Udbhav - Harsha GSM INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

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ASSIGNMENT OF GLOBAL STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT

ON
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
OF
OIL & GAS INDUSTRY

FOR THE BATCH OF 2022-2024


UNDER
HONORS SCHOOL SYSTEM
AT
UNIVERSITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
PANJAB UNIVERSITY
CHANDIGARH

SUBMITTED TO SUBMITTED BY
PROF. Purva Kansal Udbhav Shrivastav (26)
Harsha Aggarwal (13)
MBA (IB)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Overview of the Oil and Gas Industry in India……………………………………..………03
Why we Chose the Oil and Gas Industry for Analysis…………………………...…………04
Major Players in the Oil and Gas Industry in India…………………………………………05
Rising Demand in the Oil and Gas Sector…………………………………………………..06
Porter's Five Forces Analysis for the Oil and Gas Industry in India……………………..….09
BCG Matrix of Oil and Gas Industry………………………………………………………..12
Drivers of industry changes as defined by porter……………………………………………13

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Overview of the Oil and Gas Industry in India

India's Oil and Gas industry is a cornerstone of the nation's economy, playing a pivotal role in driving
growth, ensuring energy security, and meeting the rising energy demands of its vast population. As
the third-largest energy consumer in the world, India's reliance on this sector is profound, and its
strategic importance cannot be overstated.

Segmentation of the Industry: The industry is broadly segmented into three main categories:

1. Upstream Segment: This is the exploration and production (E&P) segment. India has a rich
basin of oil and gas reserves, both offshore and onshore. The upstream activities primarily
focus on exploration, drilling, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas. Major players in
this segment include ONGC (Oil and Natural Gas Corporation) and Reliance Industries.

2. Midstream Segment: This involves transporting, storing, and wholesaling crude or refined
petroleum products. Pipelines, railcars, tankers, and trucks transport oil and gas from the
production sites to refineries and then to distribution points. India has a vast network of
pipelines crisscrossing the country, ensuring timely delivery and storage of resources.

3. Downstream Segment: This encompasses refining crude oil, processing and purifying raw
natural gas, and marketing and distributing products derived from crude oil and natural gas.
The downstream segment ensures that the end consumer gets products like petrol, diesel,
kerosene, and LPG. Major refineries like Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Bharat Petroleum
(BPCL), and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL) dominate this segment.

Challenges and Opportunities: While the industry has seen significant growth, it also faces
challenges. India imports a substantial portion of its crude oil, making it vulnerable to global price
fluctuations. Environmental concerns and the global shift towards renewable energy sources also
pose challenges.

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However, the industry is ripe with opportunities. The government's push for cleaner energy has led
to a focus on natural gas as a cleaner alternative to coal for power generation. The 'City Gas
Distribution' initiative aims to provide piped natural gas to urban areas, reducing the reliance on
traditional fuels.

Investments and Future Outlook: The Indian government has been proactive in attracting foreign
investments into the sector. Policies like the 'Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy (HELP)'
and 'Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP)' have been introduced to boost exploration activities and
reduce import dependency.

Furthermore, with advancements in technology, unconventional sources like shale gas and gas
hydrates are being explored, which could significantly augment India's reserves.

The Oil and Gas industry in India is at a crucial juncture. While it grapples with global challenges, the
inherent opportunities, backed by supportive government policies, make it a sector with immense
potential. As India continues its journey towards becoming a $5 trillion economy, the Oil and Gas
industry will undoubtedly play a central role in this endeavour.

Why we Chose the Oil and Gas Industry for Analysis

The decision to analyze the Oil and Gas industry was driven by a combination of its global
significance, the intricate challenges it faces, and the transformative role it plays in shaping
economies, especially in a rapidly developing nation like India.

1. Global Significance: The Oil and Gas industry is undeniably one of the most influential
sectors worldwide. It not only fuels our vehicles and heats our homes but also drives the
global economy. Understanding this industry offers insights into geopolitical dynamics,
international trade, and global economic trends.

2. Complex Challenges: The industry is at the crossroads of numerous challenges, from


geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains to environmental concerns driving the need for
cleaner energy sources. Analyzing this industry provides a deep understanding of how
businesses navigate complex macroeconomic and geopolitical landscapes.

3. Economic Impact on India: As one of the world's largest energy consumers, India's growth
story is intrinsically linked to the Oil and Gas sector. The industry plays a pivotal role in India's
energy security, economic development, and employment generation. A deep dive into this
sector offers a microcosm of India's broader economic and developmental challenges and
opportunities.

4. Transition to Sustainable Energy: With the global shift towards sustainable energy, the Oil
and Gas industry is at the forefront of innovation and transformation. Analyzing this industry
offers a unique perspective on how traditional energy sectors are adapting to the demands
of a more sustainable future.

5. Personal Curiosity: On a personal level, the intricate interplay of technology, geopolitics,


economics, and environmental science within this industry piqued my curiosity. The sector
offers a rich tapestry of topics and challenges that are both intellectually stimulating and
relevant to our contemporary world.

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Major Players in the Oil and Gas Industry in India

1. Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL):

• Ownership: 51.50% state-owned

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 113.7 billion

• Significance: IOCL operates a vast network of crude, gas, and product pipelines,
spanning 14,701 km. It has a capacity of 94.6 MMTPA of oil and 20.0 MMSCMD of
gas. As the largest company in the sector, IOCL controls 11 out of 22 Indian refineries
with a combined capacity of 80.7 MTPA.

2. Reliance Industries:

• Ownership: Public Listed

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 108.6 billion

• Significance: Reliance launched India's first privately owned refinery in 1999 and has
since captured a significant market share, accounting for 30% of the industry. As of
January 2021, the company operated its plant at 96.1% capacity.

3. Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL):

• Ownership: 52.98% state-owned

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 64.87 billion

4. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL):

• Ownership: 54.9% state-owned (through ONGC)

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 56.51 billion

5. Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC):

• Ownership: 58.89% state-owned

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 14.49 billion (Q3)

• Significance: ONGC is the dominant player in the upstream segment, focusing on


exploration and production. It accounts for approximately 70% of the country's total
oil and gas output.

6. GAIL India Limited:

• Ownership: 51.45% state-owned

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 3.99 billion (Q3)

7. Oil India Limited:

• Ownership: 56.66% state-owned

• Total Income from Operations in FY23: US$ 1.42 billion (Q2)

Page | 5
Additional Insights:

• State-owned companies have a significant presence in the Oil and Gas sector in India, with
entities like ONGC playing a dominant role in exploration and production.

• Assam, Gujarat, and Rajasthan account for over 96% of oil production in India.

• Reliance Industries, a private sector entity, has made considerable strides in the industry,
especially with the launch of its privately-owned refinery in 1999.

• Nayara Energy Limited's Vadinar refinery boasts a capacity of 20 MMTPA, contributing to


almost 10% of India's total refining capacity.

Total Income from Operations in FY23 (US$


billion)

16%
Hindustan PetroleumReliance Industries
Corporation Limited 33%
(HPCL)
19%
Bharat Petroleum
Corporation Limited
(BPCL)
32%

Reliance Industries Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL)


Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL)

Rising Demand in the Oil and Gas Sector

India, with its burgeoning economy and rapidly urbanizing population, stands at the cusp of a
significant energy transition. The nation's energy consumption patterns are evolving, reflecting its
socio-economic advancements and infrastructural developments.

1. Energy Demand Growth:

• India's energy consumption trajectory is a testament to its economic vitality. As the


nation continues to industrialize and urbanize, its energy demands are anticipated to
grow at an unprecedented rate, outpacing all major global economies. By 2040, India
is projected to account for a staggering 11% of global energy demand, a substantial
increase from the 6% share it held in 2017.

2. Crude Oil Consumption:

Page | 6
• In FY22, India consumed a robust 202.7 million tonnes of crude oil. With the nation's
industries expanding and transportation needs increasing, this figure is set to soar.
Forecasts suggest a CAGR growth of 5.14%, with consumption reaching an
impressive 500 million tonnes by FY40.

3. Natural Gas Consumption:

• 2021 witnessed India consuming 174 Million Cubic Metres Per Day (MCMPD) of
natural gas. As industries pivot towards cleaner energy sources and households
increasingly adopt natural gas for cooking and heating, this number is set to rise.
Projections indicate a CAGR of 12.2%, with consumption touching 550 MCMPD by
2030.

4. Diesel Demand:

• Diesel, a primary fuel for transportation and many industries, is seeing its demand
surge in India. By 2029-30, the nation's diesel consumption is expected to double,
reaching a whopping 163 million tonnes.

5. Oil Consumption:

• In FY22, India's thirst for oil translated to a consumption rate of 4.05 Million Barrels
Per Day (MBPD). As the country's industries expand and its middle class grows, this
demand is set to rise, with forecasts suggesting figures of 7.2 MBPD by 2030 and an
astounding 9.2 MBPD by 2050.

Growth Drivers:

India's Oil and Gas sector is on an upward trajectory, fueled by a combination of internal and external
growth drivers:

Growing Domestic Market: India's domestic market, with its vast population and increasing
purchasing power, is a significant driver for the growth of oil and gas products. Economic growth,
coupled with urbanization, is leading to a surge in energy consumption across households and
industries.

Increasing Demand for Natural Gas: As environmental concerns take centre stage, natural gas, with
its cleaner combustion properties, is emerging as a preferred energy source. Its demand is witnessing
a steady rise, reflecting a shift towards more sustainable energy choices.

Favourable Business Conditions: India's abundant reserves of raw materials, combined with its
skilled labour force, create an environment conducive to the growth of the Oil and Gas sector. These
intrinsic strengths position India as a key player in the global energy market.

Government Support: Recognizing the strategic importance of the Oil and Gas sector, the Indian
government has rolled out a series of initiatives. By allowing 100% Foreign Direct Investment, the
government is inviting global players to invest and collaborate. Additionally, a slew of favourable
policies has been implemented to boost exploration, production, and distribution activities, further
bolstering the sector's growth prospects.

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Indicator Description Data (FY22) Projected Data
Energy Demand Percentage of global 6% 11% by 2040
Growth energy demand
Crude Oil Amount of crude oil 202.7 million tonnes 500 million tonnes by
Consumption consumed FY40
Natural Gas Amount of natural gas 174 MCMPD 550 MCMPD by 2030
Consumption consumed
Diesel Demand Amount of diesel - Double to 163 million
consumed tonnes by 2029-30
Oil Consumption Amount of oil 4.05 MBPD 7.2 MBPD by 2030 and
consumed 9.2 MBPD by 2050

Page | 8
Porter's Five Forces Analysis for the Oil and Gas Industry in India:

1. Threat of New Entrants:

• Barrier to Entry: The Oil and Gas sector is capital-intensive, requiring significant
investments in infrastructure, exploration, and technology. Additionally, specialized
knowledge and adherence to stringent regulatory norms further elevate the barrier
to entry.

• Government Support: The Indian government has been proactive in fostering


growth in this sector. They have permitted 100% FDI investment, potentially
attracting foreign players and intensifying competition. However, the sheer scale of
operations of existing major players can deter new entrants.

2. Bargaining Power of Suppliers:

• Diverse Suppliers: The sector is dependent on a range of suppliers, from equipment


manufacturers to drilling services. Given the critical nature of operations, specialized
suppliers can wield significant bargaining power.

• Raw Material Abundance: India's reserves include both onshore and offshore
sources. For instance, in FY22, India consumed 202.7 million tonnes of crude oil,
indicating substantial domestic production and reduced dependency on foreign
suppliers.

3. Bargaining Power of Buyers:

• Growing Demand: India's energy demand is on a steep incline. By 2040, India is


projected to account for 11% of global energy demand, up from 6% in 2017. This
rising demand can give buyers, especially large-scale industrial consumers, some
bargaining power.

• Consumption Patterns: In 2021, natural gas consumption was 174 MCMPD, with
projections reaching 550 MCMPD by 2030. Such numbers indicate the essential

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nature of oil and gas products, which can limit the extent to which buyers can
negotiate.

4. Threat of Substitute Products:

• Alternative Energy Sources: The global trend is shifting towards renewable energy
sources. However, the sheer volume of oil consumption, standing at 4.05 MBPD in
FY22 and projected to reach 9.2 MBPD by 2050, suggests that while substitutes are
emerging, the complete replacement of oil and gas is still distant.

• Natural Gas as a Cleaner Alternative: With environmental concerns gaining


prominence, natural gas, consumed at 174 MCMPD in 2021 and projected to rise to
550 MCMPD by 2030, is emerging as a preferred substitute for more polluting
energy sources.

5. Competitive Rivalry within the Industry:

• Major Players: The sector is dominated by giants like IOCL, Reliance Industries, BPCL,
and ONGC. Their significant market shares and established infrastructure can lead to
intense competition, especially in the downstream segment.

• Segmentation Dynamics: The Oil and Gas sector in India is segmented into upstream
(exploration and production), midstream (storage and transportation), and
downstream (refining, processing, and marketing). The competitive dynamics can
vary across these segments, with some having more intense rivalry than others.

Porter's Diamond Model Analysis for the Oil and Gas Industry:

1. Factor Conditions:

• Natural Resources: India has significant reserves of oil and gas, both onshore and
offshore. For instance, in FY22, India consumed 202.7 million tonnes of crude oil,
indicating substantial domestic production.

• Skilled Labor: The country boasts a vast pool of skilled labour, trained in various
aspects of the oil and gas industry, which is essential for exploration, production, and
distribution activities.

• Infrastructure: As of March 2022, the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board
(PNGRB) authorized a 34,135-km natural gas pipeline network to develop a national
gas grid, enhancing the distribution capabilities.

2. Demand Conditions:

• Domestic Demand: India's energy demand is expected to grow rapidly. By 2040,


India is projected to account for 11% of global energy demand, up from 6% in 2017.

• Natural Gas Consumption: In 2021, natural gas consumption was 174 MCMPD, with
projections reaching 550 MCMPD by 2030, reflecting the shift towards cleaner
energy sources.

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3. Related and Supporting Industries:

• Equipment Manufacturers: The sector relies on various suppliers, from equipment


manufacturers to drilling services, ensuring the smooth operation of exploration,
production, and distribution activities.

• LNG Production: LNG imports have increased significantly, providing an opportunity


to boost production capacity and support the rising demand for cleaner energy
sources.

4. Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry:

• Major Players: The sector is dominated by giants like IOCL, Reliance Industries, BPCL,
and ONGC. Their significant market shares and established infrastructure can lead to
intense competition, especially in the downstream segment.

• Government Policies: The Indian government has allowed 100% FDI investment in
the sector and has implemented favorable policies to boost exploration, production,
and distribution activities, shaping the strategic decisions of firms in the industry.

5. Government Role:

• FDI Policies: The Indian government has permitted 100% FDI investment in the
sector, potentially attracting foreign players and investments.

• Infrastructure Development: The government, through the PNGRB, has authorized


the development of a national gas grid to boost the availability of natural gas in
India.

6. Chance:

• Global Shift to Cleaner Energy: With the global trend shifting towards renewable
energy sources, there's an opportunity for the Oil and Gas sector in India to pivot
and capitalize on the increasing demand for cleaner alternatives like natural gas.

Component Description Data/Details


Factor Conditions Natural Resources India consumed 202.7 million tonnes of crude oil in
FY22.
Skilled Labor Vast pool trained in the oil and gas industry.
Infrastructure 34,135-km natural gas pipeline network authorized
by PNGRB as of March 2022.
Demand Conditions Domestic Demand 11% of global energy demand is projected for India
by 2040.
Natural Gas 174 MCMPD in 2021, projected to reach 550
Consumption MCMPD by 2030.
Related & Supporting Equipment Suppliers range from equipment manufacturers to
Industries Manufacturers drilling services.
LNG Production Significant increase in LNG imports, indicating rising
production capacity.
Firm Strategy, Structure, Major Players Dominance of IOCL, Reliance Industries, BPCL, and
& Rivalry ONGC.

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Government Policies 100% FDI allowed; favourable policies for
exploration, production, and distribution.
Government Role FDI Policies 100% FDI investment permitted in the sector.
Infrastructure Development of a national gas grid to boost natural
Development gas availability.
Chance Global Shift to Cleaner Opportunity to capitalize on increasing demand for
Energy cleaner energy sources.

BCG Matrix of Oil and Gas Industry

1. Stars:

• Natural Gas: With the increasing demand for cleaner energy sources, natural gas
consumption in India was 174 MCMPD in 2021 and is projected to reach 550
MCMPD by 2030. This indicates a high growth rate and a significant market share in
the energy sector.

2. Cash Cows:

• Crude Oil: India consumed 202.7 million tonnes of crude oil in FY22, indicating a
substantial domestic production and market share. However, with global shifts
towards renewable energy, the growth rate might be slower compared to natural
gas.

3. Question Marks:

• Underground Coal Gasification (UCG): UCG is a technology that harnesses energy


from deep unmineable coal seams economically and in an eco-friendly manner.
While it has potential, its current market share in India's energy mix is not as
significant as crude oil or natural gas.

• Gas Hydrates: The Government initiated the National Gas Hydrate Programme
(NGHP) to map gas hydrates as an alternate source of energy. The growth potential is
high, but the current market share is low.

4. Dogs:

• Bio-fuels: While bio-fuels like bio-ethanol and bio-diesel are alternate sources of
energy from domestic renewable resources, their growth rate and market share in
India's energy mix are relatively low compared to other sources.

Page | 12
Let's discuss the drivers of industry changes as defined by porter:
Process Innovation in the Oil and Gas Sector in India:

1. Exploration:

• Unexplored Sedimentary Area: About 78% of India's sedimentary area remains


unexplored. This vast unexplored area presents a significant opportunity for
innovative exploration techniques.

• Seismic Surveys: Advanced seismic surveys using 3D and 4D technologies have been
adopted to improve the accuracy of exploration activities.

2. Natural Gas:

• Consumption Growth: Natural gas consumption in India was 174 MCMPD in 2021,
projected to reach 550 MCMPD by 2030. This rapid growth necessitates innovative
processes in extraction, storage, and distribution.

• LNG Terminals: As of 2022, India had several operational LNG terminals with a
combined capacity of over 50 MTPA, and more terminals are under construction or
planned.

3. Unconventional Resources:

• Coal Bed Methane (CBM): India has significant CBM reserves, especially in states like
Jharkhand, West Bengal, and Odisha. The production of CBM in India has been
growing steadily, with innovative techniques being employed for extraction.

4. Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR):

• Techniques: EOR techniques, including water flooding, gas injection, and thermal
recovery, are being adopted in mature fields to enhance production. These
techniques can increase the recovery rate by up to 20-40%.

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5. Digitalization:

• Digital Oilfields: Many oil and gas companies in India are transitioning to digital
oilfields, integrating IoT, AI, and data analytics to optimize operations, reduce costs,
and enhance safety.

• Remote Monitoring: Advanced sensors and real-time monitoring systems are being
used to track equipment health, predict failures, and reduce downtime.

6. Infrastructure:

• Pipeline Network: The PNGRB authorized a 34,135-km natural gas pipeline network
as of March 2022. This extensive network is crucial for the efficient transportation
and distribution of natural gas across the country.

• Refineries: India has a refining capacity of over 250 MMTPA as of 2022, with plans to
increase it further by 2025. Modern refineries in India are adopting innovative
processes to improve efficiency and yield.

7. Environmental Considerations:

• Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): With growing environmental concerns, CCS
technologies are being explored to reduce CO2 emissions from oil and gas
operations.

• Transition to Biofuels: The government has been promoting the use of biofuels, like
ethanol-blended petrol, to reduce the carbon footprint.

Diffusion of proprietary knowledge:


Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are indeed significant indicators of the diffusion of
proprietary knowledge in the oil and gas industry. They often lead to the transfer of
technology, expertise, and best practices between companies, fostering innovation and
growth in the sector.

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1. Technological Collaboration:

• Many oil and gas companies enter into technological collaborations or joint ventures
with other firms, research institutions, or service companies. These collaborations
often involve the sharing or transfer of proprietary knowledge to develop new
technologies, improve exploration and production techniques, or address specific
challenges.

2. Licensing and Patenting:

• Companies often patent their innovative technologies or processes to protect their


intellectual property rights. Once patented, these technologies can be licensed to
other firms, allowing for controlled diffusion of proprietary knowledge. Licensing can
provide additional revenue streams and expand the reach of the technology.

3. Training and Workforce Mobility:

• The movement of skilled professionals between companies can lead to the


unintentional diffusion of proprietary knowledge. As employees switch jobs, they
carry with them the expertise and knowledge they've acquired, which can benefit
their new employers.

4. Industry Conferences and Publications:

• Industry conferences, seminars, and publications serve as platforms for professionals


to share insights, research findings, and best practices. While companies might not
disclose their most guarded secrets, they often share generalized knowledge or
techniques that can benefit the broader industry.

5. Regulatory and Standardization Bodies:

• Regulatory bodies and industry associations sometimes mandate certain standards


or best practices. In such cases, companies might need to share their proprietary
knowledge to set industry-wide standards, especially if their technology becomes a
benchmark.

M&A Activities in the Indian Oil and Gas Sector:

Date Acquirer Name Target Name Value of


Deal (US$
million)

Jun Reliance New Energy Shapoorji Pallonji Group's 525.5


2022 Ltd (RNEL) Sterling & Wilson
Renewable Energy Ltd
(SWREL)

Jun Adani Ports and SEZ Ocean Sparkle Limited 201


2022 Limited (OSL)

Page | 15
Mar Oil India Ltd. (54.16%), Bharat Petroleum 1,361
2021 Engineers India (4.4%) Corporation (Numaligarh
and Government of Refinery 61.5% stake)
Assam (3.2%)

Jan Total Adani Green Energy (20% 2,500


2021 minority stake)

Dec Bharat Petroleum Bharat Oman Refineries Not


2020 Corporation (BORL) (36.62% stake) disclosed

Mar Brookfield East West Pipeline (EWPL) 1,800


2019 (Previously known as
Reliance Gas
Transportation
Infrastructure)

Apr Indian Oil Corporation Shell Exploration & 329


2018 Ltd (IOCL) Production, Oman

Feb ONGC HPCL (51.11% stake) 57,020.39


2018

Feb ONGC Videsh Abu Dhabi National Oil Co 600


2018 (10% stake in offshore
oilfield)

Aug Rosneft Essar Oil (49% stake) 1,290


2017

Dec Oil and Natural Gas Gujarat State Petroleum 1,200


2016 Corp's Co's

Dec ONGC Videsh Ltd. Vankor oil field 1,260


2015 (OVL)

Jan Bharat Forge Mecanique Generale 12.82


2015 Langroise

Page | 16
From the chart, we can observe the distribution and magnitude of M&A activities. The deal
between ONGC and HPCL in February 2018 stands out as the largest in terms of value.

1. Total Value of All Deals: Approximately US$ 68,099.71 million

2. Average Value of Deals: Approximately US$ 5,674.98 million

3. Largest Deal: US$ 57,020.39 million (ONGC's acquisition of a 51.11% stake in HPCL in
February 2018)

4. Smallest Deal: US$ 12.82 million (Bharat Forge's acquisition of Mecanique Generale
Langroise in January 2015)

expansion and Contraction in Scale in the Oil and Gas Sector:

1. Upstream Segment (Exploration and Production):

• A significant portion, about 78% of India's sedimentary area, remains unexplored,


suggesting vast potential for expansion in exploration activities. The upstream
segment is inherently capital-intensive and is highly sensitive to global oil prices.
When oil prices are high, there's an incentive for increased exploration activities.
Conversely, during periods of low prices, investments in exploration might see a
decline, leading to contraction.

2. Midstream Segment (Storage and Transportation):

• The development of a national gas grid has been a priority, with the Petroleum and
Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB) authorizing a 34,135-km natural gas pipeline
network as of March 2022. This significant infrastructure development indicates an
expansion in the transmission network. The growth of the midstream segment is also
driven by the need to connect new production areas with refineries and markets.
However, challenges such as geopolitical issues or regulatory hurdles can sometimes
lead to contraction or delays in pipeline projects.

Page | 17
3. Downstream Segment (Refining, Processing, and Marketing):

• The downstream segment's growth is often influenced by the domestic demand for
refined products. An increasing demand can lead to expansion, with investments in
refining capacities and marketing networks. On the other hand, factors like global
oversupply or reduced refining margins can result in a contraction, potentially
leading to the shutdown of refineries or reduced output.

4. Growth Drivers:

• The Oil and Gas sector in India is buoyed by several growth drivers, including a
robust domestic market, increasing demand for natural gas, and abundant raw
materials. The presence of skilled labour, coupled with government support and
favourable policies, further propels expansion. However, external challenges such as
global economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, or stringent environmental
regulations can act as deterrents, leading to contraction or a slowdown in growth.

Government Policy Changes in the Oil and Gas Sector:

1. Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP):

• The OALP allows explorers to study available data and bid for blocks of their choice.
This policy was initiated to increase foreign participation by global E&P companies
like Shell, BP, ConocoPhillips, and others.

• In 2022, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas launched the ninth bid round
under the OALP, offering investors around 223,031.4 square kilometers.

2. Coal Bed Methane (CBM):

• The CBM policy was designed to be liberal and investor-friendly. The first commercial
production of CBM began in July 2007 at about 72,000 cubic meters per day.

• By July 2022, the production stood at 58.78 MMSCM.

3. Oil & Gas Pricing:

• In May 2023, Jio-bp, the retail fuel joint venture of Reliance and bp, announced that
they would sell diesel mixed with detergents and dispersants at Rs. 1 cheaper per
liter than gasoil sold by state-run companies like IOCL, BPCL, and HPCL.

• The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meets a significant


portion of India's crude oil, LPG, and LNG needs.

• In November 2021, India decided to release 5 million barrels of crude oil from its
strategic petroleum reserves to help bring down global crude oil prices. This amount
is roughly equivalent to a day’s consumption in the country.

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These policy changes and initiatives reflect the government's proactive approach to shaping
the Oil and Gas sector's trajectory, ensuring energy security, and promoting sustainable and
efficient energy practices.

1. Automotive Industry:

• The push towards electric vehicles (EVs) has led to a decline in the demand for
gasoline and diesel. This shift is driven by environmental concerns, government
incentives for EVs, and advancements in battery technology.

• The rise of EVs also impacts the downstream segment of the oil and gas industry, as
refiners and fuel retailers need to adapt to changing consumer preferences.

2. Renewable Energy:

• The global emphasis on reducing carbon emissions has led to significant growth in
the renewable energy sector, including solar, wind, and hydroelectric power.

• As renewable energy sources become more prevalent, there's a potential decline in


the demand for traditional fossil fuels, leading to structural changes in the energy
market dynamics.

3. Petrochemicals and Plastics:

• The petrochemical industry, which relies on oil and gas as raw materials, is
undergoing changes due to environmental concerns. There's a push towards
developing bio-based alternatives to traditional petrochemical products.

• The global movement against single-use plastics and the promotion of circular
economies are leading to innovations in sustainable packaging and materials.

4. Transportation and Infrastructure:

• The expansion of natural gas pipelines, as indicated in the PDF, impacts the
infrastructure industry. There's a need for advanced materials, construction
techniques, and safety measures.

• The growth of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) as a transportation fuel, especially for
heavy-duty vehicles and ships, is leading to changes in the design and infrastructure
of refueling stations.

5. Technology and Digitalization:

• The oil and gas industry's push towards digital transformation impacts the tech
sector. There's a growing demand for IoT devices, data analytics solutions, and AI-
driven technologies to optimize operations.

• This digital shift also leads to collaborations between tech companies and traditional
oil and gas firms.

Page | 19
India Oil and Gas Market: Hypothetical HHI and Market Share Analysis

The India Oil and Gas market is a dynamic and evolving landscape with a multitude of players
vying for dominance. To understand the nature of competition and concentration within this
market, one can utilize the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), a commonly used measure in
economics.

Given the hypothetical market shares of the major players:

• Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL): 23%

• Punj Lloyd Limited: 16%

• Oil India Limited: 15%

• Oil and Natural Gas Corporation: 15%

• Reliance Industries Limited: 15%

• Other smaller players combined: 16%

The HHI is calculated as:

HHI=∑i=1n(Si)2

HHI=232+162+152+152+152+162

HHI=529+256+225+225+225+256

HHI=1716

With an HHI of 1716, the market is categorized as moderately concentrated. Typically:

• An HHI below 1,500 indicates a competitive marketplace.

• An HHI between 1,500 and 2,500 suggests moderate concentration.

• An HHI above 2,500 indicates high concentration.

Given this moderate concentration, while the market has several players, some entities have
a more pronounced presence than others. Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) emerges as
the market leader with a 23% share, reflecting its significant influence and reach within the
sector.

Following IOCL, other major players like Punj Lloyd Limited, Oil India Limited, Oil and
Natural Gas Corporation, and Reliance Industries Limited also hold substantial market
shares, further emphasizing the competitive yet moderately concentrated nature of the
market.

In conclusion, the India Oil and Gas market, with its diverse set of players and a moderate
level of concentration, presents a unique blend of competition and dominance, making it a
focal point for stakeholders and analysts alike.

Page | 20
The Hambrick and Fredrickson's Diamond Model is a strategic
framework: Indian Oil Corporation limited case study

Arenas:
1. Core Business Operations:

• Refining: IOCL operates numerous refineries across India, making it one of the leading
refiners in the country. These refineries not only cater to domestic demand but also have a
significant export footprint.

• Transportation: With an extensive pipeline network, IOCL ensures efficient transportation of


crude oil and petroleum products across vast distances. This network reduces dependency
on road and rail transport, ensuring timely delivery and reduced costs.

• Marketing: IOCL's vast retail network of petrol and diesel stations makes it one of the most
recognizable brands in India. This network ensures that IOCL products are easily accessible to
consumers across the country.

2. Diversification into Alternative Energy:

• Solar: Recognizing the global shift towards sustainable energy, IOCL has ventured into solar
power. They've initiated various solar power projects, aiming to harness renewable energy
and reduce carbon footprints.

• Wind: IOCL has also invested in wind energy projects, further diversifying its energy portfolio
and ensuring it remains at the forefront of the renewable energy transition.

• Biofuels: With an emphasis on reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy,
IOCL has been researching and developing biofuel projects. This includes initiatives to
produce ethanol and biodiesel, which can be blended with conventional fuels.

3. Research & Development (R&D):

• Innovation: IOCL has a dedicated R&D division that focuses on innovative technologies and
solutions for the oil and gas sector. This includes developing cleaner fuel formulations,
improving refinery processes, and exploring new energy sources.

• Collaborations: IOCL collaborates with academic institutions, research organizations, and


other industry players to drive innovation and technological advancements in the energy
sector.

4. International Ventures:

• Overseas Acquisitions: IOCL has made strategic acquisitions and partnerships in overseas
markets to ensure a steady supply of crude oil and expand its global footprint.

• Exports: Beyond catering to domestic demand, IOCL's refineries produce petroleum products
for export, allowing the company to tap into international markets and diversify its revenue
streams.

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5. Petrochemicals:

• Diversified Portfolio: Beyond fuels, IOCL has a significant presence in the petrochemical
sector, producing a range of products from polymers to specialty chemicals. This
diversification allows IOCL to cater to a broader market and reduce dependency on fuel sales
alone.

Vehicles:
1. Organic Growth:

• Infrastructure Expansion: Over the years, IOCL has invested heavily in expanding its
infrastructure, from refineries to pipelines and retail outlets. This organic growth has allowed
IOCL to increase its production capacity and reach a wider consumer base.

• Retail Network Development: IOCL has consistently expanded its retail network, establishing
more petrol and diesel stations across the country. This organic expansion ensures that IOCL
products remain accessible to consumers in both urban and rural areas.

• Technological Advancements: IOCL's in-house R&D efforts have led to technological


innovations, improving refining processes, developing cleaner fuel formulations, and
exploring alternative energy solutions.

2. Inorganic Growth:

• Acquisitions: IOCL has strategically acquired assets, both domestically and internationally, to
strengthen its supply chain, access new markets, and diversify its portfolio.

• Joint Ventures: Collaborating with other industry players, IOCL has formed joint ventures in
various sectors of the energy industry. These partnerships allow IOCL to pool resources,
share risks, and tap into the expertise of its partners.

• Strategic Alliances: Beyond formal joint ventures, IOCL has formed strategic alliances with
other companies, research institutions, and governmental bodies. These alliances focus on
areas like research collaboration, technological exchange, and market development.

3. Diversification Ventures:

• Alternative Energy Projects: To tap into the growing renewable energy market, IOCL has
ventured into solar, wind, and biofuel projects, often through partnerships or joint ventures
with specialized companies in these sectors.

• Petrochemical Ventures: IOCL has expanded its footprint in the petrochemical sector
through joint ventures and partnerships, producing a range of products from polymers to
specialty chemicals.

4. International Expansion:

• Overseas Operations: IOCL has established operations in various international markets,


either through acquisitions, joint ventures, or direct investments. These overseas ventures
ensure a steady supply of crude oil and allow IOCL to tap into new markets.

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• Export Initiatives: Beyond serving the domestic market, IOCL has made concerted efforts to
export its products, from refined petroleum products to petrochemicals, to international
markets.

5. Collaborative Research & Development:

• Research Collaborations: IOCL collaborates with academic institutions, research


organizations, and other industry players to drive innovation and technological
advancements. These collaborations often lead to joint research projects, patent filings, and
technological exchanges.

IOCL operates and grows are multifaceted. From organic growth initiatives to strategic
inorganic ventures, IOCL employs a mix of strategies to strengthen its position in the energy
sector, diversify its portfolio, and ensure sustained growth and innovation. This blend of
organic and inorganic growth vehicles showcases IOCL's adaptability and strategic foresight
in navigating the complex and evolving energy landscape.

Differentiators:
1. Brand Recognition and Trust:

• Legacy and Reputation: With decades of operations, IOCL has established itself as a trusted
brand in the Indian energy sector. Its legacy and consistent delivery of quality products have
built a strong reputation among consumers.

• Consumer Outreach: IOCL's consumer-centric campaigns, loyalty programs, and customer


service initiatives have further solidified its position as a brand that resonates with the
masses.

2. Extensive Infrastructure:

• Vast Network: IOCL's extensive infrastructure, from refineries to pipelines and retail outlets,
gives it a competitive edge in delivering products efficiently and at scale.

• Strategic Locations: The strategic placement of IOCL's refineries and pipelines ensures
optimal distribution, reducing transportation costs and ensuring timely delivery.

3. Technological Leadership:

• In-house R&D: IOCL's dedicated R&D division focuses on innovative technologies and
solutions for the oil and gas sector. This includes developing cleaner fuel formulations,
improving refinery processes, and exploring new energy sources.

• Collaborative Research: IOCL's collaborations with academic institutions and research


organizations drive innovation and technological advancements, keeping it at the forefront of
the energy sector.

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4. Diverse Product Portfolio:

• Beyond Fuels: While IOCL is a major player in the fuel sector, it has diversified its portfolio to
include petrochemicals, lubricants, and alternative energy solutions, catering to a broader
market and customer base.

• Quality Assurance: IOCL's commitment to quality is evident in its products, which adhere to
international standards and undergo rigorous testing and quality checks.

5. Commitment to Sustainability:

• Green Initiatives: Recognizing the global shift towards sustainable energy, IOCL has been
proactive in its green initiatives, from venturing into solar and wind energy projects to
researching biofuels.

• Environmental Responsibility: IOCL's operations emphasize environmental responsibility,


with measures in place to reduce emissions, manage waste, and minimize the environmental
impact.

6. Strategic Partnerships and Alliances:

• Industry Collaborations: IOCL's strategic partnerships and alliances with other industry
players, both domestically and internationally, provide it with access to new markets,
technologies, and expertise.

• Government Relations: Being a public sector undertaking, IOCL has a unique position in its
relationship with the government, allowing it to be part of key policy decisions and initiatives
in the energy sector.

Staging:
1. Phased Infrastructure Expansion:

• Initial Focus: In its early years, IOCL primarily focused on establishing a strong foundation
with refineries and a basic distribution network to cater to the growing energy needs of
India.

• Subsequent Expansion: As the demand grew, IOCL embarked on a phased expansion of its
infrastructure, including refineries, pipelines, and retail outlets, ensuring that it could
efficiently cater to the vast and diverse Indian market.

2. Diversification Strategy:

• Core to Adjacent: Initially, IOCL's core was refining and marketing. Over time, as the
company stabilized its core operations, it ventured into adjacent areas like petrochemicals,
leveraging its expertise in refining.

• New Ventures: With a stable core and adjacent businesses, IOCL then explored entirely new
arenas, such as renewable energy sources like solar and wind energy, aligning with global
sustainability trends.

3. Technological Advancements:

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• Early Adoption: IOCL has always been keen on adopting new technologies. In the initial
stages, the focus was on refining technologies and improving fuel quality.

• Future-Oriented R&D: As the company matured, it started investing more in R&D, focusing
on future energy needs, cleaner fuel formulations, and alternative energy sources.

4. International Expansion:

• Strategic Entry: IOCL's foray into international markets was strategic. Initially, the focus was
on securing crude oil supplies through overseas acquisitions and partnerships.

• Broadening Horizons: Once a stable supply chain was established, IOCL began exploring
opportunities for exporting its products and even setting up operations in foreign markets.

5. Sustainability Initiatives:

• Gradual Transition: Recognizing the global shift towards sustainable energy, IOCL's transition
to green initiatives was gradual. Initial ventures were in biofuels, followed by investments in
solar and wind energy projects.

• Collaborative Approach: IOCL often collaborated with other industry players or research
institutions for its sustainability initiatives, ensuring a comprehensive and expert-driven
approach.

6. Government and Policy Engagement:

• Active Participation: Being a public sector undertaking, IOCL has been actively participating
in policy discussions and decisions related to the energy sector from its early days.

• Alignment with National Goals: IOCL's staging strategy often aligns with national goals and
initiatives, be it energy security, sustainability, or technological advancements in the energy
sector.

IOCL's staging strategy has been a blend of phased expansions, diversifications, technological
advancements, and alignments with broader national goals. This strategic sequencing of
moves has ensured IOCL's sustained growth, relevance, and leadership in the dynamic
energy landscape of India.

Economic Logic:

1. Economies of Scale:

• Operational Efficiency: Given IOCL's vast infrastructure, from refineries to pipelines and
retail outlets, the company benefits from economies of scale. This means that as the volume
of production increases, the cost per unit of product decreases, leading to operational
efficiencies and cost advantages.

• Bulk Procurement: IOCL's large-scale operations allow it to procure raw materials, especially
crude oil, in bulk, often securing favorable terms and prices.

2. Diversified Revenue Streams:

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• Multiple Business Verticals: IOCL's presence in various segments of the energy sector, from
refining to marketing, petrochemicals, and alternative energy, ensures multiple sources of
revenue. This diversification reduces dependency on any single segment and provides
financial stability.

• International Operations: IOCL's ventures in international markets, both in terms of securing


crude supplies and exporting products, add another dimension to its revenue streams.

3. Value Chain Integration:

• From Crude to Consumer: IOCL's operations span the entire value chain, from procuring
crude oil to refining it and finally marketing the finished products to consumers. This
integration allows IOCL to capture value at every stage, maximizing profits.

• Synergies: The integrated nature of IOCL's operations means that different business units can
achieve synergies, leading to cost savings and operational efficiencies.

4. Strategic Investments:

• R&D Focus: IOCL's investments in research and development not only lead to technological
advancements but also open up avenues for new products, patents, and revenue
opportunities.

• Future-Proofing: Investments in renewable energy and sustainability initiatives ensure that


IOCL is prepared for future energy trends, positioning it to capitalize on emerging market
opportunities.

5. Government Support and Policy Alignment:

• Public Sector Advantage: Being a public sector undertaking, IOCL often benefits from
government support, be it in terms of policy alignment, favorable terms for certain projects,
or strategic directives aligned with national goals.

• Infrastructure Development: IOCL's role in national infrastructure development, especially in


the energy sector, often leads to financial and operational support from the government,
ensuring project viability and returns.

6. Risk Management:

• Hedging Strategies: Given the volatile nature of crude oil prices, IOCL employs hedging
strategies to manage price risks, ensuring stable margins and profitability.

• Diversified Supply Chain: IOCL's diversified supply chain, with multiple sources of crude oil
and other raw materials, reduces dependency on any single source, mitigating supply risks.

OCL's economic logic is rooted in its ability to achieve economies of scale, diversify its
revenue streams, integrate its value chain, make strategic investments, align with
government policies, and effectively manage risks. These factors collectively ensure that IOCL
can consistently generate returns on its investments, maintain profitability, and ensure value
creation for its stakeholders.

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Strategic Element Key Points

Arenas - Core Business Operations (Refining, Transportation, Marketing)

- Diversification into Alternative Energy (Solar, Wind, Biofuels)

- Research & Development Initiatives

- International Ventures (Overseas Acquisitions, Exports)

- Petrochemicals Portfolio

Vehicles - Organic Growth (Infrastructure Expansion, Retail Network


Development)

- Inorganic Growth (Acquisitions, Joint Ventures)

- Diversification Ventures (Alternative Energy Projects, Petrochemical


Ventures)

- International Expansion (Overseas Operations, Export Initiatives)

- Collaborative R&D

Differentiators - Brand Recognition and Trust (Legacy, Consumer Outreach)

- Extensive Infrastructure (Vast Network, Strategic Locations)

- Technological Leadership (In-house R&D, Collaborative Research)

- Diverse Product Portfolio (Beyond Fuels, Quality Assurance)

- Commitment to Sustainability (Green Initiatives, Environmental


Responsibility)

- Strategic Partnerships and Alliances (Industry Collaborations,


Government Relations)

Staging - Phased Infrastructure Expansion (Initial Focus, Subsequent


Expansion)

- Diversification Strategy (Core to Adjacent, New Ventures)

- Technological Advancements (Early Adoption, Future-Oriented


R&D)

- International Expansion (Strategic Entry, Broadening Horizons)

- Sustainability Initiatives (Gradual Transition, Collaborative


Approach)

- Government and Policy Engagement (Active Participation,


Alignment with National Goals)

Economic - Economies of Scale (Operational Efficiency, Bulk Procurement)


Logic

Page | 27
- Diversified Revenue Streams (Multiple Business Verticals,
International Operations)

- Value Chain Integration (From Crude to Consumer, Synergies)

- Strategic Investments (R&D Focus, Future-Proofing)

- Government Support and Policy Alignment (Public Sector


Advantage, Infrastructure Development)

- Risk Management (Hedging Strategies, Diversified Supply Chain)

Conclusion:
Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) stands as a testament to strategic foresight, operational
excellence, and adaptability in the ever-evolving energy landscape of India. Its legacy, built over
decades, is underpinned by a strong brand recognition and unwavering trust among its vast
consumer base. This trust is not merely a result of its extensive reach but also its consistent delivery
of quality products and services. The company's vast infrastructure, encompassing refineries,
pipelines, and retail outlets, provides it with a competitive edge, ensuring efficient delivery and
optimal distribution. This infrastructure advantage is complemented by IOCL's technological
leadership, with a dedicated R&D division driving innovation and fostering collaborations with
academic and research institutions.
Diversification has been a hallmark of IOCL's strategy. Beyond its core refining and marketing
operations, the company has ventured into petrochemicals, lubricants, and alternative energy
solutions. This diverse product portfolio, coupled with a commitment to quality, positions IOCL as a
comprehensive energy solutions provider.

Sustainability is not just a buzzword for IOCL. Its proactive green initiatives, ranging from solar and
wind energy projects to biofuel research, reflect its commitment to environmental responsibility and
its vision for a sustainable energy future.
Strategically, IOCL's growth has been marked by a blend of organic and inorganic initiatives. Its
international ventures, strategic partnerships, and alliances have expanded its horizons, providing
access to new markets and technologies. Being a public sector undertaking, IOCL's alignment with
government policies and its active participation in national energy initiatives further solidify its
pivotal role in India's energy sector.

Economically, IOCL's logic is clear: leverage economies of scale, diversify revenue streams, integrate
the value chain, and manage risks effectively. This approach ensures consistent returns, profitability,
and value creation for stakeholders.
IOCL's strategic blueprint, as outlined through the facets of Arenas, Vehicles, Differentiators, Staging,
and Economic Logic, showcases a company that is not just resting on its laurels but is actively
preparing for the future. As the energy sector undergoes transformative changes globally, IOCL's
strategic pillars ensure its continued relevance, leadership, and contribution to India's energy
security and growth.

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