Survey of Probability and Statistics

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20.

오후 4:43

Homework 3
Due Mar 21 at 9am Points 20 Questions 20
Available Mar 14 at 10:20am - Mar 21 at 9am Time Limit None
Allowed Attempts 2

Attempt History
Attempt Time Score
KEPT Attempt 2 13 minutes 19 out of 20

LATEST Attempt 2 13 minutes 19 out of 20

Attempt 1 1,405 minutes 17 out of 20

Score for this attempt: 19 out of 20


Submitted Mar 20 at 4:42pm
This attempt took 13 minutes.

Question 1 1 / 1 pts

Let and Is it possible that and are


mutually exclusive if they are independent?

Correct!
no

yes

If and are independent, then


because and . Thus, they cannot be
mutually exclusive.

Question 2 1 / 1 pts

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Mia is taking art and calculus courses on Mondays. She is late for the art
class with probability 0.5 and late for the calculus class with probability 0.4.
Suppose the two events are independent. What is the probability that Mia is
on time to exactly one of the classes?

Correct!
0.5

Correct Answers 0.5 (with margin: 0)

Let be the event that she is late for the art course and the event
that she is late for the calculus course. Then

Question 3 1 / 1 pts

True or False: If two events and are independent, then

False

Correct! True

Question 4 1 / 1 pts

Suppose two different methods are available for eye surgery. The probability
that the eye has not recovered in a month is 0.002 if method A is used.
When method B is used, the probability that the eye has not recovered in a
month is 0.005. Assume that 40% of eye surgeries are done with method A

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

and 60% are done with method B in a certain hospital. If an eye is recovered
in a month after surgery is done in the hospital, what is the probability that
method A was performed?

0.5

0.7

0.8

0.6

Correct!
0.4

Let be the event that surgery is done with Method A, the event
that surgery is done with Method B, and the event that the eye is
recovered in a month. Then and

Question 5 1 / 1 pts

Alex’s motorcycle didn’t start this morning. He was not sure if it was because
of the battery or a damaged starter. If he replaces the battery, the engine will
run with probability 0.7. If he replaces the starter, it will run with probability
0.2. He can try one of these in an hour. I was 85% certain that he would
replace the battery. If the engine doesn’t run in an hour, what is the
probability that Alex replaced the battery (write it up to second decimal
place)?

Correct!
0.68

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Correct Answers 0.68 (with margin: 0.005)

Let be the event that Alex replaces the battery, the event that he
replaces the starter, and the event that the engine runs.

Question 6 1 / 1 pts

In a certain college class, 40% of the admitted students were in top 10% of
their high school class, 25% were in the next 10%, and the remaining 35%
were below the top 20%. Of these students, 90%, 70%, and 20% were
passing this course, respectively. If a randomly selected student is failing,
then what is the probability that this student was below 20% of his or her
high school class (round off to second decimal place)?

Correct!
0.71

Correct Answers 0.71 (with margin: 0.01)

Let denote the event that a student passes the course, the event
that a student was in top 10%, the event that a student was in next
10% and the event that a student was below top 20% of his/her
high school class. Then

and By Bayes’ Theorem,

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Question 7 0 / 1 pts

Box 1 contains 3 red and 8 yellow balls, whereas Box 2 contains 2 red and 1
yellow balls. A ball is drawn from a randomly selected Box. Let be the
event that the ball is red, and the event that the ball came from Box 2. Are
they independent?

Correct Answer
no

You Answered
yes

Therefore, and are not independent.

Question 8 1 / 1 pts

A cell phone company has three different production sites. Five percent of
the phones from Site 1, 7% from Site 2, and 9% from Site 3 have been
recalled due to unexpected shutdown issue. Suppose that 60% of the
phones are produced at Site 1, 30% at Site 2, and 10% at Site 3. If a
randomly selected cell phone has been recalled, what is the probability that
it came from Site 3 (write it up to second decimal place)?

Correct!
0.15

Correct Answers 0.15 (with margin: 0)

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Let be the event that a cell phone is recalled, and the event that
a cell phone is from Site Then

Question 9 1 / 1 pts

True or False: For any discrete random variable with probability


distribution function ,

False

Correct!
True

Question 10 1 / 1 pts

Examine if the following is a legitimate probability distribution.

0 1 2 3 4
0.1 0.25 0.35 0.15 0.1

yes

Correct!
no

No, because

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Question 11 1 / 1 pts

True or False:
If is a discrete random variable, then for any number c.

True

Correct!
False

Question 12 1 / 1 pts

Let be a random variable with cdf

Find .

0.45

0.55

Correct! 0.5

0.60

0.65

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Question 13 1 / 1 pts

There are four balls with the same size in a box. The balls are numbered 1,
2, 3 and 4. Sonya randomly picks up one ball, puts it back, and then
randomly picks up one ball from the box. Let denote the sum of the
numbers on the two balls she picked up. Find (round off to
second decimal place).

Correct!
0.44

Correct Answers 0.44 (with margin: 0.01)

Event
2 {(1,1)} 1/16
3 {(1,2), (2,1)} 1/8
4 {(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)} 3/16
5 {(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)} 1/4
6 {(2,4), (3,3), (4,2)} 3/16
7 {(3,4), (4,3)} 1/8
8 {(4,4)} 1/16

Question 14 1 / 1 pts

Consider randomly selecting a student who is among the 14,000 registered


for the current semester in a college. Let be the number of courses the
selected student is taking, and suppose that has the following probability
distribution:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0.02 0.01 0.20 0.17 0.39 0.20 0.01

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Find the expected number of courses a student is taking in this semester


(write it up to second decimal place).

Correct!
4.54

Correct Answers 4.54 (with margin: 0)

Question 15 1 / 1 pts

Consider the following probability distribution:

0 1 2 3
0.17 0.18 0.25 0.40

Find the variance (write it up to fourth decimal place).

Correct!
1.2456

Correct Answers 1.2456 (with margin: 0.01)

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Question 16 1 / 1 pts

Consider the following probability distribution:

0 2 4
0.4 0.3 0.3

Find the variance (write it up to second decimal place).

Correct!
2.76

Correct Answers 2.76 (with margin: 0)

Question 17 1 / 1 pts

Consider the following probability distribution:

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

1 2 3 4 5
0.1 0.15 0.40 0.25 0.10

Find (write it up to second decimal place).

Correct!
1.19

Correct Answers 1.19 (with margin: 0)

Question 18 1 / 1 pts

Consider the following probability distribution:

0 2 4
0.4 0.3 0.3

Find the mean (write it up to first decimal place).

Correct!
1.8

Correct Answers 1.8 (with margin: 0)

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Question 19 1 / 1 pts

Consider randomly selecting a student who is among the 14,000 registered


for the current semester in a college. Let be the number of courses the
selected student is taking, and suppose that has the following probability
distribution:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0.02 0.01 0.20 0.17 0.39 0.20 0.01

Find the variance of (write it up to fourth decimal place).

Correct!
1.4084

Correct Answers 1.4084 (with margin: 0.02)

Question 20 1 / 1 pts

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Homework 3: Survey of Probability and Statistics (Ahn, Spring 2024) 2024. 3. 20. 오후 4:43

Let be a random variable with cdf

Find (write it up to fourth decimal place).

Correct!
1.6475

Correct Answers 1.6475 (with margin: 0.0025)

2 3 4
0.15 0.15 0.4 0.1 0.2

Quiz Score: 19 out of 20

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