Future Focus 2025 1657124078
Future Focus 2025 1657124078
Future Focus 2025 1657124078
Contents
Preface 3
Executive summary 4
1 Economy 5
1.3 Investing 14
2 Environment 35
Preface
The World Economic Forum Network of Global and policies needed to address economic,
Future Councils promotes innovative thinking to environmental, social and technological
shape a more inclusive, resilient and sustainable challenges and opportunities through to 2025.
future. The network comprises nearly 1,000 top
thinkers who provide foresight, generate insights This report draws from and supports the Forum’s
and identify potential solution frameworks for the platforms dedicated to catalysing a new economy
world’s most pressing challenges. and society, accelerating action for people and
the planet, leveraging Fourth Industrial Revolution
This Insight Report shares the outcomes of technologies, stewarding industry transformations
multistakeholder dialogues organized by nearly and enhancing global and regional cooperation.
30 of the Global Future Councils of the 2020- These platforms and their stakeholders work with
2022 term between October 2021 and January the Council experts and use the insights from
2022.1 The dialogues engaged Council members this report to shape their agendas for tackling the
to define interdisciplinary perspectives on a vision world’s greatest challenges and embedding greater
for 2025 in their domain area and to offer insights resilience and cooperation.
on the important transitions and the essential
actions required to drive progress and achieve Since early 2022, the world finds itself in a new
their vision. geopolitical crisis. In such challenging times, it
is imperative that the global community reflect
Given the timing of these dialogues, the post- on areas for cooperation and work towards an
pandemic recovery occupies an important space inclusive, resilient and sustainable future. It is
in the Council visions. It is an inspiring agenda hoped that these pages can provide a reminder
around which a sustainable recovery can be of the opportunity space for collaboration and the
built and an important guide for the partnerships pathways to get there.
Governments will need to play a driving role in of many technologies and business models, the
orienting markets towards this transformation. current economic and socio-technical systems
The goal in several industries is to develop and remain environmentally unsustainable.
mainstream a new set of products, services and
business models that provide solutions to the – Health crises. COVID-19 has highlighted the
problems that societies face today.2 importance of the timely development of, and
open access to, new medical solutions to
– Increased inequality. The distribution of wealth address both new and existing health crises.
and income has become unsustainably unequal
over past decades, leading to social tensions The response to the COVID-19 pandemic
and polarization and decreasing economic represents one of the pivotal moments in history
resilience in many countries. when radical change is possible, and societies have
been forced to question existing paradigms. Similar
– Climate change and environmental moments in the past enabled governments to lay
degradation. In spite of the increased efficiency new foundations for long-term, shared prosperity.3
Economic transformation will depend on creating about the role of government in the economy
new, inclusive and sustainable markets. The remains focused on how big it should be rather
development of new niches into scaled markets goes than on how bold. A new narrative on the role of
through three main phases: 1) design, research and the public sector is needed, away from that of
development; 2) demonstration and experiments; burdensome bureaucracy to one of market co-
and 3) market scale-up. The first phase can be creator. This will in turn make public employment
focused on creating new institutional and societal more attractive to the right type of talent.5
models as much as new products, technologies
and business models. This process must be cyclical Only the combined efforts of the public and
and generative, with demonstrations and markets private sectors will be able to transform techno-
feeding back to further design and development economic paradigms and bring better and
for the healthy evolution of the ecosystem.4 broader growth. Yet public-private partnerships
around innovation and market creation have
Accelerating progress in these three phases of often been too unbalanced, and the benefits
market creation requires a new vision of how the of successful projects have not been fairly
public and private sectors can work together to drive distributed within the population.6
economic transformation.
Innovation in governance has been slower
A new narrative
than innovation in technology and business
on the role of the
public sector is Unleashing private-sector models. Addressing the growing tension
between techno-economic systems – the way
needed, away from initiative economic value is produced and the incentives
that of burdensome that shape markets – and institutions – the
bureaucracy to Over the past few decades, many advanced set of values, formal and informal rules and
one of market economies have progressively disinvested in the beliefs shared in communities – will be key for
co-creator. capabilities of their public sector. The debate building stronger public-private partnerships.7
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:9 – Rebalance risks and rewards. One way
is to focus on specific cases where the
– Encourage a new approach to public government provides support for research,
administration. This encouragement can be, for example through equity stakes or golden
for example, supporting an approach based shares of IP rights.
on experimentation and learning-by-doing.
– Develop initiatives that can diffuse knowledge
– Establish new norms of sharing rewards and IP. Specific challenges can be addressed
and develop skills in the public sector. through pools, pledges or mandatory licensing.
Adopting norms in terms of portfolio-
setting and risk-taking, coherently and – Increase scrutiny of anti-competitive
with an approach to public investment as practices. It is important, most notably, to
the investment of first resort, is needed. address patent trolls through dedicated
legislation and changes in the breadth of
– Design new metrics to evaluate public coverage granted to IP.
investments. This involves capturing the
dynamic spillovers that occur with bold
policies, which are hard to capture with static Rethinking value
cost–benefit and net present value analyses.
– Limit the outsourcing of key capabilities. Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:11
Ramping up investment within the public
sector will enable it to become more capable – Scale hybrid methodologies for innovation. For
and develop “absorptive capacity”. example, social impact ventures, which better align
economic and societal value, embed a different
approach to governance and transparency.
Building symbiotic public-
Shifting – Adapt the measurement and accounting
private partnerships frameworks used to account for economic
practices and
behaviours within value. This can be done at both the micro and
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:10 macro levels by assigning a proper value to
companies towards
parts of the economy in which prices do not fully
lower carbon – Introduce conditionalities for public reflect their economic and societal contribution.
emissions, better investments, subsidies, guarantees and
working conditions bailouts. Shifting practices and behaviours – Pilot new solutions and public-private
and fewer share within companies towards lower carbon governance models. This entails embedding
buybacks is emissions, better working conditions societal values in the development of new
central. and fewer share buybacks is central. technologies and business models.
High inequality within and across countries was Tax systems need to be redesigned to achieve
already a major challenge before the pandemic more efficient taxation on capital, in part to level
– a trend exacerbated by the pandemic. Despite the playing field for smaller businesses and to rein
extraordinary policy support, the employment and in monopoly power. International coordination
earnings effects of the pandemic have been highly on tax matters is needed now more than ever,
unequal, disproportionately affecting disadvantaged especially to deal with pressing challenges regarding
populations. Furthermore, the low coverage of the taxation of multinational enterprises and tax
existing social insurance systems is still a significant evasion by individuals using offshore accounts.
obstacle that prevents the prompt provision of The highest priority in international tax coordination
lifelines to households that are most in need. is with respect to climate change – where global
externalities have drastic consequences.
Public spending will need to become more pro-
poor and provide the necessary public goods for
sustainable inclusive growth. In the near term, Rethinking the division of
international cooperation, including financial
support, is also crucial to ensure that vaccines,
labour between fiscal and
treatments and medical supplies are distributed monetary policy
quickly and fairly across all countries.21 The uneven
access to vaccines and limited ability to mount an
appropriate policy response are setting back the The current economic downturn raises questions
development prospects of lower-income countries. about the division of labour between monetary and
fiscal policies. A fundamental reassessment of the
scope and roles of fiscal and monetary policy is
Transforming local and global required. The new framework needs to enhance
coordination between different policy tools during
tax architecture recessions as well as recoveries. This implies
that, when fiscal space is available, fiscal policy
By designing more progressive taxation will need to play a greater role in supporting the
mechanisms, the tax burden can be shifted economy while ensuring independent monetary
from the bottom to the top and provide a higher policy to anchor inflation expectations during
A fundamental tax base for revenue mobilization (especially in periods of rising inflation. Furthermore, despite
reassessment of countries with lower tax capacity) and contribute to the effectiveness of current monetary policy tools
the scope and financing social spending and structural reform.22 in maintaining liquidity and stability, monetary
roles of fiscal and People and households on lower incomes should policy alone cannot bring in the necessary
monetary policy not be removed from the tax system, however, structural transformations to build fairer, more
is required. since inclusion here is linked to political citizenship equitable and sustainable economies.24
Investors are stewards of the world’s capital such as climate change, cybersecurity,
and are key in shaping a more long-term and pandemics and widening inequalities.
sustainable global economy. Institutional investors,
such as pension and sovereign wealth funds as – Greening the economy. The investment
well as asset managers and private equity firms, industry has the scale and influence to
influence their investees through active ownership, support global efforts to limit climate change
including engagement and voting, in addition to and drive the transition to net zero. As
making decisions about how capital is allocated. global pressure mounts to slash emissions,
the investment industry is pushing for
Climate change, widening inequality and social greater disclosure on carbon and investing
unrest are shifting the priorities of the investment to decarbonize operations. There are
industry. As the concept of stakeholder also significant opportunities to capitalize
capitalism has gained endorsements from the on the push for sustainable growth.
Business Roundtable, academics and policy-
makers, several trends have amplified the need – Increasing ESG reporting. ESG issues
for responsible and sustainable investment: have become the main theme of corporate
reporting and investor concerns.43 Pressure
– Rethinking risks and opportunities. to consolidate and align ESG metrics
COVID-19 has highlighted the fragility of and approaches culminated in the recent
economic, environmental and social systems. formation of the International Sustainability
Investors today need to manage 21st- Standards Board during COP26. Non-
century business risk and opportunity.42 This traditional reporting will continue to be high
includes considering systemic changes, on the agenda for global regulators.
The global financial system is playing an important – Quantitative easing infinity. The US Federal
role in the ongoing economic recovery and in Reserve System’s distorted discount rates and
closing the net-zero funding gap to decarbonize new fiscal paradigms raise new questions for
economies and transform industries. However, monetary policy.
financiers and policy-makers are facing a changed
macro environment affected by disruption from – Regulatory toolkit. Unconventional tools,
the COVID-19 pandemic, international conflicts, new questions and unintended consequences
innovation, climate change and social inequality. require innovative policy thinking. New digital
forms of money, such as crypto assets,
Six themes retain the attention of policy-makers stablecoins and central bank digital currencies,
and financial leaders:63 pose a range of opportunities and challenges
to regulators.
– Digital-led recovery. Digital payments and
e-commerce are reshaping the agenda for – Transformed world. Deglobalization,
small businesses, financial inclusion and divergence, inequality and scaring from the
the future of money. While the pandemic pandemic pose a new set of problems.
accelerated digital transformation, it also made
addressing digital exclusion more urgent. Collaborative efforts and innovative solutions
must be built by existing and emerging financial
– Green transition. Finance plays a pivotal actors. To succeed, this shift requires policy
role in facilitating the transition to a net-zero leadership, a reconstituted regulatory framework
economy, and innovative approaches are and a fit-for-purpose governance framework to
needed to bridge the net-zero funding gap. guide a safe and smooth transition into a green
and digitalized economy.
– Finance reconstructed. Innovation is enabling
new firms, partnerships and interlinkages,
leading to a different financial architecture.
By 2025, Today’s global financial system needs to evolve Moreover, the new financial ecosystem becomes
investors will to proactively respond to the needs of pandemic- digital and data-driven to support a smooth
play a larger role battered economies, thereby ultimately moving into energy transition and to address the challenges
in financing the an inclusive, sustainable and equitable net-zero of inadequately servicing SMEs and lower-income
innovation that will future society. cohorts, putting inclusion as its core mission.
be key to reach As has been pointed out, “Digital service providers
must find more innovative ways to educate their
the long-term 2050
net-zero targets. Financing the green transition customers about the products they are offering
and provide them with continued education as
individuals become more sophisticated in their
The transition to a lower-carbon economy requires use of investment products”.66 Effective digital
a large rewiring of the global economy, with some infrastructure and payment processes benefit poor
$3.5 trillion of investment needed annually “for communities and also open the door to the global
decades”.64 The shift to net zero will depend on marketplace for small businesses.
a policy framework and companies and investors
also seizing the opportunities and navigating the
risks of a complex transition. By 2025, investors Addressing governance
will play a larger role in financing the innovation
that will be key to reach the long-term 2050 net-
issues in a digital age
zero targets. This new phase of climate-aligned
investing will include “comparable metrics on As Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) gain
carbon footprints, throughout the entire value momentum around the globe, several questions
chain and across a whole portfolio”.65 In the long emerge regarding design characteristics and
run, this will facilitate greater climate engagement feasibility. Among the various debates discussed
and activism. between practitioners, policy-makers and regulators,
the issue of governance is perennially difficult and
one that will have a significant effect on the feasibility
Building an inclusive financial and usefulness of any potential initiative.
ecosystem With the dawn of the age of digital money, by 2025
common standards and approaches are shared to
Digital transformation offers the opportunity widen access and ensure that everyone can join the
to achieve a digitally and financially inclusive digitization journey. The need for autonomy and the
economy. As digital innovations continue to increasing modularity of digital networks in finance
connect economies and supply chains, a fit- demands a layered approach to governance,
for-purpose regulatory approach with new laws aiming to promote innovation, competition and
for data sharing is created with appropriate inclusion. Regulators work alongside technology
safeguards for privacy and security at an industrial experts, local enforcement and intergovernmental
scale, ensuring cybersecurity and the integrity of actors to design forward-thinking laws that keep
the global financial system. track of rapid developments in the digital age.
Accelerating the green transition changing the capital frameworks and bank
mandates, it is critical these institutions
do more. A constructive debate is needed
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include: about leveraging balance sheets to support
innovation and the green transition.
– Adhere to new high-quality sustainability
disclosure standards. With countries and – Reduce green premiums. Greater emphasis
blocs seeking differing sustainability standards, is needed on creating innovative policies that
international bodies like the International accelerate change and increase innovation.
Sustainability Standards Board are important Finance can play an important role in
to shape globally aligned sustainable finance financing green innovations by ensuring a
disclosures. Innovation by data companies focus on the measures that shift the post-
and corporates on tracking carbon footprints, tax cost of capital. No government, public
however, will also be key. Corresponding bodies or capital market alone can bring
changes in investor behaviour involve or about a whole economy’s transition.
entail a shift in focus to a more bottom-up
approach to how individual businesses can
abate their carbon footprint from a top-down Building an inclusive financial
view of the overall sector (Figure 1).67
ecosystem
– Reform development banks to channel
and leverage finance to emerging Strategies for operationalizing these pathways
markets. Development banks provided include:
$66 billion of green finance in 2020 and
this could be multiplied to turbocharge – Re-establish infrastructure to form a new
clean-energy technology investment.68 financial ecosystem. Special efforts must be
Whether through capital increases for made to develop the following five elements:
the key development banks, simpler and a digital ID to provide affordable access to
smarter public-private partnerships, or financial services by households and SMEs;
Source: Huw van Steenis, Co-Chair, World Economic Forum Global Future Council on Responsive Financial Systems
– Embrace new fintech players. Fintech players – Improve financial inclusion. A key decision
have proven successful in leveraging mobile regarding network governance is who receives
technology to make small-ticket payments access to the infrastructure, and under what
more affordable. Data and AI analytics can be terms and conditions. This has been a topic of
leveraged to allow access to financing and ongoing debates for decades when thinking of
reduce the cost of financing and insurance payment infrastructures nationally (e.g. access
premiums. In the future, innovation in financial to payment schemes such as BACS in the UK)
data services can be utilized to differentiate and internationally (e.g. access to payment
costs and risk measurements in ESG financing communication networks such as SWIFT).
and digitalize measurement techniques in CBDC or digital money infrastructure will call
inclusive loans and insurance policies. into question governance issues commonly
seen in national payment infrastructure.
Depending on governance conditions, its
Rethinking governance in the design can be more inclusive and contribute
to addressing financial exclusion.
age of digital currencies
– Address risk and fiscal governance.
Strategies for operationalizing these pathways Naturally, CBDCs are characterized as central
include: bank money, thus they are understood to be
a direct liability to the central bank who also
– Establish rules for digital identity governance. manages the risks and ensures the monetary
In the formal economy, the greatest part of a stability of the value transfer infrastructure (i.e.
payment transaction is verifying the identity through maintaining the core ledger). While
of the individuals or entities on either side of this archetype of fiscal and risk governance is
the transaction. While CBDCs promise to well-established as a model for CBDC design,
revolutionize payments and deliver efficiencies for different governance conditions could be
consumers (retail or commercial), it is still unclear envisioned to distribute the responsibilities and
how their architecture accommodates an identity allow for other financial institutions to play a
layer. A digital identity layer should be developed part in the running of the payment system.
“The more obscure a risk or the more distant Beyond organizational resilience, a clear and
someone is from a situation, the harder it is to pay consistent risk narrative that is transparently
attention to it.”69 Frontier risks pose a particular communicated to society will awaken policy-
challenge because early-warning signs are often makers and the public to more uncertain threats.
subtle and ambiguous. Potential blind spots in This narrative should be based on long-term risk
the management of frontier risks may arise from: scenarios, outlining drivers and trends which
are played out in multiple future dimensions.
– Systematic errors in judgement of the Importantly, effective narratives should focus
likelihood or impact of these risks, due not only on protective actions, but also on clear
to weak monitoring signals and cognitive explanations of the nature and known/unknown
biases around the perception of risk character of the risk, in language that is accessible
to the community.
– Institutional architecture, where diffuse
accountability or momentum to push
towards a frontier may cause decision- Ensuring a resilient risk response
makers to discount these risks
– Societal norms, such as a lack of public trust Governments, regional bodies and international
in public- and private-sector institutions, organizations have a role to play in preventing
or fragmentation between risk experts, the or hedging against potential risks. For example,
scientific community and decision-makers governments and international bodies should
prioritize closing gaps in legal frameworks
More effective identification and prioritization of governing new frontiers, such as in the realm of
potential unintended consequences relating to space or AI. This requires governing institutions
human progress will not only increase general to develop or collaborate with the private sector
awareness, but also allow decision-makers take to harness the expertise needed to responsibly
steps to mitigate exposure to these frontier risks. regulate these issues.
Expanding risk perceptions the Future of Humanity and the Centre for the
Future of Intelligence.
As the world enters an unequal recovery, four and labour right violations demands action
trends stand out: on trade and investment. Vaccine inequity
is at the heart of the unequal recovery.
– Disruptions. Trade tensions, the COVID-19
pandemic, demand and supply shocks, – Dysfunction in trade governance. Existing
fluctuating transport costs, natural disasters, global trade rules have proven incapable
national security measures and semiconductor of adequately addressing complex trade
shortages have contributed to supply chain frictions arising from incompatibilities between
disruptions and highlighted the importance of market and non-market economies. Failure
risk planning and resilience. to achieve redress through multilateral
channels has led to an increase in unilateral
– Digitalization. The pandemic accelerated trade actions, some of which have been
digitalization, with digital trade keeping the taken on contentious grounds.
economy going through the crisis. Digitally
deliverable services grew from 52% of Trade and investment are crucial levers for a
service exports in 2019 to 64% in 2020.71 sustainable and inclusive recovery that benefits
people and the planet. Yet global economic
– Sustainability and inclusion. Concern about cooperation, rule-making and dispute settlement
vaccine equity, climate change, environmental are faltering, and the public is largely ambivalent
pollution, biodiversity loss, societal inequalities about globalization.72
Over the next three years, trade and investment – Enable micro, small and medium-sized
must serve as engines of economic recovery, enterprises (MSMEs) to fully engage in the
growth and development. In 2025, the vision is global economy
for policies and practices that:
– Benefit women73 and underserved and
– Facilitate trade and investment by removing marginalized communities, including ethnic
frictions and inefficiencies in the processes minorities and Indigenous peoples
involved in moving goods, services and capital
across borders Enabling environmental
– Boost employment, incomes, competitiveness,
sustainability
innovation and value chain upgrading through
economic integration, particularly in developing Trade and investment policies and practices have a
and least developed countries significant impact on production and consumption
around the world and can be powerful levers to
– Enable digital trade, while keeping in check such shift to more environmentally sustainable growth.
harms as threats to online competition or the As countries move to tackle climate change and
Trade and lack of competition regulation and enforcement, environmental degradation at different speeds and
investment policies and the lack of transparency often through unilateral measures, international
and practices have cooperation will be essential to avoid conflicts.
a significant impact – Support developing countries, especially the
on production least developed, to fully engage and benefit Trade and investment policies and practices
from trade and investment must align with sustainability goals to:
and consumption
around the world
and can be
Reducing societal inequalities – Mitigate climate change
Various WTO members have put forward proposals Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
for reform. Members must work together to address
common concerns to revitalize multilateralism – Facilitate trade in goods. Efforts can include
and reduce the incentive for unilateral action. supporting developing countries in implementing
the Agreement on Trade Facilitation and
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include: encouraging public-private initiatives to identify
and tackle specific bottlenecks.
– Revitalize rule-making. Trade rules can
be updated by working through open – Streamline domestic regulation of services.
plurilateral negotiations (where necessary) and This can be pursued by supporting developing
multilateral negotiations (where possible). country implementation of commitments in the
Joint Statement Initiative Reference Paper on
– Promote transparency. This can be Services Domestic Regulation.
furthered by supporting and incentivizing
the notification of measures by countries; – Facilitate investment. Action here can
encouraging independent, third-party include advancing an agreement on facilitating
initiatives that track trade measures; and investment for development, supporting
monitoring compliance with commitments. developing countries in implementation, and
encouraging public-private initiatives to identify
– Restore dispute settlement. Efforts in this area and tackle specific bottlenecks and enable
can include addressing members’ concerns sustainable investment.
with the WTO’s dispute settlement system
and appointing Appellate Body members. – Support sustainable trade. A range of
approaches is possible, such as creating
platforms to share best practices in meeting
Supporting public-private the challenges of sustainable trade and
striking a balance across the economic, social,
initiatives to facilitate sustainable and environmental pillars of sustainability;
trade and investment recognizing the role supply chains can play
in contributing to climate action, the circular
economy, labour protection, gender equity,
Public-private Facilitating trade in goods and services, as well ethnic minorities, Indigenous peoples’ upliftment
action is needed to as investment, can result in gains in efficiency and MSME development; identifying and
make certain that and boost economic growth and development. addressing barriers to making supply chains
sustainable supply Facilitation involves simplifying, streamlining, and business practices environmentally and
chains ensure modernizing and harmonizing administrative societally sustainable; ensuring coherent
environmental and processes throughout the supply chain. In regulation and standards; and supporting supply
societal benefits. addition, public-private action is needed to make chain traceability as an enabler.
Today, Corruption costs the world economy approximately – An increase in transnational, cross-
organizations are 5% of GDP, or $3.6 trillion, annually.74 Moreover, sectoral corruption risks. High-profile global
exposed to a wider estimated monetary losses do not reflect the total investigations, such as the “Panama”, “Paradise”
variety of legal and cost of corrupt acts. A $1 million bribe can easily be and “Pandora” papers, have drawn widespread
reputational risks magnified into $100 million in damage to society, attention to the role of certain industries in
as corruption can deter future investment, result in relation to money laundering, financial fraud,
than ever before.
substandard infrastructure and lead to underfunded corruption schemes, tax/sanctions evasion and
social programmes, among other harms. criminal/terrorist financing.
Technology- Public concern around inequity, human rights The world’s attention has justifiably fixated on the
driven gains in abuses, the environmental crisis and corporate existential threats of corporate-caused climate
transparency and hypocrisy are translating into an evolving and change and, increasingly, human rights abuses
accountability expanding regulatory agenda. The current and inequity. However, investors, regulators
prove critical climate of heightened expectations and legal and corporate actors should not lose sight of
obligations necessitate a more strategic and the corrupt conduct that frequently enables
for increasing
coordinated approach to integrity commitments, environmentally and socially corrosive behaviour.
confidence in
one that is driven by a culture of integrity
business and beyond compliance. The disruption of long- Within ESG, corruption is both a vertical and
restoring trust in standing tendencies to silo integrity risks and horizontal concern – directly measurable as a
government. turn ethics into box-ticking, which serve neither key factor within the “G”, while simultaneously
organizational nor stakeholder interests, is key. impacting the “S” and “E”. The growing global
momentum around combatting inequity, human
rights violations and climate change will prove
futile if corruption is not simultaneously reigned in.
– Empower and expand the integrity function. Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
The World Economic Forum White Paper entitled
“The Rise and Role of the Chief Integrity Officer: – Chart a path for investing with integrity. In a
Leadership Imperatives in an ESG-Driven World” forthcoming series on investing with integrity,
outlines key outcomes and recommendations the Global Future Council makes the case for
for chief integrity officers adapting to the current raising the profile of corruption risks within
climate of heightened risk and opportunity.76 ESG investing frameworks. The series also
Organizations provides key recommendations for the investor
– Foster integrity-based collective action and universe (asset managers, asset owners,
and investors must
peer learning. The Council and the World rating agencies and transnational standard-
ensure that their Economic Forum Partnering Against Corruption setting organizations) on how to effectively
values align with Initiative (PACI) convened a peer learning incorporate and prioritize corruption risks.
their ESG priorities session with corporate compliance officers
and that both from industry-leading organizations focused – Embed ESG within organizational integrity
include integrity at on the intersection of and synergies between priorities. The Forum White Paper, “The Rise
their centre. anti-corruption and human rights compliance. and Role of the Chief Integrity Officer”, includes
Building strong networks at the – Countries have the capacity to monitor air quality
and develop air pollution emission inventories
local, regional and national levels that are regularly updated and publicly reported.
– Cities develop air pollution emission inventories – Air pollution is presented with adequate scope
that are regularly updated. and context so that the different disciplines and
grades understand the wide range of its impacts.
Preparing the next generation of Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
thought leaders – Invest in the power of young people. Engaging
with them at an early age and informing and
Mapping and understanding the needs of educating them on the magnitude of the air
students, life-long learners and educators is a key pollution challenge will motivate their efforts.
step to appropriately include ESD and, therefore,
air pollution in the different curricula. An open – Involve universities and educators.
and transparent dialogue between the various Educational institutions can incorporate air
stakeholders (educational institutions, students, pollution into curricula.
government agencies) must be promoted, and
schools and universities need to respond to the – Promote transparent, multistakeholder
increasing demand for more ESD. dialogues. Diverse voices need to be
represented in the creation of the curricula.
The private sector has a key role to play in To achieve meaningful reductions in air pollution,
achieving the global reduction of air pollution. the focus must be on widening the participation
Appropriate monitoring and reporting of emissions and awareness of all citizens. The “Learn, Act,
are a critical step to achieve the desired air Engage” framework represents steps and actions
pollution reductions. Despite the fact that most that citizens can take to reduce air pollution.
companies have developed sustainability agendas,
very few companies monitor and report their air Strategies for operationalizing this pathway
pollution emissions across their value chains. include:
According to the International Energy Agency temperature rise must be limited to 1.5° C
in its World Energy Outlook 2021, “electricity’s by the end of the century. Halving carbon
share of the world’s final consumption of energy emissions by 2030 will require electrifying
has risen steadily over recent decades”, and energy demand and supplying it with
it promises to become the energy source on renewable generation.
which consumers rely for all their everyday
needs.83 The reliability, resilience and affordability – The new energy economy. Higher degrees of
of electricity will become even more critical. electrification of energy use in areas like mobility,
industries and cities, and the increasing speed
Two developments are particularly important: of technological developments, are driving the
emergence of a new energy economy, which
– The climate imperative. To avoid the most will be more electrified, efficient, interconnected
damaging effects of global warming, the and clean.
Increasing the electrification of approximately 6% fugitive emissions from the oil and
gas industry.88 In total, 60% of current emissions
energy uses to reduce emissions would be reduced by electrifying road transport,
buildings and low-temperature industrial processes,
The electrification of end uses offers higher potential in combination with renewable power generation.89
in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The
three energy uses that are ready for transformation
include: Benefiting from efficiency
– Mobility: the electrification of road transport
gains through electrification
would reduce current equivalent CO2 emissions
by approximately 12%.84 One of the key benefits of electrification, particularly
electrification powered by renewables, is the
– Buildings: electrification of heating would reduce enormous efficiency gain that can be realized: this
equivalent CO2 emissions by approximately 6%.85 approach will halve the primary energy requirements
of most economies.
– Industry: all processes with industrial heat
requirements below 1,000° C could be The current energy system is wasteful. In the United
electrified with technologies available today, States alone, approximately 70% of primary energy
eliminating approximately 6% of equivalent is “rejected energy”. An electric car uses about one-
CO2 emissions.86 third of the energy than a car with a diesel or petrol
engine. A heat pump powered by clean electricity
Direct electrification is the obvious winner in provides two to four times as much heat to a home
Accelerating the
these three sectors for speed, scale and cost. as a boiler powered by natural gas. Similarly, on
decarbonization of
This is because the technologies already exist, the supply side, renewable power plants are far
the power sector and in fact are easier to access for retrofit due more efficient than their fossil fuel counterparts,90
(on current uses) to shorter lifespans. In addition, accelerating as coal and gas power plants lose almost half
would further the decarbonization of the power sector (on of their energy as heat. In addition, a typically
reduce emissions current uses) would further reduce emissions by underappreciated benefit of clean electrification
by approximately approximately 30%.87 Finally, the displacement of is the elimination of supply chains for mining and
30%. fossil fuels would have a positive impact on the moving the fossil fuels around the globe.
– Focus on deployment. Technology is ready Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
to meet that challenge. Both hardware and
software technologies are readily available: – Align fiscal tools with decarbonization
distributed energy resources, vehicle-to-grid goals. Clean technologies typically have
charging and smart metres are just some higher up-front capital costs and lower
examples. What is missing now are the market ongoing fuel and maintenance costs than the
mechanisms to allow those technologies to be polluting alternatives. This challenge needs to
deployed at scale. be met with financing that makes the future
more affordable.
– Promote new business models. Such models
should transfer capital expenditures and risk – Remove subsidies for fossil fuels. Subsidies
from smaller players to financial providers and and tax incentives for fossil fuels are still
empower all stakeholders to become active present in many countries. Due to this market
contributors to a decarbonized power grid.91 distortion, a residential customer typically has
A promising model is “Energy as a Service”, no economic incentive to change their heating
which shifts the cost and responsibility of the system from fossil fuels to cleaner alternatives,
design, installation, maintenance and even and it also negatively impacts the economics of
management of distributed energy resources electric vehicles vis-à-vis petrol-powered cars.
The energy sector remains at the heart of climate billion people continue to use destructive
challenges, with energy consumption and and polluting charcoal, wood and biomass
production responsible for more than two-thirds of for cooking.92
global GHG emissions due to strong dependence
on fossil fuels. Energy also continues to play a – Widening gap between action and
central role in enabling economic development commitments. Despite a plethora of climate
and growth, and the secure and reliable access commitments by industry leaders, financial
to modern forms of energy is essential for the institutions and governments, global emissions
realization of the SDGs. For global climate targets are still on an upward trajectory with an
and the SDGs to be met, the clean energy transition increase of close to 5% in 2021 over 202093
towards sustainable and inclusive energy systems as the world economy recovered and policies,
therefore needs great acceleration globally. investments and measures to put emission
on a path to continued decline have not
Key trends include: materialized at a global scale. Scepticism is
growing about the robustness of these pledges
– Sectoral energy transition approaches and and the willingness to implement them.
revolutions. Recognition is growing that a
sector-by-sector energy transition approach A successful global energy transition needs a
New and will be needed because of sector-specific strong strategic vision and clear ambitions from
energy transition challenges, including specific leaders from government, industry and finance.
strengthened
political and technological considerations. With only eight years left to halve GHG emissions
commitments,
to be on track to limit global warming to below
targets and – Increased focus on energy access and 1.5° C by the end of the century, a much stronger
partnerships are modern cooking. Concerns are mounting that focus on the execution and implementation of
required to put COVID-19 has dismantled the steady progress energy transition plans and strategies is needed
the world on a towards affordable, reliable and sustainable now. New and strengthened commitments,
pathway out of energy. The number of people without access targets and partnerships are also required to put
the climate crisis. to electricity increased in 2021, and 2.6 the world on a pathway out of the climate crisis.
– Align climate and trade policies. Trade and – Realize the geopolitical reality. Deep cuts
investment regimes have a large impact on in emission will not diffuse around the world
how capital and goods flow. For too long, unless the United States, China, the EU and
the worlds of trade and climate have been India find a way to engage and collaborate.
separated. Trade and investment regimes
should be designed in a way that first movers – Scale mature technologies through
do not only bear the costs of going first, but cooperation. Examples include demand
also reap the benefits of bigger markets and alliances, removal of regulatory barriers and
more robust competition. common standards that can help create
larger global markets, and incentives to mass
production and deployment (for example,
common standards for electric vehicle plugs).
According to the International Union for and societal goals need to be addressed
Conservation of Nature (IUCN), one-quarter simultaneously to feed the growing population.
of flora and fauna species are at the risk of
extinction. However, presuming that protecting, – Greater pressure on the public sector to
restoring and safeguarding nature is merely an remove and repurpose harmful subsidies.
environmental question could not be farther Two per cent of global GDP is estimated to be
from the truth. The World Economic Forum spent on environmentally harmful subsidies.
New Nature Economy Report series shows There is an urgent need for intervention
that more than half of the world’s GDP is so that taxpayer funds are not invested in
dependent upon nature and its services and activities that harm public goods. This has
is therefore at risk of severe disruption.103 huge implications for national budgets where
it is not only about increasing the budget
Three key trends are driving the agenda for nature- for environmental outcomes, but defunding
based solutions agenda: harmful streams, such as subsidies on
fossil fuel, overuse of chemical fertilizers
– Greater integration of climate change, and pesticides and water contamination.
biodiversity and land restoration goals.
Nature-based solutions may provide a third – Greater social equity and environmental
of the solutions to mitigate climate change; outcomes. Global resource extraction has
this prioritization strengthens when looking tripled over the past 50 years, yet 840 million
at climate adaptation particularly in poor people still lack access to electricity.104 Those
countries with underdeveloped infrastructure. who least benefit from modern lifestyles
Companies will seek to invest in the protection suffer the greatest impact of climate change
and restoration of natural assets to compensate and nature loss. Clashes and civil unrest will
for their net-zero transition pathway shortfalls. ensue unless these trends are reversed and
Food and agriculture systems will especially issues of social and racial equity are put at
provide a space where multiple environmental the centre of the environmental movement.
– Defund nature-negative activities, particularly in More than $700 billion a year is needed to reverse
commodity supply chains the global biodiversity crisis.109 However, conflicting
incentives in governments’ fiscal, economic,
– Increase financial flows for nature-based solutions finance, trading and development cooperation
policies are a serious concern. For example,
– Value nature for its intact habitats and according to a report from the United Nations
ecosystem services Development Programme and the Food and
Agriculture Organization, almost 90% of the $540
billion in annual farming subsidies are harmful.110
Living in harmony with nature
Signs indicate that society may be locked into
a system that put us on a path that is nature-
Earth Overshoot Day marks “the date when negative. At COP26 in Glasgow, nine multilateral
A nature- humanity’s demand for ecological resources and development banks “launched a joint statement
positive pathway services in a given year exceeds what Earth can outlining actions that they will take to mainstream
regenerate in that year”.107 In 2021, this day was nature into their policies, analysis, assessments,
could generate
29 July and it is arriving earlier every year, which advice and assessments in line with their
an estimated $10 means current populations are borrowing from respective mandates”.111 By 2025, increased
trillion in new future generations and jeopardizing their right to cross-sectoral policy coherence and alignment
annual business an environmentally safe and sustainable life. of public- and private-sector financing start
value and create to create environments that unlocks funding
395 million jobs Awareness has increased recently in all sections of to support nature-positive approaches.
by 2030. the society that business as usual is no longer an
chain investments to value nature-positive 2021.117 The private sector and corporate
opportunities over harmful ones. Banks and and financial organizations all have a critical
investors, including multilateral development responsibility to increase investments in nature.
banks, can decline unsustainable business
while providing capital, de-risking investments – Join existing initiatives. For much of these
and creating asset classes for nature-positive global commons’ challenges, there is no level
projects.115 Deforestation, for example, can be a playing field or clear rules of the game. Solving
result of corporate supply chain and procurement for these challenges requires greater public-
decisions but also of financial institutions’ private dialogue and precompetitive collaboration
decisions.116 Approximately $238 billion in credit among committed actors. The success of
was provided by banks and other financial proposals such as payment for ecosystem
institutions to deforestation-related commodity services, high-integrity carbon markets and
companies between January 2016 and June deforestation-free supply chains depends on
With only eight years to achieve a 50% emission – Radical collaboration is essential to close the
reduction target by 2030, transforming net-zero 2030 ambition to implementation gap. Current
commitments into tangible company-level net-zero measures are not matching the speed
action with transparent metrics that can be and scale of the climate crisis and continuing
monitored and evaluated has never been more with business as usual will not move the needle
urgent. COP26 in Glasgow saw a groundswell fast enough. Delivering critical 2030 milestones
of corporate net-zero commitments and over will require radical collaboration, sequenced
1,000 companies have logged 1.5° C-aligned interventions between industry, government,
targets.123 Yet business leaders across all sectors finance and technology and a tangible pipeline
are struggling to demonstrate tangible results of bankable projects aimed at scaling up critical
and measuring impact against targets through components of the transition, including transition
accountability mechanisms. fuels, infrastructure and production facilities.
The three emerging trends to consider when – Investment must rapidly scale up. Clean energy
advancing corporate action on net zero are: investment must triple by 2030, to $4 trillion.124
At the same time, emerging technologies must
– Increasing accountability is critical. be brought to market and significant R&D funds
While leading companies have adopted are required for these technologies to reach
net-zero targets, they are as yet unable to commercialization.
elaborate credible plans for transitioning
to net zero. In the absence of plans and The World Economic Forum Global Future Council on
transparent mechanisms for tracking progress, Net-Zero Transition has identified two critical thematic
corporate commitments will continue to face priority areas to address the tipping points and
scepticism and greenwashing concerns. advance solutions to reach net zero by mid-century.
– For action to be efficient and effective, a – Creative thinking can identify the collaborative
more granular and clear-eyed understanding models for radical action and collaboration
of the scale of the short-, mid- and long- to respond urgently to the crisis.
term goals industry sectors must deliver
by 2030 is necessary. This vision will shift – Sectoral transition strategies and plans must be
the conversation and focus on the scale of used as a basis for a pipeline of bankable net-
interventions and the choreography required zero projects.
from leaders of industry, governments, financial
institutions and other stakeholders. – Sequenced interventions by government,
industry, finance, technology and other key
– The Mission Possible Partnership has identified stakeholders are needed to mobilize the
critical industry 2030 milestones:125 green capital and technologies required
for bankable net-zero projects.
– 70 (near) zero steel plants producing
280 metric tonnes of steel annually
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway – Spread the message. Becoming a climate
include: leader in the region or industry, spearheading
initiatives and supporting projects that lead to a
– Coordinate movement across each of competitive advantage towards the transition
these levers:127 are key.
Two years into the decade of delivery, the – Integration of just-transition logic in
financing gap that must be closed to achieve the development and climate finance. While
SDGs remains large. Indeed, according to the the net-zero transition has been the main
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and catalyst for investment and sustainable and
Development (OECD), the global financial impact development finance, the COVID-19 pandemic
of COVID-19 has caused the SDG financing gap to has spurred greater emphasis on ensuring a just
grow from $2.5 trillion annually to $3.7 trillion.128 At and inclusive transition.
the same time, the pandemic has also highlighted
the ominous and uncontrollable power of nature. – Public-private cooperation and financing
As a result, the past two years have represented roadmaps. The private sector continues to
a milestone in the financial world, witnessing the increase investment and financing in the SDGs.
flourishing of sustainable finance that is becoming To scale this investment to reach the trillions
increasingly mainstream. While there is still required to bridge the financing gap, the public
time to meet the Agenda 2030 for sustainable sector has stepped in to facilitate and de-risk
development, some trends that are shaping the these investments by providing non-financial
SDG investment ecosystem are encouraging, while interventions, blended finance and clear
others are less so. financing pathways.
– SDG mainstreaming. Though ESG metrics are The fragmentation of efforts and activities has been an
becoming embedded in portfolio management enduring feature of development finance. Only through
and financial decision-making, the SDGs are a concerted, global effort of cooperation among
increasingly seen by a few categories of investors all relevant stakeholders can the goals of the 2030
as a key measure of investment impact. Agenda for Sustainable Development be achieved.
Although the tourism industry has been hit hard both the inherent tourism and economic value
by COVID-19, its hallmark resilience is expected of protected areas and natural assets will be
to foster its recovery. The prior decades’ tourism crucial to preserving the long-term value of
boom has challenged its sustainability, with tourism to business and customers alike.
overcrowding and the carbon footprint of flying
remaining top public criticisms. – Climate change action. Global industry
has seen raised awareness and acceptance
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, key trends of the urgency of climate action. Without
that have amplified the need for swift and collective adequate action and investment, climate
action include: change could disrupt the travel and tourism
sector as it becomes particularly vulnerable
– Equitable and sustainable destinations. to climate impacts.
Overcrowding, mismanaged growth and the
degradation of natural and cultural assets As the tourism industry recovers, stakeholders
harmed the tourism sector prior to the can redesign sustainable destinations and
COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, benefits practices across services and businesses. The
from tourism were not adequately distributed to World Economic Forum Global Future Council
local economies and across the value chain. on Sustainable Tourism evaluates the conditions,
metrics and policies needed for the success
– Value of the blue and green economy. Travel of progressive business models that place
and tourism investments and behaviours have sustainability at the core and provide expert
not adequately accounted for the value of the guidance to the broader sector on how to build
natural environment. Clear quantification of forward better.
Investing in the blue and green not been accurately measured or considered in their
totality. Protected areas can provide a five-to-one
economy return on investment in direct revenue and have
a variety of benefits that are not captured by the
The tourism sector has long depended on the market. Furthermore, there is potential for nature-
resources, beauty and economic activity based solutions to drive change in tourism as well
associated with natural environments. Coastal, as contribute directly to broad economic efforts to
forest and mountain environments have served as decarbonize and align with the SDGs. According
popular tourist destinations, and their popularity to the EU Blue Economy Report 2021, in the EU27
has only increased during the pandemic where alone, the blue economy provides 2-3% of total
customers have sought out nature-based locations employment and 1.5% of GDP, excluding indirect
and experiences. or induced income and employment. New sectors
such as blue biotechnology, algae production
Unfortunately, the true value and contribution of the and ocean renewable energy are expected to
blue and green economies to and from tourism have generate new green jobs and markets.135
To ensure a coordinated response that prioritizes – Reshape public policy. The crisis offers
the rebuilding of the sector in an equitable and a reset opportunity; many destinations are
resilient manner, significant alignment among considering taking action now or accelerating
stakeholders across the ecosystem will be required. their plans for long-term sustainable destination
management and the Global Future Council is
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include: working on tools and guidance for experts.
COVID-19 highlighted gaps in learning needs and – Unequal access to skills development.
presented an opportunity to reassess them. An As the global pandemic continued to force
especially high value is now being placed on human- learning to shift online, new modalities of
centric skills that cannot be easily automated, and learning were being piloted and disseminated,
there is newfound urgency to improve access to but uneven digital access further exacerbated
skills for an increasingly automated world. The existing education and skills gaps between
Great Resignation trend resulted from workers low- and high-resourced communities.
seeking greater meaning and value from their
jobs, and now employers struggle to find talent. – Limited recognition of skills pathways.
Online credentialing, apprenticeships and
Three key trends are driving the need for a new non-formal learning exist, yet these pathways
education and skills agenda for the post-pandemic are not broadly and equally recognized by
economic recovery: employers. The lack of systemic recognition
of alternative learning pathways became a
– Unemployment and widening skills gaps. challenge in the pandemic context, where
Employers struggle to find talent with the individuals required more flexible and rapid
right skills due to the Great Resignation, new forms of skilling to be able to keep pace
immigration restrictions and limited labour mobility. with changing labour-market demands.
Additionally, reskilling and upskilling efforts have
not kept pace. Competition among employers Actors need to rapidly address these short-term
for talent has increased bargaining power for challenges to create resilient systems to meet the
employees, and churns in job markets further employment needs of individuals, businesses
exacerbate skills gaps in the labour market. and governments.
Developing new economy skills prioritize teacher workforce training and development
as an enabler of high-quality education systems.
assessment mechanisms often takes many years to new skills and new approaches to learning.
design and implement. Thus, a reasonable priority Innovating approaches will require fundamental
for the vision would be to – in the first instance – shifts in norms and attitudes related to learning.
measure gaps and inequities in access to skills
development across different demographic groups. The vision is that individuals proactively engage
in lifelong learning to develop their new economy
skills. Enabling this vision will require these skills
Mainstreaming new economy to be valued by employers and governments.
Stakeholders will need to signal demand for new
skills economy skills, develop and recognize alternative
pathways to employment, and invest in targeted
Education systems have long been embedded in skills development and deployment for groups with
traditional ways of learning, which often include inequitable access to learning and jobs. While all
direct instruction of well-established subjects, of these can be accomplished by 2030, a priority
such as mathematics, reading and writing. Yet for the Vision 2025 should be to develop and
these systems could be complemented with implement alternative pathways to employment.
The COVID-19 pandemic has aggravated pre- existing inequalities in society. Increased social
existing inequalities globally and heightened the unrest and disruption heightens the global
visibility of deep-rooted structural and social demand for change.
inequities in education, employment, housing and
healthcare. The issues faced by people across the – Addressing the gap between commitments
dimensions of diversity vary and are often further and progress. Organizations and institutions
complicated by their intersectionality. The increased repeatedly negotiate the tension between
mobilization and momentum for change, however, intentions and progress while building systems
have not translated into progress in building that are truly more equitable and socially just.
systems that are truly more equitable and just.
The recovery of economies and societies from the
Two key trends are both challenging and pandemic provides an unprecedented occasion
contributing to more equitable and socially to leverage intentional, coordinated multisector
just societies: actions, driven and measured by data to build
new and just systems that honour the dignity and
– Deepening and exposing inequalities. equality of every human being.
COVID-19 has laid bare and deepened already
Businesses must align their ESG work with – Legislation on business responsibility
international human rights norms and ensure that to respect human rights. While progress
the voices and perspectives of affected stakeholders in the last decade has been largely driven
are brought to the attention of leadership. by voluntary action and a small number of
corporate leaders, regulation will likely be
Three major trends related to business and human an important factor in environmental and
rights include: social sustainability in the next decade.
Governments began to introduce new
– Growing inequality. At the start of 2020, legislation aimed at addressing the corporate
70% of the world’s population was facing responsibility to respect human rights.
ever increasing inequality, a trend further
exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic.154 The corporate responsibility to respect human
rights, as set out in the UN Guiding Principles
– Expectations from stakeholders. Society on Business and Human Rights and related
expects powerful institutions to be increasingly standards, is the foundation for business’ role
accountable for their actions. Public trust in in preventing human rights harms and helping
institutions has decreased significantly and remedy those that occur. It is also the standard
young people around the world demand that for responsible business conduct. Taking a
all stakeholders deliver on the promise of a human rights lens will help companies meet their
post-pandemic world that tackles inequality, responsibility to respect human rights, meet
injustice and climate change. evolving societal expectations about business’
role and be a force in tackling inequality.
For human rights concerns to be fully integrated impact on people and be held accountable for
across the strategy, leadership and operations those impacts.
of a company, the topic must find a permanent
place in the boardroom itself. To be able to do – Establish engagement mechanisms.
that, companies must engage with stakeholders, This includes creating clear and efficient
especially those most vulnerable to potential mechanisms for a meaningful understanding of
negative impacts. and engagement with affected stakeholders, in
particular those rights holders most vulnerable
The World Economic Forum Global Future to the negative effects of business actions.
Council on Human Rights challenges corporate
boards to examine their existing capacity and – Build competence. This means ensuring
commitments on human rights, providing tools and that corporate boards have the expertise and
guidance for how they can prioritize stakeholder competence to not only understand human
engagement on these issues as an exercise of rights impacts but also actively engage
their board duties. Through a series of private with internal functions in the company to
consultations with corporate non-executive address them. This may require the direct
directors, business leaders, corporate human rights representation of affected stakeholders on
experts, affected stakeholders and civil society the board or through the selection of board
representatives, in the coming year the Council will members with human rights expertise and/
release guidance to boards on new and existing or responsibility. It could also take the form
mechanisms for affected stakeholder engagement, of proxy representation through, for example,
Human rights are understanding and signposting the experience worker councils.
not simply the “S” and competencies that are essential for board
in ESG. Companies members to act effectively on this knowledge. – Ensure performance tracking and reporting.
Respect for human rights must be linked to
need to undertake
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include: performance KPIs and clear incentives at all
comprehensive
levels of the organization. Board members
human rights – Conduct human rights due diligence. Human should review performance tracking and
due diligence to rights are not simply the “S” in ESG. Respect reporting on an ongoing basis as part of
understand their for human rights must underpin all business the overall performance of the company.
impact on people action inside and outside of the company Corporate actions should also be evaluated
and be held and cannot be reduced to a single indicator. by independent assessors applying industry
accountable for Companies need to undertake comprehensive standards and metrics. The results of these
those impacts. human rights due diligence to understand their assessments should be transparently shared.
The profound disruptions to daily life brought about disadvantages and those with pre-existing
by COVID-19 have led to an unprecedented rise in conditions.
rates of depression, anxiety, substance use and
attempted suicide, particularly among young – Disruptive technologies. Restrictions on
people. Additionally, mental health service physical movement and rising rates of mental
infrastructure has been disrupted. These health diagnosis are being countered by digital
consequences will outlive the physical danger of technologies that can operate remotely at scale.
COVID-19 and must be systematically addressed.
While this crisis is deeply concerning, it has – Harmful stigma. While much still needs to
instigated a paradigm shift in regulatory structures be done, advocacy, generational change and
and treatment. It has done much to put mental more frequent personal experiences of mental
health on the map as an issue that needs ill-health are breaking the stigma around
addressing, creating opportunities for innovative, discussing a topic that has long been taboo.
scalable solutions that transcend borders and
economic sectors.155 In the past year, forward-thinking policy-makers,
advocates, psychiatrists, neuroscientists,
– Widening inequality. Rates of mental ill-health psychologists, public health professionals,
conditions have risen across all demographics, technologists and business leaders have shown
but those hit hardest are younger populations, that the global community can face great
those who were already subject to structural challenges with resilience and determination.
Incentivizing the trusted, ethical resources across the potential drivers of mental
wealth. Addressing these challenges is the primary
adoption of digital solutions preoccupation of the University of Sydney’s
Mental Wealth Initiative, in partnership with the
Digital mental Digital solutions hold great promise to take away Global Future Council and the United Kingdom’s
health regulations some of the burden from over-stressed systems SIPHER (Systems Science in Public Health and
can ensure that while simultaneously reaching those who do not Health Economics Research) Consortium. The
innovators know have the resources or capability to interact with primary objectives of the Mental Wealth Initiative
what to build traditional mental health services or may feel are to measure, monitor and forecast the mental
stigmatized in face-to-face locations. If regulated wealth of nations and help identify those policy
towards, and end
properly, digital mental health regulations can opportunities that will foster this broader measure
users have trust
ensure that innovators know what to build towards, of national prosperity.
that the product procurement offices (whether they be governments,
they are using is employers or insurance organizations) have a clear Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
safe, ethical and sense of what they are getting, and end users have
efficacious. trust that the product they are using is safe, ethical – Define and quantify a measure of mental
and efficacious. wealth. The initiative is working to
operationalize national and population-based
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include: measures of mental wealth that broaden the
lens against which social and economic
– Pilot the toolkit for digital mental health. In progress are assessed beyond that traditionally
partnership with Deloitte, the World Economic captured by GDP.
Forum has developed the Global Governance
Toolkit for Digital Mental Health to “provide – Apply a systems lens. Measuring and
governments, regulators and independent forecasting mental wealth requires a systems
assurance bodies with the tools to develop, modelling approach, capturing the interacting
adopt and engage standards and policies that factors that influence mental capital, mental
address major ethical concerns relating to the health and well-being that in turn contribute to
use of disruptive technology in mental health.”158 productivity gains and losses not traditionally
accounted for in other measures of national
– Contribute to future iterations of the toolkit. wealth. The initiative is applying complex
Innovators, business leaders, policy-makers systems modelling and simulation to forecast
and mental health experts are all needed to national trajectories of mental wealth and to
ensure that the framework remains dynamic understand the extent to which government
and up-to-speed with the latest trends. policy-mediated changes in the economic,
health and social environment could enhance it.
Rebuilding the mental wealth
– Move from research to action. The initiative
of nations is working with government, business, mental
health and social policy and community
Despite unprecedented investment in strengthening leaders. It provides the forums needed to
economic, social and health systems that could facilitate the exchange of knowledge and ideas
foster mental wealth in the wake of the pandemic, to harness collective efforts, networks and
several challenges remain, including uncertainty resources to develop mental wealth and to
regarding what impact those investments are coordinate advocacy and action nationally
likely to have and how best to allocate limited and internationally.
Fragile regions are faced with an increasingly complex efforts. When states lack fundamental structures
mix of challenges characterized by protracted and economic systems have collapsed, broad
conflicts, disease, poverty, climate change and weak multistakeholder responses, including for
governance. The United Nations estimates that 274 macroeconomic stabilization, are needed.
million people will need humanitarian assistance
and protection in 2022159 at a cost of nearly $41 – The paradoxical impacts of digitalization.
billion dollars, or nearly double the needs before the Digital access and tools have helped boost
COVID-19 pandemic,160 in addition to development economic productivity and unlock access to
aid needs.161 services. Yet, despite the potential to meet
many humanitarian and development needs
Yet, trends indicate that many challenges risk not through digitalization, many rural and low-
being addressed due to: income communities around the world lack
reliable, affordable internet access, or the tools
– The changing nature of conflict. The volume and skills to use it. On the other hand, there is
and length of humanitarian and development a risk that these digital solutions, if designed
needs are increasing as conflicts become and implemented without appropriate expertise,
more protracted and globalized with more could harm those they are intended to protect.
numerous and fragmented actors. This is further For example, the use of autonomous weapon
aggravated by the convergence of megatrends, systems and cyberattacks pose threats to
such as climate change, urbanization, the humanitarian and development efforts162 as
COVID-19 pandemic, corruption, violence and they can attack critical infrastructure, influence
poor governance, resulting in adverse effects social and political environments, and affect
on livelihoods and essential services, and response preparedness in humanitarian and
undermining development and humanitarian development organizations.163
Vision 2025
By 2025, all communities have the infrastructure to – Climate-sensitive essential infrastructures are
access basic services, and the delivery of services is established to shield local populations from
commercially sustainable. To achieve this vision, intersecting shocks and vulnerabilities.
better alignment and cooperation among public- and
private-sector stakeholders at the local, national and
international levels are needed to make significant Building capacity for locally
progress building these infrastructures and creating
the sustainable markets that put communities in
based action
crisis on the path to resilience. Emphasis should be
placed on ensuring access to essential services, By 2025:
enabling a life of dignity and opportunity, supporting
the development of thriving and resilient economies, – Local institutions partner with local private-sector
and expanding digital access. organizations and international aid organizations
to design, fund and implement solutions.
– The needs of affected communities are placed – Local capacities are reinforced to scale and
at the centre of the response through an speed response in crisis situations, and whenever
iterative design and implementation process, so possible, prioritized and routinely deployed to
that services and products are locally relevant address issues within the community.
and accessible, individuals have choice, and
the quality-of-service delivery improves.
– Private-sector organizations provide food, health, – Local and international private- and public-
education, water, sanitation, electricity and other sector organizations partner to identify
essential services in fragile regions where these opportunities to promote infrastructure as a
are lacking and where a business case could be public good.
made for this; humanitarian and development
organizations, and local and international – The scaling of existing solutions is prioritized,
governments, fill that role in other cases. whenever possible, to build digital capacity and
infrastructure in humanitarian organizations and
– Local and international private-sector local populations.
organizations partner with public-sector actors
to increase humanitarian funding and financing, – Local non-governmental organizations partner
and to develop new market pathways that allow with organizations focused on improving the
aid-reliant groups to earn an income. digital experience to ensure designs are based
on the needs of local populations and provide
– Government leaders enable markets as opportunities for aid-dependent populations
the foundation for a community’s long-term to explore opportunities for economic
resilience. A more vibrant local economy provides independence.
increased access to employment for populations
in local contexts, allowing them to move – Adherence to best-in-class data security and
from aid reliance to increased autonomy and privacy standards is achieved when handling the
independence. individual data of vulnerable populations.
– Strengthen collective action. The Grand – Join existing initiatives. Initiatives to consider
Bargain workstream 2 seeks to provide more joining include the World Economic Forum
support and funding tools for local and national Humanitarian and Resilience Investing Initiative,
responders,169 and the Joint Intersectoral the World Bank’s PS4R (Private Sector for
Analysis Framework provides further ideas Refugees), Refugee Investment Network, Crisis
for reflection. Lookout coalition or the Anticipation Hub.
While the effects of climate and environmental objectives is witnessing rapid increases, with
challenges undermine jobs, disrupt businesses demand often outpacing supply, but also
and threaten communities, the transition to net creating challenges related to transparency,
zero also involves deep restructuring of economies accountability and ratings. A just transition
and labour markets with far-reaching social offers a framework to better articulate, address
implications. The concept of a “just transition”, and manage social risks and the potential
which originated from North American unions in social impacts of the restructuring and
the 1990s as a framework to support workers contraction of emission-intensive industries.
likely to lose their jobs due to environmental
protection policies, has since evolved to focus – Increasing attention and a proliferation
on deliberate, choreographed efforts to ensure of initiatives and instruments. The United
environmental sustainability with more and better Nations just-transition framework is gaining
A “just jobs, social inclusion and poverty eradication. prominence in national and international policy
transition” focuses as policy-makers address the links between
on deliberate, – Ensuring net zero for all. The net-zero employment and social impacts of climate
choreographed shift may bring quality jobs and social action to deliver fair and inclusive change. An
inclusion, but it will not happen by default. understanding of the concept varies, risking
efforts to ensure
Unplanned and unmanaged, the transition weakening the value of a just transition as a
environmental
may exacerbate inequalities between policy tool and way to achieve social consensus.
sustainability and within countries and leave workers,
with more and communities and businesses stranded. It is critical to strengthen shared commitments and
better jobs, identify measures to align financial flows to social and
social inclusion – Expanding sustainable investment and environmental objectives in an integrated manner
and poverty green finance. The volume of financial flows through a common just-transition framework.
eradication. allegedly aligned to environmental and social
A just transition to sustainability has gained this momentum to provide robust and achievable
prominence as a necessary condition for ambitious entry points for financial-sector actors to align
climate action and as a framework to shape an their decisions and strategies to a just transition.
equitable and climate-proof recovery. Adopting a
just transition framework in public policies, business
strategies and investments enables recognition Illustrating applications of just-
of the employment and social implications of
climate action to maximize positive impacts while
transition financing logic
minimizing and addressing negative ones and
ensuring decent work. Strong consensus enables To devise practical recommendations on what
bold and inclusive change. Social dialogue is a financing for a just transition may mean and require
crucial basis for a just transition, which also relies in practice, sectoral and topical perspectives are
on meaningful stakeholder engagement processes key. Such sectoral and topical perspective focuses
with communities and Indigenous peoples. on sectors with high relevance to environmental
sustainability, particularly action on climate change
and biodiversity, the decent work agenda, poverty
Building a common understanding eradication and rights.
of a just transition In the context of the energy transition, the mining
sector is taken as the initial sector of focus, which
With the growing interest in a just transition and an may generate lessons applicable to developing
increasing number of initiatives being developed, analyses of other sectors. Mining in connection
the concept is rendered as an internationally to a just transition is typically tackled in relation
negotiated and recognized framework in the UN, to coal mine closures and impacts on workers
under the International Labour Organization’s and communities, but broader dynamics are at
(ILO) 2015 Guidelines for a Just Transition. The play that also deserve attention. Clean energy
Guidelines provide a whole economy approach minerals are critically important for ambitious
to ensuring decent work, sustainability and social climate action as mining has tight connections
inclusion, and focus on collaborative processes to deforestation, ocean health and biodiversity
(termed “social dialogue”) with governments, loss. Such environmental challenges need to be
companies, investors, workers and civil society.171 tackled if the transition is to deliver sustainability
and avoid creating unmanaged trade-offs.
– Define the state-of-play and map the just – Harness public-private cooperation
transition finance ecosystem. Relevant and partnerships. One example is holding
frameworks and initiatives can be drawn roundtables to discuss recommendations and
upon, and gaps may be addressed. encourage action.
Quality jobs, with The triple disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic, an opportunity exists to transform how work
decent wages and accelerated automation and climate change is is conceptualized, organized and performed.
working conditions, accelerating the following trends and leading to rising
social discontent: – Increased inequality. Wages have faced
are needed.
further downward pressure and the differentiated
Addressing the
– Job disruption. ILO estimates project 52 impact of the triple disruption on disadvantaged
disruption to million fewer jobs worldwide in 2022 than in the groups has reinforced challenges of declining
jobs, wages and fourth quarter of 2019.173 The urgent need is social mobility.
work requires a to encourage job creation, especially for youth,
cross-sectoral, women and vulnerable groups, and to support Quality jobs, with decent wages and working
multistakeholder the transitions of workers from at-risk roles. conditions, are needed. Addressing the disruption
effort. to jobs, wages and work requires a cross-sectoral,
– Transition to the future of work. Job quality has multistakeholder effort. Collaborative, large-scale
come into greater focus and the challenges of action can ensure economic dynamism and build
new ways of working for well-being have become a vibrant and sustainable ecosystem with an
apparent. As organizations respond to the current employable and productive workforce in good-quality
disruptions and to changing worker preferences, jobs paying decent wages.174
Representing more than 20% of the planet’s carbon digital players and new entrants, manufacturing
footprint190 and contributing to approximately companies must go beyond digitalizing
16% of global gross domestic product (GDP),191 operations and leveraging investments in
manufacturing companies are positioned to drive advanced manufacturing to transform their
responsible growth while addressing the complex operating and business models.
challenges raised by consumers, climate change
and digital transformation. – The future of work. Work is shifting to become
more agile and flexible: the type of jobs and
The challenges include: skills needed are changing, while employees
are rethinking their work expectations regarding
– New consumer behaviours. The COVID-19 volume, location, opportunities for advancement
pandemic has deeply changed how consumers and work-life balance. Companies can leverage
select and buy products, and how they expect these two developments by focusing on
to be engaged by companies. Consumers workforce empowerment and retraining –
seek frictionless purchases, full transparency satisfying changing expectations of employees
of product information, and personalized while developing the necessary skill set for
products, which require new levels of the future.
performance and agility from manufacturing
and supply chains. In addition, the risk profile associated with
manufacturing and value chains has increased
– Climate change and the imperative of a significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, with
net-zero-emissions world. Current challenges global events and growing challenges – such
have elevated the importance of manufacturing as the temporary blockage of the Suez Canal in
companies in cutting CO2 emissions and 2021 or continuously increasing cybersecurity
creating circular business models. threats – become more prevalent, complex and
pressing. Manufacturing companies must be
– Digital transformation and disruption. To empowered to embrace advanced manufacturing
remain competitive in markets transforming with towards more responsible and resilient growth.
Manufacturing is positioned to address global achieve other targets. During challenges, such as
megatrends and to model a triple-bottom- hiring employees and rising energy and regulatory
line mindset that benefits not only profits, but costs, striving for more responsible production
also people and the planet. This vision can be benefits not only shareholders, but also the whole
summarized under three strategic pillars: ecosystem in which a company is integrated.
Moving towards circular value chains and net-
negative carbon manufacturing is imperative
Unlocking innovation in products, for a company to become more inclusive and
sustainable. Companies drive sustainable and
technologies and business models profitable growth, set plans to achieve carbon
neutrality and commit to ESG reporting throughout
Companies unlock and deploy innovative products, manufacturing and production value chains.
Moving towards technologies and business models to create new
circular value value and transform production industries with a
chains and net- positive impact on society. Driving inclusive value creation
negative carbon
manufacturing
is imperative for
Moving to sustainable value Measures are taken to provide every manufacturing
worker with new opportunities and to support
a company to creation companies of all sizes, regional governments and
become more local communities in strengthening companies’
inclusive and Sustainability in production is not just a vision and competitiveness.
sustainable. an explicit goal but also an enabler that can help
Creating value for all stakeholders Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
Traditional institutions and regulatory processes connected. As social media, banks, healthcare,
have lagged in adapting and responding to the education and other fields integrate online, the
technological advances that drive economic and relationships between businesses, governments
social changes. Agile governance approaches seek and citizens will become more complex.
to reform regulation and bridge divides by generating
new approaches to policy-making that can unleash – Proactive business risk management. Business
innovation while creating effective regulatory and government must account for more risks
frameworks and better governance outcomes. alongside growing social and environmental
challenges. Mechanisms of traditional governance
To support innovative ecosystems, agile have been slow to respond, resulting in
governance will increasingly be influenced by businesses voluntarily adopting social responsibility
these trends: measures, such as reporting on ESG metrics.
– Disruptive technologies. As a driver of agility Such trends require agility to keep pace with the
and an enabler of dynamic regulatory systems, velocity of change in intricate systems, and
technological disruption will continue to spur governance frameworks to ensure governments
adaptive policy systems that can keep pace maintain control over regulatory and policy
with digital advances. systems. Combined, agile governance helps ensure
that emerging technologies can be harnessed for
– Complex public-private relationships. social progress while supporting responsible and
The real and digital worlds are increasingly equitable transitions into the digital future.
Agile governance represents a fundamental shift in and regulations that better manage emerging
policy-making. To enable this shift, three actions for technologies and are resilient to further
change are needed: technological disruption. Many of the existing agile
governance tools are only just starting to mature
after being tested, refined and redeployed using
Harmonizing boundaries between identified best practices.
the public and private sectors Agile governance has evolved with the parallel
imperative of using technology to deliver optimal
Governance can no longer be a one-way channel regulatory and governance outcomes. The
from government to business. A more transparent systematization of technologies can unlock
and collaborative process can steer innovation, regulatory potential. An expanding field of
safeguard markets and protect consumers, all deploying regulatory technologies, known as
without unduly curtailing advancement or burdening “regtech”, leverages emerging technologies
the private sector. Harmonizing boundaries such as artificial intelligence (AI) and blockchain
will require: to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of
regulatory processes. However, as businesses
Governments to: increasingly take ownership of their social and
economic responsibilities through proactive risk
– Put consumers and businesses at the centre management, it is also important to consider how
of the process of policy development technology will support agile-based structures
like self-regulation or industry self-governance.
– Work across departments and authorities to
coordinate supervision of the private sector
Building demand and capacity
– Innovate their policy-making process
Given the reach of AI, it is critical to ensure Given the potential for AI systems to affect all lives, it
individuals and communities have a basic is critical that these systems employ fair processes
understanding of AI, are protected from algorithmic and produce equitable outcomes. This can be
bias, and are able to benefit from AI’s myriad supported by appropriate training, business practices,
benefits. A more representative AI ecosystem will regulations and tools, such as comprehensive
prioritize responsible technology, demystify AI impact assessments of proposed systems.
and harness innovation to contribute to a more
equitable world. Technical solutions for bias and fairness
is, what it can and cannot do, and how they – Apply a systems-thinking approach. The
can influence outcomes. The World Economic potential unintended consequences of AI
Forum White Paper entitled “A Holistic Guide technologies should be mapped out, moving
to Approaching AI Fairness Education in away from a transactional view that positions
Organizations” offers recommendations on businesses and innovators at the centre of
how to implement this.206 technology agendas, conversations and
development.
– Reach the public sector. Supporting
education improvements in the public sector is – Encourage continuous learning. AI education
essential to ensure good AI governance and the is accessible and encouraged from grade
implementation of responsible AI policies. school through professional education in a
range of formats, including certifications.
Private- and public-sector actors must co-develop – Establish feedback channels for impacted
critical infrastructure, from data storage to fora stakeholders. Creating opportunities for
for dialogue with diverse sectors. This foundation increased communication between AI creators
will enable nations currently lagging in AI maturity and consumers will be important, as will
to leapfrog ahead, both in their economy as well communicating ways in which feedback has
as their efforts in governance. It would also offer resulted in changes to the AI system. It is also
companies universal consumer engagement important to empower facilitating organizations
to help shape and improve AI systems. (e.g. consumer groups) and to offer opportunities
for redress.
Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
Private- and – Empower the participation of stakeholders
– Prioritize the set-up of AI infrastructure in decision-making. Rather than passive
public-sector
to fully deliver impact to all communities. community participation as currently employed
actors must co- National governments, together with cloud (often part of user experience [UX] testing), an
develop critical providers and chipset companies, lead on “inclusive by design” methodology should be
infrastructure, from infrastructure and data training projects to embraced. Impact assessment tools should
data storage to fora facilitate communities receiving the benefits of be deployed wherever possible and an agile
for dialogue with AI. This will be particularly crucial in countries approach to feedback adopted, including via
diverse sectors. lacking robust electronic data storage, where social media.
Several trends are accelerating the media – Metaverse. The metaverse refers to a set
industry’s role in shaping the world: of concepts and trends that, some experts
believe, represent the next major computing
– Digital safety. Harmful content, conduct and platform. Central to the idea is extended
contact have proliferated online and pose reality (XR), defined as “a combination
huge risks to all internet users, particularly of augmented, virtual and mixed reality
vulnerable groups such as children. Social environments that are accessible and
platforms have made it easier to create and interactive in real time”.207 When combined
distribute all types of information, but this has with blockchain applications, XR could
also resulted in harmful and illegal content. blend the physical and digital worlds to
increasing degrees, enabling new forms of
– DE&I. The decisions people make about how social and commercial interaction, creativity
they create content, whose stories they share and value creation. This hybrid environment
and what narratives and perceptions they shape – the metaverse – may eventually become
will have a lasting impact on society. Advancing an extension of the real-world economy,
DE&I in media and entertainment is crucial to transforming consumer experiences and
creating a more equitable, just society. business models across industries.
– Industry accountability and oversight are currently – In-content diversity is directly seen, heard or
lacking: no comprehensive third-party auditing experienced by the audience. Measurements
processes and practices to evaluate accuracy or may focus on the number of diverse characters
the effectiveness of content moderation practices and their time on-screen, or portrayals or the
and policy enforcement exist. stereotypes that are challenged or perpetuated.
– Regulatory schemes are no longer fragmented – Diverse characters and fair portrayals allow
national approaches that increase cost, audiences to hear their stories being told in an
complexity and uncertainty for businesses, authentic manner. Ads, games, videos and other
especially smaller players. Alignment on a global forms of media can have harmful unintended
or multi-jurisdictional regulatory framework has consequences when they portray groups
significantly helped in this regard. in a certain way or reinforce stereotypes.
The potential of quantum science and technology – Emerging market for first-generation
could be as transformative as semiconductors noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ)
in the 20th century, with massive economic computers. This is driven by early adoption
impact in sectors ranging from information and and experimentation across the public sector
communications technology to healthcare, for and industries.
example. The technology is in its early stages, with
many options for underlying platforms. Due to this The path to a scalable and commercial quantum
emerging state, the road ahead is uncertain. computer will become increasingly clear in the
next five years. Many system improvements are
Three key trends are bound to drive the rapid change expected, including a sizeable increase in the
and require action from the international community: number of qubits and better error-correction
techniques. Algorithms for use cases are under
– Rapid growth in venture financing and large development for hybrid quantum-classical
public (state) investments. This will lead to high systems, and numerous tools for the supporting
expectations, strong competition for talent, and quantum infrastructure stack are emerging. As
economic and geopolitical policy interventions. quantum computing holds potential to redefine
power structures, the international community
– Growing quantum ecosystems. University- should act now to guide it in a responsible way
affiliated ecosystems will continue to drive rather than exacerbate geopolitical tensions.
hardware, software and application development.
The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrates once Some barriers are put in place deliberately
more that global scientific collaboration is by governments to prevent contact with
necessary to tackle global challenges, from climate people from other countries. Some are by
change to health. Innovative solutions require coincidence, such as reduced mobility due
contributions from a diverse array of countries, to closed borders. All make it more difficult
disciplines, sectors and backgrounds to ensure for scientists to collaborate internationally.
access to the best talent, knowledge and data
available, and to a variety of perspectives. – Balancing fundamental and mission-driven
research. Most countries increasingly prioritize
Three trends in scientific collaboration stand out: mission-driven applied research. This favours
research focused on specific goals, such as
– COVID-19. The pandemic has disrupted many developing a COVID-19 vaccine, at the expense
aspects of research. As the world establishes a of open-ended, curiosity-driven basic research
“new normal”, there is an opportunity to decide that generates the fundamental knowledge to
which changes may improve the research fuel future mission-driven research.
system. The pandemic also provides lessons
for dealing with other shared global challenges, Approaches to these and other trends will shape
like global warming and cybersecurity. scientific progress for decades to come. They will
affect the type, quality and amount of knowledge
– Retreat from multilateralism. Reduced produced, who gets trained to produce it, the
collaboration between countries impedes level of technological innovation and, ultimately,
collaboration between their scientists. humanity’s ability to respond to future global crises.
New Space is facing accelerated change that is likely to – Geopolitics in outer space. Geopolitical rivalry
manufacturing persist through 2025 and bring significant benefits as is creating risk of conflict in orbit, posing enduring
approaches, well as challenges for humanity. New manufacturing risks to the space environment.
streamlined approaches, streamlined assembly and reusability
have lowered launch costs and spurred new rocket – Growing demand for global connectivity and
assembly and
companies, providing greater choice and lower prices Earth monitoring. Greater internet connectivity
reusability have
to access and use space. Mass-produced, affordable (particularly to underserved, remote areas) and
lowered launch and smaller satellites can be launched to perform the availability of Earth monitoring data are
costs and spurred meaningful missions and provide new services. prompting the development of new satellite
new rocket As a result, accessing space for the benefit of the constellations, especially within Low Earth Orbit
companies. economy and society on Earth is easier than ever. (LEO). This proliferation requires appropriate
regulatory approaches to prevent harmful radio-
The key trends creating a more active and crowded frequency interference, guarantee the long-term
space environment are: sustainable use of Earth orbits and ensure
security against cyberattacks.
– High levels of private-sector funding and
growing public-sector interest. Private-sector – Climate change. Earth monitoring data
investment and public-sector support enable collected from satellites will become even more
the buildout of significant infrastructure in abundant and crucial to providing possible
space, including commercial alternatives to the insights for the climate.
International Space Station, on-orbit space services
and missions to the Moon and cislunar space.
A more congested space environment means Finally, increased space activity has environmental
safe operations and a sustainable environment for consequences on Earth, including from accelerated
future space development and operations must launch cadence (burning of rocket fuel) and disposal
be ensured. The problem becomes more acute of satellites (burning them in Earth’s atmosphere, the
as debris from high-altitude, anti-satellite weapons current practice of removing satellites from LEO).
tests further increases the risk of collisions in orbit,
reducing the projected lifetime of satellites and
negatively affecting space industry economics. Coordinating space-based data
Satellite innovation and large constellations intensify to better tackle the climate crisis
the need for jointly developed and widely adopted
norms of operation for space traffic interactions
Earth-sensing satellites enhance the understanding
between space actors around the world. This will
of earth science and the evolution of the planet’s
entail active and good-faith coordination among
climate, helping to measure relevant climate change
governments and the commercial operators licenced
indicators. Satellite measurements of air and sea
by them:
surface temperatures and of sea levels, as well as
other space-based observations, reveal important
– Scientific and technical progress is needed to
consequences of a warming planet. While satellites
better characterize the orbital debris and enhance
provide vital data, gaps remain in full understanding,
means to avoid collisions. modelling, mitigation, adaptation and coordination.
Multiple organizations conduct research into relevant
– Improved implementation of existing guidelines is climate change processes, but there is not yet
required, as well as new best practices, technical an organization dedicated to the continual and
Earth-sensing
standards and economic incentives to allow integrated development of this core modelling field –
satellites enhance
clearing debris from old missions. earth systems modelling – and to embedding results
the understanding
in a physical visualization environment that can inform
of earth science – With easy access to capital, new opportunities and help shape decision-making.
and the evolution exist for innovation in technology and techniques
of the planet’s to improve the space environment. But there is Beyond environment monitoring, space infrastructure
climate, helping to also the risk that unsustainable business plans plays a key role in supporting other ESG metrics.
measure relevant will be funded and that potential bankruptcies Data from space can help companies increase the
climate change could create new challenges of managing and efficiency of their operations and survey their overall
indicators. disposing of space assets. supply chains.
Broadening Over 4 billion years, biology has evolved countless – Emerging biostrategies. Countries, companies
biological data sustainable solutions, resulting in millions of and other organizations around the world are
sets and powerful species existing in ecosystems in harmony with focusing on advances in synthetic biology to
biological planetary resources. People have learned new help them recover from COVID-19 and to serve
engineering tools ways to interact with biology such that this inherent as an engine for new sustainable industries.
sustainability can be harnessed to develop new
are accelerating the
technologies that can benefit people and the – Platform-driven biosciences. Broadening
scope and scale of planet. If employed thoughtfully and responsibly, biological data sets and powerful biological
what is possible in synthetic biology applications can respond to engineering tools are accelerating the scope
the biosciences. the world’s social, environmental and economic and scale of what is possible in the biosciences.
needs, and help solve global challenges, including Those who steward data and technology
transitioning to a more sustainable future. platforms in bioscience have significant power in
this revolution.
Three key trends identified by the Global Future
Council on Synthetic Biology are: The last two decades of synthetic biology have
delivered new tools, approaches and communities.
– Growing bioeconomies. Advances in synthetic The challenge now is to develop the visions,
biology are enabling many valuable applications. pathways and partnerships that can realize the
Investment in bio-based technologies, industries vast promise of benefits in the decades to come.
and economies is growing rapidly, though
activity remains concentrated in a few regions.
The genetic code is a foundational toolset enabling – Develop a network of regional DSI producing
synthetic biology to solve global challenges. These centres. Part of the fund can establish a
resources, however, are not effectively connected centre devoted to sequencing local biodiversity
or accessible. Building a shared, global commons and curating knowledge critical to its use.
of digital sequence information (DSI)215 and other The investment can extend to establishment
resources will improve access and accelerate of biofoundries for innovation.
innovation. Making the knowledge, tools and
technologies to leverage DSI available through – Enhance biodiversity conservation and
Building a partnerships, databases and repositories will be build local communities. Long-term
shared, global critical. Establishing solutions that adhere to FAIR benefits of investment require supporting
data principles (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, communities and environments. Focusing
commons of
Reproducible) can enhance equity and the regional centres on community development
digital sequence positive impact of DSI, tools and technologies. and conservation will enable them to
information and become nucleate points for activities.
other resources will Strategies for operationalizing this pathway include:
improve access These shared commons provide a framework for
and accelerate – Establish a global commons fund. A global delivering the values that should be embedded
innovation. fund devoted to the production and sharing in synthetic biology’s development.
Jaci Eisenberg
Head, Knowledge Communities, Global
Programming
Jeremy Packham
Specialist, Knowledge Communities, Global
Programming
Saadia Zahidi
Managing Director
The World Economic Forum would like to Fiscal and Monetary Policy
acknowledge the valuable contributions of Guillaume Hingel
the following people in the development
of this document: Human Rights
Ty Greene and Louise Thompson
Sustainable Tourism
Lauren Uppink and Rosaline Mouget