2012 Harvard
2012 Harvard
2012 Harvard
Note: Case guide is strictly for the use of current HBS Management Consulting Club members.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
The case is usually a business situation where the client is facing a difficult problem with the company/product/competitors or is
thinking of a new opportunity to explore and asks you to help address some of the issues. The case can be a problem, a situation, a
riddle, an example of a real client situation, a contrived scenario, or a game—all rapped up into one. It is an exercise for the firms to
test your analytical thinking and to examine how well you can handle problem-solving questions. It is also a great opportunity for you
to determine whether consulting is actually right for you. If you do not enjoy problem-solving case interviews, the likelihood that you
will enjoy consulting is fairly small.
Because it is an exercise in problem solving, the case is not about finding the right or wrong answer, but rather about the method you
use to derive your answer. It is about the questions you raise, the assumptions you make, the issues you identify, the areas of
exploration you prioritize, the frameworks you use, the creativity involved, the logical solution you recommend, and the confidence
and poise you present.
There are many types of cases that firms use. This guide covers some of the frameworks and concepts that would help you tackle most
cases that come your way. No case ever fits perfectly into a "type", like marketing or strategy. Most of the cases presented cover a
number of concepts that would range from market sizing and operations to economics. This guide provides a review of major
frameworks and concepts that will be very helpful in Cracking the Case.
NOTE: It is also very important for you NOT to directly apply these frameworks, i.e., you should never say during a case
interview, "I'm going to use the 4Cs framework," or "I'll be applying Porter's Five Forces." This approach indicates no
creative or analytical thought on your part! The more comfortable you become with these frameworks, the more you will start
to develop your own and customize them according to the nature of the case.
Remember, the interviewer is not looking for you to apply a cookie cutter approach to each case. You are expected to make sound
judgment as to which frameworks are appropriate and what components of those frameworks are most applicable to the problem at
hand. Frameworks are mere enablers that organize and guide your thinking. They are not the driving force behind the solutions and
they certainly are not the solution themselves. The combination of your own intelligence, creativity, and preparation are the driving
forces!
Michael Porter's Five Forces is probably the most famous framework used in preparing for the case interviews. It has endured as one of the frameworks
most talked about by many in and out of the consulting field. Although the Five Forces is an excellent framework in helping you organize you thoughts,
like any other framework we cover in this guide, its analysis is not complete. The Five Forces should be used in conjunction with other frameworks to
enable you to fully understand the issues at hand. Further, we only briefly touch on this framework here, but we have included more detailed material of
Porter's work later in this guide.
New
Entrants
Substitute
Products
• Economies of scale
in entering an industry:
Rivalry:
• The products it purchases front the industry are standard or
seller's sales
• Buyers pose a credible threat of backward integration • Fixed costs are high
• The industry's product is unimportant to the quality of the • There is lack of differentiation or switching costs
• Capacity is augmented in large increments
• The buyer has full information
buyer's products or services
The Marketing and Strategy concepts/frameworks are intertwined—hence the reason they are covered in the same module - and will provide you
with some of the techniques often used in Cracking the Case:
4 Cs Knowing the 4Cs framework and the details upon which the framework is based is crucial to Cracking the Case. This
framework offers both breadth of the larger forces that are at play and depth of the intricacies that lead one to effective
decision making.
Having said that, this framework is only meant to be a tool that allows you to develop your own thinking. The 4Cs
framework (and each subsequent framework covered in this guide) is not Mutually Exclusive and Collectively
Exhaustive (MECE). Rather, your understanding and mastery of the ideas that underlie the framework (and the other
concepts covered) will help you create a systematic and flexible way of structuring your own customized tools to
identify the specific problem in question, assess the competitive landscape, and formulate high impact solutions.
Consumer
Collaborators
Company Competitors
DO NOT attempt to tackle a case during the interview by saying, "I would like to use the 4Cs framework..." Before you
even finish your sentence, the interviewer will have made up his/her mind to ding you. This point will be emphasized
many times during this guide.
Identifying and serving the needs of BOTH the customer / purchasing unit and the consumer / end user are
crucial to sustaining competitive advantage. Below are some issues to consider when looking at consumers
and customers.
Define the Market
• •
• •
Who uses the product? Nature of Use?
Purchase occasion? 1st time?
• •
Who purchases the product?
• •
Who makes the choice? Stability of choice set?
•
Who influences the choice? Any new information about
Who pays for the product? The Decision Making Process existing alternatives?
• Type of process:
o Low involvement?
o Utilitarian?
•
o Hedonic?
Choice of Sequence?
Product Use o What triggers the needs? Nature of the Product
• •
o How are alternatives evaluated?
•
How much? o What impact has the information What is the nature of the
• •
How often? had on the decision? relationship and why?
•
When? Where? With whom? Does the product meet or
What aspects of product exceed expectations?
performance are not salient?
CONSUMER
Company
Internal External
Analysis Analysis
•
•
Supply/Demand
General
•
Demographic
Key Trends
•
Socio-cultural
Success
•
Political/legal
Factors
•
Technological
•
(KSFs) Macroeconomic
Global
•
•
Industry Evolution
•
Fragmented Industry
Industry
•
Value Financial Emerging Industry
Analysis
•
Maturing Industry
Chain Analysis
Declining Industry
A firm’s competitive advantage, and ultimately its financial success, is the result of both process execution and
COMPANY structural position. A firm’s overall strengths and weaknesses and its ability to execute may be more important than its
environment in determining its sustainable competitive positioning.
Key
Success Examples of some KSFs:
Factors Operational Factors: i.e., product mix; inventory turnover; sales force; low cost structure; etc.
Competitive Standing: i.e., small-niche player; brand equity; customer loyalty; trend setter; large economies-of-scale
player; etc.
Organizational Structure: top management structure; meritorious environment; reliable mid-management; highly-skilled
labor; etc.
Looking at a company’s value chain gives you a closer look at the infrastructure that links the company’s processes
together. Many interview cases test your understanding of the flow in which raw material is delivered, assembled into
COMPANY “the product”, shipped to the market, then marketed and sold to customers. Asking a number of insightful questions on
the effectiveness and efficiencies of certain steps in the value chain would display insightful understanding of the
internal workings of the company.
Internal
Analysis
Customer
Acquisition Customer
Value Raw Materials Operations Delivery Retention
(i.e., relationship with (labor & capital (Channels of (method &
Chain effectiveness of (free repair hotline;
suppliers; JIT delivery; cost utilization; cycle distribution; warranties; bonus
structure of raw material) time; quality) intermediaries) marketing; cost of
customer plan; frequent
acquisition; sales customer discount)
force issues)
Internal
Analysis Balance
Sheet & Income
Statement
•
•
The external environment is, however, a vast Supply/Demand
•
Demographic
External and complex beast that must be approached General
•
Socio-cultural
Analysis Trends
•
with caution and serenity. To be practical and Political/legal
•
Technological
effective during the interview, focus your
•
Macroeconomic
attention on the parts of the environment that Global
•
are most relevant to the business in question.
•
Industry Evolution
•
We will examine a number of issues in the Fragmented Industry
•
Emerging Industry
External Analysis, all of which, or none of Industry
•
Maturing Industry
which, could be germane to analyzing the crux Analysis Declining Industry
of the problem.
This is where your judgment, as in all other frameworks covered, comes in to play in determining what is important to
discuss and what will cause you a ding letter. There is nothing more irritating to the interviewer than for the interviewee
to come off as knowing everything, providing a laundry list of issues. Part of what makes a consultant successful is the
ability to quickly discern between what seems to be important and what clearly is not.
• In the recent past, has there been a change in • Are there any legal or political restrictions such as
Supply/Demand Political Forces
• Are there any trends in religious • Has the performance of the economy as a whole had
market? Macroeconomics
External
• Strategic groups are defined on the basis of a conceptual construct of strategic posture
Strategic Groups
Analysis
• When determining strategic groups, include the firm's relationship to its parents
• Overall entry barriers depend on the particular strategic group that the entrant seeks to join
• Mobility barriers provide barriers to shifting strategic positions between strategic groups
• Strategic groups will affect the pattern of rivalry within the industry
• The higher the mobility barriers, the more profitable the firm is within the strategic group
Industry Strategic Groups and Profitability
• Low-cost position within the strategic group may be crucial, but low-cost position overall is not necessarily the
Analysis
• Achieving low-cost position overall often involves a sacrifice in other areas of strategy, like differentiation,
only way to compete
• The principles of structural analysis help us better determine a firm's strengths and weaknesses
Implications for Formulation of Strategy
• Looking at strengths and weaknesses illuminates two important and yet different elements: 1) structural and 2)
implementation
• You must determine how the next phase in the evolution will affect the mobility barriers and bargaining position
•
with suppliers and buyers
COMPANY The product life cycle is limited in a number of ways:
o the duration varies from industry to industry
o industry growth does not always go through the S-shape
•
o companies can affect the curve through innovation
•
You must look at the evolutionary processes that drive life cycles
Every industry begins with an initial structure - the evolutionary processes work to push the industry toward its
External
•
potential structure - which is rarely known completely as an industry evolves
Analysis Because of technological change, innovation and identities of the firms, it is very difficult to predict evolutionary
•
stages
There are some predictable and interacting dynamic processes that occur in every industry in one form or another
and at different speeds:
o demographics
o trends in needs
Industry o substitute products
Analysis o complementary products
o penetration of customer group
o product change
o product innovation
o changes in buyer segments served
•
o process innovation
•
Industry consolidation and mobility barriers move together
•
No concentration takes place if mobility barriers are low or falling
Exit barriers deter consolidation
• High initial costs but steep cost reduction • Shifting mobility barriers: making new commitments in
clearly defined
• High risk-capital requirement/high cost structure (not its initial structure) is one that is
• Erratic product quality consistent with the above-average returns and if the firm
• Regulatory approval can create a defensible position in the industry in the
• Response of threatened entities: substitutes or labor long run
unions
Declining industries are those that have experienced an absolute decline in unit sales over a sustained period.
The accepted strategic prescription for decline is a “harvest” strategy – eliminating investment and generating
COMPANY maximum cash flow from the business, followed by eventual divestment. Volatility of rivalry increases and is
accentuated by suppliers and distribution channels.
• Is the structure of the industry conducive to a hospitable • Harvest: the firm seeks to optimize cash flow from the
Choosing a Strategy – Some Analytical Steps: outward relations with the market
In light of the analysis of the consumer and the company itself, both internally and externally, we can further
examine the company's standing in the market place and its future strategic direction. Keep in mind that the
COMPETITORS company analysis covered should also be used when assessing the strength of competitors. Here are some
additional high-level concepts in dealing with competitive analysis.
• Market structure: sets the basic parameters within which competitive moves are made
3 – Competitive Moves
• Commitment: guarantees the likelihood, speed, and vigor of retaliation to offensive moves and can be the
competition, heavy expenditure on research, loading the customer up with inventory, etc.
• Focal point: a prominent resting place on which the competitive process can converge its expectations
cornerstone for defensive strategy - it can deter retaliation
When it comes to buyers and suppliers, one of the key issues to keep in mind is to understand what percentage does the
buyer represent of a supplier’s output, and what percentage of the buyer’s purchases does the supplier’s output represent.
COLLABORATORS This sets the basic leverage for negotiating/co-operating between suppliers and buyers.
Supplier Strategy
• Key issues in purchasing strategy from a structural standpoint are as follows:
o Stability and competitiveness of the supplier pool
o Optimal degree of vertical integration
o Allocation of purchases among qualified suppliers
o Creation of maximum leverage with chosen suppliers - avoid switching cost, threat of backward
integration
In examining the competitiveness of a company's product, whether it is a new product being introduced on the
market or an existing product manufactured by the company, one needs to examine the product itself. The
following are some of the questions that you might find helpful in assessing the competitiveness and "fit" of a
product:
• Does the product have the right positioning in the marketplace?
o Does it serve a particular segment of the market?
o Is it a mass market or niche product?
PRODUCT o Is it differentiated enough to stand out against the competition?
• What kind of brand equity does the product uphold?
o What are some of the issues/risks associated with the "image" or "perception" of the brand relative to other
brands in the market?
o What are some of the features that can be added to the product that would add to the value or the perception
of value to the consumer?
• What are some of the packaging issues that might present an opportunity or impediment to increased sales?
o Does my packaging reflect the positioning of the product? If mass market, does it have a mass market appeal?
o How does the product fit in the overall strategy of the company?
o How does the product relate to other products produced by the company?
o What kind of a financial role is the product playing (i.e., cash cow, long-term profit potential, etc.)?
POSITIONING MAP Hi
This is a helpful framework to analyze where the product is positioned Branded
Commodity Premium
against competitors and consumer segments and to help you determine if
Price
there is any untapped opportunity in the market.
Under-
Commodity priced?
Lo
Lo Value Hi
Getting the right price for a product is extremely important for the success of the company. Unfortunately,
sometimes the right price is not easy to determine. Depending on the price elasticity of the product, a 1%
increase in price has anywhere from a -20% reduction to a 25% increase in net income.
The most important factor of what ultimately drives price is the customer's perceived "value" of the product. For
example, if a company produces shirts with a unit cost of $10, but the market perceives the product as
fashionable or has the right brand name, the shirt can then be priced to capture any consumer surplus at $50 or
even $80 per shirt. The same manufacturer introduces another shirt at the same cost the following season. This
time, however, the shirt is no longer considered in vogue and thus has little "value." This time, the shirt would
PRICE
be priced at $25.
Competition Pushes Perceived Value
The distribution channel that is selected and the outlets at which the product is sold MUST be aligned with the positioning
of the product and focused customer segment.
There are many issues to consider when examining the place/channel distribution. Below are just some thoughts that you
may want to consider when formulating strategy on delivering the product to market:
•
PLACE
Which channels are most closely aligned with the company's strategy?
•
o Does the company need to build new channels or eliminate existing ones?
•
What functions does the company want the channels to serve?
•
Does it make more sense to go direct to the end-user or deliver the product through intermediaries?
What are the economics of the channel?
o Who needs to capture what margin?
•
o Does this fit in with the intended selling price of the product?
How much control is the company willing to give up on the delivery of the product?
o Is the company willing to work in conjunction with the distribution channel, by monitoring its timeliness and
service, or by placing most of the weight on the channels in meeting customer needs?
•
o What would be the relationship of the company's sales force in this arrangement?
How would the company address any potential shifts in power to the channel?
Promoting and developing a specific brand for the product captures the most value not only by the supplier in
being able to increase sales volume and per unit margin, but also by the consumer in developing a certain
perception of the product.
Again, promotion and branding must be aligned with the other "Cs" and "Ps" that have been covered thus far. The
message that is communicated to the consumer, and in turn what the consumer believes about the product, will
drive the success of the product.
Promotion and branding can consist of a number of elements such as traditional advertising (mass or niche), or no
advertising to maintain certain perception of exclusivity, word of mouth, direct mail, etc.
PROMOTION
• What message are we trying to communicate? What is the objective?
o Is the goal to achieve a household name? Build loyalty? Defend the product's positioning?
•
o Does the message portray the total customer experience?
•
What are some of the barriers to communicating the desired message?
Does the promotion/branding focus on the long-term view of relationship building with the consumer?
•
o Does it encourage repeat purchasing? Focus on customer retention?
How is the marketing strategy different from the competition?
•
o How will the competition react?
Which vehicles will you use to influence the decision making process?
o Pull strategy: (direct at end user) use of advertising, direct mail, telemarketing, word of mouth, consumer
promotions
•
o Push strategy: use of trade promotions, sales aids and/or sales training programs
How much money is being allocated to marketing?
Tools
Calculate the contribution
that each unit provides to Unit Contribution Examples
cover fixed/overhead costs Unit Selling Price + $50.00
- Variable Cost - $21.25
= Unit Contribution $28.75
Determine the number of
units that need to be sold to Break-even Volume
break-even Fixed Costs $30,000
Unit Contribution $28.75/unit =
1,043 units
Assess the percentage of the
market share that needs to be Break-even Market Share
captured Break-even Volume 1,043 units
Total Market Share 14,300 units =
7% Market Share
Estimate the contribution of
all units sold (net revenue – Total Contribution
variable cost) Unit Contribution + $28.75
x Number of units sold for the year * 1,700 units
= Total Contribution to OH & Profit = $48,875
Calculate the net profit for
the year Net Profit
Total Contribution to OH & Profit + $48,875
- Total Overhead Costs - $30,000
= Net Profit = $18,875
X X
# Purchases Made Can you increase the # of Customer
per Period demand for the product Targeted
in your targeted area?
Think about how this
differs when you consider
different groups within X X
Can you expand the
your market segment market for a particular
# Units per % Share of
Purchase product type? Product Type
(e.g., mountain bike vs.
speed bike)
X X
What price is the different Can the company increase The Company’s %
segments/consumer Price per Unit its product type? Share of Product Type
groups willing to pay?
= =
Total Revenue in Company’s % Share
Market of the Market
Many firms will give you cases that require some operations thinking.
Other cases may not necessarily require them, but you would greatly
impress the interviewer if you displayed some relevant operational Manufacturing
Supplier Strategy
analysis in your diagnosis of the problem. The Operations Concepts
Relationship
Review will cover just some brief concepts that you can use in Cracking
Product
the Case. If you feel that you need additional information, consult other Design
sources from more in-depth review.
On the revenue side, a number of factors have been listed that can have an impact on revenue. This list can be three times as large,
depending on the case. However, do not provide a laundry list of issues that you think might impact revenue. Whatever you write
down must be of significance. Having said that, you should try to list a few more factors under revenue than you are willing to cover.
The reason being is that interviewers would like to see you acknowledge that although these factors can have an impact, you have the
ability to prioritize as to the most important!!
On the cost side, you need to see if costs have increased, causing profitability to go down. It is always a good idea to understand what
type of cost has increased. Your interviewer will expect you to provide specific ways on improving costs for the company.
When you use the Profitability Framework, make sure that Profit
you walk through it first with your interviewer before you
begin the analysis. Explain why you are using this Revenue Costs
framework and the structure of it. Provide the road map Price
Cost
Accounting
Consumer
before you start driving.
Volume Variable
Competition Fixed
Product
Mix
2. When the case is presented, make sure you fully understand the question and write it down, capturing all of the relevant details. Ask questions
to clarify any ambiguities and reiterate the situation back to the interviewer before you begin the analysis.
3. Take a minute to capture your thoughts on paper. As much as you might have the urge to, DO NOT start talking about the analysis right away.
Politely ask if you can take a few moments to write your thoughts down. Almost always the interviewer will be expecting it, and will be glad
to give you time to structure your framework.
Remember, do not try to force the case into a specific framework or use a framework verbatim like the 4Cs or Porter’s Five Forces.
Incorporate your own various concepts as necessary.
4. Briefly walk your interviewer through your framework. Explain the path you want to take, outlining your rationale for choosing it.
5. Ask relevant questions to gain further insight. Remember, asking the right questions is key. You are only given information to the questions
that you ask, and if you make assumptions, state them clearly.
6. Do not rush to get to "a solution." You are being evaluated, most importantly, on your logic and the process of your analysis. The
recommendation you give at the end is only as sound as the thought process you used. So think out loud!
7. Even though there might not be "a right answer," there certainly are approaches that are better than others. Stay focused on the problem at
hand. Do not digress into detail that may not shed light on the issue just to sound impressive. You will not!
8. Use nice and easy numbers whenever you are estimating market size, price, costs, etc. You do not want to start factoring decimals.
9. Develop clear and decisive recommendations. Provide options and a recommendation based on you analysis as to which solution is most
suitable to achieve the objective at hand.
10. Practice. Practice. Practice. Cracking the Case is mostly a developed skill. Understand the reasoning behind each case. The more cases you
practice, the more you will be exposed to the different problems and the more you will be prepared. Leave nothing to chance. Good Luck!!!
Question
A major retailer of clothing and household products has been experiencing sluggish growth and less than expected profits in the last
few years. The CEO has hired you to help her increase the company's annual growth rate and ultimately its profitability.
• The retailer has 15 stores located in shopping malls in metropolitan and suburban areas.
• Total revenue from the 15 stores has declined, despite major back-end cost savings.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• The consumer in the city has different needs and purchasing behavior than the suburban consumer. The stores in the city are not catering to the
demographics of its surroundings.
• Unnecessary costs are being incurred through inventory and lost floor space in the city stores, resulting in lost revenue for the retailer.
Recommendations
• Further analyze the customer for each of the stores and differentiate purchasing behavior and income levels.
• Cater the product mix according to the customer research findings.
• Stores that cannot sustain selling low cost items should consider the possibility of closure.
The manager of the butcher shop however could not decide whether to have the cows walk or run into the meat processing room. Can you help him?
Recommended Solution
•
Then analyze the cost implications of the cows walking versus running.
•
Next, calculate the size of the market and demand for the product.
Finally, match demand with supply.
Costs
• Next, we must calculate the costs associated with the two different capacities. Let us assume that labor cost increases proportionally to the increase
in processed meats, and overhead increases, but not proportionally due to some sunk costs, for more equipment and other expenses. Here is the
breakdown:
•
Walk Run
Overhead $5000 $10,000 This shows that by running, costs drop by 10 cents
Labor 1,000 2,500 on each burger.
•
Total Cost 6,000 12,500
To estimate revenue, we need to calculate the
Burgers/Week 10,000 25,000
demand from estimating what the market size
Cost per Burger $0.60 $0.50
would be.
• Let's assume that the fast food chain has 10 outlets, and the meat-processing factory serves all 10. Each outlet serves a vicinity of about 30,000
people. Now, let's also assume that there are about 3 other competitors in each vicinity, leaving it with a market share of about 25% of the
customers in each area, for a total of 75,000 potential customers.
• Of those 75,000, about 40% of them fall within the demographic target, leaving 30,000 desired customer.
• Given the trends in healthy foods, out of the 30,000 desired customers, about a third will be allowed by their parents to frequent any one of the
establishment on a regular basis - leaving 10,000.
• Of the 10,000 customers, each will frequent the establishment about twice a week on average - 20,000 visits. Out of these visits, about half order a
burger over another item on the menu - for a total of 10,000 burgers a week.
Question
A major producer of juice is in the business of processing and packaging fruit juice for retail outlets. Traditionally, the producer has packaged the juice in
18-ounce carton containers. Recently, in response to demand from the market, the producer purchased a machine that packages the juice in plastic gallons
(36 ounces). Over the next couple of years, sales continued to grow on average of 20% per year. Yet, as sales continued to increase, profits steadily
decreased. The owner cannot understand why. He hires you to help out.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
• We know that sales have been increasing, so revenue is not an issue. The problem must be costs.
• Because of the change in packaging, the producer has incurred additional costs that are not accounted for, causing profits to decline.
Key Findings
• The major finding in this case is the additional costs associated with the plastic gallons were averaged out over all units, including cartons. This
resulted in a misallocation of costs and inappropriate pricing.
• The plastic gallon products have been priced at a lower rate than they should have been. Result: the more gallons the juice producer sold, the more
profit the company lost out on.
Recommendations
• This firm should conduct a thorough analysis of activity based costing to determine the overhead costs and direct costs associated with each item
in the product line. They should then use this data to price accordingly.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• The industry overall is shrinking. To survive, the company in question has been competing on price. It has gained market share at the expense of it
competition, forcing some to exit the industry.
• Its sales have only increased slightly.
• The decrease in price has caused the company to lower its profits, despite the increase in market share.
• Profit margin has been lower on a per volume basis.
Recommendations
• Focus on cost reduction. If price is the only way to compete, then costs must decrease.
• Collaborate with the competition to increase leverage in negotiation.
• Diversify into other chemicals that are in demand. Reduce the risk of market trends via a portfolio of products.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• Depending on what price they are willing to set, the competition will start to think about entering the market in year four. In year six, the
competition will surely enter as their prices become lower than domestically produced tires.
• This analysis assumes that the cost structure for the competition will remain constant. It is important to note that because of the rapid advances in
technology, chances are that the costs of producing tires will decrease resulting in competitors entering the market even sooner.
Recommendations
• VieTire needs to benchmark against word class tire manufacturers and reengineer production methods and cost structures.
• They must invest in the latest advances in order to reduce their labor/operations costs.
• The company should focus on increasing the skills of labor while at the same time contain their hourly wage.
• Need to develop loyalty from their customers/consumers in order to lock in a certain percentage of the market share.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• There is a great deal of competition in the area, not from other cable companies, but local TV stations.
• The consumer in northeast US is quite different from the consumer in Canada with respect to television viewing habits.
• Consumers are not willing to pay $40 for a service that they already get for free.
Recommendations
• World View could try to cater its current channel offering by offering a smaller package for those that would be interested in couple of cable
channels.
• Scale back its operations to a specific region.
• Educate the consumer on the extra benefit and new low price.
• If none of these strategies work, move out of that market.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
• Understand the company's logic for entering into the fast food industry.
• Examine the overall trends in the fast food industry, and determine which segment is the most promising.
• Assess the overall demographic changes and major trends in eating habits.
• Determine what competencies the company can provide that will help it enter this business and be successful.
• What are some of the high level strategies that the company should consider when entering?
Key Findings
• There seems to be potential in the prepared food segment (players like Boston Market).
• Le Seine seems to be a good candidate to enter and take advantage of the present opportunity.
Recommendations
• Based on this assessment, Le Seine should enter on a large scale. To offer competitive pricing, they must have economies of scale.
• Quickly develop strong brand equity. Look at the franchising option. Examine in detail how the most successful fast food outlets operate.
• Consider acquiring an existing chain versus starting a brand new one.
• Location is extremely important. Know your customers in every region, and focus on convenience.
Recommended Solution
High Level Plan of Attack
• Evaluate the product mix of the company and compare it to what is selling well in the UK.
• Analyze what type of marketing Beer Brew is using.
• Understand the consumer behavior and tastes, and determine the effect on sales.
Key Findings
• It seems that the consumer in the UK has unique drinking habits. After further inquiry, we find that the average British drinker values dark beer
over any other factor. It seems that the dark color has a psychological impact on the consumer, relating it to strength, masculinity, getting their
money's worth, etc.
• The light beer industry is undeveloped in the UK because the health movement in the US has not mobilized in Europe yet.
• Also, because the price of Beer Brew's products is much cheaper than other brands on the market, it is portrayed as a low quality "American beer."
There has been a dilution of the brand equity.
Recommendations
• Change the color of the stronger tasting beer. Make it darker and advertise it as the better tasting darker beer, with more alcohol.
• Match the price to other premium beers that focus on the same market segment.
• Drop the light beer product line. The UK is not ready for it yet.
A major auto service chain, Wheeler Dealer, has enjoyed healthy returns on its 30-store operation for the past 10 years. However,
management feels that the chain needs to expand, as the current geographical areas in which they are based have become saturated.
For the past couple of years, they have aggressively pursued a growth strategy, opening an additional 15 stores. However, it seems that this
approach has had negative returns. For the first time in over a decade, the chain's profits dropped into the negative zone. You were hired to
figure out why.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• The garage service is the major revenue generator for the business. As they expanded into the inner cities, they began to attract the wrong
customer. Profit margin on the off- the-shelf products is not enough to cover costs and make a healthy return for Wheeler Dealer. A price increase
is unlikely given price sensitivity.
Recommendations
• Scale back from the urban areas. Focus on geographical areas where you can attract the suburban customers who will use the service aspect of the
business. Maintain a healthy return on the car product market from the inner city dwellers.
• Where possible, drop the garage service in under-performing areas to reduce costs and focus on the retail end.
Recommended Solution
Key Findings
• The leisure travelers are draining your profitability. Either the cost per transaction is too high or the revenue per transaction made on the leisure is
too low.
Recommendations
• Benchmark the cost structure of other travel agencies.
• Negotiate with the airlines on the possibility of charging a premium for leisure tickets or capture a larger commission through cost charged to the
customer.
• Look into the possibility of reducing cost per transaction for the leisure travelers.
• Offer the leisure traveler other products to increase revenue per transaction such as hotel bookings and travel packages.
• Become a niche player and focus only on the business traveler
Background
This question addresses company profitability. The interviewer is looking for a candidate’s business intuition and ability to apply this intuition to identify
potential sources of the problem. In addition, the interviewer is looking for potential solutions to the client’s problem.
Response
Candidate: Profitability is a function of an operation’s revenues and costs. The first thing I’d like to focus on is the company’s future revenue stream.
As I understand the hospital industry, revenues may be fixed for several years due to long-term contracts with insurers. Is this the case for
this hospital?
Interviewer: Your intuition is correct. Revenues have dropped approximately 15% so far this year due to aggressive pricing on capitated managed care
contracts that were signed in January and declining admissions and length of stay for their fee-for-service contracts, most of which are still
reimbursed on a per diem basis. All contracts are binding for three years, and cannot be renegotiated.
Candidate: In that case, it is important to understand the company’s cost structure to see if it can adjust to this declining stream of revenue. Does the
client have considerable fixed costs that will be difficult to reduce in the near term?
Interviewer: Hospital occupancy is approximately 70%, resulting in high fixed costs that are not covered by the current contribution margin. The
organization is currently staffed for 80% occupancy.
Interviewer: In fact, you’re right. The utilization of diagnostic and therapeutic services during a patient’s stay is approximately 15% higher
than what was expected when contract pricing was negotiated.
Candidate: Given that information, the hospital should focus on changing physician behavior since physicians ultimately control the
utilization of resources. The hospital may want to align MD incentives with those of the hospital by sharing risk, giving
physicians data and education on their use of resources versus the competition. Other ways to reduce expenses could be to sign
exclusive contracts with a distributor in order to generate volume discounts and economies in purchasing, or by reducing choice by
limiting the pharmacy formulary to generics and decreasing the number of vendors utilized for high volume items such as prosthetics and
heart catheters.
Interviewer: That’s a good discussion of cost implications, but have you given up on recommending ways to increase hospital revenue?
Candidate: Now that you mention it, the situation is not hopeless in this regard. The hospital may want to increase revenue by signing
contracts with additional insurers, by putting salaried physicians on staff to guarantee that they admit to our client’s hospital, or
by creating an affiliated physician organization to increase their share of admissions. In addition, they can potentially leverage
their distinctive competencies by developing Centers of Excellence that can be marketed to managed care contractors as an
exclusive provider for those services within the region, and possibly outside the region.
Candidate: One final thought that keeps coming back to me centers on the company’s current competitors. What does the local market look like?
Interviewer: There are two other 350-bed hospitals in the city. One is an academic medical center, the other a catholic hospital recently acquired by a
for-profit chain. Additionally, total admissions in the marketplace have dropped by 5% and total patient days have declined 10%.
Candidate: In that case the hospital may want to consider affiliating with a competitor in the market. This may help to decrease capacity across the
city by rationalizing the services offered at each institution. This may allow one hospital to close, thereby reducing fixed costs.
Question
The client is a grocery store chain that is considering whether or not they should enter the emerging Internet-based grocery shopping/delivery market in the
Boston area. This regional chain is currently one of the leaders in the traditional grocery store market in northern New England.
In their core market, two competitors have emerged in the Internet/at-home grocery shopping business, and are rapidly gaining market share. One of the
companies that has already entered this new marketplace is the client's primary competitor in the traditional market. The second player is a chain that does
not have grocery stores in the target region, but has entered the Boston area with Internet shopping delivery services.
Should the client enter the market? If so, how, and what concerns should they have? If not, how do they protect market share from the emerging market
that is threatening to steal business?
Background
This is a market strategy issue. The interviewer is looking for a discussion of the client's customers, competitors, costs, core competencies and the overall
market dynamics. In addition, the candidate should be able to present a solution and identify the key success factors for this solution.
Response
Candidate: The client must first do some preliminary work examining the market for groceries delivered over the Internet. I would like to get a better
sense for the company's current customers, as well as potential customers, to see if the Internet is a viable delivery mechanism for the
company. Can you tell me more about the client's customers in the area?
Candidate: That's important to know. I would guess that prospective users of an Internet-based delivery system are upper-middle class. Can you
confirm this and elaborate on the growth prospects for this market?
Candidate: We've established that the market is an attractive one, however I still need more evidence before presenting a recommendation. I'd like to
now turn to the two competitors described in your opening. Can you explain their current market share?
Interviewer: All three local players (including yourself) have an equal market share - roughly 15%.
Candidate: And can you address recent growth trends among the competition?
Interviewer: The competitor without stores in the target region is gaining market share more rapidly than the company with stores in the target region.
Candidate: We've established pretty convincingly that the market is attractive. I'd like to now focus on our client. Clearly not all companies are
prepared to put their operations on the Internet. There are two central issues I'd like to better understand. First, the company's core
competencies—does it have the requisite skills to address the Internet user? Secondly, I'd like to understand the company's cost structure.
Is such a move feasible for the client? Do you have any information on the company's distribution capabilities? Specifically, is it able to
address the Internet market?
Interviewer: The company's current distribution facilities are not adequate for the delivery system.
Candidate: How about the company's employees? Are they sufficiently trained to handle delivery tasks associated with the Internet?
Interviewer: The current employees cannot perform these tasks without more training.
Candidate: When the company rolls out its Internet operations, it must not disappoint customers. Many of the Internet-based customers will be
cannibalized from the traditional operations. In itself, this is not bad. These customers obviously prefer the alternative, and it's better for
the company to retain them versus losing them to competitors. However, failure to deliver on Internet delivery will cause customers to
consider switching to the competition. As such, the company must be sure it can effectively deliver on its promises from the moment it
enters the Internet market.
The client is a manufacturer and distributor of infant formula. They sell their product nationwide, and are in the middle of the pack in terms of market
share. They are currently trying to boost their market share while maintaining profitability.
There is a government welfare program called WIC (Women, Infants, Children) that allows individuals living below the poverty level to receive vouchers
for infant formula for their children. Unlike most welfare programs, this one is subsidized by the actual producers of infant formula. On a state-by-state
basis, infant formula producers bid for the right to be the sole supplier of infant formula to welfare recipients in that state.
In addition to paying the government for the WIC contract, the client also provides rebates to retailers for WIC sales. As a result, income received from
WIC sales is substantially less than that received from normal formula sales. In fact, sales to mothers that remain in the WIC program for more than 12
months result in a net loss.
In trying to determine how much to bid on a WIC contract for a given state, what factors should you consider?
Background
This case is fairly wide open, and presents an issue that is most likely unfamiliar and ambiguous. One challenge will be for the interviewee to find one or
more issues that they can explore more in-depth. The basic focus of their analysis should deal with the relative profitability of a WIC contract.
Response
Candidate: I think for this case I would first look at who the typical WIC customer is, and the dynamic of the relationship, meaning how long are they
a customer, and what kind of loyalty is there. Since I don’t have any children, could you tell me more about a typical WIC customer, in
regards to buying formula?
Candidate: Thanks. With that knowledge, I can start to think about the issues facing this company. In trying to decide the terms for the contract,
profitability is the primary driver. There's obviously some issue of social-enterprise here, but even so, I think profitability will drive much
of the decision. Since the WIC recipient gets rebates in addition to the subsidized cost of the product, we need to quantify that rebate in
order to understand what the profitability per recipient is. Can you tell me that?
Interviewer: For the purposes of this interview, let's assume that the rebates average an additional 10% (off of the retail price).
Candidate: OK. So the profit per customer might be determined by (WIC revenue - rebates - COGS). So if the revenue is $100/customer/year, and the
rebates are $10, and COGS are $75, we make $15 per customer per year. As long as we're paying less per customer for these rights to be
the sole-supplier, we're in the black.
Interviewer: For the most part, your logic is correct. But is there anything else that might be a factor in determining profit?
Candidate: Well, related to the actual profitability of the WIC product I'm not sure. But maybe there are some hidden costs or revenues that I'm not
thinking about. In fact, maybe there are some synergistic revenues that the company can achieve. If they get the contract, that gets them
additional shelf-space in the stores. And not just WIC recipients shop in the stores. So maybe they will be able to increase market-share,
just by being on the shelf. Of course, they are getting full retail price for those sales. So I might add in an additional sales minus COGS to
the equation. But to try and get an idea of that figure might be tough. How long to these contracts last?
Interviewer: Good. I'm not going to make you go through the math on it, because we're about out of time, but you're right. There are 1.2 million WIC
recipients in the state, and shelf-space is awarded based on volume sales. So for this company to get the contract, it can help them have
more sales volume, and thus more shelf-space, and hopefully then more market share.
(WIC revenue - rebates - COGS) + (synergistic non-WIC revenue - COGS) >= Contract Bid
COGS takes into account economies of scale.
Real world situation is that synergies are strong, and WIC recipients bounce in and out of program but stay loyal to product for first-borns. Not only are the
synergies positive, but also on average WIC recipients are profitable because they pay retail for nearly half of the formula that they purchase over the first
22 months of their child's life.
The concerns over market potential center on whether the drug can gain adequate competitive advantage in a market segment having two
dominant, patent-protected competitors and nearly 100 generic competitors. Additionally, a higher technology antidepressant, which appears to
offer therapeutic advantages, was recently introduced by a competitor.
Gaining the professional endorsement of psychiatrists is crucial to success in this therapeutic category since they write approximately half of the
prescriptions for antidepressants. However, the division has no experience marketing drugs to this physician group. Consequently, it would have to
hire a sales force and/or enter into a co-marketing agreement to gain access to psychiatrists through someone else's force. The client would be able
to leverage its existing sales force to reach the other half of the prescribers (Internal Medicine Specialist and Family and General Practitioners).
How would you help them decide whether to 1) launch alone, 2) co-market with a partner, or 3) sell, license or swap the drug to a third party?
Commentator: Note here what is being asked, "How would you help them decide." What is not being asked is "Which is the correct option to
choose?" The Interviewer is looking more for how this problem is approached than for the "correct" answer.
Also note that it is totally appropriate to take some time to organize your thoughts before launching into the case discussion.
Response
Candidate: In helping the client decide which option they should choose, I will want to guide them to the option that will create the most
value. To understand main value drivers (i.e., profitability drivers), I will first explore the market attractiveness and our
competitive position within that market in order to determine revenue potential. After that, I will explore the major cost issues.
Starting with the revenue, I'll want to understand first what the overall market revenue opportunities are for this type of drug in
addition to our product specifically. Now, the client expressed concern over the market potential for this drug. How big is the
market and what is its potential growth rate?
The Candidate provided a roadmap. Now the interviewer understands the approach and expected direction of questioning. This
helps the interviewer understand the student's thought process - how he or she thinks through business problems.
Interviewer: The overall antidepressant drug market is relatively attractive at $1.1 billion per year and is growing well in excess of the
population growth rate.
Candidate: You mentioned that concerns over market potential center on whether the drug can gain adequate competitive advantage in a
market segment having "two dominant, patent-protected competitors and nearly 100 generic competitors." You also mentioned
that a higher technology drug had entered the market. Is the antidepressant market segmented by technology?
Interviewer: Yes.
Candidate: And the two patent-protected competitors along with the 100 generic competitors are within our technology segment?
Interviewer: Correct.
Candidate: So, the overall antidepressant market is attractive at $1.1 billion, but within that market, there are segments based on different
types of technology that may or may not be attractive.
Interviewer: As a matter of fact, substitution by the new technology may cause a decline in sales over the next 5 years. Additionally, the
existing competitive environment is very intense and will only increase if the market shrinks.
Candidate: What percent of the volume do the two main competitors have?
Interviewer: In our own technology segment, the leader has approximately 10% and the number two player has about 4%. The rest of the 100
competitors each has less than a 2% market share. By comparison, the new technology has captured a 20% market share of the
total antidepressant market.
Candidate: How much will our client's product be able to differentiate itself within our technology segment?
Interviewer: Not much. In a market research study we commissioned, the product was seen as very similar to the number two product in our
technology segment, slightly inferior to the number one product, and slightly better than the generic products. The new technology
was viewed as far better due to a lower level of sedation.
Candidate: So to summarize the market environment, although the anti-depressant market is attractive, the segment that we would be
participating in is relatively unattractive and runs the risk of becoming smaller and more competitive over time. Additionally,
within this unattractive segment, we have limited ability to differentiate ourselves relative to our competitors, and thus, will not
be able to charge a premium price.
I would think that this unattractive market and relatively undifferentiated position within that market would translate to a lower
market share. I would estimate that our share might be lower than either of the branded products given our new presence in the
market, say maybe a 2-4% share and this, like the rest of the segment, would probably decline over the next couple of years.
Commentator: In understanding the revenue potential, the Candidate did several key things.
1) Disaggregated the antidepressant market.
2) Established the overall attractiveness of the relevant market segment.
3) Established the client's relative attractiveness to competitors within that segment.
This enabled the Candidate to come to the correct conclusion that an undifferentiated position within a relatively unattractive
market will limit the revenue potential.
Also, note that the Candidate is doing most of the talking. Use the interviewer to clarify questions or provide information, but the
Candidate must lead the discussion.
Candidate: Knowing that our revenue potential is relatively low puts more pressure on minimizing the costs if we were to market the drug. I
Interviewer: Most of it is selling expense. There are some overhead/admin and advertising and promotional expenses, but most of it is selling
expenses.
Candidate: So, selling expense is the largest portion of the cost structure, which means that whichever option we choose, launching alone vs.
with a partner will certainly impact the selling expense (in addition to the number of prescribers reached, thus revenue potential).
Commentator: You can pick up good “tips” here. Spend time on things having high impact and feel free to test and see how important they are.
Tests might include how large something is as a percentage of sales, how important it is to the customer, or how much of an
impact it has on manufacturing economies, etc.
Candidate: In understanding the effect of the co-market agreement on number of prescribers reached, I think it would be helpful if I could get
an idea of who makes the purchasing decision.
Interviewer: Well, there are four main parties involved. There are the manufacturers (such as our client), the doctors (who prescribe the drug),
the druggists (who fill the prescription) and the patient (who initiates the transaction). Selling is concentrated on the doctors, since
they are the group that determines if medication is needed and, if so, what type.
Candidate: Is the growth in managed care going to influence the dynamics of this?
Interviewer: Yes, but for the purposes of our work, let’s not address that.
Candidate: So, for the purposes of our work, the doctors make the purchasing decisions, this includes two groups of physicians, the
Psychiatric group and the Internal Medicine/General Practitioner group.
Interviewer: Correct.
Candidate: You noted that we don’t currently have connections to psychiatrists. This group prescribes half of the antidepressants. Can we
launch the drug by only marketing to IMs and general practitioners and ignoring psychiatrists?
Candidate: So if we are to market this product, we cannot do so without the Psychiatric group. The weight of the decision then becomes a
matter of what is the most efficient and effective way to reach them—either through a newly hired sales force or with a co-
marketing agreement.
Interviewer: Correct.
Candidate: What are the advantages and disadvantages of marketing the drug ourselves?
Interviewer: In terms of having our own sales force, the main benefit would be that we would be concentrating on our product only and this
may help sales. On the downside however, the cost of this focus is all attributed completely to our product, and having a
dedicated sales force representing only one product would be expensive.
Candidate: Do you have any other psychotheraputic drugs in development or plans to expand this part of your portfolio through licensing?
Candidate: So by entering a co-marketing agreement, the costs of the sales force is spread across several products, and, if the co-marketer did
not have a competing product, then our product would get the appropriate selling attention warranted. Also, since this sales force
has existing relationships with the psychiatrists and doesn’t need to take time to further establish these relationships, sales of our
product might peak sooner. So, all in all, I would think that if we were to market this product, it would be a less costly and higher
value option to enter into a co-marketing agreement rather than go it alone.
Commentator: Here, as with most case interviews, the Candidate has the opportunity to go “deep” into an issue. The Candidate has chosen to
do this here with one type of cost, the sales force. The Interviewer is looking to see if the Candidate can identify some of the key
“value” drivers of the function being explored. In the case of the sales force, the Candidate correctly identified the key value
drivers as being:
1) The ability to spread the cost of a sales call across multiple products.
2) The ability to choose a co-marketer that needs this product in their existing product line.
3) The ability to leverage an existing psychiatric sales force infrastructure to reach peak sales sooner.
Remember, there are many value drivers. We have touched on a few, but don’t be concerned about identifying the “right” ones,
just try to identify what type of issues affect the situation the most.
Candidate: Again, the client would want to choose the option that was more value creating. There could be several reasons for going with the
third option:
1) We might sell our drug because the sum of the promotional or overhead costs may make it unprofitable for us to market
whereas a company having a similar product line might be able to carry this product at a very small incremental cost.
2) We might license it for the same reasons we would sell it.
3) We might swap it if we could find a company needing this type of drug while having a drug that might fit more with our
existing infrastructure.
In any case, for the options being considered, I would want to forecast cash flows and discount them back to see what option is
more value creating before making a final recommendation.
Interviewer: OK, thank you for your input on how to approach this problem.
Commentator: You’ll note here, that the Candidate doesn’t actually make a final recommendation. This is fine. The Candidate has demonstrated
how he would approach the problem, and in doing so, has hit on many of the key issues you would find in a real client case
situation.
Recapping the steps the Candidate took into evaluating the client’s options:
Before getting into the details on this particular case, how would you define strategy?
• Participation
o Geography
o Customer
o High-Level Product Segment
• Offering
o Product
o Service
• Pricing
o Product
o Service
• Operating Configuration (cost/asset)
• Distribution
In the first meeting with the client to "scope out" the potential project, what might be some of the things that you would like to know?
• Ulterior motives for the work (are there politics involved)
• What other work have they done on the subject?
• What do they want to find out?
• How would they like to work together?
• Are there any time constraints?
• Who would they like involved in the project?
• Basic information on the brand (profit, volume, etc.)?
• Any hypotheses on the key issues?
• Any thoughts on the likely alternatives?
• Any key questions that have to be answered regardless of the strategy?
What kind of information would you want to understand in order to determine the reason for the steady volume decline up to 1996,
explain the "kink" in the volume decline, and then forecast what market volume is likely to do over the next several years?
• Is the answer to slower growth explained by fewer people drinking scotch, or by drinking less overall, or both? (fewer people have been
drinking scotch)
What kind of information would you want to understand in order to determine why fewer people have been drinking scotch?
• Demographics
o Male versus female
o Age of typical scotch drinkers
• Popularity
o Substitute products
o Health reasons
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 72
What kind of analysis would you complete to quantify the reduction in number of scotch drinkers?
• Review census work
• Complete literature searches
• Interview customers
• Interview distribution channel members
• Interview other producers
• Complete market research studies
• Review the client's information gathered over time
What information would you like to know about the industry, in general?
• How is the scotch market segmented?
o There are three segments in the market, low-end (such as private label CVS whisky), premium (typically seen on the back bar in a
bar), and super-premium (including Chivas Regal and single malt scotches).
• What are the sizes of the segments?
o 40% of the volume in low-end, 50% in premium, and 10% in super premium.
• Is the scotch market profitable?
o Yes, all segments are economically profitable.
• How is profit concentrated?
HBS Case Interview Guide, Page 73
o 20% in low-end, 60% in premium, 20% in super-premium.
• What are customer needs?
o Taste (do people like the taste of the scotch -- either in blind taste tests or do they "think" one brand tastes better because it has a
darker color, or is a more thick liquid, etc.)
o Fashion (is it fashionable to drink)
o Badge (does the brand make me feel important/different/mature/sophisticated)
Would you think that the scotch industry is profitable? Explain structurally, and elaborate
• High barriers to entry, takes a long time to establish a brand name in scotch
• People are very brand loyal and won't switch easily
• People think it’s bad for your health and it’s difficult to get them to start drinking
• People think it tastes bad and it’s hard to acquire a taste for scotch
• Customers are not price sensitive
• Regulatory pressures are high (high taxes, it’s expensive)
• Competitor intensity is not that high (little price based competition, noticeable, but not outrageous investment in advertising)
• As a result, overall, the industry is very profitable, but volume is declining, so profit is declining
What are your potential hypotheses that you would want to test to understand our relative performance?
• Customers perceive our brand as having poorer rankings on the key attributes
o We have a disadvantaged taste, disadvantaged badge, but competitive fashion
• We do not have the same distribution/availability as competitors
o We actually have advantaged distribution
• We are priced too high relative to our attributes
o True
• Customers are not aware of our products (advertising awareness)
o False, people remember our advertising
• Customers are not convinced to buy our product from our advertising (advertising effectiveness)
o True, we have very poor advertising effectiveness
How would you determine how much money to spend on the advertising budget?
• Set a target number of customers to reach and a frequency target, and then back out the required investment to achieve the targets, based
on the media used, time of year, quality of layout, etc.
• Spend as much as competitors
o This would require a 100% increase in advertising investment
• Spend the same % of revenue as competitors, or set a % of revenue target
• Look at the competitors, index their advertising investment relative to the price premium they receive, and thus index our investment
relative to the price premium we receive (in other words, #1 brand has a 10% price premium and invests $10MM/year in advertising and
the industry average is $5MM/year. So they have 100% more advertising for a 10% price premium. We want a 0% price premium, so we'd
invest at the industry average of $5MM. Or, we want a 10% price discount, so we'd invest at ½ of the industry average, or only $2.5MM
per year)
• Continue current spending
• Spend a % of our cost structure
• Do a break-even analysis and spend up to where we are economically break-even
Which of these is likely to offer the greatest profit potential and why?
• Milk the brand
o Because market volume is declining so much, we will never recover the advertising investment to turn around the brand (the best
strategy).
• Sell the brand
o Because market volume is declining so much, we will never recover the advertising investment to turn around the brand, and the
value of the brand declines every year as the volume declines.
• Invest to build the brand
o Convince other producers to spend on advertising so the entire industry convinces more people to drink scotch and all producers
win. We could also encourage people to switch from wine/vodka/other drinks to drink scotch (e.g., link with cigars to appear more
fashionable).
Although overall profitability for Regional Jet in 1999 was a competitive 5% economic profit margin, profitability varied significantly by business.
The prop business generated a stellar 30% profit margin, while the jet engine business was unprofitable with a margin of 3%. Over the past several
years, Regional Jet has experienced eroding profitability in its jet engine aircraft business. Its prop business, despite being profitable, has been flat
in most recent years.
At a January 5th analyst conference (a meeting with the investor community) Regional Jet's senior management team announced that the company
was committed to managing for value.
To this end, Regional Jet has hired you and a team of consultants to help the company develop and implement the value-maximizing strategies for
its businesses.
For our case discussion today, please focus on the jet engine aircraft business:
• How would you go about further analyzing this business?
• What recommendations would you like to make to senior management?
I. Market Economics
An "A " candidate should seek to understand market size, growth and profitability, as well as conduct an indirect structural
assessment of the industry, e.g., suppliers, customers. Information to be provided to student if asked, although some may require
prompting:
• Market Size: In 1999, the U.S. jet engine, 100 seat or less aircraft market was ~$5 billion.
• Competitors: There is no dominant competitor in the jet engine, 100 seat or less market. The market leader has 20% market share. There
are 4 other competitors with market share from 12% to 18%. Regional Jet Corporation has ~16% share.
• Market Growth: The market has been growing ~5% (in units delivered) each year for the past 5 years and is expected to continue to grow
5% over the next decade. In 1999, a total of 625 jet engine regional aircraft were delivered to customers.
• Market Profitability: Ask the student whether he/she thinks the market is profitable, and how he/she would go about assessing market
profitability. (Answer to be provided post discussion on structural forces below):
o Supplier Power: The supplier base for regional aircraft parts is highly fragmented and Regional Jet uses approximately 50%
proprietary parts in its jet engine aircraft. Hence, supplier power is low.
o Intensity of Direct Competition: Fairly concentrated market with only 6 jet engine regional aircraft manufacturers. Hence,
intensity of direct competition is low-to-moderate.
Answer: Regional Jet is competitively disadvantaged overall with negative profits (compared to a profitable market) driven by a disadvantaged
pricing position, particularly to the large lessor customer segment.
V. Alternative Generation
Key Question: What are some strategy alternatives that Regional Jet can pursue in order to improve its jet engine aircraft profitability?
• Potential alternative #l: Aggressively pursue new small and medium, non-aircraft lessor customers and do not increase sales
to existing aircraft lessor customers.
o Ask the student what key questions he/she would seek to answer in the evaluation of this alternative. Key risks may include a slow
road to profitability and unlikely to result in the doubling of the jet engine aircraft business' value. Ask the student to compute
how long it would take for Regional Jet to double the economic profit of the business given the company acquires new small and
medium, non aircraft lessor customers at the market growth rate of 5%.
• Potential alternative #2: Aggressively pursue new small and medium, non-aircraft lessor customers and do not serve any aircraft lessors.
o Ask the student what key questions he/she would seek to answer in the evaluation of this alternative. Key risk may include the
inability to achieve scale (currently at 100 units, with 60% of units purchased by aircraft lessors), and hence, profitability in any
customer segment.
• Potential alternative #3: Regional Jet to increase its negotiating leverage vis-a-vis aircraft lessors by entering the aircraft leasing market.
o Ask the student what key questions he/she would seek to answer in the evaluation of this alternative. [See discussion below]
• Others?
# of Aircraft
5 35 60
Delivered
Share by Segment 2% 33% 50%
You're a new senior strategy associate and have just finished your orientation training. You are immediately assigned to our British Times team.
The British Times is an upscale, highly respected newspaper. It is the most widely read newspaper in Great Britain, especially its very strong
business and financial section. The paper is a cross between the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times, both in content as well as in
reputation.
The team has already had one meeting with the newspaper's online spin-off: BritishTimes.com. You are going to join the team for the second
meeting, which will be held with only the CEO of the BritishTimes.com. Currently, their web site is nothing more than an online version of the
newspaper, otherwise called brochureware.
The newspaper's and the web spin-off’s single biggest asset is the highly respected brand name: British Times. The purpose of this second meeting
is for the consulting team to present its response to the CEO's current predicament: how to realize greater revenues from their current online
spin-off (BritishTimes.com).
Company Background:
Your team has provided you with the following information as background about BritishTimes.com:
• BritishTimes.com conducted a viewer survey, receiving a high enough number of responses to be statistically significant, allowing them to
feel comfortable using the following information for planning purposes.
o Their web site has a large number of hits, only 30% fewer unique visitors than the number 1 site in the UK.
o Their hits are from viewers in the 75th percentile of customer income.
o Their viewers are also highly educated: 60% have a university education and 30% of whom have graduate degrees.
Your Challenge:
Create 3 or more ideas for the BritishTimes.com company to increase their revenue through their Internet strategy.
Possible Solution:
Candidate: In general, it's fair to say that the bulk of Internet revenues comes from three sources: advertising, subscriptions, and transactions. I
think that the key to helping the CEO is to tailor these initiatives to British Times.com core assets.
[Great way to start. The candidate did not try to use an ill-fitting framework such as 3Cs or 5 forces to approach this case. Instead he's showing a
good understanding of the Internet's major sources of revenues. He also acknowledges that further discussion of the company's core assets is
critical to formulating a robust solution.]
Interviewer: Good points. Can you give me more details on each of these sources of revenues?
Candidate: Well let's look at advertising first. We could suggest two avenues: banner ads and corporate sponsorship. Upscale or corporate banner
ads such as insurance companies, banks, or brokerage firms would make a lot of sense with our audience. They are highly educated and more
importantly, have the highest level of disposable income. In addition to banner ads, we should look into corporate sponsorship. We should take full
advantage of the fact that the strong business section can obtain corporate sponsorships; for example, banks or e-trade companies pay for their
section of the site.
[Well-structured answer. The candidate is using the case facts to support his answer.]
Candidate: We could imagine a three-tier approach. For example, in tier 1, readers could have access to today's news for free. For a small fee,
Tier 2 subscribers could research up to one-week-old articles in the archive. Finally, in the last tier, subscribers could have access to the entire
archive.
Interviewer: Coming from a traditional publishing company, they are fairly familiar with these two models. I would be interested in hearing more
about your third option.
Candidate: One way to "monetize" their attractive audience would be by offering targeted products and services. Some examples could be a
tollbooth model similar to Amazon Z shop concept or selling tabs on their site. This would clearly require a deep analysis of the competitive
landscape and of the company's capability (technical, people...) to start a completely new line of business.
• High margin,
These products or services would have to be:
• Upscale,
• Highly profitable vertical businesses; for instance: golf store, tax advice, investment advice, upscale travel (cruises, etc.)
Interviewer: Golf equipment? This is interesting. How would you go about sizing the market for golf equipment in the UK?
[The interviewer decides to test the candidate’s ability to do some real time analysis, to articulate a methodology, and to make reasonable and
explicit assumptions in order to arrive at a ballpark estimate. Here the interviewer could have chosen to discuss more in detail how the candidate
would have thought about launching a completely new line of service.]
[It's always a good idea to take numbers that are easy to manipulate. Do not hesitate to round up the number to help your calculations. The
examiner is not looking for an accurate answer.]
If we assume that 20% of the people connected will visit the British Times site, we now have:
20M x 20% = 4 million visitors
Not all of them will click on the golf site. Probably about 20% will do. We can now estimate the number of people browsing the golf site:
4M x 20% = 800,000 visitors
If we assume that only 10% of them will actually purchase on the site, we now have:
800,000 x 10% = 80,000 buyers.
Each buyer may spend on average $100 each time they visit and they may visit the site 2 times each year.
If we assume a 5% margin, we now have a rough idea of the golf equipment first year revenues:
80,000 x $100 x 2 x 5%= $800,000
Company Background:
The client's web site and some associated articles found on the Internet have provided the following information.
• The client is a publicly traded company with a $3B market cap. The share price has risen from $15 to $45 in the past 12 months.
• The client has 300 stores, mostly east of the Mississippi, and all stores are within the U.S.
• Revenues are approximately $250M, and the firm has average profitability for its industry.
• The client has been on a rapid store expansion program adding about 25 new stores each quarter for the past two years. They claim to
expect similar growth going forward.
• The market for this client is clothing for children 12 and under. Sales are roughly split between boys and girls.
• The company is vertically integrated: It designs all its own products, has deep relationships with contract manufacturers in Asia, and
distributes all of its products through company owned stores.
• The company sells a high quality product that is priced about 25-30% lower than its chief competitors.
• The company has done only limited marketing. The brand remains relatively unknown.
• Plan for the client meeting. Structure the problem at hand. What questions would you ask?
• Then, work with your interviewer to explore and broaden those questions and brainstorm the client's hypothetical responses.
Possible Approach:
To present the best solution, the candidate must have a better understanding of the customers, the competitors and the client. Some of the
important questions to ask are:
Client:
• What are the client's goals?
o To increase revenues? To reduce costs? To increase market capitalization?
o How could different Internet initiatives accomplish each of these goals?
o Are these the right goals for the client to have?
o What are the client's organizational capabilities?
o Are they capable of supporting an Internet initiative with the existing culture? Talent? IT infrastructure, legacy, processes?
Operational structure, processes, procedures, policies? Accounting processes?
[The goal of the interviewer is to assess the candidate's ability to analyze and develop questions for the client to answer. The interviewer will often
play the devil's advocate and challenge the hypothesis the candidate generates.]
Quantitative Analysis:
After spending part of the weekend preparing for your kick-off meeting and discussion facilitation, you check your voicemail from the airport
before hopping onto the shuttle on your way to the client's office for the meeting. The one new message is from your Principal/Engagement Leader
asking you to provide an estimate of the size of today's online component of domestic children's apparel sales and how large it might grow in the
next 5 years. As you step onto the plane, you realize that you'll have no access to the Internet or other research before the meeting starts. Instead,
you will need to create a "back-of-the-envelope" analysis on the plane.
Your Challenge:
[The point of this scenario is to test the candidate's ability to do some real time analysis, to articulate a methodology, and to make reasonable and
explicit assumptions in order to arrive at a ballpark estimate.]
Assume the children's apparel category is dollars spent on clothes for kids ages 12 and under, as stated in the case facts.
There are approximately 275M people in the U.S., perhaps 15% are under 12.
275M x 15% = approximately 40M kids under the age of 12.
Assume the average parents spend $250 on each kid age 12 or under each year.
40M kids x $250 = $10B children's apparel industry for kids 12 and under.
Of the people who spend this $10B, assume 35% of them have Internet access and have the potential to shop online.
Therefore, the theoretical current maximum potential size of the market is $3.5B.
However, just because people use their online access to buy their kids' clothes doesn't mean they spent all $250 for each child online for their
apparel. In fact, only a small fraction of those dollars are spent online today, perhaps 5% (a.k.a. share of wallet).
5% x $3.5B = $175M (which is not too far off the actual estimate of $130M in 1999-Forrester Report)
In the next five years, let's assume the number of kids increases to 42M, average spending goes to $300 per kid age 12 and under, Internet access
rises to 55% and share of wallet rises to 20%.
Company Background
You talked at length with the President of the dot-com part of the company and this is what you learned:
• This company now wants to sell directly to consumers through their Internet site.
• Their current online business is nothing more than a small catalog and is not doing very well: sales and hits are less than expected.
• It offers:
o More convenience than their other channels. It is open 24x7 and has more product information.
o But, limited selection: only high margin items.
• The President's strategy is to add key functionality to the online business to increase the hit rate and improve revenue.
• She reports directly to the CEO
• She wants your consulting team to create:
o A multi-ship-to-functionality,
o A site-wide search functionality,
o An ability to add checkout sales (e.g. impulse buy items similar to end caps in grocery stores next to the register).
• She wants your consulting team to build this immediately.
This coming Thursday, you will meet with the President and her team.
Her expectation is that you will present a plan for your consulting team to build the functionality ASAP.
• What will you do on Monday?
• What will you prepare?
• What questions will you ask the President?
• What is your goal for that meeting?
Candidate Response:
There are many ways to answer this challenge, but the candidate should at least know not to accept the client at face value, realizing that the
functionality the President wants will not materially improve the hit rate or revenue, at least as far as the information provided indicates.
The candidate should want to create a conversation with the President and her team to present the plan for delivering the functionality (or state that
there is a plan), primarily to gather additional information to better understand the online company's business issues and goals. In other words, the
candidate should want to open the eyes of the President and her team through questioning. The candidate will want to offer the notion that the
additional functionality will not solve the pressing problem.
The candidate's questioning of the President should follow a logic path that includes asking about the value proposition of the line store; for
instance:
• Who is the store trying to target?
• What is the store's value to the customer—its real offering (e.g. convenience, price, selection)?
• Why is it a unique and attractive offering?
• How will the online store deliver on the promise?
Two business school classmates laud their entrepreneurship intentions and mock your interest in entering the management consulting industry.
They decide that despite trends that indicate otherwise, what is needed is a video rental store closer to the HBS campus. They try to convince you
to join, but in your infinite wisdom you instead join a prominent strategy consulting firm in Boston.
Their first two years meet unprecedented success. They buy matching Porches and a townhouse in Beacon Hill. Needless to say, each time you
meet up for social occasions, they share with you (mostly with tongue in cheek) their success and a "I told you so" attitude. You handle their jabs
well, as you feel you have had a terrific experience at your consulting firm.
The story, however, changes in about 12 months. Despite two and a half years of dramatic profit and revenue growth, profits have dramatically
fallen. They call you (with a fair amount of egg on their face) and say "we don't know what happened and our mortgage and car payments are
getting tougher to meet. Can you help us? We know that you help CEO's of large companies get to the bottom of their issues." With more than a
little satisfaction and justice in your voice you agree to help.
Suggested Questions:
This is an example of a case where the student must probe to get to the heart of the matter. The student needs to ask questions which first diagnose
the situation and then (and only then) talk about causes of the situation and then (and only then) talk about areas of improvement.
This is an example of a case that is founded in 3C's type issues. The student has to diagnose the problem and find out what exactly is going on and
then find out what is causing it. This is how efficient analysis is performed:
If profits have declined then I assume that either revenues have declined or costs have increased, what is the case?
Revenues have decreased. Why would you think that cost is probably not the problem?
Video rental is a high fixed cost business - rent, videos, and labor are all fixed in the context of rental revenue. Thus, the business' profits will be
susceptible to changes in revenues (capacity utilization). Revenues are made up of the number of videos we rent in a year and the price we charge.
Has the management changed the price of the videos?
No. What does that tell you?
That means that either fewer customers are coming to the store or each customer on average is renting fewer videos. Which is it?
How would you figure that out?
The security system probably has a counter so that could tell us store traffic, and clearly the register receipts could give us number of videos rented
per day. We can look at that data last year versus this year and determine whether there is a traffic problem or share of wallet problem.
Excellent. If you found out it was a share of wallet problem, what would you think might be the problem?
Share of wallet problems are often driven by internal execution problems (bad selection, poor service, etc) whereas, traffic is often external (or
market) problems.
Again, excellent. The data shows that traffic has fallen. What now?
If traffic has fallen, it is either a macro factor or a competitive situation. My inclination is that video rentals are not that impacted by economic
factors, so it is probably a competitive situation. Has a new store opened in the area?
No.
Hmm... That is surprising. I was sure that this was a competitive situation and we have a fixed pool of rental community (or movie interested
community) and that once a new store opened regardless of how good it was, it took share from my client’s store.
Let me ask you something and maybe this will help you along. What business is your client in?
They are in the video rental business or the entertainment business or leisure business... I see there could be other entertainment preference shifts
or options, etc.
That is good intuition, but have you fully defined your client’s business? What does your client do? What purpose to they serve?
They rent movies for people to watch at home. They are in the home entertainment business and specifically in the home movie entertainment
business. That means that the competitive set is anybody who provides movies in the home. Not just video stores.
Excellent. What do you think is going on?
Here the student has now diagnosed the problem and can make a very good hypothesis that either delivery, cable, PPV, or new Movie on Demand
technology has infiltrated the market or is experiencing rapid growth, reducing the market size for video rentals at stores.
There is no one right way to approach cases. Structure your case interviews to (1) perform structured analysis and fact gathering to properly
diagnose the problem; (2) share your logic and hypothesis whenever you can; (3) drive to an answer/assessment.
Assume you are the new pastor of a rural English church in the late nineteenth century. Over the last three years, attendance has been declining.
Your boss has just come to town to tell you that she is considering shutting down the church. You have two weeks to diagnose the problem and
come us with possible solutions.
How would you think through what these problems might be and the possible solutions?
There are many potential reasons why the churchgoers of the parish have stopped going to church. First, I will talk about the possibility of
competitive churches; secondly, I will talk about the possibility that people in the area have simply stopped going to church.
There is the possibility of competing churches. There are two reasons why competing churches could be taking our parishioners away: better
location, better religion, or better services. I remember from my history classes in college that some churches were located far away from pockets
of the population, and churchgoers often would establish churches closer to home. Also, sometimes people change what they believe or new ways
of thinking emerge. This could also be driving people to other churches.
I would also want to figure out if the nearby churches are preaching different religions. There is at least a chance that these churches are offering
parishioners a different kind of religious viewpoint that is more attractive than the religion we have been preaching. Their rules regarding
behavior, for instance, may be different from ours.
Lastly, I would want to understand the different services being offered at "competing" churches. There may be different value that these other
churches offer that we do not. For instance, these churches might provide childcare, adult education and job training, or singles dances. These
churches may offer more personal attention and guidance from the pastors.
I will also talk about the possibility that people who live in the area around the church simply may have stopped going to church. Off the top of my
head, I can think of two reasons why people may stop going to church: progress and inconvenience. As science and communication advance,
people may rely less on the church to explain the world and more on scientific findings and written forms of communication such as books and
newspapers. This could be happening in our parish. On the other hand, going to church may be becoming inconvenient or economically nonviable.
Maybe our parishioners feel that they need to stay at home to work in the fields in order to maintain subsistence. I would want to talk to these
parishioners to find out why they have stopped going to church
Once I understand why people are leaving, I would devise a plan to bring the parishioners back. I would want to be focused on the needs of my
parish, by offering enhanced services, such as day care as well as flexibility, such as offering services at different times of the day. If distance is a
factor, I may want to consider having services at different locations at different times, making our church more accessible.
Summary Comments
This would be a very good answer. The candidate came up with a number of hypotheses, identified ways to test those hypotheses, and formulated
an action plan to address the issues. This answer shows thoughtfulness, creativity, and structured thinking. While there may be some issues that
this candidate did not identify, he/she does a good job structuring a comprehensive answer. For a 3Cs answer to be good, a candidate does not
have to address every single issue.
You are Dean Clark. A wealthy benefactor has come to you with the news that she will give HBS $100 million. The grant is contingent, however,
upon you using the money effectively. You have 1 week to propose to the benefactor where you would use the money before she will finalize the
transfer.
First, as Dean Clark, I need to think through what does spending the money effectively mean? This is a not-for-profit learning institution, but that
does not mean that it is not a business. For Dean Clark to be successful, he needs to understand what drives his business and where he can achieve
the biggest return for his investment.
• MBA program
There are currently 4 major "business units" that provide a revenue stream for HBS. These include:
While there are many budding initiatives, including distance learning, these are the four largest sources of revenue.
If you rank the relative profitability of these revenue streams, you would likely find that the least profitable of the four is-the MBA program.
Publishing is a very profitable business but it seems to have high reliance on the education business. Executive Education is very profitable, as the
fees charged to the executives are quite large when compared to the length of program. Grants and donations are virtually pure profit.
At first glance one might conclude that HBS should focus their resources and efforts on the highest return areas of securing grants, publishing and
expanding the Executive Education program. It would follow then, that the MBA program would fall as the lowest priority for resource allocation.
That would be an incorrect conjecture, however. Consider what draws people to the executive education program, for example. The brand cache of
HBS drives the attendance and enables the price premium. Similarly for publishing, the value of the HBS brand provides the credibility behind the
content and drives sales. So what drives the HBS brand? Clearly it is the MBA program.
In the end, the MBA program effectively ties in every other revenue stream both directly and via the resulting brand cache. Clearly the $100
million is best spent on the MBA program.
Summary Comments
This is not a particularly difficult case but it does assess the candidate's ability to think through the school as a business and reason through to the
underlying driver of that business. A superb candidate will need little to no prompting to think through this case in its entirety.
Six months out of HBS, a frustrated classmate calls you to complain that the fast food burger joint that he bought has been steadily losing money
for the last 3 months. He wants to know what you think he should do about it.
Suggested Questions:
This is an example of a case where virtually no information is provided and the student needs to take a minute to figure out where to start probing.
In this type of case, the student is evaluated based on the number of factors questioned up front plus the ability to logically pare down that list to
get at the heart of the matter.
Here are some of the initial questions the student should ask:
•
•
Have revenues decreased?
•
Have costs increased?
•
Have prices increased?
•
Was the store making money 3 months ago? What has changed?
•
Is there new competition?
•
Has there been a major economic change in the area?
Was there a major event like someone getting sick? Health code violation? Crime?
These answers will help to frame the extent of the required analysis.
What do you mean by "losing money"? Have profits declined or is the business in the red?
Profits have declined.
If revenues have decreased, there are either fewer paying customers or the customers are spending less when they visit. Which is the case?
While they could both play a role, in this case, there are actually fewer customers.
Fewer customers could be due to external factors like new competition, change in eating habits, local changes like a major business closing in the
area. There are also internal factors to consider such as poor food quality, higher prices, or a major event like someone getting sick or a health code
violation. Recognizing that there are likely many factors involved, is the issue primarily internal or external?
The issue is external and is driven by a new competitor that opened across the street.
This new competitor must be offering a better value to have made such an impact on the burger joint. What is their value proposition? Are they
offering a different type of food? Is it better quality? Is there a price disparity?
They serve chicken dinners and appear to offer a completely different experience. How would you get a deeper understanding of their value
proposition?
First, I would visit and learn everything that I can from what I see and experience first hand. How is the quality of the food? Are the prices
reasonable? Do they offer healthier options and more variety? How is the service? Cleanliness? How is the facility laid out? Do they have more
parking? Easier access? Once I get a first hand view of the competition, I would take a hard look at the burger business and the value proposition
they are offering. The same questions would apply.
Next, I would do some primary research including customer interviews at both locations. The focus of these interviews is to discern the differences
in perception between the two locations. 1 would pay some customers to go to each restaurant and rate the food and experience. I would also
Armed with the data on what customers' value, I would then create a set of options to evaluate. There are likely a number of areas that need
improvement including new menu options, improved facility layout, better taste/quality. Which will drive most traffic back into the restaurant
fastest? Which give the largest return on investment? After analyzing the alternatives based on the chosen criteria, I would prioritize them and
develop an action plan to include timing and responsibilities.
[At this point, the case could go in several directions from leadership and project management issues, to brand marketing and promotion, to
financial decisions about whether to close the facility.]
Summary Comments:
This type of case can be very intimidating since it is broad and ill-defined. The interviewer may not provide much guidance or detail; increasing
the stress level. When faced with an interview of this type, the student should try to remain calm and methodical. Writing down the alternatives
and crossing them out as they are ruled out is a good way to show their thought process. Thinking aloud is encouraged. The student should take a
little time in the beginning to frame the issue so as not to develop a hasty hypothesis and head down the wrong path.
The director of marketing at an automobile manufacturer suggests changing the current design, where two separate keys operate the ignition and
the doors to a design where one key operates all lock mechanisms.
The goal of any business including automobiles is profit throughput that can be measured by the Net Present Value impact of the proposed change.
For the proposed change to have a positive impact on profit throughput, the change must be a net positive of change in cost structure or product
demand weighed against the investment needed to implement the change. An expanding of demand in this case must come from the product
meeting customer needs better than the direct competition or substitutes. Customer needs that this product may address are simplicity, security,
and cost of ownership (related to security). One should also consider if the improvement is defensible or would be easily copied.
For cost structure, the relative expense of using what is assumed to be the more complex locking mechanism of the ignition on the door and trunk
(assumed 5 locks that would be more complex) would have to be weighed against the reduced cost of developing or purchasing separate key and
lock mechanisms. As most automobile manufacturers are very large, it is assumed that the simpler locking mechanism needed for the doors could
be reused across many product lines or purchased from large parts suppliers who supply the industry as whole and the development cost of a
separate locking mechanism would be low. Therefore, the change in cost structure will be driven by the relative cost difference of buying 6
complex locking mechanisms vs. 5 simple locking mechanisms and l complex mechanism. It is assumed that a more complex locking mechanism
is needed for the ignition. Therefore, the hypothesis is that the net change of cost position is negative. It is also assumed that the market power of
buying more complex locking mechanism would not significantly impact the price charged by suppliers or cost basis if developed internally. This
hypothesis would be easy to check by looking at the relative cost position of the different locking mechanisms and the discount structure available
for mass purchasing the various locking mechanisms.
On the demand generation side, the product would have to create a net positive in demand across the customer needs of simplicity, security, and
cost of ownership. The fact that the marketing director suggested this change hints at the fact that customers may demand the increased simplicity
of only carrying one key. This does not seem intuitively true as the two keys are almost always carried on the same key ring so the relative
improvement to simplicity is probably minimal.
For security, there are two factors to consider, the theft of valuables in the car and the car itself. If more complex locking systems were to improve
the security to valuables, then the value of going with the more complex locking system on the doors of the car may be a positive. The assumption,
The customer reaction to a single key mechanism could be tested through surveying or product pilots where a sample set of customers are given
actual cars with one key and asked to gauge their reaction. Or larger regional pilots could be run and the change in demand affect measured.
The investment required to implement the change of eliminating a separate key and lock for the doors and ignition is assumed to be minimal as
key locking mechanisms are fairly standardized and the ignition key lock, which is probably more complex, could be transferred to the doors and
trunk with minimal amount of rework of the parts assembly infrastructure for building the auto. The primary investment cost would then be the
cost of piloting or surveying for the increase in customer demand by implementing the change. Surveying and piloting costs can be significant, but
it is assumed a cheaper survey would suffice in this case to gauge demand so investment costs would be minimal.
Three final possible points to consider on demand generation. One, an increase in demand is necessary but not sufficient to improve profit
throughput, as the company also needs to be able to meet the new demand generated. As auto manufactures almost always have an excess of
capacity, this is not an issue. Two, even if this change was beneficial it could be easily copied by competitors and it is assumed that the change
would not provide any lasting brand advantage in the customers mind or raise the demand of the sector as a whole. Therefore, in the long run, the
cost reduction benefits would override the decision to go forward and we have already argued the affect would be negative. A final factor that
should be considered is the assumption that the majority of cars sold in the US in the past have included two keys and the two keys have most
likely generated a lot of unanticipated use that may be hard to anticipate that might cause customers to reject the change. So, from a customer
perspective, I would want to see the demand for this from customers to be strong and the benefits large before implementing a change.
Because it does not appear the proposed change would positively impact cost position or increase demand significantly, the recommendation is
against the proposed change. I recommend even against investing to gauge customer demand as the long run benefit would be in cost position and
the assumption here is that the affect is negative.
Summary Comments
This candidate starts with a framework and works through to a hypothesis and how the answer might be tested. All the customer factors or cost
impact that could be considered are obviously not included, the interviewer should look for a structured presentation that arrives at a hypothesis
with ideas how to test and a proposed answer.