Undp Nigeria CPD 2023-2027

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United Nations DP/DCP/NGA/4

Executive Board of the Distr.: General


United Nations Development 2 December 2022
Programme, the United Nations Original: English
Population Fund and the United
Nations Office for Project Services
First regular session 2023
30 January – 3 February 2023, New York
Item 7 of the provisional agenda
Country programmes and related matters

Country programme document for Nigeria (2023-2027)

Contents

Chapter Page
I. UNDP within the United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework…………… 2
II. Programme priorities and partnerships…………………………………………………. ……….… 3
III. Programme and risk management ……………………………………………….………………… 6
IV. Monitoring and evaluation …………………………………………………….…………………… 7
Annex
Results and resources framework for Nigeria (2023-2027)………………………………………… 9

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I. UNDP within the United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation


Framework
1. Nigeria has the largest economy ($429 billion US dollars in 2020)1 and is the most populous
(211 million in 2021)2 country in Africa. Despite being the largest crude oil producer in Africa,3
poverty (40 per cent or 82.9 people million in 2019) and unemployment (33 per cent in 2021)4
remain high. Nigeria ranked low in the Human Development Index (161 out of 189 countries in
2020).5 The COVID-19 pandemic, cost-of-living crisis, disruptions to supply chains, and drop in
revenue all compounded national development challenges. The World Bank estimates the national
poverty rate may have increased to 42.5 per cent (90.2 million) in 2020.6 Moreover, Nigeria suffers
from socio-economic deficits where close to 60 per cent of the rural population still lack access to
electricity7 and only 5 per cent of the population uses clean energy sources for cooking, with there
being a disproportionate and negative impact on women and girls.
2. Nigeria is vulnerable to conflict-related and environmental risks (desertification and natural
disasters). Governance, peace, and security deficits (102 out of 104 countries in the Chandler Good
Government Index, 34 out of 54 countries in the Mo Ibrahim Index of African Governance, 154
out 180 countries in the 2021 Transparency International Corruption Perception Index, and 143 out
of 163 on the 2022 Global Peace Index) constitute direct threats to development and citizen trust
in Nigerian public institutions and policies. Nigeria ranks 180 out of 193 countries in the world on
women’s representation in parliament with only 5.8 per cent of female legislators in the House of
Representatives and 7.3 per cent in the Senate. Nigeria also scored low on the gender development
index (0.863) and the gender inequality index (0.680) in 2021. Female labour force participation is
low at 59.6 per cent and the maternal mortality ratio is high (917).8 Furthermore, the pandemic
intensified already a high incidence of gender-based violence (GBV), which is currently 48 per
cent.9
3. The Common Country Assessment (CCA) identifies key opportunities in agriculture,
manufacturing, and regional trade alongside challenges such as vulnerability to oil shocks,
increasing pressures on poverty, inequality, unemployment, hunger, malnutrition, and gender
imbalances. To meet the ambitious national targets of generating 21 million full-time jobs and
lifting 35 million people out of poverty by 2025 the United Nations Sustainable Development
Cooperation Framework (UNSDCF) for Nigeria 2023–2027 places people at the centre of
development through an inclusive, rights-based, gender-sensitive approach to achieve the
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The UNSDCF features four strategic priorities, (i)
inclusive economic growth and development, (ii) improved environmental conditions and
increased resilience, (iii) increased access and use of quality basic social services, and (iv) promote
a peaceful, inclusive, and cohesive society.
4. Anchored in the 2030 Agenda and African Union Agenda 2063, and drawing lessons from the
mid-term review of the 2018-2022 Country Programme Document (CPD), the new CPD for 2023–
2027 represents UNDP contributions to Government of Nigeria development efforts and UNDSCF.
The CPD is aligned to the National Development Plan 2021–2025, which aims to foster socio-
economic recovery, and restore macroeconomic stability, good governance, and growth through
socio-economic transformation for sustainable development. The CPD was informed by the
analysis and recommendations from the Independent Country Programme Evaluation (ICPE).
These include adopting a balanced mix of upstream and downstream interventions where gender
considerations are adequately mainstreamed; enhancing peace building and stabilization

1
International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook database, April 2021.
2
Estimates by United Nations Population Fund, World Population Dashboard.
3
British Petroleum, Statistical Review of World Energy, 2020.
4
National Bureau of Statistics, 2019 and 2021.
5
UNDP, Human Development Report, 2020.
6
World Bank, Nigeria Development Update, 2020.
7
Sustainable Energy for All, Africa Hub.
8
UNDP, Human Development Report for 2021/2022.
9
Gender-based violence in Nigeria during the COVID-19 crisis: the shadow pandemic, Brief 4 May 2020, UN Women.

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programmes; enabling public‑private partnerships and climate change mitigation with well-
articulated strategies, and ensuring sustainability of results at the end of programme
implementation.10 In achieving targets laid out in the UNDSCF and based on the UNDP mandate
and comparative advantage, the CPD focuses on three pillars: (i) inclusive economic growth, (ii)
climate change, and (iii) governance, peace, and security. These three pillars will collectively assist
in addressing some of the multi-faceted and multidimensional challenges identified in the
UNDSCF, including rising unemployment, low productivity, public financial resource constraints,
food insecurity, violence and conflict, displacement of people, limited social protection
mechanisms, low public accountability and transparency, and environmental degradation by
promoting inclusive and rights-based development processes that leave no one behind.

II. Programme priorities and partnerships


5. The UNDP programmatic response in Nigeria has two objectives: socio-economic recovery in
the medium term and structural transformation for inclusive and sustainable development to achieve
the SDGs by 2030. This is translated into the three linked priorities of inclusive growth, climate
change, and governance, peace, and security. Adhering to the principle of “Leaving No One Behind”
gender equality and empowerment will be prioritized along with vulnerable groups, poor, female-
headed households, and people living with disabilities. UNDP will mainstream volunteerism into
programme implementation strategies as a valuable way of achieving the SDGs by 2030. The
programme is flexible and responsive to addressing emerging issues and reflect extensive
collaborations with multiple stakeholders.
6. The UNDP CPD for 2023 to 2027 contributes to the United Nations development system
(UNDS) overall objective in the UNDSCF that promotes inclusive human-rights based and gender-
sensitive development in Nigeria for the acceleration and achievement of the 2030 Agenda and
African Union Agenda 2063. As such, UNDP will contribute to UNDS outcomes in the UNDSCF,
by focusing on (i) establishing a strong foundation for a diversified and inclusive economy, (ii)
building a solid framework and enhancing capacities to consolidate peace, strengthen security and
social cohesion and ensure good governance, and (iii) enhancing capacities for climate resilience
and sustainable access to energy.
7. The theory of change for the CPD is based on assumptions that these objectives can be achieved.
IF Nigeria has sustained inclusive economic growth and development that provides equitable
opportunities for decent employment and livelihoods, and IF people living in Nigeria, particularly
the most vulnerable, enjoy improved environmental conditions and increased resilience to extreme
weather conditions and disasters, and IF more inclusive, participatory, transparent and gender
sensitive governance, justice and human rights systems are in place at all levels to promote peaceful,
inclusive and cohesive society, and ASSUMING policy reforms, including strategies and plans are
developed and implemented effectively, upcoming elections do not disrupt programme
implementation, rising insecurity within Nigeria and the Sahel region is under control, THEN all
people living in Nigeria especially the most vulnerable, will contribute to and benefit from inclusive
rights-based and gender sensitive development that leads to the acceleration and achievement of the
2030 Agenda and SDGs.
8. The programme will focus on each of these directions to achieve greater development outcomes
by integrating gender equality and strengthening partnerships with international financial
institutions (IFIs), donors, and the private sector to generate meaningful and impactful
programmatic interventions. Efforts will be facilitated by a greater focus on three enablers: Strategic
innovation, digitization, and development financing. These chosen pathways are considered the best
solutions for addressing development challenges in Nigeria, in part, considering the comparative
advantage of UNDP in terms of convening power, strategic position, integrator role and its expertise
in thematic areas such as human development, development financing, inclusive growth,
environment, governance and peace building as evidenced by continuous engagement with key

10
ICPE Nigeria 2022 (summarized recommendations).

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stakeholders including the government and donors. UNDP will work closely with United Nations
agencies drawing lessons learned during the COVID-19 pandemic. Taking note of CPD evaluation
findings, UNDP will make greater efforts in transparent engagement and programme
implementation, fostering improved understanding amongst UNDS partners, and collaborating in
thematic areas where possible, based on respective comparative advantages.
9. Inclusive economic growth. To contribute to UNDSCF Priority Area 1 on sustainable and
inclusive growth, UNDP will support development planning; SDG mainstreaming and
implementation in strategic plans and policies at federal and state levels; policy reforms guided by
international best practices, economic analyses, and forecasting; data generation; inclusive finance
and impact investments; leveraging the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement,
entrepreneurship development and employment creation through the SDG innovation Hub, Office
of the Senior Special Assistant to the President on SDGs (OSSAP-SDGs), Innovate United
Kingdom Knowledge Transfer Network (KTN), the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF),
United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women) and the
private sector, and the Accelerator Lab on agriculture and value chain development (especially
involving women and youth). Aims are to achieve inclusive economic growth by strengthening
capacities for generating and analyzing disaggregated data, especially at the National Bureau of
Statistics (NBS) and state statistical offices, supporting resilience-building to minimize risk,
improving livelihood and employment creation by leveraging the Nigeria Jubilee Fellows
Programme, and scaling up social protection measures such as cash transfers in targeted
communities in partnership with the World Food Programme (WFP) and UNICEF.
10. Development financing challenges faced by Nigeria have driven UNDP to partner with the
government, European Union, International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and other primary
stakeholders in supporting the development of a healthy financial ecosystem through an Integrated
National Financial Framework (INFF) and related economic policy reforms and institutional
changes. The launch of the INFF, partly through South-South cooperation, will see Nigeria
exchange lessons learned with other African countries on its successful INFF process. In addition,
UNDP will prioritize SDG impact investments in partnership with the national advisory board,
Impact Investment Foundation (IIF), German Development Agency (GIZ), United Nations
Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) and global investors, as well as insurance risk
financers in collaboration with the Financial Sector Deepening Africa (FSD Africa) and Insurance
Development Forum (IDF). It will engage in high-level policy advocacy through the United
Nations Nigeria Policy Advisors group, economic analysis and forecasting to inform effective
policy choices by all stakeholders.
11. Environmental sustainability, climate change, and resilient development. UNDP, as the
lead agency on clean energy and climate action under Priority Area 2 of the UNSDCF, will look to
mitigate climate change and empower communities by focusing on strengthening the nexus
between economic growth, environmental protection, and security, relying on strategic partnerships
with the Office of the Vice President, National Climate Change Council of Nigeria (NCCCN),
Ministry of Finance, Budget, and National Planning (MFBNP), Office of the Security Advisor
(OSA), Federal Ministry of Environment (FME), Development Bank of Nigeria (DBN),
Infrastructure Bank of Nigeria, and Bank of Industry. Climate-security nexus hubs piloted in the
northwest of Nigeria, in partnership with development partners like the governments of Norway
and Germany, will be leveraged and scaled to foster resilience to shocks.
12. UNDP will support the Government of Nigeria to achieve its objective of greening the
economy using a set of integrated solutions as per five pathways.
1) Supporting implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) towards
net zero and climate resilience using a broad range of policy options and leveraging the
Montreal Protocol implementation. Partnerships will be deepened with the British Foreign,
Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), United States Agency for International

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Development (USAID), UNICEF, World Bank, and Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO), tapping into innovation, advocacy, and capacity-building abilities.
2) Strengthening mitigation measures to climate security risks by enhancing local
capacities for proactive de-escalation of conflicts, stabilization, and recovery through youth
engagement in peacebuilding and climate resilience. This also includes greening the Sahel
for sustainable peace in alliance with the Office of the National Security Adviser and
providing platforms for scaling climate-peace hubs.
3) Accelerating nature-based sustainable livelihoods for protecting biodiversity and
ecosystem services through the adoption of integrated, effective, protected area
management, enforcement, and sustainable land use agroecological approaches, especially
targeting women and youth by leveraging the UNDP-led Global Biodiversity programme
alongside the World Bank and FAO.
4) Promoting risk-informed green and circular economic development through emission
trading schemes, scaling up access to clean and affordable energy, enhancing de-
carbonization, de-risking private investments and off-grid clean energy technologies for
productive uses through blended finance, and focusing on rural populations, people
affected by conflict or crisis, women and girls, people living with disabilities, and youth in
collaboration with the national Rural Electrification Agency, Energy Commission of
Nigeria, and African Development Bank.
5) Enhancing communication and data-driven ecological stewardship for strengthened
dialogue between government, civil society, and the private sector.
13. Governance, peace and security. A leading organization in the development of the
UNSDCF, UNDP supports improved public confidence in key institutions of governance, enhances
accountability, public sector transparency, security and conflict management, and promotes
inclusive governance, access to justice and the protection of fundamental rights. As such,
partnerships with civil society organizations (CSOs), the private sector, and professional bodies
will be nurtured to support engendering progressive views on public accountability and
transparency, peacebuilding, elections, gender equality and social cohesion, and scaling up local
governance systems. UNDP will enhance the capacities of the national assembly and primary
public finance and anti-corruption agencies to enact public finance and anti-corruption legal
frameworks, collaborate with and empower CSOs, women, and youth groups for constructive and
effective engagement on anti-corruption.
14. UNDP will support efforts aimed at promoting equitable and timely access to justice and
strengthen human rights institutions by investing in integrated digital solutions; encouraging the
elimination of impunity regarding the violation of human rights and gender-based violence;
facilitating domestication of all international and regional human rights treaties; promoting
elimination of inconsistencies between customary practices and statutory laws, and supporting
implementation of international and regional human rights recommendations and reporting
obligations in partnership with the National Human Rights Commission, Ministry of Justice and
relevant rule of law institutions. UNDP will prioritize electoral reforms and the implementation of
the 2022 electoral law for improved election management and expanded democratic space.
15. UNDP will promote integrated responses to insecurity, linking peacebuilding, climate action
and livelihood recovery to conflict prevention and stabilization. Infrastructure for peace, equipped
with functional capacities for the early detection of conflict risks, will be strengthened in
collaboration with other UNDS partners, CSOs, traditional and religious leaders to promote
inclusive dialogue, build consensus, and diffuse societal conflicts. UNDP will enhance the
capacities of security and governance institutions, expanding options for safe return and
reintegration while laying the foundation for sustainable peace and national security.
16. To address cross border governance challenges, including the proliferation of small arms,
violent extremism, organised crime, and illegal migration UNDP will collaborate on joint

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programming with neighbouring country offices, Economic Community of West African States
(ECOWAS), Lake Chad Basin Commission, UNDS stakeholders, development partners, and CSOs
on area-based responses and cost sharing arrangements to maximize impact. UNDP, to ensure
connections across security, economic, environment, and governance pillars will work with other
United Nations partners on preventing and responding to GBV, promote women’s participation in
peace processes and security efforts, and improve the integration of gender equality into natural
resource management and disaster preparedness plans and processes. Furthermore, UNDP will
promote South-South and triangular cooperation with stakeholders from Kenya, Germany, and
China in governance thematic areas like police reform and elections to deepen best practices and
exchange knowledge with ECOWAS.
17. UNDP will work with national partners at federal and state levels, as well as UN Women,
UNFPA, and UNICEF, in building national capacities to ensure gender equality is mainstreamed
such that it contributes to policy reforms that address the barriers to women’s empowerment. UNDP
will support strengthening government capacities on gender-sensitive economic policies,
innovations, planning, and the use of gender-disaggregated data to strengthen efforts that empower
women and leverage advantages to better respond to sexual and gender-based violence (SGBV) by
supporting national and local partners in developing, strengthening and implementing the required
legislative frameworks and building more gender-sensitive legal and judicial institutions. This will
involve UNDP strengthening the evidence base to inform strategies to advance women’s
empowerment and gender equality, and support the country in producing nationwide data on SGBV
for programming, analysis, and policymaking purposes in partnership with the Federal Ministry of
Women Affairs.
18. UNDP will deepen partnerships with development partners, namely the European Union,
governments of Germany, Japan, Norway, Sweden, the Netherlands, Korea, Canada, the United
Kingdom, United States, and Global Environmental Facility (GEF) and establish new ones with
international financial institutions like the World Bank, African Development Bank (AfDB), and
the Islamic Development Bank. Cognizant of the vibrancy of the private sector in Nigeria in
innovation, development financing, impact investments, ease of doing business, job creation,
climate action and inclusive governance UNDP will further strengthen engagement with the private
sector to build more ambitious and effective partnerships. Collaborative opportunities will be
explored with multilateral environmental financing institutions to scale up engagements with
United Nations funds like the Peacebuilding Fund, Human Security Trust Fund, and the Joint SDG
Fund. Moreover, UNDP will develop long-term partnerships with think tanks, chambers of
commerce, innovation hubs, and research institutions and foster lasting technical collaborative
relationships with CSOs.

III. Programme and risk management


19. This CPD outlines UNDP contributions to national results and serves as the primary unit of
accountability to the Executive Board for results alignment and resources assigned to the
programme at the country level. In accordance with Executive Board decision 2013/9, UNDP will
systematically ensure all direct costs associated with project implementation are charged to
concerned projects. In addition, UNDP will review structures and procedures to ensure they are “fit
for purpose” when implementing the programme and agile enough to adapt to evolving contexts,
United Nations reform actions and the new UNDP Strategic Plan for 2022–2025.
20. The programme will be nationally executed as per the Harmonized Approach to Cash
Transfers (HACT) and in coordination with other United Nations Specialized Agencies to manage
financial risks and strengthen national execution capacities. In exceptional circumstances, national
execution may be replaced by direct execution in response to force majeure. UNDP direct
implementation will safeguard accountability in complex programming situations that is backed by
conscious data collection and analysis, and aligned with effective risk management, evidence
generation, and adaptive programmatic implementation. National ownership and mutual

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accountability for development results will be strengthened through joint annual work plans and
reviews aligned with national priorities.
21. Risks associated with the management of political leadership transitions, including elections,
could derail smooth implementation of the programme. Unrest or tensions related to elections could
further polarize the operating environment, while protracted election processes could lead to the
unavailability of senior government officials with implications for the pace of realizing programme
priorities in various locations. To mitigate risks, UNDP will adopt an electoral-cycle approach
providing support to key stakeholders before, during and after the elections. In addition, UNDP
will deploy a robust risk management system to ensure adaptive programming strategies, direct
implementation and working with strategic partners including civil society and volunteers so they
have timely information that will lead to quick and meaningful programmatic decisions prior to,
during, and after the elections.
22. Economic and social challenges may affect the successful implementation of the programme.
Risks include, (i) prolonged economic slowdown if proposed strategies for economic stabilization
are not implemented; (ii) limited capacity of government and national stakeholders to implement
programmes; (iii) protracted crises in the north, south-east, Niger Delta, and the middle belt; (iv)
difficulties in mobilizing adequate resources; (v) protracted COVID-19 related disruptions, and (vi)
potential delivery challenges prior to and during the 2023 general elections. Moreover, lack of
political will, inadequate allocation of resources, and adverse societal perceptions on gender
equality, especially leadership and decision-making related interventions, could lead to risks
relating to gender inequality and the situation of women and girls.
23. The mitigation of programme risks has been built into priorities and interventions. To ensure
sustainability and effectiveness in the delivery of development and humanitarian assistance, UNDP
will focus on strengthening the capacities of government and implementing partners through a
HACT modality. This approach includes a macro-assessment of the public financial management
system, and micro-assessments of implementing partners. Fast-track procedures will meet
government demands and ensure timely responses to crisis and emergency situations. Surge
capacity and high-level advocacy, among other contingency measures, will be considered to
mitigate contextual and operational risks by drawing on UNDP regional and global service hubs.
24. The UNDP partnership and resource mobilization strategy will emphasize strengthening
government capacities for domestic resource mobilization and cost sharing at the state level. UNDP
will rely on its newly approved status as a ‘cluster for asset’ management in the region. Extensive
collaboration with the Regional Service Centre will be used to collect and disseminate global best
practices for South–South cooperation, innovation, knowledge management and thought
leadership.

IV. Monitoring and evaluation


25. CPD monitoring and evaluation will be aligned with the UNSDCF. Following independent
country programme evaluation, the focus will be on defining results and baseline data and
identifying reliable data sources for collection and use. In line with UNDP monitoring and
evaluation guidelines, UNDP will also engage third-party monitoring mechanisms for inaccessible
areas. Field visits and verifications will increase in frequency to ensure targeted vulnerable groups
benefit from interventions.
26. UNDP will rely on nationally owned country-level data sources such as the National Bureau
of Statistics, Human Development Reports, and credible global reports. Data will be disaggregated
by relevant groups where possible. UNDP—working with the United Nations Monitoring and
Evaluation Reference Group, third party monitors, joint field visits and partners—will support the
national statistical system and research institutions to enhance national data generation capacities,
and improve data quality and evaluation functions, and provide evidence-based, gender-sensitive
data that informs decision-making and fosters transformational development approaches. The focus
will be on improving coverage of SDG targets and strengthening the quality, reliability, and

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timeliness of disaggregated data. Performance indicators for projects and programmes will be
articulated to reflect changes on the ground and observable and measurable in ways that are relevant
to project beneficiaries. Two per cent of the country programme budget will be allocated to
evaluation. Project Quality Assessments, including the gender marker, will continue to be used to
achieve corporate programming quality standards.
27. UNDP will participate in UNSDCF Results Area Groups to track outcome indicators,
including using the United Nations INFO online tool for planning, monitoring, and reporting on
national United Nations development action. The gender marker will be used to monitor
expenditure and improve gender-based planning and decision-making. HACT, spot checks, and
financial audits will complement regular programme monitoring for stakeholders. The approved
evaluation plan will be the basis for decentralized evaluations, the next independent country
programme evaluation, and the Cooperation Framework evaluation.

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Annex. Results and resources framework for Nigeria (2023-2027)
NATIONAL PRIORITY OR GOAL: Nigeria National Development Plan (NDP) 2021–2025. Policy priority 1: Expand business growth, entrepreneurship, and industrialization
(SDGs 1, 5, 8, 9 & 10)
UNSDCF (OR EQUIVALENT) Strategic Priority 1
OUTCOME INVOLVING UNDP #2: By 2027, Nigeria sustains inclusive economic growth and development that provides equitable opportunities for decent employment and
livelihoods.
RELATED STRATEGIC PLAN (2022–2025) OUTCOME 1: Structural transformation, particularly green, inclusive, and digital transitions.
COOPERATION DATA SOURCE AND INDICATIVE COUNTRY PROGRAMME MAJOR PARTNERS / ESTIMATED COST
FRAMEWORK OUTCOME FREQUENCY OF DATA OUTPUTS (including indicators, baselines PARTNERSHIPS BY OUTCOME ($)
INDICATOR(S), BASELINES, COLLECTION, AND targets) FRAMEWORKS
TARGET(S) RESPONSIBILITIES
Indicator 1.1.: Unemployment National Bureau of Statistics OUTPUT 1.1.: Access to basic services and • European Union Regular: $292,500
rate, disaggregated by sector, (NBS) Job Creation Survey, financial and non-financial assets and services • GIZ Other: $5,437,500
Q2 (Quarter 2) and Q3
age, sex and persons living with
(Quarter 3) 2016.
improved to support productive capacities for • Federal Ministry of
disability. sustainable livelihoods and jobs to achieve Industry, Trade and
Frequency: Biannually
Baseline: prosperity. Investment
Total = 33.3% • Lagos State
Male = 31.8% Indicator 1.1.1.: Number of jobs created for Employment Trust Fund
Female = 35.2% youths through vocational training, and (LSETF)
Urban = 31.3% empowerment. • Small and Medium
Rural = 34.5% Baseline: Formal (male: 300, female: 300) Enterprises Development
Youth (15-24) = 54.4% Informal (male: 477, female: 487) Agency of Nigeria
Target:10,000 (2025) (SMEDAN)
Target: Male: 5,000 (formal 1,500, informal 3,500) • Senior Special Assistant to
Total = 19.5% Female 5,000 (formal 1,500, informal 3,500).
Data source: UNDP annual report the President on SDGs
Male = 19% (OSSAP)-SDGs
Female = 20%
Indicator 1.1.2.: Number of women in the • Imo, Abia, Edo,
Urban = 18.3% informal business sector (a) accessing basic Kwara, Kano, and
Rural = 20.2% services and (b) finance. Lagos State
Youth (15-24) = 25% Baseline: 300 • United Nations
Target: 5,000 Volunteers
Indicator 1.2.: Data source: NBS
Underemployment rate
disaggregated by age, sex and
persons living with disability.
Baseline:
Total = 22.8%
Male = 21.8%
Female = 24.2%
Urban = 16.2%
Rural = 26.9%

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Youth = 19.8%

Target:
Total = 19.0%
Male = 18.5%
Female = 19.5%
Urban = 14.0%
Rural = 23.3%
Youth = 16.8%
Indicator 1.3.: Gross crop NBS Annual Abstract of OUTPUT 1.2: Systems and services • FMARD Regular: $292,500
production per capita index Statistics strengthened across agriculture sector with • FMITI Other: $3,625,000
(2004-2006=100) Frequency: Annually increased investment. • FMMSD
Baseline: 96.18 • Bill and Melinda Gates
Target: 110 Federal Ministry of Industry, Indicator 1.2.1: Number of value-chain enabling Foundation
Trade, and Investment (FMITI) strategies supported in the agriculture sector. • World Bank
Baseline: 1 • UNDP
Federal Ministry of Agriculture Target: 4
• AfDB
and Rural Development. Data source: FMARD
• Japan International
(FMARD)
Cooperation Agency
Indicator 1.2.2: Number of entrepreneurs in the
Frequency: Annually agricultural sector benefiting from innovative • FAO
skills and empowerment and development • Norway
initiatives. • Nigeria Extractive
Baseline: 200 (male: 120; female: 80). Industries Transparency
Target: 1,000,000 (male: 500,000; female: Initiative
500,000)
Data source: FMARD, Ministry of Mines and
Steel Development (FMMSD) Annual Reports
OUTPUT 1.3: Policies enabled for inclusive • Delta, Anambra, Niger, Regular: $292,500
and sustainable social protection programmes Taraba, Cross-River and Other: $2,718,750
to strengthen livelihood opportunities for the Akwa-Ibom State
vulnerable. • African Union
• Ministry of Finance,
Indicator 1.3.1: Number of policies and Budget, and National
institutional reforms to improve social protection Planning (MFBNP)
coverage for the vulnerable. • UNICEF
Baseline: 1 • NBS
Target: 4 • OSSAP-SDGs
Data source: National Annual Budget Report
• ECOWAS
Indicator 1.3.2: Number of Vulnerable • National Social Safety-Net
Households (VHH), MSMEs and start-ups Coordinating Office
supported with livelihood, and business (NASSCO)
continuity, through cash transfers in selected
Local Government Areas (LGAs) across targeted
states.

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Baseline: (VHH: 3,000; MSMEs 1,000; Start-ups:
10) LGAs: 7
Target: (VHH: 20,000; MSMEs 5,000; Start-ups:
50)
LGAs: 10
Indicator 1.4.: Annual NBS Social Sector Surveys OUTPUT 1.4: National data collection, • OSSAP-SDGs Regular: $292,500
budget allocation measurement, and analytical systems • NBS Other: $2,718,750
mainstreaming the
SDGs to maximize
Frequency: Annually strengthened using SDG-aligned state • World Bank
development impact. development plans and systems. • MFBNP
Baseline: 0 in 2015 • AfDB
Target: 10 in 2022 Indicator 1.4.1: Number of national or sub-
national development plans aligned to the
SDG framework
Baseline: 1
Target: 20
Data source: OSSAP, SDG Progress Report

Indicator 1.4.2: Number of strategies, policies


and regulatory frameworks developed and
adopted by public and private actors to achieve
SDGs
Baseline: 1
Target: 4
Data source: MBNP, NBS

Indicator 1.4.3: Amount of public and private


finance leveraged to achieve SDGs
Baseline: $95 million US dollars
Target: $200 million US dollars
Data source: OSSAP, MBNP
Outcome total $15,670,000
NATIONAL PRIORITY OR GOAL: NDP 2021–2025: Environmental sustainability (SDGs 1, 3, 7, 11, 12, 13 and 17).
UNSDCF (OR EQUIVALENT) Strategic Priority 2
OUTCOME INVOLVING UNDP #3: By 2027, people living in Nigeria, particularly the most vulnerable, have equitable access to affordable clean energy, enjoy sustainable food
systems, environmental conditions and increased resilience to climate change and disasters.
RELATED STRATEGIC PLAN (2022–2025) OUTCOME 3: Building resilience to respond to systemic uncertainty and risk.
Indicator 2.1.: Total • Explicit Congestion OUTPUT 2.1: The Paris Agreement and NDC • Federal Ministry of Regular: $78,000
greenhouse gas (GHG) Notification frameworks integrated in federal and state Environment (FME) Other: $11,000,000
emissions per year. • Annual reports development plans • NCCCN
Baseline: 347MtCOse (2018) • NDC reports • State ministries
Target: 344MtCOse • Intergovernmental Panel on Indicator 2.1.1: Number of federal MDAs and • NCS
Climate Change (IPCC) state that have policy measures in place to enable • Norway
assessment reports the enhancement and/or implementation of

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• Monitoring, reporting and Nationally Determined Contributions under the • Germany


verification reports Paris Agreement. • USAID
• Multilateral Fund (MLF) Baseline: Federal MDAs = 1; State = 0
reports Target: Federal MDAs = 5; State = 4
Data source: FME

Indicator 2.1.2: Volume of ODP tonnes phased


out in Nigeria
Baseline: 398.2 ODP tonnes (2019)
Target: 167.81 ODP tonnes
Data source: FME
OUTPUT 2.2.: Institutional systems to manage • FME Regular: $78,000
multi-dimensional risks and shocks strengthened • NCCCN Other: $11,000,000
at national and sub-national levels. • Federal Ministry of
Humanitarian Affairs,
Indicator 2.2.1.: Number of risk-informed Disaster Management and
development strategies and plans in place at Social Development
federal and state levels.
Baseline: Federal = 1; State = 0
Target: Federal = 3; State = 3
Data source: NBS, FME

Indicator 2.2.2.: Number of gender-responsive


conflict sensitive development policies, cross-
border initiatives, plans, or institutions in place to
prevent risk of conflict, including climate
security.
Baseline: 0
Target: 2
Data source: FME; NCCCN
OUTPUT 2.3.: Increased access to • FME Regular: $78,000
capital/credit to set up a clean energy business • NCCCN Other: $15,000,000
by women. • Energy Commission of
Nigeria
Indicator 2.3.1.: Percentage of capital grants
allocated to women-led private entrepreneurs in
off-grid renewable energy technology (RET).
Baseline: 0
Target: 30%
Data source: FME

Indicator 2.3.2.: Number of people, who gained


access to clean, affordable, and sustainable
energy.
Baseline: Male=4,000, Female=3,280

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Target: F=10,000, M=10,000
Data source: FME
Indicator 2.2.: Forest areas as a Federal Ministry of OUTPUT 2.4.: Natural resources protected • FME Regular: $78,000
proportion of total land area Environment, Department of and managed to enhance sustainable • NCCCN Other: $4,673,800
protected Forestry productivity and livelihoods • United Nations agencies
Baseline: 8.86m Hectares Annually • Media houses
Target: 8.86m Hectares Forestry Research Institute of Indicator 2.4.1.: Number of safe practices
Nigeria introduced to reduce use/emissions of
Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) in the foam
and refrigeration sectors.
Baseline: 0
Targets: Reclaim centres – 2, Refurbished
training centres – 35, Women technicians – 4,440
Data source: FME

Indicator 2.4.2.: Number of Nigeria


commitment to global treaties realized.
Baseline: 0
Target: 3
Data source: FME
OUTPUT 2.5.: Energy gap closed • MoE Regular: $375,000
• FME Other: $16,000,000
Indicator 2.5.1.: Number of people who • NCCCN
benefitted from clean, affordable, and sustainable
energy.
Baseline: Male=189; Female=111
Target: Males=35,504; Female=34,559
Data source: FME
Outcome total $58,360,800
NATIONAL PRIORITY OR GOAL: NDP 2021–2025, defence, peace and security, governance institutions and national orientation (SDGs 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 16 and 17)
UNSDCF Strategic Priority 4 (OR EQUIVALENT) OUTCOME INVOLVING UNDP #1: More inclusive, participatory, transparent and gender-sensitive governance, justice and
human rights systems are in place at all levels to promote acceleration in achieving the 2030 Agenda and SDGs for a peaceful, inclusive, and cohesive society
RELATED STRATEGIC PLAN (2022–2025) OUTCOME 2: Leaving no one behind, a rights-based approach centred on human agency and human development.
Indicator 3.1.: Rule of law index Data source: Annual Report OUTPUT 3.1.: Rule of law and access to justice • MBNP Regular: $468,000
Baseline: 49.5 of Mo Ibrahim Index on and respect for human rights advanced through • INEC Other: $64,078,000
Target: 71.5 African Governance improved capacity of institutions and right • National Assembly of
Frequency: Annual holders. the Federal Republic of
Responsibility: Ibrahim Nigeria (NASS)
Index of African Indicator 3.1.1.: Number of SGBV victims • National Institute for
Governance (IIAG) supported, who have access to justice. Legislative and
Baseline: 18 (2021) Democratic Studies
Target: 200 (2027) (NILDS)

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Data source: Independent Data source: Federal Ministry of Women Affairs • FMWA
National Electoral (FMWA) report; Spotlight Initiative report • CSOs
Commission (INEC) • European Union
Election Report Indicator 3.1.2.: Percentage of SGBV cases • Japan
Indicator 3.2.: Proportion of seats Frequency: Annually reported to the National GBV Data Situation • Norway
held by women at national and local Responsible: INEC Room (NGDSR) and resolved with survivors • Germany
parliaments compensated. • Canada
Baseline: 3.38% (national parliament Data source: World Bank; Regular: $468,000
Baseline: 0% (2021) • United Kingdom
– 2019) http://data.worldbank.org Other: $23,000,000
Target: 20% (2027). Frequency: Annually
Target: 50% (2027) • South Korea
Responsible: World Bank
Data source: FMWA report; Spotlight Initiative • Inter-Party Advisory
report Council
• UNV
Indicator 3.1.3.: Percentage of police officers • NASS
expressing positive perceptions and attitudes • Ministry of Justice
towards police reform. • National Judicial
Baseline: 0% (2021) Council (NJC)
Target: 90% (2027) • Ministry of Police
Data source: Annual Report of the Nigeria Police Affairs.
Force; Centre for Law Enforcement Education in
Nigeria (CLEEN) Foundation perception surveys.
Regular: $468,000
OUTPUT 3.2.: Increased participation and Other: $7,530,000
representation of women, youth, and other
marginalized groups in governance processes.

Indicator 3.2.1.: Percentage of women elected to


leadership positions at the federal level.
Baseline: 4.17% (2019)
Target: 20% (2027).
Data source: INEC election report

Indicator 3.2.2.: Number of new registered


voters.
Indicator 3.3.: Overall governance Baseline:84,004,084 registered voters (2018)
index by IIAG Target: 8,000,000 (total: 92,000,004)
Baseline: 45,5 (2019) Female: 4,100,000; Male: 3,900,000.
Target: 65.8 Data source: INEC election report

OUTPUT 3.3.: Strengthened systems,


institutions, and capacities, including civil
society, for enhancing good governance.

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Indicator 3.3.1.: Number of CSOs assisted with
improved capacities to provide oversight on
government procurement laws and processes.
Baseline: 0
Target: 4
Source: Government procurement and UNDP
reports

Indicator 3.3.2.: Number of states with improved


capacities and systems on procurement and due
processes.
Baseline: 0
Target: 4
Source: Government procurement and UNDP
reports
Indicator 3.4.: Global Peace Index Data source: Global Peace OUTPUT 3.4.: Strengthened systems, • State governments Regular: $468,000
Baseline: 147 out of 160 (2020) Index institutions, and capacities for transitioning to • Ministry of Information Other: $60,000,000
Target: 100 (2027) Frequency: Annual development solutions, and for inclusive and (MoI)
Responsibility: Global gender responsive peace building. • NASS
Peace Network • IPCR
Indicator 3.4.1.: Number of functional • Nigeria Security and
infrastructures for peace at national and sub- Civil Defence Corps
national levels (NSCDC)
Baseline: 7 (2021): National – 0; Sub-national – 7 • Ministry of Niger Delta
Target: 17 (2027): National – 1; Sub-national – Affairs (MNDA)
16
• Nigeria Police Force
Data source: Acts of Parliament
(NPF)
• Australia, Canada,
Indicator 3.4.2.: Number of gender-responsive
Germany, Norway,
and conflict sensitive development policies,
Japan, South Korea,
systems and plans in place to prevent risk of
Sweden, United
conflict including climate security.
Kingdom, United States
Baseline: 0 (2021)
• European Union
Target: 5 (2027)
Data source: NCSALWs and NSA reports • Ford Foundation
• CSOs
OUTPUT 3.5.: Communities affected by • European Union Regular: $468,000
violent conflict enabled to regain lost • Nigeria Germany, Japan, Other: $69,816,770
livelihoods, infrastructures and basic services Norway, Sweden, United
for durable socioeconomic development and Kingdom, United States
restoration of local economy. • Ford Foundation
• State governments
• MoI
• Ministry of Defence

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Indicator 3.5.1.: Number of people benefiting • North-East Development


from improved infrastructure for recovery in Commission (NEDC)
crisis or post-crisis settings disaggregated by sex. • IPCR
Baseline: 770 (2021) • NSCDC
Target: 3,770 (2027) • CSOs
Data source: UNDP donor reports • ECOWAS
Indicator 3.5.2.: Percentage of households
benefiting from jobs and improved livelihoods
disaggregated by sex.
Baseline: 42% (2021)
Target: 60% (2027)
Data source: UNDP survey
Outcome total $226,764,770
Grand total $300,795,570

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