Business Cycle

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 3

The Business Cycle

Akanksha Yadav
BAECMT22001

Business cycle in layman language is a cycle of business and this business


includes input, employment and inflation of a country. This cycle gives an appropriate
idea of how an Economy of a country is working. It is influenced by many factors such
as consumers’ spending, fiscal and monetary policies, technological advancements and
investment etc. of a country. Although the term business cycle is misleading in some
ways because a cycle is a periodically occurring event, it is not the case with business
cycles because recession period can occur even for six or sixteen months, whereas the
expansion period can stay for a year or months also. So a more appropriate term that
can be used instead of the business cycle is ‘Short-term economic fluctuations’.

The full employment level of output, which naturally tends to grow as the population
increases and new technologies are discovered, can be maintained forever, however,
because disturbances to the economy of one short or another push the economy above
or below full employment.

Business cycle consists of expansion, peak, recession, depression and trough.


2

Expansion: This phase is characterized by increasing GDP, higher employment


levels, increased consumer spending, and growing business investment. It is typically
accompanied by low unemployment rates and rising consumer confidence.

Peak: During this phase, the economy reaches its maximum level of output and
employment. It is often characterized by high levels of consumer spending and
optimism about future economic prospects.

Recession: This phase involves a decline in economic activity following the peak.
Unemployment rises, business investment declines, and consumer confidence falls.

Trough: Economic activity reaches its minimum level. It marks the end of the
recession and the beginning of recovery. Consumer and business confidence begins to
improve.

Causes of a Business Cycle:

1.Change in demand- When demand in an economy increases, firms start producing


more, resulting in more output, more employment, more income, this leads to expansion
in an economy and Vice-versa. But excessive demand may also cause inflation.

2.Change in investments- The investment changes on the basis of many factors such as
rate of interest and expected profit in an economy. The increased investment will lead to
higher employment and the economy grows towards expansion and if investment falls it
causes trough.
3

3.Supply of money- An increase of money in the market causes growth and expansion
but excess supply of money may also cause Inflation. Whereas, decrease of money
supply will initiate a recession in the economy.

Other external factors also cause business cycles to occur such as war, population
growth, natural disasters etc.

Implications of the Business Cycle:

For Businesses: The business cycle affects firms' sales, investments and overall
business performance. Businesses need to adapt their strategies and operations to
navigate through different phases of the cycle.

For Policymakers: Governments and central banks use fiscal and monetary policies to
stabilize the economy and tackle the negative impacts of recessions. The motive of
policy responses are economic growth, control inflation, and reduce unemployment
during recession.

Understanding the Business cycle is important for business, policy makers ,


investors and individuals to make the right decision in order to make profit itself. It gives
insight into dynamics of the economy and helps anticipate future economic challenges
and opportunities.

You might also like