Disaster Risk
Disaster Risk
Keywords: Climate change has already been affecting the entire globe in all aspects of life. Along with miti-
Climate change gation efforts, adaptive response actions are gaining increasingly urgent importance for many re-
Responsive gions to considerably reduce the most severe impacts of climate change on social and physical in-
Adaptation frastructure. As the severity and frequency of climate change impacts and consequences grow fast
Coastal
and highly alarming, particularly for small and vulnerable coastal area (SVCA) countries, the ur-
Qatar
gency and magnitude of the crises call for immediate and more adaptive responses. This study
proposes that SVCA countries, being on the frontline of climate change vulnerabilities, impacts,
and risks, should prioritize their resources and capacity and focus on developing and implement-
ing immediate, tailored, adaptive response policies, plans, and actions. Long-term mitigation ef-
forts would not help them reduce their current or immediate vulnerability in the short-term, as
long as large countries with comparably huge populations, economies, heavy industrial depen-
dences, and extreme consumption levels do not change their courses significantly. Therefore, this
study presents a framework of climate change, sustainability, resilience, risk reduction, and adap-
tive response as a nexus to conceptualize the problem and solutions properly. Such a framework
is needed to develop synergies between climate change and immediate adaptive response for
such countries. The study analyzes Qatar, a typical SVCA country, assessing its current vulnera-
bilities & risks and potential physical, social, and economic challenges. Finally, it concludes with
a discussion on recommended adaptive responses proposed for Qatar.
1. Introduction
Climate change refers to the long-term alteration of Earth's average weather patterns, including temperature, precipitation, and
other climate variables, primarily driven by human activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere
[1–3]. The impacts of climate change on cities include more frequent and intense heatwaves, storms and floods, sea level rise, and
other extreme weather events, which can damage infrastructure, disrupt essential services, and affect the health and well-being of res-
idents [4,5]. Climate change (CC, a.k.a. global warming) refers to changes in the climate condition caused by human activity or na-
ture that last for a long time, generally decades or more. Climate change may result from internal natural processes, external forces, or
enduring manmade changes in the atmosphere's composition or land use. The effects of global warming are already being felt in many
locations, including shifting weather patterns, increasing sea levels, unusually high or low-temperature levels, excessive melting snow
and ice [6], and increasingly severe and frequent hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons. It has already adversely impacted ecosystems,
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: shoukat.khan@tamu.edu (S.A. Khan), anrashid@hbku.edu.qa (A. Al Rashid), mkoc@hbku.edu.qa (M. Koç).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103969
Received 30 April 2023; Received in revised form 10 August 2023; Accepted 27 August 2023
Available online 30 August 2023
2212-4209/© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
S.A. Khan et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 96 (2023) 103969
freshwater resources, and human health. It is undeniable that this tendency will continue and have more effects in the future, even
though the future frequency and severity rates are unpredictable [7].
Nearly 11% of the world's population, or 896 million people, already reside in low-lying coastal regions and are exposed to inter-
acting climate- and non-climate coastal hazards [8]. Many megacities and urbanized areas on the coasts are the hub of economic, so-
cial, and cultural activity and critical infrastructure. As a result of compounding various effects, climate change impacts the economy,
culture, society, habitation, infrastructure, health, welfare, food, and water security [9]. The impact of storm surges, major precipita-
tion events, tropical cyclones, and sea level rises has already been felt in smaller island communities and coastal areas [6].
Although there are no known ways and means to stop climate change entirely, the worst effects can be mitigated by adopting a
net-zero emission approach to lower the quantity of heat-trapping gasses emitted into the sky. However, the window of opportunity
for meaningful mitigation actions to avert adverse global effects is rapidly closing, and climate change is likely to increase the fre-
quency and severity of the impacts [10]. Coastal regions are particularly susceptible to the effects of climate change [11–17]. Thus,
adaptation or adaptive responses to climate change are considered a more immediate and helpful way of action under time and re-
gional urgencies. IPPC defines adaptation as “the process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects” [8], while miti-
gation represents actions taken in response to climate change to reduce global warming and its consequences.
Hence, the need to determine the ideal balance of mitigation and adaptation has been growing [18] depending on the geographi-
cal location, population density, critical infrastructural vulnerability, etc. Climate researchers and policymakers have recently turned
their attention to the possibility of creating synergy and striking a selective balance between climate change mitigation and adapta-
tion. With the temporal and spatial differences between adaptation and mitigation actions and expected results, a nexus framework
enhanced with a diagrammatic depiction of climate change, sustainability, resilience, risk reduction, mitigation, and adaptive re-
sponse is crucial for comprehending the issue, identifying critical factors, and facilitating communication within a wide range of
stakeholders, decision and policymakers and disciplines [19].
The main contributor to global warming is the emission produced by large developed or developing countries like the US, the Eu-
ropean Union, China, and India. These four countries or unions make up around 62.3% of the global GDP, 55.7% of energy consump-
tion, and 58.6% of emissions. However, their pollutive effects have been confronted and suffered by all regions and countries, large or
small, developed or developing, all around the globe [20]. On such a large scale, any mitigation efforts from small countries would
not significantly impact or change anything in the right direction in the short term to reduce the vulnerabilities, risks, and hazards for
their sustainability, resilience, safety, and security. With climate change's unpredictable and severe environmental impacts and lim-
ited time and resources, it is a critical question for small and vulnerable coastal area (SVCA) countries how to prioritize mitigation or
adaptation policies, plans, programs, and actions. SVCA emerges as a distinctive and targeted concept that warrants careful examina-
tion. While the more widely recognized terms “small islands” and “small island developing states” (SIDS) have been pivotal in charac-
terizing vulnerable regions, SVCA offers a refined lens through which to view vulnerabilities in coastal settings of smaller scale. Un-
like the broader categorization of SIDS, SVCA directs attention to coastal areas that may not be encapsulated within the typical island
context but share vulnerabilities due to their limited geographical expanse and susceptibility to climate change impacts. This differen-
tiation signifies the paramount importance of addressing vulnerabilities in coastal regions beyond the scope of conventional island
settings.
Adaptive response to climate change challenges in SVCA countries is a complex and multifaceted issue that requires a holistic and
integrated approach [21–23]. The challenges faced by SVCA countries are unique and often disproportionately affect their popula-
tions, as they are more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, such as sea level rise, coastal flooding, and more frequent and in-
tense storms. To address these challenges, SVCA countries must adopt various adaptive measures tailored to their needs and context.
These measures can include: strengthening coastal defenses, such as sea walls, revetments, and dikes; developing and implementing
early warning systems and evacuation plans; enhancing the resilience of critical infrastructures, such as power plants, water treat-
ment facilities, and transportation networks; promoting the use of climate-friendly technologies and practices, such as renewable en-
ergy and sustainable agriculture; building the capacity of local communities and institutions to adapt to climate change [24–26].
This study analyzes climate change impacts and risks for SVCA countries and their readiness regarding policies, preparations, and
actions to these challenges. The study also analyzes the state of Qatar's perspective as a case study of SVCA countries, the climate
change mitigation efforts by Qatar, its climate change risks, and critical challenges. Finally, this study suggests adaptation policies,
preparations, and actions to respond effectively to potential climate change emergencies in disaster conditions. The methodology
adopted to conduct this study is briefly discussed in the subsequent section. Section 3 of the study analyzes the current mitigation and
adaptation policies for SVCA countries and their effectiveness in the present CC scenario. Section 4 summarizes the climate change
risks and their impacts on SVCA countries, adaptation policies for SVCA countries, and the suggested direction for these practices
based on the literature. Section 5 analyzes responsive adaptation policies, preparations, and actions for climate change challenges
from the state of Qatar's perspective as a case study.
2. Methodology
2.1. Literature search & exclusion criteria
A wide range of articles, review papers, magazines, and internationally reputed blogs were reviewed using different databases,
i.e., Google Scholar, Springer, Scopus, Wiley, PubMed, and Taylor & Francis. The literature was searched using keywords within the
reported literature's title, abstract, and article keywords. The literature search was conducted using keywords such as global warm-
ing, climate change, responsive, mitigation, policy, coastal area, vulnerability, resilience, adaptation, environmental impact, and a
combination of these keywords. Furthermore, the literature was filtered to select articles written and peer-reviewed in English. The
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primary source of the reviewed literature was original research or review articles; however, conference proceedings, book chapters,
and theses were also considered. A total of 98 articles, books, and related sources were gathered during our literature search. The
gathered literature was filtered to consider the most relevant studies by skimming the main text of the articles. The criterion was to:
include the studies with current policies for climate change, consider the literature focusing mainly on the vulnerable coastal areas,
take account of the mitigation and adaptation policies, and exclude the articles where one of the themes mentioned above is missing.
Through a rigorous screening process, we refined this selection to 46 sources that met our stringent inclusion criteria. These chosen
works were primarily from reputable peer-reviewed journals and academic publishers, spanning 2017 to 2023, to ensure current rele-
vance.
3. Literature review
3.1. Current strategies: mitigation and adaptation
The world and its habitants already embrace an alarming degree of climate change impacts, and addressing it requires mainly a
two-pronged adaptation and mitigation strategy. Recently, climate research and policy have turned their attention to the possibility
of creating synergy between climate change mitigation and transformation [27] and focused on striking the right balance between
adaptation and mitigation for different regions and countries depending on their vulnerability, risk levels, and urgency.
The need for the study to determine the ideal balance of mitigation and adaptation is preferred in the literature [27]. For example,
Liu et al. [28] emphasized mitigation methods more than adaptation behaviors. The study also suggested activities and responsibili-
ties of governmental and non-governmental sectors to address climate change. Other researchers like Tol [29] argued that mitigation
and adaptation should be analyzed together in a cost-benefit analysis of emission reduction. Larsen and Gunnarsson Ostling [30] dis-
cussed the inter-relationships between adaptation and mitigation. Laukkonen et al. [31] considered it insufficient to concentrate on
either comfort or adaptation but a combination of both. Also, the research conducted by Nicholls and Lowe [32] indicated that a vari-
ety of adaptation and mitigation strategies should be considered for coastal regions since this will offer a more robust response to hu-
man-induced climate change rather than either strategy alone. Most of the research in these areas focused on the general approach to
climate change.
It is also worth noting that mitigation and adaptation policies might conflict with some of their actions. Hamin and Gurran [33]
performed a review, mainly for the Australian and U.S. cases, and reported that half of the measures included in an assessment of cli-
mate change policy had been determined to have potential conflicts with concurrently accomplishing adaptation and mitigation.
Biesbroek et al. [34] also studied the history of the adaptation-mitigation dichotomy and addressed the connection between climate
change responses and spatial planning. Some researchers like Pielke [35] spoke about the shortcomings of mitigating measures and
reported the necessity for adaptation as a fundamental part of climate policy. Similarly, according to Alan Ingham et al. [36], most
studies have concentrated on the scenario where society's only option is reducing emissions, with little to no place for education.
Even though future rates of change are unpredictable for climate change impact, it is undeniable that the tendency will continue
and have many more effects. The coastal zone, where consequences are evident and intensifying, and the need for adaptation, is par-
ticularly concerned about this issue. Climate change impacts in coastal and small countries are already alarming, and the need for
adaptive response actions is more significant and urgent.
Baills et al. [25] assessed selected climate change adaptation measures for coastal areas in their study. Fifty-one (51) coastal risk
adaptation measures were selected. Ten climate-change-related criteria were used to assess these measures. To address issues arising
in the Aquitaine region (southwest France, now administratively part of Nouvelle-Aquitaine), they listed possible measures for adap-
tation to climate change impacts at the regional level and focused on coastal hazards. Similarly, Adger [37] suggested adaptive gover-
nance, which includes the social and institutional contexts that shape the diversified learning environment. Self-organizing social net-
works that link people, groups, and institutions from various administrative levels and actor groups can be used to explain adaptive
governance systems. Information and knowledge are exchanged in these systems to create a shared understanding, which promotes
social learning. Adger et al. [37] identified the governance frameworks and environmental factors that hinder or encourage the im-
plementation of strategic adaptation plans as operational adaptation instruments at various administrative scales and social actors. In
public administration, science, civil society, and the tourist industry, multiple stakeholders operate at different organizational levels
(local to national). The metropolitan administration is an essential bridge entity by promoting climate change adaptation to numer-
ous interest groups and disseminating information among players.
Cross-scale studies have revealed that adaptation policies are comparatively new and spatially unequally distributed, particularly
with weak local government-led action in areas with lower adaptation capacity, high vulnerability, and exposure. Recently, Madrid
has been building a vast urban forest to combat climate change [38]. There is continual improvement in planned adaptation, and
there is evidence that, at least in highly developed nations, practical policy tools and measures are being deployed [37]. However, for
the rest of the regions and countries, this highlights the need for a thorough analysis of climate risks and scenarios and a much better
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understanding of the policy implications of adaptation tools [37]. Both mitigation and adaptation responses attempt to lessen the
harmful effects of climate change on people and ecosystems. Still, they differ in terms of their precise goals, range, needed degree of
cooperation, and time frame in their representation of the two-way interaction between human activity and global climate change.
Duguma et al. [39] distinguished between climate change adaptation and mitigation, Fig. 1.
Although the policies might differ from case to case depending upon factors such as surrounding risks, there are existing applied
policies and economic conditions. Simultaneously implementing mitigation and adaptation policies might be challenging for SVCA
countries due to the limitation of time, financial constraints, or severity of the impact. Also, such actions might be challenging for
countries with lower economic resources. Even the adaptation plans in wealthy countries are often inadequate and have gaps.
Fig. 1. (a) Climate change mitigation and adaptation (b) Climate Resilience.
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Fig. 2. An illustration of the potential evolution of risk, effects, exposure, and vulnerability in a coastal system exposed to climate change, moving counterclockwise
from 1900 (Adapted from reference [7], Copyright © 2019, Elsevier B.V.).
satellite measurements and by examining observations from thousands of independent weather stations worldwide [43]. Additional
proof comes from the fast reduction of the planet's ice cover. The average day is getting hotter in many places, and sweltering days are
now more common, Fig. 4. The frequency of scorching temperatures has significantly increased in the last decades. While looking
ahead, the further transformation will likely continue well into the next ten years, at the very least. Carbon dioxide (CO₂) and other
greenhouse gasses, such as methane and nitrous oxide, have increased in atmospheric concentrations due to human activity during
the last two centuries. This increase is the main reason for the observed temperature increase [44]. The fact that an increase in surface
temperature causes an increase in humidity is one of the most convincing conclusions of most if not all, climate model studies [8].
Warming seas and land surfaces give more water into the atmosphere through evaporation. Surface warming is causing a faster in-
crease in humidity since warm air can hold more water vapor [42]. Heat waves, rising temperatures, and moisture will lead to human
sickness, mortality, and infrastructure breakdown.
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Although the global average sea level rise (SLR) is undeniable, its pace and size are less definite beyond 2050 [46,47], which is crucial
for coastal towns and deltas that are heavily inhabited and sinking [48].
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pact extends to a large scale as coastal cities are usually the hub of economic activities for countries, which can affect other sectors,
such as supply chains, and have significant economic and geopolitical implications [55]. The followings are some identified sectors
that are predicted to be significantly affected in SVCA countries.
1. Physical infrastructure (roads, bridges, surge prevention levies, critical buildings such as hospitals, schools, power generation,
and transmission stations.)
a) Water security: network, system, and infrastructure.
b) Energy: electricity and gas network, system, and infrastructure.
c) Transportation network, plan, and infrastructure.
2. Communication infrastructure: tethered and wireless network, stations, sub-stations, power supply, etc.
3. Social infrastructure:
a) Healthcare system: essential services, hospitals, clinics, accessibility to doctors, nurses, and medicine supply.
b) Education system: schools, teachers, access, digital network.
c) Institutions: emergency responders, civil defense, integrity, preparation, etc.
4. Food security: production and distribution system and infrastructure
a) Agricultural production, logistics, supply, storage, and distribution.
b) Livestock, supply, and feedstock.
5. Industrial sector: Production, distribution, and storage of goods, raw materials, etc.
6. Tourism sector: hotels, airports, air travel, ports, sea travel, etc.
3.3. Effective adaptive response policies for climate change and its impact
Climate change caused by emissions, pollution, waste, overconsumption, and wasteful production leads to severe environmental
disasters and emergencies. The proper readiness through early assessment, strategy and planning, and responsive adaptation and mit-
igation strategies could provide a sustainable and resilient solution to these challenges. The diagrammatic representation of this SR4
(Sustainability, Resilience, Risk, Readiness, and Response Nexus) framework is represented in Fig. 5.
The best adaptation choices become difficult with the increasing unpredictability of climate change. However, to develop a suit-
able set of policies, programs, and actions for adaptation to climate change impacts, society, individuals, businesses, and government
institutions must agree and act for sustainable, resilient, and responsive thinking, capacity development, and organizations, Fig. 6.
The effectiveness of adaptation measures will be increased if they are carried out in collaboration with regional and national govern-
ments, academic institutions, commercial and nonprofit sectors, and local communities.
Predicting the effects of climate change can have many benefits concerning the adaptation of safe actions. Models are generally
used in climate change modeling to understand global climate cycles. The creation of models could show how human activities im-
pact the earth's climate system. Models organize knowledge, establish hypotheses, and depict potential future events. There are sev-
eral different models used in this field. The IPCC developed a well-established framework in which risk results from the interaction of
hazard, exposure, and vulnerability and is influenced by adaptation and mitigation [55]. This framework has been widely embraced
by many coastal engineers who operate in the field of CC. However, it is not the only framework. For example, a substantial percent-
age of the community uses the ISO 31000 standard for risk management. Aligning knowledge of risk concepts and showing how com-
parisons of risk assessments are made using various frameworks may be beneficial and result in objective decisions [7]. For the future
determination of climate change, it is necessary to evaluate both top-down climate affect forecasts and bottom-up information on pre-
sent vulnerabilities. The dynamic adaptive response plans help to decide when, how much, and how to adapt to keep up with chang-
ing circumstances [56]. Such plans are composed of activities connected by adaptation tipping points, which show when a new action
is required to achieve specific adaptation goals. Table 1 summarizes adaptation plans developed for different regions and cities.
Fig. 5. The climate of climate change, sustainability, resilience, risk reduction, and adaptive response as a nexus to conceptualizing the problem.
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Fig. 6. The transformation from Wasteful, Degenerative, and Reactive to Sustainable, Resilient, Regenerative, and Responsive thinking, decision-making, and actions as
individuals, firms, organizations, and governments.
Table 1
Studies from the literature regarding the adaptation practices in the coastal areas.
1 Taiwan An Adaptation Due to Climate Change on the Southwest Coast of Taiwan [40]
Approximately four typhoons hit Taiwan's coastline region per year. Rising sea levels and frequent hurricanes have endangered the
coastal habitats of Taiwan. These findings could help develop ways to put into practice and understand how to evaluate the advantages
of such a program.
2 Sweden Institutional capacity-building for targeting a sea-level rise in the climate adaptation of Swedish coastal zone management. [54]
Lessons from Coastby
Sea level rise, coastal erosion, and floods are all concerns that coastal areas worldwide deal with. According to scholars, this calls for
managing coastal zones to adapt to the climate. A Swedish case study provides insights into institutional limitations for climate
adaptation.
3 – Technological Options for Adaptation to Climate Change in Coastal Zones [57]
There are several technological options for adjusting to natural coastal dangers. They may also be crucial in lowering coastal regions'
susceptibility to climate change. Technologies are available to plan and create adaptation methods, implement them, track and assess
their effectiveness, and develop knowledge and awareness.
4 Taiwan An integrated spatial planning model for climate change adaptation in coastal zones. Ocean & Coastal Management [58]
The research highlights the spatial planning strategy for coastal sustainability and climate change adaptation. A case study is Cijin
Island, located next to Kaohsiung harbor, Taiwan. The suggested MOPSD modeling methodology produces better results than the two
conventional methodologies.
5 – Benefits of Mitigation of climate change for coastal areas [32]
One of human-induced global warming's most definite effects is sea level rise. Compared to unrestricted emissions, climate stabilization
lessens coastal consequences in the twenty-first century, while the most significant advantages could come in the 20-s century. The
findings imply that a combination of adaptation and mitigation approaches is required for coastal areas.
6 Barcelona Integrating climate change adaptation in coastal governance of the Barcelona metropolitan area [59]
Rising sea levels and frequent, violent coastal storms expose coastal towns to significant threats. The Barcelona metropolitan region has
relatively little experience with effective local adaptation techniques. Our research implies that strategic adaptation plans would be
more successful if adaptation planning and action were more effectively included in the current legal framework.
7 Wales Coastal Adaptation Planning in Fairbourne, Wales: lessons for Climate Change Adaptation [60]
Climate change adaptation is becoming an important goal and guiding principle for coastal communities. This essay investigates
current U.K. efforts to adapt to climate change, focusing on the situation of Fairbourne, Wales. The study uses a qualitative research
technique that includes policy analysis, interviews, and observation.
8 Spanish A planning strategy for the adaptation of coastal areas to climate change: The Spanish case [61]
Coastal area A national planning framework for climate change adaptation is presented in this research. The new Spanish Coastal Law is the source
of the approach, making it law. It involves the evaluation of coastal hazards brought on by climate change and severe events, as well as
planning, implementing, and evaluating risk reduction and adaptation measures.
9 Coastal Climate change adaptation in coastal Australia: An audit of planning practice [62]
Australia The physical threats from climate change are most acute in Australia's coastal cities and towns. Few municipalities have yet modified
their planning rules for climate risk despite continued development demand. The findings indicate that communities typically need to
complete preliminary tasks before implementing more complicated, costly, or political policies.
Based on the reviewed literature, the following suggestions could also be considered for responsive adaptation to climate change.
1. All levels of governance, including the public sector, the commercial industry, communities, and intermediaries like
universities or think tanks, must work together to develop assessment, strategy, and planning for inclusive and prosperous
climate adaptation actions tailored for different localities and communities [55].
2. All societal sectors need to be included in policy tools, strategies, and funding structures for adaptation that addresses
socioeconomic disparities.
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3. In providing planning and institutional action, local and regional governments are crucial. Potential solutions might include
various sizes and sectors, from land use management to critical infrastructure designs and community development initiatives.
4. Under innovative institutional forms like public-private partnerships, the private sector can raise money for adaptation
initiatives with a likelihood of significant financial gain, as in the case of interventions that increase real estate value [55].
5. Priority needs include the creation of appropriate design guidelines and precise decision standards to aid in incorporating
climatic information into port and harbor planning and administration [7].
6. To manage the risks associated with climate change and other changing social and biophysical factors, coastal urban
communities need more cooperative governance frameworks. According to studies, coastal environments are more likely than
other systems to create adaptive processes when various actors and stakeholders are involved.
7. Adaptation efforts might be gradual, reformist, or transformative, depending on the desired change. Cooperative planning
and decision-making processes may start conversations on a sustainable future [55].
8. Adaptation policy should align with mitigation policies where possible [6].
9. Designing the future pathways for adaptation of immediate, near-term, medium-term, and long-term actions should consider
evaluating the implications of climate change based on their risks, time, and effects.
10. Further research is needed to develop improved estimates of average and extreme climatic conditions with greater resolutions
and reliable measurements of the uncertainty cascade [63].
11. Adaptation plans should be created utilizing techniques that consider average and extreme weather conditions and the resulting
unpredictability [7].
12. Exploring naturally adapting solutions, such as nature-based or hybrid solutions, and developing and implementing flexible
adaptation methodologies should be preferred.
13. Self-organization of social networks, such as adaptive governance systems, link people, groups, and institutions from various
administrative levels and actor groups. These systems encourage social capital and enable social learning by sharing
information and knowledge to create a shared understanding.
4. Case study: mitigation and adaptation to climate change challenges for Qatar
According to the World Bank report [64], all the signs point to more severe repercussions of Sea Level Rise (SLR) in the Middle
East (ME) mainly due to its existing geographical and climate conditions, such as high temperature and humidity, year-long airborne
dust particles compounded with increasing air pollution coming from oil/gas production and consumption in industry, buildings, and
transportation. Specifically, 3.2% of its population, 1.28% of its GDP, 1.49% of its urban population, 1.94% of its wetlands, and
1.02% of its global urban population will all be negatively impacted by a 1 m SLR (vs. 1.86% worldwide). However, the impact is not
evenly distributed among all the countries in the Middle East. As an example of a small and vulnerable coastal area (SVCA) country,
Qatar is predicted to be significantly affected by climate change impacts [65]. However, its land area is minimal compared to the total
area of ME and squeezed between three major regional giants (Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq) in terms of land, population, energy pro-
duction and consumption, emissions, etc., Fig. 7. Impacts of CC are more critical in coastal areas with low elevation, high population,
and infrastructure density, like Qatar, where almost 99% of the population lives in a single urban area, greater Doha. This concentra-
tion of population and economic capital increases the cost of any disturbance, especially considering the accelerated impacts of cli-
mate change.
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Fig. 7. Qatar is a small and vulnerable coastal area (SVCA) country in a coastal area-geographical location, population, area, resources, and emissions in comparison to
regional powers [66,67].
Fig. 8. (a–c) represent max wet-bulb temperature (TWmax) and (d–f) max dry-bulb temperature (TDmax) for an average of 30 years period, RCP (Representative
Concentration Pathway) represents greenhouse gas concentration (GHG) emissions trajectory (Adopted from reference [68], Copyright © 2015, Springer Nature
Limited).
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ficient functions, lives, and operations during typical situations and providing power, water, and mobility for emergency teams dur-
ing and after any acute problem to restore and repair primary services [71].
All basic infrastructures are tightly interdependent, but their dependency on electricity and water is even more critical in Qatar
and similar regions. In Qatar, water production relies totally on water desalination from seawater (where the energy source is natural
gas). In addition, electricity is required for water pumping throughout the network. This dependency, the forecasted population
growth, and climate change effects induce tremendous obstacles for Qatar in reducing its carbon footprint as they all drive more de-
mands on fossil fuel-based energy. The drive to integrate renewable energy sources to minimize these impacts raises many concerns
regarding reliability and continuity.
Similarly, transportation directly influences socioeconomic dynamics and health and is affected profoundly by environmental con-
ditions. The restricted transportation limits commuting economic progress, educational access, and healthcare, in addition to wasting
time and human resources. Global warming and climate change harm public and private transportation systems by disrupting time
schedules, road and vehicle safety, and comfortable driving. Therefore, designing a resilient transportation network plays a crucial
role in having sustainable high living standards without interruption during and after natural hazards, such as heatwaves, extreme
temperature discrepancies, floods due to heavy rain and sea-level rise, and strong winds.
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Fig. 9. Qatar's SR4- Sustainability, Resilience, Risk, Readiness, and Response Nexus framework focuses on Responsive Adaptation or Adaptive Response.
these strategies are weakly defined regarding adaptation, response, and building resilience. In addition to the ongoing mitigation ef-
forts, a set of targeted, coherent, and detailed policies, programs, and action plans for responsive adaptation and resiliency-building
capacity should be designed from the perspective of the country's distinctive geography, climate, and social and economic conditions.
Considering the physical infrastructure (electricity, water, transportation, and built environment) as a critical factor in a country's
prosperity, welfare, sustainability, responsiveness to disasters, and resiliency, the country should develop a targeted and detailed plan
to adequately respond to extreme and sudden climate changes. This should be done with a responsive adaptation approach as its high-
est and urgent priority. Since flooding is a crucial risk for all the physical, social, and communication structures, the country can take
some urgent measures, including the following listed below. Fig. 10 represents some of the suggested responsive adaptation strategies
proposed in this study, such as integrated ships and boat systems, safe inland survival camps, sea walls, etc., for climate-impact emer-
gency conditions.
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Fig. 10. The adaptive response suggestions for climate change emergency challenges, specifically for Qatar, as a case study. Refer to the following discussions for
the numbering (1) Integrated fleet of ships, boats, and drones to provide shelter, health, food, onboard electricity, and water production; (2) (Re)design (Re)configu-
ration of critical infrastructures such as coastal road and levy system, large buildings such as hospitals, schools, and stadiums; (3) Transportation network: roads and
metro system enhanced with boats and drones; (4) Energy and water network: production, storage, and distribution; (5) Forecasting and mapping.
iii. The above critical, large infrastructures should be prepared and equipped with backup power, water, cooling, and food to
gather, house, and serve large populations safely in different locations in the country during disasters and emergencies.
iv. Adapt the safety techniques for existing infrastructure, such as drainage around the structure, safety walls for flooding, and
external insulation for increasing environmental temperature and heat waves.
v. Adapt and enforce proper construction techniques resistant to typical environmental hazards in the region, such as increased
humidity, salinity, and heat.
vi. Space cooling will become even more critical during emergencies if power is cut. The country should build its residential and
official buildings integrated with natural and passive cooling methods and technologies, learning from traditional techniques,
and equipping them with modern, distributed off-grid solutions such as portable solar PVs, heat pumps, modular and small
wind towers, etc. For example, the buildings can be integrated with ground source cooling techniques. Such measures should
be integrated into building codes for timely enforcement.
vii. Investigate and prepare the feasibility of different underground structures to use geothermal energy for building energy
requirements in case of harsh environmental conditions, such as heat waves or extreme cold [77].
viii. Investigate and find new technologies such as 3DP to develop the capacity of mass infrastructure development for residential
purposes in case of emergency conditions [78].
ix. Remote inland emergency neighborhood shelters with off-grid energy, food, water, and health facilities should be designed to
house and provide services for a large population in emergency conditions.
13
S.A. Khan et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 96 (2023) 103969
v. Develop new transportation infrastructure considering the effect of sea level rise and flooding. For example, overpass structures
should be preferred on underpasses for transportation.
14
S.A. Khan et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 96 (2023) 103969
and national governments, academic institutions, the commercial and nonprofit sectors, and local communities. Therefore, the cur-
rent study presents the case of Qatar as an SVCA country, its climate change risks, and critical challenges. It suggests adaptive re-
sponse policies, preparations, and actions to effectively respond to potential climate change emergencies in disaster conditions. The
government of Qatar is a significant player globally in mitigating the climate change challenges; however, it is also predicted to be
one of the most impacted territories soon. Considering the physical infrastructure (electricity, water, transportation, and built envi-
ronment) as a critical factor in a country's prosperity, welfare, sustainability, responsiveness to disasters, and resiliency, Qatar's cli-
mate change adaptation approach should keep the resiliency in these services at the highest priority. It is suggested to develop a struc-
tural plan to adequately respond to extreme and sudden climate changes and become resilient by incorporating various layers of soci-
ety, institutions, and government. The study suggests adaptive techniques for preparing for, responding to, and overcoming emer-
gency and disaster situations brought on by climate change, such as rising temperatures and humidity levels, rising sea levels, and
floods. It will contribute significantly to all sectors and ensure a sustainable, resilient, and prosperous future for SVCA countries, as
studied under the example of Qatar.
This study has certain limitations. First, it focuses on the climate change challenges and response needs of Qatar as a small and vul-
nerable area country in the Arabian Gulf. However, it attempted to develop and present a general framework of SR4. However, many
of the specific adaptive response policies and action suggestions are believed to also work in almost all SVAC countries worldwide.
Second, additional and detailed recommendations for specific adaptive response policies and actions could be developed and dis-
cussed, perhaps following a thorough investigation using agent-based and/or system-dynamic modeling and simulations. This would
be recommended for future work to fully understand various climate change challenges and impacts for a given locality and develop
systematic adaptive response action plans for different scenarios with the potential implementation plans, uncertainty, risk, and cost-
benefit analyses. In addition, for future studies, a detailed analysis of the obstacles and challenges involved in implementing these
programs could be a subsequent step, necessitating a thorough investigation tailored explicitly to the state of Qatar and its counter-
parts facing similar challenges in terms of economic, social, and environmental contexts.
Data availability
No data was used for the research described in the article.
Acknowledgments
Open Access funding provided by the Qatar National Library (QNL).
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