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In 2017, he was awarded theNobel memorial prizes in economic science for his
contributions to behavioral economics. In its announcement, the Royal Swedish
Academy of Sciences stated that his "contributions have built a bridge between the
economic and psychological analyses of individual decision-making. His empirical
findings and theoretical insights have been instrumental in creating the new and
rapidly expanding field of behavioral economics.
Thaler has written a number of books intended for a lay reader on the subject of
behavioral economics, including Quasi-rational Economics and The Winner's Curse,
the latter of which contains many of his Anomalies columns revised and adapted for
a popular audience. One of his recurring themes is that market-based approaches are
incomplete: he is quoted as saying, "conventional economics assumes that people are
highly-rational—super-rational—and unemotional. They can calculate like a computer
and have no self-control problems.
Paul M Romer is known for his contributions to endogenous growth theory, which
emphasizes the role of technological progress driven by human capital and
innovation in long-term economic growth.
Romer's work suggests that investments in research and development, education, and
technology play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of an economy over the
long run. He advocates for policies that promote innovation and knowledge creation
to drive sustained economic growth.
One of his key contributions is the development of the concept of a common value
auction, where bidders have a common but uncertain value for the item being
auctioned. This concept has important implications for understanding bidding
behavior and optimal auction design in situations where bidders have incomplete
information about the item's value.
Wilson also played a crucial role in the development of the simultaneous multiple-
round auction format, which has been widely used in practice for allocating various
resources, such as radio spectrum licenses.
His work has greatly advanced our understanding of how auctions work and how they
can be designed to achieve efficient outcomes. The impact of his contributions
extends beyond academic research and has influenced the design of real-world
auctions, including those used by governments and private companies.
Abhijit Banerjee’s “Occupational choice and the process of development” (joint with
Andy Newman) and Michael Kremer’s “The O-ring theory of economic development”, both
published in 1993, build bridges between market failures due to asymmetric
information at the micro level and aggregate output and growth at the macro level,
thereby laying the foundations for modern growth theory.
They formalise how individual occupational choice decisions map onto aggregate
employment and output through the creation of firms. Both papers model plausible
mechanisms that create poverty traps, and can therefore explain why societies
starting out in very similar place can end up in very different equilibria.
The mechanism studied in Banerjee and Newman (1993) links inequality to credit
market imperfections, which determine whether individuals engage in wage work,
small entrepreneurship or manage to hire others and start a firm. An economy that
starts poor and equal will remain so because nobody will ever be able to start a
firm, thus forcing everyone into subsistence entrepreneurship.
Kremer’s O-ring theory (1993) studies growth through the lens of organisational
economics, thereby connecting what goes on inside a single firm with aggregate
economic performance. The paper challenges the view of labour as a homogeneous
factor of production and explicitly models the complementarities between workers
within different talents doing different tasks within the same firm.
The key assumption is that the value produced by a given worker in a given task
depends on the quality of the output produced by workers responsible for other
tasks. This generates assortative matching and implies that small differences in
skill levels will result in huge differences in productivity and income. These are
amplified by the fact that with imperfect information, individuals will under-
invest in education, implying that small differences in education policy will
produce even larger differences in income.
Importantly, the paper opened up the possibility that misallocation, in this case
through the mismatch of workers, can explain cross-country differences. Today, the
misallocation of both capital and labour is seen as key (Restuccia and Rogerson
2017).
Market failures call for government intervention, but whether such interventions
can be effective in practice is an open question. Esther Duflo’s first paper
answered it by providing evidence on the effect of government investments in
schools on educational achievements and earnings.
Duflo (2001) exploits a rapid and very large school construction effort in
Indonesia, which varies in intensity across geographical areas. She combines this
variation with the observation that only children who were sufficiently young when
the schools were built could have possibly benefitted from them. This allows her to
estimate the effect of school construction on enrolment, exploiting ‘differences-
in-differences’ between young and old cohorts and between high programme intensity
and low programme intensity areas.
Banerjee and Duflo further argued that these misallocations can be traced back to
various market imperfections and government failures. Hence, a core step in
understanding, and ultimately alleviating, poverty is to identify sources of the
observed inefficiencies as well as policies that could address them
Milgrom also played a crucial role in the development of the simultaneous ascending
auction format, which has been widely used in practice for allocating various
resources, including radio spectrum licenses and other complex assets.
His research has greatly advanced our understanding of auction theory and has
provided valuable guidance for the design of efficient auction mechanisms in real-
world settings. Milgrom's work has had a profound impact on both economic theory
and practical applications in auction design, contributing to more effective and
efficient allocation of resources in various industries.
One of his key contributions is the development of the concept of a common value
auction, where bidders have a common but uncertain value for the item being
auctioned. This concept has important implications for understanding bidding
behavior and optimal auction design in situations where bidders have incomplete
information about the item's value.
Wilson also played a crucial role in the development of the simultaneous multiple-
round auction format, which has been widely used in practice for allocating various
resources, such as radio spectrum licenses.
His work has greatly advanced our understanding of how auctions work and how they
can be designed to achieve efficient outcomes. The impact of his contributions
extends beyond academic research and has influenced the design of real-world
auctions, including those used by governments and private companies.
In 2021, David Card was recognized for his empirical contributions to labor
economics, particularly his influential work on the minimum wage and immigration.
Joshua D. Angrist’s contributions focused on the development and application of
econometric methods, such as instrumental variables, to address causal
relationships in observational data. Guido W. Imbens was acknowledged for his
advancements in statistical methods, especially in the context of treatment effects
and causal inference.
David Card received the Nobel Prize in Economics for his significant contributions
to empirical labor economics. One notable contribution was his groundbreaking
research on the minimum wage. In the early 1990s, Card conducted a study with Alan
Krueger, challenging conventional economic wisdom that increasing the minimum wage
would lead to job losses. Their empirical analysis of the effects of a minimum wage
hike in the fast-food industry found no significant negative impact on employment.
This study challenged prevailing economic theories and sparked a shift in the
understanding of the minimum wage’s impact on employment. Card’s work emphasized
the importance of empirical evidence and highlighted the complexity of labor market
dynamics, influencing subsequent research and policy discussions on the minimum
wage.
Joshua D. Angrist received the Nobel Prize in Economics for his contributions to
empirical microeconomics, particularly his development and application of
econometric methods that deal with causal relationships in observational data. One
of his notable contributions is the advancement of instrumental variables (IV)
analysis.
Angrist’s work on IV methods has been influential in addressing endogeneity issues
in observational studies, where confounding factors can bias estimates of causal
relationships. He developed and refined techniques that use natural experiments or
quasi-random variation as instruments to isolate causal effects, providing more
robust and credible results in empirical research.
By improving the rigor of causal inference in observational studies, Angrist’s
contributions have had a profound impact on how economists analyze data, enhancing
the reliability and validity of empirical findings in various fields within
economics.
Guido W. Imbens received the Nobel Prize in Economics for his significant
contributions to the development of statistical methods, particularly in the field
of causal inference. One of his key contributions is related to the advancement of
methods for dealing with treatment effects.
Imbens has worked extensively on refining and developing statistical techniques to
estimate causal effects in observational studies and randomized experiments. His
work has addressed challenges such as selection bias and unobserved confounding,
providing researchers with robust tools to draw reliable causal inferences from
observational data.
By contributing innovative and rigorous methods for assessing treatment effects,
Imbens has played a crucial role in shaping the field of econometrics and has had a
lasting impact on empirical research in economics. His work has provided
researchers with valuable tools to better understand and draw valid conclusions
about the causal relationships in complex real-world scenarios
The Diamond-Dybvig model explains how banks’ role in providing liquidity can lead
to bank runs, where depositors rush to withdraw their funds, fearing the bank will
not have enough cash. This model helped in understanding the importance of
financial institutions in the economy and the necessity of mechanisms like deposit
insurance and central bank support to ensure financial stability.
Philip Dybvig, along with Ben Bernanke and Douglas Diamond, was awarded the Nobel
Prize in Economics in 2022. This recognition was for their collective work in
improving our understanding of the role of banks, particularly during financial
crises, and their impact on the economy. Their research has had a significant
influence on both economic theory and policy formulation in the financial sector.
Goldin’s influential work has also delved into the concept of the “U-shaped” female
labor force participation rate in the United States. This concept describes how
women’s participation in the workforce initially declined with industrialization
and then increased in the latter half of the 20th century as societal norms and
economic incentives changed.
Additionally, she has studied the impact of education on the labor market,
particularly how the expansion of education has affected women’s careers and
earnings. Her research often highlights the interplay between gender, economics,
and social norms, offering a comprehensive view of women’s economic history and the
factors contributing to the gender wage gap.