12th Maths Chapter 11
12th Maths Chapter 11
12th Maths Chapter 11
Probability Distributions
image Suppose
3. Two balls are chosen randomly from an urn containing 6 red and 8 black balls.
X
that we win15for each red ball selected and we lose 10 for each black ball selected.
denotes of winning amount, then find the values of X and number of points in its inverse
images.
Solution:
Number of red balls is 6.
Number of black balls is 8.
Probability Distributions 320
Cach red ball selection wins 15.
Each black ball selection loses 10.
v denotes the winning
amount. Two balls are selected.
TE tWO red balls are selected then
the winning
If one red and one black balls are selected thenamount
is 30.
the winning amount is ? 15-10= K
If two black balls are selected then the winning amount is
(-10-10) =- ( 20
. X takes the values 30,5,-20.
Y(o) denotes the number of points.
6x5
X(30) =6c, x&c, = 15
2
X(5) = 6c, x 8c, =6x8 = 48
8x7
X(-20) =6c, x8c, = 28
Values of random variable 30 5 -20 Total
Number of points in inverse 15 48 28 91
image
4. A six sided die is marked 2' on one face, 3 on two of its faces, and 4' on remaining three
faces. The die is thrown twice. If X denotes the total score in two throws, find the values of
the random variable and number of points in its inverse images.
Solution
The sample space (2,2). (2,3),(2,4),(3,2),(3,3), (3,4), (4,2),(4,3). (4,4). Since X denote the
total score in two throws, it takes the values 4,5,6,7,8. This gives
[4 if o= (2,2)
|5 if o=(2,3), (3,2)
X(0) = 6 if o=(2,4),(3,3),(4,2)
7 if o= (3,4),(4,3)
8 if o= (4,4)
Number of points in inverse images are shown in the table.
Values of Random Variable 6 Total
Number of points in inverse image 2 3 2 1
EXERCISE 11,2
1. Three fair coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability mass function for number of
heads occurred.
Solution
Let X denote the number of Heads.
Therefore, X can take the values 0,1, 2,3.
The probabilities are given by
1
P(X =0) = P(TTT]=
321
Probability Distributions
3
P(X =1) = P[HrT]+P[THT]+ P[TH]
1 3
P(X =2) =P[HHT]+ P[HTH]+P[THH]=3*8 8
P(X =3) =P[HHH=
The probability mass function can be presented as
0 2 3
3 3
PX =x]
Note
Working Rule
(i) Define what is X
(ii) Identify the values of X.
(iii)Calculate the probability of each X values. (While calculating the probability take
caution with the concept of replacement or without replacement.
2. A six sided die is marked '1' on one face, '3' on two of its faces, and '5° on remaining three
faces. The die is thrown twice. If X denotes the total score in two throws, find
) the probability mass function (ii) the cumulative distribution function
(iii) P(4 sX <10) (ii) P(X >6)
Solution
Since X denotes the total score in two throws, X is a random variable that takes the values
2,4,6,8, and 10.
From the adjacent table we have
INI 1 3 3 5 5 5
1 4 4 6 6 6
3 4 6 8
3 4 6 6 8 8 8
5 6 8 8 10 10 10
5 6 8 10 10 10
5 10 10 10
1 4 10
P(X =2) = 36 P(X =4) =36 P(X =6)=
36
12
P(X =8) = P(X =10) =
36 36
Probability Distributions 322
() The probability mass function is
X 2 4 6 10 Total
1 10 12
P[X = x] 1
36 36 36 36 36
1 5 15 27 36
F() = P[X sx]
36 36 36 36 36
0 1 2 3 4
X
1 5 11 15 16
P[X Sx] 16 16 16 16 16
323 Probability Distributions
+. SuppOse a diserete random variable can only take the values 0,1, and Z.
The probability mass function is defined by
for =0,1,2
otherwise
Find (i) the value of k (ii) cumulative distribution function (iii) P(X >1).
Solution
(i) We know that)I
Here s) =f0) +f()+ f(2) =1
1 2+ 5 8
-=1’k =8
=+
kk k
The probability mass function is
X 1 2
2 5
P[X = x]
8
(ii) The cumulative distribution function is
X 0 2
3
P[X <x] or F(«)
8
(iüi) P(X>1)
P[X 21] = 1-P[X <1]=1 81 7
5. The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable is given by
0 - 0<<-1
0.15 -1<x<0
|0.35 0<x<1
F() =
|0.60 1sx<2
0.85 2<x<3
3<x<o
Find (i) the probability mass function (ii) P(X <l) and (iiil) P(X >2).
Solution : (i)The equivalent table is
X -1 0 2
F(«) 0.15 0.35 0.60 0.85
fo)= P[X =x] 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.25 0.15
(ii) P(X <1) = P(X=-1)+P(X =0) =0.35
(ii) P(X > 2) =P(X =2)+ P(X =3) =0.40
Probability Distributions 324
6. Arandom variable X has the following probability mass function:
X 2 3 4 5
f(*) 2k2 3k2 2k 3k
Find (i) the value of k
(ii) P(2sX<5) (ii) P(3<X)
Solution ()
X=-o
fr) =l’k'+2k2+3k + 2k+3k =6k +5k =1
That is, 6k +5k-1 = 0.
Solving we get k = or k=-1.Since 0s f()s1,k = 1
6 6
(i) P(2< X <5) = P(X =2) +P(X =3) +PX=4)
5 2 17
= 2k" +3k +2k =5k+2k = +
36 6 36
(iii) P3< X) = P[X>3] = P(X =4)+ P(X=5)= 2k +3k =5k =,
6
7. The cumulative distribution function of a
discrete random variable is given by
|0 for -00 <x<0
for 0<x<1
2
for 1<x<2
F() =
4
for 2Sx<3
9
for 3<r<4
10
1 for 4<x< 0
Find (i) theprobability mass function (ii) P(X <3) and (iii) PX 2).
Solution
(i)The another form of the table is
X 1 2 3 4
1 4 9
F()= PX<x] 1
5 10
1 2 1 1
f(r)= PX =x] 10 10 10 10 10
1 2 4
(ii) P(X <3) = P(X =0) + P(X =l)+P(X-2)= 10-+ 10 + 10 5
2 1.1 2
(iii) P(X > 2) = P(X =2)+ P(X=3)+ P(X =4)= 10 10 10 5
}25
Probability Distributions
EXERCISE 11.3
|kxeo2x for x>0
1. The probability density function of X is given by fx) = for xs0
0+k. =1
2
’k=4.
0<x<1
2. The probability density function of X is f(x) =2-x 1sx<2
otherwise
Find (i) P(0.2<X<0.6) (ii) P(1.2sX<1.8) (ii) P(0.5sX <1.5)
Solution
0.6 0.6
2
Jo.s
2x-=[0.5-0.125 +3.0-1.1252+0.5]
2
= 0.75.
3. Suppose the amount of milk sold daily at a milk booth is distributed with a minimum of 200
litres and a maximum of 600 litres with probability density function
k 200<xs600
|0 otherwise
Find (i) the value of k (ii) the distribution function
(iüi) the probability that daily sales will fall between 300 litres and 500 litres?
Solution
|k dx =1
200
ke for x>0
4. The probability density function of X is given by f() =
for x0
Find (i) the value of k (ii) the distribution function (ii) P(X<3)
(iv) P(5s X) (v) P(X s4)
Solution
)Since f) is aprobability density function, f() 20 and f() dx =1, that is,
dx =1
1
When x> 0, F() = P(X <x)= |f(x) dx= ;e
327 Probability Distributions
for x<0
F(r) =
-e for x>0
(ii) P(X <3)= F(3) =1-e =1-e.
8iven by,
S. If X is the random variable with probability density function f(x) 1s
x+1, -1sx<0
j(x)=-x+1, 0sx<l
|0 otherwise
F) = P(X s)=(f()dt
-1 J
1
2 +x+
When x21, F) =ffde+[fsdr +[f(dx+jrodx -I 0
+X + -1<x0
F(x) = 2
-x' 1
txt 0<x<l
2 2
F()=;+*) 0<x<I
1, I<x<o
then find (i) the probability density function f(x) (ii) P(0.3 <X <0.6).
Solution
(i) the probability density function f(r)
Differentiating F(x) with respect to x at continuity points of f(), we get
x<0
0sx<
fx) =F'(r) =(2r+1)
2
0sx<lie., f(x) =3
otherwise
1<x
P[X = x]
2 2 1 2 2 1
or f(x)
10 10 10 10 10 10
Or p;
23
Mean: E(X) = P, =10 =2.3
X=1,2,3
Mean =
2r -x 163 _4-2+1=;
1 3 3 3
16 1 2 17
-8 +
3 2 3 6
17 25 1
Var(X) = E(X')-[E(X)> 6 9 18
Probability Distributions 330
1
e for x>0
(6v) f()=2
otherwise
-=8
f() 1 4 2
P[X =x] 7
Mean =
3. If and o are the mean and variance of the discrete random yariable Y and
np = 2 i.e., mean =2
npq = 1ie., variance =1
J. A Commuter train arrives punctually at a station every half an hour. Everyday in the morning,
a student leaves his home to the railwav station. Let X denote the amount of
time, in
minutes, that the student waits for the train from the time he reaches the railway station. The
pdf of X is
0<x<30
f(x) =30
elsewhere
- 30
-o 3 3
Var(X) = E(X²)-[E(X)] = 3 1
8 4
8. A lottery with 600tickets gives one prize of F200 four prices of T100, and six prizes of <JO.
If the ticket costs is 2, find the expected
winning amount of a ticket.
Solution
The expected winning amount of a ticket
1
EX)= (c09 600
4
+(100) x -+(50)x-
600
6
600
+0x
589
600
3
=1.5.
EXERCISE 11.5
P[X = x]:=-px=0,1.2,.,n
P(X =4) =
(ii)atlcast one time
3. Using binomial distribution find the mean and variance of X for the following experiments
(i)A fair coin is tossed 100 times, and X denote the number of heads.
(ii) A fair die is tossed 240 times, and X denote the number of times that four appeared.
Solution
1
(i) Here n = 100, p= 2 and g5
Hence mean = np = (100) =50 and
2
P(X =3)
=(0.9)'(L.2+0.9) =2.I(0.9)".
(iii) P (atleast 2 will not have useful life) =
P (at most 10 will have a useful life of atleast 600 hours)
P(X s10) = I-P(X>10) =1-[P(X -11)+ P(X =12)]=1-|2. 1(0.9)"
7. The mean and standard deviation of abinomial variate X are respectively 6 and 2.
Find (i) the probability mass function (ii) P(X=3) (ii) P(X>2).
Solution
Given np = 6 and npq = 4.
2
Hence q= 3
and p=;n= 18.
I8
PX =0)+ PX =) = :
P(X 22) =1
8. If X ~ B(n, p) such that 4P(X = 4) = P(=2) and n=6. Find the distribution mean and
standard deviation.
Solution 4P(X =4) = P(X =2)
335 Probability Distributions
6 6)
4p' = q'
4p' = (|-p)
3p´ +2p-l= 0 ’ (3p-1)(p+)=0
2
3
since p*-l, q=7
,x=0,1,..6
2
Mean = np =2 and standard deviation =npg =:
9. In a binomial distribution consisting of 5 independent trials, the probability of 1 and 2
successes are 0.4096 and 0.2048 respectively. Find the mean and variance of the
distribution.
Solution
Given n =5.
That is P ! ’q=4p’-p=4p’l=5p.
4
4
We get p = 5 and q= 5
4
Mean is np =land variance npg
EXERCISE 11.6
Choose the correct or the most suitable answer from the given four alternatives :
1. Let X be random variable with probability density function
2
f()=7
x<I
Which of the following statement is correct?
(1)both mean and variance exist (2) mean exists but variance does not exist
(3) both mean and variance do not exist (4) variance exists but Mean does not exist
Probability Distributions 336
Solution
Since
--0
fo) =1 0<x<l
|0 I<x<21
The mean and variance of the shorter of the two pieces are respectively
(1) (2) (3) !, (4)
23 2'6 12 2' 12
Solution
Mean =
Jo
Variance = [Option : 4]
3. Consider a game where the player tosses a six-sided fair die. If the face that comes up is 6,
the player wins 36, otherwise he loses k, where k is the face that comes up
k={1,2,3,4,5). The expected amount to win at this game in is
19 19 3
(1) (2) (3) (4)
6 6 2
Solution
Let X denote the winning amount. The possible values of X are -1,-4,-9,-16,-25,36.
Probabilitymass function is
-1 -4 -9 -16 |o -25 36
1 1 1
1
f() 6 6 6 6
1 4 9 16 25 36 55 36 19
Mean E(X) =xf)=-;6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
[Option : 21
4. A pair of dice rumbered 1,2,3,4,5,6 of a Six-sided die and 1, 2,3,4 of a four-sided die is
rolled and the sum is determined. Let the random variable X denote this sum. Then the
number of elements in the inverse image of7 is
(1) 1 (2) 2 (3) 3 (4) 4
337 Probability Distributions
Solution
The elements in the inverse image of 7are {(3,4),(4,3).(5,2), (0,)}* [Option : 4]
n= 25 and p=0.ð then standard
J. A random variable X bas binomial distribution with
deviation of X is
(1) 6 (2) 4 (3) 3 (4) 2
Solution
q=0.2. Standard deviation is ynpg =(25)(0.8)(0.2) =2 . [Option : 4)
heads and the number of tails
0. Let X represent the difference between the number of
obtained when a coin is tossed n times. Then the possible values of X are
(1) i+2n, i=9,1,2..n (2) 2i-n, i=0,1,2..n
(3) n-i,i=0,1,2..n (4) 2i+2n,i =0,1,2..n
Solution
n
No. of heads 0 1
Hence b-a= 12. Hence the not possible values of a and b are 16 and 24.
[Option:4]
8. Four buses carrying 160 students from the same school arrive at a football stadium. The
buses carry, respectively, 42, 36, 34 and 48 students. One of the students is randomly
selected. Let X denote the number of students that were on the bus carrying the randomly
selected student. One of the 4 bus drivers is also randomly selected. Let Ydenote the number
of students on that bus.
Then E[X] and E[Y] respectively are
(1) 50, 40 (2) 40, 50 (3) 40.75, 40 (4) 41,41
X 42 36 34 48
f(x) 42 36 34 48
160 160 160 160
E(X) = 40.75
Probability Distributions 338
Y 42 34 48
36
f() 1 1 1 1
4 4 4
[Option :3]
E(Y) = 40
9.Two coins are to be flipped. The first coin will land on heads with probability 0.6, the Second
with probability 0.5. Assume that the results are independent, and let X equal tne tota
number of heads that result. The value of E(X) is
(1) 0.11 (2) 1.1 (3) 11 (4) 1
Solution P(X =0) = P(TT)=0.4x0.5=0.2
P(X =1) = P(TH)+ P(HT) =(0.4x0.5)+(0.6x0.5) =0.5
P(X =2) = P(HH) =0.6x0.5 =0.3
E(X]=p()=(0x0.2) +(x0.5)+(2x0.3) =0+0.5+0.6=1.1
[Option : 2]
questions, the
10. On a multiple-choice exam with 3 possible destructives for each of the 5
probability that a student will get 4 or more correct answers just by guessing 1s
11 3 1 5
(1) (2) (3) (4)
243 243 243
Solution
1 2
Given 3 possible answers, p = and g==,Let X be the number of correct answers.
3 3
P(X 24= P(X =4)+P(X =5)
12 10
P(X =4) = 81 3 243
1
P(X =5) = 243
11
Therefore P(X >4) = [Option : 1]
243
Solution :
Given that P(X =0) +P(X =1)=1.This gives X can take only the values 0 and 1.
Hence X follows the binomial distribution with p= P(X=1), q= P(X =0).
Also given E(X) = 3var(X) ’ np=3rnpg
1
.. q=
3
1
ie., P(X=0) = Opt : (4)
Solution
2 3
and n=10
Given Mean np=6 and npg = 2.4. Hence q = npq-=0.4= So P5
np
ax
Solution (ar +b)dx =| 2
+bx
Jo
2-a
ab=1
2
b=
2
ar' br'7
E(X) =(ar +br) dr =
(0
3
+
2
ab 7 a +2-a 7
32 12 3 4 12
4a+(6-3a) = 7
a=1; b=
oo-p -[Cp'd-p
(1- p)
341
Probability Distributions
P 1
I-p 3
3p+p =1
p =
4
[Option :2]
20. A computer salesperson knows from bis Dast experience that he sells computers to one in
every twenty customers who enter the showroom. What is the probability that he will sell a
computer to exactly twoof the next three customers?
57 57 193 57
(1) (2) (3) (4) 20
20 20² 203