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    Answer 2022-2023 (SE 1)

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    Hồ Thanh Danh
    The document discusses several probability and statistics concepts including independence, Bayes' rule, exponential and Poisson distributions, confidence intervals for means and proportions, hypothesis testing for means and proportions, and linear regression. Examples and calculations are provided to illustrate how to apply these statistical techniques.

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    Answer 2022-2023 (SE 1)

    Uploaded by

    Hồ Thanh Danh
    3 views2 pages
    The document discusses several probability and statistics concepts including independence, Bayes' rule, exponential and Poisson distributions, confidence intervals for means and proportions, hypothesis testing for means and proportions, and linear regression. Examples and calculations are provided to illustrate how to apply these statistical techniques.

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    The document discusses several probability and statistics concepts including independence, Bayes' rule, exponential and Poisson distributions, confidence intervals for means and proportions, hypothesis testing for means and proportions, and linear regression. Examples and calculations are provided to illustrate how to apply these statistical techniques.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    3 views2 pages

    Answer 2022-2023 (SE 1)

    Uploaded by

    Hồ Thanh Danh
    The document discusses several probability and statistics concepts including independence, Bayes' rule, exponential and Poisson distributions, confidence intervals for means and proportions, hypothesis testing for means and proportions, and linear regression. Examples and calculations are provided to illustrate how to apply these statistical techniques.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
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    ANSWER

    Problem Part Content Points

    I PROBABILITY 4.50
    1 Independence 1.00
    P (both of them will pass statistics) = 0.4 × 0.8 = 0.32; 0.50
    P (at least one of them will pass statistics) = 0.4 + 0.8 − 0.32 = 0.88 0.50
    2 Bayes’rule 1.00
    W = walking, D = driving, B = take the bus, L = late
    (0.40)(0.07) . 1.0
    P (B | L) = = 0.418
    (0.40)(0.07) + (0.30)(0.03) + (0.30)(0.10)
    3 Exponential distribution 1.00
    1
    λ = 0.0128; X ∼ Exp(λ). EX = = σ(X) = 78.125 0.50
     λ
    P (X > EX + σ(X)) = P X > λ2 = 1 − F ( λ2 ) = e−2 0.50
    4 Poisson distribution X = the number of diodes fail; X ∼ B(3000; 0.001) 1.50
    Set λ = 3000 × 0.001 = 3; X ∼ P (3)
    a 3k 0.50
    P (X ≥ 5) = 1 − P (X < 5) = 1 − 4k=0 e−3
    P
    = 0.1847367555
    k!
    b Y = the number of boards work properly. Y ∼ B(4; p) p = P (X = 0) = e−3 0.50
    P (Y ≥ 3) = 4k=3 C4k pk (1 − p)4−k = · · ·
    P
    0.50
    II STATISTICS 5.50
    5 2.50
    a CI for mean 1.50
    n = 8; x = 2.5375; s = 0.329230705 0.50
    Confident interval
    s 0.329230705
    x ± tα/2;n−1 √ = 2.5375 ± 2.365 √ = (2.262212505; 2.812787435) 1.00
    n 8

    b CI for proportion 1.00


    320
    p : the proportion of driverswho claim they always buckle up pb = 0.25
    400
    Confident interval
    v  
    u 320 320
    u
    t 400 1 − 400
    r
    0.75
    u
    pb(1 − pb) 320
    pb ± zα/2 · = ± 2.326 = (0.75348; 0.84652)
    n 400 400

    6 2.00
    a Tests about a population mean 1.00
    µ : true average time to finish their undergraduate degrees
    0.25
    Null hypothesis: H0 : µ = 4.5; Alternative hypothesis Ha : µ > 4.5
    Test statistic value
    x − µ0 5 − 4.5
    z= √ = √ = 2.954286826 0.25
    σ/ n 1.3/ 59

    With α = 0.01, and zα = z0.01 = 2.326. Comparision: z > zα , reject H0 . 0.25


    Conclusion: The data indicates that the mean time to finish their undergraduate
    0.25
    degrees is longer
    b Tests about a population proportion 1.00
    p : the proportion of children dress as favorite movie characters for Halloween
    0.25
    Null hypothesis: H0 : p = 0.32; Alternative hypothesis Ha : p ̸= 0.32
    Test statistic value:
    97
    pb − p0 − 0.32
    z=r = r 250 = 2.30488614 0.25
    p0 (1 − p0 ) 0.32(1 − 0.32)
    n 250

    With α = 0.02, and zα/2 = 2.326. Comparision: |z| < zα/2 , reject Ha . 0.25
    Conclusion: the costume company’s claim is right. 0.25
    7 Linear regression 1.00
    Linear regression equation y = a + bx = 266.630825 − 23.87833623x. 0.50
    Correlation coefficient: r = −0.8358951528. Strong correlation 0.25
    If x = 3.5, then y = 183.058. 0.25

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