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Solved Example For Population (Project)
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Solved Example For Population (Project)
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WATE Dewand NOTES 6 NiGes TAModule-4 Raw Water Source The various sources of water can be classified into two categories: 1. Surface sources, such as a. Ponds and lakes; b. Streams and rivers; c. Storage reservoirs; and 4. Oceans, generally not used for water supplies, at present. 2. Sub-surface sources or underground sources, such as a. Springs; b. Infiltration wells ; and c. Wells and Tube-wells. Water Quantity Estimation The quantity of water required for municipal uses for which the water supply scheme has to be designed requires following data: 1. Water consumption rate (Per Capita Demand in litres per day per head) 2. Population to be served Quantity= Per capita demand x Population Water Consumption Rate itis very difficult to precisely assess the quantity of water demanded by the public, since there are many variable factors affecting water consumption. The various types of water demands, which a city may have, may be broken into following classes: Water Consumption for Various Purposes: ‘Types of Consumption Normal Range Average % (livicapita/day) 1 Domestic Consumption 65-300 160 35 2 Industrial and = Commercial Demand 45-450 135 30 3 Public Uses including Fire Dernand 20-90 45 10 4 Losses and Waste 45-150 62 25 Fire Fighting Demand: The per capita fire demand is very less on an average basis but the rate at which the water is required is very large. The rate of fire demand is sometimes traeted as a function of population and is worked out from following empirical formulae: Authority Formulae (P in thousand) Q for 1 lakh Population) 4 American Insurance Q (L/min)=4637 ¥P (1-0.01VP) 41760 ‘Association 2 Kuchling's Formula Q (Limin)=3182 VP 31800 4 UNDER REVISION3. Freeman's Formula Q (Limin)= 1136.5(P/5+10) 35050 Ministry of Urban Q (kilo liters/d)=100 VP for P>50000 31623 4 Development Manual Formula Factors affecting per capita demand: a. Size of the city: Per capita demand for big cities is generally large as compared to that for smaller towns as big cities have sewered houses. b. Presence of industries. ©. Climatic conditions. 4d. Habits of people and their economic status. ©. Quality of water: If water is aesthetically & medically safe, the consumption will increase as people will not resort to private wells, etc. f. Pressure in the distribution system. 9. Efficiency of water works administration: Leaks in water mains and services; and unauthorised use of water can be kept to a minimum by surveys. fh. Cost of water. i Policy of metering and charging method: Water tax is charged in two different ways: on the basis of meter reading and on the basis of certain fixed monthly rate, Fluctuations in Rate of Demand Average Daily Per Capita Demand = Quantity Required in 12 Months/ (365 x Population) If this average demand is supplied at all the times, it will not be sufficient to meet the fluctuations. + Seasonal variation: The demand peaks during summer. Firebreak outs are generally more in summer, increasing demand. So, there is seasonal variation . + Daily variation depends on the activity. People draw out more water on Sundays and Festival days, thus increasing demand on these days. + Hourly variations are very important as they have a wide range. During active household working hours i.e. from six to ten in the morning and four to eight in the evening, the bulk of the daily requirement is taken. During other hours the requirement is negligible. Moreover, if @ fire breaks out, a huge quantity of water is required to be supplied during short duration, necessitating the need for a maximum rate of hourly supply. So, an adequate quantity of water must be available to meet the peak demand. To meet all the fluctuations, the supply pipes, service reservoirs and distribution pipes must be properly proportioned. The water is supplied by pumping directly and the pumps and distribution system must be designed to meet the peak demand. The effect of monthly variation influences the design of storage reservoirs and the hourly variations influences the design of pumps and service reservoirs. As the population decreases, the fluctuation rate increases. Maximum daily demand = 1.8 x average daily demand 5 UNDER REVISIONMaximum hourly demand of maximum day i.e. Peak demand 5x average hourly demand 15 x Maximum daily demand/24 15 x (1.8 x average daily demand) /24 2.7 x average daily demand/24 2.7.x annual average hourly demand Design Periods & Population Forecast This quantity should be worked out with due provision for the estimated requirements of the future . The future period for which a provision is made in the water supply scheme is known as the design period. Design period is estimated based on the following: Useful life of the component, considering obsolescence, wear, tear, etc. Expandabilty aspect. Anticipated rate of growth of population, including industrial, commercial developments & migration-immigration Available resources. Performance of the system during intial period. Population Forecasting Methods The various methods adopted for estimating future populations are given below. The particular method to be adopted for a particular case or for a particular city depends largely on the factors discussed in the methods, and the selection is left to the discrection and intelligence of the designer. Arithmetic Inerease Method Geometric Increase Method Incremental Increase Method ‘ Decreasing Rate of Growth Method Simple Graphical Method Comparative Graphical Method Ratio Method Logistic Curve Method PNOMSENS LECTURI Population Forecast by Different Methods Problem: Predict the population for the years 1981, 1991, 1994, and 2001 from the following census figures of a town by different methods, Year 19011911 1921 19311941 195119641971 6 UNDER REVISIONPopulation: 60 65 63 72 79 89 97 120 (thousands) * ~~ Solution Year Population: Nene Perlncremental Percentage Increment per (thousands) Decade Increase Decade 1901 60 - - - . 1911 65, +5 = 5+60) x100=+8.33 Shi 1921 93 x2 “3 (2#85) x100=-3.07/2- og 1931 72 +9 +7, (9463) x100=+14,28 1941 79, e, 2 (7+#72) x100=+9.72 1951 89 +10 +3’ (10+79) x100=+12.66 1961 +8 2 (8+89) x100=8.98 1971 120 +23 > 415 (23+97) x100=423.71 Net values +60 418 474.61 Averages - 857 30 10.66 se ‘+=increase; - = decrease Arithmetical Progression Method: Py=P + ni ‘Average increases per decade Population for the years, 1981= population 1971 + ni, here n=1 decade 20 + 8.57 = 128.57 1991= population 1971 + ni, here n=2 decade 20 + 2x 8.57 = 137.14 2001= population 1971 + ni, here n=3 decade 20 + 3 x 8.57 = 145.71 1994= population 1991 + (population 2001 - 1991) x 3/10 1 137.14 + (8.57) x 3/1 Incremental increase Method: Population for the years, 1981 population 1971 + average increase per decade + average incremental increase 20 + 8.57 + 3.0 = 131.57 }opulation 1981 + 11.57 31,57 + 11.57 = 143.14 2001= population 1991 + 11.57 43.14 + 11.57 = 154.71 57 Geometric Progression Method: Average percentage increase per decade = 10.66 P,=P(14i/100)" Population for 1981 = Population 1971 x (1+i/100)" = 120 x (1+10.66/100), = 10.66, n = 7 = 120 x 1486-66710 = 132.8 bree 7 UNDER REVISIONPopulation for 1991 = Population 1971 x (1+i/100) ° 20 x (1410.66/100)?, i= 10.66, n=2 = 120 x 1.2245 = 146.95 Population for 2001 = Population 1971 x (1+i/100)” 20 x (1410.66/100) §, i= 10.66, n= 3 120 x 1.355 = 162.60 Population for 1994 = 146.95 + (15.84 x 3/10) = 151.70 LECTURE-3 ic function of the intake structure is to help in safely withdrawing water from the source over Bigdetermined pool levels and then to discharge this water into the withdrawal conduit {normal called intake conduit), through which it flows up to water treatment plant, Location of Intake 4, As far Possible, the site should be near the treatment plant so that the cost of iM water to the city is less, ust be located in the purer zone of the source to draw best quality water thereby reducing load on the treatment plant. st never be located at the downstream or in the vicinity of the point of ewater. 4. The site should'¥e such as to permit greater withdrawal of water, if required at a future date. 5. The intake must 5 driest period of the 6. The intake site sholy remain easily accessible during floods and should noy get flooded. Moreover, thélood waters should not be concentrated in the vicinity of the intake. * Design Considerations 1. sufficient factor of safety aginst external forces such as heavy currents, floating I Intake Depending on the source of water, the intake wks are classified as follows: Pumping ‘A pump is a device, which converts mechanical energy lower to a higher level and delivers it at high pressur projects at various stages for following purposes: UNDER REVISION
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