Introduction Entrepreneur
Introduction Entrepreneur
Introduction Entrepreneur
The entrepreneur is at the same time one of the most intriguing and one of the
most elusive characters . . . in economic analysis. He has long been recognised as
the apex of the hierarchy that determines the behaviour of the firm and thereby
bears a heavy responsibility for the vitality of the free enterprise society. (Baumol,
1968, p. 64)
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2 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 3
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4 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 5
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6 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 7
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8 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
goods of mainly one goods manufacturer also has limited discretion about
the nature of his or her business. And like other self-employed workers,
franchisees face uncertainty. In their case, not only is their income un-
certain, but there is also a possibility that the franchisor will either go out
of business, or refuse to renew the franchise agreement at the expiration
of its term.8
Two other ‘grey’ categories include unpaid family workers who work
in a business run by a self-employed person; and members of worker
co-operatives, who are not obviously either employees or self-employed
workers in the conventional sense of the term. Both groups tend to be
more numerous in developing than in developed countries, and in rural
than in urban areas. According to Bregger (1996, p. 5), ‘Unpaid family
workers are persons who work on a family farm or in a family business
for at least 15 hours a week and who receive no earnings or share of
the profits of the enterprise’. Blanchflower (2000) detected substantial
variation within developed countries in the proportion of self-employed
workers who are unpaid family workers, being as high as 33 per cent in
Japan, compared with 14 per cent in Italy and just 1.7 per cent in the USA.
As Blanchflower points out, it may not make sense just to discard unpaid
family workers from the self-employment count, since they often share
indirectly (e.g. via consuming household goods) the proceeds generated
by the business. Worker co-operatives are also relatively uncommon in the
UK, and tend to be larger and better established in European countries,
such as France, Italy and Spain (Spear, 1992).
Section 1.4 documents some international evidence on levels of, and
trends in, aggregate self-employment rates. At the aggregate level, it is
likely that alternative measures of self-employment are highly correlated
with each other, allowing trends within a given country to be identified
fairly reliably (Blau, 1987). However, to the extent that different countries
use different definitions of self-employment, cross-country comparisons
of levels have to be treated with caution.
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Introduction 9
A All workers
USA 13.83 8.94 8.70 8.50 7.33
Canadab 18.81 13.20 9.74 9.52 10.66
Japan 22.68 19.18 17.18 14.05 11.34
Mexico 34.25 31.29 21.67 25.64 28.53
Australia 15.86c 14.09 16.16 15.05 13.49
Franceb 30.51 22.17 16.79 13.26 10.56
Italy 25.93 23.59 23.26 24.53 24.48
Netherlandsb 21.87 16.65 12.23 9.64 10.46d
Norway 21.79 17.90 10.03 9.24 7.03
Spainb 38.97 35.59 30.47 26.27 20.49
UK 7.28 7.36 8.05 13.32 11.34
B Non-agricultural workers
USA 10.45 6.94 7.26 7.51 6.55
Canadab 10.17 8.33 7.05 7.40 9.46
Japan 17.38 14.44 13.75 11.50 9.35
Mexico 23.01 25.20 14.33 19.89 25.48
Australia 11.01c 10.00 12.73 12.34 11.72
Franceb 16.90 12.71 10.71 9.32 8.06
Italy 20.60 18.97 19.20 22.24 23.21
Netherlandsb 15.08 12.02 9.06 7.84 9.25d
Norway 10.14 8.61 6.53 6.12 4.83
Spainb 23.60 21.55 20.63 20.69 17.69
UK 5.89 6.27 7.11 12.41 10.83
Notes: a Self-employment rates defined as employers plus persons working on their own
account, as a proportion of the total workforce.
b Includes unpaid family workers c 1964 not 1960 d 1999 not 2000.
Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics, issues 1980–2000, 1970–81 and 1960–71.
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10 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
Notes: a Self-employment rates defined as employers plus persons working on their own
account, as a proportion of the total workforce.
b ‘1998/99’ is 1998 for Poland and 1999 for the Russian Federation.
Africa
Mauritius 13.03 10.30 n.a. 16.72
Egypt 29.19 26.14 28.20 27.19
Americas
Bolivia n.a. 48.86 40.27 34.81
Costa Rica 20.78 17.10 21.80 24.70
Dominican Rep. 44.79 29.44 36.46 37.11
Ecuador 42.97 37.81 37.27 37.03
Asia
Bangladesh 7.33 45.56 38.83 29.59
Korean Rep. 44.04 33.92 33.07 28.02
Pakistan 21.94 46.90 55.95 48.18
Sri Lanka 26.94 22.90 24.74 26.68
Thailand 29.83 29.65 29.75 28.45
Notes: a Self-employment rates defined as employers plus persons working on their own
account, as a proportion of the total workforce. Includes agricultural workers.
b ‘1960s’ is either 1960, 1961, 1962 or 1963 for all countries; ‘1970s’ is some year between
1970 and 1976; ‘1980s’ is 1980 or 1981 except Ecuador (1982), Costa Rica (1984) and
Bolivia (1989); ‘1990s’ is some year between 1990 and 1996.
Source: UN Yearbook of Labour Statistics, various issues.
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Introduction 11
However, if agricultural workers are excluded, table 1.1 shows that a re-
vival in US self-employment occurred during the 1970s and 1980s, a
finding that has also been observed by some other authors.12 But unlike
these other authors, table 1.1 reveals that this revival in non-agricultural
US self-employment has apparently come to an end: by 2000 the non-
agricultural self-employment rate had fallen back to below its 1970 level.
The US experience is mirrored by France, which has also seen its over-
all self-employment rate decline steadily since the start of the twentieth
century (Steinmetz and Wright, 1989).13 However, this trend is not ob-
served in every OECD country. For example, table 1.1 shows that both
Canadian self-employment rates exhibited U-shaped patterns, increas-
ing particularly strongly in the 1990s.14 In contrast, both measures of the
UK self-employment rate increased dramatically in the 1980s, a finding
that attracted substantial research interest when it was first discovered
(Hakim, 1988; Campbell and Daly, 1992). It declined in the 1990s, es-
pecially among males (Moralee, 1998). According to Storey (1994a), the
UK historical trend in self-employment was one of steady decline be-
tween 1910 and 1960, followed by increase from 1960 to 1990, with the
rate in 1990 being similar to that in 1910.
Most researchers tend to exclude agricultural workers from their def-
initions of self-employment, on the grounds that farm businesses have
very different characteristics to non-farm businesses. It has been known
at least since Kuznets (1966) that the agricultural sector tends to decline
as an economy develops – and that this may distort self-employment
trends (Blanchflower, 2000). Consequently, to analyse trends we focus
henceforth on panel B of table 1.1. These data indicate a striking variety
of patterns over 1960–2000. Four countries (Japan, France, Norway and
Spain) had steadily declining self-employment rates. Six witnessed a re-
vival in self-employment at some point within the period (USA, Canada,
Mexico, Italy, the UK and the Netherlands); and one (Australia) had a
relatively stable self-employment rate.
Finally, we will say a word about the relative importance of small firms
in the economy. The overwhelming majority of US businesses employ
fewer than five individuals (see, e.g. White, 1984; Brock and Evans, 1986,
chapter 2, for details). There are high rates of business formation and dis-
solution among small firms, especially in industries like retailing, where
low capital requirements make entry easy and keep profits modest. The
aggregate number of small businesses grew in the USA in the post-war
period, but their relative economic importance (measured in terms of
their employment share or share of gross domestic product (GDP)) de-
clined somewhat over that period. The most recent evidence suggests that
the share of private non-farm GDP accounted for by small businesses in
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12 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
the USA has now stabilised, at around 50 per cent over the last two
decades (SBA, 2002a). That the earlier decline was not greater is mainly
attributable to the growth of the service sector, in which small firms are
disproportionately concentrated. We will return to the issue of changing
industrial structure later in the book.
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Introduction 13
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14 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 15
(Devine, 1995).21 There are several possible reasons for survey non-
response. One is mistrust of survey interviewers by self-employed re-
spondents, for the reasons given above. A second is that richer people
(of whom a disproportionate number are self-employed – see below)
have a higher marginal valuation of time, so participate less in sur-
veys. Third, many self-employed do not accurately know their incomes,
which according to Meager, Court and Moralee (1994) accounted for
two-thirds of missing British income cases in the 1991 British House-
hold Panel Survey (BHPS) – rather than refusal to co-operate with the
survey.
4. A failure to deal properly with negative incomes and ‘top-coding’ can in-
troduce biases (Devine, 1995). Many researchers either drop negative
income observations or round them up to a small positive number
before applying logarithmic transformations; both practices impart an
upward bias to average self-employment income. Top-coding on the
other hand, which is a procedure of truncating very high earnings val-
ues to a maximum level, imparts a downward bias.
5. Ignoring employee fringe benefits that are unavailable in self-employment bi-
ases upwards any relative income advantage to self-employment. Some
of these benefits can be substantial, especially employer contributions
to health care and occupational pension schemes (Holtz-Eakin, Penrod
and Rosen 1996; Wellington, 2001).
6. Self-employment incomes include returns to capital as well as returns to
labour. National Accounts’ experts have long argued about how best
to disentangle these returns, which might explain why few researchers
choose to separate them in practice.22 Headen (1990) proposed an
especially straightforward approach, which works as follows. Let h j ,
y j and w j denote an individual’s work hours, total ‘labour’ income
and wage rate respectively in sector j = {E, S }, where E is paid-
employment and S is self-employment. Also, let yk denote returns
to capital in self-employment. While h j and y j values are observed
in most data sets, w j s are not and must be calculated (in E) or esti-
mated (in S ). We have yE = w E h E and yS = w Sh S + yk . To estimate
yk , first calculate w E = yE / h E and estimate an ‘earnings function’ like
ln w E = β X + u, where X is a vector of personal characteristics, β is
a vector of coefficients and u is a random disturbance (see chapter 1,
subsection 1.5.3). This yields parameter estimates β̂. Second, predict
ŵ S for the self-employed from ln w S = β̂ X. This can be taken as the
return to self-employed labour assuming (i) that employee incomes
are purely returns to labour, and (ii) that the self-employed have the
same rates of return to personal characteristics as employees do (see
subsection 1.5.3 for a critical assessment of this assumption). Finally,
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16 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 17
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18 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
We conclude this section with three puzzles. One is why, if the self-
employed in the USA earn less on average than employees do, and if they
are only moderately older on average than employees are, they neverthe-
less possess substantially greater savings and asset holdings (Quadrini,
1999; Gentry and Hubbard, 2001). A second puzzle is why individuals
remain in self-employment despite apparently earning less and work-
ing longer hours (see chapter 8, section 8.2) than employees do. Third,
why do entrepreneurs invest in undiversified and hence risky private busi-
nesses, when they could obtain similar rates of return from less risky pub-
licly traded equity (Moskowitz and Vissing-Jørgensen, 2002)? A possible
answer to the first puzzle is income (but not asset) under-reporting by the
self-employed, reflecting the greater taxation of income than wealth. A
tentative answer to the second puzzle is proposed in section 8.2. Possible
answers to the third include non-pecuniary benefits to entrepreneurship,
a preference for skewed returns and systematic over-estimation by en-
trepreneurs of the probability of survival and success in entrepreneurship.
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Introduction 19
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20 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
results (e.g. compare Mayer, 1975 with Bland, Elliott and Bechhofer,
1978).
Finally, we mention for completeness that even less is known about
the wealth distribution of entrepreneurs. Although there are models of
entrepreneuria wealth transfers and accumulation (Shorrocks, 1988;
Banerjee and Newman, 1993; Parker, 2000), none explains why wealth
distribution takes its observed shape. According to estimates compiled by
Parker (2003b), older self-employed Britons enjoy above-average wealth
holdings, yet only moderate wealth inequality.
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Introduction 21
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22 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
Heckman’s method comprises two steps. The first step estimates the
participation equation
zi = ω Wi + vi , (1.3)
where zi is an indicator variable equalling 1 if individual i is self-employed
and 0 otherwise; Wi is a set of explanatory variables, ω is a vector of
coefficients and vi is a disturbance term, with unit variance. Second,
having computed fitted values ẑi from this regression, the ‘Inverse Mills
Ratio’ λi = −φ(ẑi )/(ẑi ) is added to the right-hand side of (1.1), where
φ(·) and (·) are the density and cumulative distribution functions of
the standard normal distribution. Thus one estimates the augmented
earnings function
ln yi = β0 + β1 ai + β2 ai2 + β3 s chi + γ Xi + αλi + ui , (1.4)
where α > 0 implies positive self-selection into self-employment.
Results
Various estimates of earnings functions of type (1.4) have been per-
formed, using a variety of data sources and explanatory variables.33
Even more studies have estimated (1.1), i.e. without correcting for
self-selection. Despite the heterogeneity of the studies to date, several
empirical regularities are detectable. First, rates of return to schooling
tend to be lower for the self-employed than for employees, and not
consistently positive and significant. For example, in their overview of the
literature, Van der Sluis, Van Praag and Vijverberg (2003) documented
an average rate of return of 6.1 per cent for self-employed Americans,
compared with 7–9 per cent for American employees. In other countries,
self-employed rates of return are usually lower still. These findings are
consistent with the idea that entrepreneurial skills are non-academic in
nature. They also do not support the screening hypothesis.34 Indeed, the
screening hypothesis is thrown into further doubt by additional findings
that the self-employed acquire as much – and sometimes even more –
formal education and vocational training as employees (Wolpin, 1977;
Fredland and Little, 1981; Parker, 1999b).
Second, the evidence consistently points to flatter earnings–age profiles
for the self-employed than for employees. While this finding is in line with
the agency cost model of Lazear and Moore (1984) mentioned above,
several caveats to this interpretation can be mentioned. They include
mismeasurement of self-employment experience, and a failure to control
for parental managerial experience, which is known to be very important
for the self-employed (Lentz and Laband, 1990).
Third, few explanatory variables possess much explanatory power in
self-employed earnings functions, resulting in poor goodness-of-fit: it is
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Introduction 23
Extensions
Williams (2001) extended the analysis of earnings comparisons to ask
whether self-employed workers would earn more by becoming a fran-
chisee (F) or an independent business owner (I). Williams estimated
selectivity-corrected profit functions in both F and I using data on 14,550
firms taken from the 1987 CBO data set. Selectivity effects were found
to be important, with individuals in F earning less than those in I, after
controlling for personal characteristics. Furthermore, franchisees were
estimated to be substantially worse off if they became independent own-
ers. These findings suggest that franchisees have relatively low average
ability, whereas independent business owners have relatively high aver-
age ability. A policy implication is that legal restrictions on franchising
activities may therefore have deleterious effects on the material wellbeing
of this group of self-employed people.
It is also possible that individuals mix their work hours between self-
employment, S, and paid-employment, E. Work mixing appears to be
more widespread in developing than in developed countries (Sumner,
1981; Vijverberg, 1986).37 If work mixing occurs, then (1.3) and (1.4)
are inappropriate, and one should estimate a composite earnings function
of combined individual wages w i :
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24 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 25
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26 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 27
The second stage of the structural probit model generates the pre-
dicted log incomes from both occupations derived from (1.13) and (1.14),
namely ln yi S and ln
yi E . The third stage estimates the ‘structural probit’
model
zi = α[ln
yi S − ln
yi E ] + ω Xi + ṽi , (1.15)
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28 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
where (v1i , v2i ) are distributed as bivariate normal variates with correla-
tion coefficient ρ: the joint distribution function is (·, ·; ρ). As before,
define zi as an indicator variable, equal to 1 if individual i becomes self-
employed, and 0 otherwise. Evidently
∗ ∗
Pr(zi = 1) = Pr[min(z1i , z2i ) ≥ 0] = (β1 W1i , β2 W2i ; ρ) ,
and analogous to (1.9), the likelihood function is
n
L= (β1 W1i , β2 W2i ; ρ)zi [1 − (β1 W1i , β2 W2i ; ρ)]1−zi .
i =1
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Introduction 29
1.6.4 Issues arising from the use of time-series and panel data
Time-series applications take a set of T time-series observations on the
self-employment rate, s t , and regress them against a set of explanatory
variables Xt , as follows:
s t = γ Xt + vt t = 1, . . . , T , (1.20)
where γ is a vector of regression coefficients and vt is a disturbance
term.
One rationale for estimating a time-series model is that, unlike
cross-section studies, it becomes possible to analyse trends in self-
employment. Also, the time-series approach can identify determinants
of self-employment rates that are uniform for all or most members of a
cross-section at a given point in time, e.g. income tax variables, interest
rates and other macroeconomic variables.
Prior to the 1990s, the preferred technique for estimating (1.20) was
ordinary or generalised least squares (OLS or GLS: see, e.g., Blau, 1987,
Steinmetz and Wright, 1989). Since then, however, it has become known
that least squares estimators are inappropriate when any of the regressors
in (1.20) are non-stationary.39 The application of least squares estimators
to non-stationary data is known to generate spurious regressions and ren-
ders classical inference invalid (Phillips, 1986). The R 2 goodness-of-fit
measure is no longer informative and t and F statistics can no longer be
used for hypothesis testing. The importance of this point is underlined
by the fact that self-employment rates in the USA, UK, and most other
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30 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
s i t = γ Xi t + α + vi t , (1.21)
s i t = γ Xi t + αi + vi t . (1.22)
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Introduction 31
N OT E S
1. Of course, these types of surveys can be severely criticised for asking hy-
pothetical questions, without forcing individuals to bear the constraints of
self-employment as they would if they acted upon their declared preferences.
Indeed, much lower rates of serious entrepreneurial intention emerge from
longitudinal analysis of wage and salary workers (Katz, 1990). For this reason,
we will often adopt in this book the standard economic practice of ignoring
studies that report interviewees’ declared preferences, focusing instead on re-
vealed preferences.
2. Intrapreneurship – the practice of entrepreneurship within corporations – is
an emerging field in economics. For an important recent contribution, see
Gromb and Scharfstein (2002).
3. According to CPS data compiled by Bregger (1996), 38 per cent of self-
employed Americans run incorporated businesses. These tend to be businesses
that employ others, which might explain why incorporation rates among new
(and typically small) entrants to self-employment are about half this rate (Evans
and Jovanovic, 1989).
4. Harvey (1995) cites the UK legal case of Young and Woods v. West, whereby
the criteria for a worker being under a contract of service includes the worker
not determining their own hours, not supplying their own materials and equip-
ment, not allocating or designating their own work, not being able to nominate
a substitute to work in their place and not setting their rate of pay (see also
Leighton, 1983).
5. See also Marsh, Heady and Matheson (1981), Casey and Creigh (1988) and
Hakim (1988).
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32 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
6. Firms certainly appear to exercise some discretion about the mode of em-
ployment contract they offer. For example, in her exploration of new laws
penalising companies that misclassify employees as self-employed to avoid
tax payments, Moralee (1998) found that in response to the new laws the
number of ‘employees’ in the construction industry increased sharply while
the number of ‘self-employed’ workers decreased sharply.
7. According to Moralee (1998), 13 per cent of the UK self-employed in 1997
were home-workers, with little change in self-employed home-working taking
place over the 1990s. Moralee also observed that 61 per cent of teleworkers
were self-employed.
8. Williams (2001) argued that franchisees take less risk than independent self-
employed business owners, because of profit sharing arrangements with fran-
chisors and lower demand uncertainty resulting from selling a known prod-
uct. Williams also observed a lower variance of self-employment incomes
among franchisees than non-franchisees in his 1987 CBO sample of full-time
self-employed workers. However, he appears to over-state the case, not least
because exit rates are higher among franchisees than independent business
owners (Bates, 1994).
9. Data limitations can be quite severe, especially for developing and transition
economies. They largely determined the countries selected, and account for
the exclusion of Germany in particular.
10. The primary source for the US entries in table 1.1 is the CPS Monthly House-
hold Labour Force Survey.
11. In his historical study, Phillips (1962) characterised US self-employment as
a ‘shrinking world within a growing economy’. Phillips predicted that self-
employment would eventually serve as a refuge only for older, handicapped
or unproductive workers as a safeguard against unemployment.
12. See Blau (1987), Steinmetz and Wright (1989), Aronson (1991), Bregger
(1996) and Williams (2000).
13. See also Kuznets (1966, table 4.2) who documented declining self-
employment shares between the mid-nineteenth and mid-twentieth century
in Germany, Switzerland, Canada and the UK, as well as in the USA and
France.
14. See also Lin, Picot and Compton (2000), Manser and Picot (2000), Kuhn
and Schuetze (2001) and Moore and Mueller (2002). Self-employment ac-
counted for most overall job growth in Canada in the 1990s, which was con-
centrated among own-account workers.
15. Agriculture was never fully collectivised in Poland, which accounts for its high
rate of self-employment for all workers inclusive of agriculture.
16. According to Blanchflower, Oswald and Stutzer (2001), Poles topped the
list of respondents to a survey of 25,000 people in twenty-three countries
asking whether they would prefer to be self-employed to being a wage worker:
80 per cent responded in the affirmative. Blanchflower, Oswald and Stutzer
concluded that there is no shortage of potential entrepreneurs in the transition
economies.
17. For further discussion about the state of entrepreneurship in Eastern Europe,
see OECD (1998, ch. XIII) and Smallbone and Welter (2001). Tyson, Petrin
and Rogers (1994) and Luthans, Stajkovic and Ibrayeva (2000) describe the
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Introduction 33
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34 The Economics of Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship
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Introduction 35
36. These findings are consistent with those of Evans and Leighton (1989b),
Headen (1990), Maxim (1992) and Hamilton (2000). Of these studies,
Hamilton provides the most detailed evidence of the gains to the self-
employed from switching to paid-employment.
37. For example, Vijverberg (1986) reported that some 20 per cent of respondents
in a 1976 Malaysian survey data set performed work mixing. The author’s
calculations using 1994/5 FES data revealed that only 1.4 per cent of UK
workers mixed paid-employment and self-employment. The proportion of
self-employed people doing work mixing (3.3 per cent) exceeded the propor-
tion of employees doing so (1.1 per cent).
38. An alternative to the three-step approach is structural estimation of the param-
eters of an underlying utility maximisation model (Brock and Evans, 1986).
However, this approach is complicated, not obviously superior and has not
been widely used.
39. In simple terms, a non-stationary process is one in which there is no mecha-
nism forcing values of the series to revert to the mean.
40. See, e.g., Harris and Sollis (2003) for an introduction to cointegration
analysis.
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