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ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
Dereje Meretu
Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Sciences,
Dire Dawa University, P.O. Box 1362, Ethiopia
Eshetie Abebaw
Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Sciences,
Dire Dawa University, P.O. Box 1362, Ethiopia
Abstract
The turnover rate of academic staff in Ethiopian universities has been increasing from time to time. This is
aggravated by the increase of brain drain. High employee turnover rates may jeopardize efforts to attain
organizational objectives. It indicates that turnover is one of the most expensive and difficult workforce challenges
facing organizations. The effect of employee turnover results extra work load on the remaining employees.
Increased workload of employees leads to decrease employee morale and increases stress level, which in turn
increases employee absenteeism. To identify factors that affects academic staff turnover intention at Dire Dawa
University. Data was collected from 154 sample academic staff of the University. To analyze the data Chi-square
test and binary logistic regression analysis method was employed. The findings of this study showed that factors
such as job satisfaction, job security, salary, allowance/incentive, career growth opportunity, training opportunity,
good relationship with Employees and good relationship with head were found to be the significant factors that
affect staff turnover intention. However, there is no statistically significant association between turnover intention
and factors such as sex, age, marital status, educational level and work experiences of employees.
Keywords: - academic staff, staff turnover intention, binary logistic
DOI: 10.7176/JESD/10-17-03
Publication date:September 30th 2019
1. Introduction
High employee turnover rates may jeopardize efforts to attain organizational objectives. It indicates that turnover
is one of the most expensive and difficult workforce challenges facing organizations. Employee turnover can be
extremely devastating for any company (Kemal, 2013). Chen et al. (2010) also state employee turnover as a serious
issue, particularly in the area of human resource management. Sometimes employee turnover benefits
organizations positively. This might happen when a poor performer is replaced by a more skilled employee and
when a retired employee replaced by a younger one. Employee turnover may be also costly as it requires different
cost to take account such as administrative costs of recruitment, cost of covering during the period in which there
is a vacancy, training cost for the new employee etc (Shamsuzzoha, 2003).
Many factors play a role in the employee turnover rate of any company, and these can stem from both the
employer and the employees. Compensation, job satisfaction, leadership style, socio demographic factors, and
work environment are some of the factors that play a significant role in employee turnover (Beam, 2009). In
addition, worldwide, employees hope to grow their professions and achieve distinguished careers over the course
of their work life. Employees believe that their career objectives are within their grasp if they could find the right
organization to actualize their ambitions (Weigold, et al., 2013). Organizations, on the other hand, invest heavily
in the training, developing, and nurturing of their employees so as to build a stable dependable base for profitability.
According to Clarke (2010), the discordant alignment between what employees want and the organizational
objectives most often leads to dissatisfaction and eventually employees’ turnover.
The effect of employee turnover results extra work load on the remaining employees, on their work
performance and an organization’s effectiveness. (Mathis and Jackson, 2007) said that those employees who are
in the organization have to put extra efforts and have to work extra hours to balance the work of those who left the
organization. Increased workload of employees leads to decrease employee morale and increases stress level,
which in turn increases employee absenteeism (Ahmed et al., 2016).
In higher education institutions, the importance of academics for quality education is priceless. The
members of the academic staff are central to the successful accomplishments of the missions and responsibilities
mandated to higher education institutions and goals set to be achieved by them Altbach (2006). When
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
employees leave the job, organizations loose not only employee but also lose the customers and clients who were
loyal with the employee, knowledge of production, current projects, competitor and past history of the organization
(Fahad et al 2010).
In our country Ethiopia a study conducted by Girma et al. (2015) found that family arrangement, lack or low
procedural justice, organizational commitment, lack of transport, level of salary, job satisfaction and training
opportunity were found to be significantly associated with nurses’ turnover intention. In addition, Mulu (2014)
showed that overall job satisfaction had a significant effect on commitment of employees and the effect of role
stress on job satisfaction and intention to leave is significantly stronger for the female than the male. Furthermore,
Shimelis (2016) study revealed that personal factors are not the vital causes for turnover and from pull factors,
high salary elsewhere, availability of more financial benefits elsewhere, availability of promotional opportunities
external to the hospital and higher educational opportunities are the most important causes initiating medical staffs
to leave their job. Hailemichael and Gezahegn (2018) showed female academic staff are 1.492 times more likely
to have turnover tendency than male respondents. married academic staffs are 2.088 times less likely to leave
their university than their counter parts. The result revealed that academic staffs with a perceived lower salary
were 1.231 times more likely intended to leave their Universities.
Although as described above there are several studies that focused on identification of significant factors that
affect employee turnover, turnover can be vary in different organization. In addition, to the best of the researchers
knowledge there is no published similar study in the study area. Thus, this study intends to identify factors that
affects academic staff turnover intention at Dire Dawa University.
2. Research methodology
2.1. Study area. The study was conducted in Dire Dawa University (DDU). Dire Dawa University is found in Dire
Dawa city. Dire Dawa city is located in eastern part of Ethiopia around 517 km to the east of the capital Addis
Ababa. The city is one of the oldest cities that established as a result of the start of the former Ethio-France rail
way transportation company in the year 1903.
2.2. Study Design and Data sources:- A Cross- sectional study design was employed. A primary data was collected
between January-February 2019 from the randomly selected academic staff of Dire Dawa University through
structured self-administered Questionnaire.
2.4. Variables of the Study. The dependent variable of this study was staff turnover intention (1 if the individual
have intention to quit the current job and 0 otherwise). The independent variables were Age, sex, educational level,
Marital status, Working experience, satisfied with the current job (no, yes). job is secured (no, yes), work load,
salary is good in DDU (no, yes), allowance payment is better in DDU (no, yes), DDU provide career growth
opportunity (no, yes), DDU provide necessary training opportunity (no, yes), overall working environment (bad,
good), good relationship with employees (no, yes), culture of giving recognition for good work (no, yes) and good
relationship with head (no, yes).
2.5. Method of Data Analysis. Descriptive statistics tools such as frequency and percentage was used to present
the collected data and to point out special features. Chi-square test was employed to test whether there are
statistically significant association between turnover intention and independent factors. Binary Logistic Regression
model was fitted to identify significant predictor variables. The level of significance for all the inferential statistics
was set at p<0.05.Statistical package for Social Science (SPSS) version 22 was used.
Binary logistic regression model is used if the dependent variable is dichotomous variable. In this study the
dependent variable is intention to quit is a dichotomous variable.
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
In binary logistic regression, the relationship between the dependent(Y) and independent variables(X’s) is not
linear. Instead, logit transformation is used and the logistic regression function is expressed in the following form:-
p
log it(pi ) ln i Xi 0 1x1i 2 x 2i . . . k x ki
1 pi
Where:
eX i exp(0 1x1i 2 x 2i . . . k x ki )
pi Pr ob(yi 1| X i ) , is the
Xi 1 exp(0 1x1i 2 x 2i . . . k x ki )
1 e
response probability or probability of success or Y=1.
pi
is the probability of success to failure or the odds of success.
1 pi
0 is the constant of the equation
i ’s are the coefficients of the independent variables X’s. However, in binary logistic regression, the odd ratio
is interpreted.
3. Data analysis
Similar to the previous studies that used Turnover intention as actual predictor of Turnover such as Kariuki (2015);
Herrbach et al., 2004; Allen et al., 2003 and Griffeth et al., 2000), this study used Turnover intention as a
dependent variable. Regarding to intention to quit respondents were asked whether they have intention to quit their
current job. The results are given in Table 4.1.
Table 4.1: Intentions to quit
Item Response Frequency Percentage
Do you have intention to quit the current job? No 91 59.1
Yes 63 40.9
As can be seen from Table 4.1, out of the total respondents 91 (59.1%) of the respondents have no intention
to quit their current jobs. However, the remaining 63 (40.9%) of them have intentions to quit the current job.
As Abdali (2011) stated that the demographic and personnel characteristics of employees include; age, gender,
marital status and experience may be reason of leaving from the organization. Accordingly, descriptive statistics
of the respondent’s demographic characteristics such as respondents sex, age, marital status, educational level and
work experience and the cross tabulation with intention to quit are given in Table 4.2.
Table 4.2 showed that out of the total study respondents 143 (92.9%) of them were males and the remaining
11 (7.1%) of them were females. Out of the 143 male respondents 59 (41.3%) of them have intentions to quit the
current jobs. Whereas, out of the 11 female respondents 4(36.4%) of them have intentions to quit the current jobs.
Regarding age 105 (68.2%) of respondents were aged less than or equal to 30 years and the remaining 31.8% of
respondents were above 30 years old. Out of the 105 respondents who were less than or equal to 30 years old
38(36.2%) of respondents have intentions to quit the current jobs. Whereas, out of the 49 respondents who were
above 30 years old, 25(51.0%) have intentions to quit the current jobs.
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
an intention to quit their current jobs. Whereas, out of 89 respondents who think Dire Dawa University provides
necessary training opportunities, only 18(20.2%) of them have an intentions to quit their current jobs.
In addition, Table 4.3 showed that among those 76 respondents who did not agree on the presence of a culture
of giving recognition for their good work, 33(43.4%) of respondents have intention to quit their current job.
Table 4. 4: Chi-Square Test Statistics of the variables
Independent Variables Pearson Asymp. Sig.
Chi-Square value df (2-sided)
Gender .101 1 .750
Age 3.040 1 .081
Educational level .078 1 .780
Marital status 3.236 2 .198
Work experience .279 1 .598
College/ Institute 1.054 5 .958
Job satisfaction 22.418 1 .000*
Job security 19.660 1 .000*
Load of work 3.269 3 .352
Salary 57.586 1 .000*
Allowance/ incentive 26.363 1 .000*
Career growth opportunity 26.441 1 .000*
Training opportunity 37.320 1 .000*
Working environment 2.321 1 .128
Good relationship with Employees 17.483 1 .000*
Culture recognition .392 1 .531
Good relationship with Head 22.713 1 .000*
Family resident 1.725 1 .189
Chi-square test of association or independence was employed to test whether there are statistically significant
association between employee turnover intention and independent variables of the study. The results of the test are
given in Table 4.4. As can be seen from Table 4.4, variables such as job satisfaction, job security, salary,
allowance/incentive, career growth opportunity, training opportunity, good relationship with Employees and good
relationship with head were found to be significantly associated with turnover intention at 5% level of significance.
However, no statistically significant association were found between turnover intention and variables such as
gender, age, marital status, educational level, College/ Institute, work experience, work load, family residents,
working environment and culture of giving recognition for good work at 5% level of significance.
Binary Logistic Regression model was fitted to identify the major significant predictor variables of employee
turnover intention. All of the independent variables that are found to be statistically significant in Chi-square test
were included in the binary logistic regression model that contains several (multiple) independent variables. The
results of the Binary Logistic Regression model are given in Table 4.6. the model summary given in Table 4.5
showed that Nagelkerke R square =0.798 indicates that 79.8% of variation in the dependent variable intention to
quit is expressed the independent variables included in the model. The Hosmer and lemeshow test that was used
for checking goodness of the fitted model showed that the p-value is 0.953. This p-value 0.953 is greater than the
level of significance 0.05 implying that there is no significant difference between the observed and expected value.
Therefore the model is good fitted model.
Table 4. 5: Model summary
-2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell Nagelkerke R Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
R Square Square Chi-square df Sig.
70.277 .592 .798 2.670 8 .953
As the results of the Binary Logistic Regression model given in Table 4.6 showed, variables such as job
satisfaction, job security, salary, allowance/incentive, career growth opportunity, training opportunity, good
relationship with Employees and good relationship with head were found to be significant at 5% level of
significance.
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
4. Discussion
The findings of this study agree with a study conducted by Shimelis (2016) that revealed personal factors are not
the vital causes for turnover. However, these findings contradict the findings of Abdali (2011). Abdali (2011)
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
stated that the demographic and personnel characteristics of employees that include age, gender, marital status and
experience may be reasons of leaving from the organization. The finding of this study also contradicts
Hailemichael and Gezahegn (2018). Hailemichael and Gezahegn (2018) revealed that gender and marital status are
significant.
The finding of this study agreed with the suggestion of Pullins and Fine (2002). Pullins and Fine (2002)
suggested that employee’s relation with the supervisor adversely influences the propensity for employee turnover.
This study also found that career growth and training opportunities are significantly associated with turnover
intention. These results are consistent with the previous studies that showed career growth and training opportunity
affect turnover Intention (Puah and Ananthram, 2006);Girma et al. (2015) and Katamba (2011).
The finding of this study agreed with studies that showed job satisfaction is significantly associated with
turnover intention (Pepra-Mensah et al., 2015and Girma et al., 2015). However, this study disagrees with
Mwendwa (2017). Mwendwa (2017) found that job satisfaction did not influence employees intention to quit. The
current study findings agreed with Shah (2010). According to Shah (2010) job insecurity is one of the various push
factors that initiate employees to quit the current job.
Regarding to salary and allowance/ incentive, the study agree with Kariuki (2015). Kariuki (2015) indicated
that both salaries and bonus payments are key factors influencing employee turnover.
5.2. Recommendations
In order to reduce or tackle the problem of employee turnover in Dire Dawa University, this study recommends
the following:
The significance of training opportunities and allowance/incentive payments indicates that the management
should search a way to provide both training opportunities and allowance/incentive payments to employees. These
can be possible if the management first, initiate all departments of the University to plan training programs that
they can possibly deliver to the rest of the community. Then, work for the realization of the proposed training
programs by easing bureaucracy and consider incentives for the trainers.
Employee job satisfaction and job security directly have an effect on employee retention. Thus, in order to
increase employees job satisfaction and ease job insecurity, it will be better if the management consider increasing
employees participation in making decisions, providing necessary facilities, training and upgrading programs to
the employees and acknowledging high performer employee.
The current study showed that relationship with employees and head are significant. Thus, the management
should exert efforts to create good working environment. Organizing get-togethers may help.
Funding: The authors received no direct funding for this research. However, Department of Statistics provides all
costs of questionnaire duplication and printing.
Data Availability
The data to support the findings are available from the corresponding author upon request.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/JESD
Vol.10, No.17, 2019
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