NPV, Payback Period, PI

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CAPITAL BUDGETING AND INVESTMENT DECISION ANALYSIS

The extent to which the capital budgeting process needs to be formalised and systematic procedures to
be established depends on the size of the organisation; number of projects to be considered; direct
financial benefit of each project considered by itself; the composition of the firm's existing assets and
management's desire to change that composition; timing of expenditures associated with the projects
that are finally accepted.

ESTIMATION OF PROJECT CASH FLOWS:


Capital Budgeting analysis considers only incremental cash flows from an investment likely to result
due to acceptance of any project. Therefore, one of the most important tasks in capital budgeting is
estimating future cash flows for a project.
Depreciation: Depreciation is a non-cash item and itself does not affect the cash flow. However, we
must consider tax shield or benefit from depreciation in our analysis. Since this benefit reduces cash
outflow for taxes, it is considered as cash inflow.

CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUES:

CAPITAL BUDGETING
TECHNIQUES

Discounted Cash
Traditional
flows

Accounting Rate Net Present Profitability


Payback period
of Return (ARR) Value (NPV) Index (PI)

Internal Rate of Discounted


Return (IRR) Payback Period

Modified IRR
Payback Period:
Time required to recover the initial cash-outflow is called pay-back period. The payback period of an
investment is the length of time required for the cumulative total net cash flows from the investment
to equal the total initial cash outlays. At that point in time (payback period), the investor has
recovered all the money invested in the project.
Net Present Value Technique (NPV):
The net present value technique is a discounted cash flow method that considers the time value of
money in evaluating capital investments. An investment has cash flows throughout its life, and it is
assumed that an amount of cash flow in the early years of an investment is worth more than an
amount of cash flow in a later year. The net present value method uses a specified discount rate to
bring all subsequent cash inflows after the initial investment to their present values (the time of the
initial investment is year 0). The net present value of a project is the amount, in current value of
amount, the investment earns after paying cost of capital in each period.
Net present value = Present value of net cash inflow - Total net initial investment
Since it might be possible that some additional investment may also be required during the life time of
the project, then appropriate formula shall be:
Net present value = Present value of cash inflows - Present value of cash outflows

Advantages of NPV

• NPV method takes into account the time value of money


• The whole stream of cash flows is considered
• The net present value can be seen as the addition to the wealth of shareholders. The criterion
of NPV is thus in conformity with basic financial objectives
• The NPV uses the discounted cash flows i.e., expresses cash flows in terms of current rupees.
The NPVs of different projects therefore can be compared. It implies that each project can be
evaluated independent of others on its own merit

Limitations of NPV

• It involves difficult calculations.


• The application of this method necessitates forecasting cash flows and the discount rate. Thus,
accuracy of NPV depends on accurate estimation of these two factors which may be quite
difficult in practice
• The decision under NPV method is based on absolute measure. It ignores the difference in
initial outflows, size of different proposals etc. while evaluating mutually exclusive projects

Profitability Index /Desirability Factor/Present Value Index Method (PI):


Profitability Index (PI)= Sum of discounted cash in flows

Initial cash outlay or Total discounted cash outflow (as the case may)
Advantages of PI

• The method also uses the concept of time value of money.


• In the PI method, since the present value of cash inflows is divided by the present value of
cash outflow, it is a relative measure of a project’s profitability.

Limitations of PI

• Profitability index fails as a guide in resolving capital rationing where projects are indivisible.
• Once a single large project with high NPV is selected, possibility of accepting several small
projects which together may have higher NPV than the single project is excluded.
• Also, situations may arise where a project with a lower profitability index selected may
generate cash flows in such a way that another project can be taken up one or two years later,
the total NPV in such case being more than the one with a project with highest Profitability
Index.

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