MEFA Unit 2
MEFA Unit 2
MEFA Unit 2
CONTENTS:
1.0 : Introduction
1.01: Objectives
1.02: Meaning of demand
1.03: Demand function
1.04: Types of demand
1.05: Price demand
1.06: Demand schedule
1.07: Individual demand curve
1.08: Estimation demand
1.09: Reasons for negative slope of demand curve
1.10: Exceptions to the law of demand
1.11: Summary
1.12: Additional references
1.13: Self assessment test
Desire to buy
Willingness to pay for the commodity
Ability to pay for the commodity.
A miser or a greedy person may have enough income and desire to buy a
commodity, but he may not be willing to pay for it. In this case, we can say that
there is no demand for the commodity from the point of view of a miser. This
indicates that a mere desire does not imply demand. It must be backed by
willingness and ability. In simple terms, the effective fulfillment of a desire is
known as demand.
We know that in reality, the changes in all the independent variables influence
the demand for X commodity. For analytical simplicity, while analyzing the
price demand, we assume variables other than its own price remain constant. In
such a case we can write the simplified price demand function as
DX = f ( PX )
This function tells us that, other things remaining constant; there exists an
inverse relationship between price of X and the demand for X. That is as the price
of X falls, the demand for X extends and as the price of X rises; the demand for X
contracts assuming that there is no change in other determinants of demand.
This relationship between price of X and the demand for X is known as the ‘The
Law of Demand’. Now we can understand the inverse relationship between price
of X commodity and the quantity demanded of X commodity with the help of
demand schedule.
1 10
2 9
3 8
4 7
5 6
The demand schedule shown above reveals inverse relationship between price
of X and demand for X i.e as price rises from Re 1 to Rs 5, the quantity demanded
contracted from 10 units to 6 units and vice-versa. By plotting the information
given above in a diagram and joining the corresponding price and quantity
points, we can derive the demand curve.
GRAPH-1
Y
D
Price
0 X
Demand
The basic feature of the price demand curve is, it slopes downward from left to
right. This reveals the fact that quantity demanded is inversely related to price.
Price Quantity
(Rs) (Units)
0 10
1 9.5
2 9.0
3 8.5
4 8.0
5 7.5
6 7.0
GRAPH-2
D
Qd = 10 - .5Px
Price
0 10
Demand
ACTIVITY-1
2. Income effect:
3. Substitution effect:
According to ordinal utility approach, the substitution effect of change in price is
the basic reason for the application of Law of Demand. When the price of a
commodity falls, it becomes cheaper compared to other commodities which the
consumer is purchasing. As a result, the consumer would like to substitute this
cheaper commodity for other commodity whose price whose price remains
constant.
4. New consumers:
Commodities have different uses. If their price rises, they are used only for
important purposes. As a result the demand for such commodities contracts. On
the other hand, when the price is reduced, the commodity may be used for
satisfying different needs. As a result its demand extends.
1. GIFFEN GOODS:
There are some commodities which are inferior from the consumers view point..
Sir Robert Giffen was mentioned by Marshhall as having discussed such
exceptions. Giffen stated that with a fall in price of bread its quantity demanded
was reduced rather than increased. This is known as Giffen Paradox.
In a country like India take a poor man who has to spend a major portion of his
income on low quality grain and is therefore, able to spend a small part of it on
other goods. If the price of this coarse grain rises, he will be left with still less
money to spend on other goods. As a result he may be forced to spend this part
of his income also on the grain whose price has risen. On the other hand, if the
price of the grain falls, the real income of the poor consumer rises and he can go
for the consumption of better quality goods.
2. ARTICLES OF DISTINCTION:
These goods are also known as prestige goods are status symbol goods or
Veblen goods. According to Veblen, the demand for articles of distinction such as
diamonds and jewellery is more as their price is higher. This is because, a rich
man’s desire for distinction is satisfied better when the articles of distinction are
highly priced and the poor people cannot afford to buy.
3. EXPECTATIONS:
These expectations are basically related to rise and fall in price in future. If
consumers expect a rise in price of a commodity, they rush to purchase more of
the commodity at the current price even though the current price is much higher
than the previous price. If they expect a fall in price, they purchase less of the
commodity at present in the hope of buying it at a lesser price.
In all these exceptional cases the law of demand does not hold good.
ACTIVITY- II
1. What do you mean by exceptions to the law of demand?
2. What is Giffen’s paradox?
3. Give examples for Veblen goods.
1.11: SUMMARY:
Demand means the effective fulfillment of a desire. A mere desire does not
represent the demand for a commodity. In order to have demand, desire to buy a
commodity must be backed up by willingness and ability to buy. In reality a
large number of factors determine the demand for a commodity. We have
analysed the law of demand by assuming other things remaining constant. In
case of price demand there is an inverse relationship between price and quantity
demanded. With regard to exceptional cases the law of demand does not hold
good.
CONTENTS:
2.0: Objectives
2.01: Meaning
2.02: Income Demand
2.03: Cross Demand
2.04: Promotional Demand
2.05: Extension and contraction in demand
2.06: Increase and decrease in demand
2.07: Summary
2.08: Additional References
2.09: Self assessment test.
2.0: OBJECTIVES:
The objective of this unit is to explain the meaning of income and cross demand.
After reading this unit you should be able to explain the:
2.01: MEANING:
Income demand shows the relationship between changes in demand as a result
of change in income, given other things. Cross demand shows the relationship
between changes in demand for A product as a result of change in the price of b
product, given other things. Products A and B may be either substitutes or jointly
demanded. Promotional demand shows the relationship between advertisement
expenditures and the sales, given other things.
Assuming other things remaining constant, we can write the income demand
function as Dx = f (y). Here Dx is the demand for x commodity and y is the
income of consumer.
While analyzing the relationship between change in income and demand for a
commodity, we classify goods in to Superior and inferior.
Superior goods: In case of superior goods, there exist direct relationship between
change in income and demand. We can understand this with the help of a
diagram.
GRAPH-1
Y
Income demand Curve
Y2
Y1
Income
Q Q1 Q2
Demand
The diagram above shows that if income is OY1, the demand is OQ1. If income
rises to OY2 demand increased to OQ2 and if income falls to OY, the demand is
reduced to OQ. The income demand curve incase of normal goods has positive
slope. Income demand curve for consumer durables represent Engel’s Law. This
law states as income increases, the proportion of income diverted towards
purchasing durable consumer goods also increases.
Inferior goods:
Demand is inversely related to change in income with respect to inferior goods.
GRAPH-2
Y2
Income
Q Q1 Q2 X
Demand
ACTIVITY-I
1. List out superior goods.
2. List out inferior goods.
GRAPH-3
P1
Price of B
Q Q1 Q2 X
Demand for A
Complementary goods:
These goods also known as jointly demanded products. Examples are petrol and
automobiles, pen and ink, pen and paper etc. Let us assume that A and B are
complementary goods. Then, if price of B rises the demand for A falls and vice-
versa.
GRAPH-4
P2
P1
e of B
P
The above diagram indicates that as the price of B rises from OP1 to OP2, the
demand for A decreases from OQ1 to OQ. On the other hand if the price of B
falls from OP1 to OP,the demand for A increases from OQ1 to OQ. In case of
complementary goods, the cross demand curve slopes downward from left to
right.
ACTIVITY-2
1. List out substitute commodities.
2. List out jointly demanded products.
2.04: PROMOTIONAL DEMAND:
This shows the relationship between changes in demand as a result of change in
advertisement expenditures, assuming other things remaining constant. It is a
fact that business firms generally spend huge amount towards promoting sales
of their product. We can write the promotional demand function as shown
below.
DX = f (AE)
In the above function
DX = Demand for commodity -X (Dependent variable)
AE = Advertisement expenditures.
GRAPH-5
Y Sales
Sales
100 X
Advertisement expenditure
The diagram above shows that in the beginning even without advertisement a
business firm can sell certain quantity of commodity. One can observe direct
relationship between advertisement expenditures and sales up to a certain level
of advertisement expenditure. For example up to Rs 100 crores. After that it is
not possible to increase sales through advertisement. As a result, sales curve has
become parallel to horizontal axis.
2.05: Extension and contraction in demand:
This refers to a movement along the demand curve. Change in demand as a
result of change in price, other things remaining constant, either called as
extension or contraction in demand. Extension and contraction is to be shown on
the same demand curve through different points. We can see this with the help
of following diagram
GRAPH-6
D
Contractio
A n
P
2 B Extension
Price
P
1 C
P
Q Q1 Q2
Demand
According to the above diagram, if the price is OP1, the quantity demand is OQ1.
This is indicated by point B on the demand curve. If the price of the commodity
rises from OP1 to OP2 the quantity demanded is reduced to OQ. This
corresponds to point A on the demand curve. This reduction or fall in demand as
a result of rise in price is described as contraction in demand. On the other hand,
if price falls from OP1 to OP the quantity demanded rises to OQ2 which
corresponds to point C on the demand curve. This is called Extension in demand.
Backward movement from B to A on the demand curve, given other things , is
called as contraction in demand and a forward movement from B to C is called as
extension in demand.
GRAPH-7
Y
D2
D1
D0
A B C
P
Price
D2
D1
D0
Q Q1 Q2
Demand
The above diagram indicates that, initially if the price is OP, the demand is OQ1
corresponding to point B on D1D1 curve. Given the price assume that there is
change in other factors i.e. increase in income. In such a case the consumer may
buy more of the commodity i.e OQ2 at price OP. As a result of this, D1D1 shifts
toD2D2. On the other hand, given the price, if there is fall in income, then the
consumer may buy less i.e.OQ of the commodity. In this case the demand curve
shifts from D1D1 to D0D0. The upward shift in demand curve from D1D1 to
D2D2 is called increase in demand and a downward shift in demand curve from
D1D1 to D0D0 is called decrease in demand.
2.07: Summary:
Change in demand as a result of change in income, assuming other things
remaining constant is known as income demand. Change in demand for one
commodity as a result of change in price of other related product, ceteris paribus,
is known as cross demand. Change in demand as a result of change in
advertisement expenditure is called as promotional demand. Upward or
downward movement along the same demand curve is known as extension and
contraction where as upward or downward shift in demand curve known as
increase in demand and decrease in demand.
Notes:
CONTENTS:
3.0: Introduction
3.01: Objectives
3.02: Meaning of elasticity
3.03: Price elasticity of demand
3.04: Estimation of price elasticity
3.05: Factors influencing price elasticity
3.06: Summary
3.07: References
3.08: self assessment test
3.0: INTRODUCTION:
In Module –I of Unit-II we have discussed the law of demand. The law of
demand explains the direction of demand i.e the law of demand states that the
price of a commodity and the quantity demanded of that commodity move in
opposite direction. It does not tell us anything about the extent or magnitude of
change in demand as a result of given percentage change in price. In order to
know the quantum of change in dependent variable as a result of given
percentage change in the independent variable, we have to take the help of
elasticity concept.
3.01: OBJECTIVES:
The objective of this module is to explain the meaning and measurement of price
elasticity of demand. After reading this unit you should be able to understand:
Meaning of elasticity
Meaning of price elasticity
Measurement of price elasticity
Estimation of price elasticity
Influencing factors of price elasticity.
NOTE-1
Degrees of Price elasticity: Depending on the value of price elasticity, the price
elasticity of demand is divided in to five. Let us discuss them in detail.
GRAPH-1
Y
Price elasticity = ∞
D
Price
0 X
Demand
2. Perfectly inelastic demand: If the demand is non-responsive to a given
proportionate change in price, it is known as perfectly inelastic demand. In this
case the value of price elasticity is equal to zero and the demand curve will be
parallel to vertical axis as shown below.
GRAPH-2
Y
D
B
P2
Price elasticity =
rice
P1
The above diagram indicates that, even if the price rises from P1 to P2 or falls
from P2 to P1, the quantity demanded remains constant as ‘OQ’.
3. Unitary elasticity:
GRAPH-3
Y
D
0
Demand
4. Relatively elastic demand: If the proportionate change in demand is more
than the proportionate change in price, it is known as relatively elastic demand.
In this case the value of elasticity will be greater than one.
In order to measure the price elasticity, there are three methods available in
economic literature. They are:
Total Outlay Method
Point Method
Arc Method.
Elastic demand
Unitary elastic demand
Inelastic demand
Elastic demand: As a result of fall in price the demand increases and at the same
time if the expenditure on this commodity increases, it is known as elastic
demand.
Unitary elastic demand; As a result of fall in price the demand increases and at
the same time if the expenditure on this commodity remains constant, it is
known as elastic demand.
Inelastic demand: As a result of fall in price the demand increases and at the
same time if the expenditure on this commodity decreases, it is known as
inelastic demand.
We can understand elastic, unitary elastic and inelastic demand with the help of
following example:
NOTE- 2
5 6 30
Unitary elastic
6 5 30
7 4 28
8 3 2 in elastic demand
9 2 18
10 1 10
According to the above example, as price falls from Rs.10 to Rs 6,the quantity of
A commodity increased from 1 unit to 5 units and the expenditure on A
commodity increased from Rs 10 to Rs 30. So this is the case of elastic demand.
As price falls from Rs 6 to Rs 5, the quantity of A increased from 5 units to 6
units. But the expenditure on the commodity remains constant. So this is the case
of unitary elasticity.
Finally, as the price falls from Rs 5 to Rs 1 the quantity of A increased but the
expenditure on this commodity decreased from Rs 30 to Rs 10. So this is inelastic
demand.
By plotting the above data in a diagram we can derive the total expenditure total
outlay curve. The shape of the total expenditure curve is shown below.
GRAPH-4
Y
A
e>1
B
E=0
Price
E<1
D
Total expenditure
Point elasticity Method
This method is known as geometric method. This method is used to find out the
value of price elasticity of demand at any point on a straight line demand curve.
Under this method, the principle for estimating price elasticity at any point on
the demand curve is shown below.
We can understand the point elasticity with the help of the following diagram.
GRAPH-5
Y
A
B
C
Price
E
Demand
In the above diagram we have drawn a straight line demand curve AE and
identified different points on this curve such as A,B,C,D and E.
CE (lower segment)
Elasticity of demand at point C is = ---- ---------------------- = 1
CA (upper segment)
Because C is a mid -point on the straight line demand curve. So point C dividng
the AE demand curve in to two equal parts as CE and CA.
DE
The price elasticity of demand at point D= ----- = less than one
AD
0 (ZERO)
The price elasticity of demand at point E= ----- = 0(zero)
AE
BE
The price elasticity of demand at point B= ----- = more than one
AB
AE
The price elasticity of demand at point A= ----- = infinite
Zero
The above analysis indicates that each and every point on the straight line
demand curve denotes a different value of elasticity. If you are moving from mid
point (C) towards quantity axis the value of elasticity decreases. Where as if you
move from mid -point towards price axis the value of price elasticity increases.
Arc Method:
This method is used to find out price elasticity on a segment of the demand
curve rather than at a particular point.
GRAPH-6
Y
D
P2 A
P1 B
D
Price
Q2 X
Q1
Demand
In the above diagram AB represents a small segment on the demand curve DD.
By using Arc method it is possible to find out price elasticity on AB segment
rather than either at point A or at point B. The principle for the estimation of
price elasticity under this method is:
NOTE-3
Example: Let initial price is Rs 10. Quantity demanded is 100 units. Price falls to Rs 8.
Quantity demanded increased to 140 units. Price elasticity of demand is:
Here change in demand = 40 units
Change in Price = Rs 2
Original demand = 100 Units
New demand =140 units
Original =Rs 10
New Price = Rs 8
Substituting these different values in the above principle we can get price elasticity value.
= ×
= ×
= (-) 1.5
We can say that, on AB segment of the demand curve, the value of price elasticity is (-)
1.5. This indicates that 1% fall in price causes 1.5% rise in demand and vice-versa.
3.04: ESTIMATION OF PRICE ELASTICITY:
With the help of estimated demand function we can find out price elasticity
value. For example Qd = 10- .5 PX. If the price is Rs 10 the value of price elasticity
is:
NOTE-4
ACTIVITY-2
If a commodity can be put to large number of uses, its demand tends to elastic.
In this case, as a result of fall in price, consumers want to put that commodity
even for not so important purpose. Due to this, the demand will respond
significantly as a result of fall in price.
3. Availability of substitutes:
If a commodity is having large number of substitutes, its price elasticity of
demand tends to be elastic.
4. Postponement of consumption:
If it is possible to postpone the consumption of a commodity under
consideration, the price elasticity of demand tends to be elastic.
5. Range of prices:
At very low price, the elasticity of demand tends to be inelastic.
6. Time element:
Generally in the long-run the elasticity of demand is more responsive i.e elastic,
compared to the short-run.
7. Habits:
If the consumers are habituated to consume a commodity, then the demand for
such commodities tends to inelastic.
ACTIVITY-3
3.06: SUMMARY:
3.07: References:
CONTENTS
4.0: Objectives
4.01: Income Elasticity of Demand
4.02: Cross Elasticity of Demand
4.03: Promotional Elasticity of Demand
4.04: Applications of Elasticity concept
4.05: Summary
4.06: References
4.07: Self assessment test
4.0: OBJECTIVES:
The objective of this module is to examine the responsiveness in demand to a
given percentage change in income, price of related products and promotional
expenditure. After reading this module you should be able to understand:
NOTE-1
Income elasticity
Of demand =
We can write this as
=
Here is equal to the slope of income demand Curve.
The value of income elasticity may be positive or negative. It all depends on the
nature of the commodity. In case of normal / superior goods the income
elasticity of demand will have a positive sign. This indicates the direct
relationship between percentage change in income and percentage change in
demand. So in this case as income increases, demand also increases. In case of
inferior goods the income elasticity of demand will have a negative sign. This
negative sign indicates the existence of inverse relationship between the
percentage change in income and percentage change in demand. Therefore, in
this case as income increases the demand for inferior goods decreases.
GRAPH-1
Y
YD
Y1
income
X
0
Demand
2. Perfectly inelastic income demand:
GRAPH-2
Y Yd
Income
Q1 X
0
Demand
GRAPH- 3
Yd
ome
4. Relatively elastic income demand:
If the proportionate change in demand is more than the proportionate change in
income, it is known as relatively elastic income demand. In this case the value of
income elasticity is more than one and the shape of the demand curve is shown
as below.
GRAPH-4
Yd
Income
X
0
Demand
GRAPH-5 Y
Yd
6. Negative income elasticity:
GRAPH-6
Y
Income
Yd
0 X
Demand
NOTE-2
Qd = α + βY and the estimated functions is Qd = 100+.5Y. if the level of income is Rs
500
The value of income elasticity is;
Income elasticity = X or
= X
Activity-1
1. List out different degrees of income elasticity.
2. Given the demand function Qd = 200 - .5 Y, estimate income elasticity at
income level Rs 500 and comment on the nature product.
NOTE-3
= X
The value of cross elasticity of demand may be negative or positive. In case, if the
two commodities X and Y are substitutes, the value of cross elasticity will be
positive. This indicates the existence of direct relationship between the price of Y
and demand for X i.e. the proportionate change in the demand for X commodity
is directly related to change in price of Y commodity. In this case the cross
demand curve will have a positive slope as shown below.
GRAPH-7
Y
Cd
Price of Y
X
0
Demand for X
In case if the two commodities i.e. X and Y are complementary goods, then the
value of cross elasticity will be negative. This indicates, that the proportionate
change in demand for X is inversely related to proportionate change in price of Y
i.e as price of Y rises, the demand for X decreases and vice versa. In this case the
cross demand curve will have a negative slope.
GRAPH-8
Y
Price of Y
Cd
X
0
Demand for X
NOTE-3
ACTIVITY-2
1. Pricing decisions:
Business firms at present generally calculate price elasticity of demand for their
product while attempting to make any change in price of their product.
3. Foreign trade:
If a country wants get benefit by devaluing its currency, it is advantageous only
when the price elasticity of demand for its exports and also imports is more than
one. So before resorting to devaluation, it has to estimate the elasticity of demand
for exports and imports.
4. Fiscal policy:
Generally the government imposes taxes to mobilize resources. By imposing
high rate of tax on those commodities whose demand is inelastic, the
government can realize more revenue.
5. Business decisions:
As most of the goods are superior goods, economic growth will be associated
with increase in their sales. Producers may be really interested in knowing
whether the sale of their product will lead or lag economic growth. The income
elasticity of demand will enable them to know the answer.
If income elasticity of demand is greater than zero but less than one, sales of the
product will increase but slower than the general economic growth. If income
elasticity of demand is greater than one, sales of the product will increase more
rapidly than the general economic growth. For example: If the economy is
growing at 5% and the income elasticity of demand is 2, business firm can expect
sales to grow at the rate of 5% x 2= 10% annually.
6. To identify nature of commodities:
Income elasticity concept is useful to identify the nature of commodities that a
business firm is producing i.e. whether the commodities are normal or superior.
If the income elasticity is positive, the commodity is normal. On the other hand if
the income elasticity is negative, the commodity is an inferior type.
Cross elasticity concept is very useful to identify whether the product produced
by a firm is substitute to other product or a complementary good.
ACTIVITY-3
1. List out the applications of elasticity concept.
2. In what way the income elasticity concept is useful to managers?
4.05: SUMMARY
In this module we discussed at length the concept of income, cross and
promotional elasticity and their estimation. Income elasticity is a ratio between
proportionate change in demand to proportionate change in income. Cross
elasticity is a ratio between proportionate change in demand for A commodity to
proportionate change in price of related Y commodity. Promotional elasticity is a
ratio between proportionate change in demand to proportionate change in
advertisement expenditures. Elasticity analysis also called as sensitivity analysis.
4.06: References:
1. Stonier and Hague ; Text Book of Economic Theory
2. H.L Ahuja: Advanced Economic Theory
3. Dominick Salvatore ; Managerial economics in a Global Economy
CONTENTS
5.0: Objectives
5.01: Short run and Long run demand
5.01: Individual and Market demand
5.02: Segmented market and total market demand
5.03: Company and industry demand
5.04: Direct and derived demand
5.05: Autonomous and induced demand
5.06: Perishable and durable goods demand
5.07: Domestic and industrial demand
5.08: New and replacement demand
5.09: Final and intermediate demand
5.10: Change in quantity demanded and demand.
5.11: Summary
5.12: References
5.13: Self Assessment Test
5.0: OBJECTIVES:
In module -1 and 2 of Unit –II we discussed the types or kinds of demand
for example: Price, income, cross and promotional demand. The objective
of this module is to present different concepts of demand. After reading
this module you should be able understand the meaning of:
1 10
2 9
3 8
4 7
5 6
10 10 20 30
9 20 30 50
8 30 40 70
6 40 50 90
5 50 60 110
GRAPH- 1
Y ‘A’ Y ‘B’ Y
DM (A+B)
D DB
A 10
Price
10
Price
Price
DM
8
8 8
DB
DA
Here DA is the demand curve of Consumer ‘A’
DB is the demand Curve of Consumer ‘B’
DM is the demand Curve of total market i.e A+B
10000 10 20 30
9000 20 30 50
8000 30 40 70
6000 40 50 90
5000 50 60 110
ACTIVITY-1
1. Is there any difference between company and industry?. If ‘yes’
explain it.
2. How do you do you find out total market demand for software
professionals?
5.12: Summary
In this module an attempt is made to familiarize to you the various
concepts of demand.. The market demand concept helps the management
to identify the nature of total market demand for their product. Further the
management can find out the nature of the product i.e. intermediate or
final,they are producing. The understanding of these concepts helps the
management to arrive at optimal decisions
5.13: References:
1. R.L Varshney and Maheswari : Managerial economics.
2. Mote,V.L; Samuel Paul and G.S.Gupta : Managerial Economics,
concepts
and cases.
3. Koutsoyiannis : Modern Micro Economics
Notes:
CONTENTS
6.0: Objectives
6.01: Introduction
6.02: Meaning of Supply
6.03: Supply function
6.04: The law of supply
6.05: Extension and contraction in supply
6.06: Increase and decrease in supply
6.07: Summary
6.08: References
6.09: Self Assessment Test
6.0: OBJECTIVES:
The objective of this module is to explain the meaning of supply,
determinants of supply and elasticity of supply. After reading this module,
you should be able to understand:
6.01: Introduction:
In economics the word supply is used to show the relationship between
change in independent variable i.e. price and consequent change in the
dependent variable i.e. quantity of a commodity that would be supplied.
The supply of a commodity at different prices, indicates the behavior of a
rational supplier involved in supplying a commodity. The supply of a
commodity reflects the quantity of a product is available to consumer at
any given point of time.
Sn = f ( Pn).
The function tells us that the supply of ‘n’ commodity depends on price of
‘n’ commodity. If that is the case, there exists direct relationship between
price of ‘n’ and supply of ‘n’, other things remaining constant. That is as
price of ‘n’ rises the supply of ‘n’ goes up and as the price of ‘n’ falls; the
supply of ‘n’ goes down. This relationship between price and supply is
known as ‘Law of Supply’.
10 50
20 60
30 70
40 80
50 90
60 100
The supply schedule shown above reveals the direct relationship between
price of ‘n’ and supply of ‘n’. As price rises from Rs 10 to Rs 20 the supply
increased from Rs 50 to Rs 60 units and as price rises from Rs 20 to Rs 30
and up to Rs60 the supply increased from 60 to 100 units.
GRAPH-1
a
Price
Supply
The basic feature of supply curve is that it slopes upward from left to right.
This reveals the fact that, the quantity supplied is directly related to price.
The supply curve shown above indicates the quantity offered for sale by a
single supplier at different prices.
1 5.5
2 6.0
3 6.5
4 7.0
5 7.5
With the help of above information we derive the supply curve as shown
below.
GRAPH-2
Y
S
Qs = 5 + .5Px
Price
S
Market Supply Schedule:
In the market there may be more than one supplier for a product. The
market supply schedule consists of quantity of a commodity supplied by
different individual suppliers at different prices. By adding the supply of
individual suppliers at a given price, we can get market supply of a
commodity. Assuming there are two suppliers for a product, a hypothetical
market supply schedule is given below.
1 10 20 30
2 20 30 50
3 30 40 70
4 40 50 90
5 50 60 110
GRAPH-3
Y SA Y Y
SB
5 5
5
Price
2
2
S
Price
A SM
SB
0 20 50 30 60 X
X
Supply of A Supply of B
In the above diagrams SA, SB are the individual supply curves. SM is the
market supply curve. At price Rs 2, supplier A offered 20 units, B offered 30
units. Therefore, market supply at Rs2 is 20+30 =50 units. In the same way
at price Rs 5, A offered 50 units while B offered 60 units. Therefore the
market supply is 110 units.
ACTIVITY -1
1. Spell out the meaning of supply.
2. Show the difference between individual and market
supply.
3. Given the supply function Qs =10 + .8 Px, estimate
supply at different prices.
1. Incase of labour supply, the law of supply does not hold good at all
prices. Labour supply i.e. in terms of number of hours a worker wants to
work in a single day. Initially increases as the price of labour i.e the wage
rate per hour, increases. But beyond a point, if price of labour increase,
supply of labour is likely to decrease. This is based on the assumption that
workers have fixed money needs. Due to this, when wage increase, workers
can earn adequate amount of income, even by working less number of
hours. As a result of this, labour supply curve, generally, bends backwards
as shown below.
GRAPH-4
Y
S
W2
Wage per hour
W
1 S
L0 L2
X
L1
Labour Supply (in hours)
According to the above diagram OL1 is the supply of labour corresponding
OW1 wage rate per hour. As the wage rate increased to W2, supply of
labour increased to OL2. Further if the wage rate increased from W2 to W3,
number of hours offered for work by a worker decreased from OL2 to OL0.
This reveals the fact that at higher wage rate i.e. OW3, workers offered less
number of hours for work. This goes against the law of supply and hence an
exception.
2. Expectations regarding future price may also lead to invalidity of the law
of supply. If the suppliers expect that in near future, price is going to fall
below present prices; suppliers may offer large quantities for sale, even
though the present price is less than the previous price. In this case also, we
can see the presence of inverse relationship between price and quantity
supplied.
ACTIVITY-2
GRAPH-5
P2
P1 A
C
P0
Price
S
X
0
According to above diagram, at price OP1, suppliers are supplying Q1
quantity corresponding to point A on supply curve SS. As price increases to
P2, suppliers are supplying Q2 quantity corresponding to point B on SS. The
forward movement from A to B on SS supply curve is known as extension in
supply. As the price decreases from P1 to P0, suppliers supply Q0 quantity
corresponding to point C on SS supply curve. The backward movement on
supply curve, from A to C is known as contraction in supply.
Y
GRAPH-6
S
S1
A B
P1
S
Price
S1
X
0 Q1 Q2
Supply
In the above diagram SS is the initial supply curve. Point A on S indicates
Q1 quantity supplied, corresponding to P1 price. Given the price, if there is
a change in other things i.e fall in cost of production, suppliers may offer
more than q1 quantity. In such a case supply curve shifts to the right of the
original SS curve and becomesS1S1. Point B on S1S1 indicates Q2 quantity
corresponding to P1 price due to change in other factors influencing supply.
Change in supply from Q1 to Q2 at the same price is known as increase in
supply.
GRAPH-7
Y S1
S
P1 B A
S1
S
Price
0 Q0 Q1
Supply
ACTIVITY-3
6.07: Summary
6.08: Reference:
CONTENTS
7.0: Objectives
7.01: Elasticity of Supply
7.02: Degrees of Elasticity of Supply
7.03: Measurement of Elasticity of Supply
7.04: Estimation of Elasticity of Supply
7.05: Determination of Equilibrium Price
7.06: Summary
7.07: References
7.08: Self Assessment Test
7.0: OBJECTIVES:
NOTE-1
Elasticity of supply =
Elasticity of supply =
= X
GRAPH-1 Y
Ye = ∞ S
Price
X
0 Supply
GRAPH-2
S
Y
Ye = 0
Price
Unitary Elastic Supply:
GRAPH-3
Y S
Ye = 1
S
Price
Supply
GRAPH-4
Y
S
Ye > 1
S
Price
Supply
GRAPH-5
Y S
Ye<1
ice
ACTIVITY-1
1. Define elasticity of supply.
2. Define unitary elastic supply.
1. Mathematical Method
2. Graphic Method.
Mathematical Method:
S = 100 units
= 300 – 100
= 200 units
P = Rs 5
= 10 – 5
= Rs 5
Elasticity of supply =
= X
By substituting the values in the above principle we can get
the value of supply elasticity.
Elasticity of supply = X =2
Graphic Method:
GRAPH- 6
Y S
G R
P
In the above diagram AS is the supply curve. The measurement of
elasticity of supply at point P is shown below.
NOTE- 3
= X
= X
AQP and PTR are similar triangles, have the ratio or proportion of
sides are equal that is to say
= =
Therefore elasticity of supply = X
GRAPH- 7
Y
S
R
G
P
H T
Price
X
0 A Q M
Supply
AQ
In the above graph, the elasticity of supply at point ‘P’ = -----.
According to the
OQ
AQ
Diagram AQ is equal to OQ. Therefore ------ i.e the value of
elasticity
OQ
GRAPH-8
Y S
R
G
H P T
Price
X
-x
A 0 Q M
Supply
AQ
Diagram AQ is greater than the OQ. Therefore ------ i.e the value
of elasticity
OQ
ACTIVITY-2
1. Show the relatively elastic supply with graphic method.
NOTE-4
10 – 5 =. 5Px + .5 Px
5 = Px
GRAPH- 9 Y S
D
5 E
D
Price
X
0 7.5
Demand & supply
ACTIVITY -3
7.06: Summary:
8.0: Introduction
8.01: Objectives
8.02: Meaning of demand forecasting
8.03: Need for demand forecasting
8.04: Types of fore casting
8.05: Steps in demand forecasting
8.06: Techniques of demand forecasting
8.07: Summary
8.08: References
8.09: Self Assessment Test
8.0: INTRODUCTION:
Most business decisions are made in the face of risk and
uncertainty. One of the crucial aspects in which managerial
economics differs from pure economic theory lies in the treatment
of risk and uncertainty. Traditional economic theory assumes a risk
free world of uncertainty. But the real world business is full of all
sorts of risk and uncertainty. The element of risk associated with
future is indefinite and uncertain. To cope with risk and
uncertainty, the manager needs to fore see the the course of
variables. The likely future course of variables has to be given
form.i,e forecasting. The aim of economic forecasting is to reduce
the risk or uncertainty that the firm faces in its short- term
decision making and planning for its future growth.
8.01: Objectives:
The objective of this module is to explain different methods of
demand forecasting. After reading this module you should be able
to understand the:
Meaning of forecasting
Need for demand forecasting
Types of forecasts
Steps in demand forecasting
Methods of forecasting
2. Nature of product:
Firm has to identify the nature of product for which it is
attempting demand forecasting exercise. Nature of product
indicates whether the firm is producing final product like
food, or intermediary product like chemical which is to be
used as an input in final product such as paint.
4. Identification of determinants:
Business firm has to identify the determinants such as price,
income, promotional expenditure,etc.
5. Analysis of determinants:
Researcher has to analyse all those determinants as whether
they are cyclical, seasonal or random variables.
6. Choice of technique:
To conduct the analysis of demand forecast, researcher may
use different techniques. But the choice of appropriate
technique depends on the nature of the product. The
accuracy and relevance of forecast data depends on the
choice of technique.
7. Testing of accuracy:
The testing is needed to reduce the margin of error and there
by improve its validity for practical decision making
purpose.
Survey method:
Consumer survey: Under this method, business firm can collect in
formation from census of population or from sample population.
Through personal interviews it can collect consumers’ preferences
regarding their product. Census method, in general, yield reliable
results compare to sample method. But census method needs more
time and money compared to sample method. Depending up on the
need and resources at the disposal of firm it has to choose between
sample and census method.
Example: NOTE-1
For the use of this method, the following steps have to be taken.
1. See whether a relationship exists between the demand for a
product and certain economic indicators.
2. Establish the relationship through the method of least squares
and derive the regression equation. Assuming the relationship to be
linear, we can write the equation as Y = a + b X
3. Once the regression equation is derived, the value of Y(
dependent variable) can be estimated for any given values of X.
Example:- NOTE -2
Controlled Experiments:
Under this method an effort is put to vary separately certain
determinants of demand which can be manipulated for example:
price, income, advertisement expenditures etc and conduct
experiments assuming other factors remaining constant. Thus, the
effect of demand determinants like price, advertisement etc can be
assed by either varying them over different markets or by varying
them over different time periods in the same market.
Judgmental Approach:
Management may have to use its own judgment when (a) analysis
of time series and trend projection is not feasible because of wide
fluctuations in sales; (b) use of regression method is not possible
because of lack of historical data. Further, even when statistical
methods are used, all such method cannot incorporate the potential
factors affecting the demand for example a major technological
break through in the product design. Statistical forecasts are more
reliable for larger levels of aggregations. As a result there is need
for use wisdom by the management to supplement statistical
techniques.
Smoothing techniques:
These predict future values of a time series on the basis of some
average of its past values only. Smoothing techniques are useful
when the time series exhibit little trend or seasonal variations.
There are two different smoothing techniques. They are:
(a). Moving Averages: In this method the forecasted value of a
given period is equal to the average value of ( year or quarter or
month) time series in a number of previous periods.
8.07: Summary:
In this module we discussed the meaning and importance of
demand forecasting and types of forecasts and techniques of
forecasts. There is no unique method demand forecasting.
Business firm has to choose the right technique depending upon
its objectives, nature of the product and life cycle of the product
and the resources at its disposal, urgency of forecasts.
8.08: References:
1. Dominick Salvatore: Managerial Economics in a Global
Economy
Year Sales
(In lakh units)
2000 100
2001 125
2002 90
2003 140
2004 180
2005 120
2006 80
2007 200
2008 190
2009 220
2005 50
20
2006 60
25
2007 45
15
2008 80
30
2009 100
60
2010 140
75