'Leary Page 116 first vs. Oct 03, corrected vs. 7/12/2004
116