CF CH 1
CF CH 1
CF CH 1
OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
Suggested reading(s)
Ross, Westerfield and Jordan, (2022). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 13th ed. McGraw-Hill Irwin.
Brealey, Myers, and Allen, (2020). Principles of Corporate Finance, 13th ed. McGraw Hill.
2
Introduction
What is Finance?
▪ The science and art of managing money
▪ It includes the circulation of money, the granting of credit, the making of
investments, and the provision of banking facilities.
▪ It has many facets, which makes it difficult to provide one concise definition.
It is; 2
4) International finance
5) Fintech
▪ But they are closely interconnected.
continued
4
Basic areas of finance…
1.Corporate finance/Financial management/Business finance:
Management of financial decisions at corporate level relating to;
▪ How much and what types of assets to acquire?
▪ How to raise the capital needed to purchase assets, and
▪ How to run the firm so as to maximize its value?
continued
5
Basic areas of finance…
2. Investments: Work with financial assets such as stocks and bonds. Some
of the important questions include:
– What determines the price of a financial asset, such as a share of
stock?
– What are the potential risks and rewards associated with investing in
financial assets?
– What is the best mixture of financial assets to hold?
continued
6
Basic areas of finance…
3. Financial Institutions:
– Businesses that deal primarily in financial matters.
– Include Banks and Insurance companies
– Perform a variety of finance-related tasks.
continued
7
Basic areas of finance…
4. International Finance:
– Finance across country lines
– It is not so much an area as it is a specialization within one of the main
areas we described earlier.
– In other words, careers in international finance generally involve
international aspects of either corporate finance, investments, or
financial institutions
continued
8
Basic areas of finance…
5. Fintech:
– It is the combination of technology and finance
– It is a broad term for a company that uses the internet, mobile
phones, software, and/or cloud services to provide a financial service
continued
9
Financial Management Decisions
▪ Imagine that you were to start your own business. No matter what type
you started, you would have to answer the following three questions in
some form or another:
1. What long-term investments should you take on? That is, what lines
of business will you be in and what sorts of buildings, machinery, and
equipment will you need? 9
2. Where will you get the long-term financing to pay for your
investment? Will you bring in other owners or will you borrow the
money?
3. How will you manage your everyday financial activities such as
collecting from customers and paying suppliers? continued
10
Financial Management Decisions…
▪ Capital Budgeting: concerns the firm’s long-term investments-The
process of planning and managing a firm’s long-term investments.
▪ Capital Structure- Concerns ways in which the firm obtains and
manages the long-term financing it needs to support its long-term
investments.
– A firm’s capital structure (or financial structure) is the specific mixture
of long-term debt and equity the firm uses to finance its operations.
– The financial manager has two concerns in this area.
▪ First, what mixture of debt and equity is best?
▪ Second, what are the least expensive sources of funds for the firm?
11
Financial Management Decisions…
▪ Working Capital Management-
– Refers to a firm’s short-term assets, such as cash, and its short-term
liabilities, such as money owed to suppliers.
– Managing working capital is a day-to-day activity that ensures that the
firm has sufficient resources to continue its operations and avoid
costly interruptions
12
Financial Market and the corporation
13
Principles That Form The Foundations of Financial Management
▪ Risk-Return Trade-off
– We won’t take on additional risk unless we expect to be compensated with
additional return.
– Investment alternatives have different amounts of risk and expected returns.
– The more risk an investment has, the higher will be its expected return.
13
– Managers may make decisions that are not in line with the goal of maximization of
shareholder wealth
▪ Cash—Not Profits—is King
➢ Cash Flow, not accounting profit, is used to measure wealth.
➢ Cash flows, not profits, are actually received by the firm and can be reinvested.
continued
15
Principles …
▪ Incremental Cash flow
• It is only what changes that counts;
• The incremental cash flow is the difference between the projected cash flows if
the project is accepted, versus what they will be, if the project is not accepted.
▪ Efficient capital market 15
– The values of all assets and securities at any instant in time fully reflect all available
information.
▪ The curse of competitive markets
– Why it is hard to find exceptionally profitable projects;
continued
16
Principles …
▪ Taxes affect business decisions
– The cash flows we consider are the after-tax incremental cash flows to the firm as
a whole.
▪ Ethical Behavior;
– Ethics- Standards of conduct or moral judgment that apply to persons engaged in
commerce
• Ethical behavior is therefore viewed as necessary for achieving the firm’s goal of
owner wealth maximization
17
Goal of Financial Management
▪ Possible financial goals
– Survive.
– Avoid financial distress and bankruptcy.
– Beat the competition.
– Maximize sales or market share.
– Minimize costs. Maximize profits. 17
continued
22
Cont’d..
▪ The profit maximization criterion ranks both projects as being
equal. However,
– Project 1 provides higher benefits in earlier years and project 2
provides larger benefits in latter years.
– The higher benefits of project 1 in earlier years could be reinvested 22
continued
24
Cont’d..
Example: XY Company must choose between two projects. Both
projects cost the same. Project A has a 50% chance that its cash flows
would be actual over the next three years. And Project B has a 90%
probability that its cash flows for the next three years would be realized.
24
Expected Benefits
YEAR PROJECT A PROJECT B
1 ETB. 60,000 ETB. 45,000
2 65,000 50,000
3 95,000 85,000
TOTAL ETB. 220,000 ETB. 180,000 continued
25
Cont’d..
▪ Under profit maximization, project A is more attractive because it adds
more to XY than project B. But if we consider the risk of the two
projects, the situation would be reversed.
• Expected benefit of project A = ETB. 220,000 x 50% = 110,000
• Expected benefit of project B = Br. 180,000 x 90% = 162,000
25
▪ The more certain the expected cash flow (return), the higher the
quality of benefits (i.e., low risk to investor). Conversely, the more
uncertain or fluctuating the expected benefits, the lower the quality of
benefits (i.e., high risk to investors).
continued
26
Cont’d..
5. It doesn’t show cash flow available to shareholders
di
Max.Share. price. = max .
CF
i =1 (1 + k ) i
t
continued
28
Cont’d..
▪ There are several reasons why wealth maximization decision criterion
is superior to Profit Maximization criteria.
– First, it has an exact measurement unlike profit maximization. It
depends on cash flows (inflows and outflows).
– Second, wealth maximization as a decision criterion consider the 28
continued
29
Risk and Return
▪ Investment is the current commitment of resources for a period of time
in expectation of receiving future resources greater than the current
outlay.
– In order to part with resources committed
– The expected rate of inflation
– The uncertainty of the future payments 29
▪ The gain (or loss) from the investment is called return on investment .
continued
30
Cont’d…
▪ Return on investment usually have two components.
– Periodic cash flows- the income component of return.
– Price change- Capital gain/loss.
▪ Thus, return is measured by taking the income plus the price change.
Rate of return = (Income + Capital gains)/Purchase price 30
31
Risk and return on a stand-alone asset
▪ Risk: The chance that actual outcomes may differ from those expected.
▪ Stand-Alone Risk: The risk an investor would face if he or she
held only one asset.
▪ Expected Rate of Return: The rate of return expected to be realized
from an investment; the weighted average of the probability distribution
of possible results
✓Expected return is based on expected cash flows (not accounting
profits)
✓In an uncertain world future cash flows are not known with certainty
✓To calculate expected return, compute the weighted average of all
possible returns
32
Risk and Rates of Return
▪ Possible returns
– Calculating Expected Return:
N
k= k iP( k i )
i=1
where
ki = Return state i
P(ki) = Probability of ki occurring
N = Number of possible states
continued
33
Risk and Rates of Return…
▪ Expected Return Calculation
Example
You are evaluating ABC Corporation’s common stock.You estimate the
following returns given different states of the economy
Example
Compute the standard deviation on ABC common stock. the
mean (k) was previously computed as 10.5%
State of Economy Probability Return
Economic Downturn .10 –5%
Zero Growth .20 5%
Moderate Growth .40 10%
continued
High Growth .30 20%
37
Risk and Rates of Return…
continued
39
Cont’d…
▪ Use the coefficient of variation (CV) to measure the degree of risk,
CV = σ/ (k)
▪ The coefficient of variation shows the risk per unit of return, and it
provides a more meaningful basis for comparison than σ when the
expected returns on two alternatives are different. 39
40
Measuring risk form historical data
▪ Measuring Risk
Standard Deviation (s) for historical data can be used to measure the
dispersion of historical returns.
N
1
=
(n − 1) i =1
( ki − k ) 2
41
DO IT!
41
42
ki ki
43
Cont’d…
43
44
Risk and return on Portfolio
▪ Portfolio is a collection of investment vehicles assembled to meet one or
more investment goals.
– Growth-Oriented Portfolio: primary objective is long-term price
appreciation
– Income-Oriented Portfolio: primary objective is current dividend
and interest income 44
continued
45
Cont’d…
rp = w1r1 + w2r2 + w3r3 + w4r4
n
rp = w i ki
i =1
Where: rp = expected portfolio return
wi = portfolio weight in portfolio asset i
45
ki = expected return for portfolio asset i
▪ Assume that a security analyst estimated the upcoming year’s returns on the stocks
of four large companies. A client wishes to invest ETB 1 million, divided among the
stocks.
continued
46
Cont’d…
▪ The investor invests 30% in Co. A (expected return of 15%), 10% in Co.
B (expected return of 12%), 20% in Co. C (expected return of 10%), and
40% in Co. D (expected return of 9%). The expected portfolio return is:
rp = w1r1 + w2r2 + w3r3 + w4r4
= 0.3(15%) + 0.1(12%) + 0.2(10%) + 0.4(9%) 46
=11.3%
continued
47
Cont’d…
▪ Portfolio risk is the risk an investor would face if s/he held many assets.
▪ Standard Deviation (σ) of a portfolio return is calculated using all
individual assets in the portfolio.
▪ Unlike returns, the risk of a portfolio, σp, is generally not the weighted
average of the standard deviations of the individual assets in the
portfolio. 47
continued
48
Cont’d…
▪ The reason assets can be combined to form a riskless portfolio is that
their returns move counter-cyclically to each other when asset one returns fall,
those of other rise, and vice versa.
▪ The tendency of two variables to move together is called correlation,
and the correlation coefficient (ρ) measures this tendency.
48
continued
49
Cont’d…
▪ In statistical terms, we say that the returns on Stocks A and B are;
– Perfectly negatively correlated, with ρ = −1.0.
– Perfectly positively correlated, with ρ = 1.0.
– Uncorrelated, with ρ = 0
▪ The ρ can range from +1.0, denoting that the two variables move up and 49
continued
50
Cont’d…
▪ Returns on two perfectly positively correlated stocks move up and down
together, and a portfolio consisting of two such stocks would be exactly
as risky as each individual stock.
▪ Thus, diversification does nothing to reduce risk if the portfolio
consists of stocks that are perfectly positively correlated.
▪ When stocks are perfectly negatively correlated, all risk can be diversified 50
away.
continued
51
Cont’d…
▪ In reality, almost all stocks are positively correlated, but not perfectly so.
▪ Studies have estimated that on average, the correlation coefficient for the
monthly returns on two randomly selected stocks is in the range of 0.28
to 0.35.
▪ Under this condition, combining stocks into portfolios reduces but does
not completely eliminate risk.
51
continued
52
Cont’d…
▪ As a rule, the risk of a portfolio declines as the number of stocks in the
portfolio increases.
▪ In general, there are higher correlations
– Between the returns on two companies in the same industry than for
two companies in different industries. 52
continued
54
Cont’d…
▪ Diversifiable risk is caused by random events like lawsuits, strikes,
unsuccessful marketing programs, losing a major contract, and others
that are unique to a particular firm.
– Their effects on a portfolio can be eliminated by diversification; bad events in one
firm will be offset by good events in another.
▪ Market risk stems from factors that systematically affect most firms 54
55
56
Market Risk
▪ Market risk of a stock is measured by beta coefficient.
– It measures a stock’s tendency to move up and down with the market.
bi = (σi/σM)ρiM
Where; bi - beta coefficient of Stock i
ρiM - correlation between Stock i’s R and the market R 56
continued
57
Cont’d…
– If beta equals 1.0, the stock is as risky as the market, assuming it is
held in a diversified portfolio.
– If beta is less than 1.0 then the stock is less risky than the market;
– If beta is greater than 1.0, the stock is more risky than the market.
▪ Most stocks have betas in the range of 0.50 to 1.50. 57
– All investors can borrow or lend an unlimited amount at a given risk-free rate of
interest.
– All investors have identical estimates of the expected returns, variances, and
covariances among all assets
continued
60
Cont’d…
▪ All assets are perfectly divisible and perfectly liquid.
▪ There are no transaction costs.
▪ There are no taxes.
▪ All investors are price takers (assume their own buying and selling
activity will not affect stock prices). 60
continued
61
Cont’d…
▪ The CML (capital market line) specifies the relationship between risk and
return for an efficient portfolio, but investors and managers are
more concerned about the relationship between risk and return of
individual assets.
▪ SML (security market line) specifies the relationship between risk and
return of individual assets. 61
62
continued
63
Cont’d…
▪ Unlike the CML for a well-diversified portfolio, the SML indicates that
the σi of an individual stock should not be used to measure its risk,
because some of the risk as reflected by σi can be eliminated by
diversification.
▪ Beta reflects risk after taking diversification benefits into account and
so beta, rather than σi, is used to measure individual stocks’ risks to
63
investors.
continued
64
Cont’d…
▪ Suppose the risk-free rate is 4%, the market risk premium is 8.6%, and a
stock has a beta of 1.3. Based on the CAPM, what is the expected return
on this stock? What would the expected return be if the beta were to
double?
ri = rRF + bi(rM – rRF)
= 4% + 1.3*8.6%
64
= 15.18%
ri = rRF + bi(rM – rRF)
= 4% + 2.6*8.6%
= 26.36%
continued
65
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
▪ CAPM is a single factor model that specifies risk as a function of only
one factor, the security’s beta.
▪ The risk–return relationship is more complex, with a stock’s required
return a function of more than one factor.
▪ Ross (1976) has developed APT that includes a number of risk factors, 65
continued
66
Cont’d…
APT model
ri = rRF + (r1 – rRF)bi1 + . . . + (rj – rRF)bij
ri = required rate of return on Stock i:
bi = sensitive only to economic Factor:
Example 66
ri = 8% + (15% − 8%)1.1
= 15.7%
69
Time Value of Money: An Introduction
▪ Time value of money refers to the fact that
– a birr in hand today is worth more than a birr promised at some time
in the future.
▪ Time allows one the opportunity to postpone consumption and earn
interest. 69
0 1 2 3
i%
▪ If you invested ETB 2,000 today in an account that pays 6% interest, with
interest compounded annually, how much will be in the account at the
end of two years if there are no withdrawals?
FV1 = PV (1+i)n
= 2,000 (1.06)2
= ETB 2,247.20
73
Present Value of a Single Amount
▪ Value today of a future cash flow.
▪ Discounting is the process of translating a future value or a set of
future cash flows into a present value.
▪ Calculating present value is simply the inverse of calculating future
value (compounding).
FVn n
1
73
PV = = FVn
(1+i) n 1+i
n
1
▪ Where: 1+i is the PV of ETB 1 interest factor.
74
Future Value and Present Value of an Annuity
▪ Annuity is a series of equal periodic payments (PMT) for a specified
number of periods.
▪ An annuity whose payments occur at the end of each period is called
an ordinary annuity.
– Payments on mortgages, car loans, and student loans are generally 74
made at the ends of the periods and thus are ordinary annuities.
▪ If the payments are made at the beginning of each period, it is called
an annuity due.
– Rental lease payments, life insurance premiums.
75
Future Value of an Ordinary Annuity
▪ The future value of an ordinary annuity can be computed as:
(1 + i ) n − 1
FV = PMT
i
▪ If you plan to invest ETB1,000 each year beginning next year for
three years at an 8% compound interest rate. What will be the 75
PVAOrdinary =
76
▪ If you will receive ETB1,000 each year beginning next year for three years at
an 8% compound interest rate. What will be the present value of the
investment?
PVAn = PMT{[1 - (1/(1 + i)n)]/i}
PVA3 = 1,000{[1 - (1/(1.08)3)]/0.08} = ETB 2,577
77
Future Value of an Annuity Due
▪ An annuity due is one in which payments are made at the beginning of
each time interval.
FVAdue = FVAordinary(1 + r)
Where 77
Chapter End
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