DLF - Ara - Fy23 - Hsie-202307260810490672012
DLF - Ara - Fy23 - Hsie-202307260810490672012
DLF - Ara - Fy23 - Hsie-202307260810490672012
DLF
A transformational year BUY
DLF in FY23 recorded its highest-ever annual presales of INR 150.6bn (+107%
CMP (as on 25 Jul 2023) INR 480
YoY), beating its annual guidance of INR 80bn. This was mainly due to strong
demand for its luxury project—The Arbour—which recorded presales of more Target Price INR 576
than INR 80bn. For FY24, it expects to achieve INR 120-130bn in presales, NIFTY 19,681
backed by 11.2msf of launches with a sale potential of INR 197bn. Net debt
reduced significantly to INR 7.2bn (vs INR 20.9bn as in Dec’22) on the back of
KEY CHANGES OLD NEW
a strong collection of INR 53bn (+19%YoY) during FY23 and the company
Rating BUY BUY
expects to grow residential collections by 20-25% in FY24 with free cash
earmarked for growth, dividend pay-out, and debt reduction. We have Price Target INR 504 INR 576
increased our TP to factor in better-than-expected presale velocity and sales FY24E FY25E
realisation. We build in 100bps improvement in WACC to factor in the peaking EPS Change %
- -
cost of capital. We have re-calibrated our land prices higher, given the 15-20%
price uptick in the NCR market. Further, DLF benefits from limited
KEY STOCK DATA
competition in the NCR market owing to well-located land parcels. We
maintain BUY with NAV-based TP of INR 576/sh. Bloomberg code DLFU IN
Key operational highlights: DLF registered INR 150bn worth of presales No. of Shares (mn) 2,475
(+106% YoY), of which 90% was from new launches (10.1msf during FY23, MCap (INR bn) / ($ mn) 1,188/14,528
+58% YoY). The top selling projects are The Arbour, Sector 63, Gurugram,
6m avg traded value (INR mn) 2,081
which registered INR 80bn worth of booking; the Grove in DLF5, Gurugram,
registering a booking of INR 18bn; the Valley Gardens in Panchkula, 52 Week high / low INR 518/337
registering a booking of INR 11.5bn and; Garden City Enclave, New Gurgaon,
registering a booking of INR 10.7bn. For FY24, 11.2msf is planned for launch STOCK PERFORMANCE (%)
with a sale potential of INR 197bn. As of Mar-23, DLF has INR 31bn of 3M 6M 12M
completed unsold inventory and INR 43bn of ongoing unsold inventory.
Management discussion and analysis: Management believes that residential
Absolute (%) 17.0 36.3 34.3
demand has sustained despite the steep hike in mortgage rates on the back of Relative (%) 6.7 26.1 15.3
leasing decision. Dependence on IT/ITes sector is lowering and demand for FPIs 14.66 15.30
flexible workspaces is increasing. Public & Others 5.17 4.88
Outlook and growth drivers: Within the residential segment, consolidation
Pledged Shares - -
of market share in favour of large developers is expected to continue with
them commanding a 30.5% share by FY24 from 29.3% in FY22. The office Source : BSE
HSIE Research is also available on Bloomberg ERH HDF <GO> & Thomson Reuters
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Statement analysis:
Income statement for FY23
Year ending March
FY21 FY22 FY23 Comments
(INR mn)
Since FY19, company is following IND AS115 completed contracted methodology of
revenue recognition. Company has contract liability of INR 60.8bn which will be converted
Net Sales 54,141 57,174 56,948
to revenue when performance obligation under completed contract method will be
achieved. Rental revenue is 4.1% of overall revenue.
Growth (%) (11.0) 5.6 (0.4)
Cost of land, plots, development and construction forms 80% of material expenses and was
down 17% YoY mainly on account of lower inflation in raw material prices. Other costs viz.
Material Expenses 28,492 27,450 24,340
service and maintenance/food, beverages and facility maintenance were up +15%/+34%
YoY.
An increase of +55% YoY, on account of +8% increase in total employee and +34% YoY
Employee Expenses 3,138 3,540 5,479
increase in average remuneration.
Commission and brokerage charges increased to INR 2.3bn (vs INR 2bn in FY22). Expected
Other Operating
8,333 8,759 9,871 credit loss for trade receivables, loans and doubtful advances increased to INR 1.17bn (vs
Expenses
INR 669mn in FY22)
EBIDTA 14,178 17,426 17,259
Slight reduction in EBITDA margin on account of higher annual reduction in net sales than
EBIDTA (%) 26.2 30.5 30.3
the operating expenditure.
EBIDTA Growth (%) 24.9 22.9 (1.0)
Includes non-operating income of INR 1bn (-47% YoY) and finance income of INR 2bn (-
Other Income 5,308 4,205 3,173 7.5% YoY). Non-operating income decreased mainly on account of lower fair value gain on
financial instruments i.e. INR 218mn (vs INR 1.2bn in FY22).
As a percent of average of opening and closing net block was 3.8% (vs 3.8%/3.9%/4.2% in
Depreciation 1,595 1,494 1,486
FY22/FY21/FY20)
EBIT 17,891 20,136 18,946
Decreased by 37% on account of total borrowing decreasing by INR 8.5bn YoY. The
Interest 8,534 6,246 3,921
weighted-average interest rate was 8.23% (vs 7.06% in FY22)
Exceptional items 962 2,244 -
PBT 8,396 11,646 15,024
Tax 3,623 3,210 4,015 Includes deferred tax of INR 4bn (vs INR 2.6bn in FY22)
PAT 10,826 15,003 20,339
Minority Interest (110) (5) (19)
Share of associates 6,053 6,567 9,330 Includes INR 9.5bn of share of profit from DCCDL group (vs INR 6.7bn in FY22).
EO items (net of tax) 962 2,244 -
APAT 11,538 16,664 20,339
APAT Growth (%) 16.3 44.4 22.1
EPS 4 6 8
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DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Page | 4
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Auditor remuneration
Auditor Fees (INR mn) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 YoY (%)
Audit fees 38 24 27 31 32
Page | 5
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Contingent liabilities
(INR mn) FY22 FY23 Comment
Under litigation:
Demand in excess of provisions (pending in appeals):
Income Tax Authorities have raised demands on account of
various disallowances pertaining to different assessment years.
The Group is contesting these demands, which are pending at
Income-tax 70,177 71,884 various appellate levels. The management is confident that
additional tax so demanded will not be sustained on
completion of the appellate proceedings and accordingly no
provision has been made.
There are various disputes pending with the authorities of
customs, service tax, sales tax, VAT etc. The Group is contesting
these demands raised by authorities and are pending at various
Indirect & other taxes 7,500 7,540
appellate authorities. The management believes that there is a
reasonably strong likelihood of succeeding before the various
authorities.
There are various litigations going on against the Group
primarily by Competition Commission of India and in
Claims against the Group (including unasserted claims)
12,479 14,535 Consumer Redressal Forum, which has been contested by the
not acknowledged as debts
Group. The management believes that there is a reasonably
strong likelihood of succeeding before the various authorities.
Others:
Guarantees on behalf of third parties 7,592 -
Liabilities under export obligations in EPCG scheme 4 4
Page | 6
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
ESG framework
DLF Limited has been a constituent in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index in the
Emerging Markets category for its sustainability initiatives and ESG practices for the
past three years. It is the only real estate company from India to be included in this
index. DLF continues to be a constituent in FTSE4Good Emerging Index as well. The
company has maintained rigorous safety standards vetted by world-class independent
organisations like the British Safety Council. It is the only group globally that has been
conferred 18 ‘Sword of Honour’ awards by them. DLF Buildings have also been
conferred with ‘Five Star Certifications for Occupational Health and Safety’ by the
British Safety Council.
Environmental: DLF’s commercial and retail properties are designed to comply with
LEED Green Building norms and have received LEED Platinum Certification from the
USGBC—the highest recognition for adopting environmentally sustainable practices
in building design and operation. The company has also invested in the reduction of
energy consumption and Green House Gas (GHG) emissions through the installation
of energy-efficient equipment in commercial properties, retail properties (DLF Malls)
and hospitality portfolio (DLF Clubs and Hotels), such as automatic tube cleaning
system in chillers, LED lights and motion sensors for lighting optimisation, energy
efficient HVAC, installation of Variable Frequency Device (VFD) in hydropneumatic
pumps, etc.
Social: The company has spent the prescribed CSR expenditure amounting to INR
212mn vs. INR 159mn (FY22). This expenditure has been incurred in the areas of
environment sustainability, healthcare promotion & educational initiatives, social
welfare promotion of sports, animal care, women empowerment and safety. During
the year FY23, DLF invested in fire safety enhancement through measures including
Two-Hour-rated fire doors installed in office spaces (commercial properties); basement
compartmentation for fire separation between the basement and upper storeys; lift
lobby pressurisation that prevents smoke from flowing into elevator shafts; and
installation of fire suppression system and LPG gas detection system in DLF Clubs.
Governance: The company not only adopted practices mandated in the SEBI Listing
Regulations but also incorporated the relevant non-mandatory compliances,
strengthening its position as a responsible corporate citizen. During the year, the
company did not receive any complaints under its whistle-blower policy. The board
comprises 13 directors, of which six were independent directors including a woman
independent director and represents an optimal mix of professionalism, knowledge
and experience. The company has an optimal combination of executive, non-executive
and independent directors to maintain the independence of the Board from the
management, which is in conformity with the rules.
Page | 7
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
DLF has guided FY24 presales to be in the range of INR 120-130bn on back of 11.2msf
of launch pipeline with GDV potential of 190bn. This includes, 3.5msf of Super luxury
project in DLF 5; 1.2msf of high rise project in Chennai; 3.5msf of high rise in
Gurugram; 1.5msf of low rise in Chandigarh Tricity. The remaining will be a 0.7msf of
commercial SCO project and 0.8msf another commercial project in Noida.
55.9 57.9
50.9
45.1
Downtown
FY24E rental
FY25E rental
FY26E rental
Rent escalation
Gurugram
Chennai
termination
Run rate
Page | 8
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
SOTP
We have increased our SOTP-based TP for DLF to factor in the better-than-expected
pre-sales velocity and sales realisation. We build in 100bps improvement in WACC to
factor in the peaking cost of capital. We continue to value office rentals at a 7.5% cap
rate, given the slower-than-expected recovery in leasing momentum and softer rental
pricing. We have calibrated our land prices higher given the 15-20% price uptick in the
NCR market. Further, DLF benefits from limited competition in the NCR market,
owing to well-located land parcels. We maintain BUY with NAV-based TP of INR
576/sh.
Details (INR mn) INR/share
Devco 127,221 51
Rentco (ex- DCCDL) 38,862 16
DCCDL Rentco (ex-land) 398,531 161
DCCDL land 120,000 48
Total Devco + Rentco 684,614 277
Other businesses 37,720 15
Land Bank 820,024 331
Total GAV 1,542,358 623
Less:
Net Debt 117,622 48
Equity value 1,424,736 576
Change in Estimates
FY24E FY25E FY26E
Particulars (INR
mn) % % %
New Old New Old New Old
Change Change Change
Revenues 68,395 68,395 - 73,267 73,267 - 88,359 NA NA
EBITDA 21,899 21,631 1.24 22,912 23,704 (3.34) 29,235 NA NA
Margin (%) 32.0 31.6 39.12 31.3 32.4 (108.16) 33.1 NA NA
APAT 24,185 22,668 6.69 26,880 26,142 2.82 32,986 NA NA
Peer valuation
Core Gross Presales (INR Core EV/Embedded
Total EV Total EV/ presales (x) Core EV/Net presales (x)
CMP TP Upside EV mn) EBITDA (x)
Companies (INR
(INR) (INR) (%) (INR
mn) FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E
mn)
Prestige Estates 555 630 14 270,227 150,341 129,209 148,590 169,393 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.9 6.1 5.3 4.6
Sobha 579 935 61 77,611 69,592 51,889 59,685 68,652 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 6.5 5.7 4.9
Kolte Patil 383 380 (1) 32,297 32,297 22,187 24,530 27,964 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.2 8.1 7.4 6.4
Brigade
562 632 12 172,223 74,956 40,939 47,489 54,613 4.2 3.6 3.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 9.3 8.0 7.0
Enterprises
Mahindra
478 521 9 76,579 60,448 18,120 25,000 28,750 4.2 3.1 2.7 3.3 2.4 2.1 17.8 10.3 8.5
Lifespaces
Oberoi Realty 1,064 1,158 9 394,020 222,910 51,020 59,532 67,271 7.7 6.6 5.9 4.4 3.7 3.3 11.9 9.4 8.7
DLF 480 571 20 1,218,265 623,152 150,600 128,010 144,651 8.1 9.5 8.4 4.1 4.9 4.3 11.4 13.4 11.8
Godrej
1,652 1,418 (14) 469,034 385,243 122,200 140,530 157,394 3.8 3.3 3.0 3.2 2.7 2.4 18.1 15.8 14.1
Properties
Macrotech
728 625 (14) 773,384 661,756 120,600 132,660 145,926 6.4 5.8 5.3 5.5 5.0 4.5 19.7 17.9 16.2
Developers
Phoenix Mills 1,652 1,800 9 316,672 661,756 3,757 4,132 4,545 84.3 76.6 69.7 176.2 160.1 145.6 440.4 400.4 364.0
Page | 9
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Financials
Consolidated Income Statement
Year ending March (INR mn) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Net Sales 83,661 60,828 54,141 57,174 56,948 68,395 73,267 88,359
Growth (%) 24.7 (27.3) (11.0) 5.6 (0.4) 20.1 7.1 20.6
Material Expenses 49,511 33,804 28,492 27,450 24,340 29,075 31,411 38,285
Employee Expenses 3,516 3,567 3,138 3,540 5,479 6,465 7,112 7,823
Other Operating Expenses 9,219 12,106 8,333 8,759 9,871 10,957 11,833 13,017
EBIDTA 21,415 11,350 14,178 17,426 17,259 21,899 22,912 29,235
EBIDTA (%) 25.6 18.7 26.2 30.5 30.3 32.0 31.3 33.1
EBIDTA Growth (%) (9.9) (47.0) 24.9 22.9 (1.0) 26.9 4.6 27.6
Other Income 6,633 8,054 5,308 4,205 3,173 3,205 3,365 3,533
Depreciation 2,246 2,003 1,595 1,494 1,486 1,635 1,717 1,803
EBIT 25,802 17,401 17,891 20,136 18,946 23,468 24,560 30,965
Interest 20,619 14,269 8,534 6,246 3,921 2,972 2,982 3,452
Exceptional items (1,273) 15,757 962 2,244 - - - -
PBT 6,456 (12,625) 8,396 11,646 15,024 20,497 21,578 27,514
Tax 2,774 2,167 3,623 3,210 4,015 5,575 5,891 7,511
PAT 13,192 (5,832) 10,826 15,003 20,339 24,185 26,880 32,986
Minority Interest (51) (65) (110) (5) (19) - - -
Share of associates 9,458 8,895 6,053 6,567 9,330 9,264 11,193 12,984
EO items (net of tax) (1,273) 15,757 962 2,244 - - - -
APAT 11,919 9,925 11,538 16,664 20,339 24,185 26,880 32,986
APAT Growth (%) (594) (17) 16 44 22 19 11 23
EPS 6.0 (2.4) 4.4 6.1 8.2 9.8 10.9 13.3
Source: Company, HSIE Research
Page | 10
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Key Ratios
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
PROFITABILITY (%)
GPM 40.8 44.4 47.4 52.0 57.3 57.5 57.1 56.7
EBITDA Margin 25.6 18.7 26.2 30.5 30.3 32.0 31.3 33.1
APAT Margin 14.2 16.3 21.3 29.1 35.7 35.4 36.7 37.3
RoE 3.8 (1.7) 3.1 4.2 5.5 6.3 6.7 7.8
Core RoCE 8.6 6.7 7.6 9.1 8.6 10.0 9.7 11.3
RoCE 8.6 6.7 7.6 9.1 8.6 10.0 9.7 11.3
EFFICIENCY
Tax Rate (%) 43.0 (17.2) 43.2 27.6 26.7 27.2 27.3 27.3
Asset Turnover (x) 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Inventory (days) 911 1,335 1,469 1,315 1,265 1,007 893 729
Debtors (days) 46 47 44 37 36 32 31 28
Payables (days) 89 94 77 88 102 94 92 77
Cash Conversion Cycle (days) 868 1,288 1,435 1,263 1,199 946 833 680
Debt/EBITDA (x) 8.0 7.1 4.7 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.1
Net D/E 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0)
Interest Coverage 1.3 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.8 7.9 8.2 9.0
PER SHARE DATA
EPS (Rs/sh) 6.0 (2.4) 4.4 6.1 8.2 9.8 10.9 13.3
CEPS (Rs/sh) 6.4 4.8 5.3 7.3 8.8 10.4 11.6 14.1
DPS (Rs/sh) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
BV (Rs/sh) 152.6 139.2 142.8 146.9 152.1 159.0 166.7 176.1
VALUATION
P/E 80.0 (203.7) 108.6 79.2 58.4 49.1 44.2 36.0
P/BV 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7
EV/EBITDA 55.1 109.7 87.5 69.9 69.3 54.2 51.2 40.0
OCF/EV (%) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
FCF/EV (%) 2.6 (0.2) 1.2 2.4 2.6 1.7 2.1 1.4
FCFE/Market Cap (%) 0.6 (3.7) (0.3) 0.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.1
Dividend Yield (%) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Source: Company, HSIE Research
Page | 11
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
1 Yr Price movement
DLF
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Oct-22
Jul-22
Jul-23
Jan-23
May-23
Mar-23
Feb-23
Jun-23
Aug-22
Sep-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Nov-22
Rating Criteria
BUY: >+15% return potential
ADD: +5% to +15% return potential
REDUCE: -10% to +5% return potential
SELL: > 10% Downside return potential
Page | 12
DLF: Annual Report Analysis FY23
Disclosure:
We, Parikshit Kandpal, CFA, Manoj Rawat, MBA & Nikhil Kanodia, MBA authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of
the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. SEBI conducted the inspection and based
on their observations have issued advise/warning. The said observations have been complied with. We also certify that no part of our compensation was,
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Research Analyst or his/her relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also Research Analyst or his
relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its Associate may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately
preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Further Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its associate does have/does
not have any material conflict of interest.
Any Holding: NO
HDFC Securities Limited (HSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000002475.
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