Minggu 4 - Chapter 05 Present Worth Analysis - 12e XE-Rev
Minggu 4 - Chapter 05 Present Worth Analysis - 12e XE-Rev
Minggu 4 - Chapter 05 Present Worth Analysis - 12e XE-Rev
ENGINEERING
Newnan, Lavelle, and Eschenbach
ECONOMIC
ANALYSIS, 12/e Copyright © 2014 by Oxford University Press
Chapter 5
Engineering
5
Economic
Assumptions in Solving Economic
Analysis Problems
Engineering
6
Economic
Assumptions in Solving
Economic Analysis Problems
• End-of-Year Convention: F
A A A A
0 1 2 n-1 n
Situation Criterion
Neither input nor output Maximize (Output – Input)
fixed
Fixed input Maximize output
Fixed output Minimize input
Methods:
• Present worth
• Annual cash flow
• Rate of return
Copyright Oxford University Press 2014
Applying Present Worth Techniques
9
Applying Present Worth Techniques
Situation Criterion
Neither input nor output Maximize Net Present Worth
fixed: Typical cases (present worth of benefits
minus present worth of
costs)
Fixed input: amount of Maximize present worth of
money or other input benefits or other outputs
resources are fixed
Fixed output: fixed task, Minimize present worth of
benefit, or other outputs costs or other inputs
Engineering
11
Economic
Applying
Present Worth Techniques
Engineering
12
Economic
Example 5-1 Applying Present
Worth when Useful Lives are Equal
Device A Device B
4000 4500 5000
A=3000 3000 3500
0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5
P=10,000
P=13,500
Speedy
𝑃𝑊 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 = 1500 − 200(𝑃Τ𝐹, 7%, 5)
= 1500 − 200 0.7130 = $1357
Allied
𝑃𝑊 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 = 1600 − 325(𝑃Τ𝐹, 7%, 5)
= 1600 − 325 0.7130 = $1368
• Analysis Period
• Need to estimate the terminal values for all
alternatives at the end of the analysis period
18
Useful lives Different from the
analysis period(2)
• If the allied equipment has a useful life of ten years, and
the speedy equipment will last five years, one solution is
to select a ten year analysis period.
• Assume the replacement speedy equipment will also
cost $1500 five years hence
• Speedy Allied
200 200 325
19
Useful lives Different from the analysis
period(3)
PW of cost Speedy
= 1500 + (1500-200) (P/F,7%,5) – 200(P/F,7%,10)
= 1500 + 1300(0,713) – 200(0,5083)
= $ 2325,24
PW of cost Allied
= 1600 – 325(P/F,7%,10) = 1600 – 325(0,5083)
= $ 1434,803
20
Useful lives Different from the analysis
period(4)
•Example 2 :
The following data have been estimated for two mutually
exclusive investment alternatives, A and B associated with a
small engineering project for which revenues as well as
expenses are involved. They have useful lives of four and six
years, respectively. If the MARR = 10% per year, show which
alternative is more desirable by using equivalent worth methods.
Use the repeatability assumption.
A B
Capital Investment $3.500 $5.000
Annual Cash Flow 1.255 1.480
Useful Life (years) 4 6
Market value at end of useful 0 0
life
21
Useful lives Different from the analysis
period(5)
• Solution :
• The least common multiple of the useful lives of
alternatives A and B is 12 years.
• PWA = -$3.500 - $3.500 [(P/F,10%,4) + (P/F,10%,8)]
+ $1.255 (P/A,10%,12)
= $1.028
22
When the least of multiple lives is
impractical, use TERMINAL VALUE
Engineering
23
Economic
Example 5-5 Applying Present
Worth using Analysis Period
Alternatives Alt. 1 Alt. 2
Initial Cost $50,000 $75,000
Estimated salvage value at end of useful life $10,000 $12,000
Useful Life 7 years 13 years
Estimated market value, end of 10-year $20,000 $15,000
𝑁𝑃𝑊𝐴𝑙𝑡.1 = −50,000 + (10,000 − 50,000)(𝑃Τ𝐹, 8%, 7) + 20,000(𝑃Τ𝐹, 8%, 10)
= −50,000 − 40,000 0.5835 + 20,000 0.4632
= −$64,076
𝑁𝑃𝑊𝐴𝑙𝑡.2 = −75,000 + 15,000(𝑃Τ𝐹, 8%, 10)
= −75,000 + 15,000 0.5835
= −$68,052
25
Infinite Analysis Period (2)
𝐴
𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑃=
𝑖
26
Example 5-6 Capitalized Cost
𝐴 50
𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑃= = = $1250
𝑖 0.04
0 70 140 ∞
n=70
0 70 =
A
$8 million
n=70
0 70 =
A
$8 million
𝐴 8 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑃 = 8 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛 + = = $8,071,000
𝑖 113.989
Year Alt. B
700
0 -$1500 400 500 600
300 300 300 300
1 +700
2-5 +300 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
6 +400
7 +500
1500
8 +600
𝑁𝑃𝑊𝐵
= −1500 + 300(𝑃Τ𝐴, 8%, 8) + 400(𝑃Τ𝐹, 8%, 1) + 100(𝑃Τ𝐺, 8%, 4) (𝑃Τ𝐹, 8%, 4)
= −1500 + 300 5.747 + 400 0.9259 + 100 4.650 (0.7350)
= $936.24
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(1 + 𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑖−𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 )2 = 1 + 0.1236
𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑖−𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 = 6%
𝑃𝑊 = 40 𝑃Τ𝐴 , 6%, 20 + 1000 𝑃Τ𝐹 , 6%, 20 = $770.60