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Basic Probability

Probability

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49 views

Basic Probability

Probability

Uploaded by

ghosharkoprabho
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
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: Peogagiity THE oy Probability ; Phebabilits ii is Q Concept whieh pamericallly, mensuve, Lhe chypre oe uncerdri nity and 4 oefove. , 4 curtalraily 4 the. otturrence. evict: of an even’ A can opps un wt ha we a ibn n ways , all these. Ways being wally Lely LU, ne the probalstl 5 Copel Jy FCA tc Kawber. of favourable cases teh ap. of mutuedly exclusive and ej ually ikea ri ey Wo. A davowranhe oubcomes vies ” Pte) nb- gq possible. cube owes rt te Pilg. ae and Pik 2 ss le Space. He at § al oultones a experiment i ce Jawa. Lpacé and te Aempte oh Bie eome$ > The. “nese a Sandon expeximent ane. cabled ‘Ue “outcomes. When tus coins bested. , the possible. oultomes are. HH, TL 47TH. Thiel and Eve Ene Perfprnanes He Sandpnr experins ie cabled a trick: and oulzome is bermec| : Tsing Ob a Cein is a brie! band the_furns or r teil if an evyexts a oh 3 bap dro, hab te tne prob that 7 aN ‘ : aie as 12 on dice, whic is not it pecsible Mette # compe wi events Ke indevseclm tow evoubp A ancl B, clevsted by ANG AB, ts called combound eveut Zhrk. Bquaky Likely Everts. Tise- even ooo hard te m Can net io as EE fifo other. 1 pe dtaud— cod from well thapftedl 1 We wnt Casal, ther He In ais a dice, all the six paces One equal Phe nally Exclusive Eveuls! Two- evens ane ote be mufiall exclushve, phon the Occurence ones thom ex Whee | dhe. ocenyvence- of the ster. (of he iwhksecbten 4 By hoe ewul ts ie Ey bar---2 En ana ENE agp! S= flab 45 63, A= $13 2 SB aS 2 103 Ann= § onctrally excclushye. event. oe On tossma_ a com, eithes- We gt | head oy tad , but not both Exhaustine Evewth. Event, To- evel Ne. Sorel be be Sameer | then necessarily. eceurs- In other words , Liee- te ane exhaustive 4 thery uvlou he 46 —> even oA , See B= 31,3, 3 5 odd ua. es eve. CRESS CR gresbr tome | Ne AOR H$UUsyS6P~S ss exhuche eyot | AoBUC = FUYBY, S835 6-5 ale exhaudye eet any, ARDS ety Fad te prot. of trou ath . ) 5, () aw even why with an ordinary Ay fad du. Blac (9) Thom ava 6 pth cys wht tia die. com ful and thane is any ome ey of Pooaig ©. Poh. = _l0- & fevewralle von) a rb ua. of enuely Ll ah 6 dew, ) Prob-= 2 “pS No - of conys ellovg 2,4 623 ; oe Find the path. of thowing 9 var tar Lica, pe Tatall ne g porsibde opt § tered wg Atop gee i AG: Co coups peg Vie, (ats), (4s), (SHH), (43) = Meee lg se oplee py 3b i) ae SE fran a peck FR cools, omets clyrun. ok vennclon- find the Pro ge gellng a keg « $M Keg com bechiten te Y asa’. eh cede Se Aa $k IS Bee baht is Whe Prof. thet Meoilp telectal ot Bend Gite a Neo Hear , select Ont BP) sll conde 5 -cunleys. (err > (, gh Stra a teab year bas seg day which rooms 52 Week and tus extra day Gk, S66= PARED. osost i) Bee fair) Sam aud Mon, (v) Mon and Toe WV) He owk wed, fui) wed ow Thur jlvif) Thur ad fri i 1 Raa tre erent vp will Aeffon if tre tet ave days 4 he Ausf year ave eithy, Sab ad Send oy Sun aol Mor. 1, Fovoenhe wl ~ Q ebnentary evens ag Seog cita) Prd ee On a weak, Hncrr 3 F tee i "age ) : hilipaet ee op EES Deft bat -- tEnd> PCA) +PLE IF ~~ -+PcEn)) shoe P(E.) = 2 nee N > Tetal no- deiole whe RES Be, MED whee 1 TE OE empl 4 fp event Ey , ain by 0 a4 An um contains To black and lo while balls. Find the a probalstthy of alsausivg fey balls 4 the Aame colons - she Total wo- of balls = lotle = 20 Nw chow bells con be chown tne, ways . But eo pa, & dhevoing- two back halle =! en Re, and Pri- of dhawing to whily balle a + Prob. 45 drawing twe- ball & the Kame colduy = lee, he z Ve, ee o i ONT ft exe A bag contadrs ms while and ter black halle and a -decond cotaine thee % ech cohuy. A fs Adlieted odl ronthon , and a ball ts thon abvauen at vourdony front re bag chicen. Lab is the Prob thot tte ball ofaenn is white? So. Thea ene tur onelually exclusive eases , (BD thar tae fist bag ts chacen (I) Whe the Accord beg teehee BE Dab. chasing Gat began , ond if tu beg 1 Chosen, the a drawi vg a while bald ts 4 (ured nb-G_ balls = ©), ey ears Hence. the. pod. of feasng a while bal) frot # vy Similarfy the prob. f araving- awhile ball prom setod “BE ty s the evewh aye rnubialy exlusive , te Aaguibced pool. Hh 8 ts DASS ‘he fe, b Thyeo muthines L, BD awd I manupa chive despe F ia Ie ase ; he total procluclen . The. percentage: of i clu cool 1,2 wd is By oA A defedivo items” pro ba ea percent Aespectiody, for an thin chpsen ob yandom , whol HA the pooh it te defeclie? auc Te defecBire ilam produce by machine £ =H se 2 08 ” ” ” oD u 4 uv ZL = o0-sxy ee 78 | a 0 TE = OKI =o au 4 uw “ (ae [a The tated defebre hia froduaal by machines 3,2, 27 = Gt 2b] ayboa? jo fv Ta oe feguited fra = 0-089 20/089 Ass Ont +540") : Cy thse 3 machines are deferded evach athe) - Mubiblicaliar Lao of Probabidtty: PCABI= PLAY-PCD where PUAD= ZL P(E me mth) 7 MMe tone (AB ave thee IWebedext eveucle- ok, fin avetiche. wenuf actives boy a combat conidy ti 0 ports fh and B- TH Ue. Process 4 monfeclive of Pot Ay 1 out fo ave Likely be defedive . Srwitely, Soak Jo are. Dikely 1 bo defective io te maupaclive g pat 8. Calculate the proiccbiltty tot the assembled avttob. ail vst. be. dafeclive (assuring that the eves of frdiig the pal # non dehacline and that of B ave indefe leu). foe Pb, that part A sll be defeclie = 4. eh Set Se vw = [0 Noos Pook Uset Part A at) wet be defectve. = M2 = a 1 18 ” Fie = pe QUT AM ot? ea hE = 40 i a +, Prob that tre asrembled aniteh ill nob be obfecluc. CIO = 6B61S- (we wulbirly veeg Rae orcnd.) m Uh) I ( Protehilily : Condition ¢ Let A and B be Pan ewende POWYTO © Then cond) Hewat prob ef deweted by PONIBD » 1 defied by p(may= LENG pny Theoem s ep the wveitt a ond B defined on 4 ample 4 spac = 2 $ a ranch cupertient ae. twtopenddeat , tre pen /) =P | pralny=F Profs ¢ A and B ave, gies ‘do ho trdof-evsdeat avons > P Chanda) = PMD+ PCB) >. PCB) = PLANR = PCA andé PCR) wo f(A aedB > pce) a Semple fever. s ad bob tie event” giver hy ee PUNY, PUB)” ma : plan) = PCAMAY 4» plB>- PCA Pn) p(n) > [rai=R®.] Bares THEOREM + Af 61, Br, C3 ,-~ ~ by are. ve event, wilh PCB SHO , (ial %->-24) ofs experiment then gor awy arbitvary event A fe the sample crface. of, “Ue above ase alih PUN)>0, we dove. p(Blny= PCBs) PR/ Rr) a P(By) P(AIB)) mally exclusive. a Jawitom EXLW fn ton Yocmlans 3 Me ms 5 “ar er ey ie piece ae whi. on 6 sed hulle, one ball is dyqum at -yaudent gro ow & the wens ie: dnd ae ashile. Find the pre thet TE tons cram foot unt - oie) os | Solu AE) tthe bal te dyawn for vin S ss Be ie ee ee : 3 Eee Me ee chek : = > wokate ball dynes Fe hue & find PCO /0S=7 by Bay's Heertet , wh phe il 7 Ploye> = PCO» P Cwloy PO). P(WID YE Pls): P27 0s) m0) ve P(O)=Y Pl U2)=Y_ 7. p(le/ 01) = Pla while ball ts drawn ~ a8 = 3 F P( 2/02) — PCa web ball ts cbeaar Wu DY = = fo Neus pon 0, P(v/wy= £* > (0,/t0y ame Sar Et oF wtan p(UIb) = 33 Be] the > Grdilion tnbBe et to fi doi, Ae ay oe “"Astewabic Defathen of Probailily: :-— dt 8 be Ue ~Smpple Ape and A be an evect associated) with a Jambo erpevmer. ie Pre peebstalily of Woe eveut A, denited) by RIA, Ae pel OS A Beal warber Aadiapring. the delodvy ax ows. t) oS PAYS) (> PED=H s a 8 ene nitiedly o* yh ean cone ontally exdusive w) €y, Ae far Aue - - OYE % at of maliially exdbsh-e, p(B 10 BDH — VU An== 3) PERO PRD Pan exdisdve te ANB=S) dusiee eves POPS =permrerre ovewts, PLAI®* pcre ® events > 3 far- & wamber fs selected Lyon wm first 2c ndreal seamless, tohek he prebabilsty tak gt wold be divisibotg Y ov 72 ge dae Wo bate eeu Hthrok the winder selected would lao Awisile by Yo and 8 tthe event thet the seloched yugaber rood be abtvisibbe by 7. . Then BOB clenlic We eqeuc “Bae the weber would va divisible wy y ol. Neat» We nek ‘dwt A=$u, #121620 2b oma B=§ 7,1) 213 wWhues Ss 3143 ie as. Roe, Ang rll sb—d =O, “ie the crab Rand @ one mull oxchive ond os duchy wee have pravad= PEAT ® —W) pead= Wd /nes> > E0257 P(By=_nlB/ nl = aps ee freO > we ove. PRU B= 6 + 3 =r dhs | Bored Te privelily Hae tmpossible event is ze08 , ‘es if fg ts tes Cevet) onteng ne sale pent, PL f)=o- Pref — Ke certain eles Com the tmbersifle overt ¢ one waduadls exchulve. es cone no Seamfete Ply ie wots, is ene in $& 5 ty yell pr p (sof) =P t PCP) ( AxioaGit>) rect thet 3s cottain te tebben) S ond bt = SOF = S psd = p(S> +P) Erisopra mrttn Fs ~ AF =e Grea Therma 2-4 A the composters event of A, At P(A) =1- PCM SI. Profs — A awk Ro ove vwiltualy esihasie: event , ab Avhes PC ava) = F CFS tek) at te =) CAxiow iy] Seth » peayaP@d=1 — CAxion i) PUD = IH PCAY "PLAS 0, it flows thet ‘ prA< 1) Os elt ‘e ran BE 2 -P(AND < PcAy+PCB), Pack s—“A §o The ation f the ynithial exclusive eles AZ ad AB aw & is the uion of the vaithelly oxluine event AG avk AB. i PLAD= PLA +PCAR) [LL Ariew' iv) and PE®D=PLAB* PAH [Adonliti)] puar+P B= CPLA PAOE PAS 4POB) J ag = PCALB)+P (ANG « aCe? Fe Sesull fellows » Clady, aD Prarsecad— p(ane) —PrAe PC AS) =PC8&) Toro 94 Baa , BYS PCH) Pook i~ B and AT ore oudliolly exclusive -eventt gt RURB =A. PCavAg)= P(A “ We CRF ACRE D =PLAD = [ Pom ith] (®), pra? S PCA)

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