BusiAna 6e Ch05 PowerPoint

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 37

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 1

(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA


CHAPTER 5
Financial analysis

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 2
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Key concepts

• There are two primary tools in financial analysis:


• Ratio analysis to assess how various line items in financial statements relate
to each other and to measure relative performance.

• Cash flow analysis to evaluate liquidity and the management of operating,


investing, and financing activities as they relate to cash flow.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 3
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Determinants of firm value and ratio
analysis
• Profitability and growth drive firm value.

• Managers can employ four levers to achieve growth and profit


targets:
• Operating management
• Investment management
• Financing strategy
• Dividend policy.

• Ratio analysis seeks to evaluate the firm’s effectiveness in these areas.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 4
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Drivers of profitability and growth

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 5
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Ratio analysis
• Evaluating ratios requires comparison against some benchmark:
• Ratios over time from prior periods (time-series)
• Ratios of other firms in the industry (cross-sectional)
• Some absolute benchmark.

• Effective ratio analysis must attempt to relate underlying business


factors to the financial numbers.

• The text illustrates ratio analysis by applying it to European fast-


fashion retailers: H&M and Inditex.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 6
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Measuring overall profitability
• ROE is a comprehensive measure of and is a good starting point to
systematically analyze firm performance.

Profit or loss
ROE =
Shareholders′ equity

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 7
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Decomposing profitability:
Traditional approach
ROE = ROA × Equity multiplier

Profit or loss Total assets


= ×
Total assets Equity

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 8
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Decomposing profitability:
Alternative approach

• The traditional approach has some limitations imposed by the


composition of the denominator and numerator.

• An alternative approach computes ROE as ultimately being equal to:

ROE = Return on invested capital + Spread × Financial leverage

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 9
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Detail of alternative ROE decomposition
NOPAT + NIPAT Interest expense after tax
ROE = −
Equity Equity

NOPAT + NIPAT Invested capital Interest expense after tax Debt


= × − ×
Invested capital Equity Debt Equity

NOPAT + NIPAT Debt Interest expense after tax Debt


= 1+ − ×
Invested capital Equity Debt Equity

= Return on invested capital + Return on invested capital − Effective interest rate after tax × Financial leverage

= Return on invested capital + Spread × Financial leverage

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 10
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Detail of alternative ROE decomposition
NOPAT NIPAT
ROIC = +
Invested capital Invested capital

NOPAT Operating assets NIPAT Investment assets


= × + ×
Operating assets Invested capital Investment assets Invested capital

Operating assets Investment assets


= Return on operating assets × + Return on investment assets ×
Invested capital Invested capital

NOPAT Sales
Return on operating assets = ×
Sales Operating assets

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 11
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Intermezzo: Definitions

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 12
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
H&M versus Inditex: ROE components

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 13
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Discussion of results from profitability
analysis
• Note the differences between key components of the traditional
and alternative ROE decompositions:
H&M H&M Inditex Inditex
traditional alternative traditional alternative

Asset turnover 1.04 1.41 0.74 1.44

ROA 0.7% 1.6% 4.0% 8.2%

Financial leverage 3.23 1.48 1.86 0.46

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 14
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Assessing operating management:
Income statement ratios

• Common-sized income statements facilitate comparisons of key line


items across time and different firms.

• Additionally, the following ratios are also helpful:


• Gross profit margin (by function only)
• EBITDA margin
• NOPAT margin
• Recurring NOPAT margin.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 15
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Gross profit margin
• Measures the profitability of sales, less direct costs of sales:

Revenue − Cost of Sales


Gross profit margin =
Revenue

• The gross profit margin is an indicator of:


• The price premium that a firm’s product commands in the market.
• The efficiency of a firm’s procurement and/or production process.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 16
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
NOPAT and EBITDA margins

• The NOPAT margin provides a comprehensive measure of operations:


NOPAT
NOPAT margin =
Revenue

• The EBITDA margin eliminates the significant non-cash expenses of


depreciation and amortization along with interest and taxes:
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
EBITDA margin =
Revenue

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 17
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
A comparison of key income statement
ratios for H&M and Inditex

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 18
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Decomposing asset turnover

• Asset management is a key indicator of how effective a firm’s


management is.

• Asset turnover may be broken into two primary components:


• Working capital management
• Non-current asset management.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 19
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Working capital management
• Working capital is the difference between current assets and current
liabilities.

• Key ratios useful to analyzing the management of working capital include:


• Operating working capital to sales
• Operating working capital turnover
• Accounts receivable turnover
• Days’ receivables
• Inventory turnover
• Days’ inventory
• Accounts payable turnover
• Days’ payables.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 20
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Asset management ratios for H&M and
Inditex

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 21
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Working capital management: Cash
conversion cycle for H&M and Inditex
Cash conversion cycle = Days′ inventories + Days′ receivables − Days′ payables

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 22
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Financial leverage analysis
• Borrowing allows a firm to access to capital but increases the risk of
ownership for equity holders.

• Analysis of leverage can be performed on both current and non-


current debts:
• Liquidity analysis relates to evaluating current liabilities.
• Solvency analysis relates to long-term liabilities.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 23
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Liquidity analysis
• There are several ratios useful to evaluate a firm’s liquidity, including:
• Current ratio
• Quick ratio
• Cash ratio
• Operating cash flow ratio.

• Each of these ratios attempts to measure the ability of a firm to pay


its current obligations.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 24
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Liquidity analysis
• Knowing how the liquidity ratios are calculated allows the user to
understand how to interpret them:
Current assets
Current ratio =
Current liabilities

Cash and marketable securities + Trade receivables (net)


Quick ratio =
Current liabilities

Cash and marketable securities


Cash ratio =
Current liabilities

Cash flow from operations


Operating cash flow ratio =
Current liabilities

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 25
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Comparison of H&M and Inditex:
Liquidity ratios

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 26
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Debt and coverage ratios
• Solvency measures the ability of a firm to meet long-term obligations.

• Several useful ratios are used to analyze solvency:


Total liabilities
Liabilities−to−equity ratio =
Shareholders′ equity

Current debt + Non−current debt


Debt−to−equity ratio =
Shareholders′ equity

Current debt + Non−current debt


Debt−to−capital ratio =
Current debt + Non−current debt + Shareholders′ equity

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 27
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
More debt and coverage ratios
• Two ratios that specifically address the ability to pay interest on debts
are:
Profit or loss + Interest expense + Tax expense
Interest coverage earnings−based =
Interest expense

Cash flow from operations + Interest expense + Taxes paid


Interest coverage (cash flow−based) =
Interest expense

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 28
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Comparison of H&M’s and Inditex’s debt
and coverage ratios

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 29
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Assessing the sustainable growth rate
• A comprehensive measure of a firm’s ratios is the sustainable growth rate,
which uses ROE:
Sustainable growth rate = ROE x (1 − Dividend payout ratio)

where

Cash dividends paid


Dividend payout ratio =
Profit or loss

• Sustainable growth rate measures the ability of a firm to maintain its


profitability and financial policies.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 30
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Figure 5.6 Sustainable growth rate
framework for financial ratio analysis

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 31
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Sustainable growth rates for H&M and
Inditex

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 32
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Cash flow analysis
• The ratio analysis previously discussed used accrual accounting.

• Cash flow analysis can provide further insights into operating,


investing, and financing activities.

• All companies using IFRS Standards are required to include a


statement of cash flows in their financial statements.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 33
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Analyzing cash flow information
• A number of questions can be answered through analysis of the
statement of cash flows. For example:

• Operating activities
• How strong is the firm’s internal cash flow generation?
• How well is working capital being managed?

• Investing activities
• How much cash did the company invest in growth assets?

• Financing activities
• What type of external financing does the company rely on?
• Did the company use internally generated funds for investments?
• Did the company use internally generated funds to pay dividends?

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 34
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Cash flow analysis

• Differences in reporting cash flow information allow for variation


across firms that complicate comparisons.

• Analysts can make adjustments to net income to arrive at free cash


flows, a commonly used metric for financial analysis.

• Table 5.10 in the next slide illustrates the various calculations using
financial information from H&M and Inditex.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 35
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Cash flow analysis for H&M and Inditex

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 36
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA
Concluding comments
• There are two primary tools in financial analysis:
• Ratio analysis – to assess how various line items in financial statements relate
to each other and to measure relative performance.

• Cash flow analysis – to evaluate liquidity and the management of operating,


investing, and financing activities as they relate to cash flow.

• Both forms of analyses must be evaluated while considering whether firm


performance is consistent with the strategic initiatives of management.

For use with Business Analysis and Valuation 6e by Palepu, Healy and Peek 37
(ISBN 9781473779075) © 2022 Cengage EMEA

You might also like