Fintechs Next Phase
Fintechs Next Phase
Fintechs Next Phase
May 2023
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Contents
Introduction
Digital banking
Conclusion
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Introduction
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INTRODUCTION 55
Scope
Fintech has been identified by industry leaders and through our global analyst network as one “Fintech’s next phase” refers to the greater
of the most important themes for our clients, particularly in the consumer finance, retail and integration of fintech with commerce. Fintech
travel industries. Fintech has evolved over the past few years to reach more industries and companies are innovating to increase access
to financial products and services, improve the
innovate in every stage of the payment process.
security of payments, increase funding, and
enhance the merchant and customer
relationship. In this next phase of fintech
adoption there has been consolidation within
the industry, and a growing call for an
established regulatory framework that can
encourage competition and protect
consumers.
Disclaimer
Much of the information in this briefing is of a
statistical nature and, while every attempt has
been made to ensure accuracy and reliability,
Euromonitor International cannot be held
responsible for omissions or errors.
Figures in tables and analyses are calculated
from unrounded data and may not sum. Analyses
found in the briefings may not totally reflect the
companies’ opinions, reader discretion is advised.
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INTRODUCTION 66
Fintech is impacting how transactions are funded, most notably through the expansion of buy-
Consolidating competitive
now-pay-later (BNPL) platforms. This low- or no-cost option is expanding the products and
landscape
services available to a wide range of consumer income segments.
Fintech can leverage the information created from a transaction to reduce fraud and enhance
Digital banking gains
the customer/merchant relationship by offering targeted promotions and advertisements in
popularity
real time.
Digital banking can offer consumers better financial products and services at a lower cost in
Fintech adding value to
many markets, leading to mainstream financial institutions investing in fintech to offer similar
payments
products and services.
Funding overhauled by With a crowded competitive landscape, there have been more acquisitions among fintech
fintech companies, as well as by traditional payment players looking to adapt and remain competitive.
Regulation helped drive the initial growth in innovative fintech, but has not caught up with
Fintech regulation in focus recent products and services, leaving a void or self-regulation, which could have negative
consequences going forward.
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INTRODUCTION 77
156bn
In total buy-now pay-later lending, in
USD
5.5tn
Additional m-commerce value
predicted by 2027 in USD
Fintech has shifted from being on the fringe of commerce to being incorporated into many
aspects of it through financial products and services. It has changed the customer journey
and has increased value in several aspects for merchants, customers, and financial service
providers. Payments is a key channel where fintech is applying its value and leveraging data
created to improve the user experience. Fintech has increased access to goods and financial
products and services for millions of consumers globally.
16
Percentage point decline in share of
paper payments over 2012-2022
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INTRODUCTION 88
Drivers of fintech
Fintech has been driven by adding value to the payment process, a Global Banked Status 2017-2022*
more favourable regulatory landscape, and rapidly evolving Million people (15+)
technology being adopted by more and more consumers. The shift 4,500
of retail online has created the opportunity for more companies to
be involved in payments, and financial products and services. The 4,000
initial adoption of fintech by younger consumers has evolved to
reach more consumers, and has blurred borders in some regions. 3,500
Near universal adoption of mobile devices has lowered the barriers
3,000
to adoption for consumers in emerging markets, offering a low- or
no-cost alternative to mainstream financial institutions. The global 2,500
pandemic also served to drive alternatives to cash, as retail shifted
online out of necessity. Once the convenience and security benefits 2,000
of digital payments are realised, consumers are unlikely to return to
paper. Fintech, which was previously a more isolated ecosystem, 1,500
went mainstream in moving merchants online and providing
1,000
consumers with simple and convenient payment platforms. It also
deepened the connection between customers and merchants. The 500
rise of super apps in the Asia Pacific region also contributed in
getting technology and social media companies involved in 0
payments and financial services around the world. With lower 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
regulatory barriers, these companies were able to innovate faster Unbanked Population Banked Population
and reach more consumers. Note: * Of 47 researched markets
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INTRODUCTION 99
Fintech uncovered
Fintech and funding Fintech adding value to Digital banking Consolidating competitive Fintech regulation in focus
payments landscape
BNPL has increased the Digital banks are As fintech touches more
number of consumers Fintech is adding value competing directly with Increased competition in payment value in markets,
who can access a to payments by traditional financial fintech has driven regulators are trying to
variety of products and enhancing the institutions around the innovation, as well as catch up to track
services. merchant-customer world, and are also consolidation. payments, protect
relationship, providing increasing access to consumers and enhance
greater security, and previously unbanked or security.
leveraging the purchase financially underserved
data created during consumers.
digital transactions.
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Fintech funding purchases: BNPL
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FINTECH FUNDING PURCHASES: BNPL 11
11
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FINTECH FUNDING PURCHASES: BNPL 12
12
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Fintech adding value to payments
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FINTECH ADDING VALUE TO PAYMENTS 16
16
Legacy players and new entrants alike leverage fintech to add value to payments
The emergence of major fintech players across the globe was Common value-added fintech solutions
accompanied by breathless accounts of a future where traditional
payments players would collapse under the weight of their own Fraud Detection/Prevention
legacy technologies. The reality has, however, seen some fintechs •New technologies enable more efficient fraud detection and
develop into international powerhouses, while many traditional prevention, limiting consumer headaches.
players shrewdly acquired smaller new entrants to add value to Smart Loyalty
their existing platforms. •Fintech enables issuers and merchants to create bolt-on loyalty
Prime examples of fintech’s added value include fraud protection solutions that can be easily integrated across platforms and
payment methods.
algorithms, smart loyalty systems, integrated commerce, and more
holistic financial planning offerings. For legacy players, many of Tailored Recommendations
these augmentations have been driven by acquisitions, incubator •Consumer data can provide a means for more personalised
programmes and, increasingly, open banking standards. For larger suggestions and tips, improving the utility of apps and tools.
and older fintechs, this often includes branching further into
Financial Planning
payments as they mature.
•Open banking standards and new financial entrants can introduce
Fintech value adds are not, however, without their risks and consumers to new financial products and services in a familiar,
drawbacks. Many of their mechanisms rely on the trading and trusted setting.
analysis of significant amounts of personal data and personalised Integrated Commerce
services. This leaves them particularly vulnerable in two ways: data
•Super apps can open the door for payment and shopping activities
breaches and losses – a risk compounded by the ongoing to be comingled within a single app environment, increasing loyalty
development of privacy laws – and consumer discomfort with data and value.
sharing – a major liability in today’s more privacy-conscious era.
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FINTECH ADDING VALUE TO PAYMENTS 17
17
Fintech integration in fraud fighting tools mitigates burden on consumers and merchants
Characteristic
▪ Issuers and networks alike have partnered,
purchased, and produced various new
technologies leveraging big data and AI to fight
card fraud both proactively and reactively. These
83.8%
Card not present
tools can then be placed in the hands of both fraud in the US
in 2022 as a
consumers and merchants. percentage of
Context total value lost
to fraud.
▪ Consumers can be alerted immediately about
potentially fraudulent transactions and take
action, increasing confidence in card payments.
12.1bn
USD lost to fraud
Fraud modelling must, however, be careful not in 2022.
to produce too many false positives, an action
which can rapidly alienate customers.
Consequence
▪ Most legacy players have been quick to 1.1bn
integrate with partners throughout this space in USD lost to fraud
fintech. AI is, however, evolving rapidly in the on counterfeit
consumer space, and will also empower cards in 2022.
fraudsters to fight back.
Image source: Euromonitor International Passport edition: Consumer Finance 2023ed
© Euromonitor International
FINTECH ADDING VALUE TO PAYMENTS 18
18
Payment players should strive to add value via fintech, but tread lightly
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Digital banking
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DIGITAL BANKING 21
21
Rise of digital banks drive digital transformation of the global banking industry
Besides BNPL and digital payments, digital banks are also gaining traction Key digital banks in each region
globally. Benefiting from the increasing penetration of smartphones,
most current digital banks are third generation, which are mobile Region Key digital banks
first/only. Among the hundreds of digital banks in the world, profitable Asia Pacific
challengers show five key characteristics: strong ecosystems, close √ √ √
engagement, unsecured lending focus, lean operations and a
transformed, agile organisation. Furthermore, digital banks targeting Western
Europe
small and medium enterprises (SMEs) (eg MyBank, Judo Bank) and more √ √
mature age (35-45) consumer segments (eg Starling Bank, Kakao Bank) North America
also showed faster pace for break even, as those segments offer higher
profit margins. There were also unsuccessful cases (eg JP Morgan’s Finn
could not differentiate itself from Chase, Xinja shut down given a lack of Eastern Europe
lending and high deposit expenses). To defend against the challengers,
incumbents have been driving their digital transformation. To accelerate Middle East
time to market and focus on strategic priorities, both digital banks and and Africa √
some incumbents have also established partnerships with fintechs in
various domains, such as onboarding, credit decisioning, engagement, Latin America
digital services (eg chatbots), as well as accounting and invoicing for √
SMEs. The next-gen digital banks will demonstrate development in Australasia
embedded finance, hyper-personalisation, blockchain and 3-D
√
(metaverse/holographic) digital banking [1].
[1] Disruptive trends in digital banks in Asia Pacific and Australasia, part I to III, David Zhang and Source: Company websites √ Profitable (based on public sources)
Kendrick Sands, Euromonitor International, April 2023 Note: This list is non-exhaustive
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DIGITAL BANKING 22
22
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Consolidating competitive landscape
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CONSOLIDATING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 26
26
Case study: Apple acquires fintech firm Credit Kudos to expand into lending
Characteristic
▪ Credit Kudos is a UK-based credit scoring start-
up agency that uses open banking technology to
access the credit worthiness of consumers. The
acquisition allows Apple to benefit from the
fintech’s expertise in providing alternative
150
USD million
lending services to its customer base. Value of
acquisition deal
Context
▪ The tech giant expanded into consumer
payments with the introduction of Apple Pay in
2014. Since 2021, Apple has launched a credit
156
USD million
card in the US and entered the BNPL market Value of global
with Apple Pay Later, an extension of its digital BNPL market in
wallet with an instalment payment function. 2022*
Consequence
▪ Fintechs play a fundamental role in 2022
the evolution of payments and lending. M&A
Launch of
activities, like acquiring fintech firms, offer card Apple Pay Later
networks, legacy banks and tech giants a
shortcut to compete with the innovative
Image source: Apple.com products and services of pure fintech players. Passport edition: Consumer Finance 2023ed
© Euromonitor International
CONSOLIDATING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 28
28
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Fintech regulation in focus
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FINTECH REGULATION IN FOCUS 30
30
New licences and regulations of digital banks promote competition and inclusion
The banking industry has high market entry Characteristic
barriers. Incumbent banks used to be ▪ Unlike traditional incumbents, digital banks
protected by licences, and lacked motivation operate a digital first/only business model,
to catch up with major tech companies (eg offering services (eg onboarding and transactions)
Alibaba, Apple, Google, Kakao, Tencent and and products (eg payments and lending) digitally.
Rakuten). Licensing of the third generation of Profitable digital challengers differentiate with
2014
China issued the
digital banks (mobile-first/only banks) began large ecosystems, strong engagement, etc. first digital bank
in China, and Europe in the 2010s, and licence to
benefited from maturing smartphone app Context WeBank
banking technologies. A few key digital banks, ▪ Thanks to the growing penetration of
however, still do not have banking licences
(eg Chime in the US). They partner with
smartphones in the 2010s, apps have become
the dominant channel for financial services,
2016
European
licensed banks to roll out their app-based outpacing growth in web and branch. However, Central Bank
banking services. the user experience offered by many incumbents granted a full
banking licence
has not met customers’ expectations. to N26
With digital bank licences and regulations,
Consequence
most regulators hoped to encourage
competition by introducing big tech ▪ Central banks in key markets including China, the 2024
Thailand to issue
companies, and increase financial inclusion UK and Singapore have issued digital bank licences three digital
using financial technologies [1]. and established regulations to bring tech firms into bank licences
the banking industry, and to drive digital
[1] Disruptive trends in digital banks in Asia Pacific and
Australasia, part I, David Zhang and Kendrick Sands, transformation and financial inclusion. Pakistan and
Euromonitor,
Image source: April 2023 Thailand have recently followed. Passport edition: Consumer Finance 2023ed
© Euromonitor International
FINTECH REGULATION IN FOCUS 33
33
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CONCLUSION 37
37
Fintech is impacting how transactions are funded, most notably through the expansion of buy-
Consolidating competitive
now-pay-later (BNPL) platforms. This low- or no-cost option is expanding the products and
landscape
services available to a wide range of consumer income segments.
Fintech can leverage the information created from a transaction to reduce fraud and enhance
Digital banking gains
the customer/merchant relationship by offering targeted promotions and advertisements in
popularity
real time.
Digital banking can offer consumers better financial products and services at a lower cost in
Fintech adding value to
many markets, leading to mainstream financial institutions investing in fintech to offer similar
payments
products and services.
Funding overhauled by With a crowded competitive landscape, there have been more acquisitions among fintech
fintech companies, as well as by traditional payment players looking to adapt and remain competitive.
Regulation helped drive the initial growth in innovative fintech, but has not caught up with
Fintech regulation in focus recent products and services, leaving a void or self-regulation, which could have negative
consequences going forward.
© Euromonitor International
CONCLUSION 38
38
Fintech is targeting a wider range of merchants with a wider range of products and
Finding the right fintech partner for
services. Rewards and services should be tailored to the merchant segment and the
merchants
merchant’s needs.
Regulation is coming, and the goal of regulation will be to protect consumers and prevent
Simplicity and transparency to ensure
widespread losses. Being transparent and simple from the start could ensure fintechs are
future regulatory compliance
ready when regulations are adopted.
With consumers more aware that additional value is being created through their
Understanding how consumer payment information, they expect to receive the benefits. This means effectively
expectations are changing communicating the benefits, and providing additional rewards or discounts to them on a
continuous basis.
With an increasing range of how consumers pay, and how the payment is funded, it is
necessary for merchants to be compatible with their preferences. Consumers have
Be compatible across platforms
demonstrated that if given a choice between two merchants, offering BNPL could be the
determining factor. The same is true of digital payment platforms.
© Euromonitor International
CONCLUSION 39
39
Evolution of fintech
Economic downturn highlights vulnerability Consolidation and regulation determine the Few unbanked consumers; fewer cash
of BNPL playing field payments
Fintech products like BNPL across merchant With a crowded competitive landscape and Cash use has been steadily declining since
categories have yet to be tested by an new innovations coming online, acquisitions alternatives have been created. Further
economic downturn, and could prove to are likely to continue in the fintech space. advances in the fintech field will accelerate
face higher default rates than other lending Regulations being formed now will shape that decline and will see cash become a tool
channels. How they perform in a recession which companies can operate in the space, of the past. Additionally, the barriers to
could determine their long-term how they operate, and where the additional adopting financial services are decreasing
sustainability. value created will land. globally.
Short term (1-2 years) Medium term (3-4 years) Longer term (5 years)
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CONCLUSION 40
40
Can mainstream banks adapt? What will the impact of CBDC’s be? Who will put it all together?
Banks in some markets are already pivoting With more and more central banks offering There are several technologies under the
to offer the products and services of digital a digital currency, and receiving mixed fintech heading but there is no single
banks, but how this plays out in all markets reviews, will there be a standard approach company that can do it all. Will such a
has yet to be seen. adopted? company emerge?
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FINTECH’S NEXT PHASE
Ryan Tuttle
Senior Consultant Services and Payments
Ryan.tuttle@euromonitor.com
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FINTECH’S NEXT PHASE
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