AJK Implementation Framework
AJK Implementation Framework
AJK Implementation Framework
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 01
LIST OF ACRONYMES 03
INTRODUCTION 06
PREPARATORY STEPS 08
STATE PROFILE OF AZAD JAMMU & KASHMIR 09
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN AJ&K 11
NATIONAL AND STATE POLICIES GOVERNING CLIMATE CHANGE 12
PREPARATION OF IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK 13
WORKSHOP METHODOLOGY 15
WATER 16
Implementation Framework for Water 17
MRV Framework for Water 19
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION 21
Implementation Framework 21
MRV Framework for DRR 24
ENERGY 28
Implementation Framework for Energy 29
MRV Framework for Energy 31
FOREST AND BIODIVERSITY 32
Implementation Framework for Forest and Biodiversity 33
MRV Framework for Forest and Biodiversity 35
HEALTH 37
Implementatio Framework for Health 38
MRV Framework for Health 40
AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK IN AJK 42
Implementatio Framework for Agriculture and Livestock 43
MRV Framework for Agriculture and Livestock 45
CONCLUSION AND WAY FORWARD 47
Pakistan is a textbook case of a country that contributes little to global GHG At the national level, the National Climate Change Policy (2012), its
emissions, but faces atypical impacts. Pakistan accounts for only 0.8% of total associated Implementation Framework (2014-2030), the Pakistan Climate
global emissions1, while the impacts of climate change have cost the country Change Bill (2016) set out Pakistan's direction in tackling the climate
in terms of lives and the economy: Climate induced disasters between 1994 challenge. At the same time, the provinces are steadily taking up the reins in
and 2013 resulted in an average economic loss of US$ 3.99 billion per annum. through the development of policies and strategies to address the localized
Between 2010-2014, ood events alone have led to losses of over US$ 18 impacts of climate change.
billion, with 38.12 million people affected, 3.45 million houses damaged and
10.63 million acres of crops destroyed. Similarly the unprecedented heat In recognition of the increasingly important role played by the provinces in
wave in Karachi in 2015 resulted in the deaths of over 1200 people2. action on climate change at the local level, the Civil Society Coalition for
Climate Change6 in collaboration with the Ministry of Climate Change and P
At the same time, Pakistan's emissions show a trend of increase, as its and D Department, AJK, conducted a consultative workshop for developing
investments in economic growth bear fruit. Over the past 2 decades, the recommendations for an institutional framework for achieving the objectives
emissions grew 123%3. In a recent statement, Pakistan's minister for climate of climate change policies and frameworks at the provincial level. The
change stated that given the projected economic growth trajectory, workshop, titled 'Framing the Agenda for Climate Change: Consultative
emissions in Pakistan were expected to increase from 405 metric tons carbon Dialogue, AJK' was conducted in Muzzafarabad, at PC Hotel, on the 19th of
dioxide to more than 1,603 metric tons of CO2 in the next 15 years - that October 2017.
means increasing by almost four times4.
The event featured robust participation from government, civil society,
As Pakistan faces the dual pronged challenge of adapting to climate change academia and the media. Following welcome remarks by Aisha Khan, C.E,
while managing its carbon footprint, the government has upped its Civil Society Coalition for Climate Change, the opening address was
approach through a number of international, national and provincial delivered by Syed Abu Ahmad Akif, Federal Secretary, Ministry of Climate
measures to tackle the climate challenge. As well as being signatory to the Change, with special remarks by Dr. Tariq Banuri, ED GCISC, and Dr. Asif
Paris Climate Change Agreement 2015, Pakistan submitted a 'Nationally Hussain, P and D Department, Government of AJK. The keynote address
Determined Contribution' in 2015 to the UNFCCC secretariat, that commits was delivered by Dr. Muhammad Najeeb Naqi, Minister for Finance, Health
a reduction in its carbon emissions by 20% by 2030, subject to nancial and P and D, AJK.
support5.
1
Pakistan Nationally Determined Contribution to the UNFCCC, 2015
2
ibid
3
Pakistan National Environment and Economic Development Study (NEEDS), Ministry of Environment, 2010-2011
4
http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/2989149/pakistan_to_quadruple_carbon_emissions_despite_feeling_pain_of_climate_change.html
5
http://www4.unfccc.int/Submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/Pakistan/1/Pak-INDC.pdf
6
CSCCC is a licensed coalition (registered under Section 42 of the Companies Ordinance, 1984) dedicated to highlighting the subject of climate change in Pakistan and
promoting informed climate action at the regional, national and subnational levels through research, knowledge-sharing, and advocacy.
CCI Council of Common Interests GCISC Global Change Impact Studies Centre
DRR Disaster Risk Reduction HDIP Hydro Carbon Development Institute of Pakistan
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization ICTs Information and Communication Technologies
R&D Research and Development UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change
REDD+ Reduction of Emissions from Deforestation and Forest
degradation WAPDA Water and Power Development Authority
SCP Sustainable Consumption and Production WSSD World Summit on Sustainable Development
Global research going back to 1824 in elds ranging through physics, There is need for recognition from all stakeholders that overexploitation of
oceanography, biology and geology have con rmed that human natural resources and following unsustainable pathways to development
activity mainly burning fossil fuels, raising livestock and destroying carbon that irrevocably disturb the balance between nature and human activity will
sinks like forests and wetlands is increasing greenhouse gas emissions and put the planet at risk. While we need economic development there is an
causing global temperatures to rise rapidly, putting humanity at risk. Every equal and urgent need to protect the environment, and to remember that
legitimate scienti c academy and institution agrees that time is running out the two are not equal considerations. The current economic model can be
and urgent action is needed to keep temperature increase below 2 degrees changed but the nite resources of the planet cannot be enhanced to meet
Celsius. the needs of a human population that has more than quadrupled to seven
billion and rising in little more than a century. All studies are unanimous in
However despite scienti c evidence there is a disconnect between the their conclusion that we must refrain from burning fossil fuel to avoid
reality of climate change and the priority given to it by the governments catastrophic warming.
around the world in taking measures that are critical for keeping PPM rate
below 3%. The Atmospheric CO2 is rising at an unprecedented rate. The Pakistan is among several countries whose carbon footprint is a fraction of
consequences of this rapid increase are profound for earth's temperatures, global GHG emissions, but where the magnitude of climate induced stress
climates, ecosystems and species, both on land and in the oceans. has created disproportionate vulnerability on ground. As far as numbers go,
Pakistan accounts for a mere 0.8% of total global emissions1 even as its
410 carbon footprint has grown by 123 per cent over the last two decades2
405 against an average industrial growth rate of 5.33 per cent per annum
between 1990-20173.
400
The stresses of climate change are all too evident in Pakistan and the region
at large. Accelerated melting of glaciers, erratic monsoons, frequency of
extreme weather events such as ash oods and heat waves have a massive
cumulative impact on Pakistan's poor climate resilience and governance
mechanisms. In 2015, Pakistan requisitioned US$ 40 billion abatement cost in
mitigation and 7- 14 million USD to meet adaptation needs as part of it its
Nationally Determined Contribution, projecting an increase from 405 metric
tons carbon dioxide to more than 1,603 metric tons of CO2 in the next 15
years5.
5
http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/2989149/pakistan_to_quadruple_carbon_emissions_despite_feeling_pain_of_climate_change.html
Recognizing the crucial mandate available to provinces to implement In order to develop a framework that feeds into existing policies and also
climate action, the Civil Society Coalition for Climate Change (CSCCC)6 re ects AJK speci c short and long term concerns, CSCCC used the AJ&K
collaborated with the Ministry of Climate Change (MoCC) and Planning and Climate Change Policy as the building block, and aligned it with the National
Development Department AJK to conduct a consultative workshop to Climate Change Policy to construct sector speci c templates for developing
formulate policy recommendations that help construct an institutional a sub-national framework of activities that dovetail with the national policy
framework for achieving the objectives of climate change policies at the and framework. A template for Monitoring, Reporting and Veri cation
state level. Framework was also developed to help with measuring progress on
indicators. The templates were shared with AJ&K government for review and
The inception dialogue was conducted at two levels to develop a broad comments before circulation to all the participants ahead of the workshop
based constituency of support for the workshop objectives. The CSCCC date to help them make a more meaningful contribution to the process
delegation called on the President of AJ&K to apprise him about the (templates in annexure).The workshop format was designed for co creation
purpose of organizing the workshop and the expected outcome of the of policy and engaged all key stakeholders from public sector and civil
session. A meeting was also held at the Department of Planning and society to make consensus based recommendations on sector speci c
Development AJ&K with participation from relevant line departments to thematic areas.
share proposed agenda and receive input from department representatives.
CSCCC followed a 'Whole of Government Approach' to build consensus on
objectives, identify thematic areas and share program methodology. Focal
persons from both sides were nominated and roles and responsibilities were
distributed with mutual consent to streamline activities.
6
CSCCC is a licensed coalition (registered under Section 42 of the Companies Ordinance, 1984) dedicated to highlighting the subject of climate change in Pakistan and promoting informed climate action at the
regional, national and subnational levels through research, knowledge-sharing, and advocacy.
Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ&K) is a self-governing state administered The southern districts of AJ&K including Bhimber, Mirpur and Kotli have hot
under the federation of Pakistan. With a total landmass of 13,297 sq. km, the weather in the summer, and moderate cold weather in the winter, classi ed
State is divided into 10 districts within the larger divisions of Mirpur, Poonch as a warm to hot sub-tropical continental monsoon type. AJ&K has been
and the capital Muzaffarabad. The population of AJK as per the 2017 census divided into eight agroclimatic zones i.e. (i) Glaciers and cold caps; (ii) Very
is 4,045,366, with an 88:12 rural-urban ratio. 49.7% of the population is cold temperate continental winter rains; (iii) Cold dry temperate continental
female, with an overall literacy rate of 74%, which is signi cantly higher than winter rains; (iv) Very cold temperate continental winter rains and monsoon;
Pakistan. (v) Cold temperate continental winter rains and monsoon; (vi) Moist warm
temperate continental winter rains and monsoon; (vii) Humid warm sub-
The state of Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ&K) is characterized by a tropical continental winter rains and monsoon; and (viii) Sub-humid hot sub-
mountainous terrain susceptible to high climate variability. The topography tropical continental winter rains and monsoon.
differs between the southern districts which are partially hilly including Kotli,
while Bhimber and Mirpur are plains. The central and northern areas of the The major rivers owing through AJ&K including Jhelum, Neelum and
state are mainly hilly and mountainous with valleys and stretches of plain. In Poonch are part of the trans-boundary Indus rivers system distribution
these areas, the climate is moist with average rainfall exceeding 1400 mm between India and Pakistan. The state has 239 glaciers spread over a total
per year.
Climate degradation is likely to bring about wide ranging political- Physical Infrastructure
economic, social and governance related challenges. The foremost sectors Climate change has been a threat multiplier in mountainous AJ&K, where
demonstrating this change are as given below. physical infrastructure is vital for survival. Damage to roads networks, homes,
water and sanitation services, as well as access to civil services is completely
Environment, Water resources, and Forestry interrupted in the extreme weather events. This becomes a constant worry
Natural ecosystems in AJ&K are being harmed through increased variation for policy planners to create and maintain public infrastructure, faced with
in temperature and precipitation. The decline in environmental quality and increasing climate degradation.
depletion of natural resources result in social and economic dif culty for
those depending on these ecosystems for subsistence and food security. Energy
Energy production and utilization has close linkages with climate change.
Freshwater resources are largely replenished by monsoon rains, snow, and Biomass energy obtained from burning wood and dung continue to be the
glacial melt, which are highly sensitive to climate change, much like forest traditional method for domestic usage in rural AJ&K. This creates harvesting
and rangeland ecosystems, that provide valuable ecosystem services such pressure on forests and rangelands, thereby increasing deforestation rates
as protecting soil conditions, buffering oods, fuel sources, and and natural hazards. Hydroelectricity is not generated at scale; reduction in
sequestering carbon. Climate change threatens to alter the species' reservoir levels can decrease hydroelectricity generation, leading to greater
composition and population of forests and rangelands through shifting reliance on burning fossil fuels and wood for domestic and minor industrial
temperature and rainfall patterns. purpose.
The Government of Pakistan rati ed the United Nations Framework international means to implement climate related projects. The AJ&K
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1994 and the subsequent Climate Change Policy prioritizes speci c areas for mitigation and
landmark Paris Agreement in 2016. It annually participates in the Conference adaptation including water resources, forestry, agriculture and livestock,
of the Parties (COP) to the UNFCCC to present its interests and position in energy and Disaster Risk Reduction.
international climate talks. The federating units of Pakistan and the State of
AJ&K are obliged to implement nationally rati ed conventions and treaties. One of the overarching goals of the AJ&K government is to implement the
Sustainable Development Goals, including climate change and disasters.
Furthermore, the federal government introduced its National Climate The region has witnessed several natural hazards and extreme weather
Change Policy in 2012 that established an overarching framework for climate events such as droughts and ooding. These manifestations of climate
action in the country. The Policy turned into an Act of parliament in 2016, and change constitute a serious threat to AJK's natural, built, economic, and
contains an implementation framework for government agencies to respond physical systems, on which the region's sustainable development and future
to climate related challenges. Moreover, the Act encourages provincial prosperity depends.
governments to initiate their own policy frameworks on climate change
taking local contexts, capacities and vulnerabilities into consideration.
The process of the preparation of the State Implementation Framework CSCCC then developed a set of reference materials for each group in the
followed CSCCC's 'Whole of Government Approach', ensuring that key consultative workshop, drawing from the existing policies and SDGs, to
government departments were involved throughout the process of planning ensure that the consultative dialogues were in line with national policies.
the state level workshop, and subsequently, given the steer in the
consultative dialogues itself, to foster collaboration between government, Workshop methodology
civil society, academia, private sector and the media, all of which were The structure and design of the workshop was built on the concepts of the
actively engaged in the process. Lima-Paris Action Agenda and anchored in the principles of the Open
Government Partnership (OGP) that highlight the importance of civil society
As a rst step, CSCCC secretariat engaged in a pre-workshop consultation and emphasises the need for engagement with policy makers in framing
with the Planning and Development Department, AJK, on the 4th of policies that are representative, participatory and inclusive. The workshop
October 2017. In this consultation, CSCCC met with key personnel from the brought together policy makers and relevant stakeholders from the
P&D department to narrow down the scope of the State Consultation, re ne government, civil society, academia, private sector and the media to set the
its objectives, and identify key themes for discussion. For greater impact, climate change agenda for AJ&K contextualised in its adaptation and
P&D was requested to nominate of cials from mitigation needs. The inaugural plenary speakers
government departments linked to climate and focused on challenges and policy priorities taking
Initial
environment, while CSCCC would be Consultation into account shared sector speci c constraints
responsible for ensuring the participation of key with Pand D peculiar to the local geography and
Department AJK
stakeholders from civil society, academia and (4th Oct, 17) Review of NCCP, topographical range. The threats and
private sector. AJK Climate Change opportunities were shared with the
19th Oct, 17 Policy, and National
Worshop Framework for audience/participants to amplify concerns and
Concurrently, following a review of the National conducted Implementation suggest solutions on way forward.
C l i m a t e C h a n g e P o l i c y, t h e N a t i o n a l of Climate
Change Policy
Implementation Framework for the The workshop session was divided into six
Implementation of the Climate Change Policy, working groups and tasked with the development
and the AJK Climate Change Policy, CSCCC of an Implementation and Monitoring, Reporting
developed a set of tools to be implemented Development of and Veri cation Framework aligned with the goals
Identi cation of Implementation
during the workshop, i.e. Implementation Key stakeholders Action Planning of the AJ&K Climate Change Policy and in
Framework tool to identify quanti able actions in Tools/MRV Tools consonance with the National Climate Change
line with existing policies, and an MRV Policy and Framework. Effort was also made to
Review of Toolkit
Framework to match the identi ed actions with by PnD and identify compatible activities that dovetail
measurable monitoring indicators. These tools CSCCC experts
seamlessly with the SDGs and help in building
were reviewed by the AJK government as well as complementary synergies. Each working group
CSCCC's roster of experts before nalization. c o m p r i s e d o f re p re s e n t a t i v e s f ro m t h e
The structure and design of the workshop was built on the concepts of the The recommendations of each table were captured in writing and
Lima-Paris Action Agenda and anchored in the principles of the Open documented for an accurate compilation of ideas to develop a roadmap for
Government Partnership (OGP) that highlight the importance of civil society future action. The deliberative exercise and interactive session was
and emphasises the need for engagement with policy makers in framing successful in preparing a list of suggested activities with timelines to
policies that are representative, participatory and inclusive. The workshop priorities needs (long-term -short term-high-low) and identify potential
brought together policy makers and relevant stakeholders from the sources of nance and implementing partners. The collaborative strategy
government, civil society, academia, private sector and the media to set the was designed to foster collective ownership and responsibility for planning,
climate change agenda for AJ&K contextualised in its adaptation and implementing and monitoring policies to strengthen climate governance.
mitigation needs. The inaugural plenary speakers focused on challenges Existing sources of information and data were used to establish baseline and
and policy priorities taking into account shared sector speci c constraints make future projections.
peculiar to the local geography and topographical range. The threats and
opportunities were shared with the audience/participants to amplify
concerns and suggest solutions on way forward.
SDMA
P & DD
Finance Department
The workshop session was divided into six working groups and tasked with LG & RDD Geological Survey
Irrigation Disaster of Pakistan
the development of an Implementation and Monitoring, Reporting and Department Risk Islamic Relief Pakistan
PDO
Veri cation Framework aligned with the goals of the AJ&K Climate Change ESE Asia Reduction
Civil Society
Policy and in consonance with the National Climate Change Policy and
Framework. Effort was also made to identify compatible activities that Water Energy
dovetail seamlessly with the SDGs and help in building complementary P & DD
AKMIDC
synergies. Each working group comprised of representatives from the Climate Change
Centre AJK
government and civil society and was gender balanced to make it AJK Power
Development
P & DD
Organization
participatory and inclusive. The six thematic areas for the working groups Health Department
were based on the key areas of focus in the National Climate Change Policy. Environment
Health
and
Biodiversity
i) Agriculture and Livestock University of AJK
Forest Dept Wildlife
ii) Disaster Risk Reduction Livestock Dept Agriculture and Fisheries
Finance Department NJC-NJHP
Agriculture
and Environment
iii) Health Department/ESMA
AJK RSP
Livestock Department
EPA
Islamic Relief Pakistan P & DD
iv) Water
v) Energy
vi) Environments and Biodiversity. Thematic Division of Climate Induced Challenges
In total, there are 4 rivers that course through AJK and are an important downstream water users in the Punjab. It will also impact community health,
source of water for the entire state: Jhelum, Neelum, Poonch and Shingo. livelihoods, hydro power, sheries and irrigated food production.
Rivers and springs are the main drinking water sources in the northern part of
the AJK. On the other hand bore wells are the major source of drinking water Land degradation is another anticipated impact of the changes in AJK's
in the southern part. In the urban areas of AJK, 44 percent of the population hydrology and hill slope water movement. Frequent and intense rainfall
has access to piped water supply, while 57 percent of the population of rural storms along with poor vegetation ground cover will lead to the degradation
areas has been provided with piped water7. of soil surfaces on hill slops, leading to short and medium term trends of loss
in surface soil in ltration, increased water overland ow and accelerated
The earthquake of 2005 was a severe setback to the development of AJK and erosion and decreased water in ltration to sub soils and groundwater
its infrastructure, and a large number of water supply schemes were aquifers. This will fundamentally deteriorate water quantity and quality in the
completely or partially damaged, as well as impacting a majority of water freshwater inland. This will have dual impacts on crop and land productivity.
sources. Although recovery and rehabilitation efforts in AJK have shown
encouraging progress, a study by the World Bank in AJK suggests that the At the same time, climate change, with increased rainfall intensity, oods and
poor home hygeine, lack of basic sanitation and unsafe drinking water has pollutant transport will impact water quality in inland freshwaters and rivers,
impacts on the health of the population and economy, at 3.94% of the GDP. linked to negative impacts on drinking and irrigation water supplies, sh
The accessibility of water is also unevenly distributed. The study found that populations and dams and other water infrastructure.
78% of females, including girls of less than 18 years of age, are responsible
Piped Water Supply 2016
for fetching water at the household level, spending up to 15 minutes
Population Served
traveling and queuing at a water source in both rainy and dry seasons. District
AJK is home to 239 glaciers with a total area of 92.229 km2, with 76 glacial Urban Rural
Muzaffarabad 52.74 52.74
lakes, most of which are concentrated in District Neelum.
Neelum 20.99 20.99
Climate change is expected to severely impact the availability and quality of Jehlum Valley 18.13 18.13
water resources in AJK. The increase in temperature levels is expected to Bagh 9.79 9.79
lead to a shift in weather patterns, including pre and post monsoon storms, Haveli 34.21 34.21
heat waves, as well as extended summer seasons, shorter autumn and spring Poonch 12.13 12.13
seasons, along with increased water evaporation losses from crops and land Sudhnoti 23.81 23.81
Kotli 87.95 87.95
cover. The increase in the frequency and intensity of rainfall events will result
Mirpur 83.76 83.76
in a shift in hill slope water movement and river ow patterns, which will lead
Bhimber 50.06 50.06
to more frequent and larger oods, higher risk of GLOF. This will have
Total 44.51 44.51
impacts for water availability not only for local AJ&K, but also for Table 1: Source: PP and H Department and LG and RD Department AJK
7
/ajk Water Quality Monitoring Report, IUCN, 2004
Launch awareness Awareness High AJK Planning and Local Government 1 Year 10
program for through media, Development) Elections and Rural
implementation of community Short-term P&D) Development
National Drinking Water engagement, civil Department (LGRDD)
Policy and National society support,
standards for drinking sensitization of
water at all levels. the business
community.
Invest in use and Setting Medium LGRDD. AJK Technical LGRDD. AJK Technical 3 Year 10
manufacture of water minimum Education and Education and
ef ciency equipment's standards for Medium-term Vocational Training Vocational Training
( xtures and appliances). using water Authority (TEVTA), Authority (TEVTA),
ef cient National Vocational & National Vocational &
equipment Technical Training Technical Training
Commission (NAVTTC) Commission (NAVTTC)
Minimizing system Measuring and Medium AJK LG (Local AJK LG (Local 2 Year 10
losses by improving monitoring the Government) & Government) &
operational management losses and Medium-term RDD (Rural RDD ( Rural
of canal system for wet, developing Development Development
average, and dry season innovative Department) Department)
scenarios and by methods to
monitoring of water minimize it.
discharges at mogaaz
Strategy 2: Improve water quality management and protect water resources through technical measures, ensuring sustainable availability of water at
macro and micro levels through equitable access of water resources
Encourage the recycling Increase the High AJK LG & RDD, AJK LG & RDD, 1 Year 150
and reuse of agricultural, water availability Ministry of Water and Ministry of Water and
industrial and domestic Short-term Power, Planning and Power, Planning and
wastewater through Development Development
ef cient and cost- Department, PAKISTAN Department, PAKISTAN
effective scienti c COUNCIL OF COUNCIL OF
techniques such as bio- RESEARCH IN WATER RESEARCH IN WATER
remediation, sand RESOURCES (PCRWR), RESOURCES (PCRWR),
ltration, reverse Public Health Public Health
osmosis, etc. Engineering Engineering
Department PHED Department PHED
Initiate Programs for Initiate High AJK EPA, PCRWR AJK EPA, PCRWR 2 Year 150
monitoring of groundwater
groundwater, including policies. Medium-term
its quality, quantity,
withdrawal, and
recharge potential
Climate change is a prime factor for accelerated glacial melt and retreat, Increased variability of rainfall fall events, changes in their frequency and
which is resulting in the formation of hazardous glacial lakes in the intensity, as well as the melting of glaciers, result in ooding in AJK. Floods,
Himalayas, which are geologically young and fragile and are vulnerable even other than impacting crops, farm equipment, and killing livestock, also
to insigni cant changes in the climate. This is resulting in shrinking glaciers, increases the incidence of diseases and insects/pests. The excessive soil
which is leading to the increased threat of GLOF, avalanches and mud ow erosion arising from this result in the reduction of arable lands, which
and oods to downstream areas. negatively affects food production, food quality and nutritional availability in
the crops that in turn, impacts food and economic security. Along with this
There is also the risk of drought due to the reduced river ows due to climate are the direct impacts in the loss of life, property, physical infrastructure,
change induced drought and unreliable rain. If these droughts are extreme including buildings, roads, dams, water pipes and other critical
and prolonged, they may lead to loss of livestock, crop failure, impact sh infrastructure.
populations and drinking and irrigation water supplies. In turn, these impact
the arable land cover, which has implications for food production and
nutritional value of the crop- leading to food and economic insecurity.
Implementation Framework
Strategy # 1 Incorporate hazard mitigation policies
Actions Target Priority Potential Sources Implementing Indicative Estimated Budget
of Financing Institutions/ Timeline (USD-Million)
Partners
Prepare an integrated All Province High SDA SDMA 2 Year 5
natural hazard zoning P&D Department
map
Strategy Actions Indicators Baseline Target Data Source Frequency Responsibility Reporting
#1
Prepare an # of Natural hazard No hazard All Districts DDMA Every Six PDMA Province Natural
integrated maps prepared by Mapping Month PAK MET Hazard Mapping
natural hazard each district available P&D Report
zoning map
Identify low # of areas ood No hazard All landslide DDMA Every Year DDMA Vulnerability
Incorporate hazard mitigation policies
With 4 major rivers coursing through the state, AJK has considerable Hydro about 50% from the current 33%. The 969 MW Neelum Jhelum Hydropower
power potential. In 2015, the installed Grid Capacity was 677.3 MVA, with a Project, which is inching towards completion will contribute greatly to this,
per capita electricity consumption of 353 KWH. 25,861 km transmission lines upon its completion, the project will contribute about ve billion units of
have been extended to 1670 villages out of a total of 1771 villages, serving electricity to the national grid annually. Annual revenue of the project is
4.267 million people with electricity supply. estimated to be Rs 50 billion. However, increased variability in the hydrology
of the State as well as the destruction of the critical infrastructure due to
The Government of AJK continues to invest in hydro power and has extreme weather events may impact energy production particularly hydel
identi ed potential of hydro power generation of 8695.46 MW of electricity energy. However, the AJK climate change policy focuses on the reduction of
using its natural resources (Power and Development Organization, AJ & K). GHG emissions, calling for changes in the energy mix as an opportunity to
reduce carbon emissions in the AJK energy sector.
The water-energy nexus in the state is contributing to bring the share of
hydro power generation in the complicated total energy mix of Pakistan to
Create awareness Awareness through High Govt. of AJK, Energy ef ciency, 3-5 Year 15
regarding advantage of media, community donor agencies, energy dept., local
solar PV systems for engagement, civil private investors, govt., rural
ensuring undisrupted society support, micro nance development,
supply of energy for sensitisation of banks, banking NGOs, social welfare
domestic and business institutions. private investors,
commercial use community.
Attract foreign direct Improvement in High Federal, govt., PND, ED, EAD, GP, 5-10 Year 18
investment, FDI in energy infrastructure. provincial govt., PPP, PPP unit, FD, federal
energy rector in order Creation of private investors. agencies, federal
to meet up the resource employment. ministry of nance.
gap in public sector. Development of local
industry.
Improvement of
invested polices.
Access of affordable
energy to the
community.
Establish center of Establishment of USD 50 M. USD 100 M. Provincial higher Provincial higher Provincial higher
excellence to explore state of the art education education education
possibilities and option research at commission, commission. commission.
for proper generation engineering STEVTA. ED
through innovative and universities.
energy clean.
6 MSW power USD 100 M USD 150 M. MOE, GOP MOE, GOP, Annual energy
Install plants to generation GOS, ED report.
generate power from MSW, local
power plants.
municipal waste
govt.,
The total area of AJK under the control of the Forest Department is 0.567 Total Area Under Protected Areas
million hectares, making up 42.6% of the total geographical area. 13% of the
Description No Area
area is under cultivation, 2.4% is classi ed as cultivable waste, while 42% is
uncultivable waste. AJK is home to 8 National parks, namely Deva Vatala, National Parks 8 101441
Ghamot, Gurez, Machiara, Pir Lasura, Poonch River Mahaseer, Toli Pir, and Game Reserces 11 13664
Panjal Mastan, as well as game reserves and wildlife sanctuaries. In addition
Wildlife Sanctuary 1 185
to this, sheries in the main rivers are an important part of the biodiversity of
AJK, which is also rich in wildlife species diversity. Zoo/Captive Breeding Centres 4 16
Fishery Facilities and Fish Production
Increasing temperatures, resulting in ecological shifts, as well as changed
land use pressures, also a result of climate change, result in the degradation Cold Water Fish Hatcheries 6 50000 ngerlings
of watersheds, forests, rangeland and other essential biodiversity. AJK is Warm water sh hatcheries 2 500000 ngerlings
facing rapid deforestation, some of which is due to anthropogenic
Fish pond in private sector 298 27 total
deforestation. At the same time, soil erosion, natural disasters and other
extreme weather events lead to a shift in the tree line. There is an increased From all fresh Water
Fish Production in Govt Sector including Mangla 1100 total
incidence of invasive species and pests in the forest areas. Scrub trees are
encroaching in Chir-pine areas. Chir pine trees are encroaching the areas Wildlife Species Diversity in AJ&K
previously for blue pine trees, which are encroaching the areas for Silver r.
Description Wildlife Species in Wildlife species in
Deodar forests are migrating to sub alpine areas. There is also an increased AJ&K
Pakistan
incidence of forest res in southern AJ&K.
Mammals 198 60
There are also changes anticipated in wetlands and sheries, due to changes Wildlife Birds 666 403
in the hydrology and temperature of AJK. A number of indigenous plant
Fish 1198 82
species are already being identi ed as endangered due to the impacts of
climate change and habitat fragmentation. Reptiles 245 48
Amphibians 25 21
Another impact of the degradation of rangelands and decreasing plant
Table 3: Source: Forest Department AJ&K
diversity has led to increased migration of pastoralists and other
communities. These pastoralists are dependent on natural resources, and
are directly impacted by the changes in the ecosystem.
Mobilize and signi cantly Finances High/short term WWF, UN Forest Academia, 2 Years 0.5
increase nancial available for agencies, GCF Departments, Finance
resources to conserve conservation P and DD departments
and sustainably use and biodiversity department,
biodiversity conservation Provincial
Agricultural
departments
Set biodiversity indicators Implementation High/short term As above As above Academia, 2 Years 2
and tap nancial of biodiversity Finance
resources for action plan departments
implementation of resulting in
Biodiversity Action Plan measurable
progress in
conservation
Encourage empirical Evidence High/short term IFAD, FAO As above As above 2-3 Years 2
research on ora and generated to
fauna in the context support
of their responses to conservation of
current and historical ecosystems
climatic changes against climate
and ecosystem change impacts
conservation
Promote sustainable forest Reduction in High/medium As above Ministry of Line 3-5 Years 10
management of all types of deforestation term climate change, departments
forests to halt deforestation Forest
and restore degraded Departments,
forests by developing and WWF, IUCN
implementing sustainable
forest management plans
Promotion of REDD+ Reduction in High/medium REDD+, GCF, As above Forestry 3-5 Years 10
program in AJK emissions from GEF departments
deforestation,
measureable
Protection and preservation Conservation High/long Adaptation As above Irrigation 5-10 Years 10
of watersheds, catchment of water term Fund, UN departments,
areas for aquifers, agencies, WWF WASA, PHED
national wetlands departments,
forest
departments
conserve and
sustainably use sources
biodiversity
Set biodiversity Biodiversity Draft action Complete Consultation Quarterly Environment As above
indicators and tap action plan plan action reports/ nal Department,
nancial resources developed plan with plan Forest
for implementation and nanced nancial/ Departments,
of Biodiversity budgets EPA
Action Plan
Encourage Research Limited research Comprehensive Final research Quarterly As above As above
empirical papers available data on climate papers
research on with evidence impacts on
ora and fauna of climate ecosystems
in the context change impacts
of their
responses to
current and
historical
climatic
changes and
ecosystem
conservation
The current health systems in place in AJ &K are insuf cient to cater fully to Health (2016)
the needs of its population, although gradual improvements have been
Facilities No
noted. The population per doctor is 4565-and the number of persons per
hospital bed is 1105. These gures indicate the inadequacy of the current Hospitals 24
system, particularly in face of disasters and epidemics. DHQs 06
The AJK climate change policy identi es three main categories of health THQs 11
risks due to climate change. These include direct acting effects e.g. due to Dispensaries 96
physical weather disasters, impacts mediated via climate related changes in
RHCs 49
ecological systems and relationships (e.g. mosquito and ticks, and iii.
Indirect consequences relating to poverty, displacement, resource con icts BHUs 225
and post disaster mental health problems. Malaria Centers 167
As the incidents of oods and other extreme events increase in the Total Beds (RHCs+BHUs+Hospitals) 3658
provinces, the risk of death and injuries arising from these disasters also rises. Population per Bed 1105
Along with these are other health implications such as diarrheal diseases due Table 4: Source Directorate of Health Department, Muzaffarabad
to insuf cient clean water availability for drinking and household use. Post
traumatic disorders are also common among those impacted by disasters.
The rise in vector borne diseases such as malaria, dengue fever and congo Medical Personnel (2016)
fever, which are sensitive to temperature and rainfall, may increase with the
Facilities No
expected changes in climate.
Doctors (including medical specialists, of cers and
886
The policy also note the disproportionate impacts, as they have less access health managers)
to medical services, and their workloads increase when they have to spend Doctors (Male) 637
more time caring for the sick. Cultural issues add to their vulnerability, as
Doctors (Female) 249
women are more vulnerable to health risks due to inequitable food
distribution in families. Population per doctor 4565
Nurses 370
Health Teachers/MCH/LHVs 337
Table 5: Source: Directorate of Health Department, Muzaffarabad
Risk Assessment District wise High/Short- WHO, Global Health Public health 3 Months 1 million p/
data base. term fund, Health department department, district.
department, AJK. Academia,
CSO's. think tanks.
Devise health Health speci c High/medium WHO, Global Health WHO, Civil 3 Months 2 million.
management framework. term fund, Health department Society
action plan department. AJK, Public organizations,
Health Ministry of
specialist. health, private
practitioners.
Relevant Legislative Reduction in High/long term WHO, Global Advocacy WHO, Civil 1 Year 2 million.
Changes factors that fund, Health groups, CSO's, Society
cause health department. Environmental organizations,
risks. lawyers, Ministry of
rovincial govt health, private
practitioners.
Relevant Legislative Reduction in High/long term WHO, Global Advocacy WHO, Civil 1 Year 2 million.
Changes factors that fund, Health groups, CSO's, Society
cause health department. Environmental organizations,
risks. lawyers, Ministry of
rovincial govt health, private
practitioners.
*Priority: ranking (high, medium and low) and (short-term, medium-term and long term)
Assessment of health Capacity High/short International Health of cials, Health of cials, 6 months 0.2 Million / p
infrastructure and human assessment of term organization, think tanks, think tanks, district.
capital. the nfrastructure health dept. academia. academia.
and Human
capital in Health
Strategy # 3 Take measures to reduce waterborne diseases and insure access to safe clean drinking water
Conduct assessments on Impact High Health Department, Health Health, 1 Year 50 Million
the impacts of climate Assessment P&D Department, Department CSOs,INGOs
change on vector/ Report of National and Health
waterborne and multiple international Donors
nutritional diseases. domains
Use media and civil Reduction water High Health Department, Information Health, 2 Year 20 Million
society organizations to borne diseases. P&D Department, and Culture CSOs, INGOs
educate and sensitize National and Health
public as well as health international Donors
personal to the climate
change related health
issues particularly
Strategy # 3 Take measures to reduce waterborne diseases and insure access to safe clean drinking water
Risk assessment Public health There is no 36 districts General Annual Health Annual health
Draft, prioritize and implement district
AJK. CSO's.
wise health, heat and disaster
Devise health END epidemic/ No disaster Substantially District wise Plan Health Health disaster
disaster climate change management reduce the disease reviewed department. management
management disease, plan available number of incidence every year. report.
action plan. expand/build for health. death due to report.
capacity 60-70% climate change
health service and disaster.
providers.
Relevant Number of Environmental Reduction of PA Continuous Law makers, Passage of law
legislative changes legislative laws carbon emission review CSO, Academia
regarding health. changes for and other
health. factors resulting
environmental
degradation.
Strategy # 2 Actions Indicators Baseline Target Data Source Frequency Responsibility Reporting
the health sector,
Assessment of # of Health and h All AJK District Health Quarterly Health District Health
Conduct needs
assessment of
Conduct # or reports 80% reduction District Health Every Six Health Disease
diseases and insure access to safe clean assessments on the prepared in the cases of Information Month Department surveillance
Take measures to reduce waterborne
impacts of climate waterborne System (DHIS). system
change on vector/ diseases
waterborne and
nutritional diseases.
Use media and civil # of awareness No data 70-80 % Public Knowledge Every Six Health Annual health
society organizations program available and health assessment Month Department risk assessment
to educate and arranged by currently on personals will studies report.
sensitize public as Media this indicator be aware of
drinking water
Strategy # 4 Actions Indicators Baseline Target Data Source Frequency Responsibility Reporting
Agriculture in AJK is primarily rain fed, and therefore extremely vulnerable to Land Utilization (2016)
changing weather patterns. The AJK climate change policy notes that the Categories Area (Hectares)
crop growth cycle is affected by temperature, precipitation and duration of
Total Farm Area 640957
chilling. Increases in temperature speed up the crop growth and shorten the
time between sowing and harvesting, which impacts the productivity of Farm Area Per Family 2.0098
crops and fodder for livestock. Farm Area per Capita 0.2354
Area under cultivation 197683
The impacts of climate change on the hydrological cycle will also impact
Annual Cropped Area 239350
agriculture and livestock, particularly in the rain fed areas. In particular,
women pay a vital role in securing good and income through cropping and Non Irrigated 185578
livestock farming, working on their own and others lands in a variety of tasks Area Irrigated Area 12103
including threshing, cleaning, drying, storing and growing vegetables and Area under Maize Cultivation 99631
winter crops. Livestock handling is usually tasked to females, as well as grass
Area under wheat 81680
cutting, livestock rearing including feeding the animals. Erratic rainfall and
Area under rice 2544
temperatures directly impact these groups. In some of the high snowfall
areas increased temperature and reduced snowfall has resulted in increasing Area under Jawar 34
opportunities for growing crops such as maize. Area under vegetables 3486
Area under fruit 13095
Livestock (2016)
Cattle 562903
Buffaloes 691200
Sheep 240277
Goats 1720757
Camels 586
Horses 12148
Mules 7707
Donkeys 57293
Poultry 4291119
Table 6: Source: Livestock Department, AJK
Focus on improving water 25 UC High/short UN, World Bank PAD, agriculture 3 Year 7
use ef ciency for irrigation term dept.
through using sprinkler
and trickle irrigation etc.
Introduce training Whole province High/short IFAD, WFP PAD, agriculture 3 Year 7
programs for exposing term dept. PP
farmers to international
successful farming
practices
Formulate AJK Food Policy for all High/medium FAO Govt. of AJK, 2 Year 5
Security Policy followed districts term donors
by strategic action plan
Encourage agro forestry, All districts medium IFAD, WFP, FAO P and D department, 3 Year 10
oriculture and social Forestry Department,
forestry Agriculture
Department
Encourage access to 60% High/long term Private sector Seed sector, 5-10 Year 6
export markets by research extensions,
facilitating packaging P& D, donors,
and eco labeling of Export regulatory
agriculture products authorities
Strategy: Reduce food loss and waste and ensure quality nutrition
Enhancing capacity 30% High PT, donors PPD, Agriculture 3 Year 4
building of PPD. Departments
Environment friendly 5-10% High Pro, F, donors Irrigation and 5 Year 7
pesticides agriculture
departments
Legislation on food Legislation passed Medium Donors Agriculture, irrigation, 3 Year 3
standards PHE departments
Develop AJK Land Use Policy covering High/short IFAD, FAO, Other EPA AJK, Forestry 1 Year 2
Policies to protect land all districts term donors Department,
use planning and zoning Agriculture
of agricultural land Departments
Employ Environmentally Area speci c High/short term As above As above 5-10 Years 2
sound multi cropping and
crop management
practices from traditional
to high value economic
crops
Control soil problems such 10 districts High/short term As above As above 3-5 Years 3.50
as water logging, salinity,
sodicity and soil structure
deterioration
Develop capacity of Relevant High/short term As above As above 5-10 Years 3
institutions on remote institutions
sensing and GIS in all districts
techniques to assess
temporal changes in
land cover of different
agro ecological zones
Employ Environmentally Number of Limited data 40% increase Reports from Quarterly Agriculture, Agriculture
sound multi cropping and farmers agriculture irrigation statistics reports
crop management practices
from traditional to high
converting to departments departments
value economic crops high value crops
Control soil problems such Quality of soil Limited data Improvement in Reports from Quarterly As above As above
as water logging, salinity,
sodicity and soil structure (district level) soil quality in departments
deterioration target districts
Develop capacity of Uptake of GIS Limited data Increased use GIS data Quarterly As above As above
institutions on remote techniques in of GIS in relevant reports, training
sensing and GIS institutions departments reports
techniques to assess across districts
temporal changes in land
cover of different agro
ecological zones
A broad range of strategies and programs have been pursued by various The purpose of the implementation framework, developed through broad-
governmental and non-governmental entities to address the effects of based and inclusive processes, is to facilitate a coordinated, coherent, and
climate change in AJK province. The development of AJK's Provincial effective response to the local challenges and opportunities that climate
Climate Change Policy re ects the provincial government's commitment to change presents to AJK province. The framework will help planners and
formulating a proactive, coherent, and integrated climate change response policy makers in AJK to effectively mainstream and integrate climate change
that focuses on reducing vulnerability and building the resilience of local considerations into the development planning, budgeting, and
communities, infrastructure, environment, and economy. The policy will implementation processes. It is designed to provide a roadmap for further
allow the provincial government to actualize the economic, social, and socio-economic and environmental actions, guide the development and
environmental bene ts from promoting climate compatible development in implementation of speci c, detailed, and costed climate change
the region. In this vein, the policy and its implementation framework have interventions that the provincial government and its line departments can
been informed extensively by stakeholder consultations, comprising of all pursue in priority sectors over the short and long term time frame.
government departments, civil society organizations, sectoral experts, and
the community.