Lesson 2 Disaster Risk

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Lesson 2

DISASTER
RISKS
DISASTER RISKS
It refers to the expectation value of
deaths, injuries, and property losses
that would be caused by a hazard.
It tends to quantify/measure the
impact.

ELEMENTS OF DISASTER RISKS


DISASTER RISKS
is expressed as a function/relationship
between hazard, exposure, and
vulnerability.

DISASTER RISK = HAZARD X EXPOSURE X VULNERABILITY


What is the basis for quantifying disaster risk?
The United Nations University
Institute for Environment and
Human Security (UNU-EHS) in
Bonn calculated a risk score for
173 countries throughout the
world.
The Philippines ranks third highest risk to disasters in the 2015 World Risk Report released by UNU-EHS.
The report measures risks using a system called the World Risk Index.
WHAT IS WORLD RISK INDEX?
The world risk index is
composed of 28 indicators
grouped into four components
namely:
• exposure
• susceptibility
• coping capacity, and
• adaptive capacity
• EXPOSURE
If humans or the environment
are exposed to a hazardous
substance or ingredient above
a certain safe level, this means
that the odds are more likely
for the individuals to be at
increased risk for harm.
2. SUSCEPTIBILITY
• The suffering or harm and • Public infrastructure
damages in case of the • Husing conditions
occurrence of a natural
hazard. • Nutrition
• Conceptually, susceptibility • Poverty and dependencies
has been separated into • Economic capacity, and
sub-categories that reflect • Income distribution
the living situation and
conditions of people within
a country.
3. COPING CAPACITY (SHORT-TERM
The ability of societies and exposed
elements (such as systems and
• Government and
institutions) to minimize the negative authorities,
impact of natural hazards and climate • disaster preparedness
change through direct action and
and early warning
resources to avert damage.
• medical services
• social networks, and
• material coverage.
4. ADAPTIVE CAPACITY (LONG-TERM)
Intended to future natural events
and climate change; permanent
• education and research
change that would enable • gender equity,
adaptation to environmental and • environmental
societal change through:
status/ecosystem
• KEEPING PEOPLE AND
LEVEL OF PROPERT AWAY FROM
VULNERABILITY AND HAZARDS.
EXPOSURE • RELOCATION MUST
CAN BE REDUCED BY:
COMEHAND IN HAND WITH
MITIGATION AND
• PREVENTION MEASURES.
DISATER RISK is
reduced when
something is done
to address
vulnerability and
exposure.
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY refers to the size of the
population that can survive on available
resources. Often, when the carrying capacity is
exceeded, the risk of catastrophic collapse
increases.
“DISASTERS PREVENT
DEVELOPMENT PROGRESS,
AND A LACK OF DEVELOPMENT
PROGRESS RAISES THE
DISASTER RISK.”
END OF DISASTER
RISK LESSON

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