Article 2 Fin Club
Article 2 Fin Club
Article 2 Fin Club
The US Treasury bond yield is the interest rate that the US government pays on money it
borrows from investors. It is considered a risk-free investment, as the US government has never
defaulted on its debt. When US Treasury bond yields rise, it means that investors are
demanding a higher return for their money, as they perceive the US economy to be riskier.
Current Scenario
In recent months, US Treasury bond yields have been rising sharply. This is due to a number of
factors, including the US Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes in an effort to combat
inflation. Rising US Treasury bond yields have had a negative impact on the Indian stock market,
as foreign investors have pulled out money from Indian equities to invest in US bonds, which
are now offering more attractive returns.
There are several ways in which rising US Treasury bond yields can impact the Indian stock
market:
FPI outflows: Foreign institutional investors (FPIs) are a major source of liquidity for the
Indian stock market. When US Treasury bond yields rise, FPIs often divest from
emerging market equities, including Indian equities, and allocate their investments
towards US bonds. This outflow of capital from the Indian stock market can lead to a
decline in stock prices.
Rupee depreciation: A rising US Treasury bond yield typically leads to a depreciation of
the rupee against the US dollar. This is because investors sell rupees to buy US dollars in
order to invest in US bonds. A weaker rupee makes Indian exports more
competitive, but it also makes imports more expensive and hurts the bottom line of
companies that have borrowed in US dollars.
Higher borrowing costs: Rising US Treasury bond yields also lead to higher borrowing
costs for Indian companies. This is because Indian companies often have to borrow
money in US dollars to finance their operations. Higher borrowing costs can reduce
corporate profitability and lead to lower stock prices.
The current scenario has taught us a few important lessons about the impact of rising US
Treasury bond yields on the Indian stock market:
FPIs are a key driver of the Indian stock market: FPIs are a major source of liquidity and
foreign investment for the Indian stock market. When FPIs withdraw money from the
Indian stock market, it can lead to a decline in stock prices.
The rupee is sensitive to US Treasury bond yields: A rising US Treasury bond yield
typically leads to a depreciation of the rupee against the US dollar. This can have a
negative impact on Indian companies that export goods and services or have borrowed
money in US dollars.
The Indian stock market is correlated to global markets: The Indian stock market is
increasingly correlated to global markets. This means that when global markets are
under pressure, the Indian stock market is also likely to be impacted.
Conclusion
Rising US Treasury bond yields can have a negative impact on the Indian stock market. Investors
should be aware of this risk and take appropriate steps to protect their portfolios. Some ways
to do this include investing in companies with strong fundamentals and a track record of
profitability, diversifying across asset classes, and hedging against currency fluctuations.