Brian - Nadeau - 9-16-23 - Program - Picks Sab

Saturday, September 16 By Brian Nadeau (check @Brian_J_Nadeau for OFF turf updates)
Sunshine Meet Statistics

GP: 27-12-0-2 ($3.71/$6.89) Best Bet: 3-1-0-0 ($1.73/$3.53) Longshot: 2-0-0-0
Race 1: Two turns is always a guessing ton of upside off just three starts and can
game with the 2yos, so the fact 4 MY trip out just off the speed as well. A drop,
GREAT ILLUSION has a route run already return to dirt, and a cutback may all help
gives him a big leg up this group, which the speedy 1 NORTH CAROLINA, but he got
seems quite a modest one. The rail, MSW no help from this tricky rail draw.
drop, and stretchout could all agree with
the pick’s stablemate 1 DR BAYTER, SELECTIONS: 4-3-1-8
especially since he's bred top-and-bottom
for the trip. The improving form and Race 4: There’s a chance that 4 FORT
pedigree says that 2 FLIGHT CATCHER is ATTITUDE is better on dirt, but there’s also
another who can improve with a second a chance he’s a better horse now than the
turn and more ground, and he’ll likely be a one who is 0-for-5 on Tapeta, so let’s tab
better price than the top pair as well. him to surprise off the sharp main track win
in a race where the favorites have some
SELECTIONS: 4-1-2-5 holes. Both 3 ETERNAL FLAME and 6 THE
RED MAN ran well when finishing 3rd and
Race 2: You won’t get rich with today’s Best 2nd against each other last time at the level,
Bet 4 EMBER, as he drops stiffly after facing which gives them an edge over some of the
much tougher sprinting in an AOC and now rising N2L winners that are in here.
stretches back out to his MCL winning trip.
Getting back to the Tapeta will help 1 SELECTIONS: 4-3-6-5
TEPPER, who didn’t fire on the main, but at
1-for-15, he’s tough to tout on top. A slight Race 5: The added ground of the 7Fs will
class drop will help 3 SUPER SPREADER, definitely help 6 HALON, since he closed
recently 4th in a very fast 12.5k race. stoutly going 5 ½Fs on debut, and he’s
meeting several who may not like the trip
SELECTIONS: 4-1-5-3 nearly as much either. The scariest of the
newcomers is clearly 5 EMBRACE THE
Race 3: Drawing outside the other speed is DREAM, a 100k 2yo-in-training purchase
a big coup for 3 GRAND ROCK, since he was who has been working bullets at
dueled into the ground as the inside speed Monmouth for Delgado, who is 21% on
in his last, so here’s hoping he can break debut and has been winning with 2yo
this open off the far turn. Facing winners is firsters all season long. The rail and distance
never easy, though 3 NO MORE DEBT has a make 1 ARROGANCY a dicey proposition, as
he dueled and tired stretching out to 6 ½Fs behind the pick when 2nd in the Not
last tie after a strong debut going shorter. Surprising, though a win seems a reach.
SELECTIONS: 6-5-1-11 SELECTIONS: 8-5-1-6
Race 6: A class drop and return to Tapeta Race 9: Getting away from open foes and
should help wake up 6 LADY JAE, who was Slim Slow Slider and in with state breds may
in too deep at Del Mar but is back with be all 3 FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP needs, and the
Barboza and has a pair of local Tapeta wins fact he could be a Lone F only adds to the
as well. Getting away from next-out stakes appeal. It was a dead-heat 2nd between 5
winner Time Passage will work for 8 POWER HUMOR and 1 REBELDE, so both
DEMOGORGON, and her stalking gear need to be used, though the former inspires
should allow her to trip out off what looks a bit more based on his tactical speed, while
like an honest pace. A hot pace will aid 3 the latter may be left with too much to do.
BATTLE CRY, and the pick’s stablemate is a
solid 3-2-1-0 over the Tapeta. SELECTIONS: 3-5-1-6
SELECTIONS: 6-8-3-5 Race 10: It’s Longshot time in the finale

with 1 BEDROCK BIRDIE, who caught a
Race 7: The speed of 3 IMPROPTUDE gives next-out stakes winner on debut, drops,
him a leg up, and that debut 3rd was sharp and gets Zayas. They’ll hammer MSW
and with trouble for Sano, who never dropper 11 ETRURIAN, as she chased a
cranks them on debut. If 1 KING SKILL can freak on debut, though this wide draw and
work out a trip from the rail, he’s the main other speed worry. The MSW drop can
danger off that solid 3rd on debut, though move 9 MIGUEL’S BELLE up, and she’s
that’s easier said than done. Tab the tote on another who can sit off the hot pace.
2 ROAR READY, a homebred for owner-
trainer Sierra who has had a huge year, so if SELECTIONS: 1-11-9-8
the money shows, act accordingly.
Best Bet: R2: #4 Ember (7-2)
SELECTIONS: 3-1-2-4 * Drops stiffly, stretches back out
* Broke maiden over course/distance
Race 8: The featured Bear’s Den unites a * Upside in a field filled with 1’fers
mixed bag, which is why the Tapeta route
form of 8 AMSTRONG is preferred, since he Longshot: R10: #1 Bedrock Birdie (15-1)
is a perfect 2-for-2 over the surface, which * MSW dropper caught stakes winner
includes a stakes win in the Not Surprising * Lightner-Zayas are 5-for-19 together
(albeit over 3yos only). The two turns is a * Stalker in a field loaded with speed
big question mark with 5 ROCKING ROLLER,
but the only time he tried it was on dirt in a
state-bred stakes, so with his Tapeta form
rock-solid, he could get brave up front. The
post gives 1 SMART STRIKER a chance at
making up some of the 3 ¾ lengths he was

Brian - Nadeau - 9-16-23 - Program - Picks Sab

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Brian - Nadeau - 9-16-23 - Program - Picks Sab

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Brian - Nadeau - 9-16-23 - Program - Picks Sab

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Saturday, September 16 By Brian Nadeau (check @Brian_J_Nadeau for OFF turf updates)

Sunshine Meet Statistics

SELECTIONS: 6-5-1-11 SELECTIONS: 8-5-1-6

SELECTIONS: 6-8-3-5 Race 10: It’s Longshot time in the finale

You might also like