Art Fair Revenue
Art Fair Revenue
Art Fair Revenue
A Structural Analysis
by Magnus Resch
This paper presents a detailed and comprehensive portrait of today’s art gallery
scene. It draws on the largest survey ever done on art galleries. It presents a market
size overview, including revenue and profit numbers, statistics of the number of ex-
hibitions, employees and sector focus. The paper helps to gain an insight into an
industry that has – so far – been left outside of data analysis.
1.1 Introduction
Everything about the elite end of the art market is enormously attractive.
We read about millions of dollars pouring into the market, the dizzying levels
reached at auction battles, and the rich and beautiful at opening events.
The reality can sometimes bear about as much similarity to this seductive
image as an artist’s garret has to a luxury penthouse. The art world is tough,
the rules are a complete mystery to the uninitiated, and only the lucky few
make money. Life in the art market means being constantly torn between
culture and commerce, and nowhere is this more effectively illustrated than
in art galleries. They are the institutional gatekeepers to the art world and all
its paradoxes.
Art galleries are part of an exclusive social calendar, with exhibition
openings hosting a select and sophisticated crowd. They are also a big part
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24 M. RESCH
of the cultural life of a city. They support young artists, helping them to de-
velop; they arrange exhibitions that attract collectors, and they manage col-
lections when artists die. They are, in short, the most significant intermedi-
aries in the art market.
Given the importance of art galleries, surprisingly little is known about
their economics, with art and business remaining reluctant bedfellows and
money talk kept to the back room. What we do know is that, unlike art mu-
seums, art galleries do not receive state subsidies – they are a business, as
much a commercial entity as a small high street shop, with a clear business
focus and a revenue model that lives or dies with sales. And, of course, they
are subject to all the same market fluctuations, limitations, and opportunities
as other entrepreneurs.
This paper gives some insight into the structure and economics of the art
gallery market. The focus lies with the three most important countries from
an art market perspective: the United States (US), Germany, and the United
Kingdom (UK).
Rest of the
World
30% United States
34%
Switzerland
3%
Italy
5% Germany
France 12%
United Kingdom
6%
10%
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 25
The international art gallery market for Fine Art (1) comprises 19,087
galleries across 124 countries and 3,533 cities. The predominant markets by
number of galleries are the US (34%), Germany (12%), and the UK (10%).
Combined, they total 10,481 galleries, accounting for more than 50% of the
total market. France (6%) and Italy (5%) follow in fourth and fifth place.
Surprisingly, Switzerland occupies sixth place (3%). In the Asian market,
Japan leads the pack (2%), followed by China (1%). On a continental level,
Europe and the US are far and away the most relevant continents to the art
market, with 83% of all galleries worldwide. Asia is still relatively minor
with 9% of all galleries, although its importance should not be underesti-
mated. South America has only 1% of the world’s galleries.
Ranking of cities:
1. New York, 1,191 (6%)
2. London, 1,049 (5%)
3. Berlin, 695 (4%)
4. Paris, 664 (3%)
5. Los Angeles, 504 (3%)
6. Chicago, 314 (2%)
7. San Francisco, 298 (2%)
8. Tokyo, 231 (1%)
9. Milan, 231 (1%)
10. Amsterdam, 201 (1%)
By city, there is no real deviation from country data in terms of geograph-
ical significance. New York tops the table with 6% of total gallery distribu-
tion, followed by London with 5% and Berlin with 4%, thus accounting for
15% of total art gallery distribution. The remaining enterprises are distrib-
uted among the remaining 3,530 other cities, the most significant of which
are Paris (4%), Los Angeles (3%), Chicago (2%), and San Francisco (2%).
Emerging markets lag behind: Tokyo sits in a strong eighth position but Bei-
jing, as the second most significant Asian hub, comes only nineteenth. Mum-
bai appears at a weak thirty-seventh place, while Delhi sits at 2,061. São
Paulo is the leader in South America, ranking at seventy-two.
It is interesting to see that the primary market’s geographical distribution
is not consistent with the secondary market. In fact, it produces a different
map altogether. The US continues to lead with a market share of 34% in the
Fine Art auction trade, but the UK drops to third with 17%. (2) China, a
1. Fine Art can be divided into Old Masters, Nineteenth Century Art, Modern Art, Post-
War Art, and Contemporary Art.
2. TEFAF Art Market Report, 2014.
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26 M. RESCH
country with relatively few art galleries, presents a strong challenge to the
US for the dominant role in the auction market at number two with a 33%
market share – only one percentage point behind the US. Germany, ranking
second when it comes to its number of art galleries, does not even appear in
the global top five, with a share of 2%.
The wider reasons for China’s strength in the secondary, or auction, mar-
ket, and its weaknesses in the primary, or art gallery, market are a matter of
speculation; however, they almost certainly include the changes in business
model by auction houses, who have moved to circumvent art galleries and
take a more active role in the private dealer market. Furthermore, although
the Chinese gallery market has shown rapid rise in the last fifteen years, they
simply do not have the Western tradition of art galleries. The focus, and
value, diverts to the auction market.
The UK, USA and Germany are the richest to examine in depth.
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 27
Expert talks with various industry specialists helped to ensure that find-
ings are widely relevant, and applicable in the art world and beyond. Inter-
views were conducted with commercial art mediators, including art gallery
dealers, private art dealers, auction houses, and ancillary art business provid-
ers; conceptual art mediators, including critics and museum staff; collectors,
including art connoisseurs, art lovers, collector-dealers, investors, and repre-
sentatives of corporate or institutional collectors; artists; art market research-
ers; and, finally, experts from unrelated fields.
Case studies with art galleries were conducted to see if numbers from the
survey could withstand a sanity check. Case Studies included young and up-
coming galleries such as Carlos/Ishikawa or Rod Barton, as well as estab-
lished players such as Sprüth Magers or Salon 94.
A large number of secondary sources were used. These deliver the latest
findings on the art market, as well as guiding the reader to other trusted
sources where needed.
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28 M. RESCH
3.1 Revenue
Revenue in the art gallery market in the US, UK, and Germany is low,
with 55% of all galleries producing revenues below two hundred thousand
dollars a year. Revenue figures, moreover, are quoted inclusive of the artist’s
share; when the usual fifty-fifty commission split is applied, only 50 percent
remains with the gallery, with the remainder going straight to the artist.
At the top end, 16% achieve revenues over one million dollars, and 7%
exceed five million dollars. Clearly, then, a few galleries do make money.
A breakdown by country shows noticeable regional differences. The US
and UK are more active at the top end, with 22% of US and UK galleries
clearing over one million dollars in revenue. In particular, the UK seems to
produce the highest gallery revenues: 13% make more than five million dol-
lars, compared to only 4% in Germany. At the other end of the scale, 66% of
German galleries fail to make two hundred thousand dollars in annual reve-
nue, compared to approximately half the gallery population in both the US
and the UK.
Can this poor performance be explained by general market conditions?
The clear answer is no. Taking auction results as an indicator, the economic
context for these numbers is strong; 2013 was, in fact, highly successful.
Auction sales reached $31 billion, up 5 percent year-on-year and only
slightly below the 2007 peak of $33 billion. There was seemingly little tur-
bulence, and no particularly severe market conditions that might have caused
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 29
3.2 Profit
Low revenue doesn’t necessarily mean slender profit, but in the gallery
world, all too often, it does. 30% of all galleries operate in the red, and only
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30 M. RESCH
18% make a healthy profit margin of over 20 percent (3). In other words, at
the top end, a few galleries have worked out how to run a highly lucrative
gallery space. At the lower end, however, there is a sea of galleries that pro-
duce little profit – or none at all. Germany’s gallery distribution is particu-
larly weighted towards poorer performers, with 34% running at a loss, com-
pared to 29% in the US and 23% in the UK. At the more profitable end,
meanwhile, only 9% of Germany’s galleries have high profit margins above
20 percent, compared to the UK, where a quarter show attractive margins.
25%
20%
Average Profit Margin in %
16%
14%
15%
10%
9% 9%
10%
7%
5% 3%
13%
12%
10%
15%
11%
13%
17%
15%
19%
18%
2%
2%
6%
6%
7%
7%
8%
9%
5%
8%
2%
0%
< $200,000 $200,000 - $400,000 - $600,000 - $800,000 - $1,000,000 - > $5,000,000
$400,000 $600,000 $800.000 $1,000,000 $5,000,000
Revenue
The relationship between revenue and profit (the profit margin or profit-
ability) is a good indicator to see how efficiently galleries are working, and
to learn more about the cost structure. Graphically analyzed, this can take the
3. Profit margin is the net income divided by revenues. It measures how much out of every
dollar of revenue a company actually keeps in earnings. Profit margin is very useful when
comparing companies in a similar industry. Profit margin is displayed as a percentage; a 20
percent profit margin, for example, means the company has a net income of $0.20 for each
dollar of sales.
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 31
form of a bell curve: a revenue point after which profitability goes down. Or,
the profitability graph can grow exponentially to revenue, so the more reve-
nue, the higher the profitability. In order to create this graph, the data was
regrouped to look at profit margins in the revenue clusters.
Germany, again, is weakest in almost all revenue clusters. However, the
important discovery is that profit margin does not remain constant with rev-
enue but improves as revenue increases; in other words, galleries with higher
revenue show a larger profit margin. Those with revenue above a million
dollars show profit margins of 14 percent or more, while galleries with rev-
enue under two hundred thousand dollars generate a much lower profit mar-
gin of 3 percent. It seems that the cost structure of galleries is reasonably
fixed, and does not increase in line with revenue. In practical terms, this
means that galleries profit from a better use of their resources. Operational
expenditure stays the same whether one or three works are sold at an open-
ing; if costs remain stable and revenue goes up, profitability increases.
3.3 Focus
Galleries were also asked for their focus sector, or, as students of market-
ing would say, their product mix. We included only galleries that sell Fine
Art. Fine Art is the dominant cluster in the art market, leaving Decorative
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32 M. RESCH
Art and Antiques far behind. Galleries were then asked to describe their prod-
uct split among five different Fine Art categories:
• Contemporary Art: Artists born after 1960;
• Post-War Art: Artists born after 1910;
• Modern Art: Artists born between 1875 and 1910;
• Nineteenth Century Art: Artists born between 1821 and 1874;
• Old Masters: Artists born before 1821.
Unsurprisingly, the US, UK, and Germany primarily deal in Contempo-
rary Art. An overwhelming 93% of all galleries in the survey sell Contem-
porary Art; 23% also trade in Modern Art, and 16% in Post-War Art. Nine-
teenth Century Art is sold by 10%, and only a small remainder of 5% deal in
Old Masters.
The product mix is more diversified in the US and UK, with Modern Art
sold by around 30% of galleries. In Germany, this figure drops to 15%, but
their Contemporary Art presence is marginally above average, with 97%
dealing in Contemporary Art (with or without other categories alongside
them).
100%
90%
80%
70%
70% 75%
60% 85%
in %
50%
40%
30%
20%
30% 25%
10% 15%
0%
United States Germany United Kingdom
Country
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 33
Art are better. Around one-third of all galleries in these countries are, to some
extent, diversified.
The appeal of Contemporary Art might derive from the auction market.
Here a combination of Post-War and Contemporary Art accounts for nearly
half the Fine Art auction market (46%). Contemporary Art certainly has the
most exciting reputation – the majority of the eighty lots that sold for over
ten million dollars in 2013 were from this sector – so it’s not surprising that
gallerists expect this sector to attract the greatest number of collectors, and
show greatest profitability numbers.
3.4 Competitors
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34 M. RESCH
output privately through their studios, cutting out the gallerist’s margin. Plac-
ing them above auction houses is suggestive of the frustration among gallery
owners that they have not found a way of preventing artists from cannibaliz-
ing gallery trade. Auction houses rank fourth, and finally online platforms
are the fifth most serious – or the least serious – competitor.
In a time of such frequent new art start-ups, it is surprising that galleries
are not beginning to see online platforms as a serious threat. However, at this
point, most online platforms partner with galleries on a commission basis to
display a selection of the gallery’s portfolio, and are therefore seen as part-
ners; other online platforms that cut out the gallery as intermediary between
artist and buyer (for example Saatchi-art.com) usually serve a separate, and
often lower-end, client base, so are not regarded as competitors for the same
clients.
45%
37%
40%
35%
I 30%
n 25% 21%
20% 14% 12%
% 15%
8%
10% 2% 1% 4%
14%
12%
18%
23%
20%
16%
35%
42%
33%
10%
12%
19%
5%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
4%
9%
7%
6%
4%
0%
<1950 1951 - 1961 - 1971 - 1981 - 1991 - 2001- 2010 >2010
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Founding Year
Given the tough market conditions, a high failure rate among galleries is
not unexpected. In general, galleries do not have long histories. Almost half
were founded after 2000 (12% since 2010) and more than 40% were founded
in the last three decades of the twentieth century. Only a small fraction, 7%,
has been operating for more than forty-five years. Galleries simply cannot
replicate the historical sustainability of auction houses. Even powerhouses
like Gagosian have no clear succession plan.
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 35
4.1 Visitors
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36 M. RESCH
4.2 Buyers
Buyers can be divided into six categories, each with different motivations.
• Art Lovers: Buy for the love of art, to extend their collection, or as
source of inspiration;
• One-Time Buyers: Buy to signal (or to aspire to) social status, or for
decorative purposes;
• Dealers/Professionals: Buy to resell or in the name of a client;
• Investors/Speculators: Consider art as alternative investment, art flip-
pers;
• Museums/Foundations: Public museums and foundations;
• Corporate Collectors: Corporations such as UBS, Deutsche Bank, JP
Morgan Chase, etc.
The most frequent buyer at an art gallery is the Art Lover, who represents
the old-school type of collector. A perfect (and often quoted example) are
Herbert and Dorothy Vogel, who spend most of their money on collecting
art. Art Lovers are keenly interested in the development of the artists and
usually have a lasting and strong relationship with the gallery owner. The Art
Lover is the cornerstone of any gallery’s success. The second group in the
list is One-Time Buyers. They usually do not establish a lasting relationship
with the gallery, and disappear as quickly as they emerged. However, they
are ranked in second place, and thus are a valuable source of revenue. Ranked
third are Dealers/Professionals, followed by Investors/Speculators. Natu-
rally, there is a degree of overlap between those who love art and those who
see profit in a purchase. The Mugrabi family, for example, are passionate art
collectors but also have a strong interest in its business potential. In the US,
Investors/Speculators rise to third in importance, explaining the prominent
media coverage of “art flippers” and Wall Street icons who treat art as an
asset (and are willing to resell, fast). In all three countries, the remaining
institutional buyers occupy fifth and sixth positions: Museums and, finally,
Corporate Collectors. Despite their position as the least frequent buyers, the
budgets that major firms are now allocating for their art foundation are not
without significance. Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan Chase, and Bank of Amer-
ica are only some examples of companies with heavyweight art collections.
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 37
The most frequent buyers in art galleries are private individuals, and all
the market indications suggest that this will not change. Larry’s List Art Col-
lector Report shows a strong dominance of collectors in the UK, US, and
Germany (4). The country with the highest collector share is the US (25% of
all global collectors), followed by Germany (8%) and the UK (7%). Of
course, New York and London are the top two collector cities. New York is
home to 9% of all collectors; 6% live in London. Berlin’s collectors as a body
are ranked a more modest seventh.
Economic variables, such as income and the wealth of a country’s popu-
lation, are also worth examination. All three countries showed positive GDP
growth in 2013. Among those classified as wealthy, HNWIs (5) are of the
strongest interest to the art market. Their number at the end of 2013 was
approximately 13.7 million, up almost 70 percent since the end of 2001 after
a period of 14.7 percent year-on-year growth.
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38 M. RESCH
The US saw the greatest growth among its HNWI population, which
reached four million. US-based HNWIs also allocate the highest percentage,
by country, of their so-called investments of passion to art (6): 19 percent of
their expenditure on investments of passion go on art, compared to 16 per-
cent in Germany and only 14 percent in the UK. The outlook is positive, with
market consensus that the number of collectors and investments in art will
increase as wealthy people seek investments with long-term value.
5. Costs structure
A growing customer base, yet second-rate or worse revenues and a slim
profit margin raises several questions about the cost structure of art galleries.
Galleries were asked to rank their costs from a given list of items.
6. This term is used in the annual World Wealth Reports from Cap Gemini and RBC
Wealth Management and refers to investments in art, antiques, collectibles, sports invest-
ments, jewelry and gems, and others. Art was the third most popular; the most popular were
jewelry and watches, and wine and antiques.
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 39
On average, rent is generally the highest overhead for galleries, with sal-
aries, fairs and transportation costs falling into second, third, and fourth
place. A country analysis shows some regional variation in the rank position
of these four expenses, but all other costs, including advertising and insur-
ance, are identically ranked in positions five to eight.
Since most galleries are located in premium locations in major cities, rent
remains a high cost in a country breakdown, although in the UK payroll is a
slightly bigger burden. Salaries in the US are the second highest overhead,
and in Germany the third highest. Although salaries may be pushed into third
place in Germany by high expenditure on art fairs, German employees in
particular might agree with claims that pay in the sector – at least in some
regions – is too low. Art fairs are ranked third in the UK and only fourth in
the US.
5.2 Size
Size
100%
90%
80%
65%
70%
60%
in %
50%
40%
30% 18% 17%
20%
10% 32% 92% 71% 32% 6% 17% 36% 2% 12%
0%
0-300 m² 300-600 m² >600 m²
Size of Gallery
Rental costs are, of course, affected by the size of the space. Even by the
standards of art industry market intelligence, very little was on record about
gallery space. The survey revealed that 65% of all galleries are smaller than
300m² (3,200ft²). In fact, 30% of all galleries are under 100m² (1,100ft²).
Gallerists almost unanimously trade space for a central location in a major
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40 M. RESCH
city. Only 18% are medium-sized galleries with an area between 300m2 and
600m2 (6,500ft²), while 17% exceed 600m².
By country, it’s clear where space is an expensive commodity: galleries
in the US are much more generously-sized than in Germany or the UK. 68%
are over 300m², compared to 29% in the UK and only 8% in Germany. Only
one-third are under 300m2, compared to 92% in Germany and 71% in the
UK.
60%
45% 42%
50%
40%
in %
30%
20% 11%
2% 1%
10%
53%
40%
37%
36%
46%
46%
13%
15%
7%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0 1-3 4-6 7-9 >9
Number of Art Fairs
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 41
5.4 Employees
So far we have been talking about the structural data of art galleries. But
who is actually doing the work? This section deals with those that do the
work: the gallery’s employees. Salaries are a leading expense, according to
this survey. In a business environment where there is little opportunity to
turn to automation or outsourcing, running a gallery is always likely to re-
quire a great deal of personal input, and might therefore be expected to bear
a heavy payroll burden.
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42 M. RESCH
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THE INTERNATIONAL ART GALLERY INDUSTRY: A STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 43
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44 M. RESCH
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