Stock and Bond Valuation
Stock and Bond Valuation
Stock and Bond Valuation
Part 2 Valuation of Financial Assets Part 5 Liquidity Management and Special Topics
(Chapters 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) in Finance (Chapters 17, 18, 19, 20)
Stock Valuation
Chapter Outline
10.1 Common Stock Objective 1. Identify the basic characteristics and
features of common stock and use the discounted
(pgs. 334–343)
cash flow model to value common shares.
10.2 The Comparables Approach Objective 2. Use the price/earnings (P/E) ratio to
value common stock.
to Valuing Common Stock
(pgs. 343–347)
332
333
“
Getting Your Are you interested in starting your own busi-
ness? If you are, then you are probably aware
Fair Share” that you share this dream with millions of col-
lege students who are majoring in almost every
conceivable area of study. If you start a company that becomes a success, at some point you will
want to know the value of your ownership interest, and to determine that, you will need to know
how equity securities are valued in the financial markets. For example, when Larry and Sergey
were just getting started, they needed money to expand. Fortunately, one of their professors
linked them up with one of the founders of Sun Microsystems, Andy Bechtolsheim. After a short
demonstration in Larry’s dorm room, Andy was impressed with the potential and handed them a
check for $100,000—after which Larry and Sergey immediately filed incorporation papers so they
could cash the check made out to Google. But how did Larry and Sergey decide how much of
Google an investment of $100,000 would buy? Should $100,000 buy 10 percent of the business?
Is this is a fair price? To answer these questions, you need to know the value of Google, and to
determine that, you need to know something about finance and equity valuation.
Claim on Income
As the owners of the corporation, the common shareholders have the right to the firm’s
income that remains after bondholders and preferred stockholders have been paid. The com-
mon shareholders will either receive cash payments in the form of dividends or, if the firm’s
management reinvests its earnings back into the firm, reap any increase in value that results
from the reinvested earnings. As we will see in Chapter 16, many times firms return money to
their shareholders through stock repurchases or stock buybacks, where the firm uses its cash
to repurchase some of its stock, and as a result, every remaining shareholder owns a larger
portion of the company.
The right to residual income has both advantages and disadvantages for the common
stockholder. The main advantage is that the potential return is unlimited. Once the claims of
Herd Mentality
Your Turn: See Study Question 10–5.
the more senior securities (bonds and preferred stock) have been satisfied, all the earnings
that remain belong to common stockholders. The disadvantage, of course, is that there may be
little or nothing left after paying the bondholders their principal and interest and paying the
preferred shareholders their dividends.
Claim on Assets
Just as common stock has a residual claim on income, it also has a residual claim on assets in
the case of liquidation. However, the claims of common shareholders get paid only after the
claims of debt holders and preferred stockholders have been satisfied. Unfortunately, when
bankruptcy does occur, the claims of the common shareholders generally go unsatisfied. This
residual claim on assets adds to the risk of common stock. Thus, although common stock has
historically provided a higher return than other securities, averaging about 10 percent com-
pounded annually from 1926 through 2015, the returns are also much riskier.
Voting Rights
The common shareholders elect the board of directors and are in general the only security
holders given a vote. Early in the twentieth century, it was not uncommon for a firm to issue
two classes of common stock that were identical except that only one carried voting rights.
For example, the Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea Company (GAP) had two such classes of
common stock. This practice was virtually eliminated by three developments: (1) the Public
Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, which gave the Securities and Exchange Commission
the power to require that newly issued common stock carry voting rights; (2) the New York
Stock Exchange’s refusal to list common stock without voting privileges; and (3) investor
demand for the inclusion of voting rights. However, with the merger boom of the 1980s, dual
classes of common stock with different voting rights again emerged, this time as a defensive
tactic used to prevent takeovers. Today, for example, Alphabet, Inc. (GOOG and GOOGL),
has three classes of common stock, an arrangement that gives majority control to the firm’s
top three executives.1 Likewise with Facebook (FB), just before the company went public in
2012, it created two classes of shares, and those owned by founder Mark Zuckerberg had far
more voting power than the ones sold to outside shareholders. In fact, at the time of Face-
book’s initial public offering, Zuckerberg owned only 18 percent of the company but had
control of 57 percent of the voting power.
1
Google’s Class A stock has one vote per share, while its Class B stock, owned only by Chief Executive Eric Schmidt
and founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, has 10 votes per share and its Class C stock has no voting rights.
Common shareholders not only have the right to elect the board of directors but also
must approve any change in the corporate charter. A typical charter change might involve the
authorization to issue new stock or perhaps engage in a merger.
Voting for directors and charter changes occurs at the corporation’s annual meeting.
Some shareholders vote in person, but the majority generally vote by proxy. A proxy gives
a designated party the temporary power of attorney to vote for the signee at the corporation’s
annual meeting. The firm’s management generally solicits proxy votes, and if the sharehold-
ers are satisfied with their performance, managers have little problem securing them. How-
ever, in times of financial distress or when management takeovers are being attempted, battles
between rival groups for proxy votes often occur.
Although each share of stock generally carries the same number of votes, the voting
procedure is not always the same from company to company. The two procedures commonly
used are majority and cumulative voting. With majority voting, each share of stock allows
the shareholder one vote, and each position on the board of directors is voted on separately.
Because each member of the board of directors is elected by a simple majority, a majority of
shares has the power to elect the entire board of directors.
With cumulative voting, each share of stock allows the shareholder a number of votes
equal to the number of directors being elected. The shareholder can then cast all of his or
her votes for a single candidate or split them among the various candidates. The advantage
of a cumulative voting procedure is that it gives minority shareholders the power to elect a
director.
and (2) management’s decision as to whether it will pay dividends or retain the firm’s earn-
ings in order to grow the firm.
Thus, dividends will vary with a firm’s profitability and its stage of growth. In a com-
pany’s early years, few, if any, dividends are typically paid because all of the firm’s cash flow
is reinvested to finance the firm’s growth. As the company matures, additional investment
opportunities become less attractive, and the firm will typically begin paying more and more
dividends to the common stockholders.
Because there is no promised dividend, common stock is valued by discounting the divi-
dend stream that the firm is expected to pay to its shareholders. These expected dividends are
discounted back to the present using the investor’s required or expected rate of return, which
is the rate of return that investors expect to receive from an investment of equal risk. We will
refer to this expected rate of return as the investor’s required rate of return.
In both examples, the value of the share of stock today is equal to the present value of
future dividends plus the selling price of the stock at the end of the holding period. This sell-
ing price is simply the present value of the dividends for all subsequent periods. For example,
based on what we know about this stock, what should the price of the firm’s stock be at the
end of Year 1? The answer is found by discounting the dividend for Year 2 and the price at the
end of Year 2 back one period to the end of Year 1:
Value of Common $1.75 + 55.75
= = $50.00
Stock at Year 1 (1 + .15)1
The important learning point is that the value of a share of common stock can be thought
of as the present value of future dividends where there are an infinite number of years ( ∞ )
over which dividends are received.
Value of Dividend for Year 1 Dividend for Year 2
= 1
+ 2
Common Stock in Year 0 Stockholder’s Stockholder’s
a1 + b a1 + b
Required Rate of Return Required Rate of Return
Valuing a share of common stock using this general discounted cash flow model is made diffi-
cult by virtue of the fact that the analyst has to forecast each of the future dividends. However,
the forecasting problem is greatly simplified if the future dividends are expected to grow at a
fixed or constant rate each year.
Fortunately, Equation (10–1) can be simplified greatly using the present value of a growing
perpetuity, Equation (6–6), if dividends grow each year at a constant rate, g.
This constant dividend growth rate model of common stock valuation is defined in
Equation (10–2) as follows:
Dividend
Dividend in Year 0 a 1 + b
Value of Common Growth Rate Dividend in Year 1
= = (10–2)
Stock in Year 0 Stockholder’s Required Dividend Stockholder’s Required Dividend
- -
Rate of Return Growth Rate Rate of Return Growth Rate
Figure 10.1
A Quick Reference Guide for the Constant Dividend Growth Rate Valuation Model
If the rate of growth in common stock dividends is expected to be constant into the indefinite future
and this rate of growth is less than the common stockholder’s required rate of return, the discounted
cash flow valuation model for common stock reduces to the following simple formula:
D0 (1 + g) D1
Vcs = = (10–2)
rcs - g rcs - g
years—after which it changes again and stays at that final rate forever. The implications of
this more complicated model are the same as those of the simple constant growth model; that
is, the level of dividends, the annual dividend rate of growth, and the common stockholder’s
required rate of return determine the value of the firm’s common stock.
What Causes Stock Prices to Go Up and Down?
We can use the constant dividend growth rate model of stock valuation in Equation (10–2) to
develop a better understanding of what causes stock prices to move up and down.
D0 (1 + g) Dividend in Year 1
Vcs = = (10–2)
rcs - g Stockholder’s Required Growth
-
Rate of Return Rate
There are three variables on the right-hand side of the above stock valuation model that drive
share value, Vcs. These are the most recent dividend (D0), the investor’s required rate of
return (rcs), and the expected rate of growth in future dividends (g). Note that the most recent
dividend has already been paid so it can’t change, and, thus, this variable is not a source of
variation or changes in the stock price. This leaves two variables, rcs and g, that can vary and
lead to changes in stock prices. As a result, to understand what causes stock prices to go up
and down, we need to consider changes in the stockholder’s required rate of return, rcs, and
the growth rate in future dividend payments, g.
Expected Rate Risk@Free Rate Common Stock Expected Rate of Return Risk@Free Rate
= + a - b (8–6)
of Return of Interest Beta Coefficient on the Market Portfolio of Interest
Checkpoint 10.1
i = 15%
STEP 3: Solve
In this problem, we must first determine D1, the dividend next period. We know the stock paid a $2 dividend at
the end of last year and that dividends are expected to grow at a rate of 10 percent forever. Because the $2
dividend was paid last period, $2 is D0, and we are looking for D1. Thus,
D1 = D0 (1 + g) = $2 (1.10) = $2.20
Substituting D1 = $2.20, g = .10, and rcs = .15 into Equation (10–2), we get the following result:
$2.20
Vcs = = $44
.15 - .10
Thus, the value of the common stock is $44.
STEP 4: Analyze
As you can see, once we assume that dividends will grow at a constant rate forever, the equation for the value of
a share of stock boils down to just three variables, and one of them, D1, is simply the dividend that already took
place times (1 + g). That means that changes in the dividend growth rate, g, and the required rate of return, rcs,
will push the stock price up and down. Certainly, this is not a perfect formula—after all, we’ve assumed that divi-
dends will grow at a constant rate forever, and that simply isn’t realistic. But it does allow us to boil an unmanage-
able formula down to something pretty simple and as a result see what factors move stock prices up and down.
ANSWER: $90.
Your Turn: For more practice, do related Study Problem 10–3 at the end of this chapter. >> END Checkpoint 10.1
Figure 10.2
A Quick Reference Guide for the Capital Asset Pricing Model
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is deceptively simple. It states that the expected rate of
return on any risky investment can be thought of as the sum of the risk-free rate of interest and a
risk premium. The risk premium, in turn, is determined by the market risk premium for the market
portfolio and the beta coefficient for the investment.
Figure 10.2 contains a quick reference guide to the CAPM, including definitions for each of
the key terms.
If the risk-free rate rises, perhaps reacting to an increase in anticipated inflation, other
things remaining the same, the investor’s required rate of return will rise, and the stock price
will fall. Similarly, if the systematic risk of a stock increases, then the investor’s required rate
of return will rise accordingly, and, all else remaining the same, the share price will fall.
where the retention ratio, b, is equal to one minus the dividend payout ratio (D1/E1):
Figure 10.3
A Quick Reference Guide for the Growth Rate in Earnings and Dividends
The rate of growth a firm can expect in its future dividends is a function of how much of the firm’s
earnings are reinvested in the firm (i.e., the dividend retention ratio, b), and the rate of return the firm
is expected to earn on the reinvested earnings (ROE).
We now have the tools of financial analysis to value common stock, assuming that the divi-
dends grow at a constant rate in perpetuity, which are shown as follows.
Figure 10.4
A Quick Reference Guide for the Price/Earnings Stock Valuation Model
The price/earnings stock valuation model is sometimes referred to as a relative valuation model that is
based on comparable-firm valuations. This reflects the fact that the price/earnings ratio used to value
the stock measures value relative to firm earnings and is chosen by looking at comparable firms.
P
Vcs = * E1 (10–4)
E1
P/E ratios can vary widely from stock to stock. For example, at the same time IBM (IBM)
had a P/E ratio of 9, Ford (F) had a ratio of 7, Coca-Cola (COKE) had a ratio of 26, and
Netflix (NFLX) had a ratio of 300—all in all a pretty wide range of P/E ratios! The question
you might ask now is why anyone would pay $300 for every $1 of earnings that Netflix made
but only $7 for every dollar of earnings that Ford made. As we now illustrate, different P/E
ratios arise from differences in the risk and earnings growth expectations of the firms being
compared.
To open our discussion of the determinants of a firm’s P/E ratio, let’s first review the
constant dividend growth model of stock value presented earlier in Equation (10–2):
D0 (1 + g) Dividend in Year 1
Vcs = = (10–2)
rcs - g Stockholder’s Required Growth
-
Rate of Return Rate
Recall that D1 is the dividend expected at the end of the year, rcs is the investor’s required rate
of return, and g is the expected rate of growth in dividends. If we assume that the current mar-
ket price of the firm’s shares (P) is equal to the value of the firm’s shares, Vcs (i.e., the present
value of expected future dividends), we can rewrite Equation (10–2) as follows:
D1
P =
rcs - g
We now have a formula for the price of the firm’s common stock. Let’s divide both sides of
this equation by our estimated earnings per share for next year, E1, to find the P/E ratio, as
follows:
P D1 > E1
= (10–5)
E1 rcs - g
To better understand the determinants of the P/E ratio, we expand Equation (10–5) by sub-
stituting for g. Recall from Equation (10–3) that g = (1 - D1/E1) * ROE, which we now
substitute into Equation (10–5):
P D1 > E1 D1 > E1
= = (10–5a)
E1 rcs - g rcs - 3(1 - D1 > E1) * ROE4
2
echnically, this is the definition of the forward P/E ratio because it uses predicted earnings one year hence. The P/E
T
ratio can also be calculated using the most recent 12-month period’s earnings, or trailing 12 months (TTM), P/ETTM.
For our purposes we will follow the convention of using the end-of-period earnings—that is, the trailing 12 months.
In that way we do not have to rely on forecasts.
Checkpoint 10.2
P/E Ratio
Wolverine 18.52
Nike 19.75
Steve Madden 16.32
Average 18.20
What is your estimate of the price of Heels’ shares based on the above comparable P/E ratios?
30
25
20 18.20
15
10
5
$1.83
0
Earnings per share × P/E multiple 5 Stock price
STEP 3: Solve
Substituting into Equation (10–4), we estimate Heels’ share price to be $33.31:
Vcs = P > E1 * E1 = 18.20 * $1.83 = $33.31
(10.2 CONTINUED >> ON NEXT PAGE)
STEP 4: Analyze
Based on the P/E ratios of these three comparable firms, we estimate the offering price of Heels’ shares to be
$33.31. However, this estimate is contingent on whether the companies chosen are appropriate comparables
for the Heels Shoe Company. Also, because the sale of a privately held company’s shares to the public can
take several months, this estimate is contingent on no significant changes in the market. For example, if infla-
tion worsens and the country slips into a recession, the P/E multiples of all public companies may fall. For this
reason, the final offering price for a firm’s shares that are being sold to the public is typically set the night before
the offering and reflects the most recent P/E ratios of comparable firms.
ANSWER: $36.40.
Your Turn: For more practice, do related Study Problem 10–12 at the end of this chapter. >> END Checkpoint 10.2
Now we are ready to investigate the determinants of the P/E ratio. Specifically, looking
at Equations (10–5) and (10–5a), we see that there are two fundamental determinants of a
firm’s P/E ratio:
1. Growth Rate in Dividends. The rate of growth in a firm’s dividends is itself determined
by how much of the firm’s earnings are retained and reinvested (i.e., 1 - D1/E1) and by
the rate of return the firm earns when it reinvests those funds (ROE) because the growth
rate equals the product of these two variables.
2. Investor-Required Rate of Return. The firm’s stockholders require that the firm earn
this rate of return, rcs on their investment in the firm’s stock.
Looking at the P/E equation found in Equation (10–5), we can make some quick observa-
tions about the mechanical or mathematical relationships between these variables and the
P/E ratio:
1. The higher the rate of growth in dividends, other things being the same, the higher
the P/E ratio. To see why, look at where g appears in the P/E equation, Equation (10–5a).
It is subtracted in the denominator, so the larger g is, the smaller the denominator is and,
consequently, the higher the P/E ratio is (assuming all else is held constant).
2. The higher the investor’s required rate of return, other things being the same, the
lower the P/E ratio. The required rate of return, rcs, is in the denominator of the P/E
equation, Equation (10–5a), and it has a positive sign. As a result, the higher the required
rate of return, rcs, is, holding all else constant, the lower the P/E ratio will be.
But what causes the growth rate in dividends (and earnings) and the investor’s required
rate of return to go up and down? These are the real determinants of the P/E ratio:
• Firm factors impacting the investor’s required rate of return, rcs. The higher the in-
vestor’s required rate of return, the lower the P/E ratio. If the firm becomes more risky,
rcs will rise, and as a result, the P/E ratio will fall. Likewise, if the firm becomes less risky,
rcs will fall, and as a result, the P/E ratio will rise.
• Economic or macro factors impacting the investor’s required rate of return, rcs. All
P/E ratios are affected by market interest rates and the general level of risk or uncertainty in
the stock market. Higher interest rates and greater uncertainty will increase the investor’s
required rate of return, whereas lower interest rates and less uncertainty will decrease the
investor’s required rate of return. As a result, when interest rates and uncertainty decline,
rcs will decline for all stocks, and as a result, the P/E ratios on all stocks will rise.
• Firm factors impacting the growth rate. The growth rate in firm dividends is itself
determined by two variables—dividend policy and the profitability of the firm’s invest-
ment opportunities.
• Dividend policy. Firms that retain and reinvest their earnings put themselves in a posi-
tion where future earnings might grow, whereas firms that pay out all their earnings in
dividends cannot grow.
• Firm investment opportunities. Firm earnings and future dividends can grow only if
the firm’s investment opportunities are good enough to offer growth opportunities. This
occurs when ROE exceeds the investor’s required rate of return, rcs; in that case, the
higher the return on new investments (ROE), the higher the growth rate.
Table 10.1 xamples of Different Pacific Gas & Electric Preferred Stock Issues
E
Outstanding, February 2016
Name Symbol Par Price Dividend Dividend
Value Yield
Pacific Gas & Electric 5% PF PCG.PD $25.00 $25.46 $1.25 4.91%
Pacific Gas & Electric 6% PF PCG.PA $30.00 $30.10 $1.50 4.98%
with a par value of $1,000.00 per share. The annual dividend on the Bank of America preferred
stock is $72.25 (7.25 * $1,000). Keep in mind that preferred stock dividends are fixed; that is,
regardless of how well the firm does, they still pay only their stated dividend. In effect, preferred
stockholders do not share in any improvement in the earnings of the firm.
Multiple Classes
If a company desires, it can issue more than one class of preferred stock, and each class can have
different characteristics. In fact, it is quite common for firms that issue preferred stock to issue
more than one class. For example, Public Storage (PSA) has 12 different classes of preferred stock
outstanding. These classes can be further differentiated in that some are convertible into common
stock and others are not, and some have more seniority—that is, they get paid earlier in the event
of the issuing firm’s bankruptcy. You’ll notice in Table 10.1 that there are listings for two different
classes of preferred stock issued by Pacific Gas & Electric (PCG); each has a different dividend
and is selling for a different price, but both provide approximately the same dividend yield.
Figure 10.5 contains a quick reference resource for this valuation model, along with defini-
tions of the symbols typically used. In addition, the figure contains other details concerning
the valuation of preferred stock that you will find useful.
Figure 10.5
Quick Reference Guide for the Preferred Stock Valuation Model
The value of a share of preferred stock, like that of any security, is defined by the present value
of the cash flows it is expected to produce for the owner of the stock. Because the preferred
shares typically pay a fixed dividend, this cash flow stream is a level perpetuity, which, as we saw
in Equation (6–5), makes discounting the future dividends simple. We divide the dividend by the
required rate of return on the preferred stock:
Value of Annual Preferred Stock Dividend Dps
= = (10–6)
Preferred Stock (Vps) Market's Required Yield on Preferred Stock rps
similar risk with preferred stock outstanding. After a careful analysis of comparable firms, we
choose American Electric Power (AEP) because we deem its level of risk to be very similar to
that of PCG and it has preferred stock outstanding. The American Electric Power preferred has
a promised annual dividend of $1.25 per share, and each share is currently selling for $25.46.
We can use Equation (10–6) to solve for the market’s required yield, rps, as follows:
Dps
Vps =
rps
Dps $1.25
Vps = = = .0491, or 4.91%
Vps $25.46
We can now use the 4.91 percent market’s required yield for the American Electric Power
preferred stock to estimate the value of the preferred stock of Pacific Gas & Electric. First, we
calculate the annual dividend to reflect a 5.00 percent dividend yield and a par value of $50
per share. The resulting dividend is $2.50 ($50 3 .05) a share. Substituting this dividend and
the promised rate of return estimated using American Electric Power into Equation (10–6),
we estimate the value of Pacific Gas & Electric’s preferred stock to be $50.92, as follows:
Dps $2.50
Vps = = = $50.92
rps .0491
Note that we have valued the new issue of preferred stock using the contractual or promised
dividend for the issue and estimated the market’s required yield using the current market price
and dividend for a comparable-risk preferred issue. Recall that this is very similar to the way
that we valued a corporate bond in Chapter 9.
In summary, the value of a preferred stock is the present value of all future dividends.
Because most preferred stocks are perpetuities, which means that the firm is promising to pay the
dividends forever, we simply use our formula for the present value of a perpetuity to value them.
We now have the tools of financial analysis to value preferred stock, assuming that the
dividends grow at a constant rate in perpetuity, which are shown as follows.
Bonds and preferred stock specify a promised cash payment to the security holder. In the case of a bond, interest and principal must be paid in accordance with the terms of the bond
contract (indenture). Preferred shares have a stated dividend yield, which, when multiplied by the face or par value of the preferred stock, equals the promised preferred dividend. Both
bonds and preferred stock are valued by discounting these promised cash flows back to the present. However, because these are promised (and not expected) cash flows, we dis-
count them using the promised rate of return reflected in the current market prices of similar securities. Common stock, on the other hand, does not have a contractual promised divi-
dend payment, so we apply the discounted cash flow model in this instance by estimating expected future dividends and then discounting them back to the present using the expected
rate of return that an investor would require if investing in a stock with the risk attributes of the shares being valued.
Common stock Expected future dividends. No Investor’s expected rate of return, Value of a share of common stock is equal to the present value of the
dividend is prescribed for com- which is the investor’s required rate future dividends.
mon stock. Instead, dividends of return. Because common stock divi-
Value of
must be estimated, so we value dends are risky, we use expected future D0(1 + g)
common stock using expected dividends and discount them using a Common =
rcs - g
rather than promised future cash risk-adjusted or expected rate of return Stock (Vcs)
flows. In the constant dividend for investing in shares of stock of firms
growth rate model, dividends are with similar risk to the firm issuing the
CHAPTER 10 | Stock Valuation
18/05/17 12:45 PM
352 PART 2 | Valuation of Financial Assets
Checkpoint 10.3
STEP 3: Solve
Substituting $5.00 for Dps and 0.0602 for rps in Equation (10–6), we can determine the value of the Con Edison
preferred stock as follows:
Dps $5.00
Vps = = = $83.06
rps 0.0602
Thus, the present value of this preferred stock is $83.06.
STEP 4: Analyze
Because preferred stock is a level perpetuity, its present value on any future date will be the same as its pres-
ent value today. That is, the value of the preferred stock is $83.06 today, and if all else remains the same, the
preferred shares will be worth $83.06 five years from now, 10 years from now, and 100 years from now.
ANSWER: $150.00.
Your Turn: For more practice, do related Study Problem 10–15 at the end of this chapter. >> END Checkpoint 10.3
C H A P T E R
required rate of return. As a result, Principle 1 plays a pivotal role in determin-
ing the value of debt. P Principle 4: Market Prices Reflect Information Principle
P Principle 2: There Is a Risk-Return Tradeoff Different com- 4 implies that market prices are a pretty good reflection of the value of the
mon stocks have different levels of risk associated with them, with more risk underlying shares of stock.
resulting in a higher required rate of return. P Principle 5: Individuals Respond to Incentives This principle
P Principle 3: Cash Flows Are the Source of Value The calcu- takes on importance because managers respond to incentives in their contracts.
lation of the value of a share of stock begins with an estimation of the amount If these incentives are not properly aligned with those of the firm’s shareholders,
and timing of future cash flows. If you bought a share of common stock and managers may not make decisions consistent with increasing shareholder value.
Chapter Summaries
10
10.1 Identify the basic characteristics and features of common stock and use
the discounted cash flow model to value common shares. (pgs. 334–343)
SUMMARY: Common stock does not have a maturity date and has a life that is limited only by
the life of the issuing firm. Common dividends have no minimums or maximums. In the event of
bankruptcy, the common stockholders cannot exercise claims on assets until the firm’s creditors,
including the bondholders and preferred shareholders, have been satisfied.
The common stockholders are the owners of the firm and are in general the only security hold-
ers given a vote. Common shareholders have the right to elect the board of directors and to approve
any change in the corporate charter. Although each share of stock carries the same number of votes,
the voting procedure is not always the same from company to company.
A popular model used to calculate the present value of the future dividends of a firm’s com-
mon stock is the constant dividend growth rate model. This model can be stated as follows:
Value of Dividend for Year 1
= (10–2)
Common Stock Investor’s Required Dividend Growth
a b - a b
Rate of Return Rate
The valuation of common stock differs from the valuation of preferred stock (and bonds) because
common stock has no promised dividends. As a result, we use expected future dividends to esti-
mate the cash flows to the common stockholders. Because we are discounting expected future cash
flows, we discount them using the expected rate of return the investor anticipates from an invest-
ment with the risk of the common stock being valued.
KEY TERMS
Constant dividend growth rate model, Initial public offering (IPO), page 334 The
page 338 A common stock valuation model that first time a company issues stock to the public.
assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate This occurs in the primary markets.
forever. Majority voting, page 336 Each share of stock
Cumulative voting, page 336 Voting in allows the shareholder one vote, and each position
which each share of stock allows the shareholder on the board of directors is voted on separately.
a number of votes equal to the number of directors Proxy, page 336 A means of voting in which
being elected. The shareholder can then cast all of a designated party is provided with the temporary
his or her votes for a single candidate or split them power of attorney to vote for the signee at the cor-
among the various candidates. poration’s annual meeting.
Concept Check | 10.1
KEY EQUATIONS
1. What are the attributes of Dividend Dividend 1 Dividend Dividend 2
common stock that distinguish a1 + b a1 + b
Value of Common Paid in Year 0 Growth Rate Paid in Year 0 Growth Rate
it from bonds and preferred = +
Stock in Year 0 1 2
stock? Stockholder’s Stockholder’s
a1 + b a1 + b
2. What does agency cost mean Required Rate of Return Required Rate of Return
with respect to the owners of a
∞
firm’s common stock? Dividend Dividend 3 Dividend Dividend
a1 + b a1 + b
3. Describe the three-step Paid in Year 0 Growth Rate Paid in Year 0 Growth Rate
process for valuing common + 3
+ g + ∞
(10–1)
stock using the discounted Stockholder’s Stockholder’s
a1 + b a1 + b
dividend model. Required Rate of Return Required Rate of Return
Dividend
Dividend in Year 0 a 1 + b
Growth Rate Dividend in Year 1
Vcs = = (10–2)
Stockholder’s Required Dividend Stockholder’s Required Dividend
- -
Rate of Return Growth Rate Rate of Return Growth Rate
10.2 Use the price/earnings (P/E) ratio to value common stock. (pgs. 343–347)
SUMMARY: The price/earnings model for stock valuation is commonly referred to as a relative
valuation approach. The reason is that we define value relative to firm earnings and relative to how
similar firms’ earnings are valued. The P/E valuation model is defined as follows:
Value of Price>Earnings Firm
= a b * a b (10–4)
Common Stock Ratio Earnings per Share
The P/E valuation method is generally used in association with the comparables approach. Specifi-
cally, the P/E multiple is generally determined by examining the P/E ratios of comparable firms.
We learned that the price/earnings ratio is determined by the profitability of the firm’s investment
opportunities, the fraction of the firm’s earnings that it reinvests in the firm, and the riskiness of
the firm’s common stock.
KEY TERM
Concept Check | 10.2
Price/earnings ratio, page 343 The price the market places on $1 of a firm’s earnings. For
1. If a corporation decides to example, if a firm has earnings per share of $2 and a stock price of $30, its price/earnings ratio is
retain its earnings and reinvest 15 ($30 , $2).
them in the firm, does the
market value of the firm’s KEY EQUATIONS
shares always increase? Why
or why not? Value of Appropriate Estimated Earnings P
= a b * a b = * E1 (10–4)
2. What is the price/earnings Common Stock, Vcs Price/Earnings Ratio per Share for Year1 E1
model of equity valuation?
3. How does a firm’s dividend P D1 > E1
policy affect the firm’s P/E ratio? = (10–5)
E1 rcs - g
10.3 Identify the basic characteristics and features of preferred stock and
value preferred shares. (pgs. 347–352)
SUMMARY: Preferred stock has several characteristics that make it unique. Specifically, unlike
bonds, preferred stock does not have a fixed maturity date. Moreover, preferred stock dividends are
typically fixed, unlike common stock, which may not pay any dividend. The following are some of
the more common characteristics of preferred stock:
• There are multiple classes of preferred stock.
• Preferred stock has a priority claim over common stock with respect to the proceeds from
the sale of assets and the distribution of income.
• Preferred stock dividends must be paid as promised before any common stock dividends
can be paid.
• Protective provisions are often included in the contract for the preferred shareholder in
order to reduce the investment’s risk.
The value of a share of preferred stock is equal to the present value of the stream of con-
tractually promised future dividends discounted using the market’s required yield on shares
of preferred stock of similar risk. Because the preferred dividend is typically the same for all
future years and there is no maturity date, the present value of these dividends can be solved
as the present value of a level perpetuity. That is, the value of a preferred stock is simply the
ratio of the promised preferred dividend divided by the promised yield of a preferred stock with
similar risk.
Study Questions
10–1. Regardless of Your Major: Getting Your Fair Share on page 334 focuses on the
valuation of a new business venture. If you were faced with the need to value this
business, what would you want to know about the business?
10–2. Why is preferred stock referred to as a hybrid security?
10–3. Because preferred stock dividends must be paid before common stock dividends,
should preferred stock be considered a liability and appear on the right side of the
balance sheet alongside of the firm’s long-term debt?
10–4. Discuss two reasons why investors may perceive preferred stock to be less risky than
common stock.
10–5. In Finance for Life: Herd Mentality on page 335, we learned that it is common
for investors to follow the investment lead of others. If they are all investing in
dotcom firms or biotech firms, you might be swayed to jump on the bandwagon
and do the same. How might the media help reinforce herd behavior?
10–6. Compare the methods for valuing preferred stock and common stock.
10–7. The market’s required yield on preferred stock is actually a promised rate of return.
Explain this statement.
10–8. Common stockholders receive two types of return from their investment. What
are they?
10–9. The opening vignette on page 333 described Google first going public in
2004. Prior to going public, did Google’s stock have a market price? What
principles would go into determining the value of a company that hadn’t gone
public yet?
Study Problems
MyLab Finance Common Stock
Go to www.myfinancelab.com 10–1. (Measuring growth) If Pepperdine, Inc.’s return on equity is 16 percent and the man-
to complete these exercises online agement plans to retain 60 percent of earnings for investment purposes, what will be
and get instant feedback.
the firm’s growth rate?
10–2. (Measuring growth) If the Stanford Corporation’s net income is $200 million, its
common equity is $833 million, and management plans to retain 70 percent
of the firm’s earnings to finance new investments, what will be the firm’s
growth rate?
10–3. (Valuing common stock) (Related to Checkpoint 10.1 on page 340) Header
Motor, Inc., paid a $3.50 dividend last year. At a constant growth rate of
5 percent, what is the value of the common stock if the investors require a
20 percent rate of return?
10–4. (Valuing common stock) J. Pinkman Motors, Inc., paid a $3.75 dividend last year.
If J. Pinkman’s return on equity is 24 percent and its retention rate is 25 percent,
what is the value of the common stock if the investors require a 20 percent rate of
return?
10–5. (Valuing common stock) The common stock of NCP paid $1.32 in dividends last
year. Dividends are expected to grow at an 8 percent annual rate for an indefinite
number of years.
a. If your required rate of return is 10.5 percent, what is the value of the stock to
you?
b. Should you make the investment?
10–6. (Measuring growth) Given that a firm’s return on equity is 18 percent and manage-
ment plans to retain 40 percent of earnings for investment purposes, what will be the
firm’s growth rate? If the firm decides to increase its retention rate, what will happen
to the value of its common stock?
10–7. (Valuing common stock) Wayne, Inc.’s outstanding common stock is currently sell-
ing in the market for $33. Dividends of $2.30 per share were paid last year, return on
equity is 20 percent, and its retention rate is 25 percent.
a. What is the value of the stock to you, given a 15 percent required rate of return?
b. Should you purchase this stock?
10–8. (Measuring growth) Walter White, Inc.’s return on equity is 13 percent, and man-
agement has plans to retain 20 percent of earnings for investment in the company.
a. What will be the company’s growth rate?
b. How would the growth rate change if management (i) increased retained earnings
to 35 percent or (ii) decreased retention to 13 percent?
10–9. (Measuring growth) Solarpower Systems expects to earn $20 per share this year and
intends to pay out $8 in dividends to shareholders and retain $12 to invest in new
projects with an expected return on equity of 20 percent. In the future, Solarpower
expects to maintain the same dividend payout ratio, expects to earn a 20 percent re-
turn on its equity invested in new projects, and will not be changing the number of
shares of common stock outstanding.
a. Calculate the future growth rate for Solarpower’s earnings.
b. If the investor’s required rate of return for Solarpower’s stock is 15 percent, what
is the price of Solarpower’s common stock?
c. What would happen to the price of Solarpower’s common stock if it raised its
dividends to $12 this year and then continued with that same dividend payout
ratio permanently? Should Solarpower make this change? (Assume that the inves-
tor’s required rate of return remains at 15 percent.)
d. What would happen to the price of Solarpower’s common stock if it lowered its
dividends to $4 this year and then continued with that same dividend payout ratio
permanently? Does the constant dividend growth rate model work in this case?
Why or why not? (Assume that the investor’s required rate of return remains at 15
percent and all future new projects earn 20 percent.)
10–10. (Measuring growth) Tyrion L.’s Gadgets Inc. is trying to decide whether to cut
its expected dividends for next year from $8 per share to $5 per share in order to
have more money to invest in new projects. If it does not cut the dividend, the
firm’s expected rate of growth in dividends will be 5 percent per year, and the
price of its common stock will be $100 per share. However, if it cuts the dividend,
the dividend growth rate is expected to rise to 8 percent in the future. Assuming
that the investor’s required rate of return does not change, what would you expect
to happen to the price of Tyrion L.’s Gadgets’ common stock if the firm cuts the
dividend to $5? Should Tyrion L.’s Gadgets cut its dividend? Support your
answer as best as you can.
10–11. (Valuing common stock) Dubai Metro’s stock price was at $100 per share when it
announced that it would cut its dividends for next year from $10 per share to $6 per
share, with the additional funds to be used for expansion. Prior to the dividend cut,
Dubai Metro expected its dividends to grow at a 4 percent rate, but with the expan-
sion, dividends are now expected to grow at 7 percent. How do you think the an-
nouncement will affect Dubai Metro’s stock price?
e. What would happen to the P/E ratio (P/E1) and stock price if the company in-
creased its retention rate to 60 percent (holding all else constant)? What would
happen to the P/E ratio (P/E1) and stock price if the company paid out all its earn-
ings in the form of dividends?
f. What have you learned about the relationship between the retention rate and the
P/E ratio?
10–14. (Valuing common Stock) Assume the following:
• The investor’s required rate of return is 15 percent.
• The expected level of earnings at the end of this year (E1) is $5.00.
• The retention ratio is 50 percent.
• The return on equity (ROE) is 20 percent (that is, it can earn 20 percent on rein-
vested earnings).
• Similar shares of stock sell at multiples of 10 times earnings per share.
a. Determine the expected growth rate for dividends.
b. Determine the price/earnings ratio (P/E1) using Equation (10–5a).
c. What is the stock price using the P/E ratio valuation method?
d. What is the stock price using the dividend discount model?
e. What would happen to the P/E ratio (P/E1) and stock price if the firm could earn
25 percent on reinvested earnings (ROE)?
f. What does this tell you about the relationship between the rate the firm can earn
on reinvested earnings and the P/E ratio?
Preferred Stock
10–15. (Valuing preferred stock) (Related to Checkpoint 10.3 on page 352) Calculate the
value of a preferred stock that pays a dividend of $6 per share when the market’s re-
quired yield on similar shares is 12 percent.
10–16. (Valuing preferred stock) Pioneer’s preferred stock is selling for $33 in the market
and pays a $3.60 annual dividend.
a. If the market’s required yield is 10 percent, what is the value of the stock to
investors?
b. Should investors acquire the stock?
10–17. (Valuing preferred stock) What is the value of a preferred stock where the dividend
rate is 14 percent on a $100 par value and the market’s required yield on similar
shares is 12 percent?
10–18. (Valuing preferred stock) You own 200 shares of Somner Resources preferred stock,
which currently sells for $40 per share and pays annual dividends of $3.40 per share.
If the market’s required yield on similar shares is 10 percent, should you sell your
shares or buy more?
10–19. (Valuing preferred stock) Kendra Corporation’s preferred shares are trading for $25
in the market and pay a $4.50 annual dividend. Assume that the market’s
required yield is 14 percent.
a. What is the stock’s value to you, the investor?
b. Should you purchase the stock?
Mini-Case
You have finally saved $10,000 and are ready to make your first Your required rates of return for these investments are 6
investment. You have the following three alternatives for invest- percent for the bond, 7 percent for the preferred stock, and 15
ing that money: percent for the common stock. Using this information, answer
the following questions.
• Capital Cities ABC, Inc., bonds, which have a par value of
$1,000 and a coupon interest rate of 8.75 percent, are selling a. Calculate the value of each investment based on your re-
for $1,314 and mature in 12 years. quired rate of return.
• Southwest Bancorp preferred stock is paying a dividend of b. Which investment would you select? Why?
$2.50 and selling for $25.50. c. Assume Emerson Electric’s managers expect an earnings
• Emerson Electric common stock is selling for $36.75. The downturn and a resulting decrease in growth of 3 percent.
stock recently paid a $1.32 dividend, and the firm’s earn- How does this affect your answers to parts a and b?
ings per share have increased from $1.49 to $3.06 in the d. What required rates of return would make you indifferent to
past five years. The firm expects to grow at the same rate all three options?
for the foreseeable future.