Ferguson 2010
Ferguson 2010
Ferguson 2010
This paper was prepared for presentation at the SPE International Conference on CO2 Capture, Storage, and Utilization held in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, 10–12 November 2010.
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Abstract
CO2 enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) offers the potential for storing significant volumes of carbon dioxide emissions while
increasing domestic oil production. This paper, based on a recently updated report for DOE/NETL, examines the effect that
“Next Generation” technologies will have on the CO2 storage and oil production potential of CO2-EOR. The paper examines
the causes of sub-optimal CO2 storage and oil recovery efficiencies by current CO2-EOR practices and how a group of
advanced or “Next-Generation” CO2-EOR technology could increase both CO2 storage volumes and oil recovery.
Technologies investigated include: using increased volumes of injected and permanently sequestered CO2, optimizing well
placement and pattern alignment, and using reservoir miscibility and viscosity enhancers.
Introduction
CO2 enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) offers the potential for storing significant volumes of carbon dioxide emissions
while increasing domestic oil production. This paper is based largely on an updated report for the U.S. DOE/NETL to
1
examine the effect “Next Generation” technologies could have on both oil production and CO2 storage and utilization .
A six part methodology was used to assess the CO2 storage and EOR potential of domestic oil reservoirs. The six steps
were: (1) assembling and updating the Major Oil Reservoirs Database; (2) calculating the minimum miscibility pressure for
applying CO2 -EOR; (3) using minimum miscibility pressure and other criteria to screen reservoirs favorable for CO2-EOR;
(4) calculating oil recovery from applying “next generation” CO2-EOR technology; (5) applying the updated cost and
economic model; and, (6) performing economic and sensitivity analyses to understand how the combined effects of
technology and oil prices impact the results of applying “next generation” CO2-EOR and CO2 storage technology.
To calculate the incremental oil produced by CO2-EOR from oil reservoirs, the study utilized the PROPHET2 model.
PROPHET2 is a stream tube miscible flood predictive model that was first developed by the Texaco Exploration and
Production Technology Department under a DOE cost share program and has been further modified by Advanced Resources
International. 2
1
“Storing CO2 and Producing Domestic Crude Oil with Next Generation Technology: An Update” DOE/NETL, 2010:
http://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analyses/pubs/Storing%20CO2%20w%20Next%20Generation%20CO2-EOR.pdf
2
“Post Waterflood CO2 Flood in a Light Oil, Fluvial Dominated Deltaic Reservoir” (DOE Contract No. DE-FC22-
93BC14960).
2 SPE 139717
International’s Large Oilfield’s Database 1,719 out of 2,790 reservoirs screen favorably for CO2-EOR. These 1,719
reservoirs contain 305 billion barrels of OOIP.
1. Insufficient Injection of CO2. The great majority of past CO2 floods injected insufficient volumes of CO2 for
optimum oil recovery. This was due in part to high CO2 costs relative to oil prices and the inability to control CO2
flow through the reservoir.
Figure 1 shows that low reservoir sweep efficiency results from using small volumes of CO2 injection. This figure
highlights the theoretical improvement in the sweep efficiency (EA) by 14% from increasing the volume of CO2
injected (VpD) from 1.0 HCPV to 1.5 HCPV (0.72 to 0.82 EA).
2. Poor Sweep Efficiency. In many of the previous CO2 floods, the injected CO2 achieved only limited contact with
the residual oil in the reservoir (poor sweep efficiency). This was due to a variety of causes, including: gravity
override by the less dense CO2; viscous fingering of the CO2 through the reservoir’s oil; and channeling of the CO2
in highly heterogeneous reservoirs. Using the same plot of sweep efficiency against the mobility ratio, Figure 2
shows that improving the mobility ratio from 4.4 to 1.0 would theoretically improve sweep efficiency (EA) by 18%
(EAfrom 0.73 to 0.86).
3. Poor Displacement Efficiency. Analysis of past CO2-EOR projects also shows that, in many cases, the CO2
contacted, but did not mobilize a significant portion of the residual oil (poor displacement efficiency) due to lack of
effective miscibility between the injected CO2 and the reservoir’s oil. Poor displacement efficiency is caused by
unexpected pressure declines in portions of the reservoir and less than optimum injection and production well
operating practices.
4. Lack of CO2 Conformance. An often overlooked but important cause of poor CO2-EOR performance is the
inability to efficiently target injected CO2 to preferred (high residual oil) reservoir strata and then capture and
produce the mobilized oil. Figure 3 shows how the lower permeability portion of the reservoir strata (Layer 1) is
less efficiently swept by a waterflood, leaving behind much higher residual oil saturations in this layer of the oil
reservoir. Injection of CO2 into this type of reservoir, without undertaking selective CO2 placement, would cause
the CO2 to enter the higher permeability (100 md) Layer 2, bypassing the lower permeability, higher oil saturation
Layer 1.
5. Inadequate Reservoir Characterization and Project Surveillance. Finally, a variety of other initial characterization
and operating issues have contributed toward less-than-optimum performance. If a CO2 flood is conducted after
secondary waterflood, operators traditionally do not revisit their understanding and assumptions of the reservoir. In
order to better delineate flow patterns and predict performance, it may also be necessary to take new core samples,
examine historical production, conduct new 3D seismic surveys, and reprocess log data.
SPE 139717 3
After the CO2 flood has started, it is crucial to maintain a thorough surveillance program that will monitor real-time
process and performance information in order to improve the conformance and sweep efficiency of the CO2. This may
include varying the WAG schedule depending on CO2 breakthrough rather than injecting set quantities or certain ratios
of CO2 and water. Surveillance will also help determine how wells should be controlled and worked over to reduce CO2
channeling.
Figure 1. Sweep Efficiency in Misicble Flooding as a Function of Pv CO2.
2
1.0
0.9
0.8
Sweep Efficiency, EA
0.7
0.6
0.5 V pD V pD
at 5.0
0.4 3.0
B.T
2.0
. vs
0.3 1.5
.M
1.0
0.2 0.6
0.1 0.2
0.1
0
0 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000
Mobility Ratio, M
1.0
0.9
0.8
Sweep Efficiency, EA
0.7
0.6
0.5 V pD
V pD
5.0
at
0.4 3.0
B.T
2.0
. vs
0.3 1.5
.M
1.0
0.2 0.6
0.1 0.2
0.1
0
0 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000
Mobility Ratio, M
Note: VpD is displaceable fluid pore volumes of CO2 injected.
*Bo = 1.07
Source: Adapted by Advanced Resources Int’l from “Enhanced Oil Recovery”,
D.W. Green and G. P. Willhite, SPE, 1998.
Table 1. Comparing Costs and Benefits of Best Practices and Next Generation Technologies
Current Application of “Best
“Next Generation” Technology*
Practices”
As seen in the example, oil recovery increases from 276 to 433 million barrels, but the project length and costs also
increase. Overall capital investment increases from $615 million to $1,305 million due primarily to additional well drilling,
but also due to improved reservoir characterization, better real-time performance analysis, and a larger CO2 recycle plant.
One of the largest expenses, the cost of purchasing and recycling CO2 increases from a total of $5,358 million from injecting
1.0 HCPV under “best practices” technology to $7,345 million from injecting 1.5 HCPV under “next generation” technology.
generation” CO2-EOR technologies, Table 2. Subtracting the 2.3 billion barrels of oil that has already been produced or
placed into proved reserves by CO2-EOR (as of 2006), “next generation” CO2-EOR would add 126 billion barrels of
technically recoverable oil to domestic supplies. For perspective, the current domestic proved crude oil reserves are 22
billion barrels, as of the end of 2007.
The Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, with its world class size, favorable geology and carbonate reservoirs,
offers the largest volume of technically recoverable oil resource from CO2-EOR. In addition, significant potential exists in
East and Central Texas, the Mid-Continent, the Gulf Coast and California.
Table 2. Technically Recoverable Resources from Applying “Next Generation” CO2-EOR:Totals from
Extrapolating Advanced Resources’ Database to National Level
OOIP Technically Recoverable
OOIP Favorable for (Billion Barrels)
Basin/Area
(Billion Barrels) CO2-EOR “Best Practices” “Next Generation”
(Billion Barrels) Technology Technology
1. Lower-48 Onshore 500.3 345.4 69 109.4
2. Offshore GOM 46.1 29.6 5.7 5.7
3. Alaska 50.7 42.5 8.6 12.7
Total 597.1 417.5 83.4 127.9
The Economically Recoverable Base Case evaluates the “next generation” CO2-EOR potential using an oil price of $70
per barrel (constant, real) and a CO2 cost of $45 per metric ton ($2.38 per Mcf) (constant and real, delivered at pressure to the
field). In the Base Case, 57.9 billion barrels of incremental oil become economically recoverable from applying “next
generation” CO2-EOR technology, after subtracting the 2.3 billion barrels of oil already produced through existing CO2-EOR
operations, Table 3.
The estimates of economically recoverable domestic oil from applying CO2-EOR have been calculated using a minimum
financial hurdle rate of 15% (real, before tax). Higher financial hurdle requirements, appropriate for rapidly installing “next
generation” CO2-EOR technology in new basins and geologic settings, would reduce the volumes of economically
recoverable oil.
Table 3. Economically Recoverable Resources from Applying “Next Generation” CO2-EOR: National
Totals at Base Case Economics*
Incremental Incremental
Technically CO2-EOR Currently
Technically Economically
Basin/Area Recoverable Underway
Recoverable Recoverable**
(Billion Barrels) (Billion Barrels)
(Billion Barrels) (Billion Barrels)
Table 4. Economically Feasible Market for CO2 for “Next Generation” CO2-EOR: Base Case*
(Eleven Basins/Areas)
Gross Market for CO2 CO2 Already or Net New Market for CO2
Scheduled to be
(Million Metric Tons) Injected (Million Metric Tons)
Basin/Area
“Best “Next (Million Metric “Best “Next
Practices” Generation” Tons) Practices” Generation”
*Base Case: Oil price of $70 per barrel; CO2 cost of $45 per metric ton.
Summary
In order to take advantage of the theoretical potential that CO2-EOR has in unlocking the large “stranded” domestic
resource base, each of the individual technologies outlined in this paper must be applied on a customized basis to specific
reservoirs. Each of the technologies has incremental associated costs, but when applied correctly can also greatly improve
the performance of CO2-EOR floods beyond current “best practices”. Nationwide, “next generation” technologies increase
technically recoverable oil from 83 to 128 billion barrels. These technologies also improve economic CO2 storage capacity
from 9 to 11.5 billion metric tons. Each of the “next generation” technologies outlined in this paper provides an opportunity
for future research and development that will help to utilize and store CO2 while also producing domestic crude oil.