0% found this document useful (0 votes)
66 views14 pages

Jayaram An 2015

Uploaded by

divi kaya
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
66 views14 pages

Jayaram An 2015

Uploaded by

divi kaya
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 14

Public Organiz Rev

DOI 10.1007/s11115-015-0309-z

Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Small


Island Developing States: Two Case Studies

T. K. Jayaraman 1 & Rubyna Boodhoo 2 & Peter Tari 3

# Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

Abstract The American financial crisis which began in the second half of 2007
ultimately deteriorated into a world economic downturn. Despite hopeful signs of
recovery in early 2011, there was another setback in the second half of 2011, conse-
quent to the euro zone debt crisis. These developments posed challenges of unprece-
dented nature to the small island developing states (SIDS). Being prone to shocks of all
kinds, such as natural disasters and volatility in prices of fuel and food, SIDS have been
struggling to keep their economies afloat with their limited range of fiscal and monetary
policies, success of which depended on coordination between ministries of finance and
central banks. This paper seeks to examine the subject with two case studies in two
regions, the Indian Ocean and the Pacific.

Keywords Coordination . Recession . Monetary and fiscal policies . Indian Ocean .


The Pacific

Introduction

Small island developing states (SIDS) in three regions of the world, the Caribbean, the
Indian Ocean and the Pacific, whose vulnerability to shocks of all kinds and efforts
towards building up resilience have been well documented by various studies
(Briguglio and Kisanga 2004; Jayaraman 2004), have yet to recover from the severe
impact of the economic downturn stemming from the American financial crisis of
2008. As the uncertainties were continuing, there was yet another, this time a debt crisis

* T. K. Jayaraman
tkjayaraman@yahoo.com

1
Department of Economics, Fiji National University, Nasinu, Fiji
2
Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, Port Louis, Mauritius
3
Reserve Bank of Vanuatu, Port Vila, Vanuatu
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

brewing in the euro zone in 2011. The SIDS responded with macroeconomic policies
for reducing the adverse impact of global recession (Jayaraman 2011).
Two SIDS namely, Mauritius in the Indian Ocean region with a managed floating
exchange rate regime and Vanuatu in the Pacific region with access to all policy tools,
have now been recognized as top regional performers in the Indian Ocean and the
Pacific regions respectively (UN ESCAP 2011). Responses of these two SIDS to the
recession were aimed at stepping up domestic demand in the wake of declining external
demand, through fiscal policy measures including increases in public expenditures and
through expansionary monetary policy. However, as there were potential inflationary
pressures due to unanticipated increase in oil and food prices and the resultant strains
on foreign exchange reserves the need for effective coordination between ministry of
finance and central bank has been stressed from time to time, as a major factor behind
the successful response to the crisis.
While there are a number of notable studies on the subject in the Caribbean region
including Worrell (1991, 2000), studies on SIDS in the Pacific and in the Indian Ocean
are scarce. This paper seeks to fill the gap by documenting the experiences in the Indian
Ocean and Pacific regions with studies on Mauritius and Vanuatu in regard to fiscal and
monetary policy coordination. The paper is organized as follows. The next section
reviews economic performance of the two countries; the third section deals with the
institutional and procedural arrangements required for bringing about a high degree of
coordination between central bank and ministry of finance in the context of the existing
arrangements; the fourth section deals with the arrangements as obtained in Mauritius
and Vanuatu; the fifth and final section presents a summary with a list of conclusions
which have policy implications.

Mauritius and Vanuatu: A Brief Economic Review

Tables 1 and 2 present comparative pictures of macroeconomic performance of SIDS in


the two regions. In terms of growth rates, inflation and fiscal performance, Mauritius
and Vanuatu emerge as the best performers in their respective regions.

Mauritius

Mauritius is located in the Indian Ocean. In the first two decades following political
independence in 1968, the Mauritian economy experienced “twin deficits”: budget and
current account deficits. Mauritius undertook a structural adjustment program with two
devaluations of domestic currency in 1970 by 30 % and in 1981 by 20 %.

Macroeconomic Reforms

Prudent economic policies since the 1980s set the economy on a growth path (Sacerdoti
et al. 2005). However, the economy was affected by external shocks in the 2000s
including reductions in European Union sugar protocol prices and the phasing out of
the Multi-Fiber Agreement. Deterioration of balance of payments during 2003–2005
forced another round of reforms, including adoption of fiscal consolidation strategy, all
of which made Mauritius a top performer with one of the highest per capita incomes in
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

Table 1 Indian Ocean region: key indicators of SIDS

Maldives Mauritius Seychelles

Population (‘000): 2014 400 1300 100


Land area Sq.km 300 2030 460
Per capita GDP (US$) 2013 5,750 9,183 12,680
Growth rate (%)
2001–2005 (ave) 4.7 3.1 1.3
2006–2010 (ave) 6.7 4.52 4.72
2011 6.5 3.9 5
2012 1.3 3.9 2.9
2013 3.7 3.2 3.5
Inflation (%)
2001–2005 (ave) 1.7 5.1 2.9
2006–2010 (ave) 6.64 6.56 14.42
2011 12.8 6.5 2.6
2012 12.1 3.9 7.1
2012 2.3 3.5 4.3
Budget balance (% of GDP)
2001–2005 (ave) −6.1 −2.4 1.8
2006–2010 (ave) −14.82 −2.32 1.94
2011 −8.7 −1.1 5.6
2012 −9.3 −0.6 5.3
2013 −4.7 −2.2 4.3
Current account balance (% of GDP)
2001–2005 (ave) −14.4 1.2 −13.7
2006–2010 (ave) −36.74 −8.54 −17.16
2011 −19.6 −13.4 −26.5
2012 −20.2 −11.4 35.1
2013 −18.2 −10.2 −17.8

Source: For Maldives: Asian Development Bank (2011, 2014)


For Mauritius and Seychelles: World Bank 2014

Africa. Foreign direct investment (FDI) rose, complementing a major restructuring of


the traditional sugar and textile industries (Zafar 2011).

Response to Global Recession

With the beginning of the global recession in 2008, followed by a decline in tourism
and textile exports earnings, Mauritian growth showed signs of slowing down. As
macroeconomic fundamentals being sound with reduced public debt to GDP ratio
(from 75 % in 2003 to 60 % in 2008), Mauritius could afford a proactive policy
response (Morisset et al. 2010). The stimulus measures to the tune of about 5 % of GDP
(infrastructure and provision of financial relief to the firms hit hard by the global crisis
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

Table 2 Pacific region: island countries

Fiji Papua New Guinea Samoa Solomon Islands Tonga Vanuatu

Population (‘000): 2013 881 7321 191 561 105 253


Land area 18,274 462,840 2831 28,896 747 12,189
Per capita GDP (US$):2013 4572 2088 3647 1954 4427 3303
Growth rate (%)
2001–2005 (ave) 2.4 1.7 4.3 1.7 2 1
2001–2005 (ave) −0.3 5.7 0.9 5.5 −0.1 5.4
2011 2.7 11.3 −1.3 10.6 3.3 1.6
2012 1.7 7.7 1.5 3.3 2.9 1.4
2013 3.6 5.1 1.0 3.1 0.8 1.5
Inflation (%)
2001–2005 (ave) 2.9 7.9 6.2 8.3 10.0 2.2
2001–2005 (ave) 5.2 5.4 5.4 9.2 5.8 3.9
2011 7.3 8.4 5.2 7.4 6.3 1.0
2012 3.4 2.2 2.1 5.9 1.1 1.4
2013 3.4 2.5 0.6 5.4 0.8 1.4
Budget balance (% of GDP)
2001–2005 (ave) −5.1 −1.3 −1.1 −5.9 2.3 −0.9
2001–2005 (ave) −3.0 0.6 −2.8 1.4 −0.6 0.0
2011 −1.4 −0.2 −13.1 6.4 −7.6 −2.0
2012 −1.1 −1.5 −11.5 2.4 −7.1 −2.3
2013 −1.2 −7.2 −4.4 3.2 NA 1.6
Current account balance (% of GDP)
2001–2005 (ave) −5.0 4.8 −16.8 0.1 −1.1 −6.4
2001–2005 (ave) −12.1 −2.6 −8.6 −13.5 −8.0 −4.5
2011 −5.3 −1.3 9.9 −8.4 −9.3 −6.9
2012 −1.8 −14.9 −11.5 −0.1 −6.9 −5.9
2013 −1.2 −21.5 −4.4 −9.9 NA −4.3

Source: Asian Development Bank (2014)


World Bank (2014)

and social and job protection measures) were combined with easy monetary policy,
including reduction in discount rate by 250 basis points and reduction in reserve
requirements (IMF 2010; Zafar 2011). The government enacted the Public Debt
Management Act in 2008, targeting at reduction in the ratio of public sector debt to
GDP by 50 % by 2013.
Mauritius growth recovered at 4 % in 2010, as compared to 3 % in 2009. However,
the euro zone debt crisis in mid 2010 necessitated another round of stimulus package in
2011. These measures included restructuring state enterprises and training of retrenched
workers. Expansionary fiscal stance was accompanied by a loosened monetary policy
with policy rate being cut from 5.75 to 4.75 %.
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

Growth was continued to be supported by fiscal stimulus and accommodative


monetary policy in the context of declining inflation pressures. Yet, growth fell to
3.2 % in 2013, slightly below potential mainly due to weak demand for construction,
sugar and tourism. Conscious of potential inflationary pressures, Bank of Mauritius
(BoM) resorted to mopping it up excess liquidity through tightening monetary policy
measures. Fiscal consolidation was delayed in both 2013 and 2014, which saw
historically high level budgets. Since the debt risks were limited, with debt consisting
of low external debt from multi- and bilateral sources, budget deficits of small
magnitudes were of no immediate concern.
Thus, appropriate fiscal policies followed by Mauritius in the wake of economic
downturn for mitigating the adverse impact of the global economic downturn. As the
conomy recovered, the stabilizers ceased to operate. Along with fiscal policy measures,
monetary policy was not only supportive but was also on guard to keep inflationary
potential under check.

Vanuatu

Vanuatu is one of the 14 Pacific island countries (PICs), which are members of the
intergovernmental organization, known as Pacific Islands Forum. Vanuatu is located in
the South Pacific. The island nation is heavily subsistence oriented, dominated by root
crops; and commercial ranch and fishery activities to a small extent. Its manufacturing
sector is small, confined to bread and biscuit making and coconut oil production.
Vanuatu is a pure tax haven being open economy with no taxation of any kind or
exchange controls ever since its independence in 1980, except for a brief period during
1998–99 following the payout crisis experienced by the state sponsored Vanuatu
National Provident Fund (VNPF) (Jayaraman 2000). Vanuatu’s financial sector in-
cludes the Reserve Bank of Vanuatu (RBV), five commercial banks, a number of trust
and insurance companies, VNPF, and several smaller financial institutions, including a
credit institution and the state owned Vanuatu Agriculture Development Bank. Since
Vanuatu has no vibrant primary and secondary markets in bond and other financial
securities, there are no attractive financial assets other than saving and time deposits for
savers to invest in (Jayaraman 2011).

Macroeconomic Performance

The objectives of RBV are to keep inflation low, maintain an adequate level of
international reserves and support orderly economic development. As there are no
capital controls in Vanuatu, there is not much room for an independent monetary policy
under a fixed exchange rate regime. Until 1998, the statutory reserve deposit (SRD)
ratio was the only monetary policy instrument of RBV. In 1998, RBV introduced open
market type operations in its own papers for mopping up excess liquidity in the wake of
VNPF crisis, and eventually towards influencing the market rate of interest rate.
Vanuatu’s economic performance during 1980–1990 has been uneven (Crane 2006).
With fall in bilateral grants, which accounted for 80 % of public sector expenditure in
1980 to 21 % in 1989, government trimmed recurrent expenditures and increased
revenue through indirect taxes. In the early 1990s, government resorted to overseas
borrowing for funding projects including telecommunication network and airport
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

development. These helped to augment tourism receipts by allowing larger aircrafts to


land.
During the period 1991–1995, there were several unanticipated shocks, including
the aforementioned VNPF crisis, leading to loss of foreign reserves and deterioration of
overall macroeconomic performance. Fiscal and monetary tightening helped economic
recovery in the early 2000s, producing a string of budget surpluses in the subsequent
until 2007.

Global Economic Downturn Since 2008

The global recession originating in the US spread across to Australia and New Zealand
(ANZ), which are Vanuatu’s two main sources of aid, tourism earnings and foreign
direct investment. In the second half of 2008, capital inflows and tourist arrivals began
to decrease. In such an unfavourable environment, well coordinated monetary and
fiscal policies were adopted to lessen the impact of the world economic downturn. In
late 2008, RBV adopted easy monetary policy, including reductions in rediscount rate
and in SRD ratio. Fiscal surpluses of past 4 years came handy, providing fiscal space to
accommodate expansionary fiscal measures during 2009–2011. As inflationary pres-
sures crept in, brakes were applied with increases in SRD ratio in two steps: August
2010 and in August 2011.
To sum up, Vanuatu handled its response to global economic crisis creditably, with
prudent fiscal measures much before the global crisis. When the economy showed
signs of heating, direct monetary policy instruments were relied upon to a far greater
extent.

Coordination Between Central Bank and Ministry of Finance

The functions of central banking relate to maintenance of internal equilibrium (price


stability) and external equilibrium (exchange rate stability), which is essentially a 20th
century development by separating two sets of functions, namely monetary policy and
fiscal policy.
Theoretical support for assigning the functions of monetary policy and fiscal policy
to two different agencies comes from the contributions by the Nobel Laureate,
Tinbergen (1952, 1956), who stressed the need for as many number of policy variables
as there are policy goals. If price stability were to be the goal, the policy or instrument
variable would be monetary policy, which would be targeting an intermediate target,
such as monetary aggregate, reserves, or interest rate; and if growth were to be the goal,
the policy variable would be fiscal policy (Hasan and Isgut 2009).
All open economies are exposed to balance of payments problem, posing threats to
exchange rate stability. In flexible exchange rate regimes, automatic macroeconomic
adjustment falls on exchange rate, which is not possible under a fixed exchange rate
regime. Countries with fixed exchange rate regimes have to assign the goal of balance
of payments equilibrium to the tool of exchange rate. However, it is well known that the
three goals in an open economy: price stability with monetary policy as a tool, growth
with fiscal policy as a tool, and balance of payments equilibrium with exchange rate
policy as a tool, present the classic situation of impossible trinity (Obstfeld et al. 2005).
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

Shared Goals

Fiscal policy measures have monetary implications. Deficit financing through public
borrowing exercises upward pressure on market interest rates; and the monetization of
government debt in the event of public failing to purchase government bonds, adds to
high powered money with inflationary potential (Worrell 2000). In these circumstances,
it is more expedient to concentrate on two goals of price stability and growth. In SIDS,
price stability and growth are the shared goals of governments and central banks.
Although the central bank is entrusted with monetary policy in most of the SIDS which
have independent currencies, instrument independence is not fully enjoyed by them.
Studies (Fry et al. 1996) show that in SIDS which had a history of low inflation,
monetary policy changes were implemented after they were duly endorsed by Ministry
of Finance (MoF).
In SIDS whose financial markets are at early stages of development, monetary
policy transmission mechanism has been found weak (Jayaraman 2011). Although
fiscal policy is more effective than monetary policy, time lags involved in implemen-
tation render it as a blunt tool. Therefore, it is recognized that central banks and
governments should evolve a cooperative monetary-fiscal coordination framework
for successful policy making and implementation (Fry et al. 1996; Eijffinger and de
Haan 1996; Allsopp and Vines 1998).
An important reason behind effective coordination between ministry of finance and
central bank relates to maintaining adequate fiscal space, which is defined as the
availability of budgetary room that allows a government to provide resources for a
desired purpose without prejudice to the sustainability of a government’s financial
position (Heller 2005). Inadequate fiscal space leads to rise in debt stock, resulting in
higher debt servicing costs and recurrent expenditures of the government, which would
eventually raise the size of any fiscal space the government would be targeting. Rise in
debt servicing costs would also lessen the efficacy of monetary policy tools. Deficit
financing would push up cost of domestic credit as government would be competing
with private sector for resources. If the central bank were to ease the pressure on interest
rate, it would face the risk of adding to inflationary pressures. In these circumstances,
the need for coordination between central bank and ministry of finance becomes more
critical (Hasan and Isgut 2009).

Coordination Framework

The coordination framework depends on four stages of financial sector development


(Laurens and de la Piedra 1998). In countries with undeveloped financial markets and a
small number of financial institutions, formal rules are required to constrain domestic
credit, as the latter is often dominated by government borrowing. In the second stage,
with reforms taking shape towards developing markets for central bank issued securi-
ties for influencing short-term interest rates, government’s debt service costs are
reduced. In these two stages, financial programming, involving government spending
decisions on one hand, and money supply changes by central bank on the other hand,
can be undertaken only under some coordination mechanisms.
The third stage refers to the emergence of money market for short term instruments
issued by central bank, when the country concerned has only a primary market
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

developed but with no secondary market yet. The fourth and final stage refers to fully
developed money market with secondary markets as well. In the third stage, central
bank aims at reserve money; and in the fourth stage central bank has greater control
over money supply. Since the last two stages have yet to be reached in SIDS, financial
programming is critically needed.
The SIDS’ financial sectors are at early stages of development with a small number
of players in the primary market for financial securities, which are dominated by state
sponsored pension institutions. Further, they are marked by the absence of secondary
markets in which securities could be traded. As a result, prices do not provide
appropriate signals for economic agents to act and react. In these circumstances,
institutional arrangements have also to ensure that monetary and fiscal policies are
consistent with each other ex-ante for maintaining their credibility. Furthermore there
are implications for one another, since these policies are implemented at different times
by two distinct agencies: central bank and ministry of finance (Worrell 2000). These
institutional constraints can be overcome only by coordination.
What is now increasingly recognized is the need for frequent exchange of informa-
tion between the ministry of finance (which is responsible for fiscal policy formulation
and implementation) and the central bank (which is responsible for monetary policy
formulation and implementation) for ensuring the shared goals of price stability and
growth being achieved. Since the two entities have independent jurisdictions, the joint
setting of monetary and fiscal policies is not suggested here. But, what is stressed here
is coordination, which has to be achieved by taking into account the other agency’s
reaction to each agency’s policy move with the full appreciation on the parts of both
central bank and government. Each of them has to respect their respective spheres of
assigned roles, objectives and instrument freedom to pursue the mandated goals
(Reserve Bank of New Zealand 2012)

Two Mechanisms

Two mechanisms are in vogue. One is the rule-based approach and the other is the
committee approach. Under the rule-based approach establishing rules and procedures,
limits on public debt and budget deficit laid down as targets to be achieved over time.
The rule based approach ensures the conflicting positions that arise from time to time
are kept to a minimum since the central bank and the government have different time
horizons in mind. Governments have always the next elections in mind. Their spending
decision has implications of longer term nature, which are of central bank concerns.
Financing a budget deficit by borrowing from central bank would eventually cause a
rise in money stock with pressures on price level. Central bank would be forced to
adopt a tightening monetary policy. By so doing, it might find itself at loggerheads with
government.
The rule based approach would also require MoF to issue a Budget Policy Statement
3 months in advance of the date of formal budget presentation, indicating government’s
long term and short term objectives for operating expenses, revenues and total debt.
Such an advance notice would then enable central bank to plan its moves accordingly
(Hasan and Isgut 2009). If countries do not have parliamentary statutes laying down the
legal limits for guidance, it is the committee approach which promotes coordination
through contacts and exchange of information (Worrell 2000).
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

In some countries which have constituted joint committees for coordinating mone-
tary and fiscal policies, it is found that these committees do not meet regularly. If they
do, it is only to decide on major shifts such as targets for the medium term and overall
debt strategy, rather than for a continuous review of changes in monetary and fiscal
policies. Further, the formal work link through membership of MoF officials in the
central bank’s board of directors is not reciprocated for the central bank participation in
the fiscal policy making in MoF.
As regards autonomy of central banks, appointment of board directors including the
governor as the chairman of the board on merit for a fixed period subject to renewal for
an equal period, would send out a strong signal of seriousness of government’s
intention. In some SIDS, the tenure of the board is coterminous with the period of
government. Such an arrangement does not ensure independence, as well as continuity.
Unexpected changes in the government between two general elections are followed
with consequent changes in the central bank as well would contribute to disruption at
the policy level.
It is now recognized that keeping the board of directors away from political
influences ensures a high degree of professionalism. Strengthening the research
capabilities would contribute to the build-up of the reputation of central bank,
which inspires public confidence in the institution. Consequently, the govern-
ment is put on guard once the public begins to look upon the central bank as a
repository of expertise (Worrell 2000). Based on the foregoing discussion, Box
1 presents an ideal situation of institutional arrangements for central bank and
government coordination.
Box 1: Coordination: Suggested Institutional Arrangements

A joint economic policy committee (JEP) chaired by Governor of the Central Bank (CB) and Chief Technical
Officer (CTO) of Ministry of Finance (MoF).
JEP firms up in advance the annual forecasts prepared by CB and MoF, as the basis for budgetary exercises.
JEP also undertakes periodical review of the forecasts as and when situations warrant for any revision.
Forecasts are formally communicated by JEP to Minister of Finance before . MoF begins its budgetary
exercises for the ensuing year
Minister of Finance is responsible for the budget formulation, reconciling differences between MoF and the
spending ministries..
Revised forecasts are prepared by JEP by incorporating Minister’s final decision on budget outcome
Differences between CB and MoF remain within the committee. It is left to Minister to choose
risky options.
In majority of countries, Governor of CB maintains regular contacts with CTO, MoF and Minister of Finance.
Such an arrangement works well provided forecasting, publishing and expenditure control are in place.
Protection of tenure of CB Governor and Board of Directors from political influence; assignment of
operational responsibility and freedom; and explicitly requiring CB to report to parliament
High quality research output by CB promotes CB reputation, integrity and autonomy and accountability
CB’s influence on determination of policy and on public preferences which determine targets of policy
depends on soundness of CB’s past analytical.
Equally important is strong technical capability of MOF in tax policy analysis, strict expenditure control,
skillful cash management and effective monitoring and information systems for fiscal operations
Additionally developing its own capability to formulate and articulate policy raises the image of MoF.

Source: Laurens and de la Piedra (1998); Worrell (1991, 2000). Hasan and Isgut (2009)
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

Two Case Studies

Arrangements in Mauritius

The 2004 Act of the parliament lays down the objectives of Bank of Mauritius (BoM)
as promoting growth and development and maintaining price stability within the range
of accepted inflation after due consultation and approval by Minister of Finance. Thus,
price stability and economic development become the shared goals between the
government and the monetary authority. The BoM has been given instrument indepen-
dence in regard to monetary policy formulation and implementation for maintaining
price stability. The Act empowers the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) set up under
the Act to function independently of government without representation from Ministry
of Finance and Economic Development (MoFED). The MPC is chaired by the
Governor consisting of two Deputy Governors; two Directors on the Board and four
others outside the Board, with experience in economics, banking or finance, all
appointed by the Minister.
For maintenance of financial stability, the statute has provision for a joint committee,
known as Financial Stability Committee, which is chaired by the Minister. The other
members are the Governor; the Financial Secretary Head of MoFED; and the Chief
Executive of the Financial Services Commission established under the Financial
Services Act. The functions of the Committee are to review and ensure the soundness
and stability of the financial system.

Fiscal Discipline

Mauritius relies upon the rule-based approach towards fiscal discipline. In his
2006–07 budget speech the Minister of Finance announced that government
would enforce three rules: (i) the golden rule limiting the government borrow-
ing to only investment financing; (ii) the sustainable investment rule requiring
the net public debt ratio to GDP be on a downward track; (iii) the constant
expenditure rule requiring total expenditure remains constant after adjusting for
inflation, which meant in 2006/07 containing the net government’s recurrent
expenditure to 20.5 % of GDP. The so-called golden and sustainable rules aim
at maintaining the public expenditure and limiting public debt at an agreed
level of GDP. The Public Debt Management Act (PDMA) of 2008 requires the
public sector debt be reduced to 50 % of GDP by 2013.
While MoFED is guided by the principles of responsible fiscal management by the
golden and sustainable investment rules; and BoM role and functions are spelt out
under the statute, coordination arrangements between them remain to be administrative.
The latter are formalised through committee procedures. There are three levels of
committees: (i) Minister-Governor; (ii) High-level official; and (iii) Staff level. The
Minister-Governor level meeting takes place each year at the start of preparations for
the budget. The purposes are to take stock of the economic situation and to assess
prospects for the country in the short to medium term. The committee meets on an ad
hoc basis depending on issues under consideration. These meetings enable both the
government and central bank to come to an understanding of the current economic
situation and exchange views before budget preparation.
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

The High-level official committee, known as Macroeconomic Coordination


Committee, is chaired by the Financial Secretary. It comprises representatives of
BoM and the Statistics Office for discussing macroeconomic forecasts and for
reviewing progress in regard to achievement of objectives. The Staff Level
Committee is concerned more with detailed measures and it meets as and when
required during the year. As the Minister reconciles differences between the budget
requests of spending ministries and resources available, the Committee revises forecasts
in the light of the recommendations by the Minister.
There is also a committee known as Short Term Borrowing Requirements
Committee comprising officials from MoFED, the Treasury, the Debt Team and the
BoM, which meets on a regular basis to discuss and analyse the results of the
government’s cash balance projections, to monitor overall liquidity and market devel-
opments, and to discuss the strategy for achieving public debt and monetary manage-
ment objectives.

Arrangements in Vanuatu

We obtain the rule-based approach in Vanuatu as well. Vanuatu enacted Public Finance
and Economic Management Act (PFEMA) 1998 making the Minister of Finance
accountable for fiscal policy and implementation. The PFEMA requires the govern-
ment to: (i) produce statements of economic policy; (ii) announce confirmation of
adherence to fiscal disciplines prescribed under this Act; and (iii) issue budget policy
statements; economic and fiscal forecasts; updates; financial management information;
and comprehensive annual reports.
Unlike the PDMA (2008) of Mauritius, Vanuatu’s PFEMA does not prescribe caps
on public debt and budget deficit in terms of percentages of GDP. However, it requires
the Minister of Finance to issue a statement on economic and financial policy, which
would present a general picture of revenue and expenditure positions of the government.
The statement on economic and financial policy has to be followed by a budget policy
statement each year before end of September and it has to spell out or re-affirm long term
objectives to be pursued for the next two calendar years and specify strategic priorities.
Further, another legal requirement is that Minister has to submit the Budget along with
the Bill for an Annual Appropriation Act and submit a report on the Government’s fiscal
strategy. The PFEMA empowers the government to raise loans. However, the Act does
not prescribe the debt ceiling either in absolute amounts or as a percentage of GDP. The
above legal provisions make it clear that formulation and implementation of fiscal policy
and management of public finances are the exclusive function and responsibility of
Ministry of Finance and Economic Management (MoFEM).

Central Bank Responsibility

The Reserve Bank of Vanuatu (RBV) Act 12 of 2002 lays down the functions and
responsibilities of the central bank. The RBV Act lists the objectives of central bank,
specifying promotion of monetary stability and fostering conditions conducive to
orderly and balanced economic development. The RBV and the government thus have
economic development as a shared goal. The RBV Act clearly confers freedom of
action to the Board of Directors comprising of five members, one of which is the
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

Governor and the Chairman and the other four include three members from the public
with proven ability in business, professional or academic matters and a representative
from the MoFEM. The members of the Board, including the Governor, are appointed
for a 5- year term. The appointment is not coterminous with the government in power
and the terms of appointment cannot be altered to their disadvantage. These provisions
ensure certain measure of autonomy.
The RBV is given instrument independence to determine interest rates and prescribe
reserve requirement ratios. However, there is a provision which does not rule out the
authority of MoF to have a say in these matters, as it refers to the need for prior
approval of the Minister of Finance, generally for giving effect to the purposes of the
Act. However, there is no instance in recent years of any interference in this regard. The
authority under this provision would, if and when exercised, no doubt compromise the
independence of the central bank. It should be noted that the representation from
MoFEM in the RBV Board of Directors is not reciprocated by a similar formal
arrangement in the formulation of fiscal policy and budget preparatory exercise. A
provision in the RBV Act restricts the freedom of MoFEM in regard to government’s
borrowing from the central bank by fixing the upper limit of advances to government at
20 % of the average annual revenue of the government. However, this restriction is
diluted by another provision that under special circumstances the limit of 20 % can be
extended to 30 % for a period of 6 months by Minister of Finance.

Coordination Arrangements

A joint Macroeconomic Committee (MEC), which was set up in 1998 to meet the
consequences of the VNPF crisis, has proved its usefulness in monitoring the economic
conditions and taking corrective steps has become a permanent committee. The MEC is
chaired by the Governor with following as members: (i) Director General, Ministry of
Finance and Economic Management (MoFEM): (ii) Director, Treasury Department;
(iii) Director, Research and Statistics Department, RBV; (iv) Principal Statistician,
Government Statistics Office; and (v) Director, Customs and Inland Revenue.(vi)
representatives from the Prime Minister’s Office. The MEC’s functions include (i)
reviewing economic development activities; (ii) identifying current and impending
risks and vulnerabilities and providing advice in mitigating them; and (iii) reviewing
the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies.
The recommendations of MEC though not binding are given due regard in the
budget formulation by the Ministerial Budget Committee (MBC), a sub-committee of
the Council of Ministers under chairmanship of Minister of Finance. The RBV
Governor attends MBC, as the chairman of MEC and offers his views before the
budget is finalized. The consultative process is complete with full participation by the
central bank governor in the budget preparation, which ensures coordination at the
highest levl.

Summary and Conclusions

Coordination between fiscal and monetary policies has become an important subject of
discussion ever since the global economic downturn in 2008. This paper reviewed the
Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

coordination arrangements in small island developing states, with two case studies of
Mauritius and Vanuatu, which have been recognized as top performers in their two
respective regions, the Indian Ocean and the South Pacific.
The study shows that Mauritius, in addition to more streamlined administrative
arrangements has increasingly relied upon self-denying ordinances of limiting public
debt and fiscal deficits by enacting legislative measures in recent years. Vanuatu, on the
other hand has yet to adopt a more stringent framework. It has placed considerable
emphasis on the cooperative framework of consultative procedures between ministry of
finance and central bank. By inviting central bank participation at the highest level, the
Budget Committee and a sub-committee of the Council of Ministers in Vanuatu has the
benefit of the central bank governor’s views and advice, retaining its own final say.
Although a high degree of independence assured by legislative provisions is helpful
for raising the credibility of central bank as an institution in SIDS, it is the profession-
alism and integrity of the institution built over decades that matters. The government of
the day becomes appreciative of the central banks only if the latter become credible
through high quality research and analytical and reporting skills (Worrell 2000). As for
integrity, it is men at the helm of affairs who matter most. This requires appointment
procedures to be above politics assuring full tenure and terms of appointment of the
governor and board directors.

References

Allsopp, C., & Vines, E. (1998). The assessment: macroeconomic policy after EMU. Oxford Review of
Economic Policy, 14(3).
Asian Development Bank (ADB) (2011). Asian development outlook 2011. Manila: ADB.
Asian Development Bank (ADB) (2014). Key indicators of Asia and the Pacific 2014. Manila: ADB.
Briguglio, L., & Kisanga, E. J. (2004). Economic vulnerability and resilience of small states. London: Islands
and Small States Institute, University of Malta and Commonwealth Secretariat.
Crane, S. (2006). Vanuatu. In C. Browne (Ed.), Pacific island economies (pp. 163–170). Washington: IMF.
Eijffinger, S., & de Haan, J. (1996). The political economy of central bank independence. Princeton Special
Papers in International Finance. New Jersey: Princeton University.
Fry, M. J., Goodhart, C. A. E., & Almeida, A. (1996). Central banking in developing countries: Objectives,
activities and independence. London: Routledge.
Hasan, A., & Isgut, A. (2009). Effective coordination of monetary and fiscal policies: Conceptual issues and
experiences of selected Asia-Pacific countries. A Paper Presented at United Nations Economic and Social
Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP)’s Regional High-Level Workshop on “Strengthening
the Response to the Global Financial Crisis in Asia-Pacific: The Role of Monetary, Fiscal and External
Debt Policies”. July 2009, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Heller, P. S. (2005). Understanding fiscal space. IMF Policy Discussion Paper PDP/05/4. Washington, D.C.:
IMF.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2010). Staff report: Article IV consultation mission to Mauritius.
Washington, D.C.: IMF.
Jayaraman, T. K. (2000). Central bank independence in the South Pacific. Public Organization Review, 1(2),
197–228.
Jayaraman, T. K. (2004). Macroeconomic aspects of resilience building in small states. In L. Briguglio & E. J.
Kisanga (Eds.), Economic vulnerability and resilience of small states (pp. 33–58). Malta: Islands and
Small States Institute.
Jayaraman, T. K. (2011). Macroeconomic performance in six Pacific island countries. In T. K. Jayaraman & P.
Narayan (Eds.), Issues in monetary and fiscal policy in small developing states (pp. 118–120). London:
Commonwealth Secretariat.
Laurens, B., & de la Piedra, E. G. (1998). Coordination of monetary and fiscal policies. IMF Working Paper
WP/98/25. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
T.K. Jayaraman et al.

Morisset, J., Bastos, F., Rojid, S. (2010). Facing off a man-made disaster: Global financial crisis and policy
response in the small tropical island of mauritius. World Bank Note. Africa Region, Washington, D.C.
Obstfeld, M., Shambaugh, J. C., & Taylor, A. M. (2005). The trilemma in history: tradeoffs among exchange
rates, monetary policies, and capital mobility. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(3), 423–438.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (2012). Fiscal and monetary coordination. http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monpol/
review/0097145.pdf. Accessed 25 May 2012.
Sacerdoti, E., El-Masry, G., Khandelwal P., Yao Y. (2005). Challenges of sustained growth: Mauritius.
Washington, D.C.: IMF.
Tinbergen, J. (1952). On the theory of economic policy. Amsterdam: North Holland.
Tinbergen, J. (1956). Economic policies: Principles and design. Amsterdam: North Holland.
United Nations, Economic and social Commssion for Asia and the Pacific (UN ESCAP. (2011). Economoic
and Socail Survey 2011. Bangkok: UN ESCAP.
World Bank (2014). World Development Indicators, http://data.worldbank.org/datacatalog/world-
development-indicators, Washington, D.C.: World Bank.
Worrell, D. (1991). Making Caribbean Central Banks more independent. Social and Economic Studies, 4(40),
147–154.
Worrell, D. (2000). Monetary and fiscal co-ordination in small open economies. IMF Working Paper, WP/00/
56. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
Zafar, A. (2011). Mauritius: An economic success story. In P. Chuhan-Pole & M. Angwalo (Eds.), Yes Africa
can: Success stories from a dynamic continent. Washington: The World Bank.

T.K. Jayaraman is a Professor, Fiji National University, Fiji Islands since 2012. Earlier, he was with the
University of the South Pacific teaching economics from 1998. Prior to his academic career, he was a Senior
Economist with the Manila-based Asian Development Bank. A graduate of University of Madras in India, he
pursued postgraduate studies for Master’s and Doctoral degrees from University of Hawaii (Manoa), Hono-
lulu, assisted by an East West Centre Grant (1968-69) and a Fulbright Grant (1972-75). Dr Jayaraman’s
publications include articles in journals including Journal of Policy Modeling and International Review of
Economics; and books including A Single Currency for Pacific Islands (Nova Science Publishers, New York
2012) and Issues in Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Small Developing States: A Case Study of the Pacific
(Commonwealth Secretariat, London 2011).

Rubyna Boodhoo who is presently a Lead Analyst working with the Ministry of Finance and Economic
Development of Mauritius, joined civil service in 1991. As part of his career, she was involved in Programme-
Based Budgeting, which streamlined the process of planning and budgeting. She also worked at the Prime
Minister’s Office on the implementation of the “Maurice Ile Durable” (Sustainable Development)| Policy,
Strategy and Action Plan. She studied at the University of Leeds, UK, and obtained her BA degree with joint
honours in Economics and Social policy in 1990. She did her post graduate work to earn an MSc in Finance
(2001), and a post-graduate diploma in Business Management (2002) from the University of Kwazulu-Natal,
South Africa.

Mr. Peter Tari is Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of Vanuatu (RBV), Port Vila, Vanuatu. He began his
central banking career in 1991, when he joined RBV as an Assistant Economist in Money and Banking
Department. In 1996, he moved to the RBV’s Banking Supervision Unit as Deputy Director, becoming the
Director of the Banking Supervision Department in 1998. He was appointed Deputy Governor in 2002.
Mr.Tari studied at the University of South Pacific, Fiji Islands and obtained his B.A. degree in Economics in
1990 before joining RBV. He did his post graduate studies and earned his Master’s Degree in Business
Administration in 2012 from the the University of the South Pacific.

You might also like